The questioning of free trade in many regions is also mirrored in the politicization of FDI. Our experts from our global offices describe how cross-border transaction can still be successful in this 'New Normal'.
Business Diplomacy : An Approach to Political Risk Management Julien Schiettecatte
Political risks faced by companies in challenging markets require a political answer. It seems to be obvious but it is rarely the case. The presentation introduces the concept of Business Diplomacy as an effective tool to mitigate these risks.
Business Diplomacy : An Approach to Political Risk Management Julien Schiettecatte
Political risks faced by companies in challenging markets require a political answer. It seems to be obvious but it is rarely the case. The presentation introduces the concept of Business Diplomacy as an effective tool to mitigate these risks.
Artykuł podejmuje zagadnienie instytucjonalnych aspektów internacjonalizacji przedsiębiorstw. Autorzy koncentrują uwagę Czytelnika na roli, jaką odgrywają formalne instytucje
w procesach umiędzynarodowienia przedsiębiorstw, w szczególności w zakresie zagranicznych
inwestycji bezpośrednich. Celem artykułu jest prezentacja oraz próba oceny polityki wsparcia
zagranicznych inwestycji bezpośrednich wychodzących z Polski po okresie globalnego kryzysu ekonomicznego 2008. Autorzy najpierw podjęli studia literaturowe w odniesieniu do instytucjonalnych aspektów umiędzynarodowienia, następnie przeprowadzili badania jakościowe
z zastosowaniem metody wywiadu bezpośredniego z reprezentantami instytucji makro- i mezoszczebla (ministerstwo, władze regionalne, organizacje otoczenia biznesu). Wywiady pozwoliły na scharakteryzowanie podmiotowego oraz przestrzennego zorientowania polityki wsparcia zagranicznych inwestycji bezpośrednich wychodzących z Polski oraz na zasygnalizowanie
wyzwań, jakie rysują się przed tą polityką po 2008 roku. Uzyskane rezultaty stanowią punkt
wyjścia do dalszych, bardziej szczegółowych badań w przyszłości.
* Projekt badawczy: No. 11430010 Small Grants Program of the International Visegrad
Fund „Outward FDI policies in Visegrad Countries”.
The briefing paper consists of 11 chapters, including Practical Guidelines to Doing Business in Ukraine, Most Commonly Used Business Structures, Company Taxation, Labor Laws, among many others.
In their search for sustainable development and endurable development strategies, neo-colonial economies of the Third World and Africa in particular gloss over massive corruption in public office and sit-tight syndrome of leaders. Rather, since attaining independence in the 1950s and 60s, their leaders have tinkered with several development strategies drawn from both the capitalists and socialist models. In all of these, development has remained a far cry as a result of many challenges faced by these economies. Strategies ranging from indigenization to export promotion and import substitution of the 1960s, to privatization and structural adjustment of the 1980s and Foreign Direct Investment of the 1990s have been experimented with varying degrees of success. Little has been done in the area of checking financial corruption and abuse of office by public office holders, building of strong institutions from which economic oriented strategies can be rooted and checking tenure elongation by leaders of states. The results have been huge failures and frustration on the part of development partners. This paper has attempted a survey approach to Foreign Direct Investment as a way out of structural imbalances of neo-colonial economies. Basing this examination on Nigeria, findings have shown that Foreign Direct Investment can work for development only if host government regulate the activities of foreign investors and also create enabling environment for investment to yield expected results.
UHY Dawgen Chartered Accountants (Incorporating Paul Goldson & Company) is a professional service firm providing audit, accounting, tax and business advisory services from 5 strategic locations in Jamaica. . UHY Dawgen Chartered Accountants (the “Firm”) is a member of Urbach Hacker Young International Limited, a UK company, and forms part of the international UHY network of legally independent accounting and consulting firms. UHY is the brand name for the UHY international network.
Artykuł podejmuje zagadnienie instytucjonalnych aspektów internacjonalizacji przedsiębiorstw. Autorzy koncentrują uwagę Czytelnika na roli, jaką odgrywają formalne instytucje
w procesach umiędzynarodowienia przedsiębiorstw, w szczególności w zakresie zagranicznych
inwestycji bezpośrednich. Celem artykułu jest prezentacja oraz próba oceny polityki wsparcia
zagranicznych inwestycji bezpośrednich wychodzących z Polski po okresie globalnego kryzysu ekonomicznego 2008. Autorzy najpierw podjęli studia literaturowe w odniesieniu do instytucjonalnych aspektów umiędzynarodowienia, następnie przeprowadzili badania jakościowe
z zastosowaniem metody wywiadu bezpośredniego z reprezentantami instytucji makro- i mezoszczebla (ministerstwo, władze regionalne, organizacje otoczenia biznesu). Wywiady pozwoliły na scharakteryzowanie podmiotowego oraz przestrzennego zorientowania polityki wsparcia zagranicznych inwestycji bezpośrednich wychodzących z Polski oraz na zasygnalizowanie
wyzwań, jakie rysują się przed tą polityką po 2008 roku. Uzyskane rezultaty stanowią punkt
wyjścia do dalszych, bardziej szczegółowych badań w przyszłości.
* Projekt badawczy: No. 11430010 Small Grants Program of the International Visegrad
Fund „Outward FDI policies in Visegrad Countries”.
