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Has Share-Based Compensation
      Entered the “New Normal” Too?




Cory J. Thompson, CFA – cthompson@srr.com
Jason M. Muraco, CFA – jmuraco@srr.com
Andrew J. Robinson – arobinson@srr.com




    the Great Recession caused many finance professionals to               of share-based payment awards granted. We also investigated
    reexamine their views of risk and return, and even led some            the valuation methods and inputs reporting entities disclosed
    prominent investors to declare a “new normal,” which is generally      with respect to the fair value measurement of share-based
    characterized as a period of low growth and low returns. the new       compensation. the current data (compiled in october 2010) was
    normal has broader applicability as well. Many argue that much         then compared to the data compiled in November 2006 in order
    like the Great Depression, the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009 led   to analyze trends and changes that may have occurred over this
    to a paradigm shift in the way average Americans lead their lives.     volatile time period.1

    It is within this spirit of reexamination and the new normal           our recent review of share-based compensation practices
    that we analyze the trends in current practices in share-based         confirmed a number of our expectations following the review
    compensation. In our valuation practice, we encountered with           performed in 2006, and introduced several new observations.
    increasing frequency over the course of 2010 reporting entities        the results indicate that the new normal applies to share-based
    that required assistance in the measurement of complex share-          compensation. our findings illustrate that share-based payment
    based payment awards. these awards were not the plain vanilla          awards have become a larger component of total employee
    time-based vesting stock options of the past, but rather grants of     compensation. Moreover, while stock options are still the most
    performance awards (e.g., restricted stock or stock options with       widely used form of share-based compensation, there is an
    performance and market condition vesting requirements).                increasing trend for companies to issue restricted stock and/
                                                                           or performance units with performance-based vesting criteria.
    the goal of this article is to investigate whether the new normal      We also found that companies have only slightly migrated from
    has permeated share-based compensation practices. the                  employing closed-form models, such as the Black-Scholes option
    specific analytics performed and discussed herein are largely          Pricing Model (“BSoPM”), to more flexible techniques, such as
    a refresh and extension of an article published by Stout Risius        lattice models and Monte Carlo simulations, when measuring the
    Ross, Inc. (SRR) in the Spring of 2007 (Trends In SFAS 123(R): Is      fair value of traditional employee stock options. the following
    the Black-Scholes Model Still King?).                                  narrative details the observed themes.

    to this end, we reviewed public filings for each component
    corporation of the S&P 500® Index in order to analyze the variety
                                                                           1
                                                                               It should be noted that adjustments were not made to hold the sample companies
                                                                               constant. As such, there may be an element of measurement error related to any
                                                                               reshuffling of the S&P 500® Index between our research dates.


    ©2011                                                                  1
Median Share-Based Compensation Expense Ratios

     5.0%                                                                                       0.7%
     4.5%
                                                                                                0.6%
     4.0%
     3.5%                                                                                       0.5%

     3.0%                                                                                       0.4%
     2.5%
                                                                                                0.3%
     2.0%
     1.5%                                                                                       0.2%
     1.0%
                                                                                                0.1%
     0.5%
     0.0%                                                                                       0.0%
              2005      2006      2007    2008      2009      2010                                             2005         2006            2007       2008          2009            2010

             Share-Based Comp. as a Percentage of S,G&A Expense                                              Share-Based Compensation as a Percentage of Total Revenue


                                                           Source: SRR analysis of share-based compensation for companies in the S&P 500® Index. Based on data as available from Capital IQ, Inc.




employee Share-Based                                                     Share-Based Compensation Expense as a Percentage of Revenue
Compensation expense on
the Rise n n n                                         3.0%

                                                       2.5%
Based on our analytical review and as
                                                       2.0%
illustrated in the above charts, share-
based compensation expense increased                   1.5%
as a percentage of both selling, general,              1.0%
and administrative (“S,G&A”) expense
                                                       0.5%
and total revenue over the past six
                                                       0.0%
years. the historical increase is not a
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surprise given the release of Statement
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of    Financial      Accounting     Standards
                                                                                                                                               Inf




