SlideShare a Scribd company logo
HoustonKemp.com
Triage for MFNs
How to efficiently assess whether MFNs are
likely to lessen competition
Dr Luke Wainscoat
Senior Economist, HoustonKemp
21 May 2016
Competition Law Conference, Sydney
HoustonKemp.com
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
2
Triage for MFNs
Safe harbour test
HoustonKemp.com
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
3
Triage for MFNs
Theory of harm
Safe harbour test
HoustonKemp.com
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
4
Triage for MFNs
Assessment of benefits
Theory of harm
Safe harbour test
HoustonKemp.com
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
MFN
5
Triage for MFNs
Empirical
analysis
Assessment of benefits
Theory of harm
Safe harbour test
HoustonKemp.com
Step 1: Safe harbours
6
Market power
Market coverage
Type of MFN
HoustonKemp.com
Step 2: Is there a coherent theory of harm?
• Theory of harm that is consistent with
› the facts and circumstances of the case
› economic theory
7
Soften
competition
Facilitate
collusion
Exclude
rivals
Main theories of harm
HoustonKemp.com
HRS provided marketing services to hotels
8
Anna
Retail price
HRS
Christofer DerykBrunhilde
$90
$105
Hotel
costs
Fee
HRS
Profit
$100
HoustonKemp.com
HRS competed with Booking.com and others
9
Retail price
$100
$90
$105
HRS Booking.com
Hotel
costs
Fee
Profit
HRS Booking
Anna Christofer DerykBrunhilde
HoustonKemp.com
HRS suffers reduced traffic if it increases its fee
10
Retail price
$100
$90
$110
HRS
Hotel
costs
Fee
Profit
$105
HRS Booking
Anna Christofer DerykBrunhilde
Booking.com
HoustonKemp.com
MFN allows HRS to increase price without losing volume
11
Retail price
$100
$90
HRS
Hotel
costs
Fee
Profit
$110
$105
HRS Booking
Anna Christofer DerykBrunhilde
Booking.com
HoustonKemp.com
Step 3: Are there likely to be substantial benefits?
12
• Benefits need to be consistent with
› the facts and circumstances of the case
› economic theory
Retail MFNs Traditional MFNs
Reduce free-riding on platform Reduce hold-up problem
Increase competition on quality
of service
Reduce delays in contracting
Reduce transaction costs
Main benefits
HoustonKemp.com
Step 4: Empirical assessment of net effects
13
Natural
experiments
Hypothesis
testing
Modelling
exercises
HoustonKemp.com
Gas pipelines in the United States
14
HoustonKemp.com
Collusion: probability of MFN falls with more
buyers
15
Number of buyers
ProbabilityofMFNadoption
HoustonKemp.com
Efficient contracting: probability of MFN rises with
more buyers
16
Number of buyers
ProbabilityofMFNadoption
HoustonKemp.com 17
Pattern of MFNs inconsistent with facilitating
collusion theory of harm
Number of buyers
ProbabilityofMFNadoption
HoustonKemp.com
Sydney
Level 40
161 Castlereagh Street
Sydney NSW 2000
Phone: +61 2 8880 4800
Singapore
12 Marina View
#21-08 Asia Square Tower 2
Singapore 018961
Phone: +65 6653 3420
Contact Us

More Related Content

Similar to Competition Law Conference May 2016 Triage for MFNs

Demand forecasting
Demand forecastingDemand forecasting
Demand forecasting
Kanika Singhal
 
Genuine%20 %2001%20-%20 introduction%20to%20macroeconomics
Genuine%20 %2001%20-%20 introduction%20to%20macroeconomicsGenuine%20 %2001%20-%20 introduction%20to%20macroeconomics
Genuine%20 %2001%20-%20 introduction%20to%20macroeconomics
Daniseck Adam
 
Micro mba 92-slide01
Micro mba 92-slide01Micro mba 92-slide01
Micro mba 92-slide01
MBA @ Faculty of Entrepreneurship
 