The briefing paper consists of 11 chapters, including Practical Guidelines to Doing Business in Ukraine, Most Commonly Used Business Structures, Company Taxation, Labor Laws, among many others.
In their search for sustainable development and endurable development strategies, neo-colonial economies of the Third World and Africa in particular gloss over massive corruption in public office and sit-tight syndrome of leaders. Rather, since attaining independence in the 1950s and 60s, their leaders have tinkered with several development strategies drawn from both the capitalists and socialist models. In all of these, development has remained a far cry as a result of many challenges faced by these economies. Strategies ranging from indigenization to export promotion and import substitution of the 1960s, to privatization and structural adjustment of the 1980s and Foreign Direct Investment of the 1990s have been experimented with varying degrees of success. Little has been done in the area of checking financial corruption and abuse of office by public office holders, building of strong institutions from which economic oriented strategies can be rooted and checking tenure elongation by leaders of states. The results have been huge failures and frustration on the part of development partners. This paper has attempted a survey approach to Foreign Direct Investment as a way out of structural imbalances of neo-colonial economies. Basing this examination on Nigeria, findings have shown that Foreign Direct Investment can work for development only if host government regulate the activities of foreign investors and also create enabling environment for investment to yield expected results.
UHY Dawgen Chartered Accountants (Incorporating Paul Goldson & Company) is a professional service firm providing audit, accounting, tax and business advisory services from 5 strategic locations in Jamaica. . UHY Dawgen Chartered Accountants (the “Firm”) is a member of Urbach Hacker Young International Limited, a UK company, and forms part of the international UHY network of legally independent accounting and consulting firms. UHY is the brand name for the UHY international network.
Blend instinct and solid data for overseas investment decisions Grant Thornton LLP
Soft power and instinct are driving overseas real estate investments, say the specialists interviewed and data analyzed for Grant Thornton International Ltd’s new report, Uncovering Opportunities for Overseas Investment and Growth. However, relying on instinct alone — without the assistance of hard evidence and on-the-ground advice — can lead investors away from emerging areas of opportunity.
MGMT 4710
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
CHAPTER 1. GLOBALIZATION
I. INTRODUCTION
As individuals and organizations have expanded their operations across wider geographical areas, global events and competition are affecting almost all firms—large or small. Currently, over 20 percent of world production is sold outside of its country of origin, restrictions on imports continue to decline, the foreign ownership of assets as a percent of world production continues to increase, and world trade continues to grow more rapidly than world production.
Globalization refers to the broadening set of interdependent relationships among people from different nations. International business involves all commercial transactions, including sales, investments, and transportation—private and governmental—between parties of two or more countries.
II. THE FORCES DRIVING GLOBALIZATION
Several factors contribute to the trend toward increased globalization:
1. Increase in and Expansion of Technology:
Vast improvements in transportation and communications technology—including the Internet—have significantly increased the effectiveness and efficiency of international business operations.
2. Liberalization of Cross-Border Trade and Resource Movement
Over time, most governments have been lowering restrictions on trade and foreign investments. It is believed that international competition makes domestic producers more efficient, and gives citizens greater consumer choices and lower prices.
3. Development of Services That Support International Business
Services provided by national and multinational institutions greatly facilitate the conduct and reduce the risks of doing business internationally.
4. Growing Consumer Pressures
Because of innovations in transportation and communications technology, consumers are well-informed about and often able to access foreign products. This has forced competitors to respond to the needs of consumers from all over the world
5.
Increased Global Competition
The pressures of increased foreign competition often persuade firms to expand internationally in order to gain access to foreign opportunities and to improve their overall operational flexibility and competitiveness.
6. Changing Political Situations
The transformation of the political and economic policies of Eastern Europe and East Asia (China and Vietnam in particular) has led to vast increases in trade between these countries and the rest of the world.
7. Expanded Cross-National Cooperation
Governments have increasingly entered into cross-national treaties and agreements in order to gain reciprocal advantages for their own firms, to jointly address problems that one country cannot solve alone, and to deal with areas of concern that lie outside the territory of all countries.
III.
PROBLEMS WITH GLOBALIZATION
Anti-globalization forces have protested both peacefully and violently as they press for legislation and other means to stop or slow the globalization process. The issu ...
UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT (UNCTAD) WORLD INVESTMENT ...MYO AUNG Myanmar
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https://unctad.org/en/pages/PublicationWebflyer.aspx?publicationid=2130
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06 Jun 2018, 4821.2 KB
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Globalization has become a familiar enough word, the meaning of which has been discussed by others before me during this conference. Let me nonetheless outline briefly what I understand by the term. I shall then go on to consider what has caused it. The bulk of my paper is devoted to discussing what we know, and what we do not know, about its consequences. I will conclude by considering what policy reactions seem to be called for.
It is clearly the availability of cheap, rapid and reliable communications that permits such phenomena, just as this is the key to the integration of the international capital market. I presume the same factor is important in nurturing the growth of multinational corporations, since it is this which enables them to exploit their intellectual property efficiently in a variety of locations without losing the ability to maintain control from head office. But in this context I would surmise that other factors are also at work, such as the spread of consumer knowledge about what is available that comes from travel and from advertising, itself encouraged by the communications revolution and its children like CNN. The reduction in transport costs is also a key factor underlying the growth in trade.
