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UOG Journal Club: July 2013
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early
screening for aneuploidies
M. M. Gil, M. S. Quezada, B. Bregant, M. Ferraro, K. H. Nicolaides
Volume 42, Issue 1, Date: July 2013, pages 34–40
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers
and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing
K. H. Nicolaides, D. Wright, L. C. Poon, A. Syngelaki, M. M. Gil.
Volume 42, Issue 1, Date: July 2013, pages 41–50
Journal Club slides prepared by Dr Leona Poon
(UOG Editor for Trainees)
UOG Journal Club: July 2013
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early
screening for aneuploidies
M. M. Gil, M. S. Quezada, B. Bregant, M. Ferraro, K. H. Nicolaides
Volume 42, Issue 1, Date: July 2013, pages 34–40
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
To explore the feasibility of routine maternal blood cfDNA testing in
screening for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 at 10 weeks’ gestation.
Objective
Patients and Methods
• Prospective observational study
• Singleton pregnancy and live fetus with CRL 32–45 mm
• Women attending The Fetal Medicine Centre, London, between October 2012
and April 2013, were screened for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 by cfDNA testing at
10 wks and the combined test at 12 wks
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
Patients and Methods
Protocol for pregnancy management according to results of maternal blood
cfDNA testing and the combined test
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
cfDNA test result for risk for
trisomies 21, 18 and 13
High risk
Low risk
No result
CVS at 12 weeks
Additional scan at 28 wks if:
PAPP-A <0.3 MoM
Additional scan at 16 wks if:
Fetal NT >3.5 mm
TR, abnormal DV a-wave
Results
Median maternal age of 37 (range 20-49) years; 98% had results within 14 days
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
Presentation at 10 weeks (n=1111)
CRL <32 mm (n=64;
5.8%)
CRL >45 mm (n=50;
4.5%)
Miscarriage (n=46; 4.1%)
Twins (n=6; 0.9%)
No trisomy (n=940)
Trisomy 21
(n=11)
Trisomy 18 (n=5)
Trisomy 13 (n=1)
No result (n=48; 4.8%)
Result (n=27; 67.5%)
Appropriate (n=941; 84.7%)
cfDNA testing (n=1005)
Inappropriate (n=170; 15.3%)
Result (n=775; 95.2%)
Repeat blood draw (n=40)
No trisomy (n=27)
No result (n=13; 32.5%)
n=64
Estimated risk for trisomy in the pregnancies with trisomy 21 (○), trisomy 18 (□) or trisomy
13 (Δ) and assumed euploid fetuses (●), by combined test (a) and cfDNA test (b)
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
Results
Findings/outcomes in the 17 pregnancies classified by cfDNA testing as being at high risk for aneuploidy
cfDNA risk Combined
test risk
Karyotype Pregnancy
outcome
No. of cases
T21 risk >99% 1:2 T21 TOP 7
T21 risk >99% 1:4 T21 TOP 1
T21 risk >99% 1:27 T21 TOP 1
T21 risk >99% 1:81 Not done Miscarriage 1
T21 risk >99% 1:65 T21 TOP 1
T18 risk >99% 1:2 T18 TOP 2
T18 risk >99% 1:39 T18 TOP 1
T18 risk >99% 1:71 T18 TOP 1
T18 risk >99% 1:5861 Normal Continue 1
T13 risk 34% 1:4 T13 TOP 1
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
• Study demonstrates the feasibility of implementing cfDNA testing in early
pregnancy screening for trisomies in singleton pregnancies
• Blood sampling at 10 weeks and USS at both 10 and 12 weeks retains the
advantage of 1st
trimester diagnosis as for the combined test
• It is necessary to confirm +ve results of cfDNA testing by fetal karyotyping, as
one of the cases of suspected trisomy 18 had a normal karyotype
• In this population (median maternal age, 36.7 yrs), the screen-positive rate on
cfDNA testing was 1.7% vs 5.0% for the combined test (risk cut-off 1:100)
Discussion
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
• The main advantages of cfDNA testing, compared with the combined
