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Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent
Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women
The Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative Group
IMPORTANCE The association between increasing body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight
in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) and risk of breast cancer is unique in cancer
epidemiology in that a crossover effect exists, with risk reduction before and risk increase
after menopause. The inverse association with premenopausal breast cancer risk is poorly
characterized but might be important in the understanding of breast cancer causation.
OBJECTIVE To investigate the association of BMI with premenopausal breast cancer risk, in
particular by age at BMI, attained age, risk factors for breast cancer, and tumor characteristics.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This multicenter analysis used pooled individual-level
data from 758 592 premenopausal women from 19 prospective cohorts to estimate hazard
ratios (HRs) of premenopausal breast cancer in association with BMI from ages 18 through
54 years using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Median follow-up was 9.3 years
(interquartile range, 4.9-13.5 years) per participant, with 13 082 incident cases of breast
cancer. Participants were recruited from January 1, 1963, through December 31, 2013, and
data were analyzed from September 1, 2013, through December 31, 2017.
EXPOSURES Body mass index at ages 18 to 24, 25 to 34, 35 to 44, and 45 to 54 years.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Invasive or in situ premenopausal breast cancer.
RESULTS Among the 758 592 premenopausal women (median age, 40.6 years; interquartile
range, 35.2-45.5 years) included in the analysis, inverse linear associations of BMI with breast
cancer risk were found that were stronger for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years (HR per 5 kg/m2
[5.0-U] difference, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.73-0.80) than for BMI at ages 45 to 54 years (HR per
5.0-U difference, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.86-0.91). The inverse associations were observed even
among nonoverweight women. There was a 4.2-fold risk gradient between the highest and
lowest BMI categories (BMIՆ35.0 vs <17.0) at ages 18 to 24 years (HR, 0.24; 95% CI,
0.14-0.40). Hazard ratios did not appreciably vary by attained age or between strata of other
breast cancer risk factors. Associations were stronger for estrogen receptor–positive and/or
progesterone receptor–positive than for hormone receptor–negative breast cancer for BMI
at every age group (eg, for BMI at age 18 to 24 years: HR per 5.0-U difference for estrogen
receptor–positive and progesterone receptor–positive tumors, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.70-0.81] vs
hormone receptor–negative tumors, 0.85 [95% CI: 0.76-0.95]); BMI at ages 25 to 54 years
was not consistently associated with triple-negative or hormone receptor–negative breast
cancer overall.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The results of this study suggest that increased adiposity is
associated with a reduced risk of premenopausal breast cancer at a greater magnitude than
previously shown and across the entire distribution of BMI. The strongest associations of risk
were observed for BMI in early adulthood. Understanding the biological mechanisms
underlying these associations could have important preventive potential.
JAMA Oncol. 2018;4(11):e181771. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2018.1771
Published online June 21, 2018.
Supplemental content
Group Information: The
Premenopausal Breast Cancer
Collaborative Group authors are listed
at the end of this article.
Corresponding Author: Minouk J.
Schoemaker, PhD, Division of
Genetics and Epidemiology,
The Institute of Cancer Research,
15 Cotswold Rd, London SM2 5NG,
United Kingdom (minouk@icr.ac.uk).
Research
JAMA Oncology | Original Investigation
(Reprinted) 1/10
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B
reast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer
among women worldwide, accounting for 25% of fe-
male cancer cases at all ages and a greater percentage
among young women.1
Its complex etiology involves an un-
usually large range of factors, of which adiposity, often as-
sessed as body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilo-
grams divided by height in meters squared), is important and
appears to have opposing effects at premenopausal and post-
menopausal ages.
Increased adiposity in childhood and before menopause
has been reported to be inversely associated with the risk of
breast cancer diagnosed at premenopausal and postmeno-
pausal ages, whereas increased adiposity after menopause is
positively associated with risk.2-11
However, because inci-
dence rates are lower among premenopausal than postmeno-
pausal women, individual studies have had limited ability to
investigate the association of BMI with the risk of premeno-
pausal breast cancer. Past studies have been case-control stud-
ies, with potential for bias, and most prospective studies have
had modest numbers of cases, except for some recent studies
in Asian12,13
or Jewish Israeli14
populations, but have not as-
sessed risk at different ages, by tumor type, and by meno-
pausal status at breast cancer diagnosis. Meta-analyses have
aggregated studies that differed in age at BMI assessment, at-
tained age of participants, and degree of adjustment for po-
tential confounding, and results were not stratified by other
risk factors.2-5,15-18
Some studies suggest that the association
of premenopausal adiposity with risk varies by tumor
characteristics,2,7,17-19
but larger studies are needed to pro-
vide stable estimates by hormone receptor status or intrinsic
tumor subtype.
To undertake a more powerful and systematic analysis of
the association of BMI with breast cancer risk in premeno-
pausal women, we pooled individual-level data from 758 592
women, including 13 082 cases of breast cancer, from 19 pro-
spective cohort studies using data from recruitment and fol-
low-up questionnaires. We aimed to estimate the relative risk
associated with BMI at different ages, age at breast cancer
diagnosis, and breast cancer characteristics and to explore
whether associations were modified by other risk factors for
breast cancer.
Methods
Information on the Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collabora-
tive Group, a collaboration facilitated by the National Cancer
Institute Cohort Consortium, has been published previously.20
In short, individual-level data were pooled from 19 prospec-
tivecohortsinNorthAmerica(n = 9),Europe(n = 7),Asia(n = 2),
and Australia (n = 1),20
with participants recruited from Janu-
ary 1, 1963, through December 31, 2013 and at least 100 breast
cancer cases diagnosed before 55 years of age. Data were har-
monizedtoacommontemplatefor1to16questionnairerounds
per study. Full details of the study cohorts are given in the
eMethods in the Supplement. All contributing studies gained
approval from institutional review boards and obtained con-
sent from participants as per country-specific requirements.
We used information on self-reported or measured cur-
rentweightandheightfrommultiplequestionnaireroundsand
information reported on questionnaires about weight at ages
before study entry to construct BMI within the age ranges of
18 to 24, 25 to 34, 35 to 44, and 45 to 54 years. We categorized
BMI according to World Health Organization definitions.21
The
analysis included all participants who were premenopausal,
had no personal history of breast cancer at study entry, and
had data for premenopausal BMI available.
All breast cancers included in this analysis occurred be-
fore menopause, with the main analytic end point being in-
vasive or in situ premenopausal breast cancer overall. How-
ever,wealsoanalyzedseparatelybyinvasiveandinsitucancer,
by immunohistochemistry data on estrogen receptor (ER) and
progesteronereceptor(PR)status,andbyclinicopathologicsur-
rogate definitions of intrinsic breast cancer subtype.
Hazard ratios (HRs) were obtained as estimates of the rela-
tive risk of breast cancer from Cox proportional hazards re-
gression models22
with attained age as the underlying times-
cale. Follow-up for breast cancer started at study entry or the
age after enrollment to which the BMI applied. Follow-up
ended at breast cancer diagnosis, menopause (or hysterec-
tomy), last follow-up, death, or age 55 years, whichever oc-
curred first.
We first generated cohort-specific relative risk estimates
and obtained a pooled estimate with a 2-stage model.23
Be-
cause no appreciable between-study heterogeneity was de-
tectedusingtheI2
statistic,24
thedatawereanalyzedinapooled
data set. All presented analyses were adjusted for attained age
(implicit in the Cox proportional hazards regression model),
cohort, year of birth, age at menarche, age at first birth, time
since last birth, parity, and family history of breast cancer.
Covariate information was time updated, when possible, with
information from follow-up questionnaires.
We analyzed BMI separately as categorical and continu-
ous variables (per 5 kg/m2
[5.0-U] difference), assuming a log-
linear dose-response association, the validity of which was
checked using restricted cubic spline models.25
We tested for
effect modification by other risk factors for breast cancer and
by attained age using log-likelihood ratio tests.26
Analyses by
breast tumor subtype were conducted using an augmenta-
tion method.27
This method allows estimation of separate risk
Key Points
Question What is the association between body mass index and
risk for breast cancer diagnosed before menopause?
Finding In this large pooled analysis of data on 758 592
premenopausal women, an inverse association of breast cancer
risk with body mass index at 18 through 54 years of age was found,
most strongly for body mass index at ages 18 through 24 years.
The inverse association was strongest for hormone
receptor–positive breast cancer, was evident across the entire
distribution of body mass index, and did not materially vary by
attained age or other characteristics of women.
Meaning Increased adiposity, in particular during early adulthood,
may be associated with reductions in the risk of premenopausal
breast cancer.
Research Original Investigation Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women
2/10 JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 (Reprinted) jamaoncology.com
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factorassociationsfortype-specificoutcomesinasinglemodel
stratified on outcome type, obtained from a data set in which
separate observations on each participant have been created
for each outcome. Conducted sensitivity analyses are out-
lined in the eMethods in the Supplement. We used Stata, ver-
sion 14.2 (StataCorp) for all analyses, with P < .05 indicating
signficance.28
Results
Theanalysesincluded758 592women(medianage,40.6years;
interquartile range, 35.2-45.5 years), among whom 13 082 in
situ or invasive breast cancer cases occurred during 7.2 mil-
lion premenopausal years of follow-up (median, 9.3 years; in-
terquartile range, 4.9-13.5 years) (eTable 1 in the Supple-
ment). Weight was provided at 1 to 14 (median, 2) follow-up
rounds per study and was self-reported for 88.9% to 99.6% of
weights, depending on age. Weight at ages 18 to 24 years was
retrospectivelyreportedfor96.9%andatlateragesforlessthan
10% of women. Obesity (BMI≥30.0) was more common in
women who were 45 years or older (11.1%), were nulliparous
(12.4%), had an early menarche (17.0%), had a family history
of breast cancer (12.8%), or were black (26.8%) (Table).
IncreasingBMIwaslinearlyassociatedwithdecreasingrisk
of breast cancer in the restricted cubic spline models (eFig-
ures 1 and 2 in the Supplement), except that, for some ages and
tumor types, there appeared to be a leveling of risk for under-
weight women (BMI<18.5) compared with those in the nor-
mal weight range (BMI, 18.5-24.9). We therefore restricted the
linear modeling of BMI to values of 18.5 or greater.
Hazard ratios for breast cancer decreased with increasing
BMI category (Figure 1), more for BMI at younger than older
ages, with a risk reduction of 23% per 5.0-U difference
(HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.73-0.80) for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years and
12% (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.86-0.91) for BMI at 45 to 54 years.
The risk gradient was 4.2-fold between the highest and low-
est BMI categories (BMI≥35.0 vs <17.0) at ages 18 to 24 years
(HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.14-0.40). Significant differences in rela-
tive risk were present even within the normal range of BMI (for
23.0-24.9 vs 18.5-22.9: HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.75-0.86). The HRs
for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years remained statistically signifi-
cant after additional adjustment for most recent BMI (HR per
5.0-U increase, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.76-0.84). We found no appre-
ciable heterogeneity in the association between studies
(eFigure 3A-D in the Supplement).
Weight at ages 18 to 24 years was correlated with weights
atolderages(r = 0.70forages25-34,r = 0.63forages35-44,and
r = 0.55 for ages 45-54 years). When we adjusted the analyses
of breast cancer risk in Figure 2 for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years,
the HRs per 5.0-U increase were 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.97) for
BMI at ages 25 to 34 years, 0.93 (95% CI, 0.91-0.96) at ages 35
to 44 years, and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.88-0.95) at ages 45 to 54 years
(Figure 2 and eTable 2 in the Supplement). The magnitude of
the inverse associations was similar between categories of at-
tained age to age 55 years (eFigure 4 in the Supplement).
Incident cases of breast cancer included 10 836 invasive
and 2138 in situ breast cancers. Associations with risk per
5.0-U difference in BMI were significantly larger for in situ
(HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.69-0.85) than for invasive breast cancer
(HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.84-0.92) (P = .02 for interaction) for
BMI at ages 25 to 34 years; difference in associations were
also found for in situ (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.76-0.86) and inva-
sive breast cancer (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.86-0.90; P = .01 for
interaction) at 35 to 44 years (eTable 3 in the Supplement).
