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Coastal Risk
Adding Value to Flood/Nat Haz/Climate Impact
Risk Management
What Are The Issues?
Individuals, Businesses and Governments:
–need a better understanding of flood, natural hazard and climate
impact risks at the property level;
–need a more visual tool to help them make better risk mitigation
investments and pre-disaster plans;
–need to dimension financial risks to investments/facilities, if no
mitigation steps are taken;
–need guidance on which risk mitigation investments will be cost-
effective.
FM Global’s View: “Master the Disaster” – January 2019
“The surprising severity of [Hurricane Harvey, Irma and Maria] losses suggests
that many CFOs should be allocating more capital to reduce the financial impact
of natural disasters, or risk facing volatile balance sheets and other potential
consequences of their inaction.”
“The onus is on companies to
methodically identify and assess natural
disaster risks to commit the necessary
capital to improve structural resilience.
In this regard, the CFO is accountable.”
[https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/us/news/risk-
management/fm-global-delves-into-catastrophe-
preparedness-121935.aspx]
Portfolio Risk Screening
Flood/Nat Haz Risk
Assessment
Property-level
Damage/Loss
Calculations
Risk Mitigation
Cost Estimation
Recommend
Solutions
Coastal Risk’s “Master the Disaster” Process
Portfolio-Level Risk Scoring
Property-Level Risk Reports – NOAA is a Customer
Damage-Loss Calculations – Property Level
Figure 1. Example Flood Damage Function for Coverage A and
Coverage C
The replacement values in Table 1 were extracted from the Subject
Property’s documentation to be used for the estimation of the flood average
economic losses for this analysis. Note that the value for the business
interruption, i.e. Coverage D, is given as a value per day, since the income-
related losses are time-dependent.
Economic losses obtained for the building and contents damage were
calculated based on a suite of damage functions selected from HAZUS and
USACE’s damage functions. The damage functions were selected based on
engineering judgment with the objective to characterize as well as possible
Subject Property’s technical properties. For example, in addition to the
properties stated previously, the selection of the damage functions assumed
the coastal beach-front location of the property, according to the Federal
Insurance Administration (FIA), the compliance of the building with the post-
FIRM (Flood Insurance Rate Map) distribution, etc. Note that all the losses are
calculated with respect to the top of the elevation of the first finished floor,
which was assumed to be 6 ft., with respect to the NAVD88 coordinate
system.
Barrier
eliminates
tidal flooding
Barrier reduces
storm surge by
two-feet or more
Risk Mitigation Cost Estimation – Property Level
Cost-Benefit Analysis (ROI)
Matching the Risks and the Remedies
Personalized risk
mitigation advice for
individuals, businesses
and governments
Custom Engineered Flood Defenses
Home in Sea Island, GA Retractable Flood Barriers
FEMA Flood Maps Aren’t Good Enough
• http://insurancethoughtleadership.c
om/fema-flood-maps-arent-good-
enough/
• FEMA Flood Maps aren’t good
enough for client protection and risk
management;
• No heavy rainfall model;
• Storm surge flood heights lower
than NOAA SLOSH model;
• No tidal flood/sea level rise model;
• Riverine model not accurate enough.
Heavy Rainfall Risk – Not in FEMA Flood Maps
Coastal Risk Heavy Rainfall Model Hurricane Harvey actual flooding, Kingwood, TX
NOAA Storm Surge – Not in FEMA Flood Maps
• 71% of FEMA X-Zone - Houses Gone;
• 9% of FEMA X-Zone Houses - Major
Damage
• Mexico Beach X-Zone = No FEMA BFE
• Mexico Beach A Zone BFE = 8 to 12’
• NOAA Storm Surge Cat 3 = 12.8’
• NOAA Storm Surge Cat 5 = 20.5’
• NHC Probability Cat 1 = 13%
• NHC Probability Cat 3 = 5% Western Carolina University , 2018
Mexico Beach X-Zone
Compares NOAA Storm Surge and BFE Risks
Extreme weather-
related flooding
FEMA 100-year Flood Plain
Base Flood Elevation
(6.44 ft. Elevation NAVD 88)
All other elevations calculated by
Coastal Risk models
Indian Creek (80feet away)
Category 3 High Tide
(4.4 ft. Elevation NAVD88)
1 ft.Above
Base Flood Elevation
(7.44 ft. Elevation NAVD 88)
Category 1 High Tide
(3 ft. Elevation NAVD88)
Category 4 High Tide
(6.6 ft. Elevation NAVD88)
Category 5 High Tide
(8.6 ft. Elevation NAVD 88)
King Tide 2045
(2.74 ft. Elevation NAVD88)
King Tide 2016
(1.66 ft. Elevation NAVD 88)
King Tide 2030
(2.12 ft. Elevation NAVD 88)
Category 2 High Tide
(4 ft. Elevation NAVD88)
King tide / Sea-level
rise flooding
“King Tides” – Not in FEMA Flood Maps
•
From Dr. Brian McNoldy, University of Miami; Coastal Risk Science Advisor
The dates of annual extreme tides overlap
with the Atlantic Hurricane Season.
