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Medthod 1                                         11.50%
            period       Principle       Interest        Repayments    Total Payment
                     1     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                  8,625,000.00
                     2     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                  8,625,000.00
                     3     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                  8,625,000.00
                     4     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                  8,625,000.00
                     5     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                  8,625,000.00
                     6     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                  8,625,000.00
                     7     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00 75,000,000.00   83,625,000.00
                                                                        135,375,000.00


Medthod 2                                         13.50%
            period       Principle       Interest         Repayments      Total Payments
                     1    100,000,000.00          Err:522    5,000,000.00          Err:522
                     2     95,000,000.00          Err:522    5,000,000.00          Err:522
                     3     90,000,000.00          Err:522    5,000,000.00          Err:522
                     4     85,000,000.00          Err:522    5,000,000.00          Err:522
                     5     80,000,000.00          Err:522    5,000,000.00          Err:522
                     6     75,000,000.00          Err:522    5,000,000.00          Err:522
                     7     70,000,000.00          Err:522                          Err:522
                                                          total                    Err:522
Remiander
 95,000,000.00
 90,000,000.00
 85,000,000.00
 80,000,000.00
 75,000,000.00
 70,000,000.00
Pinkerton
terminal g           5.00%
R                    8.17%                                                              0.7 cf g

IS                   1983    1984    1985    1986    1987    average %
net sales            296.4   307.7   312.4   367.7   408.3
                                                               8.5%      sales growth
cogs                 264.5   275.4   286.3   342.5   381.7
                                                              91.4%      % of sales

operating expenses   15.5    17.1    24.9    24.5     27
                                                               6.4%      % of sales
ebitda               16.4    15.2     1.2     0.7    -0.4
depreciation          -       -        -       -       -

other deductions       -       -       -       -       -
ebit                 16.4    15.2     1.2     0.7    -0.4
taxes                 4.9     4.6     0.4     0.2    -0.1      30%
ebiat                11.5    10.6     0.8     0.5    -0.3

BS
NWC                  22.8    23.6    29.9    36.1    38.8
                                                               8.9%      % of sales
Net PPE               11     11.3    13.1    15.1    17.6
                                                               4.0%      % of sales

ebiat
net capex                                                                change net PPE
change NWC                                                               change NWC
CF
TV
CF+TV
PV                                                                               $150.35




                                                                                           Method 1
Method 2
-12.75%        -12.50%        -66.12%              5.00%          5.00%    5.00%

   1988             1989            1990          1991            1992            1993           1994
  363.4            323.4           287.8         302.2           317.3           333.2          349.9
 -11.0%           -11.0%          -11.0%         5.00%           5.00%           5.00%          5.00%
  332.1            295.6           263.1         276.2           290.1           304.6          319.8
  91.4%            91.4%           91.4%         91.4%           91.4%           91.4%          91.4%

  21.8             19.1           16.7            17.5            18.4           19.3           20.3
  6.0%             5.9%           5.8%            5.8%            5.8%           5.8%           5.8%
   9.4              8.7            8.1             8.5             8.9            9.3            9.8
    -                -              -               -               -              -              -

    -                -              -               -               -              -              -
   9.4              8.7            8.1             8.5             8.9            9.3            9.8
   2.8              2.6            2.4             2.5             2.7            2.8            2.9
   6.6              6.1            5.6             5.9             6.2            6.5            6.9


  31.3             23.9           17.8            18.7            19.7           20.7           21.7
  8.6%             7.4%           6.2%            6.2%            6.2%           6.2%           6.2%
  14.5             12.9           11.5            12.1            12.7           13.3           14.0
   4%               4%             4%              4%              4%             4%             4%

   6.6             6.1              5.6            5.9             6.2            6.5            6.9
   -3.1            -1.6            -1.4            0.6             0.6            0.6            0.7
   -7.5            -7.3            -6.1            0.9             0.9            1.0            1.0
   17.2            15.0            13.2            4.5             4.7            4.9            5.2
                                                                 155.13
   17.2            15.0            13.2            4.5            159.8




                                       11.50%
period        Principle       Interest        Repayments    Total Payment
          1     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                   8,625,000.00
          2     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                   8,625,000.00
          3     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                   8,625,000.00
          4     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                   8,625,000.00
          5     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                   8,625,000.00
          6     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00                   8,625,000.00
          7     75,000,000.00    8,625,000.00 75,000,000.00   83,625,000.00
                                                             135,375,000.00
13.50%
period       Principle       Interest        Repayments      Total Payments Remiander
         1    100,000,000.00 13,500,000.00      5,000,000.00   18,500,000.00 95,000,000.00
         2     95,000,000.00 12,825,000.00      5,000,000.00   17,825,000.00 90,000,000.00
         3     90,000,000.00 12,150,000.00      5,000,000.00   17,150,000.00 85,000,000.00
         4     85,000,000.00 11,475,000.00      5,000,000.00   16,475,000.00 80,000,000.00
         5     80,000,000.00 10,800,000.00      5,000,000.00   15,800,000.00 75,000,000.00
         6     75,000,000.00 10,125,000.00      5,000,000.00   15,125,000.00 70,000,000.00
         7     70,000,000.00    9,450,000.00                   79,450,000.00
                                             total            180,325,000.00
5.00%    5.00%    5.00%    5.00%    5.00%    5.00%