The percentage of all breast cancers that were in situ did not
appreciably vary by BMI, and women with higher BMI were
more likely to have had a screening mammogram (eTable 4
in the Supplement).
The ER and/or PR status was known for 7812 cases, 7002
(89.6%) of which were invasive. We did not observe consis-
tent significant differences in HRs for ER-positive vs ER-
negative or PR-positive vs PR-negative breast cancer (eTable
5 in the Supplement). When considering ER and PR jointly,
ER-positive and/or PR-positive breast cancer showed stron-
ger associations with BMI at ages 18 to 24 years (eg, for ER-
positive and PR-positive, HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.70-0.81) than did
hormone receptor–negative breast cancer; however, the asso-
ciation was still significant for ER-negative and PR-negative
breast cancer (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76-0.95) (eFigure 5 in the
Supplement). Body mass index at older ages was not associ-
ated with hormone receptor–negative breast cancer risk. In
analyses by intrinsic breast cancer subtype (Figure 3), the non-
luminal (ER-negative and PR-negative) subtype was in-
versely associated with BMI at ages 18 to 24 (HR, 0.86; 95%
CI, 0.77-0.96) and 45 to 54 years (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.84-
0.98), but not with BMI at ages 25 to 34 and 35 to 44 years. No
association of BMI at 25 years or older with triple-negative
breast cancer or of BMI at 35 years or older with ERBB2/HER2-
enriched breast cancer was found.
Hazard ratios per 5.0-U difference in BMI were not signifi-
cantly different between strata of most risk factors for breast
cancer, including race/ethnicity (for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years:
HR for black women, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.76-0.93]; HR for Asian
women, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.40-1.18]; and HR for white women,
0.73 [95% CI, 0.70-0.77]; P = .08 for interaction) (eFigure 6 and
eTable 6 in the Supplement). Hazard ratios were greater for
never users compared with than ever users of oral contracep-
tives (at baseline for most studies) for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years
(HR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.61-0.76] vs 0.79 [95% CI, 0.75-0.83];
P = .02 for interaction) and ages 35 to 44 (HR, 0.81 [95% CI,
0.77-0.86] vs 0.88 [95% CI, 0.86-0.91]; P = .009 for interac-
tion). The HR was also greater for nulliparous than parous
women (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.73-0.87] vs 0.88 [95% CI, 0.84-
0.93]; P = .03 for interaction) for BMI at ages 25 to 34 years.
Results were not materially affected in the sensitivity analy-
ses (eTables 7-9 in the Supplement) except for those shown in
Figure 1.
Discussion
In this large prospective analysis investigating the associa-
tion between adiposity and breast cancer risk in premeno-
pausal women, we analyzed relative risk by BMI in a larger
number of categories than possible in previous studies, re-
Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women Original Investigation Research
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vealing a 4.2-fold risk gradient between women who were un-
derweight vs obese at ages 18 to 24 years and a 1.9- to 2.5-fold
risk gradient between these BMI categories at later ages. We
demonstrated that the inverse associations apply to the en-
tire distribution of BMI, with risk variations evident even
among women in the nonoverweight range of BMI.
Table. Characteristics at Study Recruitment of Women Included in the Analyses
Characteristic
Participants, No.
(BMI≥30.0, %)
Person-years of
Follow-up, No. (%)a
Cancer
Cases, No.
BMIb
15.0-16.9 2843 29 293 (0.4) 53
17.0-18.4 20 245 221 540 (3.1) 442
18.5-24.9 499 146 4 901 964 (68.1) 9356
25.0-29.9 159 660 1 375 769 (19.1) 2257
30.0-34.9 51 413 442 769 (6.2) 678
35.0-49.9 25 285 227 485 (3.2) 296
Age at entry, y
<25 17 627 (9.2) 211 220 (2.9) 74
25-34 167 744 (8.9) 2 585 847 (35.9) 3657
35-44 366 893 (10.1) 3 688 360 (51.2) 7404
≥45 206 328 (11.1) 713 394 (9.9) 1947
Age at menarche, y
7-11 141 899 (17.0) 1 410 957 (19.6) 2712
12-13 391 822 (9.7) 3 849 467 (53.5) 7117
≥14 195 180 (6.2) 1 715 887 (23.8) 2871
Missing or no periods 29 691 (9.1) 222 509 (3.1) 382
Age at first birth, y
<25 290 668 (11.2) 2 630 694 (36.5) 4186
25-34 273 023 (8.7) 2 583 161 (35.9) 5364
≥35 19 152 (9.5) 134 836 (1.9) 393
Nulliparous 121 920 (12.4) 1 311 508 (18.2) 2367
Age or whether parous
unknown
53 829 (6.7) 538 621 (7.5) 772
No. of birthsc
1 128 760 (10.4) 1 358 259 (25.2) 2583
2 252 325 (9.4) 2 213 928 (41.0) 4356
3 188 633 (10.8) 1 650 219 (30.6) 2900
Not known 18 341 (6.5) 178 049 (3.3) 172
Family history
of breast cancer
No 556 203 (10.1) 5 576 245 (77.5) 9478
Yes 75 299 (12.8) 625 576 (8.7) 2265
Not known 127 090 (8.4) 997 000 (13.8) 1339
Race/ethnicity
White 419 130 (10.0) 4 437 300 (61.6) 8437
Black 52 903 (26.8) 586 734 (8.2) 1006
Asian 26 214 (2.5) 212 411 (3.0) 235
Other 7894 (13.7) 89 276 (1.2) 167
Not known 252 451 (7.5) 1 873 100 (26.0) 3237
Birth cohort
Before 1930 23 849 (9.1) 98 669 (1.4) 178
1930-1939 66 110 (7.7) 655 904 (9.1) 1306
1940-1949 243 663 (8.4) 1 878 359 (26.1) 4088
1950-1959 282 307 (10.9) 2 983 715 (41.4) 5305
1960-1969 101 002 (13.7) 1 183 177 (16.4) 1970
1970-1979 33 904 (11.2) 341 589 (4.7) 219
1980 or later 7757 (8.1) 57 407 (0.8) 16
All 758 592 (10.1) 7 198 821 (100.0) 13 082
Abbreviation: BMI, body mass index
(calculated as weight in kilograms
divided by height in meters squared).
a
Percentages have been rounded
and may not total 100. Owing to
rounding, person-years may not
sum to the total.
b
Indicates at study entry or, if
missing, most recent retrospectively
reported weight.
c
Includes parous only.
Research Original Investigation Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women
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The observed inverse associations are unlikely to be
attributable to bias, given that they were present in multiple
studies and across strata of birth cohort and risk factors for
breast cancer. Too few women died during follow-up (3.3%
of women with a BMI≥35.0 vs 1.7% with BMI of 18.5-24.9) to
explain the inverse associations for death as a competing
risk. Our results are also supported as causal rather than arti-
factual by a mendelian randomization study29
reporting
genetically predicted BMI to be inversely associated with
breast cancer risk.
The stronger inverse associations of risk with BMI at
younger than older ages suggest that adiposity in young adult-
hood or earlier, if adiposity at approximately 20 years of age
is a proxy marker for adiposity in childhood, is the critical fac-
tor. No cohorts in our collaboration had information on BMI
Figure 1. Relative Risk of Premenopausal Breast Cancer Associated
With BMI Category, by Age at BMI
Less
Risk
BMI Category
by Age
18-24 y
No. of
Cases
Multivariable
Adjusted HR
(95% CI)
Greater
Risk
2.01.00.50.2
Multivariable-Adjusted
HR (95% CI)
15.0-16.9 328 1.15 (1.03-1.29)
17.0-18.4 1169 1.09 (1.02-1.16)
18.5-22.9 6364 1 [Reference]
23.0-24.9 864 0.80 (0.75-0.86)
25.0-27.4 418 0.73 (0.66-0.81)
27.5-29.9 141 0.68 (0.58-0.81)
30.0-32.4 81 0.73 (0.58-0.90)
32.5-34.9 25 0.47 (0.32-0.70)
35.0-49.9 15 0.27 (0.16-0.45)
Trend per 5-U
difference in BMIa
7908 0.77 (0.73-0.80)
25-34 y
15.0-18.4 221 1.22 (1.06-1.40)
18.5-22.9 2222 1 [Reference]
23.0-24.9 607 0.91 (0.83-0.99)
25.0-27.4 403 0.82 (0.74-0.91)
27.5-29.9 176 0.76 (0.65-0.88)
30.0-32.4 101 0.67 (0.54-0.81)
32.5-34.9 58 0.63 (0.49-0.82)
35.0-37.4 38 0.67 (0.48-0.92)
37.5-39.9 24 0.64 (0.42-0.95)
25 0.49 (0.33-0.74)
Trend per 5-U
difference in BMIa
3654 0.85 (0.82-0.89)
40.0-49.9
35-44 y
15.0-18.4 318 1.05 (0.94-1.18)
18.5-22.9 5340 1 [Reference]
23.0-24.9 1882 0.91 (0.86-0.96)
25.0-27.4 1264 0.82 (0.77-0.88)
27.5-29.9 636 0.81 (0.74-0.88)
30.0-32.4 417 0.81 (0.73-0.90)
32.5-34.9 214 0.70 (0.61-0.80)
35.0-37.4 123 0.63 (0.53-0.75)
37.5-39.9 74 0.60 (0.48-0.76)
81 0.49 (0.39-0.61)
Trend per 5-U
difference in BMIa
10031 0.87 (0.85-0.89)
40.0-49.9
45-54 y
15.0-18.4 120 1.04 (0.87-1.25)
18.5-22.9 2484 1 [Reference]
23.0-24.9 1127 0.94 (0.87-1.01)
25.0-27.4 859 0.85 (0.79-0.92)
27.5-29.9 430 0.77 (0.69-0.85)
30.0-32.4 302 0.80 (0.71-0.90)
32.5-34.9 160 0.72 (0.61-0.84)
35.0-37.4 112 0.76 (0.63-0.92)
37.5-39.9 62 0.66 (0.52-0.86)
70 0.56 (0.44-0.71)
Trend per 5-U
difference in BMIa
5606 0.88 (0.86-0.91)
40.0-49.9
Body mass index (BMI) is calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in
meters squared. Hazard ratios (HRs) were adjusted for attained age, cohort,
year of birth, age at menarche, age at first birth, number of births, time since
last birth, and family history of breast cancer.
a
Represents linear trend per 5 kg/m2
(5.0-U) difference in BMI from 18.5
to 49.9.
Figure 2. Relative Risk of Premenopausal Breast Cancer Associated
With BMI and Adjusted for BMI at Ages 18 to 24 Years, by Age at BMI
Less
Risk
BMI Category
by Age
No. of
Cases
Multivariable
Adjusted HR
(95% CI)
Greater
Risk
2.01.00.50.4
Multivariable-Adjusted
HR (95% CI)
25-34 y
15.0-18.4 187 1.16 (0.99-1.36)
18.5-22.9 1963 1 [Reference]
23.0-24.9 546 0.94 (0.86-1.04)
25.0-27.4 364 0.87 (0.77-0.97)
27.5-29.9 165 0.86 (0.73-1.02)
30.0-32.4 93 0.77 (0.62-0.96)
32.5-34.9 56 0.79 (0.60-1.04)
35.0-37.4 37 0.87 (0.62-1.23)
37.5-39.9 23 0.84 (0.55-1.29)
24 0.72 (0.46-1.11)
Trend per 5-U
difference in BMIa
3271 0.92 (0.88-0.97)
40.0-49.9
35-44 y
15.0-18.4 215 1.05 (0.92-1.21)
18.5-22.9 3845 1 [Reference]
23.0-24.9 1392 0.94 (0.88-1.00)
25.0-27.4 977 0.88 (0.82-0.95)
27.5-29.9 498 0.89 (0.81-0.98)
30.0-32.4 334 0.93 (0.82-1.04)
32.5-34.9 174 0.82 (0.70-0.96)
35.0-37.4 111 0.83 (0.69-1.01)
37.5-39.9 65 0.79 (0.62-1.02)
73 0.68 (0.53-0.87)
Trend per 5-U
difference in BMIa
7469 0.93 (0.91-0.96)
40.0-49.9
45-54 y
15.0-18.4 63 1.11 (0.86-1.43)
18.5-22.9 1535 1 [Reference]
23.0-24.9 788 0.96 (0.88-1.05)
25.0-27.4 644 0.89 (0.81-0.98)
27.5-29.9 338 0.84 (0.74-0.94)
30.0-32.4 234 0.85 (0.74-0.98)
32.5-34.9 123 0.76 (0.63-0.92)
35.0-37.4 83 0.80 (0.63-1.00)
37.5-39.9 54 0.81 (0.61-1.07)
60 0.68 (0.52-0.90)
Trend per 5-U
difference in BMIa
3859 0.91 (0.88-0.95)
40.0-49.9
Body mass index (BMI) is calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in
meters squared. Hazard ratios (HRs) were adjusted for attained age, cohort,
year of birth, age at menarche, age at first birth, number of births, time since
last birth, and family history of breast cancer as well as BMI at ages 18 to
24 years.
a
Represents linear trend per 5 kg/m2
(5.0-U) difference in BMI from 18.5
to 49.9.
Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women Original Investigation Research
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at younger than 18 years, but published analyses of subjec-
tive body size compared with peers at these ages7-9
have found
strong inverse associations with premenopausal and post-
menopausal breast cancer risk.
Our estimated 12% to 23% reduction in premenopausal
breast cancer risk per 5.0-U difference in BMI depending
on age is substantially stronger than that from
meta-analyses,3-5,15,16
which have reported 5% to 9% reduc-
tions among women overall without analysis by age at BMI,
and a study reporting a 10% reduction using measured BMI at
ages 16 to 19 years.14
We observed that associations of BMI and
breast cancer risk did not depend on attained age. We found
no previous analyses by premenopausal attained age, but risk
reductions with increased early-life BMI have been reported
to continue after menopause.7,8
The associations of BMI with
risk also did not appear to be appreciably modified by risk fac-
tors for breast cancer later in life, with the possible exception
of nulliparity and oral contraceptive use.
The stronger associations of BMI at ages 25 to 44 years for
in situ than for invasive breast cancer might reflect type-
specific etiology or the association for in situ cancer being in
part attributable to an association of body size with breast
screening attendance. However, we found no evidence for
this association, given that percentages of in situ cancer were
similar across BMI groups.
No previous analyses of hormone receptor status–
specific breast cancer by BMI assessed at different premeno-
pausal ages have been performed, to our knowledge. We found
that hormone receptor–positive breast cancer was associated
withBMIatallagesandthathormonereceptor–negativebreast
cancer overall was associated with BMI at ages 18 to 24 years,
but not consistently associated with BMI at later ages; meta-
analyses of ER- and PR-negative tumors15,17
have found no as-
sociation, based on age at recruitment. The absence of an as-
sociation of triple-negative breast cancer with BMI at 25 years
or older in our analysis is contrary to previous reports18,19
in-
dicating an increased risk of this tumor type with obesity; how-
ever, these reports were based on case-control studies18
and
a pooled analysis of women younger than 50 years based on
studies of mixed design19
and therefore are subject to poten-
tial biases that are of less concern in prospective cohorts. We
observed that ERBB2/HER2-enriched breast cancer was asso-
ciated with BMI at 35 years or younger but not at later ages;
the Nurses’ Health Study, included in this analysis, previ-
ouslyreportedastrongassociationwithBMIat18yearsofage,7
but we are not aware of studies investigating the association
with later premenopausal ages.
Obesity has many adverse effects on general health,30
and
we do not advocate weight gain as a preventative measure
against premenopausal breast cancer. However, understand-
ing the mechanistic action underlying the inverse associa-
tion of premenopausal adiposity with breast cancer risk could
potentially identify modifiable pathways. Because the asso-
ciation with BMI at ages 18 to 24 years is significant for
ER-positive and ER-negative tumors, hormonal and nonhor-
monal mechanisms might be involved. Breast tissue is par-
ticularlysusceptibletocarcinogensbetweenmenarcheandfirst
childbirth,31
and the extent of this susceptibility may be influ-
enced by childhood adiposity. Increased adiposity has a strong
association with early pubertal onset but also slower puber-
tal tempo,32
including slower peak growth,33
and rapid ado-
lescent growth has been associated with increased breast can-
Figure 3. Relative Risk of Premenopausal Breast Cancer per 5 kg/m2
(5.0-U) Difference in BMI by Age at BMI and Breast Cancer Intrinsic
Tumor Subtype
Less
Risk
Age at BMI by Intrinsic
Cancer Subtype
No. of
Cases
HRa per 5.0-U
Difference
(95% CI)
Greater
Risk
2.01.00.5
HR per 5.0-U
Difference (95% CI)
BMI at ages 18-24 y
All luminal A-like 1467 0.73 (0.65-0.81)
All luminal B-like 949 0.73 (0.64-0.84)
Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 negative 259 0.74 (0.58-0.95)
Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 positive 371 0.84 (0.69-1.03)
All nonluminal 971 0.86 (0.77-0.96)
ERBB2/HER2 enriched 153 0.70 (0.49-1.00)
Triple negative 354 0.83 (0.70-0.99)
BMI at ages 25-34 y
All luminal A-like 789 0.78 (0.71-0.86)
All luminal B-like 452 0.89 (0.79-1.00)
Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 negative 122 0.90 (0.72-1.13)
Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 positive 186 0.95 (0.80-1.13)
All nonluminal 472 1.00 (0.91-1.09)
ERBB2/HER2 enriched 78 0.62 (0.43-0.89)
Triple negative 175 1.00 (0.86-1.17)
BMI at ages 35-44 y
All luminal A-like 1782 0.88 (0.84-0.93)
All luminal B-like 1219 0.80 (0.75-0.86)
Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 negative 314 0.79 (0.69-0.91)
Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 positive 421 0.93 (0.84-1.03)
All nonluminal 1169 0.97 (0.92-1.03)
ERBB2/HER2 enriched 168 0.91 (0.79-1.06)
Triple negative 407 0.94 (0.85-1.03)
BMI at ages 45-54 y
All luminal A-like 1117 0.96 (0.90-1.01)
All luminal B-like 759 0.79 (0.73-0.86)
Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 negative 188 0.84 (0.72-0.98)
Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 positive 237 0.93 (0.82-1.06)
All nonluminal 631 0.90 (0.84-0.98)
ERBB2/HER2 enriched 89 0.99 (0.83-1.19)
Triple negative 219 0.98 (0.87-1.11)
Body mass index (BMI) is calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in
meters squared. The luminal A–like subtype includes estrogen receptor
(ER)–positive, progesterone receptor (PR)–positive, and ERBB2/HER2-negative
tumors; luminal B–subtype, all ER-positive and/or PR-positive tumors that are
not luminal A–like (subtypes luminal B–like ERBB2/HER2-negative and luminal
B–like ERBB2/HER2-positive); and nonluminal subtype, all ER-negative and
PR-negative tumors, regardless of ERBB2/HER2 status (subtypes ERBB2/HER2
enriched: ER-negative, PR-negative, and ERBB2/HER2-positive; triple-negative:
ER-negative, PR-negative, and ERBB2/HER2-negative).
a
Represents linear trend per 5.0-U of difference in BMI from 18.5 to 49.9 and
are adjusted for attained age, cohort, year of birth, age at menarche, age at
first birth, number of births, time since last birth, and family history of breast
cancer. Estimates were obtained from 2 augmentation models.27
The first
model included luminal A–like, luminal B–like, and nonluminal breast cancer as
end points with tests for heterogeneity in effect by tumor type (for BMI at
ages 18-24 years, P = .07; at ages 25-34 years, P = .002; at ages 35-44 years,
P < .001; at ages 45-54, P < .001). Estimates for subtypes of luminal B–like
and nonluminal breast cancer were obtained from a second model fitting
luminal A–like, luminal B–like ERBB2/HER2-positive, luminal B–like
ERBB2/HER2-negative, ERBB2/HER2-enriched, and triple-negative breast
cancer as end points.
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cer risk.34
The estrogenic effects of being overweight in
childhood, when adipose tissue is the major site of estrogen
release, have been proposed to induce early breast differen-
tiation or to increase the expression of tumor suppressor
genes.35
Being underweight during adolescence, in contrast,
might result in immature differentiation due to lack of breast
fat and/or low levels of ovarian hormones during breast
development.36
Early-adulthood adiposity is associated with intermedi-
ate markers of breast cancer risk, such as benign breast
disease,37
mammographicdensity,38
andinsulinlikegrowthfac-
tor 1 levels.39
Greater mammographic density has a positive as-
sociation with breast cancer risk,40
and a more endomorphic
somatotypeinchildhoodandearlyadulthoodisassociatedwith
lower mammographic density throughout adulthood.38
In the
Nurses’HealthStudy,41
82%oftheassociationofBMIat18years
of age with breast cancer risk was explained by mammo-
graphicdensity,andbreastdensitymaybeanintermediatefac-
tor in the biological pathway for breast cancer development.
However, the mechanism of how density affects risk is not well
understood,andtheamountofnondense(ie,fatty)tissue,with
which BMI is strongly correlated, is also inversely associated
withbreastcancerrisk,independentlyofpercentagedensity.40
Early-life body size might also affect long-term insulinlike
growth factor 1 levels implicated in breast cancer risk,42
given
that plasma insulinlike growth factor 1 levels at ages 32 to 70
years were reported to be 14% lower in women who were over-
weight compared with those who were lean at age 18 years.39
The inverse association of BMI in premenopausal women
25 years or older with predominantly hormone receptor–
positive rather than hormone receptor–negative breast can-
cer implies a hormonal mechanism. Estrogen synthesis,
through the aromatase enzyme in subcutaneous fat, repre-
sents about 5% of total estradiol synthesis in premenopausal
women, but with extreme obesity, negative feedback in the hy-
pothalamic-pituitary-axiscanleadtoswitchoffofnormalovar-
ian function and be reflected in amenorrhea.43
Irregular men-
strual or fewer ovulatory cycles have therefore been suggested
as possible explanations for the inverse association,44
but this
suggestion has not been supported by studies that could ad-
just for menstrual cycle pattern.9-11
However, BMI-related
differences in sex-hormone profile may contribute to the in-
verse association of BMI and breast cancer risk. A study45
re-
ported that premenopausal women with higher BMI had lower
estradiol, total testosterone, sex hormone–binding globulin,
andprogesteronelevelsbutgreaterfreetestosteronelevelsthan
premenopausal women with lower BMI. Positive associa-
tions of premenopausal breast cancer risk have been re-
portedwithestradiol46-49
andtestosteronelevels,46-48,50,51
pos-
sibly stronger for ER-positive and/or PR-positive breast
cancer,47
but studies have been inconsistent. Studies investi-
gatingendogenousprogesteronelevels,46,47,49-51
however,have
not found associations with breast cancer risk. Circulating lev-
els of leptin, a peptide hormone produced primarily by adi-
pocytes that is overexpressed in breast cancer, were also as-
sociated with reduced premenopausal breast cancer risk in a
prospective study, although not independently from BMI.52
Strengths and Limitations
Thestrengthsofthiscollaborationareitslargenumberofcases,
providing precise estimates of relative risk by age at adiposity
and allowing for stratified and breast cancer subtype–
specific analyses. All contributing studies were prospective,
and most had multiple follow-up rounds, facilitating deter-
mination of menopausal status and time-updated covariate
information.
