The Director-General of the FAO provided a summary of the global food security situation and risks posed by the war in Ukraine in a presentation to G7 Agriculture Ministers. Key points included:
1) Nearly 200 million people faced crisis levels of food insecurity in 2021 according to the Global Food Crises Report.
2) FAO sees risks to global food/agriculture from direct conflict effects, macroeconomic factors, and humanitarian impacts.
3) Ukraine and Russia are major exporters of wheat, maize, and oilseeds, and their reduced exports are tightening global supplies and raising prices.
4) Many countries heavily rely on Ukrainian and Russian wheat and are seeking new suppliers.
5) The
Briefing Ukraine-Russia conflict & Global food security: focus "looking for ...David Laborde
Information briefing on the consequences of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on global food markets and food security.
Week of March 15th. Updates on wheat availability and country vulnerability
Effects of Disasters and Shocks on Africa's Food Systems: a case of the Russi...Francois Stepman
28 June 2022. Effects of Disasters and Shocks on Africa’s Food Systems: A Case of the Russo-Ukrainian War.
By ReNAPRI, the Regional Network of Agricultural Policy Research Institutes (ReNAPRI)
ReNAPRI is a consortium partner of the Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Policy Research, Capacity, and Impact (PRCI)
The ReNAPRI Webinar discussed the effects of disasters and shocks on Africa’s food systems
Speakers:
Josef Schmidhuber from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
David LaBorde from the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Andrew Agyei-Holmes, a research fellow at the Institute for Statistical, Social, and Economic Research - Ghana (ISSER),
William Chadza, the executive director at MwAPATA in Malawi
Iredele Ogunbayo, a researcher at the Innovation Lab for Policy Leadership in Agriculture and Food Security (PiLAF) in Nigeria.
Zena Mpenda, deputy dean of the Department of Agricultural Food and Resource and Economics at Sokoine University of Agriculture, who recently was part of a PRCI training team for a training on gender
Thom Jayne, University Foundation Professor Emeritus
Moderators: Nalishebo Meebelo, the executive director of ReNAPRI, and Antony Chapoto, the ReNAPRI Network Technical Chair and Research Director at (IAPRI) in Zambia
Channing Arndt
COUNTRY WORKSHOP
The Knowledge Lab on Climate Resilient Food Systems: An analytical support facility to achieve the SDGs
Co-Organized by IFPRI and AGRA
FEB 7, 2019 - 08:30 AM TO 05:55 PM EAT
Livestock production trends show that growth varies by geography. Estimates indicate that global compound feed production is approaching one billion metric tons.
Briefing Ukraine-Russia conflict & Global food security: focus "looking for ...David Laborde
Information briefing on the consequences of the Ukraine-Russia conflict on global food markets and food security.
Week of March 15th. Updates on wheat availability and country vulnerability
Effects of Disasters and Shocks on Africa's Food Systems: a case of the Russi...Francois Stepman
28 June 2022. Effects of Disasters and Shocks on Africa’s Food Systems: A Case of the Russo-Ukrainian War.
By ReNAPRI, the Regional Network of Agricultural Policy Research Institutes (ReNAPRI)
ReNAPRI is a consortium partner of the Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Policy Research, Capacity, and Impact (PRCI)
The ReNAPRI Webinar discussed the effects of disasters and shocks on Africa’s food systems
Speakers:
Josef Schmidhuber from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
David LaBorde from the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Andrew Agyei-Holmes, a research fellow at the Institute for Statistical, Social, and Economic Research - Ghana (ISSER),
William Chadza, the executive director at MwAPATA in Malawi
Iredele Ogunbayo, a researcher at the Innovation Lab for Policy Leadership in Agriculture and Food Security (PiLAF) in Nigeria.
Zena Mpenda, deputy dean of the Department of Agricultural Food and Resource and Economics at Sokoine University of Agriculture, who recently was part of a PRCI training team for a training on gender
Thom Jayne, University Foundation Professor Emeritus
Moderators: Nalishebo Meebelo, the executive director of ReNAPRI, and Antony Chapoto, the ReNAPRI Network Technical Chair and Research Director at (IAPRI) in Zambia
Channing Arndt
COUNTRY WORKSHOP
The Knowledge Lab on Climate Resilient Food Systems: An analytical support facility to achieve the SDGs
Co-Organized by IFPRI and AGRA
FEB 7, 2019 - 08:30 AM TO 05:55 PM EAT
Livestock production trends show that growth varies by geography. Estimates indicate that global compound feed production is approaching one billion metric tons.