 1995     1996     1997     1998     1999     2000
367.4    385.7    405.0    425.3    446.5    468.9
5.00%    5.00%    5.00%    5.00%    5.00%    5.00%
335.8    352.6    370.2    388.7    408.1    428.5
91.4%    91.4%    91.4%    91.4%    91.4%    91.4%

21.3     22.4     23.5     24.7     25.9     27.2
5.8%     5.8%     5.8%     5.8%     5.8%     5.8%
10.3     10.8     11.3     11.9     12.5     13.1
  -        -        -        -        -        -

 -        -         -        -        -        -
10.3     10.8     11.3     11.9     12.5     13.1
3.1      3.2       3.4      3.6      3.8      3.9
7.2      7.6       7.9      8.3      8.8      9.2


22.8     23.9     25.1     26.4     27.7     29.1
6.2%     6.2%     6.2%     6.2%     6.2%     6.2%
14.7     15.4     16.2     17.0     17.9     18.8
 4%       4%       4%       4%       4%       4%

 7.2      7.6      7.9      8.3      8.8      9.2
 0.7      0.7      0.8      0.8      0.9      0.9
 1.1      1.1      1.2      1.3      1.3      1.4
 5.4      5.7      6.0      6.3      6.6      6.9
Pinkerton
terminal g
R

IS                   1983     1984   1985     1986    1987 average %
net sales            296.4   307.7   312.4   367.7   408.3
                                                                8.5% sales growth
cogs                 264.5   275.4   286.3   342.5   381.7
                                                               91.4% % of sales
Gross Profit          31.9    32.3    26.1    25.2     26.6
                                                                8.6% % of sales
operating expenses    15.5    17.1    24.9    24.5      27
                                                                6.4% % of sales
ebitda                16.4    15.2     1.2     0.7     -0.4
depreciation
                                                                     % of net ppe

other deductions
ebit                  16.4    15.2     1.2     0.7    -0.4
taxes                 7.71    7.14    0.56    0.33   -0.19      47% avg of CPP's tax
ebiat                 8.69    8.06    0.64    0.37   -0.21

BS
NWC                   22.8    23.6    29.9    36.1    38.8
                                                               8.9% % of sales
Net PPE                11     11.3    13.1    15.1    17.6
                                                               4.0% % of sales

ebiat
net capex                                                            change net PPE
change NWC                                                           change NWC
CF
TV
CF+TV
PV
cf g

          2010      2011     2012      2013      2014
         367.5     330.7     297.7    312.5     328.2
       -10.0%    -10.0%    -10.0%     5.0%      5.0%
         338.6     299.3     263.2    274.6     286.3

         28.9      31.5      34.4       38.0      41.9
       8.50%     9.00%     9.50%     10.25%    10.25%
         22.0      19.5      17.3       18.1      19.0
        6.0%      5.9%      5.8%       5.8%      5.8%
          6.8      11.9      17.2       19.9      22.8




          6.8      11.9      17.2      19.9      22.8
          3.2       5.6       8.1       9.3      10.7
          3.6       6.3       9.1      10.5      12.1


         31.6      24.5      18.5       19.4      20.3
        8.6%      7.4%      6.2%       6.2%      6.2%
         14.7      13.2      11.9       12.5      13.1
          4%        4%        4%         4%        4%

          3.6       6.3       9.1      10.5      12.1
         -2.9      -1.5      -1.3       0.6       0.6
         -7.2      -7.1      -6.0       0.9       1.0
         13.7      14.9      16.4       9.0      10.5

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Method 1 vs Method 2 Loan Repayment Analysis/TITLE