However, the use of BMI has its limitations in that women
with the same BMI can have different body fat distributions
and overall body fat levels.53
Body mass index was recalled for
early adulthood, but a good correlation (r = 0.87) has been re-
ported between recalled and measured weight at 18 years of
age.54
Current weight was usually self-reported, but in the Sis-
ter Study,55
66% of women accurately reported their current
weightwithin1.35kg,andunderweightwomentendedtoover-
report and obese women tended to underreport, although
rarely by more than 10%. If such misclassification applied to
all studies, we might have slightly overestimated the trends
but not to a sufficient degree to account for them fully. On the
other hand, random misclassification would have led to at-
tenuated effect sizes. Study-specific differences in method of
assessment and cut points for hormone receptor and ERBB2/
HER2 status of breast cancer, given that these data were fre-
quently obtained from medical records, may have led to dif-
ferential classification of the tumor types between studies,
potentially leading to underestimation of relative risks. More
than 1000 breast cancer cases occurred in black women, al-
lowing for stable estimation of relative risks in that popula-
tion; results were similar to results from white women. How-
ever, we had insufficient statistical power to address the
hypothesisthatassociationsmightbeweakerorabsentinAsian
populations.12,13,16,56
Conclusions
The results of our study suggest that increased BMI is in-
versely associated with the risk of breast cancer diagnosis be-
fore menopause, to a greater magnitude than suggested in pre-
vious analyses, and with the strongest associations for BMI at
youngages.TheassociationwithBMIinearlyadulthoodisuni-
versal across strata of other risk factors and across breast can-
cer subtypes. Understanding the biological mechanism un-
derlyingthisassociationcouldhaveimportantimplicationsfor
breast cancer prevention.
ARTICLE INFORMATION
Accepted for Publication: March 30, 2018.
Open Access: This is an open access article
distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License.
© 2018 The Premenopausal Breast Cancer
Collaborative Group. JAMA Oncology.
Published Online: June 21, 2018.
doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2018.1771
The Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative
Group Authors: Minouk J. Schoemaker, PhD; Hazel
B. Nichols, PhD; Lauren B. Wright, MSc; Mark N.
Brook, PhD; Michael E. Jones, PhD; Katie M.
O’Brien, PhD; Hans-Olov Adami, MD, PhD;
Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women Original Investigation Research
jamaoncology.com (Reprinted) JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 7/10
Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
Laura Baglietto, PhD; Leslie Bernstein, PhD;
Kimberly A. Bertrand, ScD; Marie-Christine
Boutron-Ruault, MD, PhD; Tonje Braaten, PhD; Yu
Chen, MPH, PhD; Avonne E. Connor, PhD; Miren
Dorronsoro, MD; Laure Dossus, PhD; A. Heather
Eliassen, ScD; Graham G. Giles, PhD; Susan E.
Hankinson, ScD; Rudolf Kaaks, PhD; Timothy J. Key,
DPhil; Victoria A. Kirsh, PhD; Cari M. Kitahara, PhD;
Woon-Puay Koh, PhD; Susanna C. Larsson, PhD;
Martha S. Linet, MD; Huiyan Ma, PhD; Giovanna
Masala, MD; Melissa A. Merritt, PhD; Roger L. Milne,
PhD; Kim Overvad, PhD; Kotaro Ozasa, MD, PhD;
Julie R. Palmer, ScD; Petra H. Peeters, MD, PhD; Elio
Riboli, MD; Thomas E. Rohan, MBBS, DHSc; Atsuko
Sadakane, MD, PhD; Malin Sund, MD, PhD; Rulla M.
Tamimi, ScD; Antonia Trichopoulou, MD, PhD; Giske
Ursin, MD, PhD; Lars Vatten, MD, PhD; Kala
Visvanathan, MD; Elisabete Weiderpass, MD, PhD;
Walter C. Willett, MD, DrPH; Alicja Wolk, DrMedSc,
PhD; Jian-Min Yuan, MD, PhD; Anne Zeleniuch-
Jacquotte, MD, MS; Dale P. Sandler, PhD; Anthony J.
Swerdlow, DM, DSc.
Affiliations of The Premenopausal Breast Cancer
Collaborative Group Authors: Division of Genetics
and Epidemiology, The Institute of Cancer
Research, London, United Kingdom (Schoemaker,
Wright, Brook, Jones, Swerdlow); Department of
Epidemiology, University of North Carolina Gillings
School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill
(Nichols); Biostatistics and Computational Biology
Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health
Sciences, National Institutes of Health, Durham,
North Carolina (O’Brien); Department of Medical
Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska
Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (Adami,
Weiderpass); Department of Epidemiology, Harvard
T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston,
Massachusetts (Adami, Eliassen, Tamimi);
Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine,
University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy (Baglietto);
Department of Population Sciences, Beckman
Research Institute of City of Hope, Duarte,
California (Bernstein, Ma); Slone Epidemiology
Center at Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts
(Bertrand, Palmer); Institut National de la Santé et
de la Recherche Medicale U1018, Institut Gustave
Roussy, Centre d’Etude des Supports de Publicité,
Université Paris-Saclay, Université Paris-Sud, and
Université Versailles Saint-Quentin, Paris, France
(Boutron-Ruault); Department of Community
Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of
Tromsø, The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø
(Braaten, Weiderpass); Department of Population
Health and Perlmutter Cancer Center, New York
University School of Medicine, New York City, New
York (Chen, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte); Department of
Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of
Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland (Connor,
Visvanathan); Public Health Direction and
Biodonostia Research Institute and Centro de
Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y
Salud Pública, Basque Regional Health Department,
San Sebastian, Spain (Dorronsoro); Nutrition and
Metabolism Section, International Agency for
Research on Cancer, Lyon, France (Dossus);
Channing Division of Network Medicine,
Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s
Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston,
Massachusetts (Eliassen, Tamimi, Willett); Cancer
Epidemiology and Intelligence Division, Cancer
Council Victoria, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
(Giles, Milne); Centre for Epidemiology and
Biostatistics, School of Population and Global
Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne,
Victoria, Australia (Giles, Milne); Department of
Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public
Health and Health Sciences, University of
Massachusetts, Amherst (Hankinson); Division of
Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research
Center, Heidelberg, Germany (Kaaks); Nuffield
Department of Population Health, University of
Oxford, Oxford, England (Key); Dalla Lana School
of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto,
Ontario, Canada (Kirsh); Radiation Epidemiology
Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and
Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda,
Maryland (Kitahara, Linet); Health Services and
Systems Research, Duke-NUS (National University
of Singapore) Medical School, Singapore (Koh);
Nutrional Epidemiology Unit, Karolinska Institutet,
Institute of Environmental Medicine, Stockholm,
Sweden (Larsson, Wolk); Cancer Risk Factors and
Life-Style Epidemiology Unit, Cancer Research and
Prevention Institute, Florence, Italy (Masala);
School of Public Health, Imperial College, London,
England (Merritt, Riboli); Department of Public
Health, Section for Epidemiology, Aarhus
University, Aarhus, Denmark (Overvad); Radiation
Effects Research Foundation, Hiroshima, Japan
(Ozasa, Sadakane); University Medical Center,
Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
(Peeters); Department of Epidemiology and
Population Health, Albert Einstein College of
Medicine, Bronx, New York (Rohan); Department
of Surgical and Perioperative Sciences, Umeå
University, Umeå, Sweden (Sund); Hellenic Health
Foundation, Athens, Greece (Trichopoulou); Cancer
Registry of Norway, Institute of Population-Based
Cancer Research, Oslo (Ursin, Weiderpass);
Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of
Oslo, Oslo, Norway (Ursin); Department of
Preventive Medicine, University of Southern
California, Los Angeles (Ursin); Department of
Public Health, Norwegian University of Science and
Technology, Trondheim (Vatten); Genetic
Epidemiology Group, Folkhälsan Research Center,
Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki,
Finland (Weiderpass); Department of Nutrition,
Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston,
Massachusetts (Willett); University of Pittsburgh
Graduate School of Public Health and UPMC
Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
(Yuan); Epidemiology Branch, National Institute of
Environmental Health Sciences, National Institutes
of Health, Durham, North Carolina (Sandler);
Division of Breast Cancer Research, The Institute of
Cancer Research, London, England (Swerdlow).
Author Contributions: Drs Schoemaker and
Nichols had full access to all the data in the study
and take responsibility for the integrity of the data
and accuracy of the data analysis. Drs Schoemaker
and Nichols are co-first authors and Dr Sandler and
Mr Swerdlow co-senior authors because they
contributed equally.
Study concept and design: Connor, Jones, Larsson,
Nichols, Overvad, Sandler, Schoemaker, Swerdlow,
Trichopoulou, Weiderpass, Willett, Wolk, Wright.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data:
Adami, Baglietto, Bernstein, Bertrand, Boutron-
Ruault, Braaten, Brook, Chen, Dorronsoro, Dossus,
Eliassen, Giles, Hankinson, Jones, Kaaks, Key, Kirsh,
Kitahara, Koh, Linet, Ma, Masala, Merrit, Milne,
Nichols, O’Brien, Overvad, Ozasa, Palmer, Peeters,
Riboli, Rohan, Sadakane, Sandler, Schoemaker,
Sund, Swerdlow, Tamimi, Ursin, Vatten,
Visvanathan, Weiderpass, Willett, Wolk, Wright,
Yuan, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte.
Drafting of the manuscript: Nichols, Sandler,
Schoemaker, Swerdlow, Wright.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important
intellectual content: All authors.
Statistical analysis: Brook, Jones, Nichols,
Schoemaker, Wright.
Obtained funding: Key, Nichols, Overvad, Palmer,
Sandler, Swerdlow, Tamimi, Vatten, Willet, Wolk,
Yuan.
Administrative, technical, or material support:
Baglietto, Bertrand, Brook, Dossus, Eliassen, Giles,
Jones, Kirsh, Koh, Linet, Ma, Masala, Merritt,
Nichols, Overvad, Palmer, Peeters, Riboli,
Sadakane, Sandler, Schoemaker, Sund, Tamimi,
Trichopoulou, Vatten, Weiderpass, Willet, Wolk,
Wright, Yuan.
Study supervision: Nichols, Sandler, Schoemaker,
Swerdlow.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.
Funding/Support: This study was supported in
part by Breast Cancer Now and the United Kingdom
National Health Service funding to the Royal
Marsden/Institute of Cancer Research National
Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research
Centre; The Institute of Cancer Research; grant
02-2014-080 from the Avon Foundation; grant
KL2- TR001109 from the US National Center for
Advancing Translational Sciences; Distinguished
Professor Award 2368/10-221 from the Karolinska
Institutet; grants R01CA144032 and R01UM182876
from the US National Institutes of Health (NIH);
grants Z01 ES044005 and P30 ES000260 from
the National Institute of Environmental Health
Sciences, NIH; grants UM1 CA176726, UM1
CA186107, UM1 CA182876, UM1 CA182934, UM1
CA164974, R01 CA058420, R01 CA092447,
CA077398, and CA144034 from the National
Cancer Institute; the National Program of Cancer
Registries of the Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention; the US Department of Energy; The
Dahod Breast Cancer Research Program at Boston
University School of Medicine; the Maryland
Cigarette Restitution Fund; grants 209057 and
396414 from VicHealth, Cancer Council Victoria,
and the Australia National Health and Medical
Research Council; grant BCRF-17-138 from the
Breast Cancer Research Foundation; the Swedish
Research Council and Swedish Cancer Foundation;
the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare;
and the Hellenic Health Foundation. The
coordination of the European Prospective
Investigation in Cancer is supported by the
European Commission Health and Consumer
Protection Directorate General and the
International Agency for Research on Cancer.
The national cohorts are supported by the Danish
Cancer Society (Denmark); Ligue Contre le Cancer,
Institut Gustave Roussy, Mutuelle Generale de
l’Education Nationale, and Institut National de la
Santé et de la Recherche Medicale (France);
German Cancer Aid, German Cancer Research
Center, Federal Ministry of Education and Research,
Deutsche Krebshilfe, Deutsches
Krebsforschungszentrum, and Federal Ministry of
Education and Research (Germany); the Hellenic
Health Foundation (Greece); Associazione Italiana
per la Ricerca sul Cancro-Italy and the National
Research Council (Italy); Dutch Ministry of Public
Health, Welfare and Sports, the Netherlands Cancer
Registry, LK Research Funds, Dutch Prevention
Funds, Dutch Zorg Onderzoek Nederland, World
Cancer Research Fund, and Statistics Netherlands
Research Original Investigation Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women
8/10 JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 (Reprinted) jamaoncology.com
Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
(the Netherlands); European Research Council
grant 2009-AdG 232997, Nordforsk, and Nordic
Centre of Excellence Program on Food, Nutrition
and Health (Norway); Health Research Fund PI13/
00061 to Granada, PI13/01162 to EPIC-Murcia,
Regional Governments of Andalucía, Asturias,
Basque Country, Murcia, and Navarra, Instituto de
Salud Carlos III Redes Temáticas de Investigación
Cooperativa en Salud, Spain (RD06/0020); the
Swedish Cancer Society, Swedish Research Council,
and County Councils of Skane and Västerbotten
(Sweden); and grant 14136 to European Prospective
Study into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)–Norfolk and
grants C570/A16491 and C8221/A19170 to EPIC-
Oxford from Cancer Research UK, and grant
1000143 to EPIC-Norfolk and MR/M012190/1 to
EPIC-Oxford from the Medical Research Council
(United Kingdom).
Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The sponsors had no
role in the design and conduct of the study;
collection, management, analysis, and
interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or
approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit
the manuscript for publication.
Additional Contributions: The following
contributed to acquisition, analysis, or
interpretation of data: Kathleen M. McClain, MS,
Craig McGowan, MS, and Jiawei Xu, BS, University
of North Carolina, Chapel Hill; Melissa House, MS,
WestStat Inc, City, Maryland; Mustapha Abubakar,
MBBS, PhD, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda,
Maryland; Niclas Håkansson, PhD, Karolinska
Institute, Stockholm, Sweden; Jane Sullivan-Halley,
BS, Beckman Research Institute of the City of Hope,
Duarte, California; Allison Iwan, BS, and Diane
Kampa, BS, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis;
Siew-Hong Low, Saw Swee Hock School of Public
Health, National University of Singapore; Jerry Reid,
PHD, American Registry of Radiologic
Technologists, St Paul, Minnesota; Renwei Wang,
MD, MS, UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, University of
Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and Jeffrey
Yu, MPH, Slone Epidemiology Center at Boston
University, Boston, Massachusetts. They received
no compensation for their contributions other than
their salaries. We thank all study participants, staff,
and participating cancer registries, and we thank
the National Cancer Institute Cohort Consortium for
facilitating this collaboration.
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10/10 JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 (Reprinted) jamaoncology.com
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1

  • 1. Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women The Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative Group IMPORTANCE The association between increasing body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) and risk of breast cancer is unique in cancer epidemiology in that a crossover effect exists, with risk reduction before and risk increase after menopause. The inverse association with premenopausal breast cancer risk is poorly characterized but might be important in the understanding of breast cancer causation. OBJECTIVE To investigate the association of BMI with premenopausal breast cancer risk, in particular by age at BMI, attained age, risk factors for breast cancer, and tumor characteristics. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This multicenter analysis used pooled individual-level data from 758 592 premenopausal women from 19 prospective cohorts to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of premenopausal breast cancer in association with BMI from ages 18 through 54 years using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Median follow-up was 9.3 years (interquartile range, 4.9-13.5 years) per participant, with 13 082 incident cases of breast cancer. Participants were recruited from January 1, 1963, through December 31, 2013, and data were analyzed from September 1, 2013, through December 31, 2017. EXPOSURES Body mass index at ages 18 to 24, 25 to 34, 35 to 44, and 45 to 54 years. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Invasive or in situ premenopausal breast cancer. RESULTS Among the 758 592 premenopausal women (median age, 40.6 years; interquartile range, 35.2-45.5 years) included in the analysis, inverse linear associations of BMI with breast cancer risk were found that were stronger for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years (HR per 5 kg/m2 [5.0-U] difference, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.73-0.80) than for BMI at ages 45 to 54 years (HR per 5.0-U difference, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.86-0.91). The inverse associations were observed even among nonoverweight women. There was a 4.2-fold risk gradient between the highest and lowest BMI categories (BMIՆ35.0 vs <17.0) at ages 18 to 24 years (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.14-0.40). Hazard ratios did not appreciably vary by attained age or between strata of other breast cancer risk factors. Associations were stronger for estrogen receptor–positive and/or progesterone receptor–positive than for hormone receptor–negative breast cancer for BMI at every age group (eg, for BMI at age 18 to 24 years: HR per 5.0-U difference for estrogen receptor–positive and progesterone receptor–positive tumors, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.70-0.81] vs hormone receptor–negative tumors, 0.85 [95% CI: 0.76-0.95]); BMI at ages 25 to 54 years was not consistently associated with triple-negative or hormone receptor–negative breast cancer overall. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The results of this study suggest that increased adiposity is associated with a reduced risk of premenopausal breast cancer at a greater magnitude than previously shown and across the entire distribution of BMI. The strongest associations of risk were observed for BMI in early adulthood. Understanding the biological mechanisms underlying these associations could have important preventive potential. JAMA Oncol. 2018;4(11):e181771. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2018.1771 Published online June 21, 2018. Supplemental content Group Information: The Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative Group authors are listed at the end of this article. Corresponding Author: Minouk J. Schoemaker, PhD, Division of Genetics and Epidemiology, The Institute of Cancer Research, 15 Cotswold Rd, London SM2 5NG, United Kingdom (minouk@icr.ac.uk). Research JAMA Oncology | Original Investigation (Reprinted) 1/10 Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
  • 2. B reast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer among women worldwide, accounting for 25% of fe- male cancer cases at all ages and a greater percentage among young women.1 Its complex etiology involves an un- usually large range of factors, of which adiposity, often as- sessed as body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilo- grams divided by height in meters squared), is important and appears to have opposing effects at premenopausal and post- menopausal ages. Increased adiposity in childhood and before menopause has been reported to be inversely associated with the risk of breast cancer diagnosed at premenopausal and postmeno- pausal ages, whereas increased adiposity after menopause is positively associated with risk.2-11 However, because inci- dence rates are lower among premenopausal than postmeno- pausal women, individual studies have had limited ability to investigate the association of BMI with the risk of premeno- pausal breast cancer. Past studies have been case-control stud- ies, with potential for bias, and most prospective studies have had modest numbers of cases, except for some recent studies in Asian12,13 or Jewish Israeli14 populations, but have not as- sessed risk at different ages, by tumor type, and by meno- pausal status at breast cancer diagnosis. Meta-analyses have aggregated studies that differed in age at BMI assessment, at- tained age of participants, and degree of adjustment for po- tential confounding, and results were not stratified by other risk factors.2-5,15-18 Some studies suggest that the association of premenopausal adiposity with risk varies by tumor characteristics,2,7,17-19 but larger studies are needed to pro- vide stable estimates by hormone receptor status or intrinsic tumor subtype. To undertake a more powerful and systematic analysis of the association of BMI with breast cancer risk in premeno- pausal women, we pooled individual-level data from 758 592 women, including 13 082 cases of breast cancer, from 19 pro- spective cohort studies using data from recruitment and fol- low-up questionnaires. We aimed to estimate the relative risk associated with BMI at different ages, age at breast cancer diagnosis, and breast cancer characteristics and to explore whether associations were modified by other risk factors for breast cancer. Methods Information on the Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collabora- tive Group, a collaboration facilitated by the National Cancer Institute Cohort Consortium, has been published previously.20 In short, individual-level data were pooled from 19 prospec- tivecohortsinNorthAmerica(n = 9),Europe(n = 7),Asia(n = 2), and Australia (n = 1),20 with participants recruited from Janu- ary 1, 1963, through December 31, 2013 and at least 100 breast cancer cases diagnosed before 55 years of age. Data were har- monizedtoacommontemplatefor1to16questionnairerounds per study. Full details of the study cohorts are given in the eMethods in the Supplement. All contributing studies gained approval from institutional review boards and obtained con- sent from participants as per country-specific requirements. We used information on self-reported or measured cur- rentweightandheightfrommultiplequestionnaireroundsand information reported on questionnaires about weight at ages before study entry to construct BMI within the age ranges of 18 to 24, 25 to 34, 35 to 44, and 45 to 54 years. We categorized BMI according to World Health Organization definitions.21 The analysis included all participants who were premenopausal, had no personal history of breast cancer at study entry, and had data for premenopausal BMI available. All breast cancers included in this analysis occurred be- fore menopause, with the main analytic end point being in- vasive or in situ premenopausal breast cancer overall. How- ever,wealsoanalyzedseparatelybyinvasiveandinsitucancer, by immunohistochemistry data on estrogen receptor (ER) and progesteronereceptor(PR)status,andbyclinicopathologicsur- rogate definitions of intrinsic breast cancer subtype. Hazard ratios (HRs) were obtained as estimates of the rela- tive risk of breast cancer from Cox proportional hazards re- gression models22 with attained age as the underlying times- cale. Follow-up for breast cancer started at study entry or the age after enrollment to which the BMI applied. Follow-up ended at breast cancer diagnosis, menopause (or hysterec- tomy), last follow-up, death, or age 55 years, whichever oc- curred first. We first generated cohort-specific relative risk estimates and obtained a pooled estimate with a 2-stage model.23 Be- cause no appreciable between-study heterogeneity was de- tectedusingtheI2 statistic,24 thedatawereanalyzedinapooled data set. All presented analyses were adjusted for attained age (implicit in the Cox proportional hazards regression model), cohort, year of birth, age at menarche, age at first birth, time since last birth, parity, and family history of breast cancer. Covariate information was time updated, when possible, with information from follow-up questionnaires. We analyzed BMI separately as categorical and continu- ous variables (per 5 kg/m2 [5.0-U] difference), assuming a log- linear dose-response association, the validity of which was checked using restricted cubic spline models.25 We tested for effect modification by other risk factors for breast cancer and by attained age using log-likelihood ratio tests.26 Analyses by breast tumor subtype were conducted using an augmenta- tion method.27 This method allows estimation of separate risk Key Points Question What is the association between body mass index and risk for breast cancer diagnosed before menopause? Finding In this large pooled analysis of data on 758 592 premenopausal women, an inverse association of breast cancer risk with body mass index at 18 through 54 years of age was found, most strongly for body mass index at ages 18 through 24 years. The inverse association was strongest for hormone receptor–positive breast cancer, was evident across the entire distribution of body mass index, and did not materially vary by attained age or other characteristics of women. Meaning Increased adiposity, in particular during early adulthood, may be associated with reductions in the risk of premenopausal breast cancer. Research Original Investigation Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women 2/10 JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 (Reprinted) jamaoncology.com Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
