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(12/11/2012)

Last week the November Employment report surprised to the upside with 146k jobs being added to the
economy versus expectations of only 85k jobs. The unemployment rate dropped from 7.9% to 7.7%. The
drop in rate was due to a decrease in the labor force. While we saw an increase in jobs a drop in the
labor participation does not signal a strong and confident labor market. Market focus on progress
regarding the Fiscal Cliff will heighten as we near year end. Any type of compromise will most likely
detract from GDP as we face higher taxes and decreased spending. This week’s data includes Retail
Sales, Inflation indicators, a round of Treasury Auctions and the FOMC meeting. Expectations are that the
Fed will continue to remain accommodative for the foreseeable future.

Economic Data/Events in the week ahead:
 Monday: N/A
 Tuesday: Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories, Economic Optimism, JOLT’s Job Openings, 3yr Treasury
Auction
 Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Import Prices, Monthly Budget Statement, FOMC Rate
Decision, 10yr Treasury Auction
 Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims, Retail Sales, Produce Price Index, Business Inventories, 30yr Treasury
Auction
 Friday: Consumer Price Index, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization
Mortgage Interest Rate Trends
Michael Kurowski - Broker®




                 $219,841
Michael Kurowski - Broker®




                 93,264
Michael Kurowski - Broker®




                 8.4

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Market Update - Wk of 12/11/12

  • 1. (12/11/2012) Last week the November Employment report surprised to the upside with 146k jobs being added to the economy versus expectations of only 85k jobs. The unemployment rate dropped from 7.9% to 7.7%. The drop in rate was due to a decrease in the labor force. While we saw an increase in jobs a drop in the labor participation does not signal a strong and confident labor market. Market focus on progress regarding the Fiscal Cliff will heighten as we near year end. Any type of compromise will most likely detract from GDP as we face higher taxes and decreased spending. This week’s data includes Retail Sales, Inflation indicators, a round of Treasury Auctions and the FOMC meeting. Expectations are that the Fed will continue to remain accommodative for the foreseeable future. Economic Data/Events in the week ahead:  Monday: N/A  Tuesday: Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories, Economic Optimism, JOLT’s Job Openings, 3yr Treasury Auction  Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Import Prices, Monthly Budget Statement, FOMC Rate Decision, 10yr Treasury Auction  Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims, Retail Sales, Produce Price Index, Business Inventories, 30yr Treasury Auction  Friday: Consumer Price Index, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization
  • 3. Michael Kurowski - Broker® $219,841
  • 4. Michael Kurowski - Broker® 93,264
  • 5. Michael Kurowski - Broker® 8.4