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Professor John Middleton
President, Association of Schools of Public Health in the
European Region
Planning for an outbreak of health
What is ASPHER ?
The Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region
(ASPHER) is the key independent European organisation dedicated to
strengthening the role of public health by improving education and
training of public health professionals for both practice and research.
We have 120 member schools of public health in Europe and
associates globally.
We are developing our partnerships with sister public health
organisations in America, Africa, Asia, Australasia and the Arab
world
Public health is :
The science and art of promoting health and wellbeing,
preventing disease and prolonging life through the organised
efforts of society
Acheson 1988, after Winslow 1920, WHO 1948
What is public health?
The public’s health
And
The public system, services and profession
The public’s health
There’s never been a
better, or more
necessary, time to be
in public health
6
23/04/2021
The public’s health: global burden
of disease, corporate anti-health
interest,
Globally, mortality rates have decreased across all age groups over the
past five decades, with the largest improvements occurring among
children younger than 5 years. However, at the national level,
considerable heterogeneity remains in terms of both level and rate of
changes in age-specific mortality; increases in mortality for certain age
groups occurred in some locations.
Countries have saved more lives over the past decade, especially among
children under age 5, but persistent health problems, such as obesity,
conflict, and mental illness, comprise a “triad of troubles,” and prevent
people from living long, healthy lives.
Total deaths in children younger than 5 years decreased from 1970 to
2016, and slower decreases occurred at ages 5–24 years. By contrast,
numbers of adult deaths increased in each 5-year age bracket above the
age of 25 years.
Global burden of disease study, 2017
Global burden of disease deaths- Portugal
Burden of disease attributable to 20 leading risk factors in 2010
expressed as a percentage of global disability-adjusted life-years
Global Burden of Disease Group. www.thelancet.com 2012 380 2245
Diet ≈ 40%
These 10 Corporations Control Almost Everything We Eat
http://www.bmj.com/content/358/bmj.j4443?sso=
12
23/04/2021
Violence, conflict and public
health at home and abroad
The epidemiology of violence
Evidence-based violence prevention: a life course
approach
Asset based community development
Primary, secondary &tertiary prevention role of the
public health community as primary preventers of violent conflict,
through healthy public policies and tackling major social inequalities in
health; and as early reactors, mitigaters and responders to violence.
New public mental health approaches
A role for public health in conflict resolution with
aid agencies, political scientists, theologians and international lawyers
A role for public health educational bodies
A leadership and partnership role for public
health
www.fph.org.uk/uploads/Violence%20report.pdf
Areas of action for the public health
community in preventing violence
Interconnectedness:
conflict over natural
resources: oil, water
Interconnectness: Loss of agricultural land through global
warming, crop failure, food riots, Arab Spring, Syrian war
16
23/04/2021
Planetary health: environment, loss of
biodiversity, food and ecosystems balance,
climate change.
A role for our climate
change special
interest group
•
19
23/04/2021
20
23/04/2021
Coccolithophore (diatom): Produces 50% of the
world’s oxygen
Algal blooms photosynthesising off
south west coast of Wales
Climate
breakdown
is here
now!- 1 fire
• Climate breakdown is
here now!- 2 floods
Indonesia
floods
Climate
breakdown is here
now!- 2 floods
Climate
breakdown
is here
now!- 3
marine life
extinction
23/04/2021 29
Austerity kills
Climate breakdown
Service cuts
Brexiting health
A manifesto for health, J Middleton November 28th 2019
36
23/04/2021
The COVID-19 pandemic
John Middleton [lecture title]
[date]
Global governance
for health
23/04/2021 40
23/04/2021 41
23/04/2021 43
23/04/2021 44
23/04/2021 45
ASPHER COVID-19 task force
Members in 30 countries
Actions:
• Reports on testing
• Masks
• Inequalities
• Second wave and winter planning
• How to count illness
• Basic terms of inequalities in health
• Herd immunity
• Five vaccination statements including the latest
Vaccine internationalism, vaccine passports and
vaccine diplomacy
https://www.aspher.org
/covid-19-task-
force.html
23/04/2021 46
ASPHER COVID-19 task force
Actions :
Public health service functions :
• Contracts with European Health surveillance centre
ECDC for reviewing competencies in infectious
diseases, and vaccinology.
