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Como o mercado brasileiro de fertilizantes se comportará no 2o trimestre de 2017?
- 1. London Houston Washington New York San Francisco Portland Calgary Santiago Bogota Rio de Janeiro Singapore Beijing Tokyo Sydney Dubai Moscow Astana Kiev Porto Johannesburg Riga Market Reporting Consulting Events Perspectivas para o mercado brasileiro de fertilizantes no 2º trimestre de 2017
- 2. Market Reporting Consulting Events Fundamentos A demanda por fertilizantes no Brasil
- 3. Índice de relação de trocas (4 dez 2014 = 100) Copyright © 2017 Argus Media group. All rights reserved. 10 30 50 70 90 110 130 150 5 25 45 65 85 105 125 145 dez-14 jan-15 fev-15 mar-15 abr-15 mai-15 jun-15 jul-15 ago-15 set-15 out-15 nov-15 dez-15 jan-16 fev-16 mar-16 abr-16 mai-16 jun-16 jul-16 ago-16 set-16 out-16 nov-16 dez-16 jan-17 fev-17 mar-17 Soja Milho Café Algodão
- 4. • Câmbio baixo • Janela climática na safra 2016-17 • Crescimento de área plantada • MT comprou 60-70pc da safra 2017- 18 • PR comprou 15pc da safra 2017-18 • Embarques de maio a agosto • Demanda brasileira após o enfraquecimento internacional Importações de fertilizantes Copyright © 2017 Argus Media group. All rights reserved. Fonte: Anda 0 2 4 6 8 0 1 2 3 Jan Fev Mar Abr Mai Jun Jul Ago Set Out Nov Dez Brasil (milhões de t) Importação Vendas Estoques
- 5. Market Reporting Consulting Events Preços de fertilizantes no 2º trimestre Quais os impactos do mercado global para o Brasil?
- 6. Ureia cfr Brasil($/t) Copyright © 2017 Argus Media group. All rights reserved. Ureia granulada fob Oriente Médio ($/t) 150 200 250 300 350 400 jan-15 fev-15 mar-15 abr-15 mai-15 jun-15 jul-15 ago-15 set-15 out-15 nov-15 dez-15 jan-16 fev-16 mar-16 abr-16 mai-16 jun-16 jul-16 ago-16 set-16 out-16 nov-16 dez-16 jan-17 fev-17 mar-17 Preços de ureia cfr Brasil ($/t) Ureia granulada Ureia perolada
- 7. MAP cfr Brasil($/t) Copyright © 2017 Argus Media group. All rights reserved.
- 8. Preços de MOP granulado Brasil ($/t cfr Copyright © 2017 Argus Media group. All rights reserved. 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 400 jan-15 fev-15 mar-15 abr-15 mai-15 jun-15 jul-15 ago-15 set-15 out-15 nov-15 dez-15 jan-16 fev-16 mar-16 abr-16 mai-16 jun-16 jul-16 ago-16 set-16 out-16 nov-16 dez-16 jan-17 fev-17 mar-17
- 9. • Demanda agrícola deve se manter fortalecida • Reposição de nutrientes no solo em 2017-18 • Relações de trocas mais baixa dos últimos três anos • Nitrogênio • Fosfatados • Potássio Conclusões Copyright © 2017 Argus Media group. All rights reserved. Clique e escute esta apresentação na íntegra
- 10. Copyright notice Copyright © 2017 Argus Media group. All rights reserved. All intellectual property rights in this presentation and the information herein are the exclusive property of Argus and and/or its licensors and may only be used under licence from Argus. Without limiting the foregoing, by reading this presentation you agree that you will not copy or reproduce any part of its contents (including, but not limited to, single prices or any other individual items of data) in any form or for any purpose whatsoever without the prior written consent of Argus. Trademark notice ARGUS, ARGUS MEDIA, the ARGUS logo, DEWITT, FMB, FUNDALYTICS, METAL-PAGES, JIM JORDAN & ASSOCIATES, JJ&A, ARGUS publication titles and ARGUS index names are trademarks of Argus Media Limited. Disclaimer All data and other information presented (the “Data”) are provided on an “as is” basis. Argus makes no warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy, adequacy, timeliness, or completeness of the Data or fitness for any particular purpose. Argus shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising from any party’s reliance on the Data and disclaims any and all liability related to or arising out of use of the Data to the full extent permissible by law. Mony Belon Editora de fertilizantes Brasil Email: Tel: Web: mony.belon@argusmedia.com +55 (21) 2548 0817 www.argusmedia.com