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BUDGET -
     2010
                          Budget is not only for the aam aadmi of bharat
                          But also for mango people of india.
   Restart the PPt
         Overview         U N I O N B U D G E T, F Y 2 0 1 0 - 11
Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget     Government's net borrowing Rs 3,45,010 crore (2010-11.)
mpact on Infra Str.
                       Additional deduction - Rs 20,000 - long term infrastructure bonds for income
 References
      Disclaimer
                        tax payers.
          The End

                          http://static.ibnlive.com/pix/sitepix/01_2009/interim-
                      Unique Identity Symbol – Indian Rupee in line with $, £, €, ¥.
                                                   budget-313.jpg
                      Defense allocation – Rs. 1,47,344 crore .

                      Fiscal deficit - 6.9 per cent in 2009-10 compared 7.8 per cent (previous fiscal.).
BUDGET -
     2010                                                                        Overview


   Restart the PPt
         Overview
                       Tax increments – surprise personal tax front, disposable income
Highlights of UB
                       Reduce Fiscal Deficit – 4.8% Of GDP by 2012, 4.1% of GDP by 2013
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.                                (6.9% of GDP in 2009-10)
 References
      Disclaimer

          The End      Beneficial for FIIs
                       Rs 5400 cr allocated for urban development

                       FM has exercised moderation in rollback of stimulus

                       Rs 48000 cr allocated for Bharat Nirman

                       Rs 66100 cr allocated for rural development

                       Allocation to NREGA raised to Rs 41000 cr

                       To allocate Rs 22300 cr to Health Ministry
BUDGET -2010         Highlights of Union Budget 2010-11(1/4)


   Restart the PPt
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget      Total Expenditure Proposed – Rs. 11,08,749 cr.
mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer        Gross Tax Revenue – approx. Rs. 7,46,651 cr.
          The End
                       Non Tax Revenues – approx. Rs. 1,48,118 cr.

                       Fiscal deficit - estimated 5.5% of GDP at Rs.3,81,408 cr.

                       46% - Total Outlay Planned – Rs. 1, 73, 000 cr. reserved Infrastructure dev.
BUDGET -
     2010                          Fiscal Deficit as % of GDP


   Restart the PPt
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer

          The End




                      Sources: www.ibef.org
                                                         5
BUDGET -
     2010                 Highlights of Union Budget 2010-11 (2/4)


   Restart the PPt
                       Additional banking licenses - private sector players.
         Overview

Highlights of UB       Public Sector Bank Capitalization – Rs. 16,500 cr. (Public Sector Banks) – attain
 Impact of Budget         minimum 8% TIER 1 capital by March 31, 2011.
mpact on Infra Str.
                       Nutrient Based Subsidy policy - fertilizer sector effective April 1, 2010
References
     Disclaimer

          The End      Oil & Fertilizer subsidies – paid in cash not in bonds.

                       Disinvestment process in government owned companies – progress, expected to
                          raise Rs.40,000 cr. during FY2010-11.

                       3G Auction – expected Rs. 35, 000 cr.

                       Central excise duty rate - non-petroleum products increased 8% to 10%

                       Goods and Services Tax - introduce it by April, 2011.
                       Deduction additional amount - Rs.20,000 for tax savings infrastructure bonds.
                       MAT - increased from 15 % to 18 % - book profits.
                       Service Tax – no change.

                                                                                                    6
BUDGET -
     2010             Trends in disinvestment proceed


   Restart the PPt
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer

          The End




                                                 7
BUDGET -
     2010             Growth in total Govt Expenditure


   Restart the PPt
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer

          The End




                          Sources : ICICI Budget Review



                                                          8
2
      BUDGET -
        2010                Highlights of Union Budget 2010-11 (3/4)