                                                                                                                                                                        mm
                                                                                                                                                                       co
No. 123 (revised 2004) (n/k/a Financial


                                                                                                                                                                         e
                                                                                                                                                                     Tel
Accounting Standards Board Accounting                         2005                   2010                    Source: SRR analysis of share-based compensation for companies in the S&P 500® Index.
                                                                                                                               Based on company and industry data as available from Capital IQ, Inc.
Standards     Codification        topic   718,
Compensation – Stock Compensation
                                                                                            tended to exhibit much less share-based compensation expense
(“FASB ASC 718”)), which requires reporting entities to
                                                                                            as a percentage of revenue.
measure the cost of employee services received in exchange
for an award of equity instruments based on the grant-date                                  What we did find interesting, however, was the flattening trend
fair value of the award (with limited exceptions). Accordingly,                             of share-based compensation expense over the past four years,
FASB ASC 718 requires all public companies to record share-                                 particularly given the varying economic cycles experienced and
based compensation expense on their income statement                                        the volatility in corporate revenue, expenses, and earnings over
(and a balance sheet liability if settled in cash). Intuitively, the                        this time period. the trend suggests that companies within
trend makes sense, particularly as share-based awards are                                   the S&P 500® Index may have “peaked” in regard to their
increasingly employed to align management compensation with                                 utilization of share-based compensation packages within their
shareholder interests.                                                                      organizations. on the other hand, the flattening trend may simply
                                                                                            be attributable to companies successfully adjusting or modifying
Additionally, when we examined share-based compensation
                                                                                            existing and new share-based payment awards in an effort to
practices by industry classification, we were not surprised to find
                                                                                            combat rising expenses.
that the information technology industry is by far the biggest user.
the data also indicates that financials and healthcare companies                            the later theory appears to have some support in the underlying
employ share-based payment awards more so than others (and,                                 data from the S&P 500® Index companies. Specifically, the average
along with information technology, significantly increased using                            contractual term of employee stock option awards (still the most
share-based compensation over the observation period), while                                popular award granted within the S&P 500® Index) declined
companies in sectors such as utilities and consumer staples have

                                                                                            2                                                                                                    ©2011
between 2006 and 20102 from 9.59 years to 9.48 years. Most of
the companies within the S&P 500® Index issued stock options                                                        Analysis of Forms of Share-Based Compensation
with 10-year contractual terms, but a number of companies have                                                         97%      98%
                                                                                                        100%
decreased the term of their options in recent reporting periods.3                                                                                      89%
                                                                                                          90%
Additionally, the ratio of effective term to contractual term has                                         80%
increased from 54% to 57% between the two study dates. All else                                           70%
                                                                                                                                              63%
held constant, a decline in the contractual term results in a lower                                       60%
option value (and thus lower compensation expense). However,                                              50%
this is mitigated by the fact that a decline in the contractual term                                      40%                                                                 37%
often results in a lower effective term for the options, which reduces                                                                                                                              30%
                                                                                                          30%                                                                               27%
value and the time frame over which the options are expensed. the                                                                                                   20%
                                                                                                          20%
latter consideration appears to be less applicable however given
                                                                                                          10%
the upward trend in the effective term to contractual term ratio.
                                                                                                           0%
                                                                                                                      Stock Options            Restricted           Performance               Other
Another         way      companies          can     combat        rising     share-based                                                      Stock/Units           Shares/Units           Share-Based
                                                                                                            2006            2010                                                            Payments
compensation expense is to shift from the issuance of time-                                                Source: Review of the companies included in the S&P 500® Index as of the 2006 and 2010 study dates.

