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PUSAT KAJIAN DEMOKRASI DAN PILIHAN RAYA
UNIVERSITI MALAYA (UMCEDEL)
POLA PENGUNDIAN PRK 2010 DUN GALAS
• Keputusan PRU 2008 dan PRK 2010 DUN GALAS
PRU
2008
PRK
2010
PAS 4399 4134
UMNO 3753 5324
Majoriti 646 1190
% Keluar Mengundi 80.57 83.01
Undi Rosak 171 132
Undi Sah 8152 9458
Jumlah Pengundi 10,330 11,553
Ringkasan: Membincangkan berkenaan pola pengundian penduduk di DUN GALAS
bagi Pilihan Raya Kecil (PRK) 2010. Turut mengemukakan keputusan-keputusan
Pilihan Raya Umum (PRU) 2008 dan PRK 2010 dengan melihat perbandingan antara
parti PAS dan UMNO dan juga pecahan undi bagi setiap peti undi. Dan akhir sekali,
membincangkan berkenaan faktor-faktor kemenangan UMNO dan kekalahan PAS di
DUN GALAS dalam PRK 2010.
• Sokongan kepada PAS dan UMNO pada PRU 2008 dan PRK 2010 DUN Galas di Unit Peti
Undi (UPU)
UPU PAS UMNO Perbezaan
PRU08 PRK10 PRU08 PRK10 PAS UMNO
Pos Brooke/Lojing 112 78 241 424 -34 183
Sungai Ber 105 99 158 257 -6 99
Belatim 11 9 74 117 -2 43
Balar 51 41 85 153 -10 68
Bihai 27 5 82 233 -22 151
Hau 81 89 115 138 8 23
Kampung Pulai 167 176 192 220 9 28
Kampung Bharu 946 818 746 859 -128 113
BL Gua Musang 671 584 481 621 -87 140
BB Gua Musang 375 398 274 414 23 140
Kg Batu Papan 619 662 527 770 43 243
Lepan Tupai 248 216 237 296 -32 59
Sungai Terah 942 933 432 675 -9 243
Undi Pos 44 26 109 147 -18 38
• Sokongan kepada PAS dan UMNO pada PRU 2008 dan PRK 2010 DUN Galas di Unit Peti
Undi (UPU) (peratusan)
UPU PAS UMNO
PRU08 PRK10 PRU08 PRK10
Pos Brooke/Lojing
31.73 15.54 68.27 84.46
Sungai Ber
39.92 27.81 60.08 72.19
Belatim
12.94 7.14 87.06 92.86
Balar
37.5 21.13 62.5 78.87
Bihai
24.77 2.1 75.23 97.9
Hau
41.33 39.21 58.67 60.79
Kampung Pulai
46.52 44.44 53.48 55.56
Kampung Bharu
55.91 48.78 44.09 51.22
BL Gua Musang
58.25 48.46 41.75 51.54
BB Gua Musang
57.78 49.01 42.22 50.99
Kg Batu Papan
54.01 46.23 45.99 53.77
Lepan Tupai
51.13 42.19 48.87 57.81
Sungai Terah
68.56 58.02 31.44 41.98
Undi Pos 28.76 15.03 71.24 84.97
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
Keluar Mengundi pada PRU 2008, PRK 2010 (%)
DUN GALAS
2010
2008
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sokongan(%)
Sokongan kepada PAS & UMNO pada PRU 2008 dan PRK 2010
DUN Galas
PAS08
PAS10
UMNO08
UMNO10
 FAKTOR KEMENANGAN UMNO
Pemerhatian Kuantitatif:
- Keluar Mengundi yang tinggi terutamanya pengundi orang asli
- Sokongan mendadak pengundi orang asli
Pemerhatian Kualitatif:
- Tg. Razaleigh sebagai Pengarah Pilihan Raya Kecil DUN Galas, hubungan baik beliau dengan
PAS, tuntutan royalti minyak Kelantan
- Peranan agensi Persekutuan: JHEOA, KEMAS, RELA, KPW mendekati/menguasai masyarakat
orang asli
- Menggunakan politik pembangunan
 FAKTOR KEKALAHAN PAS
Pemerhatian Kuantitatif:
- Peralihan sokongan pengundi orang asli kepada UMNO
- Bergantung kepada pengundi/penyokong setia
Pemerhatian Kualitatif:
- Kelemahan agensi kerajaan negeri, tidak dapat mendekati/menguasai masyarakat orang asli
- Menumpukan kepada isu peringkat nasional dan bukan isu tempatan
- Kempen kurang aggresif, DUN Galas adalah kawasan tradisi UMNO

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Pola Pengundian PRK 2010 Dun Galas

  • 1. PUSAT KAJIAN DEMOKRASI DAN PILIHAN RAYA UNIVERSITI MALAYA (UMCEDEL) POLA PENGUNDIAN PRK 2010 DUN GALAS • Keputusan PRU 2008 dan PRK 2010 DUN GALAS PRU 2008 PRK 2010 PAS 4399 4134 UMNO 3753 5324 Majoriti 646 1190 % Keluar Mengundi 80.57 83.01 Undi Rosak 171 132 Undi Sah 8152 9458 Jumlah Pengundi 10,330 11,553 Ringkasan: Membincangkan berkenaan pola pengundian penduduk di DUN GALAS bagi Pilihan Raya Kecil (PRK) 2010. Turut mengemukakan keputusan-keputusan Pilihan Raya Umum (PRU) 2008 dan PRK 2010 dengan melihat perbandingan antara parti PAS dan UMNO dan juga pecahan undi bagi setiap peti undi. Dan akhir sekali, membincangkan berkenaan faktor-faktor kemenangan UMNO dan kekalahan PAS di DUN GALAS dalam PRK 2010.
