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Jefferies 2015 Global Energy Conference
Houston, Texas | November 11, 2015
Page 2
Curtis Dinan
Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Page 3
Forward-Looking Statements
Statements contained in this presentation that include company expectations or predictions should be considered
forward-looking statements that are covered by the safe harbor provisions of the Securities Act of 1933 and the
Securities and Exchange Act of 1934.
It is important to note that the actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking
statements.
For additional information that could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements, refer
to ONE Gas’ Securities and Exchange Commission filings.
All future cash dividends (declared or paid) discussed in this presentation are subject to the approval of the ONE Gas
board of directors.
All references in this presentation to guidance are based on news releases issued on Dec. 1, 2014, and October 28,
2015, and are not being updated or affirmed by this presentation.
Page 4
Key Points
Competitive Strengths
– 100% regulated natural gas utility focus
– Third largest publicly traded natural gas distributor
Regulatory Overview
– Mechanisms and timelines
Financial
– Maintain conservative financial posture
– Capital investments result in rate base growth
Creating value for stakeholders
– Employees, customers, investors and communities
Highlights
Page 5
• Third largest publicly traded natural gas
distribution company
– 2.1 million customers
• 42,500 miles of distribution and
transmission pipeline
• Estimated 2015 average rate base:
$2.7 billion*
– 42% in Oklahoma
– 33% in Kansas
– 25% in Texas
• ~3,400 employees
Company Overview
Key Statistics
* Calculation consistent with utility ratemaking in each jurisdiction
72% market share
87% market share
14% market share
Page 6
Competitive Strengths
Page 7
Competitive Strengths
Sustainable Business
Focused business strategy
• 100% regulated natural gas distribution utility
• Third largest publicly traded natural gas distributor
Significant scale
• 2.1 million customers
• High percentage of residential customers and fixed charges
Proximity to natural gas resources
• Located near prolific shale plays
• Long-term access to affordable reserves
Constructive regulatory environment
• Multiple mechanisms and riders
• Regulatory diversity
Conservative financial profile • Commitment to “A-level” investment-grade credit ratings
Page 8
Significant Scale
High Percentage of Fixed Charges
Kansas Oklahoma Texas Total
Fixed Charges – Sales
customers¹
53% 86% 71% 71%
Average Annual Heating
Degree Days – Normal
4,860 3,317 1,788 -
Weather Normalization 100% 100% 62% 89%
Governance
Kansas Corporation Commission
(three commissioners appointed
by the governor to four-year
staggered terms)
Oklahoma Corporation
Commission (three
commissioners elected to six-
year staggered terms)
“Home Rule” with 10
jurisdictions (Texas Railroad
Commission has appellate
authority)
Note: Based on 2014 annual results
¹ Fixed percentage of total net margin on natural gas sales
Page 9
2014
Significant Scale
High Percentage of Residential Customers
2014
Customer Count*
83%
16%
1%
Residential Commercial/Industrial Other
92%
7% 1%
Net Sales Margin*
Customer Type
* Excludes transportation
Page 10
Proximity to Natural Gas Supply
• Close proximity to significant
natural gas reserves
• Delivered natural gas costs are
comprised primarily of:
– Cost of the commodity
– Transportation costs
– Storage fees
Location Supports Sustainability
Kansas
City
Wichita
Tulsa
Oklahoma
City
Austin
El
Paso
ONE Gas Natural Gas Distribution Areas
Natural Gas Basins
Natural Gas Shale Plays
Eagle Ford
Permian
Basin
Mississippian
Lime
Cana-
Woodford
Granite Wash
Woodford
Shale
Barnett
Shale
Topeka
Page 11
Natural Gas vs. Electricity
3-to-1 Average Advantage Continues in ONE Gas Territories
(1) Source: United States Energy Information Agency, www.eia.gov, for the eleven-month period ended November 30, 2014.
(2) Represents the average delivered cost of natural gas to a residential customer, including the cost of the natural gas supplied, fixed customer charge, delivery charges and charges for
riders, surcharges and other regulatory mechanisms associated with the services we provide, for the year ended December 31, 2014.
(3) Calculated as the ratio of the natural gas price equivalent per dekatherm of the average retail price of electricity per kilowatt hour to the ONE Gas delivered average cost of natural gas
per dekatherm.