based vesting awards to performance-based vesting awards.
Compensation expense related to performance-based vesting
                                                                                                    Given the continued shift in the type of award grants within
awards is adjusted for the probability that the performance metrics
                                                                                                    organizations from simple, time-based stock options to more
will be met, while time-based vesting awards do not require any
                                                                                                    complex, performance- and market-based awards, one may
probability adjustments, and therefore, typically result in greater
                                                                                                    expect a shift in the general valuation methodologies utilized by
compensation expense all else held constant. As discussed in the
                                                                                                    companies within the S&P 500® Index. Share-based payment
following section of this article, there has been a trend towards
                                                                                                    award valuation methodology observations are discussed in the
the issuance of performance- and market- based vesting awards
                                                                                                    following section.
relative to time-based vesting awards within the S&P 500® Index.
                                                                                                    Flexible Valuation Methods Becoming
Continued Shift in type of                                                                          Increasingly Important n n n
Awards Granted n n n
                                                                                                    In our recent review, there was a slight decrease in the relative use
Companies continue to shift away from solely issuing stock
                                                                                                    of BSoPM to measure the fair value of traditional employee stock
options, and instead are utilizing other share-based compensation
                                                                                                    options (i.e., 85% to 83%). the decline coincides with an increase
awards that have either a time-, market-, or performance-based
                                                                                                    in companies utilizing other techniques, such as lattice (e.g.,
vesting criterion (e.g., restricted stock and restricted stock units).4
                                                                                                    binomial) models or Monte Carlo simulations. In fact, a number
Specifically, the number of companies that indicated an issuance
                                                                                                    of companies within the S&P 500® Index commented within their
of restricted stock increased from 63% to 89% from our 2006 to
                                                                                                    disclosures that the lattice model was a more flexible option than
2010 study. Further, the number of companies that indicated an
                                                                                                    BSoPM in valuing employee stock options. Accordingly, many
issuance of performance awards increased from 20% to 37%
                                                                                                    companies switched from BSoPM to a lattice model at some point
between the two study dates. Please refer to the following chart,
                                                                                                    between the 2006 and 2010 study dates.5
which illustrates the relative use of the varying types of share-
based compensation awards.                                                                          the decline in the use of BSoPM to estimate the fair value of
                                                                                                    employee stock options is consistent with our expectations
overall, nearly all of the companies within the S&P 500® Index
                                                                                                    following our 2006 review. However, the extent of the decline
with sufficient disclosure information (i.e., 96%) issued an award
                                                                                                    is somewhat surprising given the fact that BSoPM is inflexible
other than traditional stock options in their most recent fiscal year.
                                                                                                    with respect to factoring in suboptimal exercise behavior or any
this percentage compares to 76% as of our 2006 review. this
                                                                                                    changes to the inputs (e.g., volatility or dividend yield). In fact, the
is evidence of the fact that companies continue to take steps to
                                                                                                    only way to modify BSoPM to account for early exercise behavior
address the principal-agent problem within their organizations
                                                                                                    is to adjust the effective term assumption.6 Moreover, BSoPM is
and are proactively aligning management compensation with
                                                                                                    not equipped to accommodate changing volatility or dividend yield
shareholder interests.
                                                                                                    inputs over the effective term of stock options.

2
    Throughout this article, results for 2010 are based on the most recent fiscal year end statements available as of the 2010 study date (i.e., the most recent 10K filings). Results for the
    previous years represent data from fiscal year end statements issued in sequential periods prior to the most recent data (e.g., 2008 represents data from the fiscal year end period that
    was two years prior to the 2010 data). This methodology was used to avoid double counting the data.
3
    Companies that decreased stock option terms between the 2006 and 2010 study dates include, but are not limited to, Alcoa, Inc.; AmerisourceBergen Corporation; Bed Bath & Beyond,
    Inc.; Hewlett-Packard Company; SUPERVALU Inc.; Symantec Corporation; and Wellpoint, Inc.
4
    Examples of such companies include Apple, Inc, which discontinued issuing stock options to employees and instead issues restricted stock units, and International Business Machines
    Corp., which began issuing restricted stock units and performance stock units in lieu of stock options in 2007.
5
    These companies include, but are not limited to, Best Buy Co., Inc.; Automatic Data Processing, Inc.; CarMax, Inc.; Staples, Inc.; Comerica, Inc.; and Corning, Inc.