      Restart the PPt
           Overview         WIDENING OF TAX SLABS FOR INDIVIDUAL TAXPAYERS AS
Highlights of UB                                       SHOWN BELOW.
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.                FY 2009-10                              FY 2010-11
References
     Disclaimer
                          Income upto Rs 1.6 lakh        Nil      Income upto Rs 1.6 lakh      Nil
            The End
                        Income from Rs 1.6 lakh-Rs.3    10%    Income from Rs 1.6 lakh-Rs.5    10%
                                   lakh                                   lakh
                        Income from Rs.3 lakh - Rs.5    20%    Income from Rs.5 lakh - Rs. 8   20%
                                   lakh                                   lakh
                          Income above Rs. 5 lakh       30%      Income above Rs. 8 lakh       30%
BUDGET -
     2010             Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget

                      Sectors (Click On Sector Name)   Impact
   Restart the PPt
         Overview     Automobile                       Positive
Highlights of UB      Consumer Durables                Positive
 Impact of Budget     Retail                           Positive
mpact on Infra Str.
                      Banking                          Positive
References
     Disclaimer

          The End
                      Infrastructures                  Neutral
                      Fertilizers                      Positive
                      Oil & Gas                        Positive
                      Ferrous Metals                   Neutral
                      Non-Ferrous Metals               Neutral
                      Textiles                         Neutral
                      IT & ITES                        Negative
                      Real Estates                     Negative
                      Telecom                          Negative
                      Health Care & Pharmaceuticals    Marginally Positive
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Automobile                         Positive
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer        The auto sector has seen significant rise in sales and the 22% rise in
          The End       sales for April-December 2009 period over the previous year.
                       The partial roll back of stimulus measures is anticipated very
                        much and so, the rise in excise duty from 8 to 10% across board
                        and from 20% to 22% for SUVs and MUVs has already been priced
                        in the stock prices.
                       The hike in excise duty on petrol and diesel may weigh negative on
                        the auto industry as such. But the rise in disposable income for the
                        consumer is expected to more than compensate for the above
                        negative factors as the demand for passenger vehicles and two
                        wheelers rises.
                       Neutral for stocks like Ashok Leyland, Mahindra & Mahindra.
                       Positive for stocks like Hero Honda, Bajaj, Maruti.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Consumer Durables                  Positive
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer        As stated above the budgetary measures are the most positive
          The End
                         for consumer durables as the discretionary income raises in the
                         hands of the consumer and so does he spend more on
                         household appliances and other consumer durables.
                       The central excise duty on LED lights to be reduced from 8 per cent
                         to 4 per cent at par with Compact Fluorescent Lamps.
                       Effect: Positive for stocks like LG electronics, Whirlpool, SAMSUNG,
                         MIRC Electronics, MIC Electronics .
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Retail                           Positive
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer        The latter half of FY2009-10 saw recovery in consumer
          The End       spending at organized retail as the footfalls and same store
                        sales for the major companies started to rise.
                       The latest budgetary measures which put more disposable income
                        in the hands of upper middle class/rich consumer by widening the
                        tax slabs and thus letting them spend more on consumer
                        durables mostly through organized retail would prove to be a shot
                        in the arm for the recovering industry.
                       The implementation of GST would also help the industry as it cuts
                        down their operating costs due to easier movement of retail
                        products across state borders.
                       Positive for stocks like Pantaloon, Koutons Retail, Shoppers stop.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Banking                           Positive
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.    Government’s proposal of infusing Rs.16,500 cr into Public Sector
References
     Disclaimer         Banks to help banks maintain 8% tier 1 capital by March 2011 turns
          The End       out to be a real positive for PSBs.
                       The extension of bank loan repayment periods for farmers by 6
                        more months to Sep 2010 would help delay the recognition of
                        such loans as NPAs but may not make much of a difference to
                        books of the banks. The interest subvention on farm loans will
                        improve the quality of such assets.
                       The government has increased its emphasis on infrastructure
                        financing as the disbursements from IIFCL are expected to rise to
                        Rs.20,000 cr by end of FY2010-11.
