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Analyzing Fine Tuning
Probability Calculations
Mark Tabladillo Ph.D.
December 19, 2014
@marktaborg
Introduction
Some fine tuning arguments include probability calculations
This presentation breaks down the questions to ask the original scientists about how
they calculated their probabilities
What is a probability calculation?
For the purpose of this video, we consider a simple probability calculation
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 =
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟
𝐷𝑒𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟 ≤ 𝐷𝑒𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟
Denominator: Three possibilities
Zero: The calculation is infinite
Infinite (or approaching infinite): The calculation is zero (or approaching zero)
Some number representing the possible base range
Numerator: Three possibilities
Zero: The calculation is zero
Some number less than the denominator
Equal to the denominator: The calculation is one
Denominator
Numerator
Two Questions to Ask
How did you establish the denominator
How did you establish the numerator
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 =
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟
𝐷𝑒𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟
Denominator
Numerator
Thanks!
Linked In
@marktaborg
Mark Tabladillo
Atlanta, GA

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Analyzing fine tuning probability calculations

  • 1. Analyzing Fine Tuning Probability Calculations Mark Tabladillo Ph.D. December 19, 2014 @marktaborg
  • 2. Introduction Some fine tuning arguments include probability calculations This presentation breaks down the questions to ask the original scientists about how they calculated their probabilities
  • 3. What is a probability calculation? For the purpose of this video, we consider a simple probability calculation 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 = 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟 𝐷𝑒𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟 ≤ 𝐷𝑒𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟
  • 4. Denominator: Three possibilities Zero: The calculation is infinite Infinite (or approaching infinite): The calculation is zero (or approaching zero) Some number representing the possible base range
  • 5. Numerator: Three possibilities Zero: The calculation is zero Some number less than the denominator Equal to the denominator: The calculation is one Denominator Numerator
  • 6. Two Questions to Ask How did you establish the denominator How did you establish the numerator 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 = 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟 𝐷𝑒𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑡𝑜𝑟 Denominator Numerator