Average retail price of
electricity / kWh (1)
Natural gas price equivalent
of electricity / Dth (1)
ONE Gas delivered cost of
natural gas / Dth (2)
Natural gas
advantage ratio (3)
Kansas 12.21¢ $35.79 $9.97 3.6x
Oklahoma 9.63¢ $28.22 $10.73 2.6x
Texas 11.94¢ $34.99 $11.21 3.1x
Page 12
Regulatory Overview
Page 13
Regulatory Mechanisms
• Oklahoma Natural Gas
– Performance-based rate structure (PBR) with a targeted ROE between 10-11 percent that provides
for annual rate reviews between rate cases*
• Kansas Gas Service
– Gas System Reliability Surcharge (GSRS) – for incremental safety-related and government-
mandated capital investments made between rate cases
• Texas Gas Service
– Cost-of-service adjustments and El Paso Annual Rate Review (EPARR) for capital investments and
certain changes in operating expenses
– Gas Reliability Infrastructure Program (GRIP) for capital investments made between rate cases
Overview
* Continuation of performance-based rate structure and ROE will be determined in 2015 general rate case
Page 14
Regulatory Filing Timeline
Oklahoma & Kansas
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Filed general rate case application in July 2015, with
new rates effective early 2016, if applicable
Pending outcome of rate case, performance-based
rates filing anticipated March 2017
ONG
Pending outcome of rate case, performance-based
rates filing anticipated March 2018
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
GSRS filed August 2015, with new
rates effective January 2016
General rate case application filing in mid-2016, with
new rates effective January 2017, if applicable
KGS
GSRS filing August 2017, with new
rates effective January 2018
GSRS filing August 2018, with new
rates effective January 2019
Pending outcome of rate case, performance-based
rates filing anticipated March 2016
Page 15
Regulatory Filing Timeline
• El Paso Service Area
– EPARR filing annually, with new rates effective each August, if applicable
– GRIP filings in environs
• Central Texas Service Area (includes Austin)
– Annual GRIP filings
– Rate case required by 2016
• Remainder of Texas
– Annual cost of service adjustment filings in six jurisdictions
– Annual GRIP filings in two jurisdictions
– Rate cases as needed
Texas
Page 16
Regulatory Update
• Oklahoma
– July 2015: Filed a request with the Oklahoma Corporation Commission (OCC) for an increase in base rates of $50.4 million;
if approved, new rates effective early 2016
• Kansas
– August 2015: Filed a $2.4 million request for interim rate relief under the GSRS rider; if approved, new rates effective
January 2016
– November 2014: Kansas Corporation Commission approved request for rate relief under the GSRS for approximately
$3.5 million
• Texas
– August 2015: Cities in the El Paso service area approved an annual increase in revenues of $8.55 million, with $8.0 million
applicable to the incorporated cities, resulting from the EPARR filing
– May 2015: Austin City Council approved request for interim rate relief under the GRIP statute for approximately $3.7 million
– Received approval for interim rate relief under the GRIP statute and cost-of-service adjustments in various Texas jurisdictions
totaling approximately $4.7 million in 2015
Recent Activity
Page 17
• July 8, 2015 – General rate case application filed
– OCC has 180 days to consider the proposed rate changes
• Nov. 18, 2015 – Hearing on the merits of the request
Regulatory Update
Request Breakdown
Amount requested $50.4 million
Customer impact $4.98 per month increase for typical residential customer
Rate base $1.2 billion
Return on equity 10.5% (unchanged from previous general rate case)
Common equity ratio 60.5% (actual as of March 31, 2015)
Debt costs 3.95%
Additional request Continuation of Performance Based Rate Change (PBR) plan
Oklahoma Natural Gas Rate Case Status
Page 18
Projected Rate Base
By State
42%
33%
25%
2015 Estimated Rate Base
Total: $2.7 billion*
Oklahoma Kansas Texas
* Estimated average rate base; calculation consistent with utility ratemaking in
each jurisdiction
• Projected rate base consists of:
+ Property, plant and equipment
+ Working capital
+ Other rate base items
– Accumulated deferred income taxes
– Accumulated depreciation
+ / –
Page 19
Opportunity to Narrow the Gap
• Goal: Minimize the gap between allowed and actual
returns
– 2015 ROE estimate: 7.4%
– 2014 ROE achieved: 7.6%
– 2013 ROE achieved: 8.0%
– 2012 ROE achieved: 8.3%
Return on Equity
Page 20
Financial Overview
Page 21
2015 Guidance
Updated October 2015
$200
$216
$220*
$225
$235
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G
Operating Income
* Includes $10.2 million charge related to separation
** Calculation consistent with utility ratemaking in each jurisdiction
• Net income: narrowed range to
$113-$118 million
• Operating income midpoint:
$235 million
• Capital expenditures: $300 million
• Estimated 2015 average rate base:
$2.7 billion**
Page 22
• Majority of capital expenditures for safety,
reliability and efficiency
– System integrity and replacements
– Efficiency
• Automated meter reading (70% coverage)
• Operational efficiency efforts
• New service lines and main extensions
for customer growth
• 2015 by state:
– Oklahoma: ~40%
– Kansas: ~30%
– Texas: ~30%
Capital Expenditures
Capital Spending Exceeds Depreciation
$23 $19 $34 $27 $15
$31 $37
$55
$46 $62
$7 $5
$3 $41
$15
$182
$219 $195 $180
$208
$106 $112 $112 $119
$132
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G
(inmillions)
Efficiency Customer Growth
IT/Other System Integrity
Depreciation
$243
$280 $287 $294
Note: Capital expenditures include accruals and any adjustments in the year.
