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Lean Six Sigma Black Belt
                  Project Certification



               Financial Repositioning for
                      Retirement

                Paul Kovatch 9/13/2011
11/28/2011
                    (714) 488-4350           1
Index
•   Executive Summary
•   1 Define Phase           page 3
•   2 Measurement Phase      page 5
•   3 Analyze Phase          page
•   4 Implementation Phase   page
•   5 Control Phase          page
•   Appendix                 page

11/28/2011                            2
Learn six sigma Black Belt Project

              Operational Definitions
• Lifestyle- Current day to day spending habits based on
  available income
• Budget- Spending limits based on reduced income
• Habits- Normal routines of living, both good and bad
• Assessment- Separating true (real) needs versus wants
• Routine- Establishing “new” goals and a focus on a
  long range purpose
• Temporary Condition- Un-planned expenses and time
  commitments, i.e., house fire, illness, car
  repairs, family problems, etc.
• Normal- Lower living conditions “permanently”
 11/28/2011                                            3
Executive Summary
• Project Wins!                         • Project Timing
• Improved <primary metric> from        • Start Date: 5/13/11
  $6K/mo to $2K/mo                      • End Date: 9/13/11
• Reduced stress, less worry
• Less time to focus on more            • Graphs
  important opportunity to share        • A)Primary metric before $6k/mo
  with others lessons learned             VS. after ($2k/mo)
                                        • B) Root cause analysis: fish bone
                                        • Control chart- split before vs.
                                          after
• Context
• Potential loss of control resulting
  in possible foreclosure/ eviction
  and homelessness



11/28/2011                                                                    4
1)Define Phase
• Voice of customer
  Operational definitions
• Baseline data and performance to customer expectations
• Problem and goal statement
• Project impact pro/con
• Project and communication plan timeline
  (creditor/settlements)
• Tools
• VOC data analysis
• Project charter
• Timeline
  High Level summary
11/28/2011                                                 5
Project Charter
   Problem statement: Total expenses exceed income          Business Case & Benefits:
   by over $4,000/ mo                                       Expectations
   Retirement requires establishing a budget reduction      Less stress and more enjoyment of
   of income from over $6,000.00 per month to within        life with a minimal amount of
   $2,000.00 per month.                                     financial obligations

  Goal Statement:
  Reduce all expenses to $2,000.00/mo
  Identify all subcategories of expenses                 Timeline: Competition 10/8/11
  and brainstorm various possibilities                   Includes tax records from past three
  for reduction                                          years and to be completed within six
                                                         months)
   Scope
   Out:
                                                         Voice of Customer:
   Excludes other income
                                                         Think “outside” of the box with a view of
   Any rental income
                                                         ZERO BASED BUDGETING i.e., no income
   Supplemental income
                                                         and No expenses (starting point)
   Discretionary income
   In:
                                                         Team Members:
   All variable expenses
   All fixed expenses evaluated
                                                         Paul Kovatch, self
   Fixed income sources (recurring only)
                                                         Rick Ames, CPA
                                                         Kayvan Mozaffari, Partner


11/28/2011                                                                                           6
Timeline: Estimated vs. Actual
Projected     Define Phase    Measurement   Analyze   Implementation   Control   Deliver to
              Op Definition                           Phase            Phase     instructor
Activities    Ex Summary      Phase         Phase
              DMAIC
              Approach
              Root cruse      Measure
              Before /After
              Pie chart
              Bar chart
              5/27/11

Month         May 11          June 11       July 11 Aug 11             Sep 11    15 Oct 11


Actual        Control Chart   Plot
              VOC
Activities    SEPOC
&             SWIM
Comments




 11/28/2011                                                                                   7
VOC: Voice of Customer
• Who? Me
• What? Monthly financial obligations “must”
  be reduced to new levels of expected income
• How? Income driven
• Old data to new process to new data
• When? Six month
• Where? Smaller Home Living Conditions
• Why? Necessary Life Style Changes

11/28/2011                                      8
High Level Summary
Misc                 Transportation   Housing
-Credit Cards        -Car Payments    -Utilities
-Entertainment
-Licenses            -Insurance       -Mortgage
-Gifts               -Gasoline        -Taxes
                     -Repairs         -Insurance
                                      -Utilities


Insurance            Food             N/A
-Health
-Life                -In              -Tithe
                     -Out             -Income Taxes


11/28/2011                                            9
Cause and Effect
                            (Fish Bone)
•   Location       Ownership      Square Footage
•   City           Tax            #parking
•   Condo?         Insurance      #Garage
•   Apt?           Rent           #Bath
                                  #Bedrooms