©2011                                                                                               3
performance of the underlying company’s stock price relative
                          Stock Options Valuation Method                                                   to the tSR of a peer group or market index. In fact, nearly 20%
                                                                                                           of the companies within the S&P 500® Index that indicated the
100%
                                                                                                           use of performance-based criteria compared their relative
90%            85%        83%                                                                              performance to that of a peer group or other market benchmark.
80%
                                                                                                           of these companies that reported disclosure, 43% utilized a
70%                                                                                                        Monte Carlo simulation model in their estimation of share-based
60%                                                                                                        compensation expense.
50%
40%
                                                                                                           Conclusion n n n
30%                                                                                                        the increasing trend of compensating employees with share-based
20%                                           14%        15%                                               payments is designed to more closely align the long-term financial
10%                                                                                                        interests of company management with those of its shareholders.
                                                                                  1%        2%
     0%                                                                                                    In a similar vein, companies are gradually moving from issuing
               Black-Scholes                 Binomial/Lattice                     Monte Carlo
                                                                                                           share-based payments in the form of stock options to restricted
      2006             2010
     Source: Review of the companies included in the S&P 500® Index as of the 2006 and 2010 study dates.
                                                                                                           stock or performance awards with vesting contingent upon
                                                                                                           either company-specific, market, or relative market performance.
                                                                                                           Performance criteria often require the company (or its valuation
 the issuance of the Securities and exchange Commission (“SeC”)
                                                                                                           advisors) to use a more complicated valuation model (such as a
 Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 110 (“SAB 110”) in December 2007
                                                                                                           Monte Carlo simulation model as opposed to BSoPM) in order to
 may be somewhat responsible for the continued reliance on
                                                                                                           appropriately measure the fair value and derive the service period
 BSoPM. SAB 110 affirmed that the SeC will continue to accept the
                                                                                                           (i.e., the term over which the awards are expensed) of the share-
 “simplified method” (introduced in 2005) to calculate the expected
                                                                                                           based payment awards.
 term assumption for stock options. the simplified method formula
 (presented below) is an attempt to account for suboptimal exercise                                        In the future, we would expect to witness the continued migration
 behavior in the estimation of fair value.                                                                 from the use of BSoPM to more flexible models as share-based
                                                                                                           compensation becomes (i) less dependent on time metrics and
        Expected Term = [(Vesting Term + Contractual Term) / 2]
                                                                                                           more dependent on performance criteria and (ii) increasingly
 Prior to the issuance of SAB 110, the SeC stated that it would                                            material to reporting entities’ financial statements. Additionally,
 not expect companies to utilize the simplified method beyond                                              while we do not expect companies to abandon the use of
 December 2007 since the expectation was that reporting                                                    stock options (given their straightforward nature and ease of
 entities would be able to rely upon historical exercise behavior                                          measurement), we would expect companies to increasingly employ
 observations instead. SAB 110 “softened” this expectation with                                            awards with performance- or market-based vesting conditions as
 the comment that the SeC staff understands that such detailed                                             companies balance pay and performance with the magnitude of
 information about employee exercise behavior may not be widely                                            compensation expense.
 available by December 2007.
                                                                                                           Cory J. thompson, CFA is a Managing Director in the Valuation
 Despite the continued reliance on BSoPM for traditional employee                                          & Financial opinions Group at Stout Risius Ross (SRR). He is well
 stock options, our recent review of the S&P 500 Index did indicate           ®                            versed in FASB ASC topics regarding business combinations,
 a material increase in the utilization of Monte Carlo simulations for                                     impairment testing, share-based payment awards, and fair value
 complex vesting awards. Specifically, over 10% of the companies                                           measurements and he has experience with the expectations of
 within the index reported the use of a Monte Carlo simulation model                                       financial reporting advisors and regulators. Mr. thompson can be
 to value some portion of share-based compensation expense. this                                           reached at +1.248.432.1319 or cthompson@srr.com.
 trend is tied to the fact that companies continue to issue more
                                                                                                           Jason M. Muraco, CFA, is a Director in the Valuation & Financial
 complex share-based payment awards (e.g., performance-based
                                                                                                           opinions Group at Stout Risius Ross (SRR). His valuation experience
 awards), whereby simplified valuation methods may not accurately
                                                                                                           includes solvency opinions, purchase price allocations, impairment
 reflect the true economic value of the compensation expense.
                                                                                                           testing, equity compensation, going-private transactions, transfer
 An increasingly common example of such an award is a total                                                pricing, and blockage opinions. Mr. Muraco can be reached at
 shareholder return (“tSR”) award, whereby the final payout of                                             +1.216.373.2989 or jmuraco@srr.com.
 an award (e.g., restricted stock or cash) is based on the future




