1. fulonday, December 7, ?il09
(-. Why Beijing darent
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China
shi Jiangtao and cary Huang
in Beijing
,Vhen delegates gather in the Danish
capitalforthe opening of amuch-an-
ticipated UN climate conference to-
day, they will confront the hard real-
itythat China, the world's top carbon
emitter, is unwilling to sacrifice eco-
nomic growth as part of any deal to "The communist leadership, fac-
cub greenhouse gases. ing a gaping rich-poor divide and in-
China scored political points late creasing social unrest, sees economic
last month when it announced for growth as a political issue conceming
the first time targets for its carbon social stability and thus says it needs
emissions and said that PremierWen to rnaintain a minimum of eight per
Jiabao (;]fr *H)would auendthelead- cent gross domestic product growth
ers'zummitschedr,rled to be held to- each year to maintain stability," Ma
wards the end of the 12-day Guoxian (.ffi EEH), director of the Pub-
conference. licPolicvResearcfrj3igll-sl#i:

2. ii#;i''fr aHi would attend the lead -
!ir:r*i t.heduled to beheldto-
il';['th" ;nd or the 12-daY
""Tfifr:"$*e hailed the move as a t'Js.utiiversity of Finance and Eco-
tot ttot gbba tti nomics'said'in developed nations
".
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mate talks intended to p'"iiiti" * y';1irc
whichhave established and sophisti-
to suppleme#;f" *d;
aseement
Piotocol, sceptics *t o*iil""'o'""# "ui"i
*ar-" networks and knowl- tar-
!Og"-Uut"O economies' binding
out that what China pr#il;6il *outa take a hearry toll on
wasslowtherut"otg'o*tfrotTt'"tit"- igis ttey ittdustries and the result-
bon emissions, not cut tn:'t;;iilr[L
Btrina's
has pleog"o.to"JiiTtt t*-
i"s iqP losses in the tens of million i
Beiiing poten-
co'ia teaato social unrest and
bon intensity-",'""o*v' i''liti"?tt ex- i
iiar poltical upheavals' several
carbon is produced p"' #t"fr "loi
o"f'ffi* s gr e' n o h,o
lSffi ffi)bt; iJ.,tlJltl,"i;il"# *ttit"t i*p""t caps would have' but
t disa e
Y
the world's i"ffilJ;;;;t
"
er.lndia -
carbon emitter - f"ll"*;;ilit
ild theyagree it wouidn't be palatable'
;;ffiJl;&ou"i t'"'u-" i'i"*itv t|t th" T'S, 3:5f3t;::;irii"i
ti,"ri"tj"'
it,
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?.les,l3;iffil'r1:111,#-'t
' "tJ the l##ih; Chinaresidentmission' forecastthat
But that's not -tti11'9 annual economic growth
absolute reduction i"""''itti"ti om'{he
l_;td",:'$:"or6percent'fr
Hil#lu#*i*?'-'f;".ffi
ssnmum""r$*riHlitiff{Hitf,ffi'ffi"Ji'f*L
their economies expand' Ma
said (
carbon as
there is little
ui"ut- just 2 or 3 ner cent'
prospeciiti u
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rins over who ,r'otroi'iJ'"t'"J[" t me1b1r of-the country's negotia-
a.
be Eearing the u*nt oiJo' 6t"u
ttion t"*n in cop"nhag6n' reached
pessimistic conclu-
position i, g'oqno"i*in'simpte an even'more
ctti"ut would shrink
oolitical *d " rr" consequences would
"c'onomv
tn emissions ".o"o-tJt;;itiil;;!'ion' "tottomic
wo"ld tl"*" #;fth;a
u"looa""u'tuti"*"l.1giJ:J""ffii
that spells d""s;;oi;"';h;
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