Firms In Competetive Markets_Chapter 14_Microrconomics_G. Mankew
Firms In Competetive Markets_Chapter 14_Microrconomics_G. MankewFirms In Competetive Markets_Chapter 14_Microrconomics_G. Mankew
Firms In Competetive Markets_Chapter 14_Microrconomics_G. Mankew
djalex035
 
E Book
E BookE Book
E Book
guest22c89a
 
A short course of Intermediate Microeconomics - Serrano.pdf
A short course of Intermediate Microeconomics - Serrano.pdfA short course of Intermediate Microeconomics - Serrano.pdf
A short course of Intermediate Microeconomics - Serrano.pdf
MBA César León
 
A Short Course in Intermediate Microeconomics with Calculus (Roberto Serrano,...
A Short Course in Intermediate Microeconomics with Calculus (Roberto Serrano,...A Short Course in Intermediate Microeconomics with Calculus (Roberto Serrano,...
A Short Course in Intermediate Microeconomics with Calculus (Roberto Serrano,...
MelisaRubio1
 
Not Too Big To Fail – Systemic Risk, Regulation, and the Economics of Commodi...
Not Too Big To Fail – Systemic Risk, Regulation, and the Economics of Commodi...Not Too Big To Fail – Systemic Risk, Regulation, and the Economics of Commodi...
Not Too Big To Fail – Systemic Risk, Regulation, and the Economics of Commodi...
Trafigura
 
Health and Microfinance Partnerships against Poverty (2 of 8)
Health and Microfinance Partnerships against Poverty (2 of 8)Health and Microfinance Partnerships against Poverty (2 of 8)
Health and Microfinance Partnerships against Poverty (2 of 8)
Microcredit Summit Campaign
 
Firms in competitive markets
Firms in competitive marketsFirms in competitive markets
Firms in competitive markets
Rossan Niraula
 
Mb0042
Mb0042Mb0042
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF LOYALTY DISCOUNTS AND REBATES AND THE ECONOMIC AND LEG...
ECONOMIC  ANALYSIS OF LOYALTY DISCOUNTS AND REBATES AND THE ECONOMIC AND  LEG...ECONOMIC  ANALYSIS OF LOYALTY DISCOUNTS AND REBATES AND THE ECONOMIC AND  LEG...
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF LOYALTY DISCOUNTS AND REBATES AND THE ECONOMIC AND LEG...
Luciana Ramondetti
 
economics-principles-Pindyck-Rubinfeld.pdf
economics-principles-Pindyck-Rubinfeld.pdfeconomics-principles-Pindyck-Rubinfeld.pdf
economics-principles-Pindyck-Rubinfeld.pdf
ZulfiantoArbi
 
Vertical mergers in the technology, media and telecom sector – YOO – June 201...
Vertical mergers in the technology, media and telecom sector – YOO – June 201...Vertical mergers in the technology, media and telecom sector – YOO – June 201...
Vertical mergers in the technology, media and telecom sector – YOO – June 201...
OECD Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs
 
Digital disruption in financial markets – BARBERIS – June 2019 OECD discussion
Digital disruption in financial markets – BARBERIS – June 2019 OECD discussionDigital disruption in financial markets – BARBERIS – June 2019 OECD discussion
Digital disruption in financial markets – BARBERIS – June 2019 OECD discussion
OECD Directorate for Financial and Enterprise Affairs
 
Thesis ADJUSTING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL FOR THE SHORT-RUN WITH LIQUI...
Thesis ADJUSTING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL FOR THE SHORT-RUN WITH LIQUI...Thesis ADJUSTING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL FOR THE SHORT-RUN WITH LIQUI...
Thesis ADJUSTING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL FOR THE SHORT-RUN WITH LIQUI...
John Mooney
 
Cma risk-guide 2017-updated
Cma risk-guide 2017-updatedCma risk-guide 2017-updated
Cma risk-guide 2017-updated
Lyncoya Simpson
 
Ten principles-of-economics-1220165271393049-8
Ten principles-of-economics-1220165271393049-8Ten principles-of-economics-1220165271393049-8
Ten principles-of-economics-1220165271393049-8
DeShawn A. Larkin
 
