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Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015
Earnings Results
January 26, 2016
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Safe Harbor
Except for historical information contained herein, the matters set forth in this document, including but
not limited to management’s expectations regarding 2016 sales, shipments, margins, currencies, net
income and cash flow, the opportunities for expansion and diversification of the Company’s business
and the Company’s guidance on earnings per share are forward-looking statements that involve certain
risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking
statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as product offerings, promotional
activities and pricing strategies by competitors; manufacturing operation expansion initiatives;
acquisition integration costs; warranty expenses; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations;
environmental and product safety regulatory activity; effects of weather; commodity costs; uninsured
product liability claims; uncertainty in the retail and wholesale credit markets; performance of affiliate
partners; changes in tax policy and overall economic conditions, including inflation, consumer
confidence and spending and relationships with dealers and suppliers. Investors are also directed to
consider other risks and uncertainties discussed in our 2014 annual report and Form 10-K filed by the
Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not undertake any duty to
any person to provide updates to its forward-looking statements.
The data source for retail sales figures included in this presentation is registration information provided
by Polaris dealers in North America and compiled by the Company or Company estimates. The Company
must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning retail sales, and other retail sales data
sources and this information is subject to revision.
Q4 1-26-16 2
Scott W. Wine
Chairman & CEO
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015
Earnings Results
January 26, 2016
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Q4 2015 Sales and Income
Lower Q4 sales, operating income and net income
ORV/Snowmobile sales down 18%; Motorcycles up 33%; Global Adjacent Markets down 20%
Oil/Ag and low snowfall pressured sales
Sales in EMEA down 13%, mostly currency; Latin America up 26%; Asia Pacific up 3%
Earnings per share decreased 16% to $1.66
Gross profit margin down 77 bps from negative currency and reduced shipments
N.A. dealer inventory levels up 5%, in line with expectations
ORV down mid-single digits, below implied guidance
4Q4 1-26-16
Difficult Retail Environment Impacted Results
Q4 Net IncomeQ4 Sales
$1,275.0
$1,105.6
Q4 2014 Q4 2015
$135.4
$110.7
Q4 2014 Q4 2015
($ millions) ($ millions)
$454.0 $455.4
FY 2014 FY 2015
2015 Sales and Net Income
Grew Full Year Sales 5%; Net income flat
All businesses gained market share in 2015
International sales down 5% (up 10% excluding currency)
Constant Currency: EMEA +2%; Latin America +66%; Asia Pacific +21%;
Pretax Income included ~$70 million of negative currency
Earnings per share up 2% to $6.75
Repurchased 2.2 million shares for $294 million
Net income margin down 49 bps from 2014
$4,479.6 $4,719.3
FY 2014 FY 2015
Grew Market Share in All Businesses Despite Tough Economic Headwinds
Net IncomeTotal Company Sales
Q4 1-26-16 5
78% 15%
7%
Motorcycles
Adjacent
Markets
FY 2015 Sales
by Reporting Segments
(includes respective PG&A)
($ millions) ($ millions)
ORV /
Snowmobiles
Polaris Strategic Objectives
Vision & Strategy
VISION STRATEGY
Fuel the passion of riders,
workers and outdoor enthusiasts
around the world by delivering
innovative, high quality vehicles,
products, services and
experiences that enrich their
lives.
Polaris will be a highly profitable, customer centric,
$8B global enterprise by 2020. We will make the best
off-road and on-road vehicles and products for recreation,
transportation and work supporting consumer, commercial
and military applications. Our winning advantage is our
innovative culture, operational speed and flexibility, and
passion to make quality products that deliver value to
our customers.
