14th m ay,2015 daily exclusive oryza rice e newsletter by riceplus magazine

Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter
www.ricepluss.com
1
Daily Exclusive ORYZA RiceNewsletter
Volume 5, Issue I
14th May, 2015

www.ricepluss.com
2
Conab Estimates Brazil 2014-15 Paddy Rice
Production at 12.399 Million Tons, Up 2%
from Last Year
May 14, 2015
Brazil’s National Grains Supply Company (Conab) has forecasted the country's 2014-15 paddy
rice production at around 12.399 million tons (around 8.43 million tons, basis milled), up about
2% from around 12.121 million tons (around 8.24 million tons, basis milled) in 2013-14, and
slightly up from its March forecast of around 12.397 million tons.Conab has estimated Brazil's
2014-15 paddy rice acreage at around 2.331 million hectares, down about 1.7% from around 2.373
million hectares in 2013-14. Paddy rice acreage in the key rice growing Centro-Sul (Center-South) region
is projected at 1.553 million hectares in 2014-15, slightly down from around 1.565 million hectares in
2013-14. Rice acreage in the North/Northeast regions is estimated at around 777,600 hectares, down 4%
from around 808,400 hectares in 2013-14.Average rice yield in Brazil in 2014-15 is projected at around
5.320 tons per hectare, up about 4% from around 5.108 tons per hectare recorded in the previous year.
USDA estimates Brazil MY 2014-15 (April – March) paddy rice production at around 12.206
million tons (around 8.3 million tons, basis milled), unchanged from MY 2013-14. It estimates
Brazil’s 2014-15 paddy rice acreage also to remain at last year's level of around 2.4 million

www.ricepluss.com
3
hectares. USDA estimates Brazil to export around one million tons of rice and import around
790,000 tons of rice in 2015.
Global Rice Quotes
May 14th, 2015
Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade 380-390 ↔
Vietnam 5% broken 350-360 ↔
India 5% broken 370-380 ↔
Pakistan 5% broken 390-400 ↔
Myanmar 5% broken 415-425 ↔
Cambodia 5% broken 430-440 ↔
U.S. 4% broken 470-480 ↓
Uruguay 5% broken 565-575 ↔
Argentina 5% broken 555-565 ↔
Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken 350-360 ↔
Pakistan 25% broken 345-355 ↔
Cambodia 25% broken 410-420 ↔
India 25% broken 345-355 ↔
U.S. 15% broken 460-470 ↓
Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd 370-380 ↔
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 390-400 ↔
India parboiled 5% broken stxd 360-370 ↔
U.S. parboiled 4% broken 555-565 ↔
Brazil parboiled 5% broken 570-580 ↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ ↔
Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92% 875-885 ↔
Vietnam Jasmine 490-500 ↔
India basmati 2% broken NQ ↔
Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ ↔
Cambodia Phka Mails 815-825 ↔
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super 315-325 ↔

www.ricepluss.com
4
Pakistan 100% broken stxd 290-300 ↔
Cambodia A1 Super 350-360 ↔
India 100% broken stxd 270-280 ↔
Egypt medium grain brokens NQ ↔
U.S. pet food 365-375 ↓
Brazil half grain NQ ↔
All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com
China May Allow Market Access to Indian
Non-Basmati Rice Soon, Say Exporters
May 14, 2015

www.ricepluss.com
5
Indian Rice Exporters have expressed confidence that China may grant market access to Indian
non-basmati rice shipments shortly during the Indian Prime Minister's visit to Beijing this week,
according to local sources.The Chinese authorities have been blocking non-basmati shipments
from India as adequate quality protocols and phyto-sanitary norms have not be defined between
the two countries.
Indian exporters say China currently imports rice from Pakistan, Vietnam and Thailand. They
noted that India has a potential to export up to one million tons of non-basmati rice to China.
One of the top exporters added that India can in fact offer better quality, price and a wider
variety to the Chinese customers.A Commerce Ministry official told local sources that the
Ministry had suggested to the Chinese authorities to adopt the same protocol that exists for
basmati rice shipments for the non-basmati shipments also. The Ministry officials have
reportedly sent the requisite documents for establishing the quality protocol to China's General
Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine (AQSIQ). “The AQSIQ
required certain documents to extend the protocol existing for basmati rice to non-basmati, and
we have already sent them,” the official was quoted as saying.
According to local sources, though China has agreed to import Indian basmati rice in 2012, so far
not much progress is seen in the volume of direct shipments to China due to lingering concerns
about Indian basmati rice being infested with 'khapra beetle'. However, some basmati shipments
are understood to be routed through Hong Kong. The Chinese authorities are still in the process
of registering the Indian mills.Increasing rice exports to China has been on the agenda of the
government as part of efforts to contain increasing trade deficit with the neighboring country. In
January this year, an official from the Commerce Ministry noted that India's trade deficit with
China currently stands at around $32 billion and is expected to cross $40 billion by the end of
this fiscal year.
USDA Post Estimates China Rice Imports to
Remain Stable at 4.3 Million Tons in MY
2015-16
May 14, 2015