                       Eeffect: Positive for PSBs especially DENA, Bank of Maharashtra.
                       The proposal of giving additional banking licenses to NBFC would
                        help such NBFCs raise low cost capital and help grow their business.
                       Positive for NBFCs like Reliance Capital, IFCI, IDFC.
BUDGET -
     2010               Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Infrastructure                  Overall Effect: Neutral
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.    46% of the total plan allocation to about Rs.173552 crs is
References
     Disclaimer         provided for infrastructure development in FY2010-11.
          The End      IIFCL’s disbursements are expected to reach Rs.20,000 cr by
                        March 2011 from Rs.9000 cr in March 2010 and refinancing of
                        infrastructure projects to increase to Rs. 6000 cr.
                       The additional tax savings of Rs.20,000 by investing in long-
                        term infrastructure bonds would mobilize more funds for the
                        sector.
                       The government has continued its thrust on rural infrastructure
                        projects as Rs.48000 cr has been allocated under Bharat Nirman
                        Programme.
                       The MAT being increased from 15% to 18% for FY2010-11
                        may weigh negative on many players carrying out BOT projects.
BUDGET -
     2010               Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Infrastructure                 Overall Effect: Neutral
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                      Roads :
          The End
                       13% has been increased in allocation to road transport from
                        Rs.17520 cr to Rs.19,894 cr.
                       The payment of import duty on depreciated value rather than
                        the original value of resale machinery and the complete
                        exemption of import duty to special machinery will reduce the
                        overall capex for the players.
                       Marginally Positive for players like L&T, HCC, Reliance
                        Infrastructure, IVRCL Infra, Gammon India, Nagarjuna
                        Constructions.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Infrastructure                   Overall Effect: Neutral
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                      The Power :
          The End
                       Plan allocation for power sector excluding RGGVY (Rajiv Gandhi
                        Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojna) increased 130% from Rs.2230 crore
                        in 2009-10 to Rs.5,130 crore in 2010-11.
                       The government strengthened its stand for cleaner energy as it
                        increased its outlay for New and Renewable energy by 61% to
                        Rs.1000cr in 2010-11. And a clean energy cess is levied on
                        domestically produced coal of Rs.50/tonne as well as on imported
                        coal.
                       Effect is Positive for players using renewable energy like Suzlon.
                        Marginally negative for other power utilities.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Infrastructure                    Overall Effect: Neutral
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                      Housing :
          The End
                       The allocation for Rajiv Awas Yojana has been increased from
                        Rs.150 cr last year to Rs.1270 cr in FY2010-11. Significant rise in
                        allocation of Rs.1270 cr for Rajiv Awas Yojna as compared to RS.150
                        cr last year.
                       The extension of the scheme where 1% interest subvention is given
                        on housing loan upto Rs.10 lakh would help the low-cost housing
                        industry.
                       This would help players taking up slum rehabilitation works and
                        low cost housing. Positive for companies such as HDIL, Omaxe etc.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Fertilizers                       Positive
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer        The government has declared the subsidy in the form of cash
          The End       contrary to the subsidy payment as done previously. This would
                        help the companies to manage their working capital better.
                       The government has reiterated the implementation of nutrient
                        based subsidy scheme starting April 1,2010 and also ensured that
                        the complex fertilizer prices would remain constant post the NBS at
                        the present levels.
                       Importantly, the measures announced in favor of agriculture sector
                        like interest subvention for farmers would help improve
                        agricultural activity which in-turn would improve the demand for
                        fertilizers.
                       Positive for stocks like Nagarjuna Fertilizers, Chambal Fertilizers,
                        GSFC.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Oil & Gas                          Neutral/Positive for
         Overview
                                                          OMCs
Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.
                       The government’s move to restore the basic duty of 5 per cent on
References
     Disclaimer         crude petroleum would hurt the refining margins of the domestic
          The End       refiners and is especially negative to private refiners.
                       Restoration of 7.5 per cent duty on diesel and petrol and 10 per cent
                        on other refined products would provide duty protection for the oil
