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SOCIO-ECONOMIC & MENTAL HEALTH BURDENS OF HIV/AIDS
                    IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
           21 & 22 NOVEMBER 2011, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia




    "People living with HIV/AIDS and Their Households:
     Impact Mitigation: the Need for Strategic Action"

                   Sukhontha Kongsin, M.Econ., Ph.D.
      Faculty of Public Health, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
                            phsks@mahidol.ac.th
                      Sukhum Jiamton, M.D., Ph.D.
Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
                             srsjt@mahidol.ac.th
Thailand HIV/AIDS Epidemics

                                                               Pregnant     Youth and
                                                               Women
                                                                          mobile population
                                                Male with
   From specific                                Multiple Partners
   to general
   populations
                                              Prostitutes

                                 Injection Drug
                                 Users (IDUs)                         Children


                  Homo/Bisexuals




1984 ..……..1988   1989   1990   1991   1992    1993

…………..….2004…..2008
Impact Mitigation:
              the Need for Strategic Action

     State of Art: Impact of HIV/AIDS at the household level;
  Poverty; Inequality; Food security; Policy to mitigate the impact;
             inter/multi/trans-disciplinary approaches :
                     What do we know already?


Broad scopes:
- From HIV vaccines through prevention care support and treatment
- Short, medium and long term coping strategies
- Trade-offs between resources for HIV/AIDS vs. other issues
Health System
                                      Health care/services system


                                    Ministry of Public Health, Ministry of
                                     Finance, pharmaceuticals, medical
                                    professions, activists, donors, NGOs,
                                            research groups, etc.


          People Living with HIV/AIDS and Their Households:
            Impact Mitigation: the Need for Strategic Action




                                          Building
                                          bridges



social scientists, epidemiologists, nutritionists, educators and agricultural economists, etc.
HIV/AIDS Mortality Impact on Household
           and its coping

Pitayanon, S., S. Kongsin, et al. (1997). The Economic
Impact of HIV/AIDS Mortality on Households in Thailand.
The Economics of HIV and AIDS. D. Bloom and P.
Godwin. Delhi, India, Oxford University Press: 53-101.
The economic impact of HIV/AIDS morbidity
      on households in rural Thailand:
 An analysis of household coping strategies

 KONGSIN S (*), SIRINIRUND P ($), JIAMTON S (#),
 BOONTHUM A (*) , WATTS CH (@)


(*) Facultyof Public Health, Mahidol University, Thailand,
($) Phayao Provincial Health Office, Thailand,

(#) Department of Dermatology, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital,

Mahidol University, Thailand,
(@) London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,United Kingdom.
Study location: Phayao, Thailand




where reported HIV/AIDS cases were among the highest in Thailand in 1998
multi-sectoral assistance to people and communities affected by AIDS.
Study Communities

             Two districts in Phayao:
             “Mueng” and “Pong” were
             chosen as the study location.
             Mueng district represented a
             community where there was
             an active response to
             HIV/AIDS (active villages),
             and Pong district as a
             community with a less
             active response to
             HIV/AIDS (less active
             villages)
Community mapping to identify
            case and control household




 April-June 1999, 7000 households were contacted and asked about their
member’s health status, member’s illness, willing to be interviewed or not.
              (Physical landscape, household location :ID)
Selection of comparison districts
                      and sub-districts
                                               Phayao
                                                Province

         High prevalence of HIV/AIDS                          High prevalence of HIV/AIDS
        (Active response to HIV/AIDS)                       (Less active response to HIV/AIDS)

                  9 sub-districts                                      9 sub-districts
(a broad range of HIV/AIDS support and care service)       (some HIV/AIDS support and care service)

                    57 villages                                          60 villages
         (3,488 households were contacted)                    (3,534 households were contacted)

       selected household case and control                   selected household case and control
          (inclusion/exclusion criterias)                       (inclusion/exclusion criterias)

          150 case       150 control                            150 case       150 control
      random sampling random sampling                       random sampling random sampling
People Living with HIV/AIDS and Their Households:
      Impact Mitigation: the Need for Strategic Action


        Household level: AIDS, poverty and inequality




 Conceptualising form of household impact - HIV/AIDS morbidity:
Production and labour ; Pattern of consumption; Income and expenditure;
             Structure and composition; Children ; Elderly

      social scientists, epidemiologists, nutritionists and agricultural economists, etc.
Conceptualising household coping
          (1999-2000): Short term

Household coping mechanisms include :
•   Adjustment of Household available resources, Borrowing, Transfer in/out,
    Increase market activities
Community and relatives for household coping include :
•   Community donate or lend food, material, money; e.g. District AIDS Fund,
    Established community and home based care, Provision of child care,
    Provision of labour, Community participation and perceived changes,
    Transfer money in/out
Support from GO/NGO for household coping include :
•   Child and elderly care, Counselling, Health services utilisation, Schooling
    and nutrition program, Training to care providers, Job training, Group
    therapy, meditation practice, Support group of PLHA, Self help group of
    PLHA, Information support basic care for PLHA
Summary of main economic indicators from
             the historical simulation
Indicators                               Control             Case          Percentage
                                                                             change
Total income per capita                   3923*              1218*             -69
Total income of income                   19978               3871*             -81
earner (sick)
Total income of income                     1919              3345                74
earner (non-sick)
Total Consumption per capita               3531*             1863*              -47
Total savings per capita                    392              -645              -265
Total loans per capital                                       339
Total debt per capita                                        1486
•   * indicates that the figures are from the survey data, while others computed from the
    simulation
•   The modelling is based on a simple economics identitiy, Y=C+S

