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19.03.2013



                                                                                         Company Analysis - Overview
Ticker:                    SKAB SS            Skanska AB                                                   Benchmark:                                           Skanska AB offers construction related and project development services. The
                                              Stockholm: SKAB, Currency: SEK                               OMX STOCKHOLM 30 INDEX (OMX)                         Company focuses on construction of housing, commercial buildings, roads, and
Currency:
                                                                                                                                                                railways, as well as develops and carries out civil engineering projects. Skanska is also a
                                                                                                                                                                provider of facilities management services and provides all services internationally.
Sector: Industrials      Industry: Construction & Engineering                                                 Year:
Telephone         46-10-448-0000                      Revenue (M)                               129'350    Business Segments in SEK                                      Sales (M)    Geographic Segments in SEK                                 Sales (M)
Website           www.skanska.com                     No of Employees                            56'618    Construction                                                    124509     United States                                                 40038
Address           Rasundavagen 2 169 83 Solna Stockholm Sweden                                             Residential Development                                            8682    Sweden                                                        31784
Share Price Performance in SEK                                                                             Commercial Development                                             6742    Nordic Countries                                              30652
Price                             116.10              1M Return                                    0.6%    Central                                                             498    Europe                                                        29023
52 Week High                      117.10              6M Return                                    5.5%    Infrastructure Development                                          242    Latin America                                                  8224
52 Week Low                        93.30              52 Wk Return                                 3.1%    Reconciliation to IFRSs                                           -2581    Central                                                          498
52 Wk Beta                          0.83              YTD Return                                   9.3%    Eliminations                                                      -8742    Unallocated                                                      454
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg                  IG2                                                                                                                                                                                  6% 0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0%
S&P                          -        Date                -                       Outlook              -                        2% 6%
                                                                                                                               0%
                                                                                                                              4%
Moody's                      -        Date                -                       Outlook              -                                                                                                                               28%
Fitch                        -        Date                -                       Outlook              -                 6%
                                                                                                                                                                                                    21%
Valuation Ratios
                         12/09       12/10       12/11        12/12     12/13E        12/14E     12/15E
P/E                      12.0x       13.7x         6.2x       15.3x      13.9x         13.0x      12.4x
EV/EBIT                    8.2x      10.9x       14.4x        16.1x           -             -          -
EV/EBITDA                  6.5x        8.6x      10.3x        11.0x        9.2x          8.7x       8.6x
P/S                        0.4x        0.4x        0.4x         0.3x       0.4x          0.4x       0.4x
P/B                        2.5x        2.6x        2.4x         2.3x       2.4x          2.3x       2.2x                                                                                               22%                         23%
                                                                                                                                                          82%
Div Yield                 5.1%        9.0%        5.3%         5.6%       5.4%          5.6%       5.8%
Profitability Ratios %
                       12/09         12/10       12/11        12/12     12/13E        12/14E     12/15E                         Construction
Gross Margin              9.9         10.2         9.5          8.9       10.4          10.5        9.8                         Residential Development                                                   United States      Sweden
EBITDA Margin             5.1          5.1         4.1          3.4        4.7           4.9        5.0                         Commercial Development
Operating Margin          4.0          4.0         2.9          2.4        3.5           3.7        3.7                                                                                                   Nordic Countries   Europe
                                                                                                                                Central
Profit Margin             3.0          3.3         6.4          2.2        2.7           2.8        2.9
                                                                                                                                Infrastructure Development                                                Latin America      Central
Return on Assets          5.0          5.0         9.5          3.3        4.8           5.0        5.0
Return on Equity        21.6          19.8        37.9         14.8       17.4          18.1       17.7                         Reconciliation to IFRSs
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Unallocated
                                                                                                                                Eliminations
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
                       12/09         12/10       12/11        12/12
Current Ratio             1.2          1.2         1.1          1.2                                        Current Capitalization in SEK
Quick Ratio               0.5          0.4         0.4          0.1                                        Common Shares Outstanding (M)                                                                                        411.8
EBIT/Interest           12.4          18.8        10.3          6.6                                        Market Capitalization (M)                                                                                          51355.8
Tot Debt/Capital          0.2          0.2         0.3          0.4                                        Cash and ST Investments (M)                                                                                         5770.0
Tot Debt/Equity           0.3          0.2         0.4          0.6                                        Total Debt (M)                                                                                                     11103.0
Eff Tax Rate %          27.2          25.7         9.9         24.4                                        Preferred Equity (M)                                                                                                   0.0
                                                                                                           LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M)                                                                              0.0
                                                                                                           Investments (M)                                                                                                      166.0
                                                                                                           Enterprise Value (M)                                                                                               56854.8



                                                                                  Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
Skanska AB
Target price in SEK
Broker Recommendation




                                                             Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price




                                                                                                                                                                      Price
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Brokers' Target Price
                                                                                                                                                                140           140
                        100%
                                                     20%                                                                                                        120           120
                                                              25%
                                  31%       31%                          31%       31%       35%       35%
                        80%                                                                                       41%           44%        47%      47%
                                                                                                                                                                100           100

                                                                                                                                                                                80
                        60%                                                                                                                                     80
                                                     47%      38%
                                                                                                                                                                                60
                                  44%       44%                          44%       44%
                                                                                                                                                                60
                        40%                                                                  47%       47%        35%
                                                                                                                                39%        35%                                  40
                                                                                                                                                                40
                                                                                                                                                    53%                         20
                        20%                                   38%
                                                     33%                                                                                                        20
                                  25%       25%                          25%       25%                            24%                                                            0
                                                                                             18%       18%                      17%        18%




                                                                                                                                                                                                              Nordea Equity




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            S&P Capital IQ


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              DNB Markets



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Markets




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     CA Cheuvreux
                                                                                                                                                                                       Carnegie




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      ABG Sundal
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Berenberg




                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Swedbank




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Goldman




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            HSBC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   SEB Enskilda




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Dimensions




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Deutsche Bank
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Handelsbanken
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Danske




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sachs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Research
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Bank
                         0%                                                                                                                                     0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Collier
                                                                                                                                                     0%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      EVA
                               mars.12     avr.12   mai.12   juin.12    juil.12   août.12   sept.12   oct.12     nov.12        déc.12    janv.13   févr.13
                                                                       Buy        Hold        Sell       Price            Target Price

                               Date                    Buy              Hold                Sell                     Date                Price Target Price                   Broker                                                     Analyst                                                   Recommendation                                         Target                      Date
                               28-Feb-13                0%                53%               47%                    19-Mar-13             116.10        107.77                 Carnegie                                                   TOBIAS KAJ                                                                    hold                                                        27-Feb-13
                               31-Jan-13               18%                35%               47%                    18-Mar-13             116.10        107.77                 Berenberg Bank                                             CHRIS MOORE                                                                    sell                                99.00                  11-Feb-13
                               31-Dec-12               17%                39%               44%                    15-Mar-13             116.30        107.57                 Nordea Equity Research                                     JONAS L ANDERSSON                                                             hold                                118.00                   8-Feb-13
                               30-Nov-12               24%                35%               41%                    14-Mar-13             116.10        107.57                 Swedbank                                                   NICLAS HOGLUND                                                              neutral                               115.00                   8-Feb-13
                               31-Oct-12               18%                47%               35%                    13-Mar-13             115.60        107.57                 S&P Capital IQ                                             JAWAHAR HINGORANI                                                             hold                                115.00                   8-Feb-13
                               28-Sep-12               18%                47%               35%                    12-Mar-13             116.00        107.57                 DNB Markets                                                SIMEN MORTENSEN                                                               hold                                120.00                   8-Feb-13
                               31-Aug-12               25%                44%               31%                    11-Mar-13             116.90        107.36                 Danske Markets                                             PETER TRIGARSZKY                                                               sell                               104.00                   8-Feb-13
                               31-Jul-12               25%                44%               31%                     8-Mar-13             116.70        107.36                 ABG Sundal Collier                                         FREDRIC CYON                                                                  hold                                113.00                   7-Feb-13
                               29-Jun-12               38%                38%               25%                     7-Mar-13             116.00        107.36                 SEB Enskilda                                               STEFAN ANDERSSON                                                              hold                                115.00                   7-Feb-13
                               31-May-12               33%                47%               20%                     6-Mar-13             115.90        107.36                 Handelsbanken                                              ALBIN SANDBERG                                                              reduce                                104.00                   7-Feb-13
                               30-Apr-12               25%                44%               31%                     5-Mar-13             115.30        107.36                 EVA Dimensions                                             CRAIG STERLING                                                           underweight                                                      17-Jan-13
                               30-Mar-12               25%                44%               31%                     4-Mar-13             114.70        107.36                 Goldman Sachs                                              WILL MORGAN                                                               Sell/Neutral                            108.00                  14-Jan-13
                                                                                                                    1-Mar-13             114.50        107.36                 Deutsche Bank                                              MANU RIMPELA                                                                  hold                                112.00                  21-Dec-12
                                                                                                                   28-Feb-13             114.80        107.36                 HSBC                                                       TOBIAS LOSKAMP                                                           underweight                               95.00                  21-Dec-12
                                                                                                                   27-Feb-13             114.80        107.36                 CA Cheuvreux                                               BJORN GUSTAFSSON                                                         underperform                             105.00                  17-Dec-12
                                                                                                                   26-Feb-13             114.00        107.36
                                                                                                                   25-Feb-13             115.70        107.36
                                                                                                                   22-Feb-13             116.10        107.36
                                                                                                                   21-Feb-13             114.60        107.36
                                                                                                                   20-Feb-13             116.00        107.36
                                                                                                                   19-Feb-13             115.40        107.36
                                                                                                                   18-Feb-13             114.40        107.36
                                                                                                                   15-Feb-13             113.80        107.36
                                                                                                                   14-Feb-13             113.60        107.36
                                                                                                                   13-Feb-13             113.60        107.36
                                                                                                                   12-Feb-13             111.80        107.36
                                                                                                                   11-Feb-13             111.60        107.36
                                                                                                                    8-Feb-13             111.70        107.36
                                                                                                                    7-Feb-13             110.60        106.64
                                                                                                                    6-Feb-13             105.40        105.71