test, are:
• Substantial reduction in FPR
• Reporting of results as very high or very low risk, which makes it
easier for parents to decide in favour of or against invasive testing
• cfDNA testing has substantially reduced the rate of invasive testing
but some women still desire a diagnostic test to provide certainty of
exclusion of not only the common trisomies but all other aneuploidies
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
Discussion
• Since most pregnancies are continuing at the time of writing, it is not possible
at present to assess the sensitivity of the screening tests in identifying trisomic
pregnancies
• The study did not diagnose aneuploidies other than trisomies 21, 18 and 13,
however, invasive testing should be recommended in cases with high fetal NT
even if cfDNA test gives low risk results, because in such cases these
trisomies account for only 75–80% of clinically significant aneuploidies
Limitations
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
• This study has shown that routine screening for trisomies by cfDNA testing at 10
weeks is feasible, allowing diagnosis of aneuploidies and the option of
pregnancy termination within the first trimester
• Advantages of cfDNA testing:
• Substantial reduction in FPR
• Clear separation of high and low risk results
• Disadvantages of cfDNA testing:
• Failure of cfDNA testing in providing results
• Need to investigate abnormal results by invasive testing
Conclusions
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in
early screening for aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
UOG Journal Club: July 2013
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers
and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing
K. H. Nicolaides, D. Wright, L. C. Poon, A. Syngelaki and M. M. Gil.
Volume 42, Issue 1, Date: July 2013, pages 41–50
To define risk cut-offs with corresponding detection rates and false-positive
rates in screening for trisomy 21 using maternal age and combinations of
first-trimester biomarkers in order to determine which women should
undergo contingent maternal blood cfDNA testing
Objective
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Patients and Methods
• Analysis of prospectively collected data between March 2006 and May 2012 on
the following biomarkers: fetal NT, DV PIV at 11-13 wks gestation and serum
free β-hCG, PAPP-A, PlGF and AFP at 8-13 wks gestation
• Patient-specific risks for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 were estimated from a
combination of maternal age, fetal NT, serum free β-hCG and PAPP-A and
women considering their risks to be high were offered CVS or amniocentesis
• Estimates of risk cut-offs, DRs and FPRs were derived for combinations of
biomarkers and these were used to define the best strategy for contingent
cfDNA testing.
• Study population of 87,241 cases, including 324 cases of trisomy 21 and 86,917
unaffected pregnancies with normal fetal karyotype or the birth of a phenotypically
normal neonate
• The observed number of cases of trisomy 21 is consistent with that expected
333.1 (P=0.61) given the maternal and gestational age distribution of the cohort
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Results
Modeled DR and FPR in first-trimester screening for trisomy 21 by various combinations of
biomarkers at fixed risk cut-offs. Rates were standardised so that they relate to the pregnant
population of England and Wales in 2011.
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Results
Overall cfDNA testing rate, DR and rate of invasive testing (IR) by CVS in contingent first-
trimester screening for trisomy 21. In these calculations it was assumed that cfDNA testing
failed to provide a result in 4% of cases, and that in those with a result, DR was 99.5% and
FPR was 0.1%.