If I am right in arguing that globalization stems from technological developments rather than policy choices, trying to reverse it would be rather like playing at King Canute. It would be more productive to seek to maximize the benefits it offers and minimize the risks it creates. Let me discuss what I see that involving, while restricting myself to the narrow economic questions.
It will be clear from what was said above that I see little reason to doubt that the citizens of a developing country can expect to benefit from being open to trade and FDI. This gives them the advantages of being able to make relatively good use of their abundant unskilled labour and being able to access world-level technology. However, if they rely simply on exploiting unskilled labour, they will never be able to advance far beyond the living standards of their poorest competitors, who will be exporting similar goods. In order to raise living standards progressively over time, it is at least as important to raise educational standards as it is in a relatively closed economy. To a first approximation, one may summarize the policy advice of how to prosper in a global economy as: give one's citizens a relevant set of skills through education, and then let them get on with the job of producing whatever is useful to the world economy.
Corporate and shareholder sentiment towards MA has rebounded since the dark days of 2008. Low borrowing costs have coaxed many new buyers, including acquisitive Chinese conglomerates, into the market. The prices of prized assets have risen accordingly. It remains a sellers market in technology-driven deals, particularly in the consumer-goods, financial services, and media and telecommunications sectors.
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Retail media wordt gezien als het nieuwe advertising-medium en ook mediabureaus richten massaal retail media-afdelingen op. Merken die niet in de betreffende winkel liggen staan ook nog niet in de rij om op de retail media netwerken te adverteren. Marvin belicht de uitdagingen die er zijn om echt aansluiting te vinden op die markt van non-endemic advertising.
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5 Things You Need To Know Before Hiring a Videographer
A new normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI
1. And how investors can
successfully solve that Rubik’s Cube
A New Normal
intheregulatory
landscape
for FDI
SEPTEMBER2018
2. A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
In autumn of 2017 we wrote a report on the emerging regulatory landscape for investment
control. Today - not yet a year later - our forecasts did not just come true, but they
have been exceeded.
The social, political and regulatory environment for foreign investments has become
much tougher - and sometimes seems like an almost impossible Rubik’s Cube.
In the US, CFIUS is being given much more power, while discussions are ongoing at the
European level about introducing a framework to allow scrutiny of FDIs across the EU.
In the UK, the government is looking to dramatically expand its involvement in screening
investments. In France, public authorities’ prerogatives are about to be significantly
strengthened, and violations severely punished. The German government intervened
to prohibit a transaction for the first time and plans to lower the threshold for intervention.
And China? Is it really becoming more open?
Attitudes towards foreign investments have changed from fundamentally positive to
fundamentally negative in the Western Hemisphere. We call this the "New Normal". It
is no longer sufficient to place trust in the financial sense of a transaction for it to
succeed, as the socio-political context plays an increasingly central – and unne-
glectable - role.
Despite these developments, our experts in Washington, Brussels, Berlin, Paris, London
and Beijing still see good chances of leading a transaction to success - if the broader
environment is taken into account and addressed accordingly.
We look forward to exchanging thoughts with you on how to solve the Rubik’s Cube.
Preface
3. Protectionism in times of globalisation –
a mismatched pair
The anxieties resulting from the speed of technological change coupled with an almost
incomprehensible web of globally flowing goods and capital has led to globalization
fatigue. Especially industrialized Western nations have increasingly found themselves
tempted to flirt with the attractiveness of demonstrative action inspired by protectionism
and nationalism.
At the centre of the public debate are seemingly uncontrollable multinationals that
are deemed to roam the world wielding great power and “bending the rules in their
favour”. As a reaction, politicians are overcompensating for these negative sentiments
by introducing measures that miss the balance between entrepreneurial freedom on
the one hand, and rights of intervention on the other.
I. Seeking control over foreign direct investments becomes a weapon for economic
border protection
The waning belief in borderless global capitalism has led to counter-reactions that
remind of political and economic nationalism. While customs duties and border walls
are obvious measures, political involvement in investment controls has become a
very popular instrument to attempt to regain lost control and signal (government) deter-
mination. It promises simple and graspable solutions (“stopping the sell-off of the
domestic economy”) for complex causalities, such as the shift of power dynamics
through global capital flows. Investment control is intended to address one of the
core concerns of protectionism – namely to cement the economic status quo – by stop-
ping questionable capital inflow at the border. The current rules-based and open invest-
ment regime is being pushed right to the limit.
II. Investment control as an “instrument of war”
Albeit an exaggeration, the validity of this thesis becomes all the clearer the more the
motive behind investment control moves away from establishing reciprocity in trade
relations, to legitimising unilateral economic policy. President Trump justified the
tightening of CFIUS, the US instrument for investment control, by citing the need to
take action against “predatory” investments intended to “threaten” US leadership in
technology, national security and future prosperity.
In a global “everyone against everyone” playing field, governments seem engaged in a
retaliatory zero-sum game of introducing national intervention mechanisms. They
are attempting to seek influence over mergers and acquisitions by foreign companies
that threaten perceived or actual national interests. Investment control procedures
– for decades only used in very exceptional cases – have become the regular instrument
du jour in global political disputes.