         The modelling is based on a simple Keynesian income function focusing on
                              income consumption and saving
Summary of consumption indicators
         from the historical simulation
Indicators                               Control   Case   % change
Total income per capita                  3923*   1218*     -69
Total consumption per capita             3531*   1863*     -47
Total consumption food per capita        1052     594      -43
Total health care for non PLWHA per       237      49      -79
capita
Total health care for PLWHA per capita           939
Total schooling consumption per capita    529    239       -55
Total other consumption per capita       2016    937       -54
Summary of consumption indicators
        from the alternative simulation
                                         Alternative Simulation
                                      20% decrease in health care
          Indicators                           % change % change
                                   PLWHA        (control-   (historical-
                                                  case      alternative
                                               household) simulation)
Total consumption per capita        1835           -47            -1
Total other supports per capita      620                          -8
Total money transfer in per          278                          -8
capita
Total selling assets per capita       31                              -8
Total loans per capita               311                              -8
Total debt per capita               1340                              -9
Total saving per capita             -617            -257              -4
         Before 2003, not much support on the UC program for PLWHA,
                    therefore household had to bear the cost
Summary of consumption indicators
          from the alternative simulation
                                                 Alternative Simulation
                                               20% increase in health care
            Indicators                     PLWHA       % change % change
                                                        (control-   (historical-
                                                          case      alternative
                                                       household) simulation)
Total consumption per capita                1891           -46           1
Total other supports per capita              670                         0.06
Total money transfer in per capita           303                         0.06
Total selling assets per capita               34                         0.06
Total loans per capita                       339                         0.06
Total debt per capita                       1746                        17
Total saving per capita                     -672         -271            4

        If health care expenses were subsidised by government, then better off !!
Household coping: Follow up studies
• Action taken to minimise distress, provide follow up support
• Follow up studies: approved by renewal IRB (Mahidol
  University): willing to participate in the studies
   – 1999-2000: 600 households
     324 cases from 300 case households (and 300 control households
     enrolled- neighbourhood control non AIDS families )
   – 2004: 501 households - linked with HH-ID
     319 cases from 266 case households + 56 previous control
     households (and 235 control households enrolled)
   – 2006: 312 households - linked with HH-ID
     285 cases from 121 case households + 81 previous control
     households (and 191 control households enrolled)
   – 2008: 278 households (303 cases) - people are moving out,
     mobilisation or urban migration, etc.
Household impact and
        coping mechanism (2004, 2006)
• Household and community level (treatment dynamics and
  access to support + Universal access to ARTs in 2003,
  both first and second line):
   – social and economic impacts - disability grant, support group
   – socioeconomic status/poverty impact of HIV/AIDS
   – HIV/AIDS Orphans - missing generation
   – nutrition status - food security, food production, food
     supplements
   – livelihoods - maintain household income/expenditure patterns,
     alleviating labour shortage
   – behaviour - effect of ARV
       • Married persons significantly more likely to have commenced
         treatment (p<0.001)
       • More productivity, could earn more money
Scope of Accessibility (2004-2008)
 • Medical services:
    –   VCT & Screening
    –   OI prophylaxis and treatment
    –   ARV therapy for appropriate patients
    –   Specific laboratory access (CD4,VL)
        (Thira Woratanarat and Anupong Chitwarakorn, 2005)

 • Psychological support: counseling networks and
   psychotherapy services for infected people and
   affected family/household
 • Socio-economic services: co-operate among various
   ministries, multisectoral collaboration for support
   (those who need support)
Socio-economic determinants of
                  HIV/AIDS in Thailand


KONGSIN S (*), LERTCHAYANTEE S ($), JIAMTON S (#),
WATTS CH (@)

(*) Facultyof Public Health, Mahidol University, Thailand,
($) Phayao Provincial Health Office, Thailand,

(#) Department of Dermatology, Faculty of Medicine, Mahidol University,

Thailand,
(@) London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,United Kingdom.
Table 1: Demographic characteristics of PLWHA
                                                                 PLWHA            Phayao        p-value
Results                                  Characteristic           (n=324
                                                                   cases)
                 age (mean) = 31.98, age<=31
                 [51.5%]
                 age >= 40 [%]                                 9.7            20.8            <0.0001
                 male sex [%]                                  46.3           57.6            <0.0001
                 no school education [%]                       3.7            8.9             0.005
                 no or primary school education.               42.9           71.0            <0.0001
                 [%]
                 unemployed                                    3.2            1.6             <0.0001
                 [% of labourer, male]
                 agriculturer /labourer [% of                  64.6           71.4            >0.05
                 employed]


• The age and sex distribution among PLWHA differs significantly from the general population in
the study location.
• The proportion of PLWHA aged 40 and above is 9.7 % among 324 PLWHA, compared to 20.8 %
in the general population. The respective proportions for male sex are 46.3% and 57.6%. The
percentage of PLWHA with no formal education is 3.7%, compared to 8.9% in the general
population. Including primary education, the respective proportions are 42.9% and 71%
respectively. Unemployment is higher among PLWHA (3.2 % vs. 1.6%).
• Among those who are employed, the proportion of farmers and labourers is slightly lower than in
the general population (64.6% vs. 71.4%) but this is not statistically significant. Significance levels
for the statistical tests and results are shown in Table 1.
Socio-economic indicators
                                          PLWHA                  Phayao                p -value
                   Indicator (n=300 households)
household income             85,740                82,278                 0.0084
household members            3.8                   4.1                    0.0095
per capita income            23,889                20,052                 0.0059
household expenditure        4,157                 4,435                  >0.05
per capita food              679                   685                    >0.05
poverty [%]                  23.4                  17.5                   <0.001




    (Thai Baht: THB)

    • Average household incomes (THB 85,740 vs. THB 82,278) and per capita incomes
    (THB 23,889 vs. THB 20,052) are significantly higher among PLWHA than in the
    general population in Phayao.
    • A small but significant difference exists for the average number of household
    members (3.8 vs. 4.1).
    • The proportion of persons with household per capita incomes below the poverty line
    is significantly higher in the patient group (23.4% vs. 17.5%).
    •Significance levels for the statistical tests and results are shown in above table
Household assets
                                                     PLWHA                           Phayao
      Possession of household              (n=300 households)
                       assets
            [% of households]
car                                                      13.4                           12.4
truck                                                     6.7                            7.3
motorcycle                                               59.7                           47.5
stove                                                    61.2                           61.5
refrigerator                                             54.8                           49.2
rice cooker                                              71.4                           69.1
radio                                                    71.7                           70.8
Television                                               81.3                           80.3