• Young professionals training and project work
• A survey of the work of our member schools in the
pandemic
• Surveys of actions by our schools in delivering teaching,
in person or remotely
• Papers on the erosion of public health
• Support statements for the role of WHO
https://www.aspher.org
/covid-19-task-
force.html
John Middleton [lecture title]
[date]
https://www.aspher.org/d
ownload/413/aspher_stat
ement_on_the_strategic_
use_of_masks.pdf
John Middleton [lecture title]
[date]
https://www.aspher.or
g/download/421/asph
er_statement_on_the_
covid-19_testing.pdf
The new
Global
Network for
Academic
Public
Health- and
our
statement
regarding
the role of
WHO
https://s3.amazonaws.com/ASPPH_Media_Files/Docs/Global+Network+WHO+Statement.pdf
Vaccination
Planning for an outbreak of
health:
ASPHER’s next project : we
want your ideas
Planning for an outbreak of
health:
The public health system,
services and profession
https://epha.org/public-
health-must-be-
strengthened-for-a-
healthy-post-covid-world/
Global governance for health
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
Renew the mandate of the UN and
WHO in globsal health governance
The new Treaty for pandemic
preparedness
Governance
Transparency and information
sharing
Resources and capacity
New continental/WHO regional
structures with response capacity
Ceded authority to supranational
structures
John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health
Planning for an
outbreak of health:
The public’s health
John Middleton [lecture title]
[date]
Upsides
of
lockdown
1 :
Decline in
air
pollution
Upsides in
lockdown 2:
interest in
more active
travel
uild back
etter?
‘Build back’ ?
Working practices and relationships ?
Reducing inequalities? Minorities?
Vulnerable groups? Women? Older
people?
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
https://www.health.org.uk/sites/default/files/upl
oad/publications/2020/Build-back-fairer-the-
COVID-19-Marmot-review.pdf
Build back
Fairer?
John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
Build back
Fairer?
The richest billionaires could
give $139,300,000,000 away
and still be as rich as they
were in 2020. These
billionaires could end global
hunger for about $300 billion.
A fraction of their overall
wealth.
‘Build
back’?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
‘Build back’ ?
To what austerity, poverty and
unfairness? Environmental squalor and
health and wealth for some?
Plan for an outbreak of health….
William Beveridge designed a welfare state
for the UK in the deepest point of the
Second World War.
‘We should regard want,
idleness , ignorance, squalor
and disease as enemies of us
all. That is the meaning of a
social conscience; that we
refuse to make our separate
peace with evil.’
Thank you
John Middleton,
President
Association of Schools of Public Health
In the European Region
John.middleton@aspher.org

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Planning for an outbreak of health

  • 1. Professor John Middleton President, Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region Planning for an outbreak of health
  • 2. What is ASPHER ? The Association of Schools of Public Health in the European Region (ASPHER) is the key independent European organisation dedicated to strengthening the role of public health by improving education and training of public health professionals for both practice and research. We have 120 member schools of public health in Europe and associates globally. We are developing our partnerships with sister public health organisations in America, Africa, Asia, Australasia and the Arab world
  • 3. Public health is : The science and art of promoting health and wellbeing, preventing disease and prolonging life through the organised efforts of society Acheson 1988, after Winslow 1920, WHO 1948
  • 4. What is public health? The public’s health And The public system, services and profession
  • 5. The public’s health There’s never been a better, or more necessary, time to be in public health
  • 6. 6 23/04/2021 The public’s health: global burden of disease, corporate anti-health interest,
  • 7. Globally, mortality rates have decreased across all age groups over the past five decades, with the largest improvements occurring among children younger than 5 years. However, at the national level, considerable heterogeneity remains in terms of both level and rate of changes in age-specific mortality; increases in mortality for certain age groups occurred in some locations. Countries have saved more lives over the past decade, especially among children under age 5, but persistent health problems, such as obesity, conflict, and mental illness, comprise a “triad of troubles,” and prevent people from living long, healthy lives. Total deaths in children younger than 5 years decreased from 1970 to 2016, and slower decreases occurred at ages 5–24 years. By contrast, numbers of adult deaths increased in each 5-year age bracket above the age of 25 years. Global burden of disease study, 2017
  • 8. Global burden of disease deaths- Portugal
  • 9. Burden of disease attributable to 20 leading risk factors in 2010 expressed as a percentage of global disability-adjusted life-years Global Burden of Disease Group. www.thelancet.com 2012 380 2245 Diet ≈ 40%
  • 10. These 10 Corporations Control Almost Everything We Eat
  • 12. 12 23/04/2021 Violence, conflict and public health at home and abroad
  • 13. The epidemiology of violence Evidence-based violence prevention: a life course approach Asset based community development Primary, secondary &tertiary prevention role of the public health community as primary preventers of violent conflict, through healthy public policies and tackling major social inequalities in health; and as early reactors, mitigaters and responders to violence. New public mental health approaches A role for public health in conflict resolution with aid agencies, political scientists, theologians and international lawyers A role for public health educational bodies A leadership and partnership role for public health www.fph.org.uk/uploads/Violence%20report.pdf Areas of action for the public health community in preventing violence
  • 15. Interconnectness: Loss of agricultural land through global warming, crop failure, food riots, Arab Spring, Syrian war
  • 16. 16 23/04/2021 Planetary health: environment, loss of biodiversity, food and ecosystems balance, climate change.
