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Bill Morrison Head of Economics & Business Studies, The Grange School Hartford, Northwich          January 2013




Will a minimum price for alcohol work?
Reports today (28 November 2012) suggest                me, will look to maximise our utility (which I often
that the Government is looking to introduce             refer to as happy value) by consuming our goods and
a minimum price per unit for alcoholic                  services in such a combination that we consume up
                                                        to the point where the marginal benefit of the last
drinks. The price muted is 45p which would              unit consumed is equivalent to its marginal cost.
make a relatively strong can of lager                   What we fail to do is take into account the impact
approximately £0.95. Currently a local                  of our actions on third parties. Sometimes our
supermarket is retailing a brand of lager               consumption has a positive impact and results in
containing 2.1 units per can at the equivalent          positive externalities, such as our consumption of
of £0.75. Under the new legislation, should             education. However, often our actions can impose
it come into force, the equivalent box of ten           negative externalities on third parties. For example,
                                                        driving our cars imposes pollution costs on third parties.
cans would have to be sold at a minimum                 A recent article in The Daily Mail suggests that pollution
of £9.46. More of which later. However,                 raises the probability of children being born autistic.
why do we need to introduce a minimum
price for alcohol?                                      Whilst there are some positive externalities generated
                                                        in the consumption of alcohol, such as reducing stress
Students of Economics will, at some point, come         and thus the potential costs to the NHS, it has been
across the concepts of social and private costs and     widely reported that alcohol consumption in the UK
benefits. The rational economic agent i.e. you and      is imposing a great deal of external costs on society.
                                                        Here are some of the statistics surrounding the
                                                        costs of alcohol abuse.
                                                          • The number of alcohol related deaths has more
                                                            than doubled since 1996 to more than 8,000
                                                            alcohol related deaths per annum.
                                                          • It cost the NHS over £2bn a year to treat the
                                                            chronic and acute effects of alcohol.
                                                          • In 2010 NICE reported that:
                                                            • Admissions to hospitals wholly attributable to
                                                               the result of drinking alcohol were 222,600,
                                                               with a further 640,700 partially attributable to
                                                               alcohol.
                                                            • There were 1.2m violent incidents.
                                                            • 360,000 domestic violence incidents.
                                                            • The cost to the tax payer was in excess of
                                                               £8,000m
                                                            • The cost of absenteeism from work was
                                                               valued at over £1,600m

                                                        Clearly, there is a major external cost associated
                                                        with the consumption of alcohol estimated at around
                                                        £12bn per annum. It would appear then that
                                                        something certainly needs to be done.
                                                        So the current proposal of 45p per unit may, on the
                                                        face of it, appear to be a good idea. Indeed, The
                                                        University of Sheffield research indicates that at
                                                        this price there would be 2,000 fewer deaths and
                                                        66,000 fewer hospital admissions in 10 years time.
Bill Morrison Head of Economics & Business Studies, The Grange School Hartford, Northwich




In fact consumption would fall by 4.3%. (Perhaps           A minimum price is not a tax but a licence to print
the keen student would like to calculate the price         money. The minimum price is a price hike that only
elasticity of demand given my price changes above!)        the retailers benefit from. So the government
The question remains, however, will it work and what       forgoes the revenue from an indirect tax that could
are the possibilities for government failure?              be used to fund education about the harm, clinics
                                                           etc etc.
Firstly, the problem remains of setting the minimum
price at a level that will persuade drinkers to cut        I am sure you can think of other issues surrounding
back. As I mentioned earlier the box of ten cans of        this problem and I would urge you to investigate
lager would sell for £9.46. The same box has been          alternatives such as education policy, indirect taxation,
on sale at ‘normal’ prices ranging from £11-£14. Is        raising the minimum age one is able to purchase
this a sufficient differential for the determined          alcohol and what do we do about the middle classes
drinker to cut back?                                       who are drinking themselves to death at home at the
Secondly, what measures will be in place to stop t         same time as the younger generation are partying
he development of black markets arising from the           themselves to death binge drinking in the clubs and
smuggling of cheap booze from low cost countries?          pubs of England and Wales. Note that we need to
(Although France is proposing a 160% hike in               think about “happy hours” and buy one get one free
excise duty on alcohol.)                                   deals that these outlets offer to entice the drinker
                                                           into their establishments.
Thirdly, alcohol, like cigarettes, can be addictive.
Arguably, those most at risk from liver disease and
an early grave are those who are alcoholic. This
addiction will make their price elasticity of demand
more inelastic leading to a greater proportion of their
income being spent on alcohol and running the risk
of them generating debts and potentially becoming
homeless.
Fourthly, steps would need to be taken to stop the
rise of boot-legging as occurred during prohibition in
the USA which led to the increase in illegal activities
of the gangster families and driving the drinking
problem underground.
Fifthly, what are the impacts on the drink industry?
Could it result in job losses in the manufacturing of
alcoholic drinks?
What about the impact on the poorer members of
society. Will they find the introduction of a minimum
price similar to the impact of a regressive tax?
(Although the IFS report suggests not.)
Finally, why is the market mechanism not working
correctly? If there is such a demand for alcohol why
aren’t prices rising naturally. Is it simply down to the
supermarkets using alcohol as a loss leader?
Shouldn’t they be acting more ethically?