III. Everything is software, everything is critical
Another development adds a layer of precariousness to inbound investments: Economic
goods are increasingly intangible due to the global and unimpeded flow of data – and
this trend is sure to grow in the future. Take for example a steel plant in Germany’s
1A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
4. 2A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
Ruhr area – the former heart of the European heavy industry – back in 2001: it had to
be dismantled, placed into 4,000 freight containers, and shipped overseas only to be
reassembled abroad. Nowadays, benefitting from embedded technologies and gaining
access to the “heart” of another country’s economy is just a mouse click away.
Of course, the trend of digitalisation has not escaped the attention of political actors
and has been cleverly leveraged in investment control stipulations. Indeed, some juris-
dictions have defined software and cloud solutions as critical national infrastructure
worth protecting against foreign investments. Does such a provision tee up a precedent
that justifies banning almost all transactions? After all, what is not software nowadays?
A “New Normal” requires a “New Deal for Investors”
Given the above trends, investors are faced with complexities and completely changed
environments in formerly predictable jurisdictions. There is a reversed burden of proof
that we call the “New Normal”: the onus is on investors to justify the purpose and
added value of their investments, as capital injections are increasingly accompanied
by a dose of scepticism from external stakeholders.
New Deal
The political winds have changed in the countries that have traditionally propagated the
benefits of free trade, and governments have assumed a role in transactions that goes
beyond the formalized processes of the past. The pivotal element of the debate is
China, which in turn is in the process of credibly opening up to foreign trade, equal
treatment of foreign companies and loosening its own very rigid FDI legislations.
In light of the “New Normal”, investors in the West have to revise their approach if they
want to avoid heightened political scrutiny. Not only is FDI perceived with more scepti-
cism, but investors must also anticipate scenarios where an investment can be torpe-
doed. It will become increasingly difficult for foreign investors to invest in companies
– let alone taking them over completely – that are deemed to be of critical interest. This
will hold even more true if the exclusive rationale behind a transaction does not go
beyond creating shareholder value. In China on the contrary, investing in sectors that
are deemed growth and development areas will encounter less scrutiny than it used to.
When planning a cross-border transaction, it is therefore indispensable that investors
take the following aspects into consideration:
1. Bid farewell to the notion that the general political attitude is overwhelmingly favourable
towards any inbound FDI. Investors all over the globe will have to persuade with arguments
that go beyond the strategic rationale and industrial logic, by for instance highlighting
the social value of a transaction for the respective country they invest into.
2. Prepare for politicization of transactions even beyond the buyers’ control – vulnerabilities
might be exposed, sensationalized and scandalized.
3. Expect prolonged scrutiny processes in the financial structure of your deal from the
very beginning when investing in Europe or the United States.
6. 4A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
EU
Key developments
The openness of European markets coupled with the attractiveness of its firms have
led to the EU being the number one destination of FDI in the world. However, as the EU
cautiously closes the door on a decade of economic distress, systemic underinvestment,
and government programs to offload state assets, new challenges are emerging that
could test the EU’s free market principles.
In recent years, the inflow of investments has been accompanied by a surge in acquisi-
tions of European companies operating in sensitive sectors, including robotics, energy
and telecoms, led prominently by opaque and deep-pocketed Chinese companies that
enjoy strong links to Beijing. The “Belt and Road Initiative” and the “Made in China
2025” strategic plan have triggered additional fears that China is trying to gain influence
in Europe in ways that go beyond traditional industrial means.
Hence, the European Parliament’s push for even stricter rules than laid out in the
Commission’s first draft proposal on screening FDI is an indication that the elected
representatives at EU level feel the pressure to better protect European technological
know-how and industrial jewels. In light of the US’ blockade mentality towards invest-
ments from China, even more Chinese capital is likely to flow into the EU.
Foreign direct inv…olvement?
Only about a dozen EU countries currently have review mechanisms in place, and the
EU is the only major economy that does not have FDI screening procedures in its
armory. While demands for European action are grounded on sincere concerns, they
are consistent with an increasing zest for adding political weight to business consid-
erations.
For instance, the EU wants to strengthen WTO rules on industrial subsidies and state-
owned enterprises, and increasingly calls on third countries to grant European
companies better market access, and accord them the competitive conditions home
companies enjoy in Europe. Indeed, major European member states have recently all
demonstrated a willingness to politicize transactions – cited the lack of reciprocity
between China and the EU as an argument for the need for EU-level screenings and
could use it as an instrument to fight for trade reciprocity.
The relatively modest ambitions of the Commission’s proposal highlight the dynamics
within the Union. The Commission – in its role as the bloc’s executive – is called upon
to ensure Union Interests are protected, but at the same time, Member States are
unwilling to relinquish decision-making powers or make concessions that veer even
remotely close to affecting national competences or interests. Materially therefore,
whatever outcome is agreed on the proposal, any substantive changes and effects
will be felt primarily at national level.
7. 5A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
The European Commission’s
proposal
■■ Establishing basic substantive, tim-
ing, and procedural frameworks that
enhance cooperation and coordina-
tion that allow Member States and the
Commission to vet foreign takeovers on
grounds of security and public order.