Ukraine Crisis Webinar Series Session - IV.pptxAKADEMIYA2063
Session IV will analyze the key findings from AKADEMIYA2063's analysis of global market disruptions in the wheat sector & the exposure & contagion effects on agricultural productivity & growth. The speaker will give an overview of the level of exposure of African countries to global trade in wheat & examine the effects of the disruption of global wheat prices on gross incomes, general food price inflation & food consumption levels.
Duke CGGC researchers gave this overview of food security in the wheat industry with implications for the MENA region and Russia. This is part of an ongoing stream of research with the Minerva Initiative.
JUST two months on from our last review, the mood in cereal markets has shifted markedly from bear to bull – for the short term at least. The over-riding influence has been events in the former Soviet Union, where the risk of political upheaval turning to military conflict cast a shadow over grain exports from this important supplying region.
Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine crisis on global and regional markets. Focus on...David Laborde
Presentation on the impact of Russia and Ukraine on global and regional markets with a focus on Mena countries.
David Laborde and Joe Glauber. March 6th.
Please check https://www.slideshare.net/DLabordeD/impacts-of-russiaukraine-crisis-on-global-food-markets for a stronger emphasis on global markets and Ukraine situation.
The world is facing a context of high geopolitical and economic uncertainty that may lead to a foreseeable
simultaneous contraction in the main areas. The post pandemic economic recovery has been disrupted by the direct
consequences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and its collateral effects on energy prices and supplies. The
persistence of some risks and the materialization of other latent risks would turn the slowdown into a recession. Of
particular note are the high inflation rates caused by the increase in the price of energy and food raw materials, and
their transmission to the rest of the consumption basket, as well as by the continuous tensions in the supply chains.
Also, if the systematic interruption of Russian natural gas supplies to Europe becomes effective, the impact on
European economies will be significant and could trigger a global energy crisis. Finally, it cannot be ruled out that a
disruption of grain exports from Ukraine and Russia could lead to a food crisis.
In this environment of generalized inflation, major central banks have begun to normalize their policies, reducing
sovereign debt purchases and raising interest rates. This monetary tightening will have a negative impact on the
recovery, but it is necessary, especially where inflation expectations are beginning to unanchor . Without action, there
may be second round effects with upward spirals requiring further monetary tightening, further damaging growth and
employment.
The main international organizations have revised their global growth forecasts downwards. Thus, in June, the OECD
lowered its forecasts for 2022 to 3 % year on year (vs. 4.5 % estimated in December 2021 ), and in July, the IMF updated
its April forecasts, reducing growth for 2022 by 4 tenths of a percentage point to 3.2
The International Grains Council’s 24th annual conference, held in London on 9 June 2015, brought together some 300 traders, policymakers and other industry professionals. Meeting under the theme “Building on success, responding to challenges,” delegates from 48 countries gathered to assess the recent shifts in market fundamentals, which has seen global grains and oilseeds inventories build to near-record levels, with prices dropping to multi-year lows. As well as being a key forum for the exchange of views, the conference provided a valuable networking opportunity, bringing together a unique mix of participants from private and public sectors.
Food security and policy review in Ukraine_issue 1Oleg Nivievskyi
Food Security and Policy Review in Ukraine aims at providing a regular monitoring of the
food security situation in Ukraine and wartime agricultural policy response. It shall assist various
stakeholders and interested parties in taking decisions
based on facts and evidence
Export logistics of agricultural products of Ukraine in the context of ensuri...Igor Britchenko
The study determined the dynamics of growing grain crops in Ukraine and the geography of their export. The problems of ensuring export logistics as a result of military aggression by russia in the context of ensuring food security are pointed out. The main directions of export logistics of grain crops from Ukraine and the peculiarities of transportation by railway, river and road transport were studied. The directions of diversification of export logistics of grain crops from Ukraine during martial law in the context of ensuring food security have been determined. Further ways of ensuring the development of the export of grain crops from Ukraine and improving the logistics infrastructure are substantiated. A description of the directions of cooperation between Ukraine and the European Union countries regarding the promotion and support of export logistics to the main countries of importers of agricultural products to ensure food security is provided. Ways of post-war restoration of the logistics of export of agricultural products from Ukraine and ensuring the sustainability of agricultural producers are considered.