www.ricepluss.com
6
USDA Post has estimated MY 2015-16 (July - June) rice imports at around 4.3 million tons,
unchanged from MY 2013-14, due to a slight increase in production. The Post reports that
Chinese preference for imported rice is increasing due to reports in response to reports of heavy
metals and high pesticideresidues in some locally produced rice. The government is understood
to closely monitor and regulate rice imports as part of its food security strategy.The Post
estimates China's MY 2015-16 milled rice production at around 146.3 million tons, up about 1%
from an estimated 144.5 million tons due to government's continued support to the rice sector as
part of its food security strategy. The Post estimates China's MY 2015-16 paddy rice acreage to
remain unchanged from last year's 30.3 million hectares.
The Post estimates China's MY 2015-16 rice exports to decline to around 350,000 tons, down
about 12.5% from an estimated 400,000 tons in the previous year.USDA Post estimates rice
ending stocks to decline to around 46.35 million tons in MY 2015- 16 down about 1.6% from an
estimated 47.1 million tons last year due to an estimated increase in consumption by about 2% to
around 151 million tons.The Post reports that the government continued to purchase japonica and
indica rice at a specified floor price in major rice producing provinces in MY 2014-15 to

www.ricepluss.com
7
encourage production. The government will auction the rice thus purchased later in the
marketing year.
FAO Estimates Japan 2015-16 Rice Acreage
to Decline Slightly Due to Prevailing Low
Prices
May 13, 2015
The UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) estimates a slight decline in planting area
due to prevailing low prices in the market. Planting of the 2015 rice crop started in April and will
continue until the end of May. The FAO estimates Japan's 2015 aggregate paddy production at
around 10.5 million tons (around 7.67 million tons, basis milled), down about 1% from around
10.6 million tons (around 7.74 million tons, basis milled) in 2014 due to a slight decline in
planting area.

www.ricepluss.com
8
The FAO estimates Japan's 2015-16 (April-March) rice imports at around 700,000 tons. It
estimates total cereal imports during the year at around 25.4 million tons, slightly down from
around 25.52 million tons last year.USDA estimates Japan to produce about 10.772 million tons
of paddy (around 7.84 million tons, basis milled) in MY 2014-15 (November - October) and
import around 700,000 tons of rice in 2015.
U.S. 2015-16 All Rice Supplies and Ending
Stocks Expected to Increase, Says USDA
Report
May 13, 2015

www.ricepluss.com
9
In its latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, the USDA has
forecasts U.S. 2015-16 all rice supplies to increase 3% y/y to around 12.99 million tons and
accordingly forecasts U.S. 2015-16 all rice ending stocks to increase about 11% y/y to around
2.15 million tons.USDA estimates U.S. 2015-16 all rice planted area and harvested area to
decline slightly to around 1.17 million hectares and 1.16 million hectares respectively. It
estimates U.S. 2015-16 all rice production to decline slightly to around 9.93 million tons. While
the long-grain production is estimated to decline slightly to around 7.35 million tons, combined
medium and short-grain production is estimated to decline about 2.6% to around 2.59 million
tons.
U.S. 2015-16 all rice exports are expected to increase about 3% y/y to around 4.9 million tons.
While long-grain rice exports are estimated to increase about 4% y/y to around 3.45 million tons,
combined medium and short-grain rice exports are expected to remain at last year's level of 1.45
million tons. USDA estimates U.S. 2015-16 all rice imports to increase about 2% y/y to around
1.11 million tons.
U.S. 2015-16 all rice farm prices are expected to decline slightly to around 271.17 - 293.21 per
ton from around $291.00 - $299.83 per ton. USDA estimates long-grain rice farm prices to
decline to around $220.46 - $242.51 per ton and estimates combined medium and short-grain
farm prices to increase to around $392.42 - $414.46 per ton.
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Muted
Market as Sellers Stay on Sidelines
May 13, 2015
The U.S. cash market was unchanged today and very quiet as sellers remain on the sidelines,
anticipating a price rebound despite burdensome stocks and limited demand.Analysts contend
that the current price level is below the cost production and that most would rather hold on to
their crop as long as they can before selling for a loss; however, other analysts believe that it may
be wise to cut your losses now as farmers plant a crop just shy of the size of last year's.