Strategic Objectives
Best in Powersports PLUS Global Market Leadership Strong Financial
Performance
Growth Through Adjacencies LEAN Enterprise is
Competitive Advantage
5-8% annual organic growth >33% of Polaris revenue
>$2B from acquisitions & new markets
Significant Quality,
Delivery & Cost Improvement
Sustainable, profitable growth
Net Income Margin >10%
Guiding Principles
Performance Priorities
Best People, Best Team
Safety & Ethics Always
Customer Loyalty
Growth
Margin Expansion
Product & Quality Leadership
LEAN Enterprise
GROW SALES >$8 Billion by 2020 12% CAGR INCREASE NET INCOME >10% of Sales by 2020 13% CAGR
Q4 1-26-16 6
2020 Strategic Objectives Remain Acheivable
MATT HOMAN
President – Off-Road Vehicles
(January 2016)
Side-by-Side and ATV Off-Road Vehicles: RANGER®,
RZR®, Polaris GENERAL®, Polaris ACE®, and Sportsman®
13+ years with Polaris
Most recently President – Global Adjacent Markets
Formerly V.P. – ORV from 2008 to 2011
Leadership to Meet Demands of an Evolving Market
7
Organizational Changes
Q4 1-26-16
DAVID LONGREN
S.V.P. – Enterprise Cost
(January 2016)
Accelerate Lean Transformation
Align Engineering, Operations and functional groups for cost-down
13+ years with Polaris
Most recently President – Off-Road Vehicles
Strategic Objectives
Best in Powersports PLUS Global Market Leadership Strong Financial
Performance
Growth through Adjacencies LEAN Enterprise is
Competitive Advantage
5-8% annual organic growth >33% of Polaris revenue
>$2B from acquisitions & new markets
Significant Quality,
Delivery & Cost Improvement
Sustainable, profitable growth
Net Income Margin >10%
Performance Priorities
Growth
Margin Expansion
Product & Quality Leadership
LEAN Enterprise
Bennett Morgan
President & COO
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015
Earnings Results
January 26, 2016
Polaris Industry 2014 2015
N.A. Retail Sales & Dealer Inventory – FY 2015
Market Share Growth Continues; Achieved Dealer Inventory Targets
N.A. Dealer InventoryN.A. Powersports Market Share & Retail Sales
Polaris N.A. retail 6% for Q4 and 5% FY 2015 vs. 2014
Gained powersports share in Q4 and 2015 – #1 share leader for 6 consecutive years
Polaris year-end 2015 N.A. dealer inventory 5% vs. 2014
ORV mid-single digits %, motorcycle over 50%, snowmobiles over 25%, Global Adjacent Markets
ATV RFM working well – SxS transitions to RFM in 2H 2016
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-0%
+5%
Q4 1-26-16 9
Consolidated Market Share in Units
Using Total Motorcycle Industry
FY Retail SalesMarket Share
-5% Existing ORV Models
2% New ORV models
5% Snowmobiles
2% Slingshot/Indian
1% New Dealers
5% Total Increase
+5%Grew
Share in
2015
Q4 2015
Actual
FY 2015
Actual
Off-Road Vehicles (ORV)
10Q4 1-26-16
Maintain #1 Market Share Position
Every ORV product line grew retail sales in 2015
Polaris ORV Q4 2015 retail sales were low-
single digits
SxS mid-single digits %
ATV and ACE® low-single digits %
Oil region retail 10% in 2015; upper-teens %
in Q4
ORV remains #1 and gaining market share
MY‘16 products successful against aggressive
competition
Recently entered rec/utility category with the new
Polaris GENERAL™
Promotions and competitive pressures ongoing
SummaryPolaris ORV Vehicle Sales
($ millions)
-2%
$2,747.7
-20%
$590.7
Snowmobiles
11Q4 1-26-16
Gaining Share Season-to-Date in Down Market
Q4 2015
Actual
FY 2015
Actual
N.A. Industry season-to-date (STD) retail over
20% – poor snow conditions
Polaris N.A. retail STD mid-teens % - largest
share gainer STD
N.A. Dealer inventory for Polaris and Industry
about 25%
New MY’16 RMK® sleds with AXYS® chassis
selling well
#1 STD in mountains
Early Q1 2016 snow conditions have improved
SummaryPolaris Snowmobile Vehicle Sales
~Flat
$322.8
-25%
$103.5
($ millions)
Q4 2015
Actual
FY 2015
Actual
Motorcycles
12Q4 1-26-16
Motorcycle Growth Continues; Product Availability Improving
Polaris N.A. motorcycle Q4 retail sales low-single
digits %, tough comps
Indian® ; retail, share, and dealer expansion
Victory® ; low product availability
Mid to heavyweight Industry upper-single digits %
Slingshot® over difficult Q4’14 comps
Scout Sixty™ introduced, the 2nd mid-sized Indian®
Appealing entry price point at $8,999
Aggressive 1H 2016 investment planned for
Slingshot®
“Modern American Muscle” “Legendary” “Building an Icon”
Moto-Roadster
Acquired 2011 Est. 2014
+43%
$147.9
+74%
$607.9
Est. 1998
SummaryPolaris Motorcycle Vehicle Sales