Impacts of Russia-Ukraine crisis on global food marketsDavid Laborde
Information briefing on the Ukraine-Russia crisis and impacts on global food markets.
Joe Glauber and David Laborde
February 27 2022 version.
See blog at https://www.ifpri.org/blog/how-will-russias-invasion-ukraine-affect-global-food-security
Hamdard Laboratories (India), is a Unani pharmaceutical company in India (following the independence of India from Britain, "Hamdard" Unani branches were established in Bangladesh (erstwhile East Pakistan) and Pakistan). It was established in 1906 by Hakeem Hafiz Abdul Majeed in Delhi, and became
a waqf (non-profitable trust) in 1948. It is associated with Hamdard Foundation, a charitable educational trust.
Hamdard' is a compound word derived from Persian, which combines the words 'hum' (used in the sense of 'companion') and 'dard' (meaning 'pain'). 'Hamdard' thus means 'a companion in pain' and 'sympathizer in suffering'.
The goals of Hamdard were lofty; easing the suffering of the sick with healing herbs. With a simple tenet that no one has ever become poor by giving, Hakeem Abdul Majeed let the whole world find compassion in him.
They had always maintained that working in old, traditional ways would not be entirely fruitful. A broader outlook was essential for a continued and meaningful existence. their effective team at Hamdard helped the system gain its pride of place and thus they made an entry into an expansive world of discovery and research.
Hamdard Laboratories was founded in 1906 in Delhi by Hakeem Hafiz Abdul Majeed and Ansarullah Tabani, a Unani practitioner. The name Hamdard means "companion in suffering" in Urdu language.(itself borrowed from Persian) Hakim Hafiz Abdul Majeed was born in Pilibhit City UP, India in 1883 to Sheikh Rahim Bakhsh. He is said to have learnt the complete Quran Sharif by heart. He also studied the origin of Urdu and Persian languages. Subsequently, he acquired the highest degree in the unani system of medicine.
Hakim Hafiz Abdul Majeed got in touch with Hakim Zamal Khan, who had a keen interest in herbs and was famous for identifying medicinal plants. Having consulted with his wife, Abdul Majeed set up a herbal shop at Hauz Qazi in Delhi in 1906 and started to produce herbal medicine there. In 1920 the small herbal shop turned into a full-fledged production house.
Hamdard Foundation was created in 1964 to disburse the profits of the company to promote the interests of the society. All the profits of the company go to the foundation.
After Abdul Majeed's death, his son Hakeem Abdul Hameed took over the administration of Hamdard Laboratories at the age of fourteen.
Even with humble beginnings, the goals of Hamdard were lofty; easing the suffering of the sick with healing herbs. With a simple tenet that no one has ever become poor by giving, Hakeem Abdul Majeed let the whole world find compassion in him. Unfortunately, he passed away quite early but his wife, Rabia Begum, with the support of her son, Hakeem Abdul Hameed, not only kept the institution in existence but also expanded it. As he grew up, Hakeem Abdul Hameed took on all responsibilities. After helping with his younger brother's upbringing and education, he included him in running the institution. Both brothers Hakeem Abdul Hameed and Hakim Mohammed
Ang Chong Yi Navigating Singaporean Flavors: A Journey from Cultural Heritage...Ang Chong Yi
In the heart of Singapore, where tradition meets modernity, He embarks on a culinary adventure that transcends borders. His mission? Ang Chong Yi Exploring the Cultural Heritage and Identity in Singaporean Cuisine. To explore the rich tapestry of flavours that define Singaporean cuisine while embracing innovative plant-based approaches. Join us as we follow his footsteps through bustling markets, hidden hawker stalls, and vibrant street corners.
Ukraine Crisis Webinar Series Session - IV.pptxAKADEMIYA2063
Session IV will analyze the key findings from AKADEMIYA2063's analysis of global market disruptions in the wheat sector & the exposure & contagion effects on agricultural productivity & growth. The speaker will give an overview of the level of exposure of African countries to global trade in wheat & examine the effects of the disruption of global wheat prices on gross incomes, general food price inflation & food consumption levels.