$300
~70%
Page 23
• Target dividend payout ratio of 55-
65% of net income
• Capital expenditures primarily
funded by cash flow from
operations
• Dividend of 30 cents per share per
quarter
2015 Cash Flow
Sources Uses
(inmillions)
Short-term debt and
working capital changes
$112
Dividends
$65
Capital
expenditures
$300Cash flow from
operations*
$253
$365 $365
Sources and Uses
* Before changes in working capital
Page 24
Five-year Financial Outlook
• Expected average annual net income growth of 5-8% between 2014 and
2019
– Driven by capital investments and customer growth
– Rate base expected to grow an average of 5-6% per year between 2014-2019
• Expected average annual dividend growth of 6-8% between 2014 and 2019
– Target dividend payout ratio of 55-65% of net income
• Expected capital expenditures of between $300-$325 million per year in
2015-2019
Announced December 2014
Page 25
• Strong liquidity position will support capital
expenditure and working capital needs
– Stable operating cash flows
– $700 million revolving credit facility
– Commercial paper program
• Strong investment-grade credit ratings
Investment Grade
Commitment to Investment-Grade Ratings
Equity
60%
Long-term debt
40%
Capital Structure
As of September 30, 2015
Rating Agency Rating Outlook
Moody’s A2 Stable
S&P A- Stable
Page 26
Creating Value for Stakeholders
Page 27
Creating Value for Stakeholders
• Capital investments targeted toward safety, reliability and efficiency
– Approximately 70% of annual forecast
– Efficiency projects reduce expenses to sustainable levels
• Minimize gap between actual and allowed returns
– Annual filings for rate adjustments between rate cases
– File rate cases as warranted
• Develop incremental sources of regulated revenue
– Transportation revenues to new compressed natural gas (CNG) stations
– Transportation revenues to distributed generation
Strategic Focus
Page 28
• Currently operate 26 fueling stations accessible
to the public
• Currently transporting supply to 52 retail and 42
private CNG stations
• Increased CNG volumes 22% between Q3 2014
and Q3 2015
• Supporting industry efforts to encourage
development of more vehicle options by car and
truck manufacturers
• Industry
– Continued interest in CNG for transportation, particularly
by fleet operators
– Tax incentives further contribute to positive economics
– Increased industry investments in fueling stations
Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)
Current Environment
Public Fueling Stations
Public access stations owned and operated by ONE Gas
Page 29
Summary
Focused business strategy
– 100% regulated natural gas distribution utility
Constructive regulatory environment
– Multiple mechanisms and riders
Significant scale
– 2.1 million customers
– High percentage of residential customers and fixed charges
Conservative financial profile
– Stable earnings and cash flow
– Commitment to “A-level” investment-grade credit ratings
Key Investment Considerations
Page 30
Appendix
Page 31
2011 2012 2013 2014
Customer Growth
Projected 2015 Customer Growth ~ 0.5% to 1%
Average Customer Count
2,101
(inthousands)
2,114
2,127
2,090
Page 32
Diverse Employment Mix
Trade,
Transportation
& Utilities ²
19%
Government
19%
Education &
Health
Services
14%
Professional &
Business
Services
12%
Manufacturing
11%
Leisure &
Hospitality
9%
Other Services
6%
Financial
Activities
5%
Construction
4%
Mining ¹
1%
Kansas
Other
Services
6%
State Employment by Sector*
Government
21%
Trade,
Transportation
& Utilities ²
18%
Education &
Health
Services
14%
Professional &
Business
Services
11%
Leisure &
Hospitality 9%
Manufacturing
8%
Other Services
5%
Financial
Activities
5%
Construction
5%
Mining ¹
4%
Oklahoma
Trade,
Transportation
& Utilities ²
20%
Government
16%
Education
& Health
Services
13%
Professional
& Business
Services
13%
Leisure &
Hospitality
10%
Manufacturing
8%
Financial
Activities
6%
Construction
6%
Other Services
5%
Mining ¹
3%
Texas
* Non-farm employment, not seasonally adjusted
¹ Includes oil drilling, extraction and exploration & production companies
² Includes oil, natural gas and petroleum pipeline transportation and midstream companies
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 11/2014 data
Page 33
Capital Expenditures
By State
$100
$126 $123
$136
$130
$49 $52 $53 $57
$63
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G
(inmillions)
Oklahoma
$68 $68
$74
$82 $79
$41 $42 $39 $41 $45
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G
Kansas
Depreciation
By State
$75
$86 $90
$76
$91
$16 $18 $20 $21 $24
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G
Texas
Note: Capital expenditures include accruals and any adjustments in the year.