($ millions)
$67.0
$259.8
Q4 2015
Actual
FY 2015
Actual
Global Adjacent Markets (GAM)
13Q4 1-26-16
Growing Market Share & Continuous Quality Improvement
-21%
$67.0
-4%
$259.8
Axiam® sales in Q4 and 2015
#1 - gained share for 2015
National Accounts sales
Launched completely redesigned GEM®
Better ergonomics, lower costs, refreshed style
Military due to government spending delays
SummaryGlobal Adjacent Markets Vehicle Sales
($ millions)
Q4 2015
Actual
FY 2015
Actual
82%
11%
7%
FY 2015
by Reporting Segments
Parts, Garments & Accessories (PG&A)
14Q4 1-26-16
Favorable U.S. Results Offset by Canada & Int’l Due to Currency
+5%
$781.1
Beginning in 2016, PG&A sales guidance is included
within each reporting segment
PG&A Sales – All Businesses
53%
39%
8%
Accessories
Apparel
Parts
FY 2015 Sales by Geography & Segment
+3%
+30% +4%
ORV/
Snow
Motor-
cycles
Adjacent
Markets
Reporting Segments
+10%
-17%
+1%
U.S. Canada Int'l
Geography
FY 2015 Sales by Category
-7%
$196.5
Motorcycles
Adjacent
Markets
ORV/Snowmobiles
($ millions)
International
15Q4 1-26-16
($ millions)
Latin America
$20
$69
Q4 2015 2015
Reported
Asia Pacific
(includes Australia/New Zealand)
$28
$117
Q4 2015 FY 2015
Reported
EMEA
$135
$466
Q4 2015 FY 2015
Reported
-12%
(cc +2%)
Q4 2015 FY 2015
-5%
(cc +10%)
EMEA
Motor-
cycles
ORV/
Snow
Latin
AmericaGlobal
Adjacent
Markets
Asia
Pacific
Sales by RegionTotal International Sales
2015 Int’l Sales by Geography/Products
($ millions)
-8%
(cc +3%)
-13%
+26%
+3%
+43%
(cc +66%) +6%
(cc +21%)
(Includes PG&A)
Ken Pucel
E.V.P. Operations, Engineering & Lean
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015
Earnings Results
January 26, 2016
Motorcycle – Spirit Lake Paint Update
17Q4 1-26-16
Motorcycle Paint Capacity Meets DemandSpirit Lake Paint Facility Upgrades
Upgrades to Spirit Lake Paint Systems
Spearfish and outsourcing to optimize mix
Organizational upgrades in Spirit Lake
Capacity planning and MES upgrades
Slingshot MY’17 moving to Huntsville
2016 Capacity ActionsSpearfish Paint Facility On-Line
Paint Capacity Recovered and Ramping for 2016
1H 2015 2H 2015 1H 2016 2H 2016
Outsource
Spearfish
Spirit Lake
Demand
Huntsville Enables Lean and Facilitates Growth
18Q4 1-26-16
Huntsville Important Strategic Enabler in Plant Network
Improved Service Levels to Dealers
Accelerates Lean Progress
reduced complexity in Plant network
Advanced TechnologiesCloser to our Customers
Gross Profit Improvement
Huntsville
Distribution Plant
Network
Supply
Chain
Dealers
$
Retail Flow Management
Slingshot in Huntsville
Enables Slingshot & Motorcycles growth
Required Surge Capacity
Mike Speetzen
E.V.P. Finance & CFO
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015
Earnings Results
January 26, 2016
Earnings Per Share (diluted)Gross Profit Margin
20Q4 1-26-16
Total Company Sales
$4,719
2015 Actual FY 2016
Guidance
28.4%
2015 Actual FY 2016
Guidance
2016 Guidance Range Wider Signaling Currency/End-Markets Risk
$6.75
2015 Actual FY 2016
Guidance
Assumptions
Maintain/grow market share
Dealer inventory about flat
Segment Expectations
ORV/Snowmobiles
Flat to mid-single digits %
Motorcycles
high-teens %
Global Adjacent Markets
mid-single digits %
Assumptions
F/X = minus ~90 bps
Huntsville start-up Q2’16
Commodities positive
Assumptions
F/X = minus ~55¢ per share
Share count down 1% to 2% (2.9M
share repurchase authorization remaining)
Net income $ down 1% to 10%
2016 Full Year Guidance
2% to 3%
Constant Currency
Flat to 5%
Constant Currency
Flat to 50 bps
Constant Currency
Flat to 9%
$6.75 to $7.35
8% to %
$6.20 to $6.80
90 to 140
bps
Other 2016 Expectations
Operating expenses: Slight improvement as a % of sales
Income from financial services: In-line with total company sales
Income taxes: Approx. 35% of pre-tax income
International sales: low to mid-single digits %
PG&A sales: Grow faster than overall company
2015
(Reclassified)
2016
Guidance
Global Adjacent MarketsMotorcyclesORV / Snowmobiles
2015
(Reclassified)
2016
Guidance
Remain Optimistic for Modest Sales Growth & Market Share Gains
2016 Sales Guidance by Reporting Segments
+67%
$698.3
Up
High-teens %
Indian
Victory
Slingshot
Indian
Victory
Slingshot
PG&A
PG&A
2015
(Reclassified)
2016
Guidance
PG&A
PG&A
Work &
Transportation
Defense
Work &
Transportation
Defense
Up mid-single
digits %
Flat to down
mid-single
digits %
ORV ORV
PG&A PG&A
Snowmobiles Snowmobiles
-1%
$3,708.9
-3%
$312.1
($ millions)
Q4 1-26-16 21