■■ Non-binding comments may be issued
on transactions that cover an expansive
range of strategic sectors: 1) critical in-
frastructure, 2) critical technologies,
3) the security of supply of critical in-
puts, 4) access to and control over sen-
sitive information.
■■ Inter alia, Member States may consider
screening an investment if an investor
is controlled by a third country govern
ment and ask investors to make available
information on the ultimate controlling
power behind the foreign investor, as
well as funding sources.
■■ Member States will neither be required
to adopt FDI screening mechanisms, nor
be stripped of having the final say over
transactions.
■■ Individual investors will have the possi-
bility to seek judicial redress.
8. 6A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
FRANCE
Key developments
Following the standoff between France and GE for the acquisition of Alstom in 2014,
then Minister of Productive Recovery Arnaud Montebourg strengthened existing legis-
lation to allow for blocking investments (Montebourg decree). However, the responsi-
ble Ministry of Economy (dubbed “Bercy”) has still officially never used this text to block
an investment. Against the backdrop of a wave of buyouts and cases like Dailymotion,
Club Med, PSA and Yoplait, Prime Minister Édouard Philippe has asked Minister of the
Economy Bruno Le Maire to further protect key economic sectors and extend the
scope of application of the Montebourg decree.
Extending the existing decree to digital businesses, AI, and space will take place in the
wake of the parliamentary works on the PACTE bill. The PACTE bill has been under
examination by the National Assembly since September and aims to increase the role
of the government in scrutinizing FDI. The efforts seek to significantly strengthen pub-
lic authorities’ prerogatives. The monitoring of investors' commitments will be rein-
forced with the implementation of a regular external audit and potential sanctions
(that can comprise a financial penalty amounting to twice the amount of the irregular
investment, or even be prison sentence of up to 5 years) will be imposed in the event
of non-compliance. The government also plans to expand the tools at its disposal by
introducing a “golden share”.
According to the new rules under examination, the Ministry of Economy will have the
power to interfere with the negotiations depending on whether the “preservation of
national interests” can be obtained, or when a foreign investment targets a strategic
sector. Bercy will then assess whether there is a takeover or if the threshold of 33.3%
of the capital (blocking minority) is exceeded.
Political drivers
In 2005, in the aftermath of rumors that PepsiCo was interested in making an offer
for French agri-food flagship Danone, Dominique de Villepin, then Prime Minister,
introduced the concept of “economic patriotism” into the political toolkit. A decree
quickly followed attempting to protect strategic sectors such as defense, private
security and ICT security. The concept of economic patriotism has underpinned FDI
activities ever since. For the government, the challenge is to preserve French tech-
nology from foreign appetites. Although foreign investors are more than welcome,
they must now obey certain rules much to the chagrin of French digital businesses,
which remain opposed to the extension of the 2014 Montebourg decree.
What does it mean for investors?
As a result, the discussed regime leads to a case by case assessment and discretionary
scrutiny. In practice, it is above all a question of interpretation of the texts on the
activities concerned and the notion of strategic or national interest. This surely causes a
problem of transparency for investors and legal uncertainty for their project. Yet, the
government wants to ensure the decree is not intended to reduce foreign investment, but
to give the State a scrutiny right over investment, redemption and MA.
9. 7A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
GERMANY
Key developments
Germany, traditionally one of the most vocal proponents of free trade, has welcomed
foreign investments unreservedly for decades. Accordingly, the Außenwirtschaftsgesetz
(AWG), Germany’s FDI control regime, had been more of theoretical than practical
relevance for foreign investors outside the defence sector. That fundamentally changed
with a reform of the law in 2017, which widened both the scope and time-frame of
investigations. Said amendment was another step in a remarkable shift in FDI policy
over the last few years. Today, whether a transaction goes through or not is no longer a
procedural question, but increasingly a political one. A notion mirrored in the case of
Leifeld, where the AWG showed its teeth: In August, for the first time, the Federal
Government authorized a prohibition decision against the intended acquisition of
Leifeld Metal Spinning by Yantai Taihai.
In addition, the government has taken creative steps to avoid investments that raise
their concerns: In July, the state-owned bank KfW stepped in to prevent China State
Grid from acquiring a 20% stake in the high-voltage grid operator 50 Hertz.
However, evidence of the willingness to politicize FDI goes beyond unprecedented
measures in individual cases but can be materially seen in legislative action. The Minis-
try of Economy has presented a draft for another amendment to the AWG that lowers
the threshold for reviewing an acquisition from 25% to 15%. Even a fund is being con-
sidered that could step in as a white knight investor in the event of political opposition to a
transaction.
Political drivers
This change in approach is not driven by electoral politics but is the result of a more
fundamental policy shift due to a more realistic approach to international economic
relations. German policymakers have realized that domestic businesses face a pivot-
al competitive challenge given the uneven nature of the international economic play-
ing field and the strategic policies pursued by other countries. This trend is fuelled by
digitization and industry transformation. Hence, the Federal Government specifically
aims to hinder investments supported directly or indirectly by foreign governments –
inexplicitly pointing at China.
While advocating for a rules-based international trading order remains a key policy
objective, Berlin attempts to adopt a more strategic policy to safeguard its interests.