•   Gas            RV? (non op)                         Housing
•   Electric       No insurance   Livings Room          Requirements
•   Water                         Kitchen
•   Trash                         Dinning room
•   Sewer                         Bedroom
•   Cable                         Den
•   Internet                      Patio/BBQ
•   Satellite      Storage        Amount of Furniture
•
•   Utility consumption


11/28/2011                                                             10
•   Insurance       Tolls                 Repairs
 •   Tow
 •   Comprehensive   Teaching
 •   Thief
 •   Fire                                  Age?
 •   Liability                             Service



 •   Lease           4 cylinder   Truck    Local              Transformation

 •   Finance         6 cyl        Car      Long distance
 •   Cash            8 cyl        Hybrid

 •   Car Payment     RV

                     Gas          BusinessTravel (Vacation)



11/28/2011                                                                     11
•   Part time    Furniture   Credit cards   Clothing
•   Business                                Laundry

•   Advertize    Used        Cash           Replacement

•   Cell Phone   New         Payments       Seamstress
                                                            Misc


      License    Birthdays   Books
                             coins          Self
      Shots                  Karaoke        Others

      Food

      Pet        Gifts       Hobbies        Entertainment




11/28/2011                                                         12
•   Life           Heath            Home Insurance Fire

•   Term           Eye              Liability
•   Accident       Dental           Earth Quake
•   AD + D         Long Term care
•                  Disability       ADA
•   Mal Practice   Search           Car Rental            Insurance
•                  Mail             Tow
•   Business       Phone            Comprehensive
                   Copies           Collision
    Umbrella       Loss of Job      Liability
                                    Auto Insurance




11/28/2011                                                            13
•   Others     In



•   Business   Prepared

•   Family     cook

•   Friends    Fast Food   Food

•   Diet       Buffets

•   Exercise   Casual

•   Medicine

•   Diabetes   OUT




11/28/2011                        14
Insert Process Map Here
• Swim Housing
             – Food             Flow Chart

             – Transportation   Value Stream Map




11/28/2011                                         15
SIPOC Template
Supplier         Inputs               Outputs   Customer/Stakeh   Requirements
                                                olders

                            Procces
                            Step 1

                            Process
                            Step 2

                            Process
                            Step 3
                            Process
                            Step 4

                            Process
                            Step 5

                            Process
                            Step 6

                            Process
                            Step 7


    11/28/2011                                                               16
Swim Lane
                       Process Map
                       • Paul Kovatch (Self)
        Customer


             Dept. 1    Housings

             Dept .2    Food



             Dept. 3     Transportation

             Dept. 4
                        Insurance

             Dept 5
                          Miscellaneous

11/28/2011                                                        17
                             Lean six sigma Black Belt /Kovatch
Process Level Map




11/28/2011                       18
Value Stream Map (VSM)




11/28/2011                            19
Measure (Phase)

• Approach to data collection (Tax returns from
  2008-2009-2010 36 months current sample
  period May 2011-Aug 2011 (weekly)
• Approach taken to validate that data was
  accurate (snapshot) 4 months
• Data collection sheet sample (All credit cards and
  cash receipts )
• Baseline Measure 2008
• Comparison of baseline measure to the goal
                 • Past (2008)   Future (2012)

11/28/2011                                         20
Exercise: Baseline Data Capture
                     Since 2008 Tax Records
• All- Cash Receipts
      Checking Accounts
      Credit Cards
      Barter (Excluded)
            To difficult to quantify
      Actual/Not projected

11/28/2011                                    21
Sample Measure Chart




11/28/2011                          22
3)Analyze (Phase)




11/28/2011                       23
Exercise: Hypothesis Statements
                                                Graph to Display or
        Potential X     Hypothesis Statement
                                               Result (True or False)
• Mortgage/ Housing     • Need 2,000 Operate
  Expense                 Capital
• Utility consumption   • Luxuries
• Food In/Out
• Cooking for self
• Transportation
• Job search only
• Insurance
• Minimum Required
  by Law.
• Miscellaneous


11/28/2011                                                          24
Exercise: Hypothesis Statement


•   Null:
•   Income and Expenses are Equal
•   Alternate:
•   Income and Expenses are “Not” Equal



11/28/2011                                25
Sample Analyze Chart
• State Conclusions Here
Difference of $4,000/mo is Mostly;
-Housing
-Utilities
-Credit Cards
-Food out
-Gasoline
-Excess Insurance