Page 34
Regulatory Constructs
Mechanism Oklahoma Kansas Texas*
Performance-based rates*** X
Capital investments; safety-related riders X** X X
Weather normalization X X X
Purchased Gas Adjustment/Cost of Gas riders X X X
Energy efficiency/conservation programs X X
Pension and Other Post-Retirement Benefits Trackers X** X X
Cost of Service Adjustment / El Paso Annual Rate Review X** X
By State
* 10 jurisdictions in Texas; not all mechanisms apply to each jurisdiction
** Incorporated in performance-based rates
*** Continuation of performance-based rate structure will be determined in 2015 general rate case
Page 35
Regulatory Information
By State as of September 30, 2015
Rate Base
(in millions)
Authorized
Rate of Return
Authorized
Return on Equity
Oklahoma Natural Gas¹ $979 8.535% 10-11%
Kansas Gas Service² $808 N/A N/A
Texas Gas Service¹ $639 8.17% 10.4%
¹ The rate base, authorized rate of return and authorized return on equity presented in this table are those from the last approved rate filings for each
jurisdiction. These amounts are not necessarily indicative of current or future rate bases, rates of return or returns on equity.
² Last rate case was settled without a determination of rate base, return on equity or rate of return; rate base includes the amounts included in the
company’s filings and is not necessarily indicative of current or future rate base. Rate base reflects 2013 and 2014 GSRS approvals.
Page 36
Authorized Rate Base
Historical by State
$793
$843
$896
$938
2011 2012 2013 2014
(inmillions)
Oklahoma¹
CAGR 5.8%
$744 $764 $770 $781
2011 2012 2013 2014
Kansas²
CAGR 1.6%
Historical by State
$339
$416
$504
$542
2011 2012 2013 2014
Texas¹
CAGR 16.9%
¹ Rate bases presented in this table are those from the last approved rate filings for each jurisdiction. These amounts are not necessarily
indicative of current or future rate bases.
² Last rate case was settled without a determination of rate base and includes the amounts included in the company’s filings; these
amounts are not necessarily indicative of current or future rate base. 2013 and 2014 rate base reflects GSRS approvals.
Page 37
Safety and Environment
• Ongoing effort to replace aging assets
– Retired or replaced approximately 475 miles of distribution and transmission facilities in 2014
• Currently ranked in the top quartile of American Gas Association
member companies for safe driving
– 1,032 employees recognized through company reward program in 2014
• Achieved reduction in injuries of 15% in 2014 compared with 2013
• Utilize peer-review safety process and employee training to promote
consistent, steady improvement in workplace safety
Operating Safely and Environmentally Responsibly
Page 38
Customer and Asset Mix
Key Statistics as of Dec. 31, 2014
Kansas Gas Service Oklahoma Natural Gas Texas Gas Service Total
Average Number of Customers 634,128 853,533 639,840 2,127,501
Number of Employees 1,000 1,100 700 3,300*
Service Lines – Miles 8,100 5,000 5,200 18,300
Distribution – Miles 12,000 18,200 9,600 39,800
Transmission – Miles 1,500 800 400 2,700
High-Density Cities
Kansas City,
Topeka, Wichita
Oklahoma City, Tulsa Austin, El Paso
7 cities make up the
majority of customers
Percentage of Customers in
Metropolitan Areas
58% 81% 75% 73%
Market Share - Customers Served 72% 87% 14%
* Includes corporate employees
Page 39
Cost of Gas
• Actual costs of the commodity, transportation and storage of
natural gas are passed through to customers without markup
– Natural gas used in operations is recovered in “Purchased Gas” or “Cost of Gas”
riders
• Cost of Gas component of bad debts and hedging costs are included in cost of gas
• No direct commodity risk to ONE Gas divisions
• 42 Bcf of natural gas in storage at September 30, 2015
Passed Through to Customers
Page 40
• One vehicle is equivalent to one home
• One pickup truck is equivalent to two homes
• One refuse truck is equivalent to 13 homes
• One transit bus is equivalent to 24 homes
• Incremental margins from CNG demand could mitigate residential rate
increases, enhancing competitive position and customer satisfaction
• Potential innovations in home-fueling technology
Benefits of CNG
Use of CNG Increases Load
Page 41
Non-GAAP Information
ONE Gas has disclosed in this presentation cash flow from operations before changes in working capital, which is a
non-GAAP financial measure. Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital is used as a measure of the
company's financial performance. Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital is defined as net income
adjusted for depreciation and amortization, deferred income taxes, and certain other noncash items.
The non-GAAP financial measure described above is useful to investors as an indicator of financial performance of the
company's investments to generate cash flows sufficient to support our capital expenditure programs and pay dividends
to our investors. ONE Gas cash flow from operations before changes in working capital should not be considered in
isolation or as a substitute for net income or any other measure of financial performance presented in accordance with
GAAP.
This non-GAAP financial measure excludes some, but not all, items that affect net income. Additionally, this calculation
may not be comparable with similarly titled measures of other companies. A reconciliation of cash flow from operations
before changes in working capital is included in this presentation.