By Component
Q4 2015
Actual
FY 2015
Actual
FY 2016
Guidance
Prior period 28.8% 29.4% 28.4%
Production volume/capacity to
Product cost reduction efforts
Commodity costs
Currency rates
Higher selling prices
Product mix
Motorcycle Production Constraints
New plant start-up costs
Warranty costs
Depreciation/Tooling amortization
Sales promotional costs
Current period 28.1% 28.4% 27.0% to 27.5%
Change -77 bps -108 bps Down 90 to 140 bps
By Reporting Segments
Q4 2015
Actual
FY 2015
Actual
FY 2016
Guidance
ORV/Snowmobiles 30.5% 32.1%
Motorcycles 14.8% 13.9%
Global Adjacent Markets 27.5% 27.0%
Gross Profit Margin 28.1% 28.4%
2016 Gross Profit Margin Guidance
Improvement to gross profit margin % Headwind to gross profit margin % Neutral to gross profit margin %
Q4 1-26-16 22
Significant Impact in Q4 & Full Year 2015, Expected to Persist into 2016
23
Foreign Currency Exposures for Polaris
Q4 1-26-16
Foreign Currency Hedging Contracts Currency Impact on Net Income
Notional Avg. Exchange Compared to Prior Year Period
Foreign Currency
Currency
Position
Cash Flow
Exposure Hedged
Amounts
(US $ in Millions)
Rate of Open
Contracts
FY 2016
(Expectation)
Canadian Dollar (CAD) Long 30% $82 $0.77 to 1 CAD Negative
Australian Dollar (AUD) Long 60% $20 $0.71 to 1 AUD Negative
Euro (EUR) Long 0% - - Negative
Japanese Yen (JPY) Short 40% $10 120 Yen to $1 Positive
Mexican Peso (MXN) Short 80% $33 16 Peso to $1 Positive
F/X Impacts vs. Prior Year
($ in millions)
Actual
Q4 2015
Actual
FY 2015
FY 2016 Expectations*
Sales ($35) ($160) ($80)
Gross Profit ($13) ($70) ($80)
Pretax Income ($12) ($70) ($55)
*Assumes exchange rates remain at approximately the rate at the end of 2015 and
exchange rates remain unchanged at both upper and lower ends of guidance range.
Open 2016 F/X Hedging Contracts as of December 31, 2015
Polaris Financial Position
24Q4 1-26-16
Capital Summary Dec. 2015Cash Drivers
Fav/(Unfav)
Dec. 2015
Cash $ 155.3 +13%
Debt /Capital Lease Obligations $ 463.3 (105%)
Shareholders’ Equity $ 981.5 14%
Total Capital $1,444.8 33%
Debt to Total Capital 32% (11%)
2015
Operating cash flow 17%; factory inventory +144M
vs. 2014
Increased share repurchases given current stock
price
2016
Cap Ex expected to be slightly higher than 2015
Reflects Huntsville, Spirit Lake Investments
Cash Flow significantly due to factory inventory
Operating Cash Flow
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Generation
ROIC*
Cash
YE 2014
Operating
Activities
Dividends Capex Net
Borrow-
ings
Share
Repur-
chase
Other Cash
Q3 2015
$138
$440 $139
$249 $246 $294
$13 $155
$529
$440
FY 2014 FY 2015 2016
38%
32%
FY 2014 FY 2015
*Defined as trailing 12 months net income divided by average total assets,
minus average current liabilities
Up
Significantly
($ millions) ($ millions)
($ millions)
Expectations
-17%
2015 Summary
2016 Expectations
32% 31%
FY 2014 FY 2015
Retail CreditWholesale Credit PA Receivables
25Q4 1-26-16
Income from Financial Services
Other
Wholesale
Credit
Wholesale
CreditRetail
Financing
Retail
Financing
Q4 2015 FY 2015 2016
Expectations
FY 2014 FY 2015
Ample Financing Availability at Favorable Rates
Income from Financial Services
Full Year income from financial services increased 12%
Higher retail credit income
Extended Polaris Acceptance JV agreement through 2022 – similar terms
GE sale to Wells Fargo expected to close in March
Extended Sheffield and Synchrony agreements to December 2020
Approval Rate Penetration Rate
Grow in-line
with company
sales
-7%
$18.0
+12%
$69.3 +14%
$1,305.3
$1,141.1
58% 58%
FY 2014 FY 2015
($ millions) ($ millions)
Scott W. Wine
Chairman & CEO
Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015
Earnings Results
January 26, 2016
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
27
2016 Business Outlook
Q4 1-26-16
Anticipate weak US GDP and weakening global markets
Oil/gas and ag/farm economies not improving
Powersports markets flat; remain competitive
Polaris expected to maintain/grow share
Dollar remains strong, currencies again a major headwind
International focus on profitability; expand through M&A/partners
Lean / Value Improvement Projects (VIP) gaining traction
Inventory and lead time reductions major focus
Continuing to fund significant R&D and growth investments
Products, technologies, and services
Positioned to Win in a Tough Market… and Beyond
2015 q4 pii earnings pres 1 26-16 f5

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2015 q4 pii earnings pres 1 26-16 f5