  • 2. • Sokongan kepada PAS dan UMNO pada PRU 2008 dan PRK 2010 DUN Galas di Unit Peti Undi (UPU) UPU PAS UMNO Perbezaan PRU08 PRK10 PRU08 PRK10 PAS UMNO Pos Brooke/Lojing 112 78 241 424 -34 183 Sungai Ber 105 99 158 257 -6 99 Belatim 11 9 74 117 -2 43 Balar 51 41 85 153 -10 68 Bihai 27 5 82 233 -22 151 Hau 81 89 115 138 8 23 Kampung Pulai 167 176 192 220 9 28 Kampung Bharu 946 818 746 859 -128 113 BL Gua Musang 671 584 481 621 -87 140 BB Gua Musang 375 398 274 414 23 140 Kg Batu Papan 619 662 527 770 43 243 Lepan Tupai 248 216 237 296 -32 59 Sungai Terah 942 933 432 675 -9 243 Undi Pos 44 26 109 147 -18 38
  • 3. • Sokongan kepada PAS dan UMNO pada PRU 2008 dan PRK 2010 DUN Galas di Unit Peti Undi (UPU) (peratusan) UPU PAS UMNO PRU08 PRK10 PRU08 PRK10 Pos Brooke/Lojing 31.73 15.54 68.27 84.46 Sungai Ber 39.92 27.81 60.08 72.19 Belatim 12.94 7.14 87.06 92.86 Balar 37.5 21.13 62.5 78.87 Bihai 24.77 2.1 75.23 97.9 Hau 41.33 39.21 58.67 60.79 Kampung Pulai 46.52 44.44 53.48 55.56 Kampung Bharu 55.91 48.78 44.09 51.22 BL Gua Musang 58.25 48.46 41.75 51.54 BB Gua Musang 57.78 49.01 42.22 50.99 Kg Batu Papan 54.01 46.23 45.99 53.77 Lepan Tupai 51.13 42.19 48.87 57.81 Sungai Terah 68.56 58.02 31.44 41.98 Undi Pos 28.76 15.03 71.24 84.97
  • 4. 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Keluar Mengundi pada PRU 2008, PRK 2010 (%) DUN GALAS 2010 2008 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Sokongan(%) Sokongan kepada PAS & UMNO pada PRU 2008 dan PRK 2010 DUN Galas PAS08 PAS10 UMNO08 UMNO10
  • 5.  FAKTOR KEMENANGAN UMNO Pemerhatian Kuantitatif: - Keluar Mengundi yang tinggi terutamanya pengundi orang asli - Sokongan mendadak pengundi orang asli Pemerhatian Kualitatif: - Tg. Razaleigh sebagai Pengarah Pilihan Raya Kecil DUN Galas, hubungan baik beliau dengan PAS, tuntutan royalti minyak Kelantan - Peranan agensi Persekutuan: JHEOA, KEMAS, RELA, KPW mendekati/menguasai masyarakat orang asli - Menggunakan politik pembangunan  FAKTOR KEKALAHAN PAS Pemerhatian Kuantitatif: - Peralihan sokongan pengundi orang asli kepada UMNO - Bergantung kepada pengundi/penyokong setia Pemerhatian Kualitatif: - Kelemahan agensi kerajaan negeri, tidak dapat mendekati/menguasai masyarakat orang asli - Menumpukan kepada isu peringkat nasional dan bukan isu tempatan - Kempen kurang aggresif, DUN Galas adalah kawasan tradisi UMNO