Page 42
Cash Flow From Operations
Before Changes In Working Capital*
(Millions of dollars)
Updated
2015
Guidance
Previous
2015
Guidance
Change
Net Income $ 116 $ 113 $ 3
Depreciation and amortization 133 135 (2)
Deferred taxes 23 (8) 31
Other 10 13 (3)
Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital $ 282 $ 253 $ 29
* Amounts shown are midpoints of ranges provided.
11-2015 Jefferies Energy Conference

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11-2015 Jefferies Energy Conference

  • 1. Jefferies 2015 Global Energy Conference Houston, Texas | November 11, 2015
  • 2. Page 2 Curtis Dinan Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
  • 3. Page 3 Forward-Looking Statements Statements contained in this presentation that include company expectations or predictions should be considered forward-looking statements that are covered by the safe harbor provisions of the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934. It is important to note that the actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements. For additional information that could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements, refer to ONE Gas’ Securities and Exchange Commission filings. All future cash dividends (declared or paid) discussed in this presentation are subject to the approval of the ONE Gas board of directors. All references in this presentation to guidance are based on news releases issued on Dec. 1, 2014, and October 28, 2015, and are not being updated or affirmed by this presentation.
  • 4. Page 4 Key Points Competitive Strengths – 100% regulated natural gas utility focus – Third largest publicly traded natural gas distributor Regulatory Overview – Mechanisms and timelines Financial – Maintain conservative financial posture – Capital investments result in rate base growth Creating value for stakeholders – Employees, customers, investors and communities Highlights
  • 5. Page 5 • Third largest publicly traded natural gas distribution company – 2.1 million customers • 42,500 miles of distribution and transmission pipeline • Estimated 2015 average rate base: $2.7 billion* – 42% in Oklahoma – 33% in Kansas – 25% in Texas • ~3,400 employees Company Overview Key Statistics * Calculation consistent with utility ratemaking in each jurisdiction 72% market share 87% market share 14% market share
  • 7. Page 7 Competitive Strengths Sustainable Business Focused business strategy • 100% regulated natural gas distribution utility • Third largest publicly traded natural gas distributor Significant scale • 2.1 million customers • High percentage of residential customers and fixed charges Proximity to natural gas resources • Located near prolific shale plays • Long-term access to affordable reserves Constructive regulatory environment • Multiple mechanisms and riders • Regulatory diversity Conservative financial profile • Commitment to “A-level” investment-grade credit ratings
  • 8. Page 8 Significant Scale High Percentage of Fixed Charges Kansas Oklahoma Texas Total Fixed Charges – Sales customers¹ 53% 86% 71% 71% Average Annual Heating Degree Days – Normal 4,860 3,317 1,788 - Weather Normalization 100% 100% 62% 89% Governance Kansas Corporation Commission (three commissioners appointed by the governor to four-year staggered terms) Oklahoma Corporation Commission (three commissioners elected to six- year staggered terms) “Home Rule” with 10 jurisdictions (Texas Railroad Commission has appellate authority) Note: Based on 2014 annual results ¹ Fixed percentage of total net margin on natural gas sales
  • 9. Page 9 2014 Significant Scale High Percentage of Residential Customers 2014 Customer Count* 83% 16% 1% Residential Commercial/Industrial Other 92% 7% 1% Net Sales Margin* Customer Type * Excludes transportation
  • 10. Page 10 Proximity to Natural Gas Supply • Close proximity to significant natural gas reserves • Delivered natural gas costs are comprised primarily of: – Cost of the commodity – Transportation costs – Storage fees Location Supports Sustainability Kansas City Wichita Tulsa Oklahoma City Austin El Paso ONE Gas Natural Gas Distribution Areas Natural Gas Basins Natural Gas Shale Plays Eagle Ford Permian Basin Mississippian Lime Cana- Woodford Granite Wash Woodford Shale Barnett Shale Topeka
  • 11. Page 11 Natural Gas vs. Electricity 3-to-1 Average Advantage Continues in ONE Gas Territories (1) Source: United States Energy Information Agency, www.eia.gov, for the eleven-month period ended November 30, 2014. (2) Represents the average delivered cost of natural gas to a residential customer, including the cost of the natural gas supplied, fixed customer charge, delivery charges and charges for riders, surcharges and other regulatory mechanisms associated with the services we provide, for the year ended December 31, 2014. (3) Calculated as the ratio of the natural gas price equivalent per dekatherm of the average retail price of electricity per kilowatt hour to the ONE Gas delivered average cost of natural gas per dekatherm. Average retail price of electricity / kWh (1) Natural gas price equivalent of electricity / Dth (1) ONE Gas delivered cost of natural gas / Dth (2) Natural gas advantage ratio (3) Kansas 12.21¢ $35.79 $9.97 3.6x Oklahoma 9.63¢ $28.22 $10.73 2.6x Texas 11.94¢ $34.99 $11.21 3.1x