  • 1. Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015 Earnings Results January 26, 2016 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
  • 2. Safe Harbor Except for historical information contained herein, the matters set forth in this document, including but not limited to management’s expectations regarding 2016 sales, shipments, margins, currencies, net income and cash flow, the opportunities for expansion and diversification of the Company’s business and the Company’s guidance on earnings per share are forward-looking statements that involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as product offerings, promotional activities and pricing strategies by competitors; manufacturing operation expansion initiatives; acquisition integration costs; warranty expenses; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; environmental and product safety regulatory activity; effects of weather; commodity costs; uninsured product liability claims; uncertainty in the retail and wholesale credit markets; performance of affiliate partners; changes in tax policy and overall economic conditions, including inflation, consumer confidence and spending and relationships with dealers and suppliers. Investors are also directed to consider other risks and uncertainties discussed in our 2014 annual report and Form 10-K filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not undertake any duty to any person to provide updates to its forward-looking statements. The data source for retail sales figures included in this presentation is registration information provided by Polaris dealers in North America and compiled by the Company or Company estimates. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning retail sales, and other retail sales data sources and this information is subject to revision. Q4 1-26-16 2
  • 3. Scott W. Wine Chairman & CEO Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015 Earnings Results January 26, 2016 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
  • 4. Q4 2015 Sales and Income Lower Q4 sales, operating income and net income ORV/Snowmobile sales down 18%; Motorcycles up 33%; Global Adjacent Markets down 20% Oil/Ag and low snowfall pressured sales Sales in EMEA down 13%, mostly currency; Latin America up 26%; Asia Pacific up 3% Earnings per share decreased 16% to $1.66 Gross profit margin down 77 bps from negative currency and reduced shipments N.A. dealer inventory levels up 5%, in line with expectations ORV down mid-single digits, below implied guidance 4Q4 1-26-16 Difficult Retail Environment Impacted Results Q4 Net IncomeQ4 Sales $1,275.0 $1,105.6 Q4 2014 Q4 2015 $135.4 $110.7 Q4 2014 Q4 2015 ($ millions) ($ millions)
  • 5. $454.0 $455.4 FY 2014 FY 2015 2015 Sales and Net Income Grew Full Year Sales 5%; Net income flat All businesses gained market share in 2015 International sales down 5% (up 10% excluding currency) Constant Currency: EMEA +2%; Latin America +66%; Asia Pacific +21%; Pretax Income included ~$70 million of negative currency Earnings per share up 2% to $6.75 Repurchased 2.2 million shares for $294 million Net income margin down 49 bps from 2014 $4,479.6 $4,719.3 FY 2014 FY 2015 Grew Market Share in All Businesses Despite Tough Economic Headwinds Net IncomeTotal Company Sales Q4 1-26-16 5 78% 15% 7% Motorcycles Adjacent Markets FY 2015 Sales by Reporting Segments (includes respective PG&A) ($ millions) ($ millions) ORV / Snowmobiles
  • 6. Polaris Strategic Objectives Vision & Strategy VISION STRATEGY Fuel the passion of riders, workers and outdoor enthusiasts around the world by delivering innovative, high quality vehicles, products, services and experiences that enrich their lives. Polaris will be a highly profitable, customer centric, $8B global enterprise by 2020. We will make the best off-road and on-road vehicles and products for recreation, transportation and work supporting consumer, commercial and military applications. Our winning advantage is our innovative culture, operational speed and flexibility, and passion to make quality products that deliver value to our customers. Strategic Objectives Best in Powersports PLUS Global Market Leadership Strong Financial Performance Growth Through Adjacencies LEAN Enterprise is Competitive Advantage 5-8% annual organic growth >33% of Polaris revenue >$2B from acquisitions & new markets Significant Quality, Delivery & Cost Improvement Sustainable, profitable growth Net Income Margin >10% Guiding Principles Performance Priorities Best People, Best Team Safety & Ethics Always Customer Loyalty Growth Margin Expansion Product & Quality Leadership LEAN Enterprise GROW SALES >$8 Billion by 2020 12% CAGR INCREASE NET INCOME >10% of Sales by 2020 13% CAGR Q4 1-26-16 6 2020 Strategic Objectives Remain Acheivable