                                                                                                               Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
19.03.2013



Skanska AB
                                                                               Company Analysis - Ownership
                                                                                      Ownership Type
Ownership Statistics                                                                                                                     Geographic Ownership Distribution                                     Geographic Ownership
                                                                                             0%
Shares Outstanding (M)                            411.8                         15%                                                      Unknown Country                           52.92%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1% 0%0% 0%
Float                                                                                                                                    Sweden                                    41.50%                           3%         1%
Short Interest (M)                                                                                                                       United States                             3.11%
Short Interest as % of Float                                                                                                             Luxembourg                                0.85%
Days to Cover Shorts                                                                                                                     Britain                                   0.38%
Institutional Ownership                         84.59%                                                                                   Japan                                     0.32%                                                          53%
Retail Ownership                                15.04%                                                                                   Ireland                                   0.27%
Insider Ownership                                0.37%                                                                                   Others                                    0.65%                      42%


                                                                                                        85%                              Institutional Ownership Distribution
                                                                                                                                         Other                                     54.08%
                                                                                                                                         Investment Advisor                        23.36%
                                                                                                                                         Pension Fund (Erisa)                      9.30%
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Unknown Country        Sweden              United States
                                                            Institutional Ownership      Retail Ownership     Insider Ownership          Holding Company                           5.89%
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Luxembourg             Britain             Japan
Pricing data is in SEK                                                                                                                   Others                                    7.38%            Ireland                Others
Top 20 Owners:                 TOP 20 ALL

                                                                                                                                                                                                               Institutional Ownership
Holder Name                                     Position   Position Change                     Market Value             % of Ownership   Report Date                  Source       Country
AMF FORSAKRING                              191'244'600                  0                    22'203'498'060                45.54%                      30.09.2012   Research                                                7%
ALECTA PENSIONSFORSA                         33'870'000                  0                     3'932'307'000                 8.07%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN                      6%
INDUSTRIVARDEN AB                            21'443'238                  0                     2'489'559'932                 5.11%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN
NORDEA FONDER AB/SWE                         16'968'154            404'852                     1'970'002'679                 4.04%                      28.02.2013   MF-AGG       SWEDEN
SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE                         14'688'599                  0                     1'705'346'344                 3.50%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN                  9%
NORDEA FONDER AB                             14'022'076                  0                     1'627'963'024                 3.34%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN                                                       55%
LUNDBERGS                                     7'550'000                  0                       876'555'000                 1.80%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN
FOLKSAM GROUP                                 6'858'966                  0                       796'325'953                 1.63%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN
VANGUARD GROUP INC                            6'755'570            132'140                       784'321'677                 1.61%                      31.12.2012   MF-AGG     UNITED STATES                       23%
AMF FONDER AB                                 6'639'600                  0                       770'857'560                 1.58%                      31.12.2012   MF-AGG       SWEDEN
CARNEGIE FONDER AB/S                          6'100'000                  0                       708'210'000                 1.45%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN
LANSFORSAKRINGAR GRO                          5'762'867                  0                       669'068'859                 1.37%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN
DIDNER & GERGE FONDE                          5'450'000                  0                       632'745'000                 1.30%                      30.09.2012   Research     SWEDEN
SEB                                           4'866'216          1'148'562                       564'967'678                 1.16%                      31.12.2012   ULT-AGG                    Other                     Investment Advisor    Pension Fund (Erisa)
                                                                                                                                                                                                Holding Company           Others
FOLKSAM LO FOND AB                            4'760'326            -12'738                       552'673'849                 1.13%                      31.12.2012   MF-AGG       SWEDEN
HANDELSBANKEN FONDER                          3'970'956            -99'436                       461'027'992                 0.95%                      28.02.2013   MF-AGG       SWEDEN
LANSFORSAKRINGAR FON                          3'944'877           -495'581                       458'000'220                 0.94%                      31.12.2012   MF-AGG       SWEDEN
SPP FONDER AB                                 3'126'831             98'366                       363'025'079                 0.74%                      28.02.2013   MF-AGG       SWEDEN
MARSHALL WACE LLP                            -2'099'516                  0                      -243'753'808                -0.50%                      15.03.2013     Short      BRITAIN
XACT FONDER AB                                1'662'776            218'976                       193'048'294                 0.40%                      28.02.2013   MF-AGG       SWEDEN
Top 5 Insiders:


Holder Name                                     Position   Position Change                        Market Value          % of Ownership   Report Date                  Source
LUNDBERG FREDRIK                              1'000'000                                            116'100'000                0.24%                     31.12.2011    Co File
KARLSTROM JOHAN                                 157'305                                             18'263'111                0.04%                     31.12.2011    Co File
GRAHAM STUART E                                  95'679                                             11'108'332                0.02%                     31.12.2011    Co File
WILLIAMSON MATS WILLIAM                          82'426                                              9'569'659                0.02%                     31.12.2011    Co File
WIECZOREK ROMAN                                  45'348                                              5'264'903                0.01%                     31.12.2011    Co File




                                                                                Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials I/IV
Skanska AB
Financial information is in SEK (M)                                                                                                                                                      Equivalent Estimates
Periodicity:             Fiscal Year                 12/02         12/03     12/04       12/05        12/06       12/07        12/08       12/09        12/10     12/11     12/12    12/13E       12/14E        12/15E
Income Statement
Revenue                                            142'033       132'879    116'257     124'106     125'603     138'781      143'674     139'124       122'224   118'734   129'350   129'703     132'875        134'166
  - Cost of Goods Sold                                                      106'696     112'952     114'220     125'807      131'532     125'417       109'774   107'410   117'789

Gross Income                                                                  9'561      11'154      11'383       12'974      12'142      13'707        12'450    11'324    11'561    13'424      13'919         13'148
  - Selling, General & Admin Expenses              140'767       128'440      6'343       6'593       6'985        7'970       8'932       8'078         7'533     7'853     8'508
          (Research & Dev Costs)                        57            55         48          47          72                                   58            43        42

Operating Income                                      1'266        4'439      3'218       4'561       4'398        5'004       3'210        5'629        4'917     3'471     3'053     4'565       4'911          4'933
  - Interest Expense                                  1'026          685        332         137          73          165         264          265          215       204       312
  - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains)                      51            6        -17          28         -37           43          50           54           12       -11
  - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains)                    116         -324       -457        -547        -623         -871      -1'514         -490         -733    -5'147    -1'043

Pretax Income                                           73         4'072      3'360       4'943       4'985        5'667       4'410        5'800        5'423     8'425     3'784     4'843       5'062          5'160
  - Income Tax Expense                                 856         1'303      1'141       1'230       1'330        1'546       1'253        1'579        1'395       830       923

Income Before XO Items                                 -783        2'769      2'219       3'713       3'655        4'121       3'157        4'221        4'028     7'595     2'861
   - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax                        0            0       -967        -177           0            0           0            0            0         0         0
   - Minority Interests                                  54            8         13          11          20           25          55            5            6         6         8

Diluted EPS Before XO Items

Net Income Adjusted*                                  -837         2'761      2'648       3'702       3'639        4'096       3'719        3'621        4'022     2'989     2'853     3'490       3'683          3'825
EPS Adjusted                                         (2.00)        6.60       6.33        8.84        8.69         9.79        8.92         8.72         9.76      7.26      6.92      8.35        8.94           9.36
Dividends Per Share                                   2.00         3.00       4.00        6.50        8.25         5.25        5.25         6.25        12.00      6.00      6.00      6.27        6.50           6.76
        Payout Ratio %                                             45.5       75.9        73.5        95.0         84.3        70.4         61.2        122.7      32.5      86.6      0.75        0.73           0.72

Total Shares Outstanding                               419           419       419         419          419         419          416         409          408       412       412
Diluted Shares Outstanding                             419           419       419         419          419         419          418         417          416       415       414

EBITDA                                                3'609        6'247      4'828       5'820       5'545        6'276       4'521        7'106        6'224     4'864     4'462     6'152       6'526          6'646

*Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges.