The Costs Briefing 2 (August 2016)
The Costs Briefing 2 (August 2016)The Costs Briefing 2 (August 2016)
The Costs Briefing 2 (August 2016)
James Barrett
 
Dr. Sebastian E. Heath - Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Animal Agriculture and Publi...
Dr. Sebastian E. Heath - Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Animal Agriculture and Publi...Dr. Sebastian E. Heath - Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Animal Agriculture and Publi...
Dr. Sebastian E. Heath - Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Animal Agriculture and Publi...
John Blue
 

Similar to Competition Law Conference May 2016 Triage for MFNs (20)

Demand forecasting
Demand forecastingDemand forecasting
Demand forecasting
 
Genuine%20 %2001%20-%20 introduction%20to%20macroeconomics
Genuine%20 %2001%20-%20 introduction%20to%20macroeconomicsGenuine%20 %2001%20-%20 introduction%20to%20macroeconomics
Genuine%20 %2001%20-%20 introduction%20to%20macroeconomics
 
Micro mba 92-slide01
Micro mba 92-slide01Micro mba 92-slide01
Micro mba 92-slide01
 
Firms In Competetive Markets_Chapter 14_Microrconomics_G. Mankew
Firms In Competetive Markets_Chapter 14_Microrconomics_G. MankewFirms In Competetive Markets_Chapter 14_Microrconomics_G. Mankew
Firms In Competetive Markets_Chapter 14_Microrconomics_G. Mankew
 
E Book
E BookE Book
E Book
 
A short course of Intermediate Microeconomics - Serrano.pdf
A short course of Intermediate Microeconomics - Serrano.pdfA short course of Intermediate Microeconomics - Serrano.pdf
A short course of Intermediate Microeconomics - Serrano.pdf
 
A Short Course in Intermediate Microeconomics with Calculus (Roberto Serrano,...
A Short Course in Intermediate Microeconomics with Calculus (Roberto Serrano,...A Short Course in Intermediate Microeconomics with Calculus (Roberto Serrano,...
A Short Course in Intermediate Microeconomics with Calculus (Roberto Serrano,...
 
Not Too Big To Fail – Systemic Risk, Regulation, and the Economics of Commodi...
Not Too Big To Fail – Systemic Risk, Regulation, and the Economics of Commodi...Not Too Big To Fail – Systemic Risk, Regulation, and the Economics of Commodi...
Not Too Big To Fail – Systemic Risk, Regulation, and the Economics of Commodi...
 
Health and Microfinance Partnerships against Poverty (2 of 8)
Health and Microfinance Partnerships against Poverty (2 of 8)Health and Microfinance Partnerships against Poverty (2 of 8)
Health and Microfinance Partnerships against Poverty (2 of 8)
 
Firms in competitive markets
Firms in competitive marketsFirms in competitive markets
Firms in competitive markets
 
Mb0042
Mb0042Mb0042
Mb0042
 
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF LOYALTY DISCOUNTS AND REBATES AND THE ECONOMIC AND LEG...
ECONOMIC  ANALYSIS OF LOYALTY DISCOUNTS AND REBATES AND THE ECONOMIC AND  LEG...ECONOMIC  ANALYSIS OF LOYALTY DISCOUNTS AND REBATES AND THE ECONOMIC AND  LEG...
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF LOYALTY DISCOUNTS AND REBATES AND THE ECONOMIC AND LEG...
 
economics-principles-Pindyck-Rubinfeld.pdf
economics-principles-Pindyck-Rubinfeld.pdfeconomics-principles-Pindyck-Rubinfeld.pdf
economics-principles-Pindyck-Rubinfeld.pdf
 
Vertical mergers in the technology, media and telecom sector – YOO – June 201...
Vertical mergers in the technology, media and telecom sector – YOO – June 201...Vertical mergers in the technology, media and telecom sector – YOO – June 201...
Vertical mergers in the technology, media and telecom sector – YOO – June 201...
 