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Results
Modeled (●) and empirical (○) DR (upper lines) and FPR (lower lines) in screening for trisomy
21 by combined testing (maternal age, NT, free β-hCG and PAPP-A) (a), combined test with
addition of PlGF and AFP (b) and combined test with addition of DV PIV, PlGF and AFP (c)
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Results
First-line screening by cfDNA testing alone in a population of 100000 pregnancies,
including 294 with trisomy 21
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
100,000 pregnancies
Unaffected n=99,706 Trisomy 21 n=294
Maternal blood cfDNA testing
Positive
n=96
Result
n=95,718
No result
N=3,988
Chorionic villus sampling
471 / 100,000 (0.47%)
False positive rate
180 / 99,706 (0.18%)
Positive
n=281
No result
n=12
Positive
n=10
Result
n=282
Detection rate
291 / 294 (99.0%)
4% 4%
0.1% 99.5%
85.2%
Combined test
risk ≥ 1:100
Positive
n=84 2.1%
Contingent screening by combined test and cfDNA testing in pregnancies with a
risk of ≥ 1:3000 in a population of 100000, including 294 with trisomy 21
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
100,000 pregnancies
Unaffected n=99,706 Trisomy 21 n=294
Risk >1:3,000 in screening by:
MA, fetal NT, ß-hCG, PAPP-A
Unaffected n=24,229 Trisomy 21 n=288
Maternal blood cfDNA testing
24,517 / 100,000 (24.5%)
Positive
n=83
Result
n=23,260
Positive
n=23
No result
n=23,260
Chorionic villus sampling
391 / 100,000 (0.39%)
False positive rate
106 / 99,706 (0.11%)
Positive
n=275
No result
n=12
Positive
n=10
Result
n=276
Detection rate
285 / 294 (96.9%)
4% 4%
0.1% 99.5%
87.0%
97.9%
8.6%
24.3%
Combined test
risk ≥ 1:100
• This study has defined risk cut-offs with corresponding DRs and FPRs
for first-line screening for trisomy 21, maternal age and combinations
of fetal NT, DV PIV, free β-hCG, PAPP-A, PlGF and AFP
• Contingent screening could achieve a DR of 98% for trisomy 21, at an
overall invasive testing rate <0.5%, with cfDNA test being offered to
about 35%, 21% and 11% of cases identified by first-line screening
using combined test alone, combined test with PlGF and AFP and
combined test with PlGF, AFP and DV PIV, respectively
• An increase in DR from 98% to 99% would require a >10% increase in
the number of cases requiring cfDNA testing
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Discussion
Content of first-line screening
• Measurement of serum PlGF and AFP can be performed in the same sample
and by the same automated machines as for free β-hCG and PAPP-A at little
extra cost. Inclusion of these metabolites would substantially increased the DR
and reduce the FPR
• Fetal NT is an essential part of screening for aneuploidies with and without the
use of cfDNA testing. It is also a marker for many other clinically significant
aneuploidies, cardiac defects and several genetic syndromes
• 11-13 weeks scan is not only for the measurement of CRL and NT but also for
detailed examination of the fetus and early diagnosis of major anomalies
Discussion
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Health economic evaluation
• First-trimester scan is essential for pregnancy care and it is therefore an
integral part of any strategy of screening for aneuploidies
• The basis for any economic evaluation would be the relative cost of
invasive testing and components of biochemical screening compared
with cfDNA testing and also the DR for trisomy 21
• The cost of cfDNA testing is comparable to invasive testing and the
substantial reduction of the latter by introduction of cfDNA testing would
be cost neutral with the major advantage of avoidance of miscarriage
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Discussion
• This study was confined to the prediction of trisomy 21 because:
• In the last 40 years this has been the main factor in defining
strategies of screening for aneuploidies
• To minimise the complexity of the model that would arise from
inclusion of other aneuploidies
• Maternal serum PlGF and AFP were measured in a smaller population
within the cohort, consequently, the modeled measures screening
performance, especially at very high DRs, are somewhat speculative
and may be biased optimistically
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Limitations
Assumptions:
• The only factor defining the decision for or against invasive testing
was the estimated risk for trisomy 21, which is unlikely to be true
• The model assumes that cfDNA testing can detect 99.5% of cases
of trisomy 21 with a FPR of 0.1%, based on published studies in
high-risk pregnancies
• In 4% of cases the cfDNA test would fail to provide a result
Limitations
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Screening for trisomy 21 by cfDNA testing contingent on the results of an
expanded combined test would retain the advantages of the current
method of screening, but with a simultaneous major increase in DR and
decrease in the rate of invasive testing.
Conclusions
First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Discussion points
First-trimester contingent screening for
trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal
blood cell-free DNA testing
Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
Implementation of maternal blood cell-free
DNA testing in early screening for
aneuploidies
Gil et al., UOG 2013
• Should cfDNA testing be implemented as universal screening or
contingent screening?
• How should we manage cases (4%) with failed cfDNA testing?
• In the case of high fetal NT or other major fetal anomalies, should we
offer cfDNA testing?