In the words of the former State Secretary in charge of foreign economic policy,
“while we remain open, we mustn’t be naïve.”
What does it mean for investors?
Foremost, investors should be aware that every takeover has the potential to be politicized –
especially if the investor is state-backed. The sector is almost irrelevant, especially given
the – intentionally – open definition of what constitutes national security and public order.
Additionally, in the era of digitalization, everything is software-based and thus potentially
critical. Hence, FDI control has to be prepared no less diligently than, for instance, the
antitrust stream.
10. 6A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
“while we
remain open,
we mustn’t
be naïve.”
11. 9A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
UK
Key developments
After a two-year gestation, the UK Government published in July 2018 the National
Security and Investment White Paper, proposing to dramatically expand Ministerial
involvement in screening investments – and introducing significant uncertainty and
no little complexity for investors.
In attempting to balance maintaining the openness of the UK economy to investments
with addressing national security risks, the UK is for the first time introducing a
screening regime
■■ that relies on voluntary notification; provides Ministers with wide-ranging inter-
vention powers across virtually the entire economy
■■ introduces an investment screening regime that does not entirely dovetail with
the (competition-based) merger control regime
■■ that draws not only international and EU acquirers but also potentially, even UK
acquirers, within remit.
Ministers envisage an investment screening process that covers not only merger situations,
but also where changes in control take place outside of a merger (i.e. increase in
shareholding or assumption of a board seat). The proposals do attempt to provide
some certainty for investors through an ambitious timetable for screening notifications
(15-30 working day initial stage 1 review with additional 30-75 working day stage 2
review if required) and attempt through a Statutory Statement of Policy Intent to provide
clarity with outline guidance on where notification is likely to be required.
Political drivers
A reform of the UK investment screening regime has been in progress since the
Hinkley Point C episode in 2016 but there are deeper underlying trends that have
driven this move:
■■ Sharpened Sino-scepticism since Theresa May became Prime Minister, having
previously been the longest-serving Home Secretary in a century (with all the
exposure to the security and intelligence services that role entailed)
■■ Economic nationalism driven from the right by populists seeking to take back
control through Brexit and from the left by a radical Labour Party adopting the
most interventionist economic platform seen in many decades
■■ Response to foreign investment screening tightening across G7 economies
12. 10A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
What does it mean for investors?
While the White Paper proposals will require parliamentary scrutiny and are unlikely to be
operating until 2020, sectors identified in the Statutory Statement of Policy Intent as
representing a risk under this envisaged future regime, have laid bare the current
sensitivities of Ministers that are likely to initiate interest under the existing Enterprise Act
2002 provisions. It is reasonable to assume that sectors such as communications, trans-
portation and energy infrastructure will receive Ministerial scrutiny under the existing
regime if notifiable mergers, but also emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence
and machine learning, autonomous robotic systems, cryptographic technology and nano-
technologies.
Should the proposals for reform be approved, there will be very significant onus on investors
to engage in early dialogue with the UK Government at multiple levels, to ascertain not only
the likely need to notify, but to provide clear explanations as to their intentions, and given
the ambitious timetable for completion of the screening review, begin quickly to consid-
er whether remedies might be necessary.
13. 11A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
US
Key developments
Over the course of the last year, the Department of Treasury’s Committee on Foreign
Investment in the U.S. (CFIUS) was guided by a more expansive view of national security
in evaluating a number of transactions. CFIUS reviews under Trump administration
evidenced a more expansive view of national security, including the blocking of Lattice
Semiconductor acquisition and preemptive order prohibiting Broadcom’s hostile
takeover of Qualcomm.
Additional concerns were provoked when the Department of Defense issued a report
highlighting China's strategic goals in building its technology sector and stating that
Chinese investment in American startups has been the product of direct prodding by
government authorities.
While the CFIUS process became more restrictive in practice, new legislation was
passed that will ensure that the U.S. will be less welcoming to foreign investment in
sensitive technologies across a range of industries for the foreseeable future. The
Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act (FIRRMA) signed into law this
summer constitutes the most significant reform to the operations of CFIUS in the last
decade.
FIRRMA widely expands CFIUS’s authority to review a wide range of transactions,
including foreign entities’ minority-position investments through venture-capital
funds; real-estate transactions (including purchases, leases and concessions) near
sensitive U.S. facilities, including airports and seaports; and transactions that involve
critical technology or infrastructure.
The negotiations over the final text of FIRRMA pitted those with national security con-
cerns against those seeking to preserve an open investment environment, while the
latter camp ultimately backed down on many points in deference to the President and
Vice President, who expressed public and private support for a more empowered CFIUS.
Where are we headed?
Following FIRRMA, widely considered the most significant changes to the CFIUS
regime in over a decade, the bar is unlikely to change significantly in the short- to
medium-term. CFIUS has an expanded remit and therefore more transactions fall
under its purview. CFIUS now has strengthened authorities; Congress will be watch-
ing to ensure that they are used. The Executive Branch will now begin to promulgate
regulations that will further define the scope of FIRRMA’s reforms to the CFIUS process.
14. 12A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
What does it mean for investors?
■■ Tread carefully. FIRRMA will significantly alter the operations of CFIUS, but the
full scope of the process changes will not be clarified until subsequent regulations
are issued. In the interim, prospective foreign investors in the U.S. should proceed
with caution.