  • 13. Page 13 Regulatory Mechanisms • Oklahoma Natural Gas – Performance-based rate structure (PBR) with a targeted ROE between 10-11 percent that provides for annual rate reviews between rate cases* • Kansas Gas Service – Gas System Reliability Surcharge (GSRS) – for incremental safety-related and government- mandated capital investments made between rate cases • Texas Gas Service – Cost-of-service adjustments and El Paso Annual Rate Review (EPARR) for capital investments and certain changes in operating expenses – Gas Reliability Infrastructure Program (GRIP) for capital investments made between rate cases Overview * Continuation of performance-based rate structure and ROE will be determined in 2015 general rate case
  • 14. Page 14 Regulatory Filing Timeline Oklahoma & Kansas 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Filed general rate case application in July 2015, with new rates effective early 2016, if applicable Pending outcome of rate case, performance-based rates filing anticipated March 2017 ONG Pending outcome of rate case, performance-based rates filing anticipated March 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 GSRS filed August 2015, with new rates effective January 2016 General rate case application filing in mid-2016, with new rates effective January 2017, if applicable KGS GSRS filing August 2017, with new rates effective January 2018 GSRS filing August 2018, with new rates effective January 2019 Pending outcome of rate case, performance-based rates filing anticipated March 2016
  • 15. Page 15 Regulatory Filing Timeline • El Paso Service Area – EPARR filing annually, with new rates effective each August, if applicable – GRIP filings in environs • Central Texas Service Area (includes Austin) – Annual GRIP filings – Rate case required by 2016 • Remainder of Texas – Annual cost of service adjustment filings in six jurisdictions – Annual GRIP filings in two jurisdictions – Rate cases as needed Texas
  • 16. Page 16 Regulatory Update • Oklahoma – July 2015: Filed a request with the Oklahoma Corporation Commission (OCC) for an increase in base rates of $50.4 million; if approved, new rates effective early 2016 • Kansas – August 2015: Filed a $2.4 million request for interim rate relief under the GSRS rider; if approved, new rates effective January 2016 – November 2014: Kansas Corporation Commission approved request for rate relief under the GSRS for approximately $3.5 million • Texas – August 2015: Cities in the El Paso service area approved an annual increase in revenues of $8.55 million, with $8.0 million applicable to the incorporated cities, resulting from the EPARR filing – May 2015: Austin City Council approved request for interim rate relief under the GRIP statute for approximately $3.7 million – Received approval for interim rate relief under the GRIP statute and cost-of-service adjustments in various Texas jurisdictions totaling approximately $4.7 million in 2015 Recent Activity
  • 17. Page 17 • July 8, 2015 – General rate case application filed – OCC has 180 days to consider the proposed rate changes • Nov. 18, 2015 – Hearing on the merits of the request Regulatory Update Request Breakdown Amount requested $50.4 million Customer impact $4.98 per month increase for typical residential customer Rate base $1.2 billion Return on equity 10.5% (unchanged from previous general rate case) Common equity ratio 60.5% (actual as of March 31, 2015) Debt costs 3.95% Additional request Continuation of Performance Based Rate Change (PBR) plan Oklahoma Natural Gas Rate Case Status
  • 18. Page 18 Projected Rate Base By State 42% 33% 25% 2015 Estimated Rate Base Total: $2.7 billion* Oklahoma Kansas Texas * Estimated average rate base; calculation consistent with utility ratemaking in each jurisdiction • Projected rate base consists of: + Property, plant and equipment + Working capital + Other rate base items – Accumulated deferred income taxes – Accumulated depreciation + / –
  • 19. Page 19 Opportunity to Narrow the Gap • Goal: Minimize the gap between allowed and actual returns – 2015 ROE estimate: 7.4% – 2014 ROE achieved: 7.6% – 2013 ROE achieved: 8.0% – 2012 ROE achieved: 8.3% Return on Equity
  • 21. Page 21 2015 Guidance Updated October 2015 $200 $216 $220* $225 $235 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G Operating Income * Includes $10.2 million charge related to separation ** Calculation consistent with utility ratemaking in each jurisdiction • Net income: narrowed range to $113-$118 million • Operating income midpoint: $235 million • Capital expenditures: $300 million • Estimated 2015 average rate base: $2.7 billion**