11/28/2011                           26
4) Improve (phase)
• Likely topics are
• Approach to prioritizing and selecting
  solutions that eliminated root causes (By
  needs only (Amount) not revelant)
• Forced lifestyle changes (new habits)
• Best (Only) way to avoid spending=keep out of
  store
• Avoid dollar stores and Thrift stores
11/28/2011                                    27
Root Cause and Solutions Matrix
                Solution 1:   Solution 2:   Solution 3:      Solution 4:   Solution 5:
                Housing       Food          Transportation   Insurance     Miscellaneou
                                                                           s
Solution
Owner(s)
Root Cause 1:

Root Cause 2

Root Cause 3

Root Cause 4




11/28/2011                                                                               28
Insert Baseline and Improvement data comparison


• Baseline Data
      – 8K/mo
• Improvement Data
      – Goal ($2K/mo)




11/28/2011                                                     29
5) Control (phase)




11/28/2011                        30
Next Steps
-Continue New spending plan
-Pay bills first when income arrives
-Use shopping lists, coupons, save news paper
-Rotate food, especially frig/freezer and
  boxed/processed items
-Keep busy/exercise
-Less TV/Less snacks

11/28/2011                                      31
Appendix




11/28/2011              32
Lesson Learned




11/28/2011                    33
Project Team
• A Project team was formed to help in the entire project to follow each
  phase of the project.
• The Project team took part in defining the goals, determining hypothesis,
  brainstorming, cause/effect and possible solutions
• Spare Down


      Position           Name                 % Allocated
      Lead               Paul Kovatch         80
      Core Team          Kayvan Mozaffari     5
      Core Team          Rosy Lorenzo         10
      CPA/ Advisor       Rick Ames            5



11/28/2011                                                                    34
Threat vs Opportunity Matrix

               If we “Don’t” Threats Do      If we Opportunities ‘Do’ Take
Short Term     something                     Action
(Less Than 6   -Accumulation of short term   -Balance Budget
Months)        debts.                        -Reduced Stress
               -Increased stress
               -Loss of Financial Control
Long Term
(More than 6   -Unable to Help others        -Improved Lifestyle
months         -Forced change of Lifestyle   -Financial Liberty
               -Foreclosure                  -Potential Residual
               -Possible Bankrupcy           discressionary money
               -Eviction
               -Home lessness

 11/28/2011                                                                  35
Business Case
                      Scenario
• While retirement is inevitable; the date was a moving target
   and seemed to continually be moving farther into the future.
• A Series of events starting with being outsourced (Laid Off)
• -Cancer
• -Totaling a New Car
• Divorce
 And finanlly
• House Fire.
This Prompted the decision to take retirement at age 62.



11/28/2011                                                        36
Problem/Goal Statement
• Problem Statement:
Over the past 3 years my income has been constantly going
  down throught NO fault of my own. My constant efforts to
  reverse the trend have, at best, slowed down the inevitable.
  The current expenses are over $6,000 /mo.
• Goal Statement:
The Future income is only expected to be approximately
  $2,000/mo. Therefore, the budget must be reduced by more
  than 66%



11/28/2011                                                       37
Project Scope
                                100%
                  Inscope                       Out of Scope
-All Variable Expenses            -External Income
-All Fixed Expenses               -Rental Income
-Recurring Income                 -Discressionary Income
-Credit Cards                     -Tithe/Taxes
                                  -Unexpected Expenses




11/28/2011                                                     38
Measure Phase
•   -All Records were collected:
    -Credit Card Statements
    -Bank Statements
    -Cash Receipts
•   -Data for baseline is 2008 taxes
•   -Data collection is three (3)months
       (June-July-August 2011)
•   -Five major categories were identified totaling over 90% of the total budget.
    1.Housing
    2.Food
    3.Transportation
    4.Insurance
    5.Miscellaneous
•   -Monthly expenses vary approximately 8% of annual budget.