    • Household assets are presented at similar proportions in households of PLWHA and
    the general population.
    • This observation is made for both "luxury" (e.g., car, television) and "regular"
    household assets (e.g., rice cooker, stove).
    • All items (motorcycle, refrigerator) were found slightly more frequently in PLWHAs'
    households than in the general population
Age distribution of socio-economic indicators
Age - age distribution                socio-economic indicators by age-group            poverty distribution [% of total]
group [% of total]
                              primary    percapita   per capita    poverty prevalence
                              educatio   income      expendit-             [%]
                              n [%]      [Baht]      ure [Baht]
        Phayao    PLWHA                                              all male female       crude age adjusted       Phayao
                                                                                            data
20-25   18.8       12.3       66.9       34,056      17,292       12.6   14.5   9.4           4.0        21.2            7.5
26-30   21.4       32.5       72.9       36,518      17,940       15.4   16.7   11.1         11.1        24.9           24.6
31-35   20.4       27.4       90.3       28,265      16,620       18.0   16.5   22.4         15.8        19.1           24.0
36-40   18.6       19.4       93.0       26,971      11,964       17.8   11.4   30.6         14.3        12.1           18.5
>40     20.8       8.2        95.5       21,702      11,676       35.0   30.3   42.8         54.8        22.8           25.1
        Total for age / sex   73.7%      30,502      16,098       18.9          Total        100          100           100
             adjusted data

                  Phayao 75.87           21,618      15,215       16.3


 To assess whether the high prevalence of poverty among PLHA (age>40) is different from that observed in
 the general population, we analysed the age distribution of PLHA with incomes below the poverty line. Fifty
 five percent of all poor PLHA are 40 years or older in the crude data set. This proportion decreases
 substantially to 22.8% if the data are age- and sex adjusted. In the general population, 25.1% of all poverty
 occurs among people older than forty, indicating that the prevalence of poverty in this age group is similar in
 both PLHA group and general population.
 Incomes and expenditures, educational achievements, as well as the prevalence of poverty among PLHA
 are dependent on age and sex. The lowest levels of education, lowest income, and highest prevalence of
 poverty occurs in PLHA of age 40 or older (30.3% for male, 42.8% for female). Except for the age group
 20-30, poverty occurs more frequently among male than female.
•   Age- and sex standardisation of patient data results in a decrease of the average poverty level
    from 23.4% to 17.9% (vs. 17.5% in the general population). Standardised data also show
    slightly higher per capita expenditures in the PLWHA (THB 16,098 p.a. vs. THB 15,215 p.a.),
    while the relation is the reverse for unadjusted data (Table 3). Standardisation substantially
    decreases the proportion of PLWHA with no or primary education (from 42.9% to 73.7%, vs.
    75.9% in the general population).

•   From our study, we are unable to determine whether our finding is based on more recent
    developments or represents a chronic disease distribution within the Thai population. The age-
    group 20-39 years, which is strongly affected by the HIV epidemic in study population, is also
    the age group that has the highest average income among PLWHA households (Table 2). This
    observation may indicate a spread to more specific groups under the impact of the HIV
    epidemic.

•   While the prevalence of poverty in PLWHA (age>40) is very high, this finding is again a
    reflection of the situation in the general population of the study location (Table 5). We can
    therefore not identify poverty as a risk factor to explain the higher incidence HIV/AIDS among
    this group in our sample.

•   It should be noted that our results could not be interpreted as a refutation of claims about the
    importance of socio-economic factors for susceptibility to HIV/AIDS. It is possible that most of
    or all of the unreported cases have low incomes that higher deter them from attending
    government services. In addition, treatment services in Thailand are still centralised at district
    hospitals, so that travel expenses are required for many PLWHA to visit these hospitals.
    Although these expenses are considered to be "minimal", people with incomes below poverty
    line may nevertheless be unaffordable for most cases whose expenditure is most likely to be
    stressed directly on their basic necessities like food consumption (Table 3).
Household impact and
      coping mechanism (2006, 2008)
• Impact Mitigation: Community strengthening to support
  long term and continuous care
   – environmental and institutional factors: Physical/geographical
   – increase investment from local authority in impact
     mitigation
   – community coping responses: traditional grassroots or indigenous
     organisations, formal community-based organisations (external
     support from NGOs or other agencies)
   – migration and complex emergencies - drug resistance
   – health services and policy (including access to health care, quality
     of care, and health sector reform)
   – development policy- Healthy Public Policies, Social Safety Net
The HIV/AIDS Continuum of Care
                                                                            Primary Health
Community coping responses                                                  Care

                            Secondary                               -Health posts
                              Health                                -Dispensaries
                               Care   District                      -Traditional
                                       Hospitals                    -Orphan care
                                      HIV Clinics
                                      Social/legal
                                       Support                                      Community Care
                                       Hospice
 Voluntary                                                                               NGOs
                                                                                        Churches
 Counseling                                                                           Youth Groups
  Testing                                                                              Volunteers



                                    Specialists                                    Palliative
                                  and Specialised             PLHA              emotional and
                                   Care facilities                             spiritual support
 The entry                                                                          self care
   point                                                    Peer support
                             Tertiary Health
                             Care                                                   Home care
         Thira Woratanarat and Anupong Chitwarakorn, 2005
Mainstream HIV/AIDS to
             Impact Mitigation

Policy Nexus: What evidence is needed to help policy-makers
make informed decisions? What challenges do policy-makers
 face in using research on economic impacts of HIV/AIDS to
   inform their policymaking process? What policies is this
                       impact mitigation
                      best able to inform?
Initiative mainstream HIV/AIDS to
                 impact mitigation
• nourishing families
• incentives for the vulnerable to re-invest in productive
  farming
• food security, nutrition, gender, methods, targeting, M&E
  and impact assessments
• nutritive value - genetic/ post-harvest fortification, for
  example, aflatoxin reduction
• scaling out improved varieties with market traits, and
• strengthen partnerships.
Potential focus areas for strategic mainstreaming
     at the household level in impact mitigation