• Can non-invasive prenatal testing replace the need of routine first-
trimester scan?

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UOG Journal Club: Maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies

  • 1. UOG Journal Club: July 2013 Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies M. M. Gil, M. S. Quezada, B. Bregant, M. Ferraro, K. H. Nicolaides Volume 42, Issue 1, Date: July 2013, pages 34–40 First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing K. H. Nicolaides, D. Wright, L. C. Poon, A. Syngelaki, M. M. Gil. Volume 42, Issue 1, Date: July 2013, pages 41–50 Journal Club slides prepared by Dr Leona Poon (UOG Editor for Trainees)
  • 2. UOG Journal Club: July 2013 Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies M. M. Gil, M. S. Quezada, B. Bregant, M. Ferraro, K. H. Nicolaides Volume 42, Issue 1, Date: July 2013, pages 34–40
  • 3. Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013 To explore the feasibility of routine maternal blood cfDNA testing in screening for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 at 10 weeks’ gestation. Objective
  • 4. Patients and Methods • Prospective observational study • Singleton pregnancy and live fetus with CRL 32–45 mm • Women attending The Fetal Medicine Centre, London, between October 2012 and April 2013, were screened for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 by cfDNA testing at 10 wks and the combined test at 12 wks Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013
  • 5. Patients and Methods Protocol for pregnancy management according to results of maternal blood cfDNA testing and the combined test Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013 cfDNA test result for risk for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 High risk Low risk No result CVS at 12 weeks Additional scan at 28 wks if: PAPP-A <0.3 MoM Additional scan at 16 wks if: Fetal NT >3.5 mm TR, abnormal DV a-wave
  • 6. Results Median maternal age of 37 (range 20-49) years; 98% had results within 14 days Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013 Presentation at 10 weeks (n=1111) CRL <32 mm (n=64; 5.8%) CRL >45 mm (n=50; 4.5%) Miscarriage (n=46; 4.1%) Twins (n=6; 0.9%) No trisomy (n=940) Trisomy 21 (n=11) Trisomy 18 (n=5) Trisomy 13 (n=1) No result (n=48; 4.8%) Result (n=27; 67.5%) Appropriate (n=941; 84.7%) cfDNA testing (n=1005) Inappropriate (n=170; 15.3%) Result (n=775; 95.2%) Repeat blood draw (n=40) No trisomy (n=27) No result (n=13; 32.5%) n=64
  • 7. Estimated risk for trisomy in the pregnancies with trisomy 21 (○), trisomy 18 (□) or trisomy 13 (Δ) and assumed euploid fetuses (●), by combined test (a) and cfDNA test (b) Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013
  • 8. Results Findings/outcomes in the 17 pregnancies classified by cfDNA testing as being at high risk for aneuploidy cfDNA risk Combined test risk Karyotype Pregnancy outcome No. of cases T21 risk >99% 1:2 T21 TOP 7 T21 risk >99% 1:4 T21 TOP 1 T21 risk >99% 1:27 T21 TOP 1 T21 risk >99% 1:81 Not done Miscarriage 1 T21 risk >99% 1:65 T21 TOP 1 T18 risk >99% 1:2 T18 TOP 2 T18 risk >99% 1:39 T18 TOP 1 T18 risk >99% 1:71 T18 TOP 1 T18 risk >99% 1:5861 Normal Continue 1 T13 risk 34% 1:4 T13 TOP 1 Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013
  • 9. • Study demonstrates the feasibility of implementing cfDNA testing in early pregnancy screening for trisomies in singleton pregnancies • Blood sampling at 10 weeks and USS at both 10 and 12 weeks retains the advantage of 1st trimester diagnosis as for the combined test • It is necessary to confirm +ve results of cfDNA testing by fetal karyotyping, as one of the cases of suspected trisomy 18 had a normal karyotype • In this population (median maternal age, 36.7 yrs), the screen-positive rate on cfDNA testing was 1.7% vs 5.0% for the combined test (risk cut-off 1:100) Discussion Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013
  • 10. • The main advantages of cfDNA testing, compared with the combined test, are: • Substantial reduction in FPR • Reporting of results as very high or very low risk, which makes it easier for parents to decide in favour of or against invasive testing • cfDNA testing has substantially reduced the rate of invasive testing but some women still desire a diagnostic test to provide certainty of exclusion of not only the common trisomies but all other aneuploidies Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013 Discussion
