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NHS FINANCIAL
TEMPERATURE
CHECK
JUNE 2014
Finance directors’ views on the financial challenges facing the NHS
£
£
£
£
£
At the end of the
2013/14 financial year
local NHS organisations
reported an overall
surplus of £604 million,
which was £194 million
below plan.1
1
CCG and FT figures based on draft, unaudited figures
2
This figure of £712m is comprised of a £97m underspend in 2013/14 and money brought forward that was formerly associated with primary care trusts.
CCGs CCGs
NHS
TRUSTS
NHS
TRUSTS
NHSFOUNDATION
TRUSTS
NHSFOUNDATION
TRUSTS
£712
MILLION2
£97
MILLION
(£241)
MILLION
(£165)
MILLION
£133
MILLION
(£126)
MILLION
SURPLUS (DEFICIT) UNDERSPEND (OVERSPEND)
AGAINST PLAN
The number of organisations
overspending or reporting a
deficit has increased since the
2012/13 financial year and
more organisations reported
a deficit than planned to at
the start of the 2013/14
financial year. The financial
pressures were more visible
in the year-end performance
of provider trusts.
PLANNED TO
MAKE A DEFICIT
IN 2013/14
PLANNED SAVINGS,
AS A PERCENTAGE OF
OPERATING COSTS/
EXPENDITURE
ACTUAL PERCENTAGE
REPORTING A DEFICIT
IN 2013/14
REPORTED SAVINGS,
AS A PERCENTAGE OF
OPERATING COSTS/
EXPENDITURE
ACTUAL PERCENTAGE
REPORTING A
DEFICIT IN 2012/13
2013/14 SAVINGS
PERCENTAGE
OF RECURRENT
SAVINGS
PERCENTAGE OF
NON-RECURRENT
SAVINGS
ORGANISATION
TYPE
ORGANISATION
TYPE
CCGs
NHS TRUSTS
FTs
TOTAL
CCGs
PROVIDER
TRUSTS
4%
25%
13%
12%
2.5%
4.8%
9%
25%
27%
18%
2.3%
4.5%
n/a
5%
14%
n/a
86%
83%
14%
17%
Finance directors told us
they had not achieved all the
savings they had planned.
It is becoming clear that
finance directors are
increasingly looking to
large-scale reconfiguration
of services as the source
of future savings.
Finance directors
reported difficulties
with the 2014/15
commissioning
round. We asked
CCG Chief Financial
Officers (CFOs) if
they had signed
their contracts with
providers trusts by
the 28 February
deadline.
HAD NOT SIGNED ANY
OF THEIR CONTRACTS
HAD SIGNED ALL
THEIR CONTRACTS
HAD SIGNED SOME CONTRACTS
BUT NOT ALL OF THEM
54% 6% 40%
BY 28 FEB
HAD NOT BEEN SIGNED AND
HAD NOT AGREED ACTIVITY
AND FINANCIAL VALUE
HAD REACHED AGREEMENT
ABOUT ACTIVITY AND
FINANCIAL VALUE
OF CONTRACTS
HAD BEEN SIGNED
28% 29% 43%
NHS England reported that as at 8 May 2014 the majority
of contracts had been signed or agreed by CCGs.
Finance directors reported
increasing pessimism about
their organisation’s ability to
meet future financial targets
for 2014/15 and beyond.
PROVIDER
TRUSTS
2014/15
CCGs
2014/15
PROVIDER
TRUSTS
2015/16
CCGs
2015/16
TOO EARLY TO SAY
NOT AT ALL
NOT VERY
QUITE
VERY
44%
3%
17%
30%
6%
25%
2%
20%
34%
20%
44%
13%
31%
11%
1%
51%
2%
23%
18%
7%
HOW CONFIDENT ARE FINANCE DIRECTORS OF ACHIEVING
THE FINANCIAL TARGETS SET OUT IN THEIR ORGANISATION’S
FINANCIAL PLANS IN 2014/15 AND 2015/16?
Despite being pessimistic about the
financial position of the NHS for the
current and future years, finance
directors are optimistic that quality
will not be affected.
53%
EXPECT THE QUALITY OF
SERVICES TO STAY THE SAME
39%
EXPECT THE QUALITY OF
SERVICES TO IMPROVE 8%
EXPECT THE
QUALITY OF
SERVICES TO
REDUCE
55%
said that the focus
on quality supported
transformational change.
While the majority of
finance directors do
not expect quality to
deteriorate, the most
vulnerable areas identified
were access and
waiting times.
Provider trusts’ top two cost pressures are the costs of
increasing demand for services and the costs of increasing
the numbers of nursing staff employed. Commissioners’ main
cost pressures are emergency care, continuing healthcare
and increasing demand. Finance directors told us they plan to
deal with these cost pressures by redesigning jobs to reduce
the cost of staff numbers, reducing clinical variation and
integrating community, mental health and acute services.