• Strengthen partnerships: partnership between the
  communities, governments, donor agencies, international
  NGOs, local NGOs, private sector and others in mitigating
  the impacts of HIV/AIDS.
• The relationship between households and social networks:
  including both how these networks affects the impact of
  and responses to the epidemic and how they, in turn, are
  affected.
• Greater focus on the informal economy and possible
  support mechanisms: looking at the links between
  HIV/AIDS and households' ability to generate income, etc.
Estimated number of new HIV infections, projected
               by utilising Asian Epidemic Model

   Year        MSM, Sex         Spousal     Casual and       Total
              workers and    transmission extramarital sex
              clients, IDU
   2012          5,608          3,231           634          9,473
   2013          5,461          2,920           579          8,959
   2014          5,331          2,674           530          8,535
   2015          5,221          2,475           488          8,184
   2016          5,126          2,313           450          7,890
 2012-2016      26,746         12,613          2,681         43,040
% of total       62%            32%             6%           100%
new HIV
infections
                                                                      31
Coverage of PLHIV in need for ART, Thailand
                       2004-2009

                          ART Need      Current Receiving

300,000                                                                         75.8 %
                                                               67.1 %
250,000
                                            56.4 %
                               51.5 %
200,000
                 42.5 %
                                                                          2,983,773,000 Baht
150,000 32.5 %
                                                          4,382,400,000 Baht
100,000
                                         3,855,600,000 Baht

 50,000

      0
       2547      2548         2549         2550               2551               2552
      (2004)
                                                                 Source: UNGASS 2010 Report
National AIDS Spending Assessment
                Cost categories                       2008                   2009

                                              Mil. Baht       %      Mil. Baht       %

1. Prevention                                  1,500         21.7      987          13.7

2. Care and treatment                          4,560         65.8     5,483         76.1

3. Assistance for children affected by AIDS      50           0.7       52           0.7

4. Management and strengthening                 397           5.7      250           3.5
planning
5. Compensation for staff                        44           0.6      208           2.9

6. Rights protection and social service         219           3.2      171           2.4

7. Improving environment and community           2            0.0       8            0.1
development
8. Research                                     156           2.3       49           0.7

Total                                          6,928         100.0    7,208         100.0

Domestic source (%)                            85 %                    93%


Remarks
# 6 : care for children is not included
# 8: operational research is not included
Possible key questions are:
• How do the social networks that exist affect vulnerability to
  HIV/AIDS (specific emphasis on economic vulnerability/ poverty)?
• How do social networks mitigate impact and affect responses to the
  pandemic?
• How does HIV/AIDS at an individual/household level impact on social
  networks (e.g. issues of extended family support; foster parents; social
  support mechanisms, effects on types of income sources and
  migration)?
• On the basis of a greater understanding of social networks, how can
  one (re)define an 'affected household' to try to achieve a more accurate
  assessment of impact?
Overarching issues
• Quality and representativeness of data
• Produce information appropriate for policy
  development (not “policy evidence base”)
• Extend focus beyond the rural economy
• Interdisciplinary, multidisciplinary approach
• Methodological innovation (nature of attrition bias,
  statistical power, econometrics: two-step model,
  results may be specific to context/setting)
• Be prepared for the unexpected
• Better dissemination of information
Thailand Getting to Zero
National Strategy on HIV/AIDS 2012 - 2016
Vision and Goals
   Vision: To get to Zero New HIV Infections
   Goal for 2016:
   • New HIV infections reduced by two-thirds
   • Rate of vertical transmission of HIV less than 1%

Vision: To get to Zero AIDS-related       Vision: To get to Zero
Deaths                                      Discrimination
Goal for 2016:                            Goal for 2016:
• Equal access to quality treatment,      • All laws and policies which block
care and support for all people living      effective responses removed
with HIV in Thailand                      • Reported violence related to
• People living with HIV and                gender reduced by ..
households affected by HIV are            • Reported incidents related to
addressed in social protection              stigma and discriminations
strategies and have equal access to         reduced by 50%
quality care and support
•TB/HIV deaths reduced by 50%
Zero
                        discrimination
Access to                                 Access to
prevention                                treatment




                      Treatment as
        Zero          prevention             Zero
                                         AIDS-related
  new HIV infection
                                            deaths



                                                        38
                      Enough resources
                      for all PLHIV
Acknowledgements
My household respondents
Tony Barnett and Alan Whiteside   Charlotte Watts
Sukhum Jiamton                    Anne Mills
Viroj Tangcharoensathien          Yot Teerawattananon
Petchsri Sirinirund               Swarup Sarker
Anita Albun                       Kanchit Limpakarnchanarat
Martha Ainsworth                  Wiwat Rojanapithayakorn
Mead Over                         Wichai Choakwiwat
Germano Mwabu                     Professsor Pirom kamolrattanakul
Wiput Phoolchareon                Pasakorn Akarasewi
Suwit Wibulpolprasert             Caitlin Wiesen
HIV Situation and National
 AIDS Strategy Thailand
Thailand
                             IBBS 2010: Integrated Bio-
Number of people living        Behavioural Surveillance
  with HIV:
                             HIV prevalence:
Low 418,070 / average        FSW 2.7% MSW 16.3%
  532,461 / high 662,143     MSM 10.1% IDU 26.0%
HIV prevalence:              Condom use:
Low 0.78 / average 1.30 /    FSW 97.9% MSW 77.5%
  high 1.6                   MSM 64.7% IDU 49.0%
HIV incidence: 0.03 / 0.04   Use sterile injecting equipment 75.8%
Total population: 68.1 mil   HIV testing in last 12 months:
                             FSW 56.3% MSW 42.0% MSM 27.9%
Reported AIDS cases and Deaths from AIDS
                     1984-2010, Thailand




