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Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Phil Huggins at 44con

2 September 2011
Agenda


►    Changes to the Threat Landscape
►    Risk Management
►    Threat Management
►    Intelligence Process
►    Access
►    Problems to watch for
►    Integration with Information Security




Page 1                     Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Changes to the Threat Landscape

        Unsophisticated              Increasing
     attackers; targets are      sophistication and                                          Advanced persistent
                                                                  Corporate espionage
         anyone with a         organisation; criminally                                            threat
          vulnerability               motivated




  ‘Hobbyists’                 Organised crime                 Corporate espionage       Advanced Persistent
  ► Fun                       ► Criminal intent               ► Economically            Threat (APT)
  ► Challenge                 ► More coordinated                 motivated              ► Long-term pattern of
                                  attacks                     ► Theft of intellectual      targeted, sophisticated
                              Financially motivated              property                  attacks aimed at
                                  (e.g., theft of credit                                   governments, companies
                                  card numbers for use                                     and political activists
                                  or sale)                                              ► Politically and economically
                                                                                           motivated
                                                                                        ► Well-funded, sophisticated
                                                                                           resources



Page 2                                         Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Risk Management


►    Media coverage indicates an increase in threats
►    Impacts can be limited by collecting less assets
     ►   Less opportunities for managing the risk
►    Vulnerabilities are the focus of vulnerability management
     ►   Maturing approaches in industry, not solved
►    Threats are mostly unmanaged
     ►   Opportunities:
         ►   Prevent
         ►   Disrupt
         ►   Degrade
         ►   Divert



Page 3                         Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Intelligence-driven Threat Management


►    Threat characteristics
     ►   ‘What they are’
     ►   Intent
     ►   Opportunity
     ►   Capability
►    Threat descriptions
     ►   ‘What we can know’
     ►   Targets
     ►   Behaviours
►    Targets and Behaviours leave Attack Indicators



Page 4                        Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
The Security Intelligence Process



                                 Direction




         Action                 Customer                       Access




                                                   Analysis
                  Dissemination                       and
                                                  assessment




Page 5                     Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Access


                       Protective             Change                     Web
  Internal




                       Monitoring            Requests                  Analytics

                Incident                Business                                    Staff
                Reports                Information                                 Forums


                  Human                 Industry                         Newspapers
  External




                Intelligence             Liaison
                                                                                       Blogs
                                                                      Public
                 Private        Gov/LEA                              Forums         Social
                 Forums          Liaison                                           Networks

             Secrets                                                               Open Sources


Page 6                              Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Problems to watch for


►    Lack of access to necessary sources
►    Errors in interpreting reliability of sources
►    Errors in interpreting meaning from sources
►    Taking too long to analyse
►    Policy over-influencing analysis
►    Not getting the right product to the right customers
►    Not able to communicate uncertainty to customers
►    Not being able to act effectively on product
►    Not tracking or planning for strategic changes



Page 7                     Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Integrating Security Intelligence

                                                   Vision
                                                  Strategy
                                                   Policy
                                                  Standards
         Development




                                                                                       Engagement
                                                      Governance
                       Engineering




                                                                          Compliance
                                     Operations




                                                                   Risk
                                                  Intelligence


Page 8                                  Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Disclaimer

This presentation is proprietary to Ernst & Young LLP
(‘Ernst & Young’). It is supplied in confidence and should not be
disclosed, duplicated or otherwise revealed in whole or in part to
any third parties without the prior consent of Ernst & Young
The information in this pack is intended to provide only a general
outline of the subjects covered. It should not be regarded as
comprehensive or sufficient for making decisions, nor should it be
used in place of professional advice. Accordingly, Ernst & Young
LLP accepts no responsibility for loss arising from any action
taken or not taken by anyone using this pack

© Ernst & Young LLP 2011. Published in the UK.
All rights reserved.

Page 9                    Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
Thank you
Phil Huggins
phuggins@uk.ey.com

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Intelligence-led Cybersecurity

  • 2. Agenda ► Changes to the Threat Landscape ► Risk Management ► Threat Management ► Intelligence Process ► Access ► Problems to watch for ► Integration with Information Security Page 1 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
  • 3. Changes to the Threat Landscape Unsophisticated Increasing attackers; targets are sophistication and Advanced persistent Corporate espionage anyone with a organisation; criminally threat vulnerability motivated ‘Hobbyists’ Organised crime Corporate espionage Advanced Persistent ► Fun ► Criminal intent ► Economically Threat (APT) ► Challenge ► More coordinated motivated ► Long-term pattern of attacks ► Theft of intellectual targeted, sophisticated Financially motivated property attacks aimed at (e.g., theft of credit governments, companies card numbers for use and political activists or sale) ► Politically and economically motivated ► Well-funded, sophisticated resources Page 2 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
  • 4. Risk Management ► Media coverage indicates an increase in threats ► Impacts can be limited by collecting less assets ► Less opportunities for managing the risk ► Vulnerabilities are the focus of vulnerability management ► Maturing approaches in industry, not solved ► Threats are mostly unmanaged ► Opportunities: ► Prevent ► Disrupt ► Degrade ► Divert Page 3 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
  • 5. Intelligence-driven Threat Management ► Threat characteristics ► ‘What they are’ ► Intent ► Opportunity ► Capability ► Threat descriptions ► ‘What we can know’ ► Targets ► Behaviours ► Targets and Behaviours leave Attack Indicators Page 4 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
  • 6. The Security Intelligence Process Direction Action Customer Access Analysis Dissemination and assessment Page 5 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
  • 7. Access Protective Change Web Internal Monitoring Requests Analytics Incident Business Staff Reports Information Forums Human Industry Newspapers External Intelligence Liaison Blogs Public Private Gov/LEA Forums Social Forums Liaison Networks Secrets Open Sources Page 6 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
  • 8. Problems to watch for ► Lack of access to necessary sources ► Errors in interpreting reliability of sources ► Errors in interpreting meaning from sources ► Taking too long to analyse ► Policy over-influencing analysis ► Not getting the right product to the right customers ► Not able to communicate uncertainty to customers ► Not being able to act effectively on product ► Not tracking or planning for strategic changes Page 7 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
  • 9. Integrating Security Intelligence Vision Strategy Policy Standards Development Engagement Governance Engineering Compliance Operations Risk Intelligence Page 8 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity
  • 10. Disclaimer This presentation is proprietary to Ernst & Young LLP (‘Ernst & Young’). It is supplied in confidence and should not be disclosed, duplicated or otherwise revealed in whole or in part to any third parties without the prior consent of Ernst & Young The information in this pack is intended to provide only a general outline of the subjects covered. It should not be regarded as comprehensive or sufficient for making decisions, nor should it be used in place of professional advice. Accordingly, Ernst & Young LLP accepts no responsibility for loss arising from any action taken or not taken by anyone using this pack © Ernst & Young LLP 2011. Published in the UK. All rights reserved. Page 9 Intelligence-led Cybersecurity