Painel Mundo: Oferta e demanda mundiais com ênfase nos mercados emergentes Arábica: Henry C. Dunlop, Presidente da Atlantic USA LLC

1. Global S&D of Arabicas

2. Arabica Production:
Brazil vs Rest of World
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Brazil
Brazil
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
RoW
RoW
Source: ECOM

3. Brazil vs Rest of World
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
% Change on Year
Brazil
RoW
Source: ECOM

4. Global Balance by Crop Year
Source: ECOM

5. 9.34
-10.64
2.11
-10.4
0.9 0.89 2.36
-3.3
-6.49
-20
-10
0
10
20
2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Surplus / Deficit
Surplus / Deficit
Arabica Balance Sheet
88.43
71.01
83.05
71.98
84.93 83.04
87.97
84.54 81.21
79.09 81.65
80.94
82.38
84.03
82.15
85.61
87.84 87.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2006/7 2007/8 2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Arabica S&D by Crop Year
Arabica
Production
Arabica
Demand
Source: ECOM

6. Arabica Production by Crop Year
Source: ECOM

7. Arabica Production by Crop Year
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
Asia & Oceania
Africa
Brazil
South America
North & Central
America
Source: ECOM

8. Total Coffee Demand by Region
-
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
SOUTH EAST ASIA
MIDDLE EAST***
AFRICA**
SOUTH AMERICA
NORTH/CENTRAL
AMERICA
EASTERN EUROPE
WESTERN EUROPE
Source: ECOM, Neil Rosser

9. Total Coffee Demand Breakdown
Source: ECOM, Neil Rosser

10. COFFEE IS SEXY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

11. Thank you