Source: Bureau of Epidemiology
Sentinel sero-surveillance among most-at-risk
         population groups Thailand, 1989 - 2007
HIV Prevalence (%)
                                                               N=97
                                                                      N=183
                                                                              N=73

                                                                                     N=128
                                                                                         N=97
                                                                                                    N=474

                                                                                             N=48




                                                                                                    Surveillance round
Remarks : 1. 2 surveillance rounds during 1989 – 1994 (Rnd 1-12)
          2. In 1995 (Rnd13) all CSW included in Indirect CSW
Source: Bureau of Epidemiology, MOPH, Thailand
Estimated number of new HIV infections, projected by
            utilising Asian Epidemic Model

   Year       MSM, Sex         Spousal     Casual and       Total
             workers and    transmission extramarital sex
             clients, IDU
   2012         5,608          3,231           634          9,473
   2013         5,461          2,920           579          8,959
   2014         5,331          2,674           530          8,535
   2015         5,221          2,475           488          8,184
   2016         5,126          2,313           450          7,890
 2012-2016     26,746         12,613          2,681         43,040
% of total      62%            32%             6%           100%
new HIV
infections
                                                                     45
Coverage of PLHIV in need for ART, Thailand



                          ART Need      Current Receiving

300,000                                                                         75.8 %
                                                               67.1 %
250,000
                                            56.4 %
                               51.5 %
200,000
                 42.5 %
                                                                          2,983,773,000 Baht
150,000 32.5 %
                                                          4,382,400,000 Baht
100,000
                                         3,855,600,000 Baht

 50,000

      0
      2547       2548         2549         2550               2551               2552
                                                                 Source: UNGASS 2010 Report
National AIDS Spending Assessment
                Cost categories                       2008                   2009

                                              Mil. Baht       %      Mil. Baht       %

1. Prevention                                  1,500         21.7      987          13.7

2. Care and treatment                          4,560         65.8     5,483         76.1

3. Assistance for children affected by AIDS      50           0.7       52           0.7

4. Management and strengthening                 397           5.7      250           3.5
planning
5. Compensation for staff                        44           0.6      208           2.9

6. Rights protection and social service         219           3.2      171           2.4

7. Improving environment and community           2            0.0       8            0.1
development
8. Research                                     156           2.3       49           0.7

Total                                          6,928         100.0    7,208         100.0

Domestic source (%)                            85 %                    93%


Remarks
# 6 : care for children is not included
# 8: operational research is not included
National AIDS
                         Committee

                                               National AIDS
                                             Management Center


Subcommittee for        Subcommittee   Subcommittee      Subcommittee
plan / budget and        to advance       for AIDS      for vaccine trials
 implementation              HIV           Rights
  coordination           prevention    protection and
                                         Promotion




                    Provincial AIDS               Provincial AIDS
                      Committee                    Action Center
Thailand Getting to Zero
National Strategy on HIV/AIDS 2012 - 2016
Vision and Goals
   Vision: To get to Zero New HIV Infections
   Goal for 2016:
   • New HIV infections reduced by two-thirds
   • Rate of vertical transmission of HIV less than 1%

Vision: To get to Zero AIDS-related       Vision: To get to Zero
Deaths                                      Discrimination
Goal for 2016:                            Goal for 2016:
• Equal access to quality treatment,      • All laws and policies which block
care and support for all people living      effective responses removed
with HIV in Thailand                      • Reported violence related to
• People living with HIV and                gender reduced by ..
households affected by HIV are            • Reported incidents related to
addressed in social protection              stigma and discriminations
strategies and have equal access to         reduced by 50%
quality care and support
•TB/HIV deaths reduced by 50%
Zero
                        discrimination
Access to                                 Access to
prevention                                treatment




                      Treatment as
        Zero          prevention             Zero
                                         AIDS-related
  new HIV infection
                                            deaths



                                                        51
                      Enough resources
                      for all PLHIV
2 Strategic Directions
Innovation and Change
                                                       • New HIV infections reduced by
   • Expand rights based and gender sensitive
                                                         two-thirds
   comprehensive prevention services for
                                                       • Rate of vertical transmission of HIV
   population/risk behavior with high number of HIV
                                                         less than 1%
   transmission
   • Change laws and policies which hinder access to   •Equal access to quality treatment,
   prevention and care services                        care and support for all people living
   • Increase shared responsibility: local ownership   with HIV in Thailand
   and funding to an expanded response to HIV          • People living with HIV and
                                                       households affected by HIV are
   • Develop a new generation of strategic             addressed in social protection
   information to inform and guide the national        strategies and have equal access to
   response at all levels                              quality care and support
Maintain, Optimize and Consolidate                     • TB/HIV deaths reduced by 50%

   • Treatment, Care and Support                       • All laws and policies which block
   • PMTCT                                               effective responses removed
                                                       • Reported violence related to
   • Prevention among Young People                       gender reduced by ..
   • Mass communication                                • Reported incidents related to
                                                         stigma and discriminations reduced
   • Comprehensive condom program                        by 90%
   • Stigma and Discrimination
   • Blood Safety and Universal Precautions
Innovation and Change




               Maintain, Optimize and Consolidate




                                    Core Themes
• People centered : Empowering people and community
• Working paradigm: HIV is not only a disease but is about life
• Rights respect Rights based prevention and care services
• Focus: Increased focus, efficiency and mutual accountability
• Leadership and locally owned sustainable responses
• Partnership:
 Synergies maximized sand efficiencies achieved with GO, CSO and private sectors
Getting to Zero New HIV Infections
 Focus where most new infections occur...
  Population Groups:                               Geographic Focus:
  (Mode of Transmission)
  100%
                6%        Casual and
  90%                     Extramarital sex
  80%
                32%       Spousal
                          transmission
  70%                                        41%
  60%                     Injection Drug
                10%
94% of                    User
   50%
new             11%                                                 70% of new HIV
infections                Sex worker and
   40%
                          clients                                infections happen in
  30%
                          Male who had sex
                                                                     27 provinces
                41%
  20%                     with male