  • 1. Medthod 1 11.50% period Principle Interest Repayments Total Payment 1 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 2 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 3 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 4 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 5 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 6 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 7 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 75,000,000.00 83,625,000.00 135,375,000.00 Medthod 2 13.50% period Principle Interest Repayments Total Payments 1 100,000,000.00 Err:522 5,000,000.00 Err:522 2 95,000,000.00 Err:522 5,000,000.00 Err:522 3 90,000,000.00 Err:522 5,000,000.00 Err:522 4 85,000,000.00 Err:522 5,000,000.00 Err:522 5 80,000,000.00 Err:522 5,000,000.00 Err:522 6 75,000,000.00 Err:522 5,000,000.00 Err:522 7 70,000,000.00 Err:522 Err:522 total Err:522
  • 2. Remiander 95,000,000.00 90,000,000.00 85,000,000.00 80,000,000.00 75,000,000.00 70,000,000.00
  • 3. Pinkerton terminal g 5.00% R 8.17% 0.7 cf g IS 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 average % net sales 296.4 307.7 312.4 367.7 408.3 8.5% sales growth cogs 264.5 275.4 286.3 342.5 381.7 91.4% % of sales operating expenses 15.5 17.1 24.9 24.5 27 6.4% % of sales ebitda 16.4 15.2 1.2 0.7 -0.4 depreciation - - - - - other deductions - - - - - ebit 16.4 15.2 1.2 0.7 -0.4 taxes 4.9 4.6 0.4 0.2 -0.1 30% ebiat 11.5 10.6 0.8 0.5 -0.3 BS NWC 22.8 23.6 29.9 36.1 38.8 8.9% % of sales Net PPE 11 11.3 13.1 15.1 17.6 4.0% % of sales ebiat net capex change net PPE change NWC change NWC CF TV CF+TV PV $150.35 Method 1
  • 5. -12.75% -12.50% -66.12% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 363.4 323.4 287.8 302.2 317.3 333.2 349.9 -11.0% -11.0% -11.0% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 332.1 295.6 263.1 276.2 290.1 304.6 319.8 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 21.8 19.1 16.7 17.5 18.4 19.3 20.3 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 9.4 8.7 8.1 8.5 8.9 9.3 9.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 9.4 8.7 8.1 8.5 8.9 9.3 9.8 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.9 6.6 6.1 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.9 31.3 23.9 17.8 18.7 19.7 20.7 21.7 8.6% 7.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 14.5 12.9 11.5 12.1 12.7 13.3 14.0 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 6.6 6.1 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.9 -3.1 -1.6 -1.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 -7.5 -7.3 -6.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 17.2 15.0 13.2 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.2 155.13 17.2 15.0 13.2 4.5 159.8 11.50% period Principle Interest Repayments Total Payment 1 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 2 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 3 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 4 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 5 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 6 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 8,625,000.00 7 75,000,000.00 8,625,000.00 75,000,000.00 83,625,000.00 135,375,000.00
  • 6. 13.50% period Principle Interest Repayments Total Payments Remiander 1 100,000,000.00 13,500,000.00 5,000,000.00 18,500,000.00 95,000,000.00 2 95,000,000.00 12,825,000.00 5,000,000.00 17,825,000.00 90,000,000.00 3 90,000,000.00 12,150,000.00 5,000,000.00 17,150,000.00 85,000,000.00 4 85,000,000.00 11,475,000.00 5,000,000.00 16,475,000.00 80,000,000.00 5 80,000,000.00 10,800,000.00 5,000,000.00 15,800,000.00 75,000,000.00 6 75,000,000.00 10,125,000.00 5,000,000.00 15,125,000.00 70,000,000.00 7 70,000,000.00 9,450,000.00 79,450,000.00 total 180,325,000.00
  • 7. 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 367.4 385.7 405.0 425.3 446.5 468.9 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 335.8 352.6 370.2 388.7 408.1 428.5 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 91.4% 21.3 22.4 23.5 24.7 25.9 27.2 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 10.3 10.8 11.3 11.9 12.5 13.1 - - - - - - - - - - - - 10.3 10.8 11.3 11.9 12.5 13.1 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.9 7.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.8 9.2 22.8 23.9 25.1 26.4 27.7 29.1 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 14.7 15.4 16.2 17.0 17.9 18.8 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 7.2 7.6 7.9 8.3 8.8 9.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 5.4 5.7 6.0 6.3 6.6 6.9
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Pinkerton terminal g R IS 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 average % net sales 296.4 307.7 312.4 367.7 408.3 8.5% sales growth cogs 264.5 275.4 286.3 342.5 381.7 91.4% % of sales Gross Profit 31.9 32.3 26.1 25.2 26.6 8.6% % of sales operating expenses 15.5 17.1 24.9 24.5 27 6.4% % of sales ebitda 16.4 15.2 1.2 0.7 -0.4 depreciation % of net ppe other deductions ebit 16.4 15.2 1.2 0.7 -0.4 taxes 7.71 7.14 0.56 0.33 -0.19 47% avg of CPP's tax ebiat 8.69 8.06 0.64 0.37 -0.21 BS NWC 22.8 23.6 29.9 36.1 38.8 8.9% % of sales Net PPE 11 11.3 13.1 15.1 17.6 4.0% % of sales ebiat net capex change net PPE change NWC change NWC CF TV CF+TV PV
  • 20. cf g 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 367.5 330.7 297.7 312.5 328.2 -10.0% -10.0% -10.0% 5.0% 5.0% 338.6 299.3 263.2 274.6 286.3 28.9 31.5 34.4 38.0 41.9 8.50% 9.00% 9.50% 10.25% 10.25% 22.0 19.5 17.3 18.1 19.0 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 6.8 11.9 17.2 19.9 22.8 6.8 11.9 17.2 19.9 22.8 3.2 5.6 8.1 9.3 10.7 3.6 6.3 9.1 10.5 12.1 31.6 24.5 18.5 19.4 20.3 8.6% 7.4% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 14.7 13.2 11.9 12.5 13.1 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3.6 6.3 9.1 10.5 12.1 -2.9 -1.5 -1.3 0.6 0.6 -7.2 -7.1 -6.0 0.9 1.0 13.7 14.9 16.4 9.0 10.5