Digital disruption in financial markets – BARBERIS – June 2019 OECD discussion
Digital disruption in financial markets – BARBERIS – June 2019 OECD discussionDigital disruption in financial markets – BARBERIS – June 2019 OECD discussion
Digital disruption in financial markets – BARBERIS – June 2019 OECD discussion
 
Thesis ADJUSTING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL FOR THE SHORT-RUN WITH LIQUI...
Thesis ADJUSTING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL FOR THE SHORT-RUN WITH LIQUI...Thesis ADJUSTING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL FOR THE SHORT-RUN WITH LIQUI...
Thesis ADJUSTING THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL FOR THE SHORT-RUN WITH LIQUI...
 
Cma risk-guide 2017-updated
Cma risk-guide 2017-updatedCma risk-guide 2017-updated
Cma risk-guide 2017-updated
 
Ten principles-of-economics-1220165271393049-8
Ten principles-of-economics-1220165271393049-8Ten principles-of-economics-1220165271393049-8
Ten principles-of-economics-1220165271393049-8
 
The Costs Briefing 2 (August 2016)
The Costs Briefing 2 (August 2016)The Costs Briefing 2 (August 2016)
The Costs Briefing 2 (August 2016)
 
Dr. Sebastian E. Heath - Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Animal Agriculture and Publi...
Dr. Sebastian E. Heath - Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Animal Agriculture and Publi...Dr. Sebastian E. Heath - Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Animal Agriculture and Publi...
Dr. Sebastian E. Heath - Foot-and-Mouth Disease, Animal Agriculture and Publi...
 

More from Luke Wainscoat

Presentation at Sydney University on digital platform competition_11 October ...
Presentation at Sydney University on digital platform competition_11 October ...Presentation at Sydney University on digital platform competition_11 October ...
Presentation at Sydney University on digital platform competition_11 October ...
Luke Wainscoat
 
The Economics of Regulation - Mergers and Vertical Restraints (2023).pptx
The Economics of Regulation - Mergers and Vertical Restraints (2023).pptxThe Economics of Regulation - Mergers and Vertical Restraints (2023).pptx
The Economics of Regulation - Mergers and Vertical Restraints (2023).pptx
Luke Wainscoat
 
The Economics of regulation - mergers and vertical restraints (2022).pptx
The Economics of regulation - mergers and vertical restraints (2022).pptxThe Economics of regulation - mergers and vertical restraints (2022).pptx
The Economics of regulation - mergers and vertical restraints (2022).pptx
Luke Wainscoat
 
The economics of regulation 2020 week 3 - examples of regulated industries
The economics of regulation 2020   week 3 - examples of regulated industriesThe economics of regulation 2020   week 3 - examples of regulated industries
The economics of regulation 2020 week 3 - examples of regulated industries
Luke Wainscoat
 
Benefit of anti -competitive conduct - luke wainscoat - 31 august 2019
Benefit of anti -competitive conduct - luke wainscoat - 31 august 2019Benefit of anti -competitive conduct - luke wainscoat - 31 august 2019
Benefit of anti -competitive conduct - luke wainscoat - 31 august 2019
Luke Wainscoat
 
The economics of regualtion: mergers and vertical restraints
The economics of regualtion: mergers and vertical restraintsThe economics of regualtion: mergers and vertical restraints
The economics of regualtion: mergers and vertical restraints
Luke Wainscoat
 
The+economics+of+regulation+2017+ +week+3+-+some+examples+final
The+economics+of+regulation+2017+ +week+3+-+some+examples+finalThe+economics+of+regulation+2017+ +week+3+-+some+examples+final
The+economics+of+regulation+2017+ +week+3+-+some+examples+final
Luke Wainscoat
 
Competitive effect of concerted practices
Competitive effect of concerted practicesCompetitive effect of concerted practices
Competitive effect of concerted practices
Luke Wainscoat
 
The Economics of Regulation
The Economics of RegulationThe Economics of Regulation
The Economics of Regulation
Luke Wainscoat
 