  10%

   0%
              2012-2016

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Plhiv & their household impact mitigation by Sukhonta Kongsin

  • 1. SOCIO-ECONOMIC & MENTAL HEALTH BURDENS OF HIV/AIDS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES 21 & 22 NOVEMBER 2011, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia "People living with HIV/AIDS and Their Households: Impact Mitigation: the Need for Strategic Action" Sukhontha Kongsin, M.Econ., Ph.D. Faculty of Public Health, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand phsks@mahidol.ac.th Sukhum Jiamton, M.D., Ph.D. Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand srsjt@mahidol.ac.th
  • 2. Thailand HIV/AIDS Epidemics Pregnant Youth and Women mobile population Male with From specific Multiple Partners to general populations Prostitutes Injection Drug Users (IDUs) Children Homo/Bisexuals 1984 ..……..1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 …………..….2004…..2008
  • 3. Impact Mitigation: the Need for Strategic Action State of Art: Impact of HIV/AIDS at the household level; Poverty; Inequality; Food security; Policy to mitigate the impact; inter/multi/trans-disciplinary approaches : What do we know already? Broad scopes: - From HIV vaccines through prevention care support and treatment - Short, medium and long term coping strategies - Trade-offs between resources for HIV/AIDS vs. other issues
  • 4. Health System Health care/services system Ministry of Public Health, Ministry of Finance, pharmaceuticals, medical professions, activists, donors, NGOs, research groups, etc. People Living with HIV/AIDS and Their Households: Impact Mitigation: the Need for Strategic Action Building bridges social scientists, epidemiologists, nutritionists, educators and agricultural economists, etc.
  • 5. HIV/AIDS Mortality Impact on Household and its coping Pitayanon, S., S. Kongsin, et al. (1997). The Economic Impact of HIV/AIDS Mortality on Households in Thailand. The Economics of HIV and AIDS. D. Bloom and P. Godwin. Delhi, India, Oxford University Press: 53-101.
  • 6. The economic impact of HIV/AIDS morbidity on households in rural Thailand: An analysis of household coping strategies KONGSIN S (*), SIRINIRUND P ($), JIAMTON S (#), BOONTHUM A (*) , WATTS CH (@) (*) Facultyof Public Health, Mahidol University, Thailand, ($) Phayao Provincial Health Office, Thailand, (#) Department of Dermatology, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Thailand, (@) London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,United Kingdom.
  • 7. Study location: Phayao, Thailand where reported HIV/AIDS cases were among the highest in Thailand in 1998 multi-sectoral assistance to people and communities affected by AIDS.
  • 8. Study Communities Two districts in Phayao: “Mueng” and “Pong” were chosen as the study location. Mueng district represented a community where there was an active response to HIV/AIDS (active villages), and Pong district as a community with a less active response to HIV/AIDS (less active villages)
  • 9. Community mapping to identify case and control household April-June 1999, 7000 households were contacted and asked about their member’s health status, member’s illness, willing to be interviewed or not. (Physical landscape, household location :ID)
  • 10. Selection of comparison districts and sub-districts Phayao Province High prevalence of HIV/AIDS High prevalence of HIV/AIDS (Active response to HIV/AIDS) (Less active response to HIV/AIDS) 9 sub-districts 9 sub-districts (a broad range of HIV/AIDS support and care service) (some HIV/AIDS support and care service) 57 villages 60 villages (3,488 households were contacted) (3,534 households were contacted) selected household case and control selected household case and control (inclusion/exclusion criterias) (inclusion/exclusion criterias) 150 case 150 control 150 case 150 control random sampling random sampling random sampling random sampling
  • 11. People Living with HIV/AIDS and Their Households: Impact Mitigation: the Need for Strategic Action Household level: AIDS, poverty and inequality Conceptualising form of household impact - HIV/AIDS morbidity: Production and labour ; Pattern of consumption; Income and expenditure; Structure and composition; Children ; Elderly social scientists, epidemiologists, nutritionists and agricultural economists, etc.
  • 12. Conceptualising household coping (1999-2000): Short term Household coping mechanisms include : • Adjustment of Household available resources, Borrowing, Transfer in/out, Increase market activities Community and relatives for household coping include : • Community donate or lend food, material, money; e.g. District AIDS Fund, Established community and home based care, Provision of child care, Provision of labour, Community participation and perceived changes, Transfer money in/out Support from GO/NGO for household coping include : • Child and elderly care, Counselling, Health services utilisation, Schooling and nutrition program, Training to care providers, Job training, Group therapy, meditation practice, Support group of PLHA, Self help group of PLHA, Information support basic care for PLHA
  • 13. Summary of main economic indicators from the historical simulation Indicators Control Case Percentage change Total income per capita 3923* 1218* -69 Total income of income 19978 3871* -81 earner (sick) Total income of income 1919 3345 74 earner (non-sick) Total Consumption per capita 3531* 1863* -47 Total savings per capita 392 -645 -265 Total loans per capital 339 Total debt per capita 1486 • * indicates that the figures are from the survey data, while others computed from the simulation • The modelling is based on a simple economics identitiy, Y=C+S The modelling is based on a simple Keynesian income function focusing on income consumption and saving
  • 14. Summary of consumption indicators from the historical simulation Indicators Control Case % change Total income per capita 3923* 1218* -69 Total consumption per capita 3531* 1863* -47 Total consumption food per capita 1052 594 -43 Total health care for non PLWHA per 237 49 -79 capita Total health care for PLWHA per capita 939 Total schooling consumption per capita 529 239 -55 Total other consumption per capita 2016 937 -54