  • 22. Page 22 • Majority of capital expenditures for safety, reliability and efficiency – System integrity and replacements – Efficiency • Automated meter reading (70% coverage) • Operational efficiency efforts • New service lines and main extensions for customer growth • 2015 by state: – Oklahoma: ~40% – Kansas: ~30% – Texas: ~30% Capital Expenditures Capital Spending Exceeds Depreciation $23 $19 $34 $27 $15 $31 $37 $55 $46 $62 $7 $5 $3 $41 $15 $182 $219 $195 $180 $208 $106 $112 $112 $119 $132 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G (inmillions) Efficiency Customer Growth IT/Other System Integrity Depreciation $243 $280 $287 $294 Note: Capital expenditures include accruals and any adjustments in the year. $300 ~70%
  • 23. Page 23 • Target dividend payout ratio of 55- 65% of net income • Capital expenditures primarily funded by cash flow from operations • Dividend of 30 cents per share per quarter 2015 Cash Flow Sources Uses (inmillions) Short-term debt and working capital changes $112 Dividends $65 Capital expenditures $300Cash flow from operations* $253 $365 $365 Sources and Uses * Before changes in working capital
  • 24. Page 24 Five-year Financial Outlook • Expected average annual net income growth of 5-8% between 2014 and 2019 – Driven by capital investments and customer growth – Rate base expected to grow an average of 5-6% per year between 2014-2019 • Expected average annual dividend growth of 6-8% between 2014 and 2019 – Target dividend payout ratio of 55-65% of net income • Expected capital expenditures of between $300-$325 million per year in 2015-2019 Announced December 2014
  • 25. Page 25 • Strong liquidity position will support capital expenditure and working capital needs – Stable operating cash flows – $700 million revolving credit facility – Commercial paper program • Strong investment-grade credit ratings Investment Grade Commitment to Investment-Grade Ratings Equity 60% Long-term debt 40% Capital Structure As of September 30, 2015 Rating Agency Rating Outlook Moody’s A2 Stable S&P A- Stable
  • 26. Page 26 Creating Value for Stakeholders
  • 27. Page 27 Creating Value for Stakeholders • Capital investments targeted toward safety, reliability and efficiency – Approximately 70% of annual forecast – Efficiency projects reduce expenses to sustainable levels • Minimize gap between actual and allowed returns – Annual filings for rate adjustments between rate cases – File rate cases as warranted • Develop incremental sources of regulated revenue – Transportation revenues to new compressed natural gas (CNG) stations – Transportation revenues to distributed generation Strategic Focus
  • 28. Page 28 • Currently operate 26 fueling stations accessible to the public • Currently transporting supply to 52 retail and 42 private CNG stations • Increased CNG volumes 22% between Q3 2014 and Q3 2015 • Supporting industry efforts to encourage development of more vehicle options by car and truck manufacturers • Industry – Continued interest in CNG for transportation, particularly by fleet operators – Tax incentives further contribute to positive economics – Increased industry investments in fueling stations Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Current Environment Public Fueling Stations Public access stations owned and operated by ONE Gas
  • 29. Page 29 Summary Focused business strategy – 100% regulated natural gas distribution utility Constructive regulatory environment – Multiple mechanisms and riders Significant scale – 2.1 million customers – High percentage of residential customers and fixed charges Conservative financial profile – Stable earnings and cash flow – Commitment to “A-level” investment-grade credit ratings Key Investment Considerations
  • 31. Page 31 2011 2012 2013 2014 Customer Growth Projected 2015 Customer Growth ~ 0.5% to 1% Average Customer Count 2,101 (inthousands) 2,114 2,127 2,090
  • 32. Page 32 Diverse Employment Mix Trade, Transportation & Utilities ² 19% Government 19% Education & Health Services 14% Professional & Business Services 12% Manufacturing 11% Leisure & Hospitality 9% Other Services 6% Financial Activities 5% Construction 4% Mining ¹ 1% Kansas Other Services 6% State Employment by Sector* Government 21% Trade, Transportation & Utilities ² 18% Education & Health Services 14% Professional & Business Services 11% Leisure & Hospitality 9% Manufacturing 8% Other Services 5% Financial Activities 5% Construction 5% Mining ¹ 4% Oklahoma Trade, Transportation & Utilities ² 20% Government 16% Education & Health Services 13% Professional & Business Services 13% Leisure & Hospitality 10% Manufacturing 8% Financial Activities 6% Construction 6% Other Services 5% Mining ¹ 3% Texas * Non-farm employment, not seasonally adjusted ¹ Includes oil drilling, extraction and exploration & production companies ² Includes oil, natural gas and petroleum pipeline transportation and midstream companies Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 11/2014 data
  • 33. Page 33 Capital Expenditures By State $100 $126 $123 $136 $130 $49 $52 $53 $57 $63 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G (inmillions) Oklahoma $68 $68 $74 $82 $79 $41 $42 $39 $41 $45 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G Kansas Depreciation By State $75 $86 $90 $76 $91 $16 $18 $20 $21 $24 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015G Texas Note: Capital expenditures include accruals and any adjustments in the year.