Duke CGGC researchers gave this overview of food security in the wheat industry with implications for the MENA region and Russia. This is part of an ongoing stream of research with the Minerva Initiative.
JUST two months on from our last review, the mood in cereal markets has shifted markedly from bear to bull – for the short term at least. The over-riding influence has been events in the former Soviet Union, where the risk of political upheaval turning to military conflict cast a shadow over grain exports from this important supplying region.
Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine crisis on global and regional markets. Focus on...David Laborde
Presentation on the impact of Russia and Ukraine on global and regional markets with a focus on Mena countries.
David Laborde and Joe Glauber. March 6th.
Please check https://www.slideshare.net/DLabordeD/impacts-of-russiaukraine-crisis-on-global-food-markets for a stronger emphasis on global markets and Ukraine situation.
The world is facing a context of high geopolitical and economic uncertainty that may lead to a foreseeable
simultaneous contraction in the main areas. The post pandemic economic recovery has been disrupted by the direct
consequences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine and its collateral effects on energy prices and supplies. The
persistence of some risks and the materialization of other latent risks would turn the slowdown into a recession. Of
particular note are the high inflation rates caused by the increase in the price of energy and food raw materials, and
their transmission to the rest of the consumption basket, as well as by the continuous tensions in the supply chains.
Also, if the systematic interruption of Russian natural gas supplies to Europe becomes effective, the impact on
European economies will be significant and could trigger a global energy crisis. Finally, it cannot be ruled out that a
disruption of grain exports from Ukraine and Russia could lead to a food crisis.
In this environment of generalized inflation, major central banks have begun to normalize their policies, reducing
sovereign debt purchases and raising interest rates. This monetary tightening will have a negative impact on the
recovery, but it is necessary, especially where inflation expectations are beginning to unanchor . Without action, there
may be second round effects with upward spirals requiring further monetary tightening, further damaging growth and
employment.
The main international organizations have revised their global growth forecasts downwards. Thus, in June, the OECD
lowered its forecasts for 2022 to 3 % year on year (vs. 4.5 % estimated in December 2021 ), and in July, the IMF updated
its April forecasts, reducing growth for 2022 by 4 tenths of a percentage point to 3.2
The International Grains Council’s 24th annual conference, held in London on 9 June 2015, brought together some 300 traders, policymakers and other industry professionals. Meeting under the theme “Building on success, responding to challenges,” delegates from 48 countries gathered to assess the recent shifts in market fundamentals, which has seen global grains and oilseeds inventories build to near-record levels, with prices dropping to multi-year lows. As well as being a key forum for the exchange of views, the conference provided a valuable networking opportunity, bringing together a unique mix of participants from private and public sectors.
Food security and policy review in Ukraine_issue 1Oleg Nivievskyi
Food Security and Policy Review in Ukraine aims at providing a regular monitoring of the
food security situation in Ukraine and wartime agricultural policy response. It shall assist various
stakeholders and interested parties in taking decisions
based on facts and evidence
Export logistics of agricultural products of Ukraine in the context of ensuri...Igor Britchenko
The study determined the dynamics of growing grain crops in Ukraine and the geography of their export. The problems of ensuring export logistics as a result of military aggression by russia in the context of ensuring food security are pointed out. The main directions of export logistics of grain crops from Ukraine and the peculiarities of transportation by railway, river and road transport were studied. The directions of diversification of export logistics of grain crops from Ukraine during martial law in the context of ensuring food security have been determined. Further ways of ensuring the development of the export of grain crops from Ukraine and improving the logistics infrastructure are substantiated. A description of the directions of cooperation between Ukraine and the European Union countries regarding the promotion and support of export logistics to the main countries of importers of agricultural products to ensure food security is provided. Ways of post-war restoration of the logistics of export of agricultural products from Ukraine and ensuring the sustainability of agricultural producers are considered.
Impacts of Russia-Ukraine crisis on global food marketsDavid Laborde
Information briefing on the Ukraine-Russia crisis and impacts on global food markets.
Joe Glauber and David Laborde
February 27 2022 version.
See blog at https://www.ifpri.org/blog/how-will-russias-invasion-ukraine-affect-global-food-security
Hamdard Laboratories (India), is a Unani pharmaceutical company in India (following the independence of India from Britain, "Hamdard" Unani branches were established in Bangladesh (erstwhile East Pakistan) and Pakistan). It was established in 1906 by Hakeem Hafiz Abdul Majeed in Delhi, and became
a waqf (non-profitable trust) in 1948. It is associated with Hamdard Foundation, a charitable educational trust.