  • 17. A role for our climate change special interest group
  • 18.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Coccolithophore (diatom): Produces 50% of the world’s oxygen Algal blooms photosynthesising off south west coast of Wales
  • 26. • Climate breakdown is here now!- 2 floods Indonesia floods Climate breakdown is here now!- 2 floods
  • 28.
  • 30. Austerity kills Climate breakdown Service cuts Brexiting health A manifesto for health, J Middleton November 28th 2019
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 37. John Middleton [lecture title] [date] Global governance for health
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 42.
  • 45. 23/04/2021 45 ASPHER COVID-19 task force Members in 30 countries Actions: • Reports on testing • Masks • Inequalities • Second wave and winter planning • How to count illness • Basic terms of inequalities in health • Herd immunity • Five vaccination statements including the latest Vaccine internationalism, vaccine passports and vaccine diplomacy https://www.aspher.org /covid-19-task- force.html
  • 46. 23/04/2021 46 ASPHER COVID-19 task force Actions : Public health service functions : • Contracts with European Health surveillance centre ECDC for reviewing competencies in infectious diseases, and vaccinology. • Young professionals training and project work • A survey of the work of our member schools in the pandemic • Surveys of actions by our schools in delivering teaching, in person or remotely • Papers on the erosion of public health • Support statements for the role of WHO https://www.aspher.org /covid-19-task- force.html
  • 47. John Middleton [lecture title] [date] https://www.aspher.org/d ownload/413/aspher_stat ement_on_the_strategic_ use_of_masks.pdf
  • 48. John Middleton [lecture title] [date] https://www.aspher.or g/download/421/asph er_statement_on_the_ covid-19_testing.pdf
  • 49.
  • 50. The new Global Network for Academic Public Health- and our statement regarding the role of WHO https://s3.amazonaws.com/ASPPH_Media_Files/Docs/Global+Network+WHO+Statement.pdf
  • 51.
  • 53.
  • 54. Planning for an outbreak of health: ASPHER’s next project : we want your ideas
  • 55. Planning for an outbreak of health: The public health system, services and profession
  • 57. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
  • 58.
  • 59. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health
  • 60. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health Renew the mandate of the UN and WHO in globsal health governance The new Treaty for pandemic preparedness Governance Transparency and information sharing Resources and capacity New continental/WHO regional structures with response capacity Ceded authority to supranational structures
  • 61. John Middleton: Planning for an outbreak of health Planning for an outbreak of health: The public’s health
  • 62. John Middleton [lecture title] [date] Upsides of lockdown 1 : Decline in air pollution
  • 63. Upsides in lockdown 2: interest in more active travel
  • 65. ‘Build back’ ? Working practices and relationships ? Reducing inequalities? Minorities? Vulnerable groups? Women? Older people?
  • 66. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health https://www.health.org.uk/sites/default/files/upl oad/publications/2020/Build-back-fairer-the- COVID-19-Marmot-review.pdf Build back Fairer?
  • 67. John Middleton:Planning for an outbreak of health Build back Fairer? The richest billionaires could give $139,300,000,000 away and still be as rich as they were in 2020. These billionaires could end global hunger for about $300 billion. A fraction of their overall wealth.
  • 72. ‘Build back’ ? To what austerity, poverty and unfairness? Environmental squalor and health and wealth for some? Plan for an outbreak of health….
  • 73. William Beveridge designed a welfare state for the UK in the deepest point of the Second World War. ‘We should regard want, idleness , ignorance, squalor and disease as enemies of us all. That is the meaning of a social conscience; that we refuse to make our separate peace with evil.’
  • 74. Thank you John Middleton, President Association of Schools of Public Health In the European Region John.middleton@aspher.org