  • 7. MATT HOMAN President – Off-Road Vehicles (January 2016) Side-by-Side and ATV Off-Road Vehicles: RANGER®, RZR®, Polaris GENERAL®, Polaris ACE®, and Sportsman® 13+ years with Polaris Most recently President – Global Adjacent Markets Formerly V.P. – ORV from 2008 to 2011 Leadership to Meet Demands of an Evolving Market 7 Organizational Changes Q4 1-26-16 DAVID LONGREN S.V.P. – Enterprise Cost (January 2016) Accelerate Lean Transformation Align Engineering, Operations and functional groups for cost-down 13+ years with Polaris Most recently President – Off-Road Vehicles Strategic Objectives Best in Powersports PLUS Global Market Leadership Strong Financial Performance Growth through Adjacencies LEAN Enterprise is Competitive Advantage 5-8% annual organic growth >33% of Polaris revenue >$2B from acquisitions & new markets Significant Quality, Delivery & Cost Improvement Sustainable, profitable growth Net Income Margin >10% Performance Priorities Growth Margin Expansion Product & Quality Leadership LEAN Enterprise
  • 8. Bennett Morgan President & COO POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC. Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015 Earnings Results January 26, 2016
  • 9. Polaris Industry 2014 2015 N.A. Retail Sales & Dealer Inventory – FY 2015 Market Share Growth Continues; Achieved Dealer Inventory Targets N.A. Dealer InventoryN.A. Powersports Market Share & Retail Sales Polaris N.A. retail 6% for Q4 and 5% FY 2015 vs. 2014 Gained powersports share in Q4 and 2015 – #1 share leader for 6 consecutive years Polaris year-end 2015 N.A. dealer inventory 5% vs. 2014 ORV mid-single digits %, motorcycle over 50%, snowmobiles over 25%, Global Adjacent Markets ATV RFM working well – SxS transitions to RFM in 2H 2016 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 -0% +5% Q4 1-26-16 9 Consolidated Market Share in Units Using Total Motorcycle Industry FY Retail SalesMarket Share -5% Existing ORV Models 2% New ORV models 5% Snowmobiles 2% Slingshot/Indian 1% New Dealers 5% Total Increase +5%Grew Share in 2015
  • 10. Q4 2015 Actual FY 2015 Actual Off-Road Vehicles (ORV) 10Q4 1-26-16 Maintain #1 Market Share Position Every ORV product line grew retail sales in 2015 Polaris ORV Q4 2015 retail sales were low- single digits SxS mid-single digits % ATV and ACE® low-single digits % Oil region retail 10% in 2015; upper-teens % in Q4 ORV remains #1 and gaining market share MY‘16 products successful against aggressive competition Recently entered rec/utility category with the new Polaris GENERAL™ Promotions and competitive pressures ongoing SummaryPolaris ORV Vehicle Sales ($ millions) -2% $2,747.7 -20% $590.7
  • 11. Snowmobiles 11Q4 1-26-16 Gaining Share Season-to-Date in Down Market Q4 2015 Actual FY 2015 Actual N.A. Industry season-to-date (STD) retail over 20% – poor snow conditions Polaris N.A. retail STD mid-teens % - largest share gainer STD N.A. Dealer inventory for Polaris and Industry about 25% New MY’16 RMK® sleds with AXYS® chassis selling well #1 STD in mountains Early Q1 2016 snow conditions have improved SummaryPolaris Snowmobile Vehicle Sales ~Flat $322.8 -25% $103.5 ($ millions)
  • 12. Q4 2015 Actual FY 2015 Actual Motorcycles 12Q4 1-26-16 Motorcycle Growth Continues; Product Availability Improving Polaris N.A. motorcycle Q4 retail sales low-single digits %, tough comps Indian® ; retail, share, and dealer expansion Victory® ; low product availability Mid to heavyweight Industry upper-single digits % Slingshot® over difficult Q4’14 comps Scout Sixty™ introduced, the 2nd mid-sized Indian® Appealing entry price point at $8,999 Aggressive 1H 2016 investment planned for Slingshot® “Modern American Muscle” “Legendary” “Building an Icon” Moto-Roadster Acquired 2011 Est. 2014 +43% $147.9 +74% $607.9 Est. 1998 SummaryPolaris Motorcycle Vehicle Sales ($ millions)