                                                                               Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials II/IV
Periodicity:                           12/02    12/03    12/04       12/05        12/06       12/07        12/08       12/09       12/10    12/11    12/12    12/13E   12/14E   12/15E
Balance Sheet
Total Current Assets                   58602    50345    49508       55918       55250        64097       67522        67753       62166    64277    69715
  + Cash & Near Cash Items              5'460    6'819    5'815      10'583       8'839       14'209       7'881        9'409       6'654    5'309    5'770
  + Short Term Investments                303      218    3'053       3'095       2'131
  + Accounts & Notes Receivable        21'499   18'481   15'949      18'941      18'995                   20'407      18'765       17'069   18'044
  + Inventories                           865      828      610         501         484          769         901         835          926    1'014    1'079
  + Other Current Assets               30'475   23'999   24'081      22'798      24'801       49'119      38'333      38'744       37'517   39'910   62'866

Total Long-Term Assets                 18'146   16'391   13'573      15'393      16'057       14'844      15'956      16'012       15'546   18'493   18'520
  + Long Term Investments                 547       76        0           0           0
         Gross Fixed Assets            18'024   16'506   14'528      14'924      15'104       17'002      18'715      18'794       18'291   20'388
         Accumulated Depreciation      10'216    9'778    9'021       9'681       9'647       11'029      11'796      12'491       12'385   13'370
  + Net Fixed Assets                    7'808    6'728    5'507       5'243       5'457        5'973       6'919       6'303        5'906    7'018    7'938
  + Other Long Term Assets              9'791    9'587    8'066      10'150      10'600        8'871       9'037       9'709        9'640   11'475   10'582

Total Current Liabilities              42'009   36'795   39'676      44'919      45'364       53'948      58'206      57'879       52'932   57'151   59'385
  + Accounts Payable                   16'540   14'019   12'438      14'343      13'861                   14'026      12'536       10'716   11'684
  + Short Term Borrowings               1'280             1'006       1'080       1'396        2'703       2'081       3'706        2'786    5'563    6'283
  + Other Short Term Liabilities       24'189   22'776   26'232      29'496      30'107       51'245      42'099      41'637       39'430   39'904   53'102

Total Long Term Liabilities            20'224   15'574    7'037       7'805       6'606        4'269       6'023        5'719       3'988    6'036    9'497
  + Long Term Borrowings               13'494    5'774    3'046       2'424       2'039          955       1'077        1'913       1'107    1'335    4'820
  + Other Long Term Borrowings          6'730    9'800    3'991       5'381       4'567        3'314       4'946        3'806       2'881    4'701    4'677

Total Liabilities                      62'233   52'369   46'713      52'724      51'970       58'217      64'229      63'598       56'920   63'187   68'882
  + Long Preferred Equity                   0                 0           0           0            0           0           0            0        0        0
  + Minority Interest                     298      200      117         133         147          210         178         170          122      170      166
  + Share Capital & APIC                2'685    2'902    1'786       3'014       1'585        1'585       1'585       1'771        1'979    2'198
  + Retained Earnings & Other Equity   11'532   11'267   14'465      15'440      17'605       18'929      17'486      18'226       18'691   17'215   19'187

Total Shareholders Equity              14'515   14'369   16'368      18'587      19'337       20'724      19'249      20'167       20'792   19'583   19'353

Total Liabilities & Equity             76'748   66'738   63'081      71'311      71'307       78'941      83'478      83'765       77'712   82'770   88'235

Book Value Per Share                    33.97    33.85    38.83       44.09       45.85        49.01       45.87       48.91        50.72    47.17    46.59    47.63    49.92    53.92
  Tangible Book Value Per Share         20.01    22.58    28.23       32.63       33.35        36.49       33.25       37.73        40.24    34.61    34.28




                                                           Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials III/IV
Periodicity:                            12/02    12/03    12/04      12/05        12/06       12/07        12/08       12/09       12/10    12/11    12/12    12/13E   12/14E   12/15E
Cash Flows
Net Income                               -837     2'761    3'173      3'879        3'635       4'096       3'102        4'216       4'022    7'589    2'853    3'435    3'718    3'904
  + Depreciation & Amortization         2'343     1'808    1'610      1'259        1'147       1'272       1'311        1'477       1'307    1'393    1'409
  + Other Non-Cash Adjustments            576    -1'195   -3'786     -3'274       -2'310      -2'174      -2'792       -1'183      -2'442   -7'408   -4'353
  + Changes in Non-Cash Capital           426     8'545    5'522      4'843        1'245       5'905      -1'067        3'075       3'351   -1'329

Cash From Operating Activities           2'508   11'919    6'519      6'707        3'717       9'099         554        7'585       6'238      245     -91
  + Disposal of Fixed Assets               522      381      641        648          688         685       1'920          538         643    6'006
  + Capital Expenditures                -1'636   -1'309   -1'319     -1'931       -2'014      -1'967      -2'538       -1'718      -2'030   -3'194            -2'663   -2'588   -2'989
  + Increase in Investments                -41       10       -7         -3       -2'068      -3'201
  + Decrease in Investments                351      433      491         42          791       1'986
  + Other Investing Activities          -2'207   -1'444    1'400        921         -597          51      -1'300       -1'951      -2'463   -1'894   -1'193

Cash From Investing Activities          -3'011   -1'929    1'206       -323       -3'200      -2'446      -1'918       -3'131      -3'850      918   -1'193
  + Dividends Paid                      -1'256     -837   -1'256     -1'674       -2'721      -3'453      -3'448       -2'185      -2'582   -4'945
  + Change in Short Term Borrowings          0
  + Increase in Long Term Borrowings     2'614               694        410          912         595         295        1'333         473   3'443
  + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings    -3'586   -6'808   -5'186     -1'397       -1'123        -951      -2'426       -1'269      -2'445    -677
  + Increase in Capital Stocks               0
  + Decrease in Capital Stocks               0                                                              -271        -355        -252     -184
  + Other Financing Activities            -562     -457     -56         -85          72         115          274        -280         -82      -75    1'872

Cash From Financing Activities          -2'790   -8'102   -5'804     -2'746       -2'860      -3'694      -5'576       -2'756      -4'888   -2'438   1'872

Net Changes in Cash                     -3'293    1'888   1'921       3'638       -2'343       2'959      -6'940        1'698      -2'500   -1'275     588

Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX)                872    10'610   5'200       4'776       1'703        7'132      -1'984        5'867      4'208    -2'949             1'727    2'064    1'228

Free Cash Flow To Firm                 -10'133   11'076   5'419       4'879       1'757        7'252      -1'795       6'060       4'368    -2'765
Free Cash Flow To Equity                   422                        4'437       2'180        7'461      -2'195       6'469       2'879     5'823
Free Cash Flow per Share                  2.08    25.35   12.42       11.41        4.07        17.04       -4.76       14.14       10.21     -7.16




                                                           Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV
Periodicity:                           12/02   12/03    12/04       12/05        12/06       12/07        12/08       12/09       12/10    12/11    12/12    12/13E   12/14E   12/15E
Ratio Analysis

Valuation Ratios
  Price Earnings                                 9.6x    15.1x       13.7x       15.5x        12.5x       10.4x        12.0x       13.7x     6.2x    15.3x    13.9x    13.0x    12.4x
  EV to EBIT                           24.0x     5.7x     8.8x        8.9x       11.2x         8.1x        8.6x         8.2x       10.9x    14.4x    16.1x
  EV to EBITDA                          8.4x     4.1x     5.9x        7.0x        8.9x         6.5x        6.1x         6.5x        8.6x    10.3x    11.0x     9.2x     8.7x     8.6x
  Price to Sales                        0.2x     0.2x     0.3x        0.4x        0.4x         0.4x        0.2x         0.4x        0.4x     0.4x     0.3x     0.4x     0.4x     0.4x
  Price to Book                         1.5x     1.9x     2.1x        2.7x        2.9x         2.5x        1.7x         2.5x        2.6x     2.4x     2.3x     2.4x     2.3x     2.2x
  Dividend Yield                       3.9%     4.7%     5.0%        5.4%        6.1%         4.3%        6.8%         5.1%        9.0%     5.3%     5.6%     5.4%     5.6%     5.8%

Profitability Ratios
  Gross Margin                                           8.2%        9.0%         9.1%        9.3%         8.5%        9.9%       10.2%     9.5%     8.9%    10.4%    10.5%     9.8%
  EBITDA Margin                         2.5%    4.7%     4.2%        4.7%         4.4%        4.5%         3.1%        5.1%        5.1%     4.1%     3.4%     4.7%     4.9%     5.0%
  Operating Margin                      0.9%    3.3%     2.8%        3.7%         3.5%        3.6%         2.2%        4.0%        4.0%     2.9%     2.4%     3.5%     3.7%     3.7%
  Profit Margin                        -0.6%    2.1%     2.7%        3.1%         2.9%        3.0%         2.2%        3.0%        3.3%     6.4%     2.2%     2.7%     2.8%     2.9%
  Return on Assets                     -1.0%    3.8%     4.9%        5.8%         5.1%        5.5%         3.8%        5.0%        5.0%     9.5%     3.3%     4.8%     5.0%     5.0%
  Return on Equity                     -5.2%   19.5%    20.9%       22.4%        19.3%       20.6%        15.7%       21.6%       19.8%    37.9%    14.8%    17.4%    18.1%    17.7%

Leverage & Coverage Ratios
  Current Ratio                         1.39    1.37      1.25        1.24        1.22         1.19        1.16        1.17         1.17     1.12     1.17
  Quick Ratio                           0.65    0.69      0.63        0.73        0.66         0.26        0.49        0.49         0.45     0.41     0.10
  Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I)      1.08    5.56      9.69       33.29       60.25        11.07        7.02       12.43        18.84    10.27     6.59
  Tot Debt/Capital                      0.50    0.29      0.20        0.16        0.15         0.15        0.14        0.22         0.16     0.26     0.36
  Tot Debt/Equity                       1.02    0.40      0.25        0.19        0.18         0.18        0.16        0.28         0.19     0.35     0.57