 6
     It should be noted that companies are beginning to use Monte Carlo simulation models to estimate the effective term of employee stock options. These companies include, but are not
     limited to, Honeywell International, Inc. and Weyerhaeuser Co.


                                                                                                           4                                                                               ©2011

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Has Share Based Compensation Entered The New Normal Too

  • 1. Has Share-Based Compensation Entered the “New Normal” Too? Cory J. Thompson, CFA – cthompson@srr.com Jason M. Muraco, CFA – jmuraco@srr.com Andrew J. Robinson – arobinson@srr.com the Great Recession caused many finance professionals to of share-based payment awards granted. We also investigated reexamine their views of risk and return, and even led some the valuation methods and inputs reporting entities disclosed prominent investors to declare a “new normal,” which is generally with respect to the fair value measurement of share-based characterized as a period of low growth and low returns. the new compensation. the current data (compiled in october 2010) was normal has broader applicability as well. Many argue that much then compared to the data compiled in November 2006 in order like the Great Depression, the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009 led to analyze trends and changes that may have occurred over this to a paradigm shift in the way average Americans lead their lives. volatile time period.1 It is within this spirit of reexamination and the new normal our recent review of share-based compensation practices that we analyze the trends in current practices in share-based confirmed a number of our expectations following the review compensation. In our valuation practice, we encountered with performed in 2006, and introduced several new observations. increasing frequency over the course of 2010 reporting entities the results indicate that the new normal applies to share-based that required assistance in the measurement of complex share- compensation. our findings illustrate that share-based payment based payment awards. these awards were not the plain vanilla awards have become a larger component of total employee time-based vesting stock options of the past, but rather grants of compensation. Moreover, while stock options are still the most performance awards (e.g., restricted stock or stock options with widely used form of share-based compensation, there is an performance and market condition vesting requirements). increasing trend for companies to issue restricted stock and/ or performance units with performance-based vesting criteria. the goal of this article is to investigate whether the new normal We also found that companies have only slightly migrated from has permeated share-based compensation practices. the employing closed-form models, such as the Black-Scholes option specific analytics performed and discussed herein are largely Pricing Model (“BSoPM”), to more flexible techniques, such as a refresh and extension of an article published by Stout Risius lattice models and Monte Carlo simulations, when measuring the Ross, Inc. (SRR) in the Spring of 2007 (Trends In SFAS 123(R): Is fair value of traditional employee stock options. the following the Black-Scholes Model Still King?). narrative details the observed themes. to this end, we reviewed public filings for each component corporation of the S&P 500® Index in order to analyze the variety 1 It should be noted that adjustments were not made to hold the sample companies constant. As such, there may be an element of measurement error related to any reshuffling of the S&P 500® Index between our research dates. ©2011 1
  • 2. Median Share-Based Compensation Expense Ratios 5.0% 0.7% 4.5% 0.6% 4.0% 3.5% 0.5% 3.0% 0.4% 2.5% 0.