                        marketing companies.
                       The Central Excise duty on petrol and diesel is enhanced by Re.1 per
                        litre each but the effect on OMCs is neutral as such hike is passed on
                        to the customer through higher retail prices.
                       The government has announced that the subsidy would be
                        distributed in cash to the oil marketing companies and this will
                        improve the cash flows for the oil marketing PSUs.
                       The increase in MAT rate may weigh negative on RIL. Overall effect
                        is positive for oil marketing companies like HPCL, BPCL, Indian Oil
                        .Neutral for oil exploration companies like ONGC, Oil India, Cairn
                        and negative for private refiners like RIL..
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Ferrous Metals                      Neutral
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                       The increase in excise duty on all ferrous products from 8% to 10%
          The End
                        as a part of the partial roll back in stimulus is expected to be passed
                        on to the end consumer by hiking the prices. Even the increase in
                        manufacturing cost due to levy of cess of Rs.50/tonne on coal is also
                        expected to be reflected in the price rise.
                       The smaller players may have to take a slight hit on the margin
                        front considering the rise in raw material cost. But, the increased
                        outlay for infrastructure investment and improved emphasis on
                        housing is expected to drive the demand for steel going forward and
                        this can compensate for the rise in costs to a greater extent.
                       Overall effect is neutral for the steel players like Tata Steel, Jindal
                        Steel.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Non-Ferrous Metals                 Neutral
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                       Here it’s the same case as it is with the ferrous metals. The rise in
          The End
                         excise duty from 8% to 10% is expected to be passed on to the end-
                         customer and even the same applies to the levy of cess on coal.
                       And the 46% planned outlay on infrastructure investment
                         would create demand that could absorb the rise in prices.
                       So, overall effect is neutral for the non-ferrous manufacturers
                         like Nalco, Hindalco, Sterlite, Hindusthan Zinc.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Textile                               Neutral
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                       The 2% interest subvention on pre-shipment credit is extended for
          The End
                         1 more year upto March 31, 2011 which would help small scale
                         exporters save on interest costs.
                       The excise duty on man made fibre and yarn is increased to 10%
                         from 8% but the resultant rise in price is expected to be absorbed
                         by better demand.
                       The overall effect on the sector is neutral.
BUDGET -
     2010               Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     IT & ITES                           Negative
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                       The government in its Union Budget FY2010-11 has announced the
          The End
                         hike in MAT rate from 15% to 18%. As most of the IT companies pay
                         taxes at the MAT rate on their book profits, the 300 basis points
                         hike is expected to affect their net margins negatively.
                       The significant rise in government spending on IT & IT related
                         projects is expected to generate decent business opportunities for
                         the firms focused on domestic market.
                       But the overall effect is negative as the 3% rise in MAT may
                         more than compensate for any positive for the industry from the
                         budget. Negative for companies like Infosys, Tcs, Wipro.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Real Estate                        Negative
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                       Extending of interest subvention of 1% for loans upto Rs.10 lakh for
          The End
                         low cost housing for one more year would help sustain more
                         demand in this category.
                       The budget announces that the service tax would be levied on
                         renting of property with retrospective effect from June 1, 2007.
                       New tax schemes are going to dent the profits of the real estate
                         players if they can’t be passed on to the customer completely. Even
                         any price rise would hurt the demand for the already ailing sector.
                       Overall effect is negative for real estate stocks like DLF, Anant
                         Raj, Unitech, Shobha Developers.
BUDGET -
     2010                  Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt        Telecom                           Negative
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer
                       The 3% rise in MAT rate in the union budget is expected to decline
          The End
                           the net profit margins of the telecom majors.
                       Negative for companies such as Bharti, Airtel, RCOM.
                       Earning of telecom companies like bharti , Idea and Rcom by 2-3%.
                          Mobile phones :