Hamdard' is a compound word derived from Persian, which combines the words 'hum' (used in the sense of 'companion') and 'dard' (meaning 'pain'). 'Hamdard' thus means 'a companion in pain' and 'sympathizer in suffering'.
The goals of Hamdard were lofty; easing the suffering of the sick with healing herbs. With a simple tenet that no one has ever become poor by giving, Hakeem Abdul Majeed let the whole world find compassion in him.
They had always maintained that working in old, traditional ways would not be entirely fruitful. A broader outlook was essential for a continued and meaningful existence. their effective team at Hamdard helped the system gain its pride of place and thus they made an entry into an expansive world of discovery and research.
Hamdard Laboratories was founded in 1906 in Delhi by Hakeem Hafiz Abdul Majeed and Ansarullah Tabani, a Unani practitioner. The name Hamdard means "companion in suffering" in Urdu language.(itself borrowed from Persian) Hakim Hafiz Abdul Majeed was born in Pilibhit City UP, India in 1883 to Sheikh Rahim Bakhsh. He is said to have learnt the complete Quran Sharif by heart. He also studied the origin of Urdu and Persian languages. Subsequently, he acquired the highest degree in the unani system of medicine.
Hakim Hafiz Abdul Majeed got in touch with Hakim Zamal Khan, who had a keen interest in herbs and was famous for identifying medicinal plants. Having consulted with his wife, Abdul Majeed set up a herbal shop at Hauz Qazi in Delhi in 1906 and started to produce herbal medicine there. In 1920 the small herbal shop turned into a full-fledged production house.
Hamdard Foundation was created in 1964 to disburse the profits of the company to promote the interests of the society. All the profits of the company go to the foundation.
After Abdul Majeed's death, his son Hakeem Abdul Hameed took over the administration of Hamdard Laboratories at the age of fourteen.
Even with humble beginnings, the goals of Hamdard were lofty; easing the suffering of the sick with healing herbs. With a simple tenet that no one has ever become poor by giving, Hakeem Abdul Majeed let the whole world find compassion in him. Unfortunately, he passed away quite early but his wife, Rabia Begum, with the support of her son, Hakeem Abdul Hameed, not only kept the institution in existence but also expanded it. As he grew up, Hakeem Abdul Hameed took on all responsibilities. After helping with his younger brother's upbringing and education, he included him in running the institution. Both brothers Hakeem Abdul Hameed and Hakim Mohammed
Ang Chong Yi Navigating Singaporean Flavors: A Journey from Cultural Heritage...Ang Chong Yi
In the heart of Singapore, where tradition meets modernity, He embarks on a culinary adventure that transcends borders. His mission? Ang Chong Yi Exploring the Cultural Heritage and Identity in Singaporean Cuisine. To explore the rich tapestry of flavours that define Singaporean cuisine while embracing innovative plant-based approaches. Join us as we follow his footsteps through bustling markets, hidden hawker stalls, and vibrant street corners.
Roti Bank Hyderabad: A Beacon of Hope and NourishmentRoti Bank
One of the top cities of India, Hyderabad is the capital of Telangana and home to some of the biggest companies. But the other aspect of the city is a huge chunk of population that is even deprived of the food and shelter. There are many people in Hyderabad that are not having access to
Vietnam Mushroom Market Growth, Demand and Challenges of the Key Industry Pla...IMARC Group
The Vietnam mushroom market size is projected to exhibit a growth rate (CAGR) of 6.52% during 2024-2032.
More Info:- https://www.imarcgroup.com/vietnam-mushroom-market
Vietnam Mushroom Market Growth, Demand and Challenges of the Key Industry Pla...
World food healthy science
1. Presentation by the Director-General
Meeting of the G7 Ministers of Agriculture
Stuttgart,Germany–13May2022
2. H.E. Cem Özdemir [Germany] Excellencies,
dear colleagues,
1. Good morning. Allow me to start by thanking the Federal Republic of Germany for the opportunity to join you here today.
I reaffirm that FAO stands in solidarity with all those affected by this war.
2. FAO staff has been working intensively in the analysis on the global food security situation to inform tailored
and efficient action for members and international community.