  • 11. • Since most pregnancies are continuing at the time of writing, it is not possible at present to assess the sensitivity of the screening tests in identifying trisomic pregnancies • The study did not diagnose aneuploidies other than trisomies 21, 18 and 13, however, invasive testing should be recommended in cases with high fetal NT even if cfDNA test gives low risk results, because in such cases these trisomies account for only 75–80% of clinically significant aneuploidies Limitations Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013
  • 12. • This study has shown that routine screening for trisomies by cfDNA testing at 10 weeks is feasible, allowing diagnosis of aneuploidies and the option of pregnancy termination within the first trimester • Advantages of cfDNA testing: • Substantial reduction in FPR • Clear separation of high and low risk results • Disadvantages of cfDNA testing: • Failure of cfDNA testing in providing results • Need to investigate abnormal results by invasive testing Conclusions Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013
  • 13. UOG Journal Club: July 2013 First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing K. H. Nicolaides, D. Wright, L. C. Poon, A. Syngelaki and M. M. Gil. Volume 42, Issue 1, Date: July 2013, pages 41–50
  • 14. To define risk cut-offs with corresponding detection rates and false-positive rates in screening for trisomy 21 using maternal age and combinations of first-trimester biomarkers in order to determine which women should undergo contingent maternal blood cfDNA testing Objective First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
  • 15. First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Patients and Methods • Analysis of prospectively collected data between March 2006 and May 2012 on the following biomarkers: fetal NT, DV PIV at 11-13 wks gestation and serum free β-hCG, PAPP-A, PlGF and AFP at 8-13 wks gestation • Patient-specific risks for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 were estimated from a combination of maternal age, fetal NT, serum free β-hCG and PAPP-A and women considering their risks to be high were offered CVS or amniocentesis • Estimates of risk cut-offs, DRs and FPRs were derived for combinations of biomarkers and these were used to define the best strategy for contingent cfDNA testing.
  • 16. • Study population of 87,241 cases, including 324 cases of trisomy 21 and 86,917 unaffected pregnancies with normal fetal karyotype or the birth of a phenotypically normal neonate • The observed number of cases of trisomy 21 is consistent with that expected 333.1 (P=0.61) given the maternal and gestational age distribution of the cohort First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Results
  • 17. Modeled DR and FPR in first-trimester screening for trisomy 21 by various combinations of biomarkers at fixed risk cut-offs. Rates were standardised so that they relate to the pregnant population of England and Wales in 2011. First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Results
  • 18. Overall cfDNA testing rate, DR and rate of invasive testing (IR) by CVS in contingent first- trimester screening for trisomy 21. In these calculations it was assumed that cfDNA testing failed to provide a result in 4% of cases, and that in those with a result, DR was 99.5% and FPR was 0.1%. First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Results
  • 19. Modeled (●) and empirical (○) DR (upper lines) and FPR (lower lines) in screening for trisomy 21 by combined testing (maternal age, NT, free β-hCG and PAPP-A) (a), combined test with addition of PlGF and AFP (b) and combined test with addition of DV PIV, PlGF and AFP (c) First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Results
  • 20. First-line screening by cfDNA testing alone in a population of 100000 pregnancies, including 294 with trisomy 21 First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 100,000 pregnancies Unaffected n=99,706 Trisomy 21 n=294 Maternal blood cfDNA testing Positive n=96 Result n=95,718 No result N=3,988 Chorionic villus sampling 471 / 100,000 (0.47%) False positive rate 180 / 99,706 (0.18%) Positive n=281 No result n=12 Positive n=10 Result n=282 Detection rate 291 / 294 (99.0%) 4% 4% 0.1% 99.5% 85.2% Combined test risk ≥ 1:100 Positive n=84 2.1%