Compares FEMA Riverine Risk and
LiDAR-Based Risk
FEMA Flood Zones and Return Frequency Risk
LiDAR-Based Risk and Return Frequency
Coastal Risk Models Are Accurate
• Coastal Risk scientists are world-
class, including a Nobel Prize
Winner;
• Coastal Risk’s modeling is
continuously peer-reviewed and
field-truthed;
• Before Hurricane Irma, Coastal Risk
modeled Cat 1 storm surge on
Brickell Ave. in Miami at 3.3’. The
actual flood depth was 4’.
Coastal Risk Model Actual Flooding
Hurricane Irma, Brickell Ave., Miami, FL
Reports Include 5 Natural Hazards
Five Natural Hazard Risk
Meters:
1.WIND
2.TORNADOS
3.EARTHQUAKES
4.WILDFIRES
5.TSUNAMIS
States Where Coastal Risk Flood Reports Have Been Sold
20
Coastal Risk Helps Condo HOAs Get Resilient
Developer Builds Sea Level Rise Ready “Dream Home”
Using Coastal Risk Modeling
Grey Door Luxury Homes
www.greydoorluxuryhomes.com
"Coastal Risk’s models and succinct, but
comprehensive, report provided everything we need.
We see this as a valuable and differentiating part of
our business model and one that gives our clients
added confidence when buying one of our homes on
South Florida waterways.“ -- Stanley Young,
President, Grey Door Luxury Homes
Broward Palm Beach New Times, January 2016: “Homeowner Spends 1 Million
to Prepare for Sea Level Rise.”
http://www.browardpalmbeach.com/news/homeowner-in-las-olas-isles-
spends-1-million-to-raise-property-to-prepare-for-sea-level-rise-7533531
Coastal Risk Helps Homeowners Get Resilient
“I did research before deciding whether to build a
home and how high to elevate it. It was very difficult
to get much real information upon which to base my
decision. I found that local zoning had no future
resiliency built in. Of course, much is unknown and
there are no guarantees. But, this report from Coastal
Risk helped me make informed decisions, and, I am
very grateful for that. Simply taking a guess and
adding a few feet of elevation or deciding, without
any scientific basis, how many steps to add didn’t
seem responsible to me. So thank you for offering this
report, it really helped me a great deal!”
Kayle Simon
Sarasota FL
Coastal Risk Helps Homebuyers with Flood Insurance Issues
"I purchased a report from Coastal Risk
before even making an offer on a lovely
riverfront home in North Carolina. Their
comprehensive flood risk report helped
me decide that the house was a safe
investment for me and my family.
Additionally, as result of Coastal Risk's
visual evidence, my flood insurance
premium was reduced from $2500/year
to $770. I am very satisfied with Coastal
Risk's products and service and highly
recommend them to anyone buying
property and dealing with flood
insurance issues.“
David Friedman, MD, Winton, NC
Commercial Real Estate Customer Uses CRC Online
“Due Diligence” to Close $2M Deal
CRE Customer in California
Pre-Purchase Due Diligence for $2M Investment
Property in Florida
Report showed little flood risk and sale completed
“I called Coastal Risk Consulting as part of my due
diligence for the purchase of a piece of land on the
Eastern coast of Florida because I was very
concerned about the possibility of flooding.
The Coastal Risk Rapid Assessment™ report I
received greatly exceeded my expectations. It was
very thorough, helpful, and made it easy to move
forward in this $2 million sale. I found this
company to be very helpful and responsive. I
would recommend Coastal Risk to anyone who is
buying, insuring, or funding any piece of property!”