Lecture at Sydney University - Mergers and Vertical Restraints
Lecture at Sydney University - Mergers and Vertical RestraintsLecture at Sydney University - Mergers and Vertical Restraints
Lecture at Sydney University - Mergers and Vertical Restraints
Luke Wainscoat
 
The Economics of Market Power for KWM_Final
The Economics of Market Power for KWM_FinalThe Economics of Market Power for KWM_Final
The Economics of Market Power for KWM_Final
Luke Wainscoat
 
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 2
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 2Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 2
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 2
Luke Wainscoat
 
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 1
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 1Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 1
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 1
Luke Wainscoat
 
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_2_2016_For Publication
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_2_2016_For PublicationIntroduction to Competition Economics Lecture_2_2016_For Publication
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_2_2016_For Publication
Luke Wainscoat
 
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_1_2016_For Publication
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_1_2016_For PublicationIntroduction to Competition Economics Lecture_1_2016_For Publication
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_1_2016_For Publication
Luke Wainscoat
 

More from Luke Wainscoat (15)

Presentation at Sydney University on digital platform competition_11 October ...
Presentation at Sydney University on digital platform competition_11 October ...Presentation at Sydney University on digital platform competition_11 October ...
Presentation at Sydney University on digital platform competition_11 October ...
 
The Economics of Regulation - Mergers and Vertical Restraints (2023).pptx
The Economics of Regulation - Mergers and Vertical Restraints (2023).pptxThe Economics of Regulation - Mergers and Vertical Restraints (2023).pptx
The Economics of Regulation - Mergers and Vertical Restraints (2023).pptx
 
The Economics of regulation - mergers and vertical restraints (2022).pptx
The Economics of regulation - mergers and vertical restraints (2022).pptxThe Economics of regulation - mergers and vertical restraints (2022).pptx
The Economics of regulation - mergers and vertical restraints (2022).pptx
 
The economics of regulation 2020 week 3 - examples of regulated industries
The economics of regulation 2020   week 3 - examples of regulated industriesThe economics of regulation 2020   week 3 - examples of regulated industries
The economics of regulation 2020 week 3 - examples of regulated industries
 
Benefit of anti -competitive conduct - luke wainscoat - 31 august 2019
Benefit of anti -competitive conduct - luke wainscoat - 31 august 2019Benefit of anti -competitive conduct - luke wainscoat - 31 august 2019
Benefit of anti -competitive conduct - luke wainscoat - 31 august 2019
 
The economics of regualtion: mergers and vertical restraints
The economics of regualtion: mergers and vertical restraintsThe economics of regualtion: mergers and vertical restraints
The economics of regualtion: mergers and vertical restraints
 
The+economics+of+regulation+2017+ +week+3+-+some+examples+final
The+economics+of+regulation+2017+ +week+3+-+some+examples+finalThe+economics+of+regulation+2017+ +week+3+-+some+examples+final
The+economics+of+regulation+2017+ +week+3+-+some+examples+final
 
Competitive effect of concerted practices
Competitive effect of concerted practicesCompetitive effect of concerted practices
Competitive effect of concerted practices
 
The Economics of Regulation
The Economics of RegulationThe Economics of Regulation
The Economics of Regulation
 
Lecture at Sydney University - Mergers and Vertical Restraints
Lecture at Sydney University - Mergers and Vertical RestraintsLecture at Sydney University - Mergers and Vertical Restraints
Lecture at Sydney University - Mergers and Vertical Restraints
 
The Economics of Market Power for KWM_Final
The Economics of Market Power for KWM_FinalThe Economics of Market Power for KWM_Final
The Economics of Market Power for KWM_Final
 
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 2
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 2Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 2
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 2
 
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 1
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 1Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 1
Introduction to Competition Economics - Lecture 1
 
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_2_2016_For Publication
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_2_2016_For PublicationIntroduction to Competition Economics Lecture_2_2016_For Publication
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_2_2016_For Publication
 
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_1_2016_For Publication
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_1_2016_For PublicationIntroduction to Competition Economics Lecture_1_2016_For Publication
Introduction to Competition Economics Lecture_1_2016_For Publication
 

Competition Law Conference May 2016 Triage for MFNs