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Share-Based Comp. as a Percentage of S,G&A Expense Share-Based Compensation as a Percentage of Total Revenue Source: SRR analysis of share-based compensation for companies in the S&P 500® Index. Based on data as available from Capital IQ, Inc. employee Share-Based Share-Based Compensation Expense as a Percentage of Revenue Compensation expense on the Rise n n n 3.0% 2.5% Based on our analytical review and as 2.0% illustrated in the above charts, share- based compensation expense increased 1.5% as a percentage of both selling, general, 1.0% and administrative (“S,G&A”) expense 0.5% and total revenue over the past six 0.0% years. the historical increase is not a na r Sta mer y ls are ls hn tion ials rvi n es e erg Se atio ry s gy s cia tria cre um iliti ple ce surprise given the release of Statement hc ter Tec orma u olo En an us ic Ut Dis Cons ns alt tio Ma un Fin Ind Co He of Financial Accounting Standards Inf mm co No. 123 (revised 2004) (n/k/a Financial e Tel Accounting Standards Board Accounting 2005 2010 Source: SRR analysis of share-based compensation for companies in the S&P 500® Index. Based on company and industry data as available from Capital IQ, Inc. Standards Codification topic 718, Compensation – Stock Compensation tended to exhibit much less share-based compensation expense (“FASB ASC 718”)), which requires reporting entities to as a percentage of revenue. measure the cost of employee services received in exchange for an award of equity instruments based on the grant-date What we did find interesting, however, was the flattening trend fair value of the award (with limited exceptions). Accordingly, of share-based compensation expense over the past four years, FASB ASC 718 requires all public companies to record share- particularly given the varying economic cycles experienced and based compensation expense on their income statement the volatility in corporate revenue, expenses, and earnings over (and a balance sheet liability if settled in cash). Intuitively, the this time period. the trend suggests that companies within trend makes sense, particularly as share-based awards are the S&P 500® Index may have “peaked” in regard to their increasingly employed to align management compensation with utilization of share-based compensation packages within their shareholder interests. organizations. on the other hand, the flattening trend may simply be attributable to companies successfully adjusting or modifying Additionally, when we examined share-based compensation existing and new share-based payment awards in an effort to practices by industry classification, we were not surprised to find combat rising expenses. that the information technology industry is by far the biggest user. the data also indicates that financials and healthcare companies the later theory appears to have some support in the underlying employ share-based payment awards more so than others (and, data from the S&P 500® Index companies. Specifically, the average along with information technology, significantly increased using contractual term of employee stock option awards (still the most share-based compensation over the observation period), while popular award granted within the S&P 500® Index) declined companies in sectors such as utilities and consumer staples have 2 ©2011
  • 3. between 2006 and 20102 from 9.59 years to 9.48 years. Most of the companies within the S&P 500® Index issued stock options Analysis of Forms of Share-Based Compensation with 10-year contractual terms, but a number of companies have 97% 98% 100% decreased the term of their options in recent reporting periods.3 89% 90% Additionally, the ratio of effective term to contractual term has 80% increased from 54% to 57% between the two study dates. All else 70% 63% held constant, a decline in the contractual term results in a lower 60% option value (and thus lower compensation expense). However, 50% this is mitigated by the fact that a decline in the contractual term 40% 37% often results in a lower effective term for the options, which reduces 30% 30% 27% value and the time frame over which the options are expensed. the 20% 20% latter consideration appears to be less applicable however given 10% the upward trend in the effective term to contractual term ratio. 0% Stock Options Restricted Performance Other Another way companies can combat rising share-based Stock/Units Shares/Units Share-Based 2006 2010 Payments compensation expense is to shift from the issuance of time- Source: Review of the companies included in the S&P 500® Index as of the 2006 and 2010 study dates. based vesting awards to performance-based vesting awards. Compensation expense related to performance-based vesting Given the continued shift in the type of award grants within awards is adjusted for the probability that the performance metrics organizations from simple, time-based stock options to more will be met, while time-based vesting awards do not require any complex, performance- and market-based awards, one may probability adjustments, and therefore, typically result in greater expect a shift in the general valuation methodologies utilized by compensation expense all