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Intra Day Trend Trade
Short Crude Oil Futures
Big Picture
• Crude Oil is in a bear market
• Short term volatility is contracted w.r.t
intermediate term lookback
• Momentum Indicators are neutral-positive
Intra Day Fundamentals
• The International Monetary Fund cut its global
growth forecast for 2015 to 3.5% from a previous
estimate of 3.8%, citing slowing economies in
China, Russia, the euro zone and Japan.
Meanwhile, official data released earlier showed
that China’s economy grew 7.4% in 2014 from a
year earlier, below the government's official
target of 7.5% and the slowest pace since 1990. It
expanded 7.7% in 2013.
Technical Analysis
Intra Day Technical Analysis
Trade Management
• Made 7 cash flow trades in 4 point range
2965-2971
• Offered core tier 1 at 2971
• Bid at 2948
Intuition
• No
Trade Review
• I did a good job of identifying order flow range
to scalp
• I should have held longer BUT considering I
had to attend a social gathering & I had to exit
thereby deviating from my plan
• I need to ensure I should NOT trade when I
have prior social engagements
• In terms of trade process I would rate this
trade a 6/10

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20th jan 2014

  • 1. Intra Day Trend Trade Short Crude Oil Futures
  • 3. • Crude Oil is in a bear market • Short term volatility is contracted w.r.t intermediate term lookback • Momentum Indicators are neutral-positive
  • 4. Intra Day Fundamentals • The International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecast for 2015 to 3.5% from a previous estimate of 3.8%, citing slowing economies in China, Russia, the euro zone and Japan. Meanwhile, official data released earlier showed that China’s economy grew 7.4% in 2014 from a year earlier, below the government's official target of 7.5% and the slowest pace since 1990. It expanded 7.7% in 2013.
  • 8. • Made 7 cash flow trades in 4 point range 2965-2971 • Offered core tier 1 at 2971 • Bid at 2948
  • 10. Trade Review • I did a good job of identifying order flow range to scalp • I should have held longer BUT considering I had to attend a social gathering & I had to exit thereby deviating from my plan • I need to ensure I should NOT trade when I have prior social engagements • In terms of trade process I would rate this trade a 6/10