  • 3. factorassociationsfortype-specificoutcomesinasinglemodel stratified on outcome type, obtained from a data set in which separate observations on each participant have been created for each outcome. Conducted sensitivity analyses are out- lined in the eMethods in the Supplement. We used Stata, ver- sion 14.2 (StataCorp) for all analyses, with P < .05 indicating signficance.28 Results Theanalysesincluded758 592women(medianage,40.6years; interquartile range, 35.2-45.5 years), among whom 13 082 in situ or invasive breast cancer cases occurred during 7.2 mil- lion premenopausal years of follow-up (median, 9.3 years; in- terquartile range, 4.9-13.5 years) (eTable 1 in the Supple- ment). Weight was provided at 1 to 14 (median, 2) follow-up rounds per study and was self-reported for 88.9% to 99.6% of weights, depending on age. Weight at ages 18 to 24 years was retrospectivelyreportedfor96.9%andatlateragesforlessthan 10% of women. Obesity (BMI≥30.0) was more common in women who were 45 years or older (11.1%), were nulliparous (12.4%), had an early menarche (17.0%), had a family history of breast cancer (12.8%), or were black (26.8%) (Table). IncreasingBMIwaslinearlyassociatedwithdecreasingrisk of breast cancer in the restricted cubic spline models (eFig- ures 1 and 2 in the Supplement), except that, for some ages and tumor types, there appeared to be a leveling of risk for under- weight women (BMI<18.5) compared with those in the nor- mal weight range (BMI, 18.5-24.9). We therefore restricted the linear modeling of BMI to values of 18.5 or greater. Hazard ratios for breast cancer decreased with increasing BMI category (Figure 1), more for BMI at younger than older ages, with a risk reduction of 23% per 5.0-U difference (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.73-0.80) for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years and 12% (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.86-0.91) for BMI at 45 to 54 years. The risk gradient was 4.2-fold between the highest and low- est BMI categories (BMI≥35.0 vs <17.0) at ages 18 to 24 years (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.14-0.40). Significant differences in rela- tive risk were present even within the normal range of BMI (for 23.0-24.9 vs 18.5-22.9: HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.75-0.86). The HRs for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years remained statistically signifi- cant after additional adjustment for most recent BMI (HR per 5.0-U increase, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.76-0.84). We found no appre- ciable heterogeneity in the association between studies (eFigure 3A-D in the Supplement). Weight at ages 18 to 24 years was correlated with weights atolderages(r = 0.70forages25-34,r = 0.63forages35-44,and r = 0.55 for ages 45-54 years). When we adjusted the analyses of breast cancer risk in Figure 2 for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years, the HRs per 5.0-U increase were 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.97) for BMI at ages 25 to 34 years, 0.93 (95% CI, 0.91-0.96) at ages 35 to 44 years, and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.88-0.95) at ages 45 to 54 years (Figure 2 and eTable 2 in the Supplement). The magnitude of the inverse associations was similar between categories of at- tained age to age 55 years (eFigure 4 in the Supplement). Incident cases of breast cancer included 10 836 invasive and 2138 in situ breast cancers. Associations with risk per 5.0-U difference in BMI were significantly larger for in situ (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.69-0.85) than for invasive breast cancer (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.84-0.92) (P = .02 for interaction) for BMI at ages 25 to 34 years; difference in associations were also found for in situ (HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.76-0.86) and inva- sive breast cancer (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.86-0.90; P = .01 for interaction) at 35 to 44 years (eTable 3 in the Supplement). The percentage of all breast cancers that were in situ did not appreciably vary by BMI, and women with higher BMI were more likely to have had a screening mammogram (eTable 4 in the Supplement). The ER and/or PR status was known for 7812 cases, 7002 (89.6%) of which were invasive. We did not observe consis- tent significant differences in HRs for ER-positive vs ER- negative or PR-positive vs PR-negative breast cancer (eTable 5 in the Supplement). When considering ER and PR jointly, ER-positive and/or PR-positive breast cancer showed stron- ger associations with BMI at ages 18 to 24 years (eg, for ER- positive and PR-positive, HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.70-0.81) than did hormone receptor–negative breast cancer; however, the asso- ciation was still significant for ER-negative and PR-negative breast cancer (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76-0.95) (eFigure 5 in the Supplement). Body mass index at older ages was not associ- ated with hormone receptor–negative breast cancer risk. In analyses by intrinsic breast cancer subtype (Figure 3), the non- luminal (ER-negative and PR-negative) subtype was in- versely associated with BMI at ages 18 to 24 (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.77-0.96) and 45 to 54 years (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.84- 0.98), but not with BMI at ages 25 to 34 and 35 to 44 years. No association of BMI at 25 years or older with triple-negative breast cancer or of BMI at 35 years or older with ERBB2/HER2- enriched breast cancer was found. Hazard ratios per 5.0-U difference in BMI were not signifi- cantly different between strata of most risk factors for breast cancer, including race/ethnicity (for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years: HR for black women, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.76-0.93]; HR for Asian women, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.40-1.18]; and HR for white women, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.70-0.77]; P = .08 for interaction) (eFigure 6 and eTable 6 in the Supplement). Hazard ratios were greater for never users compared with than ever users of oral contracep- tives (at baseline for most studies) for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years (HR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.61-0.76] vs 0.79 [95% CI, 0.75-0.83]; P = .02 for interaction) and ages 35 to 44 (HR, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.77-0.86] vs 0.88 [95% CI, 0.86-0.91]; P = .009 for interac- tion). The HR was also greater for nulliparous than parous women (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.73-0.87] vs 0.88 [95% CI, 0.84- 0.93]; P = .03 for interaction) for BMI at ages 25 to 34 years. Results were not materially affected in the sensitivity analy- ses (eTables 7-9 in the Supplement) except for those shown in Figure 1. Discussion In this large prospective analysis investigating the associa- tion between adiposity and breast cancer risk in premeno- pausal women, we analyzed relative risk by BMI in a larger number of categories than possible in previous studies, re- Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women Original Investigation Research jamaoncology.com (Reprinted) JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 3/10 Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
  • 4. vealing a 4.2-fold risk gradient between women who were un- derweight vs obese at ages 18 to 24 years and a 1.9- to 2.5-fold risk gradient between these BMI categories at later ages. We demonstrated that the inverse associations apply to the en- tire distribution of BMI, with risk variations evident even among women in the nonoverweight range of BMI. Table. Characteristics at Study Recruitment of Women Included in the Analyses Characteristic Participants, No. (BMI≥30.0, %) Person-years of Follow-up, No. (%)a Cancer Cases, No. BMIb 15.0-16.9 2843 29 293 (0.4) 53 17.0-18.4 20 245 221 540 (3.1) 442 18.5-24.9 499 146 4 901 964 (68.1) 9356 25.0-29.9 159 660 1 375 769 (19.1) 2257 30.0-34.9 51 413 442 769 (6.2) 678 35.0-49.9 25 285 227 485 (3.2) 296 Age at entry, y <25 17 627 (9.2) 211 220 (2.9) 74 25-34 167 744 (8.9) 2 585 847 (35.9) 3657 35-44 366 893 (10.1) 3 688 360 (51.2) 7404 ≥45 206 328 (11.1) 713 394 (9.9) 1947 Age at menarche, y 7-11 141 899 (17.0) 1 410 957 (19.6) 2712 12-13 391 822 (9.7) 3 849 467 (53.5) 7117 ≥14 195 180 (6.2) 1 715 887 (23.8) 2871 Missing or no periods 29 691 (9.1) 222 509 (3.1) 382 Age at first birth, y <25 290 668 (11.2) 2 630 694 (36.5) 4186 25-34 273 023 (8.7) 2 583 161 (35.9) 5364 ≥35 19 152 (9.5) 134 836 (1.9) 393 Nulliparous 121 920 (12.4) 1 311 508 (18.2) 2367 Age or whether parous unknown 53 829 (6.7) 538 621 (7.5) 772 No. of birthsc 1 128 760 (10.4) 1 358 259 (25.2) 2583 2 252 325 (9.4) 2 213 928 (41.0) 4356 3 188 633 (10.8) 1 650 219 (30.6) 2900 Not known 18 341 (6.5) 178 049 (3.3) 172 Family history of breast cancer No 556 203 (10.1) 5 576 245 (77.5) 9478 Yes 75 299 (12.8) 625 576 (8.7) 2265 Not known 127 090 (8.4) 997 000 (13.8) 1339 Race/ethnicity White 419 130 (10.0) 4 437 300 (61.6) 8437 Black 52 903 (26.8) 586 734 (8.2) 1006 Asian 26 214 (2.5) 212 411 (3.0) 235 Other 7894 (13.7) 89 276 (1.2) 167 Not known 252 451 (7.5) 1 873 100 (26.0) 3237 Birth cohort Before 1930 23 849 (9.1) 98 669 (1.4) 178 1930-1939 66 110 (7.7) 655 904 (9.1) 1306 1940-1949 243 663 (8.4) 1 878 359 (26.1) 4088 1950-1959 282 307 (10.9) 2 983 715 (41.4) 5305 1960-1969 101 002 (13.7) 1 183 177 (16.4) 1970 1970-1979 33 904 (11.2) 341 589 (4.7) 219 1980 or later 7757 (8.1) 57 407 (0.8) 16 All 758 592 (10.1) 7 198 821 (100.0) 13 082 Abbreviation: BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared). a Percentages have been rounded and may not total 100. Owing to rounding, person-years may not sum to the total. b Indicates at study entry or, if missing, most recent retrospectively reported weight. c Includes parous only. Research Original Investigation Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women 4/10 JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 (Reprinted) jamaoncology.com Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
  • 5. The observed inverse associations are unlikely to be attributable to bias, given that they were present in multiple studies and across strata of birth cohort and risk factors for breast cancer. Too few women died during follow-up (3.3% of women with a BMI≥35.0 vs 1.7% with BMI of 18.5-24.9) to explain the inverse associations for death as a competing risk. Our results are also supported as causal rather than arti- factual by a mendelian randomization study29 reporting genetically predicted BMI to be inversely associated with breast cancer risk. The stronger inverse associations of risk with BMI at younger than older ages suggest that adiposity in young adult- hood or earlier, if adiposity at approximately 20 years of age is a proxy marker for adiposity in childhood, is the critical fac- tor. No cohorts in our collaboration had information on BMI Figure 1. Relative Risk of Premenopausal Breast Cancer Associated With BMI Category, by Age at BMI Less Risk BMI Category by Age 18-24 y No. of Cases Multivariable Adjusted HR (95% CI) Greater Risk 2.01.00.50.2 Multivariable-Adjusted HR (95% CI) 15.0-16.9 328 1.15 (1.03-1.29) 17.0-18.4 1169 1.09 (1.02-1.16) 18.5-22.9 6364 1 [Reference] 23.0-24.9 864 0.80 (0.75-0.86) 25.0-27.4 418 0.73 (0.66-0.81) 27.5-29.9 141 0.68 (0.58-0.81) 30.0-32.4 81 0.73 (0.58-0.90) 32.5-34.9 25 0.47 (0.32-0.70) 35.0-49.9 15 0.27 (0.16-0.45) Trend per 5-U difference in BMIa 7908 0.77 (0.73-0.80) 25-34 y 15.0-18.4 221 1.22 (1.06-1.40) 18.5-22.9 2222 1 [Reference] 23.0-24.9 607 0.91 (0.83-0.99) 25.0-27.4 403 0.82 (0.74-0.91) 27.5-29.9 176 0.76 (0.65-0.88) 30.0-32.4 101 0.67 (0.54-0.81) 32.5-34.9 58 0.63 (0.49-0.82) 35.0-37.4 38 0.67 (0.48-0.92) 37.5-39.9 24 0.64 (0.42-0.95) 25 0.49 (0.33-0.74) Trend per 5-U difference in BMIa 3654 0.85 (0.82-0.89) 40.0-49.9 35-44 y 15.0-18.4 318 1.05 (0.94-1.18) 18.5-22.9 5340 1 [Reference] 23.0-24.9 1882 0.91 (0.86-0.96) 25.0-27.4 1264 0.82 (0.77-0.88) 27.5-29.9 636 0.81 (0.74-0.88) 30.0-32.4 417 0.81 (0.73-0.90) 32.5-34.9 214 0.70 (0.61-0.80) 35.0-37.4 123 0.63 (0.53-0.75) 37.5-39.9 74 0.60 (0.48-0.76) 81 0.49 (0.39-0.61) Trend per 5-U difference in BMIa 10031 0.87 (0.85-0.89) 40.0-49.9 45-54 y 15.0-18.4 120 1.04 (0.87-1.25) 18.5-22.9 2484 1 [Reference] 23.0-24.9 1127 0.94 (0.87-1.01) 25.0-27.4 859 0.85 (0.79-0.92) 27.5-29.9 430 0.77 (0.69-0.85) 30.0-32.4 302 0.80 (0.71-0.90) 32.5-34.9 160 0.72 (0.61-0.84) 35.0-37.4 112 0.76 (0.63-0.92) 37.5-39.9 62 0.66 (0.52-0.86) 70 0.56 (0.44-0.71) Trend per 5-U difference in BMIa 5606 0.88 (0.86-0.91) 40.0-49.9 Body mass index (BMI) is calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. Hazard ratios (HRs) were adjusted for attained age, cohort, year of birth, age at menarche, age at first birth, number of births, time since last birth, and family history of breast cancer. a Represents linear trend per 5 kg/m2 (5.0-U) difference in BMI from 18.5 to 49.9. Figure 2. Relative Risk of Premenopausal Breast Cancer Associated With BMI and Adjusted for BMI at Ages 18 to 24 Years, by Age at BMI Less Risk BMI Category by Age No. of Cases Multivariable Adjusted HR (95% CI) Greater Risk 2.01.00.50.4 Multivariable-Adjusted HR (95% CI) 25-34 y 15.0-18.4 187 1.16 (0.99-1.36) 18.5-22.9 1963 1 [Reference] 23.0-24.9 546 0.94 (0.86-1.04) 25.0-27.4 364 0.87 (0.77-0.97) 27.5-29.9 165 0.86 (0.73-1.02) 30.0-32.4 93 0.77 (0.62-0.96) 32.5-34.9 56 0.79 (0.60-1.04) 35.0-37.4 37 0.87 (0.62-1.23) 37.5-39.9 23 0.84 (0.55-1.29) 24 0.72 (0.46-1.11) Trend per 5-U difference in BMIa 3271 0.92 (0.88-0.97) 40.0-49.9 35-44 y 15.0-18.4 215 1.05 (0.92-1.21) 18.5-22.9 3845 1 [Reference] 23.0-24.9 1392 0.94 (0.88-1.00) 25.0-27.4 977 0.88 (0.82-0.95) 27.5-29.9 498 0.89 (0.81-0.98) 30.0-32.4 334 0.93 (0.82-1.04) 32.5-34.9 174 0.82 (0.70-0.96) 35.0-37.4 111 0.83 (0.69-1.01) 37.5-39.9 65 0.79 (0.62-1.02) 73 0.68 (0.53-0.87) Trend per 5-U difference in BMIa 7469 0.93 (0.91-0.96) 40.0-49.9 45-54 y 15.0-18.4 63 1.11 (0.86-1.43) 18.5-22.9 1535 1 [Reference] 23.0-24.9 788 0.96 (0.88-1.05) 25.0-27.4 644 0.89 (0.81-0.98) 27.5-29.9 338 0.84 (0.74-0.94) 30.0-32.4 234 0.85 (0.74-0.98) 32.5-34.9 123 0.76 (0.63-0.92) 35.0-37.4 83 0.80 (0.63-1.00) 37.5-39.9 54 0.81 (0.61-1.07) 60 0.68 (0.52-0.90) Trend per 5-U difference in BMIa 3859 0.91 (0.88-0.95) 40.0-49.9 Body mass index (BMI) is calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. Hazard ratios (HRs) were adjusted for attained age, cohort, year of birth, age at menarche, age at first birth, number of births, time since last birth, and family history of breast cancer as well as BMI at ages 18 to 24 years. a Represents linear trend per 5 kg/m2 (5.0-U) difference in BMI from 18.5 to 49.9. Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women Original Investigation Research jamaoncology.com (Reprinted) JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 5/10 Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