  • 15. Summary of consumption indicators from the alternative simulation Alternative Simulation 20% decrease in health care Indicators % change % change PLWHA (control- (historical- case alternative household) simulation) Total consumption per capita 1835 -47 -1 Total other supports per capita 620 -8 Total money transfer in per 278 -8 capita Total selling assets per capita 31 -8 Total loans per capita 311 -8 Total debt per capita 1340 -9 Total saving per capita -617 -257 -4 Before 2003, not much support on the UC program for PLWHA, therefore household had to bear the cost
  • 16. Summary of consumption indicators from the alternative simulation Alternative Simulation 20% increase in health care Indicators PLWHA % change % change (control- (historical- case alternative household) simulation) Total consumption per capita 1891 -46 1 Total other supports per capita 670 0.06 Total money transfer in per capita 303 0.06 Total selling assets per capita 34 0.06 Total loans per capita 339 0.06 Total debt per capita 1746 17 Total saving per capita -672 -271 4 If health care expenses were subsidised by government, then better off !!
  • 17. Household coping: Follow up studies • Action taken to minimise distress, provide follow up support • Follow up studies: approved by renewal IRB (Mahidol University): willing to participate in the studies – 1999-2000: 600 households 324 cases from 300 case households (and 300 control households enrolled- neighbourhood control non AIDS families ) – 2004: 501 households - linked with HH-ID 319 cases from 266 case households + 56 previous control households (and 235 control households enrolled) – 2006: 312 households - linked with HH-ID 285 cases from 121 case households + 81 previous control households (and 191 control households enrolled) – 2008: 278 households (303 cases) - people are moving out, mobilisation or urban migration, etc.
  • 18. Household impact and coping mechanism (2004, 2006) • Household and community level (treatment dynamics and access to support + Universal access to ARTs in 2003, both first and second line): – social and economic impacts - disability grant, support group – socioeconomic status/poverty impact of HIV/AIDS – HIV/AIDS Orphans - missing generation – nutrition status - food security, food production, food supplements – livelihoods - maintain household income/expenditure patterns, alleviating labour shortage – behaviour - effect of ARV • Married persons significantly more likely to have commenced treatment (p<0.001) • More productivity, could earn more money
  • 19. Scope of Accessibility (2004-2008) • Medical services: – VCT & Screening – OI prophylaxis and treatment – ARV therapy for appropriate patients – Specific laboratory access (CD4,VL) (Thira Woratanarat and Anupong Chitwarakorn, 2005) • Psychological support: counseling networks and psychotherapy services for infected people and affected family/household • Socio-economic services: co-operate among various ministries, multisectoral collaboration for support (those who need support)
  • 20. Socio-economic determinants of HIV/AIDS in Thailand KONGSIN S (*), LERTCHAYANTEE S ($), JIAMTON S (#), WATTS CH (@) (*) Facultyof Public Health, Mahidol University, Thailand, ($) Phayao Provincial Health Office, Thailand, (#) Department of Dermatology, Faculty of Medicine, Mahidol University, Thailand, (@) London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,United Kingdom.
  • 21. Table 1: Demographic characteristics of PLWHA PLWHA Phayao p-value Results Characteristic (n=324 cases) age (mean) = 31.98, age<=31 [51.5%] age >= 40 [%] 9.7 20.8 <0.0001 male sex [%] 46.3 57.6 <0.0001 no school education [%] 3.7 8.9 0.005 no or primary school education. 42.9 71.0 <0.0001 [%] unemployed 3.2 1.6 <0.0001 [% of labourer, male] agriculturer /labourer [% of 64.6 71.4 >0.05 employed] • The age and sex distribution among PLWHA differs significantly from the general population in the study location. • The proportion of PLWHA aged 40 and above is 9.7 % among 324 PLWHA, compared to 20.8 % in the general population. The respective proportions for male sex are 46.3% and 57.6%. The percentage of PLWHA with no formal education is 3.7%, compared to 8.9% in the general population. Including primary education, the respective proportions are 42.9% and 71% respectively. Unemployment is higher among PLWHA (3.2 % vs. 1.6%). • Among those who are employed, the proportion of farmers and labourers is slightly lower than in the general population (64.6% vs. 71.4%) but this is not statistically significant. Significance levels for the statistical tests and results are shown in Table 1.
  • 22. Socio-economic indicators PLWHA Phayao p -value Indicator (n=300 households) household income 85,740 82,278 0.0084 household members 3.8 4.1 0.0095 per capita income 23,889 20,052 0.0059 household expenditure 4,157 4,435 >0.05 per capita food 679 685 >0.05 poverty [%] 23.4 17.5 <0.001 (Thai Baht: THB) • Average household incomes (THB 85,740 vs. THB 82,278) and per capita incomes (THB 23,889 vs. THB 20,052) are significantly higher among PLWHA than in the general population in Phayao. • A small but significant difference exists for the average number of household members (3.8 vs. 4.1). • The proportion of persons with household per capita incomes below the poverty line is significantly higher in the patient group (23.4% vs. 17.5%). •Significance levels for the statistical tests and results are shown in above table
  • 23. Household assets PLWHA Phayao Possession of household (n=300 households) assets [% of households] car 13.4 12.4 truck 6.7 7.3 motorcycle 59.7 47.5 stove 61.2 61.5 refrigerator 54.8 49.2 rice cooker 71.4 69.1 radio 71.7 70.8 Television 81.3 80.3 • Household assets are presented at similar proportions in households of PLWHA and the general population. • This observation is made for both "luxury" (e.g., car, television) and "regular" household assets (e.g., rice cooker, stove). • All items (motorcycle, refrigerator) were found slightly more frequently in PLWHAs' households than in the general population