www.ricepluss.com
10
Thailand Rice Exports Increase for Second
Consecutive Month in March 2015
May 14, 2015

www.ricepluss.com
11
Thai rice exports have increased for the second consecutive month in March 2015 after declining
by more than half in January 2015, according to data from Thai Rice Exporters Association
(TREA). Thailand has exported around 785,891 tons of rice in March 2015, up about 7% from
around 732,151 tons exported in February 2015, and down about 2% from around 799,534 tons
exported in March 2014, according to TREA. In value terms, Thailand’s rice exports earned
about $384.9 million from total rice exports in March 2015, up about 4% from around $369.58
million earned in February 2015, and down about 4% from around $402.54 million earned in
March 2014.
In March 2015, white rice exports accounted for around 392,760 tons (about 50% of total March
2015 exports), Hom Mali rice exports accounted for about 120,211 tons (about 15% of total
March exports), brokens accounted for 98,754 tons (about 12.5% of total March 2015 exports),
glutinous variety accounted for 12,659 tons (about 1.6% of total March 2015 exports), parboiled
rice accounted for about 157,057 tons (about 20% of total March 2015 exports) and
husked/brown rice accounted for about 4,450 tons (about 0.5% of total March 2015
exports). Average export prices of all varieties of rice except glutinous rice have declined during
the month. Average export prices of white rice witnessed the highest decline of about 7% month-
on-month in March 2015, while average export prices of glutinous rice increased by about 1%
month-on-month during the month.Thailand exported around 2.128 million tons of rice in the
first three months of 2015, slightly down from around 2.205 million tons exported during the
same period last year. Thai government is keen on exporting over 10 million tons of rice this
year.
Asia Rice Quotes Unchanged Today
May 14, 2015
Asia rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged today.
5% Broken Rice
Thailand 5% rice is indicated at around $370 - $380 per ton, about a $20 per ton premium on
Vietnam 5% rice shown at around $350 - $360 per ton. India 5% rice is indicated at around $370
- $380 per ton, about a $20 per ton discount to Pakistan 5% rice shown at around $390 - $400 per
ton.
25% Broken Rice

www.ricepluss.com
12
Thailand 25% rice is shown at around $350 - $360 per ton, about a $20 per ton premium on
Vietnam 25% rice shown at around $330- $340 per ton. India 25% rice is indicated at around
$345 - $355, on par with Pakistan 25% rice shown at around $345 - $355 per ton.
Parboiled Rice
Thailand parboiled rice is indicated at around $370 - $380 per ton. India parboiled rice is
indicated at around $360 - $370 per ton, about a $30 per ton discount to Pakistan parboiled rice
shown at around $390 - $400 per ton.
100% Broken Rice
Thailand broken rice, A1 Super, is indicated at around $315 - $325 per ton, about a $10 per ton
premium on Vietnam 100% broken rice shown at around $305 - $315 per ton. India's 100%
broken rice is shown at around $270 - $280 per ton, about a $20 per ton discount to Pakistan
broken sortexed rice shown at around $290 - $300 per ton.
Government of India Forecasts 2014-15 Rice
Production at 102.54 Million Tons, Down 4%
from Last Year
May 13, 2015
The government of India, in its third advance estimates for major crops, has estimated India's
rice production for 2014-15 marketing year (October 2014 - September 2015) at around 102.54