11/28/2011                                                                          39
Baseline Data Chart




11/28/2011                           40
             2008    2009    2010
Root cause and solution matrix
                       Solutions
Need (necessity)   Reduce Demand   Shop Around       Status Quo   Want (Luxury)   Eliminate



Housing               *            *             *                                            *

                      *            *             *
Food
                                   *             *                            *               *
Transportation

                                   *             *                            *               *
Insurance
                                   *             *                                            *
Miscellaneous




11/28/2011                                                                                        41
Impact vs Effort
                         Low                                High
                -Reduce Driving               -Reduce Insurance coverages
         LOW
EFFORT




                -Change Eating Habits         -Renegotiate Home Loans
                -Reduce Petty Cash spending   -Negotiate Credit Card
                                              Settlements
         HIGH




   11/28/2011                                                               42
Improvement Process
• Choices:
  1. Eliminate Expenses
  2. Reduce Expense
      -Reduce consuption/demand
      -Negotiate Alternatives
      -Change Provider/source
      -Reduce Expectations
  3. Status Quo
      -Acceptance as Necessity only

11/28/2011                            43
Improvement Data
                     (Before and After)



                                                                  Before
                                                                  After




    Housing   Transportation   Food   Insurance   Miscellaneous

11/28/2011                                                                44
Control Plan
• Monitor plan:
  -Daily Cash Register
  -Weekly Bank Reconciliation
  -Monthly Credit Card Statement
• Response Plan:
  -Emergency recovery requires funds transfer from
  other categories
  -Reserves Only as a last resort, ie;
  IRA, Savings, Credit Cards and Loans

11/28/2011                                       45
Lessons Learned
• -A Real Desire must be present whether self-
  imposed or driven by circumstance
• -Extreme goals limits must be set and effort and
  determination cannot wait
• “Zero-Based” budgeting is very helpful starting
  with No expected income
• -Do Not use current monthly payment contracts
  as a reference point (while they are commitments
  they are a negative goal)
• -”True” success brings residual cash along with
  peace of mind and true financial fredom
11/28/2011                                       46
Summary Statistics




11/28/2011                        47
DAMAGE CONTROL
• UNPLANNED EXPENSES         • CONTINGENCY PLAN

-Hospital Illness            -VA
-Major appliance breakdown   -Alternate Transportation
-Natural disaster            -Landlord
-Loss of Income              -Government assistance
                             -Family support
                             -(prayer for wisdom)

11/28/2011                                               48
Pie Chart total (Before-After)
                     Percentages
             >$6,000/mo               <$2,000/mo

                                               Housing
                          Housing
                                               Transportat
                          N/A                  ion
                                               Food
                          Misc
                                               N/A
                          Insurance
                                               Misc
                          Food
                                               Insurance



11/28/2011                                                 49
Pareto Chart

100
 90
 80
 70
 60
 50
 40
                            6000
 30
                            2000
 20
 10
  0




11/28/2011                    50
Data Collection
• -While most expenses occur annually ie.
  (Insurance, taxes, etc) the expenses are averaged
  monthly.
• -Major decisions/changes were required in order to
  implement drastic cost reductions(i.e, renegotiation
  mortgages , settle credit card accounts and/or cancel
  contracts,etc.
• The most difficult financial decisions required
  assessing lifestyle habits and truly separating needs
  from wants.
• -Ownership of only object brings additional related
  expenses (i.e, automobile, home, pet, etc.)
11/28/2011                                                51
Summary
• The elimination and/or reduction of debt
  obligations brings much more than financial
  satisfaction. The budget burden relieves stress
  and anxiety and may, in fact lead to a
  longer, more healthy life. Priceless!!




11/28/2011                                      52
Major Milestones page 1
• -Housing
    -2008 1st TD from $3,900/mo to $2400/mo Foreberrance
            2nd TD from $450/mo to $230/mo
    -2009 -Default on 2nd TD (Equity Neg 25%)
            -Loan wrote off but not released
            -1st TD refinanced (Neg 200%)
             $1879/mo 35yr fixed 2.2% APR Rewrite
    -2010-Major House fire/Insurance limited
           -2nd TD accepted $14K payoff
            (reconveyance received) Sep 2011
             -Rented unfurnished room $350/mo plus $200/mo
             -Purchased large motor home From IRA


11/28/2011                                                   53
Major mile stones (cont’d) page 2
• Transportation
• 2008- Totaled new car-insurance paid
     (stopped car payments)
      - Purchased used truck from IRA

• Food
             - Reduced restaurant meals out
               (limited to coupons once per week)

11/28/2011                                          54
Major Milestones Page 3
•  Insurance
          2008- Canceled umbrella insurance
                     -Canceled health insurance for VA
                     -Intensive care (8days)
          2009-Reduced auto insurance to liability
                      only.
                     -Cancel term life (hold whole life paid)
          2010-Fire Insurance is paying house insurance
Miscellaneous
          2008-Cat missing
               -Canceled extra phone and satellite TV
               -Lost Job
          2009-Dog Missing
               -Reduced Internet
               -Divorced
          2010- Reduced Cell phone bill (50%)