■■ Consider the impact of a transaction on U.S. critical infrastructure and critical
technology. Certain foreign JV partners and a wider range of fields previously
considered to be outside CFIUS’ jurisdiction will create heightened political risk.
The broad definition of national security, critical infrastructure and sensitive techno-
logy arms competitors with ample rhetorical firepower to frame the transaction
negatively.
■■ Plan for longer reviews. CFIUS currently undertakes an initial 30-day review, with
the option to undertake an additional 45-day investigation. FIRRMA extends the
review period to 45 days; retains the optional 45-day investigation; and authorizes
CFIUS to extend an investigation for one 15-day period under “exceptional circum-
stances.” This extends the maximum length of a CFIUS review process from 75 to
105 days.
■■ Establish identity and brand early – and consider the “New Normal” for foreign
investors in the U.S. Build a credible narrative that anticipates and counters
protectionist sentiment, security skeptics and/or outright public hostility. Identify
the government officials, opinion leaders and media outlets that will shape the
dialogue and engage as directly and as openly as possible.
FIRRMA in a nutshell
For the first time, CFIUS will be granted
the ability to review investments of any size
in sensitive U.S. businesses even though
they may not result in control by a foreign
person. The new review threshold includes
any investment that allows a foreign person
access to any material non-public techni-
cal information in the possession of the U.S.
business; board membership or observer
rights; or any involvement in substantive
decision making (other than voting shares)
regarding critical infrastructure, critical
technologies or sensitive personal data of
U.S. citizens.
Further, FIRRMA defines “U.S. business”
very broadly to mean “a person engaged in
interstate commerce in the United States”
thus giving CFIUS the ability to review an
acquisition of any business anywhere in the
world if that business provides goods or
services into the United States.
While FIRRMA does not create a “black list”
or explicitly target investment from specific
countries, it does mandate the drafting of
a comprehensive report on Chinese invest-
ment. Conversely, while FIRRMA also does
not create a “white list,” it provides a path-
way for short-form declarations that may
allow low-risk transactions to be cleared
within 30 days.
FIRRMA establishes statutory guidance for
determining which foreign investments are
truly passive and not subject CFIUS juris-
diction, particularly where ambiguity pre-
viously existed regarding a limited partner's
participation in a fund through a committee
or advisory board. Passive investments man-
aged exclusively by a general partner that
is not a foreign person and does not grant
control over decision-making or access to
material nonpublic technical information to
a foreign person are exempted from CFIUS
review.
15. 13A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
“We are willing to
use practical
actions to drive
all parties to
jointly adhere
to trade
liberalization
(...)”
16. 14A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
CHINA
Key developments
Since in 1978 then-leader Deng Xiaoping initiated China’s era of “reform and opening up”,
China continues to declare it is gradually opening-up to foreign companies and invest-
ment. However, reality shows that China’s intention to reform is a long process. As for the
present moment, increased nationalism on the global scale mixed with China’s own
ambitions have shifted the process into a period of policy-driven growing pains.
The intention for China’s opening-up 40 years ago was to foster development of
domestic enterprises by giving them the opportunity to learn international best
practice and acquire advanced technology.
Today, foreign firms often criticize that the playing field with Chinese competitors is
uneven. In response to complaints that conducting business in China today usually
includes slow processes and hurdles at various levels of bureaucracy the Foreign
Chambers in China have put together strong policy notes and themed working groups
to address operational challenges. With mixed success.
At the same time the US and China have engaged in a power struggle resulting in
unprecedent tariffs and European economies have tightened legislation to counter
Chinese FDI.
In the current complex state of affairs, President Xi Jinping has made a series of
strong statements to underline his country is on the track in the process of opening
up, starting with Davos 2017 and very recently in conversations with U.N. Secretary-General
António Guterres in September 2018:
“We are willing to use practical actions to drive all parties to jointly adhere to trade liber-
alization and facilitation and build an open world economy.”
Underscoring the announcements, Beijing updated its so called-negative list for
nationwide foreign investment and cut the number of items to 48 from 63. It detailed
opening-up measures in several sectors, e.g. finance, transportation, manufacturing.
17. 15A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
Where are we headed?
From the repeated political statements towards opening, we interpret that Beijing
will continue the reform road map – but expect Beijing to remain in the drivers’
seat about its reforms. This can be seen in the fact that the specific FDI reforms or
their pacing may not match Western expectations. Plus, Beijing will have to strike a
balance between a stable monetary and fiscal policy, deleveraging and implementing
long-term structural reform and curing uncertain
economic trajectory and the trade war with the US.
There is no change in the fundamental ideological
difference between China and many of the Western
economies. China would not shy back when it comesto
its own interests. Industry policy campaigns might not be
communicated as loudly anymore – but the show will go
on. The government will continue to support industry
players to foster the domestic innovation. In the future,
we will see even more push for technology sharing, rigor-
ous industry policies and enforced competition be-
tween MNCs and local industries in strategically impor-
tant and innovative sectors, such as artificial
intelligence, blockchain, new energy vehicles, ad-
vanced manufacturing, medical devices, and informa-
tion technology. Outbound FDI can play a role,
where it helps reducing dependence on foreign
technology to the benefit of the local.