                       The exemption of basic, CVD and special additional duties on
                           domestically manufactured mobile phone accessories is to be
                           extended till March 31, 2011 and the existing exemption is now
                           being extended to parts of battery chargers and hands-free
                           headphones.       These   measures would encourage the domestic
                           manufacture of such items.
BUDGET -
     2010                Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget


   Restart the PPt     Health Cares &                    Marginally Positive
         Overview
                       Pharmaceuticals
Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

References
     Disclaimer        Customs duty reduced from 7.5% to 5% on all medical devices
          The End       and they even attract no countervailing duty. Also, the import
                        duty exempted on specified inputs used for the manufacture of
                        orthopedic implants.
                       Weighted deduction on expenditure incurred on in-house R&D,
                        enhanced from 150 per cent to 200 percent. Weighted deduction
                        on payments made to National Laboratories, research
                        associations, colleges, universities and other institutions, for
                        scientific research enhanced from 125 per cent to 175 per cent.
                       Positive for companies like Dr. Reddy’s Labs, Ranbaxy Labs, Cipla
                        etc.
                       But here again the increase in MAT would have slight negative effect
                        for many pharmaceutical players and in-turn would offset the
                        positive takeaways for the sector from the budget.
BUDGET -
     2010                                             References

   Restart the PPt
         Overview     www.planningcommission.org
Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.     www.ibef.org
References
     Disclaimer

          The End


                           www.icicidirect.com


                             Business & economy


                                Times of India / Economic
                                Times

                                                             28
Restart the PPt
         Overview

Highlights of UB
 Impact of Budget

mpact on Infra Str.

