Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.
Job creation is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity.
Discover how to trade NFP like a pro without getting killed by the markets.
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Rules to Trading NFP - Foreign Exchange Rates Trading
1. W H A T
T R A D I N G
N F P
S I N C E
2 0 1 6 H A S
T A U G H T
M E
N F P L I V E T R A D I N G
2. Overview
What is NFP
• Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of people
employed during the previous month, excluding the farming
industry.
• Job creation is the foremost indicator of consumer spending,
which accounts for the majority of economic activity.
3. Overview
• A higher-than-expected reading should be taken as
positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower-than-expected
reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
• Discover how to trade NFP like a pro without getting killed by
the markets.
4. Overview
• Expect an initial spike of 30-50 pips
• Then a continuation in the direction the market sentiment was
already in
• If the market sentiment of the pair aligns with the directional
bias of the news, then you should stick with it
8. 10 Things to Consider
These are meant to set you up for success
9. #1 – Change your Mindset
• There are different types of trading and spot trading works best
with news because you are taking full advantage of the
Fundamental Analysis Approach
• Fundamentals are what moves the markets and if you want to
get a thousand pips on a single trade you have to be
fundamentally correct not technically!
10. #2 – No SL
• Getting Spiked out is one of the most reoccurring factors for a
loss
• Brokers increase their spreads to make a bad situation look
worst
11. #3 – No Limit Orders
• This is an in the moment kind of situation
• If you are not 100% sure of your order do not use Limit Orders
12. #4 – You must watch to the end
• It is not about what the news said but how the market reacts to
it
• Watch the reaction for at least 5 to 15 minutes to see how it
plays
13. #5 – 3 Alignments to Enter
1. Market Sentiment
2. News
3. DXY
14. #6 – Never enter on NFP 5 mins candle
• This is the time you analyze not enter
• Within 5 minutes you need to already make a final decision
15. #7 – Have an exit Strategy
• Do not just ride it all the way to the close of the session
• Have a goal in mind that will already predetermine how you will
scale out of your orders
16. #8 – Back Test and Forward Test
• Do not waste time back-testing and plotting or worrying
• Every event is significant to its own therefore demo forward
17. #9 – Don’t Weekend Carry Trade
• No weekend holding unless up over 100 pips and all align
• If everything aligns and you feel confident about it go ahead
• Every situation is unique to its own occurrence
18. #10 –Track your Progress and Actions
• Did you win?
• Did you lose?
• Did you analyze correctly but ended up holding back and got
hit?
• What happened? Why? and… What could have made it better?
19. Conclusion
Fundamental analysis is the process of breaking down the impact
of political, economic and social factors on the relative value of a
currency whilst Forex sentiment analysis is the process of
identifying the positioning of traders, whether net long or net
short, to influence your own trading decisions in the currency
market.
• Therefore, figure out the Fundamentals and if the sentiment of
the market is the same as the fundamentals follow the crowd
and
• TRADE WITH THE SENTIMENT
20. Reach Out Directly
for more insight
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Lando
Graham