11/28/2011                                                      55
Major Milestones (cont’d) page 4
•   N/A Items (no change)
•   -Tithe 10%
•   -Taxes 10%
•   -Personal Items
                  •   -Entertainment
                  •   -Gifts
                  •   -Clothing
                  •   -Furniture
                  •   -Education
                  •   -Savings
                  •   -Membership/Subscriptions


11/28/2011                                        56
Contingency Plan
• If the fire insurance funds are enough to cover
  the rebuilding and all permit upgrades the
  rental income ($500x6) $3000/mo should
  more than cover the mortgage payment and
  extra utilities.
• Added bonus=free housing for my self and
  90% tax write off.


11/28/2011                                      57
Before     After              %Decrease

•   Housing              $4400      •   $400        90
•   Food                 $600       •   $300        50
•   Transportation       $450       •   $100        80
•   Insurance            $150
                                    •   $80         40
•   Misc                 $400
                                    •   200         50
•   Credit cards         $500
•   Other N/A            $1000      •   $40         95
                                    •   $800        20
             >$6,000 Employed       <$2,000 Retired (under budget)
                    (over budget)

11/28/2011                                                           58
Expenses
                  Fixed                               Variable


                     -Satellite/Cable   -Phone
Controllable         -Inernet           -Food Out
                                        -Water/Gas/Electric



                     -Mortgage          -Food In
Un-Controllable      -Taxes
                     -Insurance
                     -Trash



11/28/2011                                                       59

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Lean Six Sigma Black Belt 10 02 11 Pauls Version