  • 21. Contingent screening by combined test and cfDNA testing in pregnancies with a risk of ≥ 1:3000 in a population of 100000, including 294 with trisomy 21 First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 100,000 pregnancies Unaffected n=99,706 Trisomy 21 n=294 Risk >1:3,000 in screening by: MA, fetal NT, ß-hCG, PAPP-A Unaffected n=24,229 Trisomy 21 n=288 Maternal blood cfDNA testing 24,517 / 100,000 (24.5%) Positive n=83 Result n=23,260 Positive n=23 No result n=23,260 Chorionic villus sampling 391 / 100,000 (0.39%) False positive rate 106 / 99,706 (0.11%) Positive n=275 No result n=12 Positive n=10 Result n=276 Detection rate 285 / 294 (96.9%) 4% 4% 0.1% 99.5% 87.0% 97.9% 8.6% 24.3% Combined test risk ≥ 1:100
  • 22. • This study has defined risk cut-offs with corresponding DRs and FPRs for first-line screening for trisomy 21, maternal age and combinations of fetal NT, DV PIV, free β-hCG, PAPP-A, PlGF and AFP • Contingent screening could achieve a DR of 98% for trisomy 21, at an overall invasive testing rate <0.5%, with cfDNA test being offered to about 35%, 21% and 11% of cases identified by first-line screening using combined test alone, combined test with PlGF and AFP and combined test with PlGF, AFP and DV PIV, respectively • An increase in DR from 98% to 99% would require a >10% increase in the number of cases requiring cfDNA testing First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Discussion
  • 23. Content of first-line screening • Measurement of serum PlGF and AFP can be performed in the same sample and by the same automated machines as for free β-hCG and PAPP-A at little extra cost. Inclusion of these metabolites would substantially increased the DR and reduce the FPR • Fetal NT is an essential part of screening for aneuploidies with and without the use of cfDNA testing. It is also a marker for many other clinically significant aneuploidies, cardiac defects and several genetic syndromes • 11-13 weeks scan is not only for the measurement of CRL and NT but also for detailed examination of the fetus and early diagnosis of major anomalies Discussion First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
  • 24. Health economic evaluation • First-trimester scan is essential for pregnancy care and it is therefore an integral part of any strategy of screening for aneuploidies • The basis for any economic evaluation would be the relative cost of invasive testing and components of biochemical screening compared with cfDNA testing and also the DR for trisomy 21 • The cost of cfDNA testing is comparable to invasive testing and the substantial reduction of the latter by introduction of cfDNA testing would be cost neutral with the major advantage of avoidance of miscarriage First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Discussion
  • 25. • This study was confined to the prediction of trisomy 21 because: • In the last 40 years this has been the main factor in defining strategies of screening for aneuploidies • To minimise the complexity of the model that would arise from inclusion of other aneuploidies • Maternal serum PlGF and AFP were measured in a smaller population within the cohort, consequently, the modeled measures screening performance, especially at very high DRs, are somewhat speculative and may be biased optimistically First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Limitations
  • 26. Assumptions: • The only factor defining the decision for or against invasive testing was the estimated risk for trisomy 21, which is unlikely to be true • The model assumes that cfDNA testing can detect 99.5% of cases of trisomy 21 with a FPR of 0.1%, based on published studies in high-risk pregnancies • In 4% of cases the cfDNA test would fail to provide a result Limitations First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
  • 27. Screening for trisomy 21 by cfDNA testing contingent on the results of an expanded combined test would retain the advantages of the current method of screening, but with a simultaneous major increase in DR and decrease in the rate of invasive testing. Conclusions First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013
  • 28. Discussion points First-trimester contingent screening for trisomy 21 by biomarkers and maternal blood cell-free DNA testing Nicolaides et al., UOG 2013 Implementation of maternal blood cell-free DNA testing in early screening for aneuploidies Gil et al., UOG 2013 • Should cfDNA testing be implemented as universal screening or contingent screening? • How should we manage cases (4%) with failed cfDNA testing? • In the case of high fetal NT or other major fetal anomalies, should we offer cfDNA testing? • Can non-invasive prenatal testing replace the need of routine first- trimester scan?