        Disclaimer

          The End

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Jonty Final Budge Ppt

  • 1.
  • 2. BUDGET - 2010 Budget is not only for the aam aadmi of bharat But also for mango people of india. Restart the PPt Overview U N I O N B U D G E T, F Y 2 0 1 0 - 11 Highlights of UB Impact of Budget Government's net borrowing Rs 3,45,010 crore (2010-11.) mpact on Infra Str.  Additional deduction - Rs 20,000 - long term infrastructure bonds for income References Disclaimer tax payers. The End http://static.ibnlive.com/pix/sitepix/01_2009/interim- Unique Identity Symbol – Indian Rupee in line with $, £, €, ¥. budget-313.jpg Defense allocation – Rs. 1,47,344 crore . Fiscal deficit - 6.9 per cent in 2009-10 compared 7.8 per cent (previous fiscal.).
  • 3. BUDGET - 2010 Overview Restart the PPt Overview  Tax increments – surprise personal tax front, disposable income Highlights of UB  Reduce Fiscal Deficit – 4.8% Of GDP by 2012, 4.1% of GDP by 2013 Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. (6.9% of GDP in 2009-10) References Disclaimer The End  Beneficial for FIIs  Rs 5400 cr allocated for urban development  FM has exercised moderation in rollback of stimulus  Rs 48000 cr allocated for Bharat Nirman  Rs 66100 cr allocated for rural development  Allocation to NREGA raised to Rs 41000 cr  To allocate Rs 22300 cr to Health Ministry
  • 4. BUDGET -2010 Highlights of Union Budget 2010-11(1/4) Restart the PPt Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget  Total Expenditure Proposed – Rs. 11,08,749 cr. mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  Gross Tax Revenue – approx. Rs. 7,46,651 cr. The End  Non Tax Revenues – approx. Rs. 1,48,118 cr.  Fiscal deficit - estimated 5.5% of GDP at Rs.3,81,408 cr.  46% - Total Outlay Planned – Rs. 1, 73, 000 cr. reserved Infrastructure dev.
  • 5. BUDGET - 2010 Fiscal Deficit as % of GDP Restart the PPt Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer The End Sources: www.ibef.org 5
  • 6. BUDGET - 2010 Highlights of Union Budget 2010-11 (2/4) Restart the PPt  Additional banking licenses - private sector players. Overview Highlights of UB  Public Sector Bank Capitalization – Rs. 16,500 cr. (Public Sector Banks) – attain Impact of Budget minimum 8% TIER 1 capital by March 31, 2011. mpact on Infra Str.  Nutrient Based Subsidy policy - fertilizer sector effective April 1, 2010 References Disclaimer The End  Oil & Fertilizer subsidies – paid in cash not in bonds.  Disinvestment process in government owned companies – progress, expected to raise Rs.40,000 cr. during FY2010-11.  3G Auction – expected Rs. 35, 000 cr.  Central excise duty rate - non-petroleum products increased 8% to 10%  Goods and Services Tax - introduce it by April, 2011.  Deduction additional amount - Rs.20,000 for tax savings infrastructure bonds.  MAT - increased from 15 % to 18 % - book profits.  Service Tax – no change. 6
  • 7. BUDGET - 2010 Trends in disinvestment proceed Restart the PPt Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer The End 7
  • 8. BUDGET - 2010 Growth in total Govt Expenditure Restart the PPt Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer The End Sources : ICICI Budget Review 8
  • 9. 2 BUDGET - 2010 Highlights of Union Budget 2010-11 (3/4) Restart the PPt Overview WIDENING OF TAX SLABS FOR INDIVIDUAL TAXPAYERS AS Highlights of UB SHOWN BELOW. Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11 References Disclaimer Income upto Rs 1.6 lakh Nil Income upto Rs 1.6 lakh Nil The End Income from Rs 1.6 lakh-Rs.3 10% Income from Rs 1.6 lakh-Rs.5 10% lakh lakh Income from Rs.3 lakh - Rs.5 20% Income from Rs.5 lakh - Rs. 8 20% lakh lakh Income above Rs. 5 lakh 30% Income above Rs. 8 lakh 30%
  • 10. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Sectors (Click On Sector Name) Impact Restart the PPt Overview Automobile Positive Highlights of UB Consumer Durables Positive Impact of Budget Retail Positive mpact on Infra Str. Banking Positive References Disclaimer The End Infrastructures Neutral Fertilizers Positive Oil & Gas Positive Ferrous Metals Neutral Non-Ferrous Metals Neutral Textiles Neutral IT & ITES Negative Real Estates Negative Telecom Negative Health Care & Pharmaceuticals Marginally Positive
  • 11. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Automobile Positive Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  The auto sector has seen significant rise in sales and the 22% rise in The End sales for April-December 2009 period over the previous year.  The partial roll back of stimulus measures is anticipated very much and so, the rise in excise duty from 8 to 10% across board and from 20% to 22% for SUVs and MUVs has already been priced in the stock prices.  The hike in excise duty on petrol and diesel may weigh negative on the auto industry as such. But the rise in disposable income for the consumer is expected to more than compensate for the above negative factors as the demand for passenger vehicles and two wheelers rises.  Neutral for stocks like Ashok Leyland, Mahindra & Mahindra.  Positive for stocks like Hero Honda, Bajaj, Maruti.
  • 12. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Consumer Durables Positive Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  As stated above the budgetary measures are the most positive The End for consumer durables as the discretionary income raises in the hands of the consumer and so does he spend more on household appliances and other consumer durables.  The central excise duty on LED lights to be reduced from 8 per cent to 4 per cent at par with Compact Fluorescent Lamps.  Effect: Positive for stocks like LG electronics, Whirlpool, SAMSUNG, MIRC Electronics, MIC Electronics .