  • 1. Lean Six Sigma Black Belt Project Certification Financial Repositioning for Retirement Paul Kovatch 9/13/2011 11/28/2011 (714) 488-4350 1
  • 2. Index • Executive Summary • 1 Define Phase page 3 • 2 Measurement Phase page 5 • 3 Analyze Phase page • 4 Implementation Phase page • 5 Control Phase page • Appendix page 11/28/2011 2
  • 3. Learn six sigma Black Belt Project Operational Definitions • Lifestyle- Current day to day spending habits based on available income • Budget- Spending limits based on reduced income • Habits- Normal routines of living, both good and bad • Assessment- Separating true (real) needs versus wants • Routine- Establishing “new” goals and a focus on a long range purpose • Temporary Condition- Un-planned expenses and time commitments, i.e., house fire, illness, car repairs, family problems, etc. • Normal- Lower living conditions “permanently” 11/28/2011 3
  • 4. Executive Summary • Project Wins! • Project Timing • Improved <primary metric> from • Start Date: 5/13/11 $6K/mo to $2K/mo • End Date: 9/13/11 • Reduced stress, less worry • Less time to focus on more • Graphs important opportunity to share • A)Primary metric before $6k/mo with others lessons learned VS. after ($2k/mo) • B) Root cause analysis: fish bone • Control chart- split before vs. after • Context • Potential loss of control resulting in possible foreclosure/ eviction and homelessness 11/28/2011 4
  • 5. 1)Define Phase • Voice of customer Operational definitions • Baseline data and performance to customer expectations • Problem and goal statement • Project impact pro/con • Project and communication plan timeline (creditor/settlements) • Tools • VOC data analysis • Project charter • Timeline High Level summary 11/28/2011 5
  • 6. Project Charter Problem statement: Total expenses exceed income Business Case & Benefits: by over $4,000/ mo Expectations Retirement requires establishing a budget reduction Less stress and more enjoyment of of income from over $6,000.00 per month to within life with a minimal amount of $2,000.00 per month. financial obligations Goal Statement: Reduce all expenses to $2,000.00/mo Identify all subcategories of expenses Timeline: Competition 10/8/11 and brainstorm various possibilities Includes tax records from past three for reduction years and to be completed within six months) Scope Out: Voice of Customer: Excludes other income Think “outside” of the box with a view of Any rental income ZERO BASED BUDGETING i.e., no income Supplemental income and No expenses (starting point) Discretionary income In: Team Members: All variable expenses All fixed expenses evaluated Paul Kovatch, self Fixed income sources (recurring only) Rick Ames, CPA Kayvan Mozaffari, Partner 11/28/2011 6
  • 7. Timeline: Estimated vs. Actual Projected Define Phase Measurement Analyze Implementation Control Deliver to Op Definition Phase Phase instructor Activities Ex Summary Phase Phase DMAIC Approach Root cruse Measure Before /After Pie chart Bar chart 5/27/11 Month May 11 June 11 July 11 Aug 11 Sep 11 15 Oct 11 Actual Control Chart Plot VOC Activities SEPOC & SWIM Comments 11/28/2011 7
  • 8. VOC: Voice of Customer • Who? Me • What? Monthly financial obligations “must” be reduced to new levels of expected income • How? Income driven • Old data to new process to new data • When? Six month • Where? Smaller Home Living Conditions • Why? Necessary Life Style Changes 11/28/2011 8
  • 9. High Level Summary Misc Transportation Housing -Credit Cards -Car Payments -Utilities -Entertainment -Licenses -Insurance -Mortgage -Gifts -Gasoline -Taxes -Repairs -Insurance -Utilities Insurance Food N/A -Health -Life -In -Tithe -Out -Income Taxes 11/28/2011 9
  • 10. Cause and Effect (Fish Bone) • Location Ownership Square Footage • City Tax #parking • Condo? Insurance #Garage • Apt? Rent #Bath #Bedrooms • Gas RV? (non op) Housing • Electric No insurance Livings Room Requirements • Water Kitchen • Trash Dinning room • Sewer Bedroom • Cable Den • Internet Patio/BBQ • Satellite Storage Amount of Furniture • • Utility consumption 11/28/2011 10
  • 11. Insurance Tolls Repairs • Tow • Comprehensive Teaching • Thief • Fire Age? • Liability Service • Lease 4 cylinder Truck Local Transformation • Finance 6 cyl Car Long distance • Cash 8 cyl Hybrid • Car Payment RV Gas BusinessTravel (Vacation) 11/28/2011 11
  • 12. Part time Furniture Credit cards Clothing • Business Laundry • Advertize Used Cash Replacement • Cell Phone New Payments Seamstress Misc License Birthdays Books coins Self Shots Karaoke Others Food Pet Gifts Hobbies Entertainment 11/28/2011 12
  • 13. Life Heath Home Insurance Fire • Term Eye Liability • Accident Dental Earth Quake • AD + D Long Term care • Disability ADA • Mal Practice Search Car Rental Insurance • Mail Tow • Business Phone Comprehensive Copies Collision Umbrella Loss of Job Liability Auto Insurance 11/28/2011 13
  • 14. Others In • Business Prepared • Family cook • Friends Fast Food Food • Diet Buffets • Exercise Casual • Medicine • Diabetes OUT 11/28/2011 14