Securing Global Food Security in Times of Crisis
Qu Dongyu
Director General
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations
FAO
3. Numbers of people in Crisis or worse (IPC/CH Phase 3 or above) or equivalent in
53 countries/ territories in 2021
4. Excellencies,
3. Based on the Global Food Crises Report released in May 4th,
4. Already in 2021, around 193 million people were in Crisis or worse (IPC/CH Phase 3 or above) or equivalent in 53
countries/territories.
5. 570 000 people in 4 countries were in Catastrophe (IPC/CH Phase 5) in 2021
6. 39.2 Million people in 36 countries were in Emergency (IPC/CH Phase 4) in 2021
7. 133.1 Million people in 41 countries were in Crisis (IPC/CH Phase 3) in 2021
8. And also 236.2 Million people in 41 countries were in stressed (IPC/CH Phase 2) in 2021
9. Is in this dramatic context that we now face the war in Ukraine.
5. Food
The basic risks for Ukraine and the global food economy associated with the war
Logistics and
infrastructure,
Ports, roads, storage
1. Food and
Agriculture
2. Macro 3. Humanitarian
Migration and
refugees
Production
Yield/area risk
Energy
Inputs and biofuels
Trade
exports
Debt, growth and
exchange rates
Input supplies
(seeds, feeds, pesticides,
fertilizer)
Disease
proliferation (ASF)
Nuclear
contamination
Prices
Food inflation, WM
prices
6. 10. FAO sees three major types of risks for global food security: these derive from the direct effects of the conflict upon
global food and agriculture, those that relate to macro and crosscutting factors, and those related to the humanitarian
risks.
11. For the emergency and recovery, FAO has developed a Rapid Response Plan for Ukraine to assist farmers’ in
accessing crop and livestock inputs in the immediate and medium‑term.
7. The FAO Food Price Index Remains High
FAO Food Price Index
(2000-2022)
Global market shares (quantities) of key
agricultural commodities (percent, 2021)
25
45
65
85
105
125
145
165
185
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
FAO Food Price Index
(2019-2022)
8. 12. As we all know, both Ukraine and the Russian Federation are important players in global commodity markets, and the
uncertainty surrounding the conflict prompted a significant further price increase in global markets, particularly those
of wheat, maize and oilseeds. This increase came on top of already high prices driven by robust demand and high
input costs as a result of COVID-19 recovery.
13. In March 2022 the FAO Food Price Index reached its highest level (160 points) since its inception in 1990, and has now
averaged 158.2 points in April 2022 down 0.8 per cent from the surge in March and as a result remain historical high.
14. Market transparency is crucial. The Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) is a pillar of agricultural market
transparency and a essential tool to foster trust in global agriculture markets.
15. FAO welcomes every effort to strengthen and expand AMIS and enhance the positive impact it can have on
global agriculture markets.
9. Developments in the Global Wheat Market
Change in 21/22 wheat export
forecasts since Ukraine conflict
Global wheat overview
100
150
200
250
300
350
600
650
700
750
800
Closing Stocks Utilization (left axis)
Production (left axis) Trade
Million tonnes
Million tonnes
Wheat export prices
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Jan-21 2021-04 2021-07 Oct Jan-22 Apr-22
USD/tonne
US (No. 2, Hard Red Winter)
EU (France, grade 1)
Russia (milling, offer, f.o.b., deep-sea ports)
Ukraine (milling, offer, f.o.b.)
Australia (Eastern States, ASW)
Canada (St Lawrence, CWRS)
Argentina (Trigo Pan, Up River, f.o.b.)
-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6
Ukraine
Russia
US
India
EU
Global
Million tonnes
10. 16. Export forecasts for both Ukraine and the Russian Federation were revised down since the start of the conflict. Other
market players, most notable India and the European Union, increased their exports. This partly compensated for the
exports “lost” from the Black Sea region, leaving a relatively modest gap of about 3 million tonnes.
17. Wheat export prices surged in March and continued to edge upwards in April, reflecting continued supply tightness. It is
likely that prices will remain elevated in the coming months.
