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Treasury Compliance
     Market Abuse
    Code of conduct

Alchemy Technologies (Pvt.) Ltd.
        alchemya.com
  FinanceTrainingCourse.com
Agenda

 Overview

Model Code

  Cases

  Review
Overview
Overview

Market Abuse

 Model Code

 Libor Case
    Study
Framework for
   morality
Who is the treasury regulator?

                • SBP, SECP, CCP
   Local        • FMA & ACI Code of conduct



                • OCC, Federal Reserve, FSA
International   • North American and EU regulations



                • Broadest definition.
  Morality      • How do you teach morality to smart people?
The Gambit – Rational thinking



Expected Payoff    >   Penalty

Expected Payoff   < Penalty
In an imperfect world?
                 • Impact
 Social Costs    • Group behavior

                 • Recognition
Personal Costs   • The desire to get caught

 The cost of     • Direct
being caught     • In Direct

  Regulatory     • Paradigm shift
compensation     • Make an example – The bite & teeth
Themes
                    • Client confidentiality
   Information      • Front running
    Exchange        • Insider trading




                    • Cartel formation
   Collusion &      • Sanctions
   Brokerage        • Pay for flow - Brokerage



                    • Pricing, gouging, miss-selling
                    • Suitability
Misrepresentation   • Truths, False Truths, Silence
                    • Client communication standards
Cases

Misrepresentation   • Margin Call


    Collusion       • FSA Libor Crisis


     Client         • Front Running, Insider
 Confidentiality      Trading
The Pre Test

 Margin Call
Consequence
              • Fines, penalties
 Bank wide    • Loss of license
  impact      • Civil Suit, Class Action Suit


              • Suspension & Termination
Management    • Negative lists
              • Future prospects



              • Suspension & Termination
  Dealers     • Negative lists
Probability of Default - Pre & Post Crisis
80.00%

70.00%

60.00%

50.00%

40.00%

30.00%

20.00%

10.00%

 0.00%
                  1/1/2008               1/1/2009                1/1/2010                 1/1/2011
         Barclays - PD   Royal Bank of Canada - PD   BAML - PD     JP Morgan Chase - PD     HSBC - PD
Probability of Default - Barclays
45.00%
40.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
 5.00%
 0.00%
         1/1/2008           1/1/2009        1/1/2010    1/1/2011
                                       PD
Rajat Kumar Gupta
•   Ranked 15th in Indian Standard Exams
•   HBS Baker Scholar
•   Earliest Indian hire at Mckinsey
•   Made partner in 8 years
•   Estimated Net worth US$ 130 million
•   Goldman, P&G, Gates Foundation, Indian School
    of Business

• Expected Sentencing 3 years
Rationality



• What is the cost of rationality gambit?
Ed Freeman
Darden, UVA
In the words of one CEO, how do I
 make decisions when I don’t even
know how to think about this issue?
                          R. Edward Freeman.
If everyone is held accountable…
If every one is held accountable….


     No one is accountable
Model
Code
Cases
You get fired for missing on integrity not for
   missing numbers. How does that help us figure
         out what to do all over the world?

               ---CEO Industrial Products




                                            (c) 2008 R. Edward Freeman.
5/28/2008
                                                      All rights reserved.
The Post Test

  Margin Call
   Four clips
  10 minutes
Questions?
•   Moral Issue
•   Role Models
•   Choice
•   Compensation
•   Questions
Contact
•   Jawwad Farid
•   www.alchemya.com
•   FinanceTrainingCourse.com
•   jawwad@alchemya.com
Jawwad Intro

•   Fellow Society of Actuaries, Investments

•   MBA, Columbia Business School

•   20 years consulting: US, UK, ME & Pakistan

•   Risk Management, Product Development, Regulatory
    Reporting, Actuarial Practice
•   Prefers - Jawwad
         http://FinanceTrainingCourse.com
         http://www.alchemya.com
         jawwad@alchemya.com




