Exclusive Analysis focuses solely on political risk forecasting and maintains independence to provide objective analysis. It has a global team of experts and over 1,000 sources reporting on indicators of change. The company collects indicator events and writes insight briefs and forecast briefs on sovereign operating environments and country risks. It uses this intelligence to develop proprietary country risk scores and a global risk index to empower risk-informed decision making.
2. Exclusive Analysis | Specialist Political Risk Forecasting
As a company, we focus solely on forecasting. We are not
structurally conflicted by the sale of other services. It is central
to the Exclusive Analysis ethos that we retain an objective view
Clients trust us as we are not trying to sell any brokerage or
physical services, nor do we trade on our own accounts. Our
independence allows us to access areas others cannot
We spend all of our time innovating risk forecasting techniques
to give you the best intelligence picture to maximise business
opportunities and manage strategic risks globally
3. Global Foresight | Core Forecasting Team
Simon Brian Michael Ade David Alexia
Sole Lawson Simms Onitolo Hunt Ash
Global Political Risk Senior Global Global Economist Specialist Political Technology Quantitative
Thought Leader Banker and Bond Trader Economist Innovator Political Analyst
Teymur Rachel Carlos Zaineb Firas Natznet
Huseynov Shoemaker Cardenas Al-Assam Abi Ali Tesfay
Eurasia Oil & Gas China Business Venezuela Energy Iraq and Iran Islamic Finance Africa Urbanisation
Consultant Strategist Specialist Expert Specialist Advisor
4. Source Network | Global Intelligence Infrastructure
GLOBAL/Former global head of EURASIA/Expert on post-Soviet
fixed income at a major politics and energy, with extensive
international bank due diligence experience
AFRICA/Analyst on Nigeria's oil & MENA/Close aide to late Lebanese
gas market and has worked for PM Rafiq Hariri, with senior
Nigerian oil companies contacts in the Future Movement
LATAM/Independent economist ASIA/Experienced Indian
who has served as an advisor to economist and investment
the Sao Paulo state governor manager from Mumbai
Over 1,000 human sources worldwide reporting against indicators of change
5. Indicator Events | Systemised Collection of Global Intelligence and Data
Historical global dataset of over 475,000 indicator events that report against
indicators of change, feeding into a highly systemised intelligence
methodology to drive our forecasts
6. Insight Briefs | Understanding the Sovereign Operating Environment
Over 10,300 insight briefs on the sovereign operating environment, including
physical and social risks, as well as streams of daily intelligence briefs and
week ahead forecasts
7. Forecast Briefs | Decision-Ready Strategic Country Planning
Over 1,400 forecast briefs that inform strategic country planning, forecasting
contract frustration, taxation, currency, bribery & corruption and
expropriation and political instability risks
8. Country Risk Scores | Intelligence-Driven Quantitative Forecasting
Our proprietary intelligence and forecasting methodology is used to drive
country risk scores, calculated logarithmically based upon contract risks, tax &
currency risks, political instability and violent risks
9. Location Intelligence | Operational Risk Planning
Incident and indicator events are geo-coded to generate location, asset,
project and route-specific risk ratings, which support ground-level operational
and project risk planning
10. Global Risk Index | Risk Selection and Risk Pricing
Global political risk index covering every country in the world, which can be
integrated with existing in-house risk numeration systems to empower
intelligence-led risk selection and risk pricing
11. Home Page | User Customisation and Push Content
Manage the risks specific to your interests from your customisable home
page, stream risk and/or country-specific briefs and indicator events, and
receive location-specific push content
12. Clippings | Generate Reports for In-House Research and Analysis
The clippings function enables indicator events, insight briefs and forecasts
briefs to be generated into reports, which can then be used to support in-
house research and analysis