else held constant. As discussed in the companies within the S&P 500® Index. Share-based payment following section of this article, there has been a trend towards award valuation methodology observations are discussed in the the issuance of performance- and market- based vesting awards following section. relative to time-based vesting awards within the S&P 500® Index. Flexible Valuation Methods Becoming Continued Shift in type of Increasingly Important n n n Awards Granted n n n In our recent review, there was a slight decrease in the relative use Companies continue to shift away from solely issuing stock of BSoPM to measure the fair value of traditional employee stock options, and instead are utilizing other share-based compensation options (i.e., 85% to 83%). the decline coincides with an increase awards that have either a time-, market-, or performance-based in companies utilizing other techniques, such as lattice (e.g., vesting criterion (e.g., restricted stock and restricted stock units).4 binomial) models or Monte Carlo simulations. In fact, a number Specifically, the number of companies that indicated an issuance of companies within the S&P 500® Index commented within their of restricted stock increased from 63% to 89% from our 2006 to disclosures that the lattice model was a more flexible option than 2010 study. Further, the number of companies that indicated an BSoPM in valuing employee stock options. Accordingly, many issuance of performance awards increased from 20% to 37% companies switched from BSoPM to a lattice model at some point between the two study dates. Please refer to the following chart, between the 2006 and 2010 study dates.5 which illustrates the relative use of the varying types of share- based compensation awards. the decline in the use of BSoPM to estimate the fair value of employee stock options is consistent with our expectations overall, nearly all of the companies within the S&P 500® Index following our 2006 review. However, the extent of the decline with sufficient disclosure information (i.e., 96%) issued an award is somewhat surprising given the fact that BSoPM is inflexible other than traditional stock options in their most recent fiscal year. with respect to factoring in suboptimal exercise behavior or any this percentage compares to 76% as of our 2006 review. this changes to the inputs (e.g., volatility or dividend yield). In fact, the is evidence of the fact that companies continue to take steps to only way to modify BSoPM to account for early exercise behavior address the principal-agent problem within their organizations is to adjust the effective term assumption.6 Moreover, BSoPM is and are proactively aligning management compensation with not equipped to accommodate changing volatility or dividend yield shareholder interests. inputs over the effective term of stock options. 2 Throughout this article, results for 2010 are based on the most recent fiscal year end statements available as of the 2010 study date (i.e., the most recent 10K filings). Results for the previous years represent data from fiscal year end statements issued in sequential periods prior to the most recent data (e.g., 2008 represents data from the fiscal year end period that was two years prior to the 2010 data). This methodology was used to avoid double counting the data. 3 Companies that decreased stock option terms between the 2006 and 2010 study dates include, but are not limited to, Alcoa, Inc.; AmerisourceBergen Corporation; Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc.; Hewlett-Packard Company; SUPERVALU Inc.; Symantec Corporation; and Wellpoint, Inc. 4 Examples of such companies include Apple, Inc, which discontinued issuing stock options to employees and instead issues restricted stock units, and International Business Machines Corp., which began issuing restricted stock units and performance stock units in lieu of stock options in 2007. 5 These companies include, but are not limited to, Best Buy Co., Inc.; Automatic Data Processing, Inc.; CarMax, Inc.; Staples, Inc.; Comerica, Inc.; and Corning, Inc. ©2011 3