11. Some countries are heavily reliant on wheat imports from Ukraine and the Russian Federation
Countries in SSA are marked in red
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Wheat Import Dependency, net importers only, 2021 (%)
Russian Federation Ukraine
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Wheat Import Dependency, net importers only, 2021 (%)
Russian Federation Ukraine
570 000 people (IPC Phase 5)
3 of the 6 countries on IPC/CH
Phase 3 or above
5 of the 7 countries/territories with
the highest number of internally
displaces people
12. 18. The impact of the current crisis was significant for wheat importing countries, which were highly concentrated on
Ukraine and the Russian Federation.
19. Countries that heavily reliant on wheat imports include Turkey and Egypt, but also a number of Sub‑saharan countries
including: Eritrea, Somalia, Madagascar, Tanzania, Congo and Namibia. These countries need to identify new suppliers,
which could pose a significant challenge, at least in the next six months.
20. While wheat is an important staple in North Africa, it is not an important foodstuff in Sub‑Saharan Africa, with some
exceptions.
21. Despite this, there are food crises countries, represented here with the stars in different colors, which are import
dependent on Ukraine and Russian Federation.
13. Change in 21/22 maize export
forecasts since Ukraine conflict
Global maize overview Maize export prices
200
250
300
350
400
Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Apr-22
USD /tonne
Argentina (Up River, f.o.b.)
Brazil (Paranagua, (feed)
US (US No. 2, Yellow)
Ukraine (offer, f.o.b.)
95
145
195
245
295
345
500
750
1.000
1.250
1.500
Closing Stocks Production (left axis)
Utilization (left axis) Trade
Million tonnes
Million tonnes
Developments in the Global Maize Market
-12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4
Global
South Africa
US
Argentina
Russia
Ukraine
Million tonnes
14. 22. Maize exports from Argentina, USA, and South Africa were forecast to increase. Overall, however, FAO forecasts a
reduction of approximately 8‑million‑tonne in the global maize trade. Therefore, the situation is tighter in maize than
in wheat.
23. The last chart shows that maize export prices surged in March to their highest level on record (since 1990) in response
to the abrupt suspension of exports from Ukraine. Maize prices fell slightly in April as ongoing harvests in Argentina
and Brazil helped to ease pressure on markets. However, an expected fall in Ukraine’s maize production in 2022 along
with continued challenges for maize exports, on top of upward pressure from high energy and input costs, are likely to
keep global prices firm in the coming months.
15. Developments in the Global Oilcrops Market
FAO Price Indices for Oilseeds,
Oils, and Oilmeals
(2014-2016 = 100)
Global soybean overview Vegetable Oil Export Shares
Share in global sunflower oil exports (Oct/Sep)
2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 average
Ukraine 54% 52% 48% 51%
Russia 25% 28% 30% 27%
Total 78% 80% 77% 79%
Share in global palm oil exports (Oct/Sep)
2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 average
Indonesia 55% 55% 58% 56%
Malaysia 34% 34% 31% 33%
Total 89% 90% 89% 89%
24. Global oilseed and derived product prices embarked on an upward trajectory since mid‑2020 and hit record highs in March 2022, broadly underpinned by global
supply tightness.
25. As for vegetable oils, world sunflower oil prices remained elevated amid the continuation of the conflict in Ukraine. Ukraine and Russian Federation represent 67%
of the world exports and therefore recent export restrictions on palm oil introduced by Indonesia brought additional uncertainties to global vegetable oil supplies.
17. 26. Fertilizer prices have also increased significantly, and fertilizer affordability decreased.
27. Key cereal and high value commodity exporting countries like Brazil, Argentina, Bangladesh, and other are import
dependent of fertilizer from The Russian Federation with levels that vary from more than 70% to 20%.
28. In the case of South Saharan Africa, Cameroon, Ghana and Ivory Coast are amongst the most vulnerable countries
relying heavily on supplies from the Russian Federation. But overall Africa accounts for only 3‑4 percent of global
fertilizer consumption.
29. We need to assure that key food exporting countries have access to the needed fertilizers to assure sufficient food
availability for the next year.
30. In light of the impact of this crisis on global fertilizer supplies and the concerns surrounding fertilizer affordability
which has fallen significantly and unexpectedly, FAO encourages all countries to improve fertilizer use efficiency,
including through the use of soil maps and through improved fertilizer application.
18. ONE: maintaining food production, through providing cash and inputs for cereal crop
production in October, and the Spring vegetable and potato production, as well as supporting
harvesting of the 2021 winter crop in July and August; and includes providing livestock
production and health inputs and services.