AVERAGE CCG SAVINGS
TARGETS REPORTED
FOR PROVIDER TRUSTS IT WAS
2014/15 & 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16
SAVINGS
TARGETS
2.8% 4.8% 4.7%
Almost 5 out of every 6
provider trust finance directors
in our sample identified their
main concern about the
financial position of their local
health economy as the lack of
system management.
There is concern amongst finance
directors about the Better Care Fund
YES
YES
NO
NO
DON’T
KNOW
DON’T
KNOW
WITHIN 1 YEAR
WITHIN 1 TO 3 YEARS
AFTER 3 YEARS
WITHIN 1 YEAR
WITHIN 1 TO 3 YEARS
AFTER 3 YEARS
TRUSTS
CCGs
TRUSTS
CCGs
TRUSTS
CCGs
TRUSTS
CCGs
TRUSTS
CCGs
TRUSTS
CCGs
2%
11%
18%
52%
25%
62%
4%
13%
16%
47%
26%
57%
2% of provider trust
finance directors and 11%
of CCG CFOs think that the Better
Care Fund will help to improve
their organisation’s services for
patients and service users
in the first year.
This rose to 18% and 52%
respectively within 1 to 3 years
and to 25% and 62% respectively
after three years.
4% of provider trust finance
directors and 13% of CCG CFOs
think that the Better Care Fund
will lead to cost savings for their
organisations within 1 year.
This rose to 16% and 47%
respectively within 1 to 3 years
and to 26% and 57% respectively
after three years.
Only 4% of provider
trust finance directors
and 34% of CCG CFOs
think that the benefits
set out in the Better
Care Fund plans will
be achieved.
76%
78%
43%
26%
30%
17%
78%
83%
46%
35%
38%
24%
22%
11%
39%
22%
45%
21%
18%
4%
38%
18%
36%
19%
HFMA believes there are
five areas that should be
focused on over the coming
months to ensure that
NHS organisations remain
clinically, financially and
operationally sustainable.
FASTER PROGRESS ON LARGE
TRANSFORMATION SCHEMES IS ESSENTIAL
OPEN AND HONEST DEBATE IS NEEDED WITH
THE PUBLIC AND POLITICIANS ABOUT THE
FINANCIAL CHALLENGES
THE BROAD RANGE OF SKILLS AND EXPERIENCES
THAT FINANCE STAFF POSSESS SHOULD BE FULLY
EXPLOITED AND USED TO BEST EFFECT
SOLID FOUNDATIONS ARE NEEDED TO ENSURE THE
BENEFITS OF THE BETTER CARE FUND ARE DELIVERED
AND THE RISKS APPROPRIATELY MANAGED
THE FOCUS SHOULD BE ON OBTAINING THE MAXIMUM
VALUE FOR EVERY POUND CURRENTLY SPENT IN THE NHS

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HFMA NHS Finance Temperature Check Infographic

  • 1. NHS FINANCIAL TEMPERATURE CHECK JUNE 2014 Finance directors’ views on the financial challenges facing the NHS £ £ £ £ £
  • 2. At the end of the 2013/14 financial year local NHS organisations reported an overall surplus of £604 million, which was £194 million below plan.1 1 CCG and FT figures based on draft, unaudited figures 2 This figure of £712m is comprised of a £97m underspend in 2013/14 and money brought forward that was formerly associated with primary care trusts. CCGs CCGs NHS TRUSTS NHS TRUSTS NHSFOUNDATION TRUSTS NHSFOUNDATION TRUSTS £712 MILLION2 £97 MILLION (£241) MILLION (£165) MILLION £133 MILLION (£126) MILLION SURPLUS (DEFICIT) UNDERSPEND (OVERSPEND) AGAINST PLAN
  • 3. The number of organisations overspending or reporting a deficit has increased since the 2012/13 financial year and more organisations reported a deficit than planned to at the start of the 2013/14 financial year. The financial pressures were more visible in the year-end performance of provider trusts. PLANNED TO MAKE A DEFICIT IN 2013/14 PLANNED SAVINGS, AS A PERCENTAGE OF OPERATING COSTS/ EXPENDITURE ACTUAL PERCENTAGE REPORTING A DEFICIT IN 2013/14 REPORTED SAVINGS, AS A PERCENTAGE OF OPERATING COSTS/ EXPENDITURE ACTUAL PERCENTAGE REPORTING A DEFICIT IN 2012/13 2013/14 SAVINGS PERCENTAGE OF RECURRENT SAVINGS PERCENTAGE OF NON-RECURRENT SAVINGS ORGANISATION TYPE ORGANISATION TYPE CCGs NHS TRUSTS FTs TOTAL CCGs PROVIDER TRUSTS 4% 25% 13% 12% 2.5% 4.8% 9% 25% 27% 18% 2.3% 4.5% n/a 5% 14% n/a 86% 83% 14% 17% Finance directors told us they had not achieved all the savings they had planned. It is becoming clear that finance directors are increasingly looking to large-scale reconfiguration of services as the source of future savings.