  • 15. Insert Process Map Here • Swim Housing – Food Flow Chart – Transportation Value Stream Map 11/28/2011 15
  • 16. SIPOC Template Supplier Inputs Outputs Customer/Stakeh Requirements olders Procces Step 1 Process Step 2 Process Step 3 Process Step 4 Process Step 5 Process Step 6 Process Step 7 11/28/2011 16
  • 17. Swim Lane Process Map • Paul Kovatch (Self) Customer Dept. 1 Housings Dept .2 Food Dept. 3 Transportation Dept. 4 Insurance Dept 5 Miscellaneous 11/28/2011 17 Lean six sigma Black Belt /Kovatch
  • 19. Value Stream Map (VSM) 11/28/2011 19
  • 20. Measure (Phase) • Approach to data collection (Tax returns from 2008-2009-2010 36 months current sample period May 2011-Aug 2011 (weekly) • Approach taken to validate that data was accurate (snapshot) 4 months • Data collection sheet sample (All credit cards and cash receipts ) • Baseline Measure 2008 • Comparison of baseline measure to the goal • Past (2008) Future (2012) 11/28/2011 20
  • 21. Exercise: Baseline Data Capture Since 2008 Tax Records • All- Cash Receipts Checking Accounts Credit Cards Barter (Excluded) To difficult to quantify Actual/Not projected 11/28/2011 21
  • 24. Exercise: Hypothesis Statements Graph to Display or Potential X Hypothesis Statement Result (True or False) • Mortgage/ Housing • Need 2,000 Operate Expense Capital • Utility consumption • Luxuries • Food In/Out • Cooking for self • Transportation • Job search only • Insurance • Minimum Required by Law. • Miscellaneous 11/28/2011 24
  • 25. Exercise: Hypothesis Statement • Null: • Income and Expenses are Equal • Alternate: • Income and Expenses are “Not” Equal 11/28/2011 25
  • 26. Sample Analyze Chart • State Conclusions Here Difference of $4,000/mo is Mostly; -Housing -Utilities -Credit Cards -Food out -Gasoline -Excess Insurance 11/28/2011 26
  • 27. 4) Improve (phase) • Likely topics are • Approach to prioritizing and selecting solutions that eliminated root causes (By needs only (Amount) not revelant) • Forced lifestyle changes (new habits) • Best (Only) way to avoid spending=keep out of store • Avoid dollar stores and Thrift stores 11/28/2011 27
  • 28. Root Cause and Solutions Matrix Solution 1: Solution 2: Solution 3: Solution 4: Solution 5: Housing Food Transportation Insurance Miscellaneou s Solution Owner(s) Root Cause 1: Root Cause 2 Root Cause 3 Root Cause 4 11/28/2011 28
  • 29. Insert Baseline and Improvement data comparison • Baseline Data – 8K/mo • Improvement Data – Goal ($2K/mo) 11/28/2011 29
  • 31. Next Steps -Continue New spending plan -Pay bills first when income arrives -Use shopping lists, coupons, save news paper -Rotate food, especially frig/freezer and boxed/processed items -Keep busy/exercise -Less TV/Less snacks 11/28/2011 31
  • 34. Project Team • A Project team was formed to help in the entire project to follow each phase of the project. • The Project team took part in defining the goals, determining hypothesis, brainstorming, cause/effect and possible solutions • Spare Down Position Name % Allocated Lead Paul Kovatch 80 Core Team Kayvan Mozaffari 5 Core Team Rosy Lorenzo 10 CPA/ Advisor Rick Ames 5 11/28/2011 34
  • 35. Threat vs Opportunity Matrix If we “Don’t” Threats Do If we Opportunities ‘Do’ Take Short Term something Action (Less Than 6 -Accumulation of short term -Balance Budget Months) debts. -Reduced Stress -Increased stress -Loss of Financial Control Long Term (More than 6 -Unable to Help others -Improved Lifestyle months -Forced change of Lifestyle -Financial Liberty -Foreclosure -Potential Residual -Possible Bankrupcy discressionary money -Eviction -Home lessness 11/28/2011 35
  • 36. Business Case Scenario • While retirement is inevitable; the date was a moving target and seemed to continually be moving farther into the future. • A Series of events starting with being outsourced (Laid Off) • -Cancer • -Totaling a New Car • Divorce And finanlly • House Fire. This Prompted the decision to take retirement at age 62. 11/28/2011 36
  • 37. Problem/Goal Statement • Problem Statement: Over the past 3 years my income has been constantly going down throught NO fault of my own. My constant efforts to reverse the trend have, at best, slowed down the inevitable. The current expenses are over $6,000 /mo. • Goal Statement: The Future income is only expected to be approximately $2,000/mo. Therefore, the budget must be reduced by more than 66% 11/28/2011 37
  • 38. Project Scope 100% Inscope Out of Scope -All Variable Expenses -External Income -All Fixed Expenses -Rental Income -Recurring Income -Discressionary Income -Credit Cards -Tithe/Taxes -Unexpected Expenses 11/28/2011 38
  • 39. Measure Phase • -All Records were collected: -Credit Card Statements -Bank Statements -Cash Receipts • -Data for baseline is 2008 taxes • -Data collection is three (3)months (June-July-August 2011) • -Five major categories were identified totaling over 90% of the total budget. 1.Housing 2.Food 3.Transportation 4.Insurance 5.Miscellaneous • -Monthly expenses vary approximately 8% of annual budget. 11/28/2011 39