                                                       28
Alchemy Intro

•   Actuarial & Risk Advisory firm

•   10 years, 4 Markets

•   Derivative & Risk Management models, ALM, ICAAP, Stress Testing,
    Financial Product Development

•   150 workshop - 2500 trained professionals
Treasury Compliance Market Abuse

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Treasury Compliance Market Abuse

  • 1. Treasury Compliance Market Abuse Code of conduct Alchemy Technologies (Pvt.) Ltd. alchemya.com FinanceTrainingCourse.com
  • 4. Overview Market Abuse Model Code Libor Case Study Framework for morality
  • 5. Who is the treasury regulator? • SBP, SECP, CCP Local • FMA & ACI Code of conduct • OCC, Federal Reserve, FSA International • North American and EU regulations • Broadest definition. Morality • How do you teach morality to smart people?
  • 6. The Gambit – Rational thinking Expected Payoff > Penalty Expected Payoff < Penalty
  • 7. In an imperfect world? • Impact Social Costs • Group behavior • Recognition Personal Costs • The desire to get caught The cost of • Direct being caught • In Direct Regulatory • Paradigm shift compensation • Make an example – The bite & teeth
  • 8. Themes • Client confidentiality Information • Front running Exchange • Insider trading • Cartel formation Collusion & • Sanctions Brokerage • Pay for flow - Brokerage • Pricing, gouging, miss-selling • Suitability Misrepresentation • Truths, False Truths, Silence • Client communication standards
  • 9. Cases Misrepresentation • Margin Call Collusion • FSA Libor Crisis Client • Front Running, Insider Confidentiality Trading
  • 10. The Pre Test Margin Call
  • 11. Consequence • Fines, penalties Bank wide • Loss of license impact • Civil Suit, Class Action Suit • Suspension & Termination Management • Negative lists • Future prospects • Suspension & Termination Dealers • Negative lists
  • 12. Probability of Default - Pre & Post Crisis 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 1/1/2008 1/1/2009 1/1/2010 1/1/2011 Barclays - PD Royal Bank of Canada - PD BAML - PD JP Morgan Chase - PD HSBC - PD
  • 13. Probability of Default - Barclays 45.00% 40.00% 35.00% 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 1/1/2008 1/1/2009 1/1/2010 1/1/2011 PD
  • 14.
  • 15. Rajat Kumar Gupta • Ranked 15th in Indian Standard Exams • HBS Baker Scholar • Earliest Indian hire at Mckinsey • Made partner in 8 years • Estimated Net worth US$ 130 million • Goldman, P&G, Gates Foundation, Indian School of Business • Expected Sentencing 3 years
  • 16.
  • 17. Rationality • What is the cost of rationality gambit?
  • 19. In the words of one CEO, how do I make decisions when I don’t even know how to think about this issue? R. Edward Freeman.
  • 20. If everyone is held accountable…
  • 21. If every one is held accountable…. No one is accountable
  • 23. Cases
  • 24. You get fired for missing on integrity not for missing numbers. How does that help us figure out what to do all over the world? ---CEO Industrial Products (c) 2008 R. Edward Freeman. 5/28/2008 All rights reserved.
  • 25. The Post Test Margin Call Four clips 10 minutes
  • 26. Questions? • Moral Issue • Role Models • Choice • Compensation • Questions
  • 27. Contact • Jawwad Farid • www.alchemya.com • FinanceTrainingCourse.com • jawwad@alchemya.com
  • 28. Jawwad Intro • Fellow Society of Actuaries, Investments • MBA, Columbia Business School • 20 years consulting: US, UK, ME & Pakistan • Risk Management, Product Development, Regulatory Reporting, Actuarial Practice • Prefers - Jawwad http://FinanceTrainingCourse.com http://www.alchemya.com jawwad@alchemya.com 28
  • 29. Alchemy Intro • Actuarial & Risk Advisory firm • 10 years, 4 Markets • Derivative & Risk Management models, ALM, ICAAP, Stress Testing, Financial Product Development • 150 workshop - 2500 trained professionals