  • 6. at younger than 18 years, but published analyses of subjec- tive body size compared with peers at these ages7-9 have found strong inverse associations with premenopausal and post- menopausal breast cancer risk. Our estimated 12% to 23% reduction in premenopausal breast cancer risk per 5.0-U difference in BMI depending on age is substantially stronger than that from meta-analyses,3-5,15,16 which have reported 5% to 9% reduc- tions among women overall without analysis by age at BMI, and a study reporting a 10% reduction using measured BMI at ages 16 to 19 years.14 We observed that associations of BMI and breast cancer risk did not depend on attained age. We found no previous analyses by premenopausal attained age, but risk reductions with increased early-life BMI have been reported to continue after menopause.7,8 The associations of BMI with risk also did not appear to be appreciably modified by risk fac- tors for breast cancer later in life, with the possible exception of nulliparity and oral contraceptive use. The stronger associations of BMI at ages 25 to 44 years for in situ than for invasive breast cancer might reflect type- specific etiology or the association for in situ cancer being in part attributable to an association of body size with breast screening attendance. However, we found no evidence for this association, given that percentages of in situ cancer were similar across BMI groups. No previous analyses of hormone receptor status– specific breast cancer by BMI assessed at different premeno- pausal ages have been performed, to our knowledge. We found that hormone receptor–positive breast cancer was associated withBMIatallagesandthathormonereceptor–negativebreast cancer overall was associated with BMI at ages 18 to 24 years, but not consistently associated with BMI at later ages; meta- analyses of ER- and PR-negative tumors15,17 have found no as- sociation, based on age at recruitment. The absence of an as- sociation of triple-negative breast cancer with BMI at 25 years or older in our analysis is contrary to previous reports18,19 in- dicating an increased risk of this tumor type with obesity; how- ever, these reports were based on case-control studies18 and a pooled analysis of women younger than 50 years based on studies of mixed design19 and therefore are subject to poten- tial biases that are of less concern in prospective cohorts. We observed that ERBB2/HER2-enriched breast cancer was asso- ciated with BMI at 35 years or younger but not at later ages; the Nurses’ Health Study, included in this analysis, previ- ouslyreportedastrongassociationwithBMIat18yearsofage,7 but we are not aware of studies investigating the association with later premenopausal ages. Obesity has many adverse effects on general health,30 and we do not advocate weight gain as a preventative measure against premenopausal breast cancer. However, understand- ing the mechanistic action underlying the inverse associa- tion of premenopausal adiposity with breast cancer risk could potentially identify modifiable pathways. Because the asso- ciation with BMI at ages 18 to 24 years is significant for ER-positive and ER-negative tumors, hormonal and nonhor- monal mechanisms might be involved. Breast tissue is par- ticularlysusceptibletocarcinogensbetweenmenarcheandfirst childbirth,31 and the extent of this susceptibility may be influ- enced by childhood adiposity. Increased adiposity has a strong association with early pubertal onset but also slower puber- tal tempo,32 including slower peak growth,33 and rapid ado- lescent growth has been associated with increased breast can- Figure 3. Relative Risk of Premenopausal Breast Cancer per 5 kg/m2 (5.0-U) Difference in BMI by Age at BMI and Breast Cancer Intrinsic Tumor Subtype Less Risk Age at BMI by Intrinsic Cancer Subtype No. of Cases HRa per 5.0-U Difference (95% CI) Greater Risk 2.01.00.5 HR per 5.0-U Difference (95% CI) BMI at ages 18-24 y All luminal A-like 1467 0.73 (0.65-0.81) All luminal B-like 949 0.73 (0.64-0.84) Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 negative 259 0.74 (0.58-0.95) Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 positive 371 0.84 (0.69-1.03) All nonluminal 971 0.86 (0.77-0.96) ERBB2/HER2 enriched 153 0.70 (0.49-1.00) Triple negative 354 0.83 (0.70-0.99) BMI at ages 25-34 y All luminal A-like 789 0.78 (0.71-0.86) All luminal B-like 452 0.89 (0.79-1.00) Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 negative 122 0.90 (0.72-1.13) Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 positive 186 0.95 (0.80-1.13) All nonluminal 472 1.00 (0.91-1.09) ERBB2/HER2 enriched 78 0.62 (0.43-0.89) Triple negative 175 1.00 (0.86-1.17) BMI at ages 35-44 y All luminal A-like 1782 0.88 (0.84-0.93) All luminal B-like 1219 0.80 (0.75-0.86) Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 negative 314 0.79 (0.69-0.91) Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 positive 421 0.93 (0.84-1.03) All nonluminal 1169 0.97 (0.92-1.03) ERBB2/HER2 enriched 168 0.91 (0.79-1.06) Triple negative 407 0.94 (0.85-1.03) BMI at ages 45-54 y All luminal A-like 1117 0.96 (0.90-1.01) All luminal B-like 759 0.79 (0.73-0.86) Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 negative 188 0.84 (0.72-0.98) Luminal B ERBB2/HER2 positive 237 0.93 (0.82-1.06) All nonluminal 631 0.90 (0.84-0.98) ERBB2/HER2 enriched 89 0.99 (0.83-1.19) Triple negative 219 0.98 (0.87-1.11) Body mass index (BMI) is calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared. The luminal A–like subtype includes estrogen receptor (ER)–positive, progesterone receptor (PR)–positive, and ERBB2/HER2-negative tumors; luminal B–subtype, all ER-positive and/or PR-positive tumors that are not luminal A–like (subtypes luminal B–like ERBB2/HER2-negative and luminal B–like ERBB2/HER2-positive); and nonluminal subtype, all ER-negative and PR-negative tumors, regardless of ERBB2/HER2 status (subtypes ERBB2/HER2 enriched: ER-negative, PR-negative, and ERBB2/HER2-positive; triple-negative: ER-negative, PR-negative, and ERBB2/HER2-negative). a Represents linear trend per 5.0-U of difference in BMI from 18.5 to 49.9 and are adjusted for attained age, cohort, year of birth, age at menarche, age at first birth, number of births, time since last birth, and family history of breast cancer. Estimates were obtained from 2 augmentation models.27 The first model included luminal A–like, luminal B–like, and nonluminal breast cancer as end points with tests for heterogeneity in effect by tumor type (for BMI at ages 18-24 years, P = .07; at ages 25-34 years, P = .002; at ages 35-44 years, P < .001; at ages 45-54, P < .001). Estimates for subtypes of luminal B–like and nonluminal breast cancer were obtained from a second model fitting luminal A–like, luminal B–like ERBB2/HER2-positive, luminal B–like ERBB2/HER2-negative, ERBB2/HER2-enriched, and triple-negative breast cancer as end points. Research Original Investigation Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women 6/10 JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 (Reprinted) jamaoncology.com Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
  • 7. cer risk.34 The estrogenic effects of being overweight in childhood, when adipose tissue is the major site of estrogen release, have been proposed to induce early breast differen- tiation or to increase the expression of tumor suppressor genes.35 Being underweight during adolescence, in contrast, might result in immature differentiation due to lack of breast fat and/or low levels of ovarian hormones during breast development.36 Early-adulthood adiposity is associated with intermedi- ate markers of breast cancer risk, such as benign breast disease,37 mammographicdensity,38 andinsulinlikegrowthfac- tor 1 levels.39 Greater mammographic density has a positive as- sociation with breast cancer risk,40 and a more endomorphic somatotypeinchildhoodandearlyadulthoodisassociatedwith lower mammographic density throughout adulthood.38 In the Nurses’HealthStudy,41 82%oftheassociationofBMIat18years of age with breast cancer risk was explained by mammo- graphicdensity,andbreastdensitymaybeanintermediatefac- tor in the biological pathway for breast cancer development. However, the mechanism of how density affects risk is not well understood,andtheamountofnondense(ie,fatty)tissue,with which BMI is strongly correlated, is also inversely associated withbreastcancerrisk,independentlyofpercentagedensity.40 Early-life body size might also affect long-term insulinlike growth factor 1 levels implicated in breast cancer risk,42 given that plasma insulinlike growth factor 1 levels at ages 32 to 70 years were reported to be 14% lower in women who were over- weight compared with those who were lean at age 18 years.39 The inverse association of BMI in premenopausal women 25 years or older with predominantly hormone receptor– positive rather than hormone receptor–negative breast can- cer implies a hormonal mechanism. Estrogen synthesis, through the aromatase enzyme in subcutaneous fat, repre- sents about 5% of total estradiol synthesis in premenopausal women, but with extreme obesity, negative feedback in the hy- pothalamic-pituitary-axiscanleadtoswitchoffofnormalovar- ian function and be reflected in amenorrhea.43 Irregular men- strual or fewer ovulatory cycles have therefore been suggested as possible explanations for the inverse association,44 but this suggestion has not been supported by studies that could ad- just for menstrual cycle pattern.9-11 However, BMI-related differences in sex-hormone profile may contribute to the in- verse association of BMI and breast cancer risk. A study45 re- ported that premenopausal women with higher BMI had lower estradiol, total testosterone, sex hormone–binding globulin, andprogesteronelevelsbutgreaterfreetestosteronelevelsthan premenopausal women with lower BMI. Positive associa- tions of premenopausal breast cancer risk have been re- portedwithestradiol46-49 andtestosteronelevels,46-48,50,51 pos- sibly stronger for ER-positive and/or PR-positive breast cancer,47 but studies have been inconsistent. Studies investi- gatingendogenousprogesteronelevels,46,47,49-51 however,have not found associations with breast cancer risk. Circulating lev- els of leptin, a peptide hormone produced primarily by adi- pocytes that is overexpressed in breast cancer, were also as- sociated with reduced premenopausal breast cancer risk in a prospective study, although not independently from BMI.52 Strengths and Limitations Thestrengthsofthiscollaborationareitslargenumberofcases, providing precise estimates of relative risk by age at adiposity and allowing for stratified and breast cancer subtype– specific analyses. All contributing studies were prospective, and most had multiple follow-up rounds, facilitating deter- mination of menopausal status and time-updated covariate information. However, the use of BMI has its limitations in that women with the same BMI can have different body fat distributions and overall body fat levels.53 Body mass index was recalled for early adulthood, but a good correlation (r = 0.87) has been re- ported between recalled and measured weight at 18 years of age.54 Current weight was usually self-reported, but in the Sis- ter Study,55 66% of women accurately reported their current weightwithin1.35kg,andunderweightwomentendedtoover- report and obese women tended to underreport, although rarely by more than 10%. If such misclassification applied to all studies, we might have slightly overestimated the trends but not to a sufficient degree to account for them fully. On the other hand, random misclassification would have led to at- tenuated effect sizes. Study-specific differences in method of assessment and cut points for hormone receptor and ERBB2/ HER2 status of breast cancer, given that these data were fre- quently obtained from medical records, may have led to dif- ferential classification of the tumor types between studies, potentially leading to underestimation of relative risks. More than 1000 breast cancer cases occurred in black women, al- lowing for stable estimation of relative risks in that popula- tion; results were similar to results from white women. How- ever, we had insufficient statistical power to address the hypothesisthatassociationsmightbeweakerorabsentinAsian populations.12,13,16,56 Conclusions The results of our study suggest that increased BMI is in- versely associated with the risk of breast cancer diagnosis be- fore menopause, to a greater magnitude than suggested in pre- vious analyses, and with the strongest associations for BMI at youngages.TheassociationwithBMIinearlyadulthoodisuni- versal across strata of other risk factors and across breast can- cer subtypes. Understanding the biological mechanism un- derlyingthisassociationcouldhaveimportantimplicationsfor breast cancer prevention. ARTICLE INFORMATION Accepted for Publication: March 30, 2018. Open Access: This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License. © 2018 The Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative Group. JAMA Oncology. Published Online: June 21, 2018. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2018.1771 The Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative Group Authors: Minouk J. Schoemaker, PhD; Hazel B. Nichols, PhD; Lauren B. Wright, MSc; Mark N. Brook, PhD; Michael E. Jones, PhD; Katie M. O’Brien, PhD; Hans-Olov Adami, MD, PhD; Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women Original Investigation Research jamaoncology.com (Reprinted) JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 7/10 Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