www.ricepluss.com
13
million tons, down about 4% from an estimated 106.65 million tons in 2013-14, according to a
statement from the agriculture Ministry.The decline can be attributed to late arrival of monsoons
in June 2014 delaying the kharif main rice crop planting process in many key rice growing areas.
Unseasonal rains and hailstorms during February and March this year are also understood to
have significantly impacted production of rabi rice crops.According to government sources,
India's total food grain production, which includes Kharif (June - December) and Rabi
(November - March) crops, in 2014-15 is likely to reach around 251.12 million tons, down about
5% from last year's 265.57 million tons.
In its first advanced estimates, the Indian government has estimated 2014-15 (October 2014 -
September 2015) kharif rice production at around 88.02 million tons, down about 4% from
around 91.69 million tons produced during the same time in 2013-14.USDA estimates India's
milled rice production at 102.5 million tons in MY 2014-15 (October - September), down about
4% from an estimated 106.54 million tons produced in MY 2013-14. It expects India to export
around 10.2 million tons of rice during 2015, slightly up from an estimated 10.15 million tons in
2014.
High Production Costs and Government's
Lacklustre Measures Hampering Pakistan
Rice Exports, Say Exporters
May 13, 2015
Pakistan's rice
exporters have
expressed concern
that high rice
production costs, lack
of research and
government's
lacklustre attitude
towards the rice
sector have been
hampering rice
exports of Pakistan, according to local sources.They say the high production costs do not allow
farmers and exporters to price their rice competitively in the international market. They noted
that Pakistan's basmati rice is priced nearly $100 to $150 per ton above India's basmati rice. They

www.ricepluss.com
14
added that due to high prices, Pakistan's growers and exporters are holding about five million tons of
rice, including basmati, in stocks. They noted that if the current stocks cannot be sold this year, farmers
may be discouraged to plant rice next year, which is detrimental to the country's rice sector.
Therefore, the Rice Exporters Association of Pakistan (REAP) had met with the Ministry of
National Food Security and Research and sought measures to reduce the production costs as well
as invest more in research in order to introduce more newer varieties of rice. They also requested
the government to subsidize rice exports and help them dispose of the existing stock.Ministry
sources told local sources that the Ministry has directed concerned representatives in various
provinces to take relevant measures to bring down production costs as well as enhance
yields.USDA estimates Pakistan's MY 2014-15 (November - October) milled rice production to
increase about 3% to around 6.9 million tons (around 10.35 million tons, basis paddy) from
around 6.7 million tons (around 10.05 million tons, basis paddy) in MY 2013-14. It estimates
Pakistan to export around 3.8 million tons of rice in 2015.
FAO Estimates Cambodia Rice Exports to
Increase in 2015
May 13, 2015

www.ricepluss.com
15
The UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) estimates Cambodia's rice exports
(including official and unofficial exports to Thailand and Vietnam) to increase in 2015. In its
previous report, the FAO forecasted Cambodia's 2014-15 rice exports to increase about 15% y/y
to around 1.15 million tons.The FAO forecasts exports of all cereals, including rice, at around
1.5 million tons, up 9% from last year.
The UN agency estimates Cambodia's total paddy rice production in 2015 at around 9.3 million
tons (around 5.76 million tons, basis milled). Planting of the 2015 main (wet) season paddy crop
(June - February), which accounts for 80% of Cambodia's total paddy rice production, is
expected to start in June and continue till October. The FAO estimates output from the 2015
main season rice crop at around 7.2 million tons, up about 1% from last year.Average wholesale
prices remained stable or declined in April 2015 in major cities due to increasing supplies from
the 2014-15 good harvests.
USDA estimates Cambodia MY 2014-15 (January 2015 - December 2015) paddy rice production
at around 7.344 million tons (around 4.7 million tons, milled basis), slightly down from around
7.383 million tons (around 4.725 million tons, milled basis) in MY 2013-14. It estimates
Cambodia to export around 1.1 million tons of rice in 2015, up about 10% from an estimated 1
million tons in 2014.

14th m ay,2015 daily exclusive oryza rice e newsletter by riceplus magazine

Recommended

Recommended

More Related Content

What's hot

What's hot (20)

Viewers also liked

Viewers also liked (15)

Similar to 14th m ay,2015 daily exclusive oryza rice e newsletter by riceplus magazine

Similar to 14th m ay,2015 daily exclusive oryza rice e newsletter by riceplus magazine (11)

Recently uploaded

Recently uploaded (20)

14th m ay,2015 daily exclusive oryza rice e newsletter by riceplus magazine