  • 13. $67.0 $259.8 Q4 2015 Actual FY 2015 Actual Global Adjacent Markets (GAM) 13Q4 1-26-16 Growing Market Share & Continuous Quality Improvement -21% $67.0 -4% $259.8 Axiam® sales in Q4 and 2015 #1 - gained share for 2015 National Accounts sales Launched completely redesigned GEM® Better ergonomics, lower costs, refreshed style Military due to government spending delays SummaryGlobal Adjacent Markets Vehicle Sales ($ millions)
  • 14. Q4 2015 Actual FY 2015 Actual 82% 11% 7% FY 2015 by Reporting Segments Parts, Garments & Accessories (PG&A) 14Q4 1-26-16 Favorable U.S. Results Offset by Canada & Int’l Due to Currency +5% $781.1 Beginning in 2016, PG&A sales guidance is included within each reporting segment PG&A Sales – All Businesses 53% 39% 8% Accessories Apparel Parts FY 2015 Sales by Geography & Segment +3% +30% +4% ORV/ Snow Motor- cycles Adjacent Markets Reporting Segments +10% -17% +1% U.S. Canada Int'l Geography FY 2015 Sales by Category -7% $196.5 Motorcycles Adjacent Markets ORV/Snowmobiles ($ millions)
  • 15. International 15Q4 1-26-16 ($ millions) Latin America $20 $69 Q4 2015 2015 Reported Asia Pacific (includes Australia/New Zealand) $28 $117 Q4 2015 FY 2015 Reported EMEA $135 $466 Q4 2015 FY 2015 Reported -12% (cc +2%) Q4 2015 FY 2015 -5% (cc +10%) EMEA Motor- cycles ORV/ Snow Latin AmericaGlobal Adjacent Markets Asia Pacific Sales by RegionTotal International Sales 2015 Int’l Sales by Geography/Products ($ millions) -8% (cc +3%) -13% +26% +3% +43% (cc +66%) +6% (cc +21%) (Includes PG&A)
  • 16. Ken Pucel E.V.P. Operations, Engineering & Lean POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC. Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015 Earnings Results January 26, 2016
  • 17. Motorcycle – Spirit Lake Paint Update 17Q4 1-26-16 Motorcycle Paint Capacity Meets DemandSpirit Lake Paint Facility Upgrades Upgrades to Spirit Lake Paint Systems Spearfish and outsourcing to optimize mix Organizational upgrades in Spirit Lake Capacity planning and MES upgrades Slingshot MY’17 moving to Huntsville 2016 Capacity ActionsSpearfish Paint Facility On-Line Paint Capacity Recovered and Ramping for 2016 1H 2015 2H 2015 1H 2016 2H 2016 Outsource Spearfish Spirit Lake Demand
  • 18. Huntsville Enables Lean and Facilitates Growth 18Q4 1-26-16 Huntsville Important Strategic Enabler in Plant Network Improved Service Levels to Dealers Accelerates Lean Progress reduced complexity in Plant network Advanced TechnologiesCloser to our Customers Gross Profit Improvement Huntsville Distribution Plant Network Supply Chain Dealers $ Retail Flow Management Slingshot in Huntsville Enables Slingshot & Motorcycles growth Required Surge Capacity
  • 19. Mike Speetzen E.V.P. Finance & CFO POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC. Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015 Earnings Results January 26, 2016
  • 20. Earnings Per Share (diluted)Gross Profit Margin 20Q4 1-26-16 Total Company Sales $4,719 2015 Actual FY 2016 Guidance 28.4% 2015 Actual FY 2016 Guidance 2016 Guidance Range Wider Signaling Currency/End-Markets Risk $6.75 2015 Actual FY 2016 Guidance Assumptions Maintain/grow market share Dealer inventory about flat Segment Expectations ORV/Snowmobiles Flat to mid-single digits % Motorcycles high-teens % Global Adjacent Markets mid-single digits % Assumptions F/X = minus ~90 bps Huntsville start-up Q2’16 Commodities positive Assumptions F/X = minus ~55¢ per share Share count down 1% to 2% (2.9M share repurchase authorization remaining) Net income $ down 1% to 10% 2016 Full Year Guidance 2% to 3% Constant Currency Flat to 5% Constant Currency Flat to 50 bps Constant Currency Flat to 9% $6.75 to $7.35 8% to % $6.20 to $6.80 90 to 140 bps Other 2016 Expectations Operating expenses: Slight improvement as a % of sales Income from financial services: In-line with total company sales Income taxes: Approx. 35% of pre-tax income International sales: low to mid-single digits % PG&A sales: Grow faster than overall company
  • 21. 2015 (Reclassified) 2016 Guidance Global Adjacent MarketsMotorcyclesORV / Snowmobiles 2015 (Reclassified) 2016 Guidance Remain Optimistic for Modest Sales Growth & Market Share Gains 2016 Sales Guidance by Reporting Segments +67% $698.3 Up High-teens % Indian Victory Slingshot Indian Victory Slingshot PG&A PG&A 2015 (Reclassified) 2016 Guidance PG&A PG&A Work & Transportation Defense Work & Transportation Defense Up mid-single digits % Flat to down mid-single digits % ORV ORV PG&A PG&A Snowmobiles Snowmobiles -1% $3,708.9 -3% $312.1 ($ millions) Q4 1-26-16 21