-Diana Goulet, Commercial Real Estate Buyer
Together We Can Achieve a Resilient Future!
“The civilization that is able to survive is the one that is able to adapt to
the changing physical, social, political, moral and spiritual environment in
which it finds itself.” Thomas Friedman, “Thank you for Being Late: An
Optimist’s Guide to Thriving in The Age of Accelerations.”
Coastal Risk’s Awards andRecognition
Featured in:
Top-flight Management Team and World-Renowned
Advisory Board Members
Advisory Board (partial list):
Andy Kao, BE, MBA – Former Dir. Air Worldwide,
Consultant in business development for catastrophe risk
quantification services;
Kaj Ahlmann – Managing Dir., Global Advisory Council
Insurance, Deutsche Bank; Owner Six Sigma Ranch;
Dr. Peter Williams – Former CTO of IBM “Big Green
Innovations” & Smart Cities & Resilience Lead – Energy,
Environment & Utilities;
Prof. Brian McNoldy – Prof UM – Meteorology;
Washington Post “Capitol Weather Gang” Reporter;
Dale Sands - worked with CH2M, AECOM and ABB for over
30 years in executive leadership roles. At AECOM, he was
Senior VP, in charge of Global Practices for the
Environmental Business Line
Senior Management:
Albert J. Slap – Nationally-recognized
environmental attorney and law professor;
Dr. Leonard Berry – Prof. Emeritus, FAU. Extensive
worldwide environmental field experience . Lead
Author – US Third National Climate Assessment;
Dr. Brian Soden – Prof. Climatology, University of
Miami (UM). Lead Author, UN IPCC, that won Nobel
Prize with VP Al Gore;
Rajiv Krishnan – CFO, former International CFO,
Citibank & Assurant;
Robert Hubbell – VP Marketing – former partner
Andersen Worldwide and former partner & global
MD of Cantor Fitzgerald.
For Further Information Contact:
Albert J. Slap, President and CEO
albertslap@coastalriskconsulting.com
Rajiv Krishnan, CFO
rajiv.Krishnan@coastalriskconsulting.com
Dr. Leonard Berry, Vice President and Co-Founder
leonardberry@coastalriskconsulting.com
COASTAL RISK CONSULTING, LLC
(O) 844-SEA-RISE (732-7473)

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Coastal Risk intro deck

  • 1. Coastal Risk Adding Value to Flood/Nat Haz/Climate Impact Risk Management
  • 2. What Are The Issues? Individuals, Businesses and Governments: –need a better understanding of flood, natural hazard and climate impact risks at the property level; –need a more visual tool to help them make better risk mitigation investments and pre-disaster plans; –need to dimension financial risks to investments/facilities, if no mitigation steps are taken; –need guidance on which risk mitigation investments will be cost- effective.
  • 3. FM Global’s View: “Master the Disaster” – January 2019 “The surprising severity of [Hurricane Harvey, Irma and Maria] losses suggests that many CFOs should be allocating more capital to reduce the financial impact of natural disasters, or risk facing volatile balance sheets and other potential consequences of their inaction.” “The onus is on companies to methodically identify and assess natural disaster risks to commit the necessary capital to improve structural resilience. In this regard, the CFO is accountable.” [https://www.insurancebusinessmag.com/us/news/risk- management/fm-global-delves-into-catastrophe- preparedness-121935.aspx]
  • 4. Portfolio Risk Screening Flood/Nat Haz Risk Assessment Property-level Damage/Loss Calculations Risk Mitigation Cost Estimation Recommend Solutions Coastal Risk’s “Master the Disaster” Process
  • 6. Property-Level Risk Reports – NOAA is a Customer
  • 7. Damage-Loss Calculations – Property Level Figure 1. Example Flood Damage Function for Coverage A and Coverage C The replacement values in Table 1 were extracted from the Subject Property’s documentation to be used for the estimation of the flood average economic losses for this analysis. Note that the value for the business interruption, i.e. Coverage D, is given as a value per day, since the income- related losses are time-dependent. Economic losses obtained for the building and contents damage were calculated based on a suite of damage functions selected from HAZUS and USACE’s damage functions. The damage functions were selected based on engineering judgment with the objective to characterize as well as possible Subject Property’s technical properties. For example, in addition to the properties stated previously, the selection of the damage functions assumed the coastal beach-front location of the property, according to the Federal Insurance Administration (FIA), the compliance of the building with the post- FIRM (Flood Insurance Rate Map) distribution, etc. Note that all the losses are calculated with respect to the top of the elevation of the first finished floor, which was assumed to be 6 ft., with respect to the NAVD88 coordinate system.