What does it mean for investors?
The Chinese government will appreciate corporates
who demonstrate concrete China ambitions. Corpo-
rates are increasingly advised to invest in strategic and
proactive government affairs. This will not only reduce
the administrative hurdles, but also generate many oth-
er tangible and intangible benefits. To this point, for-
eign investors’ narrative and corporate positioning to
align with China’s plans has become more important
than ever. This applies to new investors and established
MNCs alike.
Exemplary results of
the new legislation
One concrete result of the
newly released legislation
was the joint venture rule in
the manufacturing industry
which removed the 1990s
requirement that operations
in the country had to be at
least 50% Chinese-owned.
However, many firms and
especially the large OEMs
have stated they will stick to
the previous set-up as rela-
tionships are strongly intert-
wined and well-established;
simply, these ventures will
not be dissolved short-term.
A second example comes
from the financial sector,
which eased off the cap on
foreign ownership of local
banks and asset manage-
ment companies. This
change allowed foreign
banks more flexibility in
managing their China busi-
nesses and gave them more
access to a broader range
of products and services.
Several large western banks,
insurance companies, asset
managers and rating agen-
cies have sought to take
advantage of this develop-
ment and have been explo-
ring ways to expand their
businesses and relationships
in China as a result.
18. 16A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
Key changes of the newly intro-
duced process
In 2017, China has released and updated its
foreign investment regime and unified ear-
lier legislation. Key changes are as follows:
■■ Foreign and domestic MA are treated
under the same processes
■■ The new “Catalogue for the Guidance of
Foreign Investment Industries” defines
two categories of industries: encouraged
FDI (which does not need further approv-
al) and a negative list, which defines re-
stricted and prohibited categories, e.g.
satellite broadcasting, radio and video
on demand services and internet-based
news and information services
■■ MA of domestic companies and stra-
tegic investments in listed companies
by foreign investors are subject to a
record-filing process. It can be done
online and has been cut to three days,
compared to 20 days formerly.
■■ The application process has been simpli-
fied and the number of materials needed
has been reduced.
■■ MA between affiliates has been explic-
itly excluded from the regulation and is
still subject to approval from Ministry of
Commerce.
Before a deal, foreign investors are well advised to do a “communications’ due diligence”
and meticulously check what is out there about them. When it comes to communicating
successfully in China it is not only about financial success and business scale, but also
about integration into and expertise of the China market. A narrative linked to how FDIs
may positively impact the domestic industry, capitalize international opportunities or
develop sustainable solutions for China will resonate well with the local audience.
19. 17A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
ABOUT THE GLOBAL PARTNERSHIP
Hering Schuppener Consulting, Finsbury and The Glover Park Group (GPG) have
formed a strategic partnership. With 16 offices and more than 500 consultants, these
three market leaders have created one of the very few global platforms for integrated
strategic communications advice, providing clients with sophisticated counsel and se-
amless execution, regardless of geography. The firms have advised on nearly 1,500
transactions with a total value of more than US$ 2 trillion in the last 10 years alone. With
a total of 74 accompanied mergers and acquisitions with an overall volume of around
USD 293 billion, the experts for the first half year of 2018 hold the top positions in the
global, European and German MA rankings.
In February and April 2018, Image Sept and Fogel Partners, the leading independent
communications advisory firms in France as well as in the Nordic region, have joined
the Global Partnership of Finsbury, Glover Park Group (GPG) and Hering Schuppener as
Associate Partners.
20. 18A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
THE AUTHORS
Pierre Broquet
Consultant
Paris
Brett O’Brien
Managing Director
Washington D.C.
Matthis Kaiser
Managing Director
Berlin
Alexander Steeghs
Associate
Brussels
Victoria Esser
Managing Director
Washington D.C.
John Gray
Partner
London
Agnes Zhao
Managing Director
Beijing
Cecilia Siebke
Senior Associate
Berlin
Joshua Gross
Senior Vice President
Washington D.C.
Alexander Otto
Associate Director
Berlin
Claudia Kosser
Director
Hong Kong
Guillaume Ressot
Consultant
Paris
21. 18A New Normal in the regulatory landscape for FDI September 2018
Global contacts
Brett O’Brien
Managing Director
Washington DC
+1 202 337 0808
bobrien@gpg.com
Winnie Lerner
Managing Partner
New York
+1 646 805 20 10
winnie.lerner@finsbury.com
John Gray
Partner
London
+44 20 7251 3801
john.gray@finsbury.com
Pierre Broquet
Consultant
Paris
+33 1 53 70 74 13
pbroquet@image7.fr
Phoebe Kebbel
Managing Partner
Frankfurt
+49 69 921 874 77
pkebbel@heringschuppener.com
Henriette Peucker
Partner
Berlin Brussels
+49 30 590 046 92
hpeucker@heringschuppener.com
Biancastella de Angelis
Director
Brussels
+32 2 89 331 12
mailto:bdangelis@hering
schuppener.com
BEN RICHARDSON
Partner
Beijing/Hong Kong/
Singapore/Tokyo
+852 316 698 78
ben.richardson@finsbury.com
SIMON MOYSE
Partner
Dubai
+97 155 55136 21
simon.moyse@finsbury.com