A Peek around the Corner - WTF Conference 2010
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On Wall Street, people who can peek around the corner are very valuable. They can see into the future. Here I have laid down a bunch of trends that could unfold. The deck is designed to stimulate thought about what could be.
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A Peek around the Corner - WTF Conference 2010
- 2. DisclaimerDisclaimer justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct GDPGrowth
- 3. DisclaimerDisclaimer justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 4. Over almost a 80% fall since launch of Seacom… ESSAy landed WACS next year bandwidth pricing coming downbandwidth pricing coming down justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 6. Telkom TaxTelkom Tax justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 7. VideoVideo justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 8. VideoVideo justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct VideoVideo
- 9. Demand on networks crazy AT&T’s network is broken because of it (cells on wheels) COWsCOWs justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 10. Mobile will increasingly replace the need for printed tickets QR Codes: Mobile TicketingQR Codes: Mobile Ticketing justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 11. Augmented RealityAugmented Reality justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 12. Facebook and Twitter are paragon examples Cloud ComputingCloud Computing onsite applications = old school justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 13. The rise of behavioural financeThe rise of behavioural finance justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct WallStreetWallStreet
- 14. Stratfor: “South Africa is at high risk of a cold war with Angola” Logic is that Angola’s oil wealth is now tapped and it is significant Also, Angola increasingly appears a Chinese proxy Cold War with Angola?Cold War with Angola? justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 15. Reinventing FireReinventing FireReinventing Fire We know how to save halfWe know how to save half of our oil and gas andof our oil and gas and three-quarters of ourthree-quarters of our electricity at a cost that is aelectricity at a cost that is a fraction of what we arefraction of what we are paying now.paying now. Amory LovinsAmory Lovins Rocky Mountain Institute co-founderRocky Mountain Institute co-founderjustin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 16. Mass production of content Reporting done by bots Editorials will be the only paid for content Media FarmsMedia Farms justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 17. Media Farms: Demand MediaMedia Farms: Demand Media
- 18. Cheap food dependsCheap food depends on:on: 1.1. cheap oilcheap oil 2.2. plentiful waterplentiful water 3.3. constant weatherconstant weather patternpattern global warming aside, price of oil is will increase & big food chain was built on $30 a barrel of oil not $130 FoodFood justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct Emerging EconomiesEmerging Economies
- 19. Voicemail is brokenVoicemail is broken justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 20. Phone Numbers are DeadPhone Numbers are Dead justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 21. Call Centre vs. Contact CentreCall Centre vs. Contact Centre justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 22. “check-in” – earn points – become the “mayor” Geo MarketingGeo Marketing justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 23. geotagginggeotagging justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 24. geotagginggeotagging justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 25. France’s “Joie de Vivre” Index Intended to provide a better measure of GDP (“well being”) More countries looking at other measures of prosperity, such as the Triple Bottom Line (people, profits &planet) Better measure than GDP?Better measure than GDP? justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 26. Challenging “groupthink” on copyright laws Believe copyright impinges on culture Parties in 28 countries around the world The Pirate PartyThe Pirate Party justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 27. “Even if developed countries recover completely in 2010, emerging economies will account for 70 - 75% of the growth in global output ‘for the foreseeable future” New York Times Emerging EconomiesEmerging Economies justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 28. “China’s growth as an economic superpower is increasingly correlated with that of Africa, on which it now relies for 25% of its oil imports, reports the” Financial Mail Emerging EconomiesEmerging Economies justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 29. Jobs of the FutureJobs of the Future
- 30. Search is increasingly giving us what we want, not what we ask for justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 31. Emerging EconomiesEmerging Economies justin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
- 32. justin spratt – heavy chef – 2nd of Februaryjustin spratt – WTF – 20th of Oct
Editor's Notes
- Despite highly paid economists tell us, we really are not good at predicting the future
- FOURTEEN cables landing on the African continent New: WACS, ACE, Main One, Glo1, LION and EIG, SEACOM, TEAMS, EASSy, and the R42bn in spending Increase capacity from 250Gbps to 1.5Tbps (thanks Seacom) to 10Tbps Over capacity?
- COWs – cells on wheels - Was just at SxSW and they had loads of these around the city
- COWs – cells on wheels - Was just at SxSW and they had loads of these around the city
- COWs – cells on wheels - Was just at SxSW and they had loads of these around the city
- Pranav Misty
- Average user has 120 friends; over 5bn minutes spent on it each day and 30mn user update profile per day
- 80% of oil is exported to china