  • 8. Barrier eliminates tidal flooding Barrier reduces storm surge by two-feet or more Risk Mitigation Cost Estimation – Property Level Cost-Benefit Analysis (ROI)
  • 9. Matching the Risks and the Remedies Personalized risk mitigation advice for individuals, businesses and governments
  • 10. Custom Engineered Flood Defenses Home in Sea Island, GA Retractable Flood Barriers
  • 11. FEMA Flood Maps Aren’t Good Enough • http://insurancethoughtleadership.c om/fema-flood-maps-arent-good- enough/ • FEMA Flood Maps aren’t good enough for client protection and risk management; • No heavy rainfall model; • Storm surge flood heights lower than NOAA SLOSH model; • No tidal flood/sea level rise model; • Riverine model not accurate enough.
  • 12. Heavy Rainfall Risk – Not in FEMA Flood Maps Coastal Risk Heavy Rainfall Model Hurricane Harvey actual flooding, Kingwood, TX
  • 13. NOAA Storm Surge – Not in FEMA Flood Maps • 71% of FEMA X-Zone - Houses Gone; • 9% of FEMA X-Zone Houses - Major Damage • Mexico Beach X-Zone = No FEMA BFE • Mexico Beach A Zone BFE = 8 to 12’ • NOAA Storm Surge Cat 3 = 12.8’ • NOAA Storm Surge Cat 5 = 20.5’ • NHC Probability Cat 1 = 13% • NHC Probability Cat 3 = 5% Western Carolina University , 2018 Mexico Beach X-Zone
  • 14. Compares NOAA Storm Surge and BFE Risks Extreme weather- related flooding FEMA 100-year Flood Plain Base Flood Elevation (6.44 ft. Elevation NAVD 88) All other elevations calculated by Coastal Risk models Indian Creek (80feet away) Category 3 High Tide (4.4 ft. Elevation NAVD88) 1 ft.Above Base Flood Elevation (7.44 ft. Elevation NAVD 88) Category 1 High Tide (3 ft. Elevation NAVD88) Category 4 High Tide (6.6 ft. Elevation NAVD88) Category 5 High Tide (8.6 ft. Elevation NAVD 88) King Tide 2045 (2.74 ft. Elevation NAVD88) King Tide 2016 (1.66 ft. Elevation NAVD 88) King Tide 2030 (2.12 ft. Elevation NAVD 88) Category 2 High Tide (4 ft. Elevation NAVD88) King tide / Sea-level rise flooding
  • 15. “King Tides” – Not in FEMA Flood Maps • From Dr. Brian McNoldy, University of Miami; Coastal Risk Science Advisor The dates of annual extreme tides overlap with the Atlantic Hurricane Season.
  • 16. Compares FEMA Riverine Risk and LiDAR-Based Risk FEMA Flood Zones and Return Frequency Risk LiDAR-Based Risk and Return Frequency
  • 17. Coastal Risk Models Are Accurate • Coastal Risk scientists are world- class, including a Nobel Prize Winner; • Coastal Risk’s modeling is continuously peer-reviewed and field-truthed; • Before Hurricane Irma, Coastal Risk modeled Cat 1 storm surge on Brickell Ave. in Miami at 3.3’. The actual flood depth was 4’. Coastal Risk Model Actual Flooding Hurricane Irma, Brickell Ave., Miami, FL
  • 18. Reports Include 5 Natural Hazards Five Natural Hazard Risk Meters: 1.WIND 2.TORNADOS 3.EARTHQUAKES 4.WILDFIRES 5.TSUNAMIS
  • 19. States Where Coastal Risk Flood Reports Have Been Sold
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  • 21. Coastal Risk Helps Condo HOAs Get Resilient
  • 22. Developer Builds Sea Level Rise Ready “Dream Home” Using Coastal Risk Modeling Grey Door Luxury Homes www.greydoorluxuryhomes.com "Coastal Risk’s models and succinct, but comprehensive, report provided everything we need. We see this as a valuable and differentiating part of our business model and one that gives our clients added confidence when buying one of our homes on South Florida waterways.“ -- Stanley Young, President, Grey Door Luxury Homes Broward Palm Beach New Times, January 2016: “Homeowner Spends 1 Million to Prepare for Sea Level Rise.” http://www.browardpalmbeach.com/news/homeowner-in-las-olas-isles- spends-1-million-to-raise-property-to-prepare-for-sea-level-rise-7533531