  • 22. By Component Q4 2015 Actual FY 2015 Actual FY 2016 Guidance Prior period 28.8% 29.4% 28.4% Production volume/capacity to Product cost reduction efforts Commodity costs Currency rates Higher selling prices Product mix Motorcycle Production Constraints New plant start-up costs Warranty costs Depreciation/Tooling amortization Sales promotional costs Current period 28.1% 28.4% 27.0% to 27.5% Change -77 bps -108 bps Down 90 to 140 bps By Reporting Segments Q4 2015 Actual FY 2015 Actual FY 2016 Guidance ORV/Snowmobiles 30.5% 32.1% Motorcycles 14.8% 13.9% Global Adjacent Markets 27.5% 27.0% Gross Profit Margin 28.1% 28.4% 2016 Gross Profit Margin Guidance Improvement to gross profit margin % Headwind to gross profit margin % Neutral to gross profit margin % Q4 1-26-16 22
  • 23. Significant Impact in Q4 & Full Year 2015, Expected to Persist into 2016 23 Foreign Currency Exposures for Polaris Q4 1-26-16 Foreign Currency Hedging Contracts Currency Impact on Net Income Notional Avg. Exchange Compared to Prior Year Period Foreign Currency Currency Position Cash Flow Exposure Hedged Amounts (US $ in Millions) Rate of Open Contracts FY 2016 (Expectation) Canadian Dollar (CAD) Long 30% $82 $0.77 to 1 CAD Negative Australian Dollar (AUD) Long 60% $20 $0.71 to 1 AUD Negative Euro (EUR) Long 0% - - Negative Japanese Yen (JPY) Short 40% $10 120 Yen to $1 Positive Mexican Peso (MXN) Short 80% $33 16 Peso to $1 Positive F/X Impacts vs. Prior Year ($ in millions) Actual Q4 2015 Actual FY 2015 FY 2016 Expectations* Sales ($35) ($160) ($80) Gross Profit ($13) ($70) ($80) Pretax Income ($12) ($70) ($55) *Assumes exchange rates remain at approximately the rate at the end of 2015 and exchange rates remain unchanged at both upper and lower ends of guidance range. Open 2016 F/X Hedging Contracts as of December 31, 2015
  • 24. Polaris Financial Position 24Q4 1-26-16 Capital Summary Dec. 2015Cash Drivers Fav/(Unfav) Dec. 2015 Cash $ 155.3 +13% Debt /Capital Lease Obligations $ 463.3 (105%) Shareholders’ Equity $ 981.5 14% Total Capital $1,444.8 33% Debt to Total Capital 32% (11%) 2015 Operating cash flow 17%; factory inventory +144M vs. 2014 Increased share repurchases given current stock price 2016 Cap Ex expected to be slightly higher than 2015 Reflects Huntsville, Spirit Lake Investments Cash Flow significantly due to factory inventory Operating Cash Flow Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Generation ROIC* Cash YE 2014 Operating Activities Dividends Capex Net Borrow- ings Share Repur- chase Other Cash Q3 2015 $138 $440 $139 $249 $246 $294 $13 $155 $529 $440 FY 2014 FY 2015 2016 38% 32% FY 2014 FY 2015 *Defined as trailing 12 months net income divided by average total assets, minus average current liabilities Up Significantly ($ millions) ($ millions) ($ millions) Expectations -17% 2015 Summary 2016 Expectations
  • 25. 32% 31% FY 2014 FY 2015 Retail CreditWholesale Credit PA Receivables 25Q4 1-26-16 Income from Financial Services Other Wholesale Credit Wholesale CreditRetail Financing Retail Financing Q4 2015 FY 2015 2016 Expectations FY 2014 FY 2015 Ample Financing Availability at Favorable Rates Income from Financial Services Full Year income from financial services increased 12% Higher retail credit income Extended Polaris Acceptance JV agreement through 2022 – similar terms GE sale to Wells Fargo expected to close in March Extended Sheffield and Synchrony agreements to December 2020 Approval Rate Penetration Rate Grow in-line with company sales -7% $18.0 +12% $69.3 +14% $1,305.3 $1,141.1 58% 58% FY 2014 FY 2015 ($ millions) ($ millions)
  • 26. Scott W. Wine Chairman & CEO Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2015 Earnings Results January 26, 2016 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
  • 27. 27 2016 Business Outlook Q4 1-26-16 Anticipate weak US GDP and weakening global markets Oil/gas and ag/farm economies not improving Powersports markets flat; remain competitive Polaris expected to maintain/grow share Dollar remains strong, currencies again a major headwind International focus on profitability; expand through M&A/partners Lean / Value Improvement Projects (VIP) gaining traction Inventory and lead time reductions major focus Continuing to fund significant R&D and growth investments Products, technologies, and services Positioned to Win in a Tough Market… and Beyond