  • 34. Page 34 Regulatory Constructs Mechanism Oklahoma Kansas Texas* Performance-based rates*** X Capital investments; safety-related riders X** X X Weather normalization X X X Purchased Gas Adjustment/Cost of Gas riders X X X Energy efficiency/conservation programs X X Pension and Other Post-Retirement Benefits Trackers X** X X Cost of Service Adjustment / El Paso Annual Rate Review X** X By State * 10 jurisdictions in Texas; not all mechanisms apply to each jurisdiction ** Incorporated in performance-based rates *** Continuation of performance-based rate structure will be determined in 2015 general rate case
  • 35. Page 35 Regulatory Information By State as of September 30, 2015 Rate Base (in millions) Authorized Rate of Return Authorized Return on Equity Oklahoma Natural Gas¹ $979 8.535% 10-11% Kansas Gas Service² $808 N/A N/A Texas Gas Service¹ $639 8.17% 10.4% ¹ The rate base, authorized rate of return and authorized return on equity presented in this table are those from the last approved rate filings for each jurisdiction. These amounts are not necessarily indicative of current or future rate bases, rates of return or returns on equity. ² Last rate case was settled without a determination of rate base, return on equity or rate of return; rate base includes the amounts included in the company’s filings and is not necessarily indicative of current or future rate base. Rate base reflects 2013 and 2014 GSRS approvals.
  • 36. Page 36 Authorized Rate Base Historical by State $793 $843 $896 $938 2011 2012 2013 2014 (inmillions) Oklahoma¹ CAGR 5.8% $744 $764 $770 $781 2011 2012 2013 2014 Kansas² CAGR 1.6% Historical by State $339 $416 $504 $542 2011 2012 2013 2014 Texas¹ CAGR 16.9% ¹ Rate bases presented in this table are those from the last approved rate filings for each jurisdiction. These amounts are not necessarily indicative of current or future rate bases. ² Last rate case was settled without a determination of rate base and includes the amounts included in the company’s filings; these amounts are not necessarily indicative of current or future rate base. 2013 and 2014 rate base reflects GSRS approvals.
  • 37. Page 37 Safety and Environment • Ongoing effort to replace aging assets – Retired or replaced approximately 475 miles of distribution and transmission facilities in 2014 • Currently ranked in the top quartile of American Gas Association member companies for safe driving – 1,032 employees recognized through company reward program in 2014 • Achieved reduction in injuries of 15% in 2014 compared with 2013 • Utilize peer-review safety process and employee training to promote consistent, steady improvement in workplace safety Operating Safely and Environmentally Responsibly
  • 38. Page 38 Customer and Asset Mix Key Statistics as of Dec. 31, 2014 Kansas Gas Service Oklahoma Natural Gas Texas Gas Service Total Average Number of Customers 634,128 853,533 639,840 2,127,501 Number of Employees 1,000 1,100 700 3,300* Service Lines – Miles 8,100 5,000 5,200 18,300 Distribution – Miles 12,000 18,200 9,600 39,800 Transmission – Miles 1,500 800 400 2,700 High-Density Cities Kansas City, Topeka, Wichita Oklahoma City, Tulsa Austin, El Paso 7 cities make up the majority of customers Percentage of Customers in Metropolitan Areas 58% 81% 75% 73% Market Share - Customers Served 72% 87% 14% * Includes corporate employees
  • 39. Page 39 Cost of Gas • Actual costs of the commodity, transportation and storage of natural gas are passed through to customers without markup – Natural gas used in operations is recovered in “Purchased Gas” or “Cost of Gas” riders • Cost of Gas component of bad debts and hedging costs are included in cost of gas • No direct commodity risk to ONE Gas divisions • 42 Bcf of natural gas in storage at September 30, 2015 Passed Through to Customers
  • 40. Page 40 • One vehicle is equivalent to one home • One pickup truck is equivalent to two homes • One refuse truck is equivalent to 13 homes • One transit bus is equivalent to 24 homes • Incremental margins from CNG demand could mitigate residential rate increases, enhancing competitive position and customer satisfaction • Potential innovations in home-fueling technology Benefits of CNG Use of CNG Increases Load
  • 41. Page 41 Non-GAAP Information ONE Gas has disclosed in this presentation cash flow from operations before changes in working capital, which is a non-GAAP financial measure. Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital is used as a measure of the company's financial performance. Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital is defined as net income adjusted for depreciation and amortization, deferred income taxes, and certain other noncash items. The non-GAAP financial measure described above is useful to investors as an indicator of financial performance of the company's investments to generate cash flows sufficient to support our capital expenditure programs and pay dividends to our investors. ONE Gas cash flow from operations before changes in working capital should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for net income or any other measure of financial performance presented in accordance with GAAP. This non-GAAP financial measure excludes some, but not all, items that affect net income. Additionally, this calculation may not be comparable with similarly titled measures of other companies. A reconciliation of cash flow from operations before changes in working capital is included in this presentation.
  • 42. Page 42 Cash Flow From Operations Before Changes In Working Capital* (Millions of dollars) Updated 2015 Guidance Previous 2015 Guidance Change Net Income $ 116 $ 113 $ 3 Depreciation and amortization 133 135 (2) Deferred taxes 23 (8) 31 Other 10 13 (3) Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital $ 282 $ 253 $ 29 * Amounts shown are midpoints of ranges provided.