Others
  Asset Turnover                        1.67    1.85      1.79        1.85        1.76         1.85        1.77        1.66         1.51     1.48     1.51
  Accounts Receivable Turnover          6.09    6.65      6.75        7.11        6.62                                 7.10         6.82     6.76
  Accounts Payable Turnover                               8.05        8.43        8.10                                 9.44         9.45     9.60
  Inventory Turnover                                    148.39      203.33      231.92      200.81       157.52      144.49       124.67   110.73   112.56

  Effective Tax Rate                 1172.6%   32.0%    34.0%       24.9%        26.7%       27.3%        28.4%       27.2%       25.7%     9.9%    24.4%




                                                          Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
Company Analysis - Peers Comparision
                                                                                                                                                                                            JACOBS ENGIN
                                         SKANSKA AB-B        HOCHTIEF AG        VINCI SA       BILFINGER SE      EIFFAGE         FLUOR CORP         BOUYGUES SA         FOSTER WHEELER                          GRANITE CONSTR TUTOR PERINI COR     COLAS SA        NCC AB-B        JM AB           PEAB AB
                                                                                                                                                                                                GRP

Latest Fiscal Year:                            12/2012             12/2012          12/2012          12/2012        12/2012             12/2012            12/2012             12/2012               09/2012           12/2012         12/2012          12/2012         12/2011        12/2012          12/2012
52-Week High                                     120.00               55.65            40.68            82.43          37.75               66.67              24.33               27.13                 54.23             37.74           19.08           137.99          171.20         161.00            39.35
52-Week High Date                            19.03.2012          27.02.2013       19.03.2012       20.02.2013     10.01.2013          28.01.2013         19.03.2012          28.01.2013            18.03.2013        20.02.2013      19.02.2013       02.04.2012      08.03.2013     11.03.2013       12.03.2013
52-Week Low                                       93.30               34.64            31.23            58.82          20.53               44.99              17.54               15.26                 33.61             21.38             9.21           96.00          110.30         106.75            28.91
52-Week Low Date                             01.06.2012          06.09.2012       01.06.2012       05.06.2012     26.07.2012          25.06.2012         16.11.2012          12.07.2012            25.06.2012        04.06.2012      07.08.2012       15.05.2012      14.06.2012     21.11.2012       04.09.2012
Daily Volume                                    706'615              29'127          366'121           19'967         23'003           1'506'224            442'593           1'655'988             1'237'601           166'061         381'500               36          63'664         26'076           21'129
  Current Price (3/dd/yy)                       116.10               54.46            35.45            82.12           35.43               63.55              22.27               22.57                54.05              30.77           18.26          120.55          165.10         152.00            38.04
  52-Week High % Change                           -3.3%              -2.1%            -12.9%            -0.4%          -6.2%                -4.7%              -8.5%             -16.8%                 -0.3%            -18.5%           -4.3%           -12.6%           -3.6%            -5.6%          -3.3%
  52-Week Low % Change                           24.4%               57.2%             13.5%            39.6%          72.6%               41.3%              27.0%               47.9%                60.8%              43.9%           98.3%            25.6%          49.7%             42.4%         31.6%
Total Common Shares (M)                          411.8                73.6             536.2             46.0           85.6               162.4              324.0               104.4                129.9               38.7            47.6             32.7          108.0              80.5         295.0
  Market Capitalization                        51'356               4'193            20'544            3'780          3'088              10'348               7'108              2'358                7'046              1'192             868            3'937         17'912         12'718           11'262
Total Debt                                    11'103.0             4'456.5         20'193.8           1'180.9       16'112.0               541.0            8'642.0               137.7                528.3             290.1           737.1            404.0          9'243.0         877.0          8'633.0
Preferred Stock                                    -                   -                -                 -              -                   -                  -                   -                    -                   -             -                -                -             -                -
Minority Interest                                166.0             1'603.4            735.4               8.0           (1.0)               85.8            1'500.0                43.4                 36.4              41.9             -               34.0             15.0           -                -
Cash and Equivalents                           5'770.0             3'143.6          6'516.1           1'087.2        2'402.0             2'610.0            4'487.0               582.3              1'032.5             433.4           168.1            446.0          2'802.0       2'475.0            439.0
   Enterprise Value                            56'855               7'110            34'957            3'881         17'195               8'365            12'763                1'957                6'370              1'090           1'437            5'039         24'368         11'120           19'456
                                                                                                                                                      Valuation
Total Revenue                      LFY       129'350.0            25'527.7         39'183.2           8'508.8       14'000.0            27'577.1           33'547.0             3'414.6             10'893.8            2'083.0         4'111.5        13'036.0        57'227.0       12'480.0         46'840.0
                                  LTM        129'350.0            25'527.7         38'633.6           8'508.8       14'000.0            27'577.1           33'547.0             3'414.6             11'021.7            2'083.0         4'111.5        13'036.0        57'226.0       12'480.0         46'840.0
                                 CY+1        129'702.9            26'295.3         38'898.6           8'788.6       14'226.8            29'087.4           33'516.2             3'778.3             11'868.1            2'507.0         4'535.0                -       56'057.0       12'853.4         46'588.9
                                 CY+2        132'874.7            27'382.4         39'687.3           9'209.0       14'569.6            30'313.9           33'717.1             4'291.7             13'149.6            2'718.8         4'875.7                -       58'170.9       13'674.2         47'519.4
EV/Total Revenue                   LFY              0.4x               0.2x             0.9x              0.4x           1.2x                0.3x                0.4x               0.6x                 0.4x                0.6x           0.3x            0.3x             0.4x           0.6x            0.4x
                                  LTM               0.4x               0.2x             0.9x              0.4x           1.2x                0.3x                0.4x               0.6x                 0.4x                0.6x           0.3x            0.4x             0.4x           0.6x            0.4x
                                 CY+1               0.4x               0.3x             0.9x              0.4x           1.1x                0.3x                0.4x               0.5x                 0.5x                0.5x           0.4x                -            0.4x           0.9x            0.4x
                                 CY+2               0.4x               0.2x             0.8x              0.4x           1.1x                0.3x                0.4x               0.4x                 0.4x                0.4x           0.3x                -            0.4x           0.8x            0.4x
EBITDA                             LFY         4'462.0             1'477.3          5'507.8             577.5        1'939.0               946.4            2'890.0               309.2                696.9              105.8           216.2           932.0         3'156.0        1'492.0          1'885.0
                                  LTM          4'462.0             1'477.3          5'453.4             577.5        1'983.0               946.4            2'890.0               309.2                714.5              108.3           216.2           891.0         3'155.0                -               -
                                 CY+1          6'151.7             1'639.9          5'534.1             582.0        2'110.2             1'345.9            2'884.9               272.1                789.1              177.4           258.3                -        3'013.1        1'460.8          2'503.6
                                 CY+2          6'526.5             1'788.4          5'693.7             624.0        2'194.4             1'482.9            2'939.0               338.2                869.7              223.6           295.0                -        3'145.4        1'618.2          2'709.5
EV/EBITDA                          LFY            11.0x                4.2x             6.1x              6.0x           8.4x                8.0x                4.5x               6.9x                 6.8x              11.4x            5.6x            4.8x             6.7x           5.2x            9.2x
                                  LTM             11.0x                4.2x             6.2x              6.0x           8.2x                8.0x                4.5x               6.9x                 6.7x              11.1x            5.6x            5.0x             6.7x               -               -
                                 CY+1               8.7x               4.2x             6.1x              6.4x           7.7x                6.2x                4.6x               6.9x                 7.9x                6.5x           6.2x                -            8.0x           7.9x            7.2x
                                 CY+2               8.2x               3.8x             5.7x              5.8x           7.2x                5.3x                4.5x               5.2x                 6.7x                5.1x           5.4x                -            7.7x           6.9x            6.5x
EPS                                LFY                 -               1.41             3.52              6.23           2.49                4.28               2.00                1.55                 2.91               0.64            1.48            9.25                -               -               -
                                  LTM              6.93                2.15             3.58              6.23           2.52                4.30               2.01                1.54                 2.97               0.72           -1.00            9.25           17.54          11.63             2.47
                                 CY+1             8.35                3.31             3.51              5.72           3.14                4.16               2.46                1.50                 3.33               1.84            1.94                -          15.64          12.94             3.95
                                 CY+2             8.94                4.04             3.72              6.41           3.62                4.68               2.71                2.00                 3.72               2.55            2.42                -          16.83          14.44             4.43
P/E                                LFY            16.8x               25.3x             9.9x             13.2x          14.0x               14.8x              11.1x               14.7x                18.2x              42.7x                -          13.0x             9.4x         13.1x            15.4x
                                  LTM                  -              25.3x            10.0x             13.2x          14.9x               14.8x              11.1x               14.7x                18.2x              42.7x                -          13.0x                -               -               -
                                 CY+1             13.9x               16.5x            10.1x             14.4x          11.3x               15.3x                9.0x              15.0x                16.2x              16.7x            9.4x                -          10.6x          11.7x             9.6x
                                 CY+2             13.0x               13.5x             9.5x             12.8x           9.8x               13.6x                8.2x              11.3x                14.5x              12.1x            7.5x                -            9.8x         10.5x             8.6x
Revenue Growth                  1 Year             8.9%               9.6%             4.1%              3.7%           1.4%               17.9%                2.6%            (23.8%)                 4.9%                3.7%          10.6%            5.0%             8.9%           4.0%            7.6%
                                5 Year           (1.1%)              12.5%             4.3%              0.7%           1.8%                9.2%                1.6%                    -               3.8%              (2.6%)           4.3%            2.2%             2.3%           4.7%            8.0%
EBITDA Growth                   1 Year           (8.3%)            (11.8%)             1.1%             13.6%                -           (20.3%)            (10.5%)               10.1%                13.4%            (27.7%)            0.1%                 -         24.6%                 -       (17.1%)
                                5 Year           (6.6%)              32.7%             3.7%             12.2%           4.2%                4.6%              (3.3%)            (10.5%)                 7.0%            (15.6%)            7.3%            1.0%           (0.6%)         (2.9%)            5.0%
EBITDA Margin                     LTM              3.4%               5.8%            14.1%              6.8%          14.3%                3.4%                8.6%               9.1%                 6.5%                5.2%           5.3%            7.1%             5.5%                -               -
                                 CY+1              4.7%               6.2%            14.2%              6.6%          14.8%                4.6%                8.6%               7.2%                 6.6%                7.1%           5.7%                 -           5.4%         11.4%             5.4%
                                 CY+2              4.9%               6.5%            14.3%              6.8%          15.1%                4.9%                8.7%               7.9%                 6.6%                8.2%           6.1%                 -           5.4%         11.8%             5.7%
                                                                                                                                             Leverage/Coverage Ratios
Total Debt / Equity %                            57.9%              168.8%           151.4%            58.2%          686.2%              16.2%              100.7%              19.1%                14.2%              35.0%           64.4%            16.2%          103.0%         18.8%            108.1%
Total Debt / Capital %                           36.5%               51.2%            58.9%            36.7%           87.3%              13.6%               46.2%              15.2%                12.3%              25.0%           39.2%            13.8%           50.7%         15.8%             51.9%
Total Debt / EBITDA                              2.488x              3.017x           3.703x           2.045x          7.969x             0.572x              2.990x             0.445x               0.725x             2.679x          3.409x           1.572x          2.930x             -                 -
Net Debt / EBITDA                                1.195x              0.889x           2.508x           0.162x          7.130x            -2.186x              1.438x            -1.438x              -1.013x            -1.323x          2.632x           1.196x          2.042x             -                 -
EBITDA / Int. Expense                            9.637x              4.546x           7.578x          14.259x          2.911x            33.514x              8.210x            22.413x              59.635x             9.975x          4.895x          20.261x         11.057x       17.149x            6.352x
                                                                                                                                                    Credit Ratings
S&P LT Credit Rating                                    -                  -           BBB+             BBB+                -                 A-              BBB+                BBB-                     -                   -            BB-                -               -               -               -
S&P LT Credit Rating Date                                -                  -     29.03.2007       23.10.2012                -        22.01.2004         30.11.2011          09.08.2010                     -                   -    07.10.2010                 -               -               -               -
Moody's LT Credit Rating                                -                  -           Baa1                 -               -                A3               (P)A3                   -                    -                   -             B1                -               -               -               -
Moody's LT Credit Rating Date                            -                  -     23.07.2002                 -               -        29.11.2000         26.01.2012                    -                    -                   -    14.09.2012                 -               -               -               -