  • 40. Baseline Data Chart 11/28/2011 40 2008 2009 2010
  • 41. Root cause and solution matrix Solutions Need (necessity) Reduce Demand Shop Around Status Quo Want (Luxury) Eliminate Housing * * * * * * * Food * * * * Transportation * * * * Insurance * * * Miscellaneous 11/28/2011 41
  • 42. Impact vs Effort Low High -Reduce Driving -Reduce Insurance coverages LOW EFFORT -Change Eating Habits -Renegotiate Home Loans -Reduce Petty Cash spending -Negotiate Credit Card Settlements HIGH 11/28/2011 42
  • 43. Improvement Process • Choices: 1. Eliminate Expenses 2. Reduce Expense -Reduce consuption/demand -Negotiate Alternatives -Change Provider/source -Reduce Expectations 3. Status Quo -Acceptance as Necessity only 11/28/2011 43
  • 44. Improvement Data (Before and After) Before After Housing Transportation Food Insurance Miscellaneous 11/28/2011 44
  • 45. Control Plan • Monitor plan: -Daily Cash Register -Weekly Bank Reconciliation -Monthly Credit Card Statement • Response Plan: -Emergency recovery requires funds transfer from other categories -Reserves Only as a last resort, ie; IRA, Savings, Credit Cards and Loans 11/28/2011 45
  • 46. Lessons Learned • -A Real Desire must be present whether self- imposed or driven by circumstance • -Extreme goals limits must be set and effort and determination cannot wait • “Zero-Based” budgeting is very helpful starting with No expected income • -Do Not use current monthly payment contracts as a reference point (while they are commitments they are a negative goal) • -”True” success brings residual cash along with peace of mind and true financial fredom 11/28/2011 46
  • 48. DAMAGE CONTROL • UNPLANNED EXPENSES • CONTINGENCY PLAN -Hospital Illness -VA -Major appliance breakdown -Alternate Transportation -Natural disaster -Landlord -Loss of Income -Government assistance -Family support -(prayer for wisdom) 11/28/2011 48
  • 49. Pie Chart total (Before-After) Percentages >$6,000/mo <$2,000/mo Housing Housing Transportat N/A ion Food Misc N/A Insurance Misc Food Insurance 11/28/2011 49
  • 50. Pareto Chart 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 6000 30 2000 20 10 0 11/28/2011 50
  • 51. Data Collection • -While most expenses occur annually ie. (Insurance, taxes, etc) the expenses are averaged monthly. • -Major decisions/changes were required in order to implement drastic cost reductions(i.e, renegotiation mortgages , settle credit card accounts and/or cancel contracts,etc. • The most difficult financial decisions required assessing lifestyle habits and truly separating needs from wants. • -Ownership of only object brings additional related expenses (i.e, automobile, home, pet, etc.) 11/28/2011 51
  • 52. Summary • The elimination and/or reduction of debt obligations brings much more than financial satisfaction. The budget burden relieves stress and anxiety and may, in fact lead to a longer, more healthy life. Priceless!! 11/28/2011 52
  • 53. Major Milestones page 1 • -Housing -2008 1st TD from $3,900/mo to $2400/mo Foreberrance 2nd TD from $450/mo to $230/mo -2009 -Default on 2nd TD (Equity Neg 25%) -Loan wrote off but not released -1st TD refinanced (Neg 200%) $1879/mo 35yr fixed 2.2% APR Rewrite -2010-Major House fire/Insurance limited -2nd TD accepted $14K payoff (reconveyance received) Sep 2011 -Rented unfurnished room $350/mo plus $200/mo -Purchased large motor home From IRA 11/28/2011 53
  • 54. Major mile stones (cont’d) page 2 • Transportation • 2008- Totaled new car-insurance paid (stopped car payments) - Purchased used truck from IRA • Food - Reduced restaurant meals out (limited to coupons once per week) 11/28/2011 54
  • 55. Major Milestones Page 3 • Insurance 2008- Canceled umbrella insurance -Canceled health insurance for VA -Intensive care (8days) 2009-Reduced auto insurance to liability only. -Cancel term life (hold whole life paid) 2010-Fire Insurance is paying house insurance Miscellaneous 2008-Cat missing -Canceled extra phone and satellite TV -Lost Job 2009-Dog Missing -Reduced Internet -Divorced 2010- Reduced Cell phone bill (50%) 11/28/2011 55
  • 56. Major Milestones (cont’d) page 4 • N/A Items (no change) • -Tithe 10% • -Taxes 10% • -Personal Items • -Entertainment • -Gifts • -Clothing • -Furniture • -Education • -Savings • -Membership/Subscriptions 11/28/2011 56
  • 57. Contingency Plan • If the fire insurance funds are enough to cover the rebuilding and all permit upgrades the rental income ($500x6) $3000/mo should more than cover the mortgage payment and extra utilities. • Added bonus=free housing for my self and 90% tax write off. 11/28/2011 57
  • 58. Before After %Decrease • Housing $4400 • $400 90 • Food $600 • $300 50 • Transportation $450 • $100 80 • Insurance $150 • $80 40 • Misc $400 • 200 50 • Credit cards $500 • Other N/A $1000 • $40 95 • $800 20 >$6,000 Employed <$2,000 Retired (under budget) (over budget) 11/28/2011 58
  • 59. Expenses Fixed Variable -Satellite/Cable -Phone Controllable -Inernet -Food Out -Water/Gas/Electric -Mortgage -Food In Un-Controllable -Taxes -Insurance -Trash 11/28/2011 59