  • 8. Laura Baglietto, PhD; Leslie Bernstein, PhD; Kimberly A. Bertrand, ScD; Marie-Christine Boutron-Ruault, MD, PhD; Tonje Braaten, PhD; Yu Chen, MPH, PhD; Avonne E. Connor, PhD; Miren Dorronsoro, MD; Laure Dossus, PhD; A. Heather Eliassen, ScD; Graham G. Giles, PhD; Susan E. Hankinson, ScD; Rudolf Kaaks, PhD; Timothy J. Key, DPhil; Victoria A. Kirsh, PhD; Cari M. Kitahara, PhD; Woon-Puay Koh, PhD; Susanna C. Larsson, PhD; Martha S. Linet, MD; Huiyan Ma, PhD; Giovanna Masala, MD; Melissa A. Merritt, PhD; Roger L. Milne, PhD; Kim Overvad, PhD; Kotaro Ozasa, MD, PhD; Julie R. Palmer, ScD; Petra H. Peeters, MD, PhD; Elio Riboli, MD; Thomas E. Rohan, MBBS, DHSc; Atsuko Sadakane, MD, PhD; Malin Sund, MD, PhD; Rulla M. Tamimi, ScD; Antonia Trichopoulou, MD, PhD; Giske Ursin, MD, PhD; Lars Vatten, MD, PhD; Kala Visvanathan, MD; Elisabete Weiderpass, MD, PhD; Walter C. Willett, MD, DrPH; Alicja Wolk, DrMedSc, PhD; Jian-Min Yuan, MD, PhD; Anne Zeleniuch- Jacquotte, MD, MS; Dale P. Sandler, PhD; Anthony J. Swerdlow, DM, DSc. Affiliations of The Premenopausal Breast Cancer Collaborative Group Authors: Division of Genetics and Epidemiology, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, United Kingdom (Schoemaker, Wright, Brook, Jones, Swerdlow); Department of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill (Nichols); Biostatistics and Computational Biology Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Institutes of Health, Durham, North Carolina (O’Brien); Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden (Adami, Weiderpass); Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts (Adami, Eliassen, Tamimi); Department of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy (Baglietto); Department of Population Sciences, Beckman Research Institute of City of Hope, Duarte, California (Bernstein, Ma); Slone Epidemiology Center at Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts (Bertrand, Palmer); Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale U1018, Institut Gustave Roussy, Centre d’Etude des Supports de Publicité, Université Paris-Saclay, Université Paris-Sud, and Université Versailles Saint-Quentin, Paris, France (Boutron-Ruault); Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Tromsø, The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø (Braaten, Weiderpass); Department of Population Health and Perlmutter Cancer Center, New York University School of Medicine, New York City, New York (Chen, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte); Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland (Connor, Visvanathan); Public Health Direction and Biodonostia Research Institute and Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública, Basque Regional Health Department, San Sebastian, Spain (Dorronsoro); Nutrition and Metabolism Section, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France (Dossus); Channing Division of Network Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts (Eliassen, Tamimi, Willett); Cancer Epidemiology and Intelligence Division, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia (Giles, Milne); Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia (Giles, Milne); Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst (Hankinson); Division of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany (Kaaks); Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, England (Key); Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (Kirsh); Radiation Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland (Kitahara, Linet); Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS (National University of Singapore) Medical School, Singapore (Koh); Nutrional Epidemiology Unit, Karolinska Institutet, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Stockholm, Sweden (Larsson, Wolk); Cancer Risk Factors and Life-Style Epidemiology Unit, Cancer Research and Prevention Institute, Florence, Italy (Masala); School of Public Health, Imperial College, London, England (Merritt, Riboli); Department of Public Health, Section for Epidemiology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark (Overvad); Radiation Effects Research Foundation, Hiroshima, Japan (Ozasa, Sadakane); University Medical Center, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands (Peeters); Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Rohan); Department of Surgical and Perioperative Sciences, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden (Sund); Hellenic Health Foundation, Athens, Greece (Trichopoulou); Cancer Registry of Norway, Institute of Population-Based Cancer Research, Oslo (Ursin, Weiderpass); Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway (Ursin); Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles (Ursin); Department of Public Health, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim (Vatten); Genetic Epidemiology Group, Folkhälsan Research Center, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland (Weiderpass); Department of Nutrition, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts (Willett); University of Pittsburgh Graduate School of Public Health and UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (Yuan); Epidemiology Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, National Institutes of Health, Durham, North Carolina (Sandler); Division of Breast Cancer Research, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, England (Swerdlow). Author Contributions: Drs Schoemaker and Nichols had full access to all the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and accuracy of the data analysis. Drs Schoemaker and Nichols are co-first authors and Dr Sandler and Mr Swerdlow co-senior authors because they contributed equally. Study concept and design: Connor, Jones, Larsson, Nichols, Overvad, Sandler, Schoemaker, Swerdlow, Trichopoulou, Weiderpass, Willett, Wolk, Wright. Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Adami, Baglietto, Bernstein, Bertrand, Boutron- Ruault, Braaten, Brook, Chen, Dorronsoro, Dossus, Eliassen, Giles, Hankinson, Jones, Kaaks, Key, Kirsh, Kitahara, Koh, Linet, Ma, Masala, Merrit, Milne, Nichols, O’Brien, Overvad, Ozasa, Palmer, Peeters, Riboli, Rohan, Sadakane, Sandler, Schoemaker, Sund, Swerdlow, Tamimi, Ursin, Vatten, Visvanathan, Weiderpass, Willett, Wolk, Wright, Yuan, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte. Drafting of the manuscript: Nichols, Sandler, Schoemaker, Swerdlow, Wright. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: All authors. Statistical analysis: Brook, Jones, Nichols, Schoemaker, Wright. Obtained funding: Key, Nichols, Overvad, Palmer, Sandler, Swerdlow, Tamimi, Vatten, Willet, Wolk, Yuan. Administrative, technical, or material support: Baglietto, Bertrand, Brook, Dossus, Eliassen, Giles, Jones, Kirsh, Koh, Linet, Ma, Masala, Merritt, Nichols, Overvad, Palmer, Peeters, Riboli, Sadakane, Sandler, Schoemaker, Sund, Tamimi, Trichopoulou, Vatten, Weiderpass, Willet, Wolk, Wright, Yuan. Study supervision: Nichols, Sandler, Schoemaker, Swerdlow. Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported. Funding/Support: This study was supported in part by Breast Cancer Now and the United Kingdom National Health Service funding to the Royal Marsden/Institute of Cancer Research National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre; The Institute of Cancer Research; grant 02-2014-080 from the Avon Foundation; grant KL2- TR001109 from the US National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences; Distinguished Professor Award 2368/10-221 from the Karolinska Institutet; grants R01CA144032 and R01UM182876 from the US National Institutes of Health (NIH); grants Z01 ES044005 and P30 ES000260 from the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, NIH; grants UM1 CA176726, UM1 CA186107, UM1 CA182876, UM1 CA182934, UM1 CA164974, R01 CA058420, R01 CA092447, CA077398, and CA144034 from the National Cancer Institute; the National Program of Cancer Registries of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; the US Department of Energy; The Dahod Breast Cancer Research Program at Boston University School of Medicine; the Maryland Cigarette Restitution Fund; grants 209057 and 396414 from VicHealth, Cancer Council Victoria, and the Australia National Health and Medical Research Council; grant BCRF-17-138 from the Breast Cancer Research Foundation; the Swedish Research Council and Swedish Cancer Foundation; the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare; and the Hellenic Health Foundation. The coordination of the European Prospective Investigation in Cancer is supported by the European Commission Health and Consumer Protection Directorate General and the International Agency for Research on Cancer. The national cohorts are supported by the Danish Cancer Society (Denmark); Ligue Contre le Cancer, Institut Gustave Roussy, Mutuelle Generale de l’Education Nationale, and Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale (France); German Cancer Aid, German Cancer Research Center, Federal Ministry of Education and Research, Deutsche Krebshilfe, Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum, and Federal Ministry of Education and Research (Germany); the Hellenic Health Foundation (Greece); Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro-Italy and the National Research Council (Italy); Dutch Ministry of Public Health, Welfare and Sports, the Netherlands Cancer Registry, LK Research Funds, Dutch Prevention Funds, Dutch Zorg Onderzoek Nederland, World Cancer Research Fund, and Statistics Netherlands Research Original Investigation Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women 8/10 JAMA Oncology November 2018 Volume 4, Number 11 (Reprinted) jamaoncology.com Downloaded From: https://jamanetwork.com/ on 09/10/2019
  • 9. (the Netherlands); European Research Council grant 2009-AdG 232997, Nordforsk, and Nordic Centre of Excellence Program on Food, Nutrition and Health (Norway); Health Research Fund PI13/ 00061 to Granada, PI13/01162 to EPIC-Murcia, Regional Governments of Andalucía, Asturias, Basque Country, Murcia, and Navarra, Instituto de Salud Carlos III Redes Temáticas de Investigación Cooperativa en Salud, Spain (RD06/0020); the Swedish Cancer Society, Swedish Research Council, and County Councils of Skane and Västerbotten (Sweden); and grant 14136 to European Prospective Study into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)–Norfolk and grants C570/A16491 and C8221/A19170 to EPIC- Oxford from Cancer Research UK, and grant 1000143 to EPIC-Norfolk and MR/M012190/1 to EPIC-Oxford from the Medical Research Council (United Kingdom). Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The sponsors had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication. Additional Contributions: The following contributed to acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Kathleen M. McClain, MS, Craig McGowan, MS, and Jiawei Xu, BS, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill; Melissa House, MS, WestStat Inc, City, Maryland; Mustapha Abubakar, MBBS, PhD, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; Niclas Håkansson, PhD, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden; Jane Sullivan-Halley, BS, Beckman Research Institute of the City of Hope, Duarte, California; Allison Iwan, BS, and Diane Kampa, BS, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis; Siew-Hong Low, Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore; Jerry Reid, PHD, American Registry of Radiologic Technologists, St Paul, Minnesota; Renwei Wang, MD, MS, UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and Jeffrey Yu, MPH, Slone Epidemiology Center at Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts. They received no compensation for their contributions other than their salaries. 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