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Minimum Alcohol Pricing Debate

  • 1. Bill Morrison Head of Economics & Business Studies, The Grange School Hartford, Northwich January 2013 Will a minimum price for alcohol work? Reports today (28 November 2012) suggest me, will look to maximise our utility (which I often that the Government is looking to introduce refer to as happy value) by consuming our goods and a minimum price per unit for alcoholic services in such a combination that we consume up to the point where the marginal benefit of the last drinks. The price muted is 45p which would unit consumed is equivalent to its marginal cost. make a relatively strong can of lager What we fail to do is take into account the impact approximately £0.95. Currently a local of our actions on third parties. Sometimes our supermarket is retailing a brand of lager consumption has a positive impact and results in containing 2.1 units per can at the equivalent positive externalities, such as our consumption of of £0.75. Under the new legislation, should education. However, often our actions can impose it come into force, the equivalent box of ten negative externalities on third parties. For example, driving our cars imposes pollution costs on third parties. cans would have to be sold at a minimum A recent article in The Daily Mail suggests that pollution of £9.46. More of which later. However, raises the probability of children being born autistic. why do we need to introduce a minimum price for alcohol? Whilst there are some positive externalities generated in the consumption of alcohol, such as reducing stress Students of Economics will, at some point, come and thus the potential costs to the NHS, it has been across the concepts of social and private costs and widely reported that alcohol consumption in the UK benefits. The rational economic agent i.e. you and is imposing a great deal of external costs on society. Here are some of the statistics surrounding the costs of alcohol abuse. • The number of alcohol related deaths has more than doubled since 1996 to more than 8,000 alcohol related deaths per annum. • It cost the NHS over £2bn a year to treat the chronic and acute effects of alcohol. • In 2010 NICE reported that: • Admissions to hospitals wholly attributable to the result of drinking alcohol were 222,600, with a further 640,700 partially attributable to alcohol. • There were 1.2m violent incidents. • 360,000 domestic violence incidents. • The cost to the tax payer was in excess of £8,000m • The cost of absenteeism from work was valued at over £1,600m Clearly, there is a major external cost associated with the consumption of alcohol estimated at around £12bn per annum. It would appear then that something certainly needs to be done. So the current proposal of 45p per unit may, on the face of it, appear to be a good idea. Indeed, The University of Sheffield research indicates that at this price there would be 2,000 fewer deaths and 66,000 fewer hospital admissions in 10 years time.
  • 2. Bill Morrison Head of Economics & Business Studies, The Grange School Hartford, Northwich In fact consumption would fall by 4.3%. (Perhaps A minimum price is not a tax but a licence to print the keen student would like to calculate the price money. The minimum price is a price hike that only elasticity of demand given my price changes above!) the retailers benefit from. So the government The question remains, however, will it work and what forgoes the revenue from an indirect tax that could are the possibilities for government failure? be used to fund education about the harm, clinics etc etc. Firstly, the problem remains of setting the minimum price at a level that will persuade drinkers to cut I am sure you can think of other issues surrounding back. As I mentioned earlier the box of ten cans of this problem and I would urge you to investigate lager would sell for £9.46. The same box has been alternatives such as education policy, indirect taxation, on sale at ‘normal’ prices ranging from £11-£14. Is raising the minimum age one is able to purchase this a sufficient differential for the determined alcohol and what do we do about the middle classes drinker to cut back? who are drinking themselves to death at home at the Secondly, what measures will be in place to stop t same time as the younger generation are partying he development of black markets arising from the themselves to death binge drinking in the clubs and smuggling of cheap booze from low cost countries? pubs of England and Wales. Note that we need to (Although France is proposing a 160% hike in think about “happy hours” and buy one get one free excise duty on alcohol.) deals that these outlets offer to entice the drinker into their establishments. Thirdly, alcohol, like cigarettes, can be addictive. Arguably, those most at risk from liver disease and an early grave are those who are alcoholic. This addiction will make their price elasticity of demand more inelastic leading to a greater proportion of their income being spent on alcohol and running the risk of them generating debts and potentially becoming homeless. Fourthly, steps would need to be taken to stop the rise of boot-legging as occurred during prohibition in the USA which led to the increase in illegal activities of the gangster families and driving the drinking problem underground. Fifthly, what are the impacts on the drink industry? Could it result in job losses in the manufacturing of alcoholic drinks? What about the impact on the poorer members of society. Will they find the introduction of a minimum price similar to the impact of a regressive tax? (Although the IFS report suggests not.) Finally, why is the market mechanism not working correctly? If there is such a demand for alcohol why aren’t prices rising naturally. Is it simply down to the supermarkets using alcohol as a loss leader? Shouldn’t they be acting more ethically?