                                                                                                                           Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |

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Financial Analysis - Skanska AB offers construction related and project development services. The Company focuses on construction of housing, commercial buildings, roads, and railways, as well as develops

  • 1. 19.03.2013 Company Analysis - Overview Ticker: SKAB SS Skanska AB Benchmark: Skanska AB offers construction related and project development services. The Stockholm: SKAB, Currency: SEK OMX STOCKHOLM 30 INDEX (OMX) Company focuses on construction of housing, commercial buildings, roads, and Currency: railways, as well as develops and carries out civil engineering projects. Skanska is also a provider of facilities management services and provides all services internationally. Sector: Industrials Industry: Construction & Engineering Year: Telephone 46-10-448-0000 Revenue (M) 129'350 Business Segments in SEK Sales (M) Geographic Segments in SEK Sales (M) Website www.skanska.com No of Employees 56'618 Construction 124509 United States 40038 Address Rasundavagen 2 169 83 Solna Stockholm Sweden Residential Development 8682 Sweden 31784 Share Price Performance in SEK Commercial Development 6742 Nordic Countries 30652 Price 116.10 1M Return 0.6% Central 498 Europe 29023 52 Week High 117.10 6M Return 5.5% Infrastructure Development 242 Latin America 8224 52 Week Low 93.30 52 Wk Return 3.1% Reconciliation to IFRSs -2581 Central 498 52 Wk Beta 0.83 YTD Return 9.3% Eliminations -8742 Unallocated 454 Credit Ratings Bloomberg IG2 6% 0% 0% 0% S&P - Date - Outlook - 2% 6% 0% 4% Moody's - Date - Outlook - 28% Fitch - Date - Outlook - 6% 21% Valuation Ratios 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E P/E 12.0x 13.7x 6.2x 15.3x 13.9x 13.0x 12.4x EV/EBIT 8.2x 10.9x 14.4x 16.1x - - - EV/EBITDA 6.5x 8.6x 10.3x 11.0x 9.2x 8.7x 8.6x P/S 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x 0.3x 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x P/B 2.5x 2.6x 2.4x 2.3x 2.4x 2.3x 2.2x 22% 23% 82% Div Yield 5.1% 9.0% 5.3% 5.6% 5.4% 5.6% 5.8% Profitability Ratios % 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Construction Gross Margin 9.9 10.2 9.5 8.9 10.4 10.5 9.8 Residential Development United States Sweden EBITDA Margin 5.1 5.1 4.1 3.4 4.7 4.9 5.0 Commercial Development Operating Margin 4.0 4.0 2.9 2.4 3.5 3.7 3.7 Nordic Countries Europe Central Profit Margin 3.0 3.3 6.4 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.9 Infrastructure Development Latin America Central Return on Assets 5.0 5.0 9.5 3.3 4.8 5.0 5.0 Return on Equity 21.6 19.8 37.9 14.8 17.4 18.1 17.7 Reconciliation to IFRSs Unallocated Eliminations Leverage and Coverage Ratios 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 Current Ratio 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 Current Capitalization in SEK Quick Ratio 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 411.8 EBIT/Interest 12.4 18.8 10.3 6.6 Market Capitalization (M) 51355.8 Tot Debt/Capital 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 Cash and ST Investments (M) 5770.0 Tot Debt/Equity 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 Total Debt (M) 11103.0 Eff Tax Rate % 27.2 25.7 9.9 24.4 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0 LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0 Investments (M) 166.0 Enterprise Value (M) 56854.8 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 2. Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings Skanska AB Target price in SEK Broker Recommendation Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price Price Brokers' Target Price 140 140 100% 20% 120 120 25% 31% 31% 31% 31% 35% 35% 80% 41% 44% 47% 47% 100 100 80 60% 80 47% 38% 60 44% 44% 44% 44% 60 40% 47% 47% 35% 39% 35% 40 40 53% 20 20% 38% 33% 20 25% 25% 25% 25% 24% 0 18% 18% 17% 18% Nordea Equity S&P Capital IQ DNB Markets Markets CA Cheuvreux Carnegie ABG Sundal Berenberg Swedbank Goldman HSBC SEB Enskilda Dimensions Deutsche Bank Handelsbanken Danske Sachs Research Bank 0% 0 Collier 0% EVA mars.12 avr.12 mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12 oct.12 nov.12 déc.12 janv.13 févr.13 Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date 28-Feb-13 0% 53% 47% 19-Mar-13 116.10 107.77 Carnegie TOBIAS KAJ hold 27-Feb-13 31-Jan-13 18% 35% 47% 18-Mar-13 116.10 107.77 Berenberg Bank CHRIS MOORE sell 99.00 11-Feb-13 31-Dec-12 17% 39% 44% 15-Mar-13 116.30 107.57 Nordea Equity Research JONAS L ANDERSSON hold 118.00 8-Feb-13 30-Nov-12 24% 35% 41% 14-Mar-13 116.10 107.57 Swedbank NICLAS HOGLUND neutral 115.00 8-Feb-13 31-Oct-12 18% 47% 35% 13-Mar-13 115.60 107.57 S&P Capital IQ JAWAHAR HINGORANI hold 115.00 8-Feb-13 28-Sep-12 18% 47% 35% 12-Mar-13 116.00 107.57 DNB Markets SIMEN MORTENSEN hold 120.00 8-Feb-13 31-Aug-12 25% 44% 31% 11-Mar-13 116.90 107.36 Danske Markets PETER TRIGARSZKY sell 104.00 8-Feb-13 31-Jul-12 25% 44% 31% 8-Mar-13 116.70 107.36 ABG Sundal Collier FREDRIC CYON hold 113.00 7-Feb-13 29-Jun-12 38% 38% 25% 7-Mar-13 116.00 107.36 SEB Enskilda STEFAN ANDERSSON hold 115.00 7-Feb-13 31-May-12 33% 47% 20% 6-Mar-13 115.90 107.36 Handelsbanken ALBIN SANDBERG reduce 104.00 7-Feb-13 30-Apr-12 25% 44% 31% 5-Mar-13 115.30 107.36 EVA Dimensions CRAIG STERLING underweight 17-Jan-13 30-Mar-12 25% 44% 31% 4-Mar-13 114.70 107.36 Goldman Sachs WILL MORGAN Sell/Neutral 108.00 14-Jan-13 1-Mar-13 114.50 107.36 Deutsche Bank MANU RIMPELA hold 112.00 21-Dec-12 28-Feb-13 114.80 107.36 HSBC TOBIAS LOSKAMP underweight 95.00 21-Dec-12 27-Feb-13 114.80 107.36 CA Cheuvreux BJORN GUSTAFSSON underperform 105.00 17-Dec-12 26-Feb-13 114.00 107.36 25-Feb-13 115.70 107.36 22-Feb-13 116.10 107.36 21-Feb-13 114.60 107.36 20-Feb-13 116.00 107.36 19-Feb-13 115.40 107.36 18-Feb-13 114.40 107.36 15-Feb-13 113.80 107.36 14-Feb-13 113.60 107.36 13-Feb-13 113.60 107.36 12-Feb-13 111.80 107.36 11-Feb-13 111.60 107.36 8-Feb-13 111.70 107.36 7-Feb-13 110.60 106.64 6-Feb-13 105.40 105.71 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 3. 