  • 4. Finance directors reported difficulties with the 2014/15 commissioning round. We asked CCG Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) if they had signed their contracts with providers trusts by the 28 February deadline. HAD NOT SIGNED ANY OF THEIR CONTRACTS HAD SIGNED ALL THEIR CONTRACTS HAD SIGNED SOME CONTRACTS BUT NOT ALL OF THEM 54% 6% 40% BY 28 FEB HAD NOT BEEN SIGNED AND HAD NOT AGREED ACTIVITY AND FINANCIAL VALUE HAD REACHED AGREEMENT ABOUT ACTIVITY AND FINANCIAL VALUE OF CONTRACTS HAD BEEN SIGNED 28% 29% 43% NHS England reported that as at 8 May 2014 the majority of contracts had been signed or agreed by CCGs.
  • 5. Finance directors reported increasing pessimism about their organisation’s ability to meet future financial targets for 2014/15 and beyond. PROVIDER TRUSTS 2014/15 CCGs 2014/15 PROVIDER TRUSTS 2015/16 CCGs 2015/16 TOO EARLY TO SAY NOT AT ALL NOT VERY QUITE VERY 44% 3% 17% 30% 6% 25% 2% 20% 34% 20% 44% 13% 31% 11% 1% 51% 2% 23% 18% 7% HOW CONFIDENT ARE FINANCE DIRECTORS OF ACHIEVING THE FINANCIAL TARGETS SET OUT IN THEIR ORGANISATION’S FINANCIAL PLANS IN 2014/15 AND 2015/16?
  • 6. Despite being pessimistic about the financial position of the NHS for the current and future years, finance directors are optimistic that quality will not be affected. 53% EXPECT THE QUALITY OF SERVICES TO STAY THE SAME 39% EXPECT THE QUALITY OF SERVICES TO IMPROVE 8% EXPECT THE QUALITY OF SERVICES TO REDUCE 55% said that the focus on quality supported transformational change. While the majority of finance directors do not expect quality to deteriorate, the most vulnerable areas identified were access and waiting times.
  • 7. Provider trusts’ top two cost pressures are the costs of increasing demand for services and the costs of increasing the numbers of nursing staff employed. Commissioners’ main cost pressures are emergency care, continuing healthcare and increasing demand. Finance directors told us they plan to deal with these cost pressures by redesigning jobs to reduce the cost of staff numbers, reducing clinical variation and integrating community, mental health and acute services. AVERAGE CCG SAVINGS TARGETS REPORTED FOR PROVIDER TRUSTS IT WAS 2014/15 & 2015/16 2014/15 2015/16 SAVINGS TARGETS 2.8% 4.8% 4.7%
  • 8. Almost 5 out of every 6 provider trust finance directors in our sample identified their main concern about the financial position of their local health economy as the lack of system management.
  • 9. There is concern amongst finance directors about the Better Care Fund YES YES NO NO DON’T KNOW DON’T KNOW WITHIN 1 YEAR WITHIN 1 TO 3 YEARS AFTER 3 YEARS WITHIN 1 YEAR WITHIN 1 TO 3 YEARS AFTER 3 YEARS TRUSTS CCGs TRUSTS CCGs TRUSTS CCGs TRUSTS CCGs TRUSTS CCGs TRUSTS CCGs 2% 11% 18% 52% 25% 62% 4% 13% 16% 47% 26% 57% 2% of provider trust finance directors and 11% of CCG CFOs think that the Better Care Fund will help to improve their organisation’s services for patients and service users in the first year. This rose to 18% and 52% respectively within 1 to 3 years and to 25% and 62% respectively after three years. 4% of provider trust finance directors and 13% of CCG CFOs think that the Better Care Fund will lead to cost savings for their organisations within 1 year. This rose to 16% and 47% respectively within 1 to 3 years and to 26% and 57% respectively after three years. Only 4% of provider trust finance directors and 34% of CCG CFOs think that the benefits set out in the Better Care Fund plans will be achieved. 76% 78% 43% 26% 30% 17% 78% 83% 46% 35% 38% 24% 22% 11% 39% 22% 45% 21% 18% 4% 38% 18% 36% 19%
  • 10. HFMA believes there are five areas that should be focused on over the coming months to ensure that NHS organisations remain clinically, financially and operationally sustainable. FASTER PROGRESS ON LARGE TRANSFORMATION SCHEMES IS ESSENTIAL OPEN AND HONEST DEBATE IS NEEDED WITH THE PUBLIC AND POLITICIANS ABOUT THE FINANCIAL CHALLENGES THE BROAD RANGE OF SKILLS AND EXPERIENCES THAT FINANCE STAFF POSSESS SHOULD BE FULLY EXPLOITED AND USED TO BEST EFFECT SOLID FOUNDATIONS ARE NEEDED TO ENSURE THE BENEFITS OF THE BETTER CARE FUND ARE DELIVERED AND THE RISKS APPROPRIATELY MANAGED THE FOCUS SHOULD BE ON OBTAINING THE MAXIMUM VALUE FOR EVERY POUND CURRENTLY SPENT IN THE NHS