  • 23. Coastal Risk Helps Homeowners Get Resilient “I did research before deciding whether to build a home and how high to elevate it. It was very difficult to get much real information upon which to base my decision. I found that local zoning had no future resiliency built in. Of course, much is unknown and there are no guarantees. But, this report from Coastal Risk helped me make informed decisions, and, I am very grateful for that. Simply taking a guess and adding a few feet of elevation or deciding, without any scientific basis, how many steps to add didn’t seem responsible to me. So thank you for offering this report, it really helped me a great deal!” Kayle Simon Sarasota FL
  • 24. Coastal Risk Helps Homebuyers with Flood Insurance Issues "I purchased a report from Coastal Risk before even making an offer on a lovely riverfront home in North Carolina. Their comprehensive flood risk report helped me decide that the house was a safe investment for me and my family. Additionally, as result of Coastal Risk's visual evidence, my flood insurance premium was reduced from $2500/year to $770. I am very satisfied with Coastal Risk's products and service and highly recommend them to anyone buying property and dealing with flood insurance issues.“ David Friedman, MD, Winton, NC
  • 25. Commercial Real Estate Customer Uses CRC Online “Due Diligence” to Close $2M Deal CRE Customer in California Pre-Purchase Due Diligence for $2M Investment Property in Florida Report showed little flood risk and sale completed “I called Coastal Risk Consulting as part of my due diligence for the purchase of a piece of land on the Eastern coast of Florida because I was very concerned about the possibility of flooding. The Coastal Risk Rapid Assessment™ report I received greatly exceeded my expectations. It was very thorough, helpful, and made it easy to move forward in this $2 million sale. I found this company to be very helpful and responsive. I would recommend Coastal Risk to anyone who is buying, insuring, or funding any piece of property!” -Diana Goulet, Commercial Real Estate Buyer
  • 26. Together We Can Achieve a Resilient Future! “The civilization that is able to survive is the one that is able to adapt to the changing physical, social, political, moral and spiritual environment in which it finds itself.” Thomas Friedman, “Thank you for Being Late: An Optimist’s Guide to Thriving in The Age of Accelerations.”
  • 27. Coastal Risk’s Awards andRecognition Featured in:
  • 28. Top-flight Management Team and World-Renowned Advisory Board Members Advisory Board (partial list): Andy Kao, BE, MBA – Former Dir. Air Worldwide, Consultant in business development for catastrophe risk quantification services; Kaj Ahlmann – Managing Dir., Global Advisory Council Insurance, Deutsche Bank; Owner Six Sigma Ranch; Dr. Peter Williams – Former CTO of IBM “Big Green Innovations” & Smart Cities & Resilience Lead – Energy, Environment & Utilities; Prof. Brian McNoldy – Prof UM – Meteorology; Washington Post “Capitol Weather Gang” Reporter; Dale Sands - worked with CH2M, AECOM and ABB for over 30 years in executive leadership roles. At AECOM, he was Senior VP, in charge of Global Practices for the Environmental Business Line Senior Management: Albert J. Slap – Nationally-recognized environmental attorney and law professor; Dr. Leonard Berry – Prof. Emeritus, FAU. Extensive worldwide environmental field experience . Lead Author – US Third National Climate Assessment; Dr. Brian Soden – Prof. Climatology, University of Miami (UM). Lead Author, UN IPCC, that won Nobel Prize with VP Al Gore; Rajiv Krishnan – CFO, former International CFO, Citibank & Assurant; Robert Hubbell – VP Marketing – former partner Andersen Worldwide and former partner & global MD of Cantor Fitzgerald.
  • 29. For Further Information Contact: Albert J. Slap, President and CEO albertslap@coastalriskconsulting.com Rajiv Krishnan, CFO rajiv.Krishnan@coastalriskconsulting.com Dr. Leonard Berry, Vice President and Co-Founder leonardberry@coastalriskconsulting.com COASTAL RISK CONSULTING, LLC (O) 844-SEA-RISE (732-7473)