19.03.2013 Skanska AB Company Analysis - Ownership Ownership Type Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution Geographic Ownership 0% Shares Outstanding (M) 411.8 15% Unknown Country 52.92% 1% 0%0% 0% Float Sweden 41.50% 3% 1% Short Interest (M) United States 3.11% Short Interest as % of Float Luxembourg 0.85% Days to Cover Shorts Britain 0.38% Institutional Ownership 84.59% Japan 0.32% 53% Retail Ownership 15.04% Ireland 0.27% Insider Ownership 0.37% Others 0.65% 42% 85% Institutional Ownership Distribution Other 54.08% Investment Advisor 23.36% Pension Fund (Erisa) 9.30% Unknown Country Sweden United States Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership Holding Company 5.89% Luxembourg Britain Japan Pricing data is in SEK Others 7.38% Ireland Others Top 20 Owners: TOP 20 ALL Institutional Ownership Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country AMF FORSAKRING 191'244'600 0 22'203'498'060 45.54% 30.09.2012 Research 7% ALECTA PENSIONSFORSA 33'870'000 0 3'932'307'000 8.07% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN 6% INDUSTRIVARDEN AB 21'443'238 0 2'489'559'932 5.11% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN NORDEA FONDER AB/SWE 16'968'154 404'852 1'970'002'679 4.04% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG SWEDEN SWEDBANK ROBUR FONDE 14'688'599 0 1'705'346'344 3.50% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN 9% NORDEA FONDER AB 14'022'076 0 1'627'963'024 3.34% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN 55% LUNDBERGS 7'550'000 0 876'555'000 1.80% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN FOLKSAM GROUP 6'858'966 0 796'325'953 1.63% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN VANGUARD GROUP INC 6'755'570 132'140 784'321'677 1.61% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG UNITED STATES 23% AMF FONDER AB 6'639'600 0 770'857'560 1.58% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG SWEDEN CARNEGIE FONDER AB/S 6'100'000 0 708'210'000 1.45% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN LANSFORSAKRINGAR GRO 5'762'867 0 669'068'859 1.37% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN DIDNER & GERGE FONDE 5'450'000 0 632'745'000 1.30% 30.09.2012 Research SWEDEN SEB 4'866'216 1'148'562 564'967'678 1.16% 31.12.2012 ULT-AGG Other Investment Advisor Pension Fund (Erisa) Holding Company Others FOLKSAM LO FOND AB 4'760'326 -12'738 552'673'849 1.13% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG SWEDEN HANDELSBANKEN FONDER 3'970'956 -99'436 461'027'992 0.95% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG SWEDEN LANSFORSAKRINGAR FON 3'944'877 -495'581 458'000'220 0.94% 31.12.2012 MF-AGG SWEDEN SPP FONDER AB 3'126'831 98'366 363'025'079 0.74% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG SWEDEN MARSHALL WACE LLP -2'099'516 0 -243'753'808 -0.50% 15.03.2013 Short BRITAIN XACT FONDER AB 1'662'776 218'976 193'048'294 0.40% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG SWEDEN Top 5 Insiders: Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source LUNDBERG FREDRIK 1'000'000 116'100'000 0.24% 31.12.2011 Co File KARLSTROM JOHAN 157'305 18'263'111 0.04% 31.12.2011 Co File GRAHAM STUART E 95'679 11'108'332 0.02% 31.12.2011 Co File WILLIAMSON MATS WILLIAM 82'426 9'569'659 0.02% 31.12.2011 Co File WIECZOREK ROMAN 45'348 5'264'903 0.01% 31.12.2011 Co File Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 4. Company Analysis - Financials I/IV Skanska AB Financial information is in SEK (M) Equivalent Estimates Periodicity: Fiscal Year 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Income Statement Revenue 142'033 132'879 116'257 124'106 125'603 138'781 143'674 139'124 122'224 118'734 129'350 129'703 132'875 134'166 - Cost of Goods Sold 106'696 112'952 114'220 125'807 131'532 125'417 109'774 107'410 117'789 Gross Income 9'561 11'154 11'383 12'974 12'142 13'707 12'450 11'324 11'561 13'424 13'919 13'148 - Selling, General & Admin Expenses 140'767 128'440 6'343 6'593 6'985 7'970 8'932 8'078 7'533 7'853 8'508 (Research & Dev Costs) 57 55 48 47 72 58 43 42 Operating Income 1'266 4'439 3'218 4'561 4'398 5'004 3'210 5'629 4'917 3'471 3'053 4'565 4'911 4'933 - Interest Expense 1'026 685 332 137 73 165 264 265 215 204 312 - Foreign Exchange Losses (Gains) 51 6 -17 28 -37 43 50 54 12 -11 - Net Non-Operating Losses (Gains) 116 -324 -457 -547 -623 -871 -1'514 -490 -733 -5'147 -1'043 Pretax Income 73 4'072 3'360 4'943 4'985 5'667 4'410 5'800 5'423 8'425 3'784 4'843 5'062 5'160 - Income Tax Expense 856 1'303 1'141 1'230 1'330 1'546 1'253 1'579 1'395 830 923 Income Before XO Items -783 2'769 2'219 3'713 3'655 4'121 3'157 4'221 4'028 7'595 2'861 - Extraordinary Loss Net of Tax 0 0 -967 -177 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - Minority Interests 54 8 13 11 20 25 55 5 6 6 8 Diluted EPS Before XO Items Net Income Adjusted* -837 2'761 2'648 3'702 3'639 4'096 3'719 3'621 4'022 2'989 2'853 3'490 3'683 3'825 EPS Adjusted (2.00) 6.60 6.33 8.84 8.69 9.79 8.92 8.72 9.76 7.26 6.92 8.35 8.94 9.36 Dividends Per Share 2.00 3.00 4.00 6.50 8.25 5.25 5.25 6.25 12.00 6.00 6.00 6.27 6.50 6.76 Payout Ratio % 45.5 75.9 73.5 95.0 84.3 70.4 61.2 122.7 32.5 86.6 0.75 0.73 0.72 Total Shares Outstanding 419 419 419 419 419 419 416 409 408 412 412 Diluted Shares Outstanding 419 419 419 419 419 419 418 417 416 415 414 EBITDA 3'609 6'247 4'828 5'820 5'545 6'276 4'521 7'106 6'224 4'864 4'462 6'152 6'526 6'646 *Net income excludes extraordinary gains and losses and one-time charges. Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 5. Company Analysis - Financials II/IV Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Balance Sheet Total Current Assets 58602 50345 49508 55918 55250 64097 67522 67753 62166 64277 69715 + Cash & Near Cash Items 5'460 6'819 5'815 10'583 8'839 14'209 7'881 9'409 6'654 5'309 5'770 + Short Term Investments 303 218 3'053 3'095 2'131 + Accounts & Notes Receivable 21'499 18'481 15'949 18'941 18'995 20'407 18'765 17'069 18'044 + Inventories 865 828 610 501 484 769 901 835 926 1'014 1'079 + Other Current Assets 30'475 23'999 24'081 22'798 24'801 49'119 38'333 38'744 37'517 39'910 62'866 Total Long-Term Assets 18'146 16'391 13'573 15'393 16'057 14'844 15'956 16'012 15'546 18'493 18'520 + Long Term Investments 547 76 0 0 0 Gross Fixed Assets 18'024 16'506 14'528 14'924 15'104 17'002 18'715 18'794 18'291 20'388 Accumulated Depreciation 10'216 9'778 9'021 9'681 9'647 11'029 11'796 12'491 12'385 13'370 + Net Fixed Assets 7'808 6'728 5'507 5'243 5'457 5'973 6'919 6'303 5'906 7'018 7'938 + Other Long Term Assets 9'791 9'587 8'066 10'150 10'600 8'871 9'037 9'709 9'640 11'475 10'582 Total Current Liabilities 42'009 36'795 39'676 44'919 45'364 53'948 58'206 57'879 52'932 57'151 59'385 + Accounts Payable 16'540 14'019 12'438 14'343 13'861 14'026 12'536 10'716 11'684 + Short Term Borrowings 1'280 1'006 1'080 1'396 2'703 2'081 3'706 2'786 5'563 6'283 + Other Short Term Liabilities 24'189 22'776 26'232 29'496 30'107 51'245 42'099 41'637 39'430 39'904 53'102 Total Long Term Liabilities 20'224 15'574 7'037 7'805 6'606 4'269 6'023 5'719 3'988 6'036 9'497 + Long Term Borrowings 13'494 5'774 3'046 2'424 2'039 955 1'077 1'913 1'107 1'335 4'820 + Other Long Term Borrowings 6'730 9'800 3'991 5'381 4'567 3'314 4'946 3'806 2'881 4'701 4'677 Total Liabilities 62'233 52'369 46'713 52'724 51'970 58'217 64'229 63'598 56'920 63'187 68'882 + Long Preferred Equity 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 + Minority Interest 298 200 117 133 147 210 178 170 122 170 166 + Share Capital & APIC 2'685 2'902 1'786 3'014 1'585 1'585 1'585 1'771 1'979 2'198 + Retained Earnings & Other Equity 11'532 11'267 14'465 15'440 17'605 18'929 17'486 18'226 18'691 17'215 19'187 Total Shareholders Equity 14'515 14'369 16'368 18'587 19'337 20'724 19'249 20'167 20'792 19'583 19'353 Total Liabilities & Equity 76'748 66'738 63'081 71'311 71'307 78'941 83'478 83'765 77'712 82'770 88'235 Book Value Per Share 33.97 33.85 38.83 44.09 45.85 49.01 45.87 48.91 50.72 47.17 46.59 47.63 49.92 53.92 Tangible Book Value Per Share 20.01 22.58 28.23 32.63 33.35 36.49 33.25 37.73 40.24 34.61 34.28 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 6. Company Analysis - Financials III/IV Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Cash Flows Net Income -837 2'761 3'173 3'879 3'635 4'096 3'102 4'216 4'022 7'589 2'853 3'435 3'718 3'904 + Depreciation & Amortization 2'343 1'808 1'610 1'259 1'147 1'272 1'311 1'477 1'307 1'393 1'409 + Other Non-Cash Adjustments 576 -1'195 -3'786 -3'274 -2'310 -2'174 -2'792 -1'183 -2'442 -7'408 -4'353 + Changes in Non-Cash Capital 426 8'545 5'522 4'843 1'245 5'905 -1'067 3'075 3'351 -1'329 Cash From Operating Activities 2'508 11'919 6'519 6'707 3'717 9'099 554 7'585 6'238 245 -91 + Disposal of Fixed Assets 522 381 641 648 688 685 1'920 538 643 6'006 + Capital Expenditures -1'636 -1'309 -1'319 -1'931 -2'014 -1'967 -2'538 -1'718 -2'030 -3'194 -2'663 -2'588 -2'989 + Increase in Investments -41 10 -7 -3 -2'068 -3'201 + Decrease in Investments 351 433 491 42 791 1'986 + Other Investing Activities -2'207 -1'444 1'400 921 -597 51 -1'300 -1'951 -2'463 -1'894 -1'193 Cash From Investing Activities -3'011 -1'929 1'206 -323 -3'200 -2'446 -1'918 -3'131 -3'850 918 -1'193 + Dividends Paid -1'256 -837 -1'256 -1'674 -2'721 -3'453 -3'448 -2'185 -2'582 -4'945 + Change in Short Term Borrowings 0 + Increase in Long Term Borrowings 2'614 694 410 912 595 295 1'333 473 3'443 + Decrease in Long Term Borrowings -3'586 -6'808 -5'186 -1'397 -1'123 -951 -2'426 -1'269 -2'445 -677 + Increase in Capital Stocks 0 + Decrease in Capital Stocks 0 -271 -355 -252 -184 + Other Financing Activities -562 -457 -56 -85 72 115 274 -280 -82 -75 1'872 Cash From Financing Activities -2'790 -8'102 -5'804 -2'746 -2'860 -3'694 -5'576 -2'756 -4'888 -2'438 1'872 Net Changes in Cash -3'293 1'888 1'921 3'638 -2'343 2'959 -6'940 1'698 -2'500 -1'275 588 Free Cash Flow (CFO-CAPEX) 872 10'610 5'200 4'776 1'703 7'132 -1'984 5'867 4'208 -2'949 1'727 2'064 1'228 Free Cash Flow To Firm -10'133 11'076 5'419 4'879 1'757 7'252 -1'795 6'060 4'368 -2'765 Free Cash Flow To Equity 422 4'437 2'180 7'461 -2'195 6'469 2'879 5'823 Free Cash Flow per Share 2.08 25.35 12.42 11.41 4.07 17.04 -4.76 14.14 10.21 -7.16 Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 7. Company Analysis - Financials IV/IV Periodicity: 12/02 12/03 12/04 12/05 12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E Ratio Analysis Valuation Ratios Price Earnings 9.6x 15.1x 13.7x 15.5x 12.5x 10.4x 12.0x 13.7x 6.2x 15.3x 13.9x 13.0x 12.4x EV to EBIT 24.0x 5.7x 8.8x 8.9x 11.2x 8.1x 8.6x 8.2x 10.9x 14.4x 16.1x EV to EBITDA 8.4x 4.1x 5.9x 7.0x 8.9x 6.5x 6.1x 6.5x 8.6x 10.3x 11.0x 9.2x 8.7x 8.6x Price to Sales 0.2x 0.2x 0.3x 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x 0.2x 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x 0.3x 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x Price to Book 1.5x 1.9x 2.1x 2.7x 2.9x 2.5x 1.7x 2.5x 2.6x 2.4x 2.3x 2.4x 2.3x 2.2x Dividend Yield 3.9% 4.7% 5.0% 5.4% 6.1% 4.3% 6.8% 5.1% 9.0% 5.3% 5.6% 5.4% 5.6% 5.8% Profitability Ratios Gross Margin 8.2% 9.0% 9.1% 9.3% 8.5% 9.9% 10.2% 9.5% 8.9% 10.4% 10.5% 9.8% EBITDA Margin 2.5% 4.7% 4.2% 4.7% 4.4% 4.5% 3.1% 5.1% 5.1% 4.1% 3.4% 4.7% 4.9% 5.0% Operating Margin 0.9% 3.3% 2.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.6% 2.2% 4.0% 4.0% 2.9% 2.4% 3.5% 3.7% 3.7% Profit Margin -0.6% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 2.9% 3.0% 2.2% 3.0% 3.3% 6.4% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 2.9% Return on Assets -1.0% 3.8% 4.9% 5.8% 5.1% 5.5% 3.8% 5.0% 5.0% 9.5% 3.3% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% Return on Equity -5.2% 19.5% 20.9% 22.4% 19.3% 20.6% 15.7% 21.6% 19.8% 37.9% 14.8% 17.4% 18.1% 17.7% Leverage & Coverage Ratios Current Ratio 1.39 1.37 1.25 1.24 1.22 1.19 1.16 1.17 1.17 1.12 1.17 Quick Ratio 0.65 0.69 0.63 0.73 0.66 0.26 0.49 0.49 0.45 0.41 0.10 Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/I) 1.08 5.56 9.69 33.29 60.25 11.07 7.02 12.43 18.84 10.27 6.59 Tot Debt/Capital 0.50 0.29 0.20 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.22 0.16 0.26 0.36 Tot Debt/Equity 1.02 0.40 0.25 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.16 0.28 0.19 0.35 0.57 Others Asset Turnover 1.67 1.85 1.79 1.85 1.76 1.85 1.77 1.66 1.51 1.48 1.51 Accounts Receivable Turnover 6.09 6.65 6.75 7.11 6.62 7.10 6.82 6.76 Accounts Payable Turnover 8.05 8.43 8.10 9.44 9.45 9.60 Inventory Turnover 148.39 203.33 231.92 200.81 157.52 144.49 124.67 110.73 112.56 Effective Tax Rate 1172.6% 32.0% 34.0% 24.9% 26.7% 27.3% 28.4% 27.2% 25.7% 9.9% 24.4% Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |
  • 8. Company Analysis - Peers Comparision JACOBS ENGIN SKANSKA AB-B HOCHTIEF AG VINCI SA BILFINGER SE EIFFAGE FLUOR CORP BOUYGUES SA FOSTER WHEELER GRANITE CONSTR TUTOR PERINI COR COLAS SA NCC AB-B JM AB PEAB AB GRP Latest Fiscal Year: 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 09/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2012 12/2011 12/2012 12/2012 52-Week High 120.00 55.65 40.68 82.43 37.75 66.67 24.33 27.13 54.23 37.74 19.08 137.99 171.20 161.00 39.35 52-Week High Date 19.03.2012 27.02.2013 19.03.2012 20.02.2013 10.01.2013 28.01.2013 19.03.2012 28.01.2013 18.03.2013 20.02.2013 19.02.2013 02.04.2012 08.03.2013 11.03.2013 12.03.2013 52-Week Low 93.30 34.64 31.23 58.82 20.53 44.99 17.54 15.26 33.61 21.38 9.21 96.00 110.30 106.75 28.91 52-Week Low Date 01.06.2012 06.09.2012 01.06.2012 05.06.2012 26.07.2012 25.06.2012 16.11.2012 12.07.2012 25.06.2012 04.06.2012 07.08.2012 15.05.2012 14.06.2012 21.11.2012 04.09.2012 Daily Volume 706'615 29'127 366'121 19'967 23'003 1'506'224 442'593 1'655'988 1'237'601 166'061 381'500 36 63'664 26'076 21'129 Current Price (3/dd/yy) 116.10 54.46 35.45 82.12 35.43 63.55 22.27 22.57 54.05 30.77 18.26 120.55 165.10 152.00 38.04 52-Week High % Change -3.3% -2.1% -12.9% -0.4% -6.2% -4.7% -8.5% -16.8% -0.3% -18.5% -4.3% -12.6% -3.6% -5.6% -3.3% 52-Week Low % Change 24.4% 57.2% 13.5% 39.6% 72.6% 41.3% 27.0% 47.9% 60.8% 43.9% 98.3% 25.6% 49.7% 42.4% 31.6% Total Common Shares (M) 411.8 73.6 536.2 46.0 85.6 162.4 324.0 104.4 129.9 38.7 47.6 32.7 108.0 80.5 295.0 Market Capitalization 51'356 4'193 20'544 3'780 3'088 10'348 7'108 2'358 7'046 1'192 868 3'937 17'912 12'718 11'262 Total Debt 11'103.0 4'456.5 20'193.8 1'180.9 16'112.0 541.0 8'642.0 137.7 528.3 290.1 737.1 404.0 9'243.0 877.0 8'633.0 Preferred Stock - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Minority Interest 166.0 1'603.4 735.4 8.0 (1.0) 85.8 1'500.0 43.4 36.4 41.9 - 34.0 15.0 - - Cash and Equivalents 5'770.0 3'143.6 6'516.1 1'087.2 2'402.0 2'610.0 4'487.0 582.3 1'032.5 433.4 168.1 446.0 2'802.0 2'475.0 439.0 Enterprise Value 56'855 7'110 34'957 3'881 17'195 8'365 12'763 1'957 6'370 1'090 1'437 5'039 24'368 11'120 19'456 Valuation Total Revenue LFY 129'350.0 25'527.7 39'183.2 8'508.8 14'000.0 27'577.1 33'547.0 3'414.6 10'893.8 2'083.0 4'111.5 13'036.0 57'227.0 12'480.0 46'840.0 LTM 129'350.0 25'527.7 38'633.6 8'508.8 14'000.0 27'577.1 33'547.0 3'414.6 11'021.7 2'083.0 4'111.5 13'036.0 57'226.0 12'480.0 46'840.0 CY+1 129'702.9 26'295.3 38'898.6 8'788.6 14'226.8 29'087.4 33'516.2 3'778.3 11'868.1 2'507.0 4'535.0 - 56'057.0 12'853.4 46'588.9 CY+2 132'874.7 27'382.4 39'687.3 9'209.0 14'569.6 30'313.9 33'717.1 4'291.7 13'149.6 2'718.8 4'875.7 - 58'170.9 13'674.2 47'519.4 EV/Total Revenue LFY 0.4x 0.2x 0.9x 0.4x 1.2x 0.3x 0.4x 0.6x 0.4x 0.6x 0.3x 0.3x 0.4x 0.6x 0.4x LTM 0.4x 0.2x 0.9x 0.4x 1.2x 0.3x 0.4x 0.6x 0.4x 0.6x 0.3x 0.4x 0.4x 0.6x 0.4x CY+1 0.4x 0.3x 0.9x 0.4x 1.1x 0.3x 0.4x 0.5x 0.5x 0.5x 0.4x - 0.4x 0.9x 0.4x CY+2 0.4x 0.2x 0.8x 0.4x 1.1x 0.3x 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x 0.4x 0.3x - 0.4x 0.8x 0.4x EBITDA LFY 4'462.0 1'477.3 5'507.8 577.5 1'939.0 946.4 2'890.0 309.2 696.9 105.8 216.2 932.0 3'156.0 1'492.0 1'885.0 LTM 4'462.0 1'477.3 5'453.4 577.5 1'983.0 946.4 2'890.0 309.2 714.5 108.3 216.2 891.0 3'155.0 - - CY+1 6'151.7 1'639.9 5'534.1 582.0 2'110.2 1'345.9 2'884.9 272.1 789.1 177.4 258.3 - 3'013.1 1'460.8 2'503.6 CY+2 6'526.5 1'788.4 5'693.7 624.0 2'194.4 1'482.9 2'939.0 338.2 869.7 223.6 295.0 - 3'145.4 1'618.2 2'709.5 EV/EBITDA LFY 11.0x 4.2x 6.1x 6.0x 8.4x 8.0x 4.5x 6.9x 6.8x 11.4x 5.6x 4.8x 6.7x 5.2x 9.2x LTM 11.0x 4.2x 6.2x 6.0x 8.2x 8.0x 4.5x 6.9x 6.7x 11.1x 5.6x 5.0x 6.7x - - CY+1 8.7x 4.2x 6.1x 6.4x 7.7x 6.2x 4.6x 6.9x 7.9x 6.5x 6.2x - 8.0x 7.9x 7.2x CY+2 8.2x 3.8x 5.7x 5.8x 7.2x 5.3x 4.5x 5.2x 6.7x 5.1x 5.4x - 7.7x 6.9x 6.5x EPS LFY - 1.41 3.52 6.23 2.49 4.28 2.00 1.55 2.91 0.64 1.48 9.25 - - - LTM 6.93 2.15 3.58 6.23 2.52 4.30 2.01 1.54 2.97 0.72 -1.00 9.25 17.54 11.63 2.47 CY+1 8.35 3.31 3.51 5.72 3.14 4.16 2.46 1.50 3.33 1.84 1.94 - 15.64 12.94 3.95 CY+2 8.94 4.04 3.72 6.41 3.62 4.68 2.71 2.00 3.72 2.55 2.42 - 16.83 14.44 4.43 P/E LFY 16.8x 25.3x 9.9x 13.2x 14.0x 14.8x 11.1x 14.7x 18.2x 42.7x - 13.0x 9.4x 13.1x 15.4x LTM - 25.3x 10.0x 13.2x 14.9x 14.8x 11.1x 14.7x 18.2x 42.7x - 13.0x - - - CY+1 13.9x 16.5x 10.1x 14.4x 11.3x 15.3x 9.0x 15.0x 16.2x 16.7x 9.4x - 10.6x 11.7x 9.6x CY+2 13.0x 13.5x 9.5x 12.8x 9.8x 13.6x 8.2x 11.3x 14.5x 12.1x 7.5x - 9.8x 10.5x 8.6x Revenue Growth 1 Year 8.9% 9.6% 4.1% 3.7% 1.4% 17.9% 2.6% (23.8%) 4.9% 3.7% 10.6% 5.0% 8.9% 4.0% 7.6% 5 Year (1.1%) 12.5% 4.3% 0.7% 1.8% 9.2% 1.6% - 3.8% (2.6%) 4.3% 2.2% 2.3% 4.7% 8.0% EBITDA Growth 1 Year (8.3%) (11.8%) 1.1% 13.6% - (20.3%) (10.5%) 10.1% 13.4% (27.7%) 0.1% - 24.6% - (17.1%) 5 Year (6.6%) 32.7% 3.7% 12.2% 4.2% 4.6% (3.3%) (10.5%) 7.0% (15.6%) 7.3% 1.0% (0.6%) (2.9%) 5.0% EBITDA Margin LTM 3.4% 5.8% 14.1% 6.8% 14.3% 3.4% 8.6% 9.1% 6.5% 5.2% 5.3% 7.1% 5.5% - - CY+1 4.7% 6.2% 14.2% 6.6% 14.8% 4.6% 8.6% 7.2% 6.6% 7.1% 5.7% - 5.4% 11.4% 5.4% CY+2 4.9% 6.5% 14.3% 6.8% 15.1% 4.9% 8.7% 7.9% 6.6% 8.2% 6.1% - 5.4% 11.8% 5.7% Leverage/Coverage Ratios Total Debt / Equity % 57.9% 168.8% 151.4% 58.2% 686.2% 16.2% 100.7% 19.1% 14.2% 35.0% 64.4% 16.2% 103.0% 18.8% 108.1% Total Debt / Capital % 36.5% 51.2% 58.9% 36.7% 87.3% 13.6% 46.2% 15.2% 12.3% 25.0% 39.2% 13.8% 50.7% 15.8% 51.9% Total Debt / EBITDA 2.488x 3.017x 3.703x 2.045x 7.969x 0.572x 2.990x 0.445x 0.725x 2.679x 3.409x 1.572x 2.930x - - Net Debt / EBITDA 1.195x 0.889x 2.508x 0.162x 7.130x -2.186x 1.438x -1.438x -1.013x -1.323x 2.632x 1.196x 2.042x - - EBITDA / Int. Expense 9.637x 4.546x 7.578x 14.259x 2.911x 33.514x 8.210x 22.413x 59.635x 9.975x 4.895x 20.261x 11.057x 17.149x 6.352x Credit Ratings S&P LT Credit Rating - - BBB+ BBB+ - A- BBB+ BBB- - - BB- - - - - S&P LT Credit Rating Date - - 29.03.2007 23.10.2012 - 22.01.2004 30.11.2011 09.08.2010 - - 07.10.2010 - - - - Moody's LT Credit Rating - - Baa1 - - A3 (P)A3 - - - B1 - - - - Moody's LT Credit Rating Date - - 23.07.2002 - - 29.11.2000 26.01.2012 - - - 14.09.2012 - - - - Q.M.S Advisors | tel: +41 (0)78 922 08 77 | e-mail: info@qmsadv.com |