  • 4. performance of the underlying company’s stock price relative Stock Options Valuation Method to the tSR of a peer group or market index. In fact, nearly 20% of the companies within the S&P 500® Index that indicated the 100% use of performance-based criteria compared their relative 90% 85% 83% performance to that of a peer group or other market benchmark. 80% of these companies that reported disclosure, 43% utilized a 70% Monte Carlo simulation model in their estimation of share-based 60% compensation expense. 50% 40% Conclusion n n n 30% the increasing trend of compensating employees with share-based 20% 14% 15% payments is designed to more closely align the long-term financial 10% interests of company management with those of its shareholders. 1% 2% 0% In a similar vein, companies are gradually moving from issuing Black-Scholes Binomial/Lattice Monte Carlo share-based payments in the form of stock options to restricted 2006 2010 Source: Review of the companies included in the S&P 500® Index as of the 2006 and 2010 study dates. stock or performance awards with vesting contingent upon either company-specific, market, or relative market performance. Performance criteria often require the company (or its valuation the issuance of the Securities and exchange Commission (“SeC”) advisors) to use a more complicated valuation model (such as a Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 110 (“SAB 110”) in December 2007 Monte Carlo simulation model as opposed to BSoPM) in order to may be somewhat responsible for the continued reliance on appropriately measure the fair value and derive the service period BSoPM. SAB 110 affirmed that the SeC will continue to accept the (i.e., the term over which the awards are expensed) of the share- “simplified method” (introduced in 2005) to calculate the expected based payment awards. term assumption for stock options. the simplified method formula (presented below) is an attempt to account for suboptimal exercise In the future, we would expect to witness the continued migration behavior in the estimation of fair value. from the use of BSoPM to more flexible models as share-based compensation becomes (i) less dependent on time metrics and Expected Term = [(Vesting Term + Contractual Term) / 2] more dependent on performance criteria and (ii) increasingly Prior to the issuance of SAB 110, the SeC stated that it would material to reporting entities’ financial statements. Additionally, not expect companies to utilize the simplified method beyond while we do not expect companies to abandon the use of December 2007 since the expectation was that reporting stock options (given their straightforward nature and ease of entities would be able to rely upon historical exercise behavior measurement), we would expect companies to increasingly employ observations instead. SAB 110 “softened” this expectation with awards with performance- or market-based vesting conditions as the comment that the SeC staff understands that such detailed companies balance pay and performance with the magnitude of information about employee exercise behavior may not be widely compensation expense. available by December 2007. Cory J. thompson, CFA is a Managing Director in the Valuation Despite the continued reliance on BSoPM for traditional employee & Financial opinions Group at Stout Risius Ross (SRR). He is well stock options, our recent review of the S&P 500 Index did indicate ® versed in FASB ASC topics regarding business combinations, a material increase in the utilization of Monte Carlo simulations for impairment testing, share-based payment awards, and fair value complex vesting awards. Specifically, over 10% of the companies measurements and he has experience with the expectations of within the index reported the use of a Monte Carlo simulation model financial reporting advisors and regulators. Mr. thompson can be to value some portion of share-based compensation expense. this reached at +1.248.432.1319 or cthompson@srr.com. trend is tied to the fact that companies continue to issue more Jason M. Muraco, CFA, is a Director in the Valuation & Financial complex share-based payment awards (e.g., performance-based opinions Group at Stout Risius Ross (SRR). His valuation experience awards), whereby simplified valuation methods may not accurately includes solvency opinions, purchase price allocations, impairment reflect the true economic value of the compensation expense. testing, equity compensation, going-private transactions, transfer An increasingly common example of such an award is a total pricing, and blockage opinions. Mr. Muraco can be reached at shareholder return (“tSR”) award, whereby the final payout of +1.216.373.2989 or jmuraco@srr.com. an award (e.g., restricted stock or cash) is based on the future 6 It should be noted that companies are beginning to use Monte Carlo simulation models to estimate the effective term of employee stock options. These companies include, but are not limited to, Honeywell International, Inc. and Weyerhaeuser Co. 4 ©2011