  • 13. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Retail Positive Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  The latter half of FY2009-10 saw recovery in consumer The End spending at organized retail as the footfalls and same store sales for the major companies started to rise.  The latest budgetary measures which put more disposable income in the hands of upper middle class/rich consumer by widening the tax slabs and thus letting them spend more on consumer durables mostly through organized retail would prove to be a shot in the arm for the recovering industry.  The implementation of GST would also help the industry as it cuts down their operating costs due to easier movement of retail products across state borders.  Positive for stocks like Pantaloon, Koutons Retail, Shoppers stop.
  • 14. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Banking Positive Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str.  Government’s proposal of infusing Rs.16,500 cr into Public Sector References Disclaimer Banks to help banks maintain 8% tier 1 capital by March 2011 turns The End out to be a real positive for PSBs.  The extension of bank loan repayment periods for farmers by 6 more months to Sep 2010 would help delay the recognition of such loans as NPAs but may not make much of a difference to books of the banks. The interest subvention on farm loans will improve the quality of such assets.  The government has increased its emphasis on infrastructure financing as the disbursements from IIFCL are expected to rise to Rs.20,000 cr by end of FY2010-11.  Eeffect: Positive for PSBs especially DENA, Bank of Maharashtra.  The proposal of giving additional banking licenses to NBFC would help such NBFCs raise low cost capital and help grow their business.  Positive for NBFCs like Reliance Capital, IFCI, IDFC.
  • 15. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Infrastructure Overall Effect: Neutral Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str.  46% of the total plan allocation to about Rs.173552 crs is References Disclaimer provided for infrastructure development in FY2010-11. The End  IIFCL’s disbursements are expected to reach Rs.20,000 cr by March 2011 from Rs.9000 cr in March 2010 and refinancing of infrastructure projects to increase to Rs. 6000 cr.  The additional tax savings of Rs.20,000 by investing in long- term infrastructure bonds would mobilize more funds for the sector.  The government has continued its thrust on rural infrastructure projects as Rs.48000 cr has been allocated under Bharat Nirman Programme.  The MAT being increased from 15% to 18% for FY2010-11 may weigh negative on many players carrying out BOT projects.
  • 16. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Infrastructure Overall Effect: Neutral Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer Roads : The End  13% has been increased in allocation to road transport from Rs.17520 cr to Rs.19,894 cr.  The payment of import duty on depreciated value rather than the original value of resale machinery and the complete exemption of import duty to special machinery will reduce the overall capex for the players.  Marginally Positive for players like L&T, HCC, Reliance Infrastructure, IVRCL Infra, Gammon India, Nagarjuna Constructions.
  • 17. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Infrastructure Overall Effect: Neutral Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer The Power : The End  Plan allocation for power sector excluding RGGVY (Rajiv Gandhi Grameen Vidyutikaran Yojna) increased 130% from Rs.2230 crore in 2009-10 to Rs.5,130 crore in 2010-11.  The government strengthened its stand for cleaner energy as it increased its outlay for New and Renewable energy by 61% to Rs.1000cr in 2010-11. And a clean energy cess is levied on domestically produced coal of Rs.50/tonne as well as on imported coal.  Effect is Positive for players using renewable energy like Suzlon. Marginally negative for other power utilities.
  • 18. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Infrastructure Overall Effect: Neutral Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer Housing : The End  The allocation for Rajiv Awas Yojana has been increased from Rs.150 cr last year to Rs.1270 cr in FY2010-11. Significant rise in allocation of Rs.1270 cr for Rajiv Awas Yojna as compared to RS.150 cr last year.  The extension of the scheme where 1% interest subvention is given on housing loan upto Rs.10 lakh would help the low-cost housing industry.  This would help players taking up slum rehabilitation works and low cost housing. Positive for companies such as HDIL, Omaxe etc.
  • 19. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Fertilizers Positive Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  The government has declared the subsidy in the form of cash The End contrary to the subsidy payment as done previously. This would help the companies to manage their working capital better.  The government has reiterated the implementation of nutrient based subsidy scheme starting April 1,2010 and also ensured that the complex fertilizer prices would remain constant post the NBS at the present levels.  Importantly, the measures announced in favor of agriculture sector like interest subvention for farmers would help improve agricultural activity which in-turn would improve the demand for fertilizers.  Positive for stocks like Nagarjuna Fertilizers, Chambal Fertilizers, GSFC.
  • 20. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Oil & Gas Neutral/Positive for Overview OMCs Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str.  The government’s move to restore the basic duty of 5 per cent on References Disclaimer crude petroleum would hurt the refining margins of the domestic The End refiners and is especially negative to private refiners.  Restoration of 7.5 per cent duty on diesel and petrol and 10 per cent on other refined products would provide duty protection for the oil marketing companies.  The Central Excise duty on petrol and diesel is enhanced by Re.1 per litre each but the effect on OMCs is neutral as such hike is passed on to the customer through higher retail prices.  The government has announced that the subsidy would be distributed in cash to the oil marketing companies and this will improve the cash flows for the oil marketing PSUs.  The increase in MAT rate may weigh negative on RIL. Overall effect is positive for oil marketing companies like HPCL, BPCL, Indian Oil .Neutral for oil exploration companies like ONGC, Oil India, Cairn and negative for private refiners like RIL..