TWO: supporting agrifood supply chains, value chains and markets by engaging government
and the private sector to provide technical support services to household level and smallholder
producers through public-private partnerships.
THREE: Ensure accurate analyses of the evolving food security conditions and needs, including
through coordination of the Food Security and Livelihoods.
Rapid Response plan for Ukraine:
19. Excellencies,
31. Coordinated action for Ukraine within this group is indispensable to facilitate the smooth functioning of global food
markets and thus to secure food supply for all.
32. FAO stresses the need to support the continuity of farming operations within Ukraine; while supporting agrifood value
chains.
20. Policy recommendations
• It is designed to respond to rising food import and input costs.
• It is complementary to the mechanisms we have in the UN and the Bretton
Woods institutions to tackle such crises.
• It is strictly based on urgent needs and limited to low, and lower middle-income
net food-importing countries.
• It has been designed to include smart conditionality to act as a stabilizer for
future funding. Eligible countries will commit to increase investments in
agrifood systems, thus increasing resilience for the future.
• It has been stress-tested by FAO for its impact on the global markets, and would
be convenient to administrate and scale up.
• Its details can be found at: https://www.fao.org/3/cb9445en/cb9445en.pdf
FAO’s Response: a global Food Import Financing Facility
21. 33. Price increases always have food security implications, particularly for the poorest. The crisis represents a
challenge for food security for many countries, and especially for low‑income food import dependent countries and
vulnerable population groups.
34. In response to the rising challenges posed to national balance of payments by rising food prices, FAO developed a
proposal for a global Food Import Financing Facility, which aims to present a mechanism to respond to rising
food import and input costs.
35. The mechanism is strictly based on needs and limited to low and lower middle‑income net food‑importing
countries and selected beneficiaries of the International Development Association.
36. The FIFF, if adopted by the IMF, could benefit almost 1.8 billion people in the 61 most vulnerable countries.
37. This facility has been designed to include smart conditionality to act as an automatic stabilizer for future funding.
Eligible countries will commit to added investments in agriculture, thus reducing future import needs.
38. The facility is already stress‑tested for its impact on the global markets, it is easy to administer and scale up.
Tapping into the Facility would allow vulnerable food importing countries to ensure food security and mitigate
long‑lasting impacts of soaring food prices.
22. Income Group FIFF eligible countries
Low
Mozambique, Benin, Gambia, Ethiopia, Syrian Arab Republic, Guinea, Liberia, Congo,
Nepal, Somalia, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Yemen ,Eritrea, Tajikistan, Rwanda, Sierra Leone,
Niger, Afghanistan, Burkina Faso, Haiti, Burundi, Central African Republic, South Sudan,
Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Togo
Lower-Middle
Djibouti, Tunisia, Mongolia, Bhutan, El Salvador, Sao Tome and Principe, Kyrgyzstan,
Lesotho, Uzbekistan, Cabo Verde, Philippines, Bangladesh, Senegal, Viet Nam ,Egypt,
Pakistan, Timor-Leste, Kenya, Comoros, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Cameroon,
Cambodia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Angola, Mauritania, Sudan, Zimbabwe,
Nigeria
Upper-Middle
(IDA only)
Grenada, Tonga, Maldives, Dominica, Saint Lucia, Samoa, Saint Vincent and the
Grenadines
Easing the burden of high food import costs: A Food Import Financing Facility (FIFF)
(Eligible African countries are marked in red)
39. This is a list of eligible countries under the proposed FIFF. Eligible African countries are in red.
23. 40. In closing, let me underline that much uncertainty remains for the coming market year. It is therefore paramount that,
together, we:
a. Support Ukraine’s ability for farming, harvesting and exporting;
b. Provide humanitarian assistance to those directly affected by the conflict as well as to vulnerable populations affected
by food price increases;
c. Refrain from imposing export restrictions, which can exacerbate food price increases and undermine trust in global
markets;
d. Recommit to provide AMIS with the full support it needs;
e. Ensure that any measures taken to address the crisis do not exacerbate food insecurity and on the contrary increase
resilience;
f. Finally, we need to actively identify ways to make up for potential future gaps in global markets, working together to
foster sustainable productivity increases where possible.
41. I commend this G7 group for its coordinated and timely action, and for global food security.
42. I thank you.