  • 21. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Ferrous Metals Neutral Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  The increase in excise duty on all ferrous products from 8% to 10% The End as a part of the partial roll back in stimulus is expected to be passed on to the end consumer by hiking the prices. Even the increase in manufacturing cost due to levy of cess of Rs.50/tonne on coal is also expected to be reflected in the price rise.  The smaller players may have to take a slight hit on the margin front considering the rise in raw material cost. But, the increased outlay for infrastructure investment and improved emphasis on housing is expected to drive the demand for steel going forward and this can compensate for the rise in costs to a greater extent.  Overall effect is neutral for the steel players like Tata Steel, Jindal Steel.
  • 22. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Non-Ferrous Metals Neutral Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  Here it’s the same case as it is with the ferrous metals. The rise in The End excise duty from 8% to 10% is expected to be passed on to the end- customer and even the same applies to the levy of cess on coal.  And the 46% planned outlay on infrastructure investment would create demand that could absorb the rise in prices.  So, overall effect is neutral for the non-ferrous manufacturers like Nalco, Hindalco, Sterlite, Hindusthan Zinc.
  • 23. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Textile Neutral Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  The 2% interest subvention on pre-shipment credit is extended for The End 1 more year upto March 31, 2011 which would help small scale exporters save on interest costs.  The excise duty on man made fibre and yarn is increased to 10% from 8% but the resultant rise in price is expected to be absorbed by better demand.  The overall effect on the sector is neutral.
  • 24. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt IT & ITES Negative Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  The government in its Union Budget FY2010-11 has announced the The End hike in MAT rate from 15% to 18%. As most of the IT companies pay taxes at the MAT rate on their book profits, the 300 basis points hike is expected to affect their net margins negatively.  The significant rise in government spending on IT & IT related projects is expected to generate decent business opportunities for the firms focused on domestic market.  But the overall effect is negative as the 3% rise in MAT may more than compensate for any positive for the industry from the budget. Negative for companies like Infosys, Tcs, Wipro.
  • 25. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Real Estate Negative Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  Extending of interest subvention of 1% for loans upto Rs.10 lakh for The End low cost housing for one more year would help sustain more demand in this category.  The budget announces that the service tax would be levied on renting of property with retrospective effect from June 1, 2007.  New tax schemes are going to dent the profits of the real estate players if they can’t be passed on to the customer completely. Even any price rise would hurt the demand for the already ailing sector.  Overall effect is negative for real estate stocks like DLF, Anant Raj, Unitech, Shobha Developers.
  • 26. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Telecom Negative Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  The 3% rise in MAT rate in the union budget is expected to decline The End the net profit margins of the telecom majors.  Negative for companies such as Bharti, Airtel, RCOM.  Earning of telecom companies like bharti , Idea and Rcom by 2-3%.  Mobile phones :  The exemption of basic, CVD and special additional duties on domestically manufactured mobile phone accessories is to be extended till March 31, 2011 and the existing exemption is now being extended to parts of battery chargers and hands-free headphones. These measures would encourage the domestic manufacture of such items.
  • 27. BUDGET - 2010 Sector Wise Impact of The Union Budget Restart the PPt Health Cares & Marginally Positive Overview Pharmaceuticals Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. References Disclaimer  Customs duty reduced from 7.5% to 5% on all medical devices The End and they even attract no countervailing duty. Also, the import duty exempted on specified inputs used for the manufacture of orthopedic implants.  Weighted deduction on expenditure incurred on in-house R&D, enhanced from 150 per cent to 200 percent. Weighted deduction on payments made to National Laboratories, research associations, colleges, universities and other institutions, for scientific research enhanced from 125 per cent to 175 per cent.  Positive for companies like Dr. Reddy’s Labs, Ranbaxy Labs, Cipla etc.  But here again the increase in MAT would have slight negative effect for many pharmaceutical players and in-turn would offset the positive takeaways for the sector from the budget.
  • 28. BUDGET - 2010 References Restart the PPt Overview www.planningcommission.org Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. www.ibef.org References Disclaimer The End www.icicidirect.com Business & economy Times of India / Economic Times 28
  • 29. Restart the PPt Overview Highlights of UB Impact of Budget mpact on Infra Str. Disclaimer The End