  • 24. Age distribution of socio-economic indicators Age - age distribution socio-economic indicators by age-group poverty distribution [% of total] group [% of total] primary percapita per capita poverty prevalence educatio income expendit- [%] n [%] [Baht] ure [Baht] Phayao PLWHA all male female crude age adjusted Phayao data 20-25 18.8 12.3 66.9 34,056 17,292 12.6 14.5 9.4 4.0 21.2 7.5 26-30 21.4 32.5 72.9 36,518 17,940 15.4 16.7 11.1 11.1 24.9 24.6 31-35 20.4 27.4 90.3 28,265 16,620 18.0 16.5 22.4 15.8 19.1 24.0 36-40 18.6 19.4 93.0 26,971 11,964 17.8 11.4 30.6 14.3 12.1 18.5 >40 20.8 8.2 95.5 21,702 11,676 35.0 30.3 42.8 54.8 22.8 25.1 Total for age / sex 73.7% 30,502 16,098 18.9 Total 100 100 100 adjusted data Phayao 75.87 21,618 15,215 16.3 To assess whether the high prevalence of poverty among PLHA (age>40) is different from that observed in the general population, we analysed the age distribution of PLHA with incomes below the poverty line. Fifty five percent of all poor PLHA are 40 years or older in the crude data set. This proportion decreases substantially to 22.8% if the data are age- and sex adjusted. In the general population, 25.1% of all poverty occurs among people older than forty, indicating that the prevalence of poverty in this age group is similar in both PLHA group and general population. Incomes and expenditures, educational achievements, as well as the prevalence of poverty among PLHA are dependent on age and sex. The lowest levels of education, lowest income, and highest prevalence of poverty occurs in PLHA of age 40 or older (30.3% for male, 42.8% for female). Except for the age group 20-30, poverty occurs more frequently among male than female.
  • 25. Age- and sex standardisation of patient data results in a decrease of the average poverty level from 23.4% to 17.9% (vs. 17.5% in the general population). Standardised data also show slightly higher per capita expenditures in the PLWHA (THB 16,098 p.a. vs. THB 15,215 p.a.), while the relation is the reverse for unadjusted data (Table 3). Standardisation substantially decreases the proportion of PLWHA with no or primary education (from 42.9% to 73.7%, vs. 75.9% in the general population). • From our study, we are unable to determine whether our finding is based on more recent developments or represents a chronic disease distribution within the Thai population. The age- group 20-39 years, which is strongly affected by the HIV epidemic in study population, is also the age group that has the highest average income among PLWHA households (Table 2). This observation may indicate a spread to more specific groups under the impact of the HIV epidemic. • While the prevalence of poverty in PLWHA (age>40) is very high, this finding is again a reflection of the situation in the general population of the study location (Table 5). We can therefore not identify poverty as a risk factor to explain the higher incidence HIV/AIDS among this group in our sample. • It should be noted that our results could not be interpreted as a refutation of claims about the importance of socio-economic factors for susceptibility to HIV/AIDS. It is possible that most of or all of the unreported cases have low incomes that higher deter them from attending government services. In addition, treatment services in Thailand are still centralised at district hospitals, so that travel expenses are required for many PLWHA to visit these hospitals. Although these expenses are considered to be "minimal", people with incomes below poverty line may nevertheless be unaffordable for most cases whose expenditure is most likely to be stressed directly on their basic necessities like food consumption (Table 3).
  • 26. Household impact and coping mechanism (2006, 2008) • Impact Mitigation: Community strengthening to support long term and continuous care – environmental and institutional factors: Physical/geographical – increase investment from local authority in impact mitigation – community coping responses: traditional grassroots or indigenous organisations, formal community-based organisations (external support from NGOs or other agencies) – migration and complex emergencies - drug resistance – health services and policy (including access to health care, quality of care, and health sector reform) – development policy- Healthy Public Policies, Social Safety Net
  • 27. The HIV/AIDS Continuum of Care Primary Health Community coping responses Care Secondary -Health posts Health -Dispensaries Care District -Traditional Hospitals -Orphan care HIV Clinics Social/legal Support Community Care Hospice Voluntary NGOs Churches Counseling Youth Groups Testing Volunteers Specialists Palliative and Specialised PLHA emotional and Care facilities spiritual support The entry self care point Peer support Tertiary Health Care Home care Thira Woratanarat and Anupong Chitwarakorn, 2005
  • 28. Mainstream HIV/AIDS to Impact Mitigation Policy Nexus: What evidence is needed to help policy-makers make informed decisions? What challenges do policy-makers face in using research on economic impacts of HIV/AIDS to inform their policymaking process? What policies is this impact mitigation best able to inform?
  • 29. Initiative mainstream HIV/AIDS to impact mitigation • nourishing families • incentives for the vulnerable to re-invest in productive farming • food security, nutrition, gender, methods, targeting, M&E and impact assessments • nutritive value - genetic/ post-harvest fortification, for example, aflatoxin reduction • scaling out improved varieties with market traits, and • strengthen partnerships.
  • 30. Potential focus areas for strategic mainstreaming at the household level in impact mitigation • Strengthen partnerships: partnership between the communities, governments, donor agencies, international NGOs, local NGOs, private sector and others in mitigating the impacts of HIV/AIDS. • The relationship between households and social networks: including both how these networks affects the impact of and responses to the epidemic and how they, in turn, are affected. • Greater focus on the informal economy and possible support mechanisms: looking at the links between HIV/AIDS and households' ability to generate income, etc.
  • 31. Estimated number of new HIV infections, projected by utilising Asian Epidemic Model Year MSM, Sex Spousal Casual and Total workers and transmission extramarital sex clients, IDU 2012 5,608 3,231 634 9,473 2013 5,461 2,920 579 8,959 2014 5,331 2,674 530 8,535 2015 5,221 2,475 488 8,184 2016 5,126 2,313 450 7,890 2012-2016 26,746 12,613 2,681 43,040 % of total 62% 32% 6% 100% new HIV infections 31
  • 32. Coverage of PLHIV in need for ART, Thailand 2004-2009 ART Need Current Receiving 300,000 75.8 % 67.1 % 250,000 56.4 % 51.5 % 200,000 42.5 % 2,983,773,000 Baht 150,000 32.5 % 4,382,400,000 Baht 100,000 3,855,600,000 Baht 50,000 0 2547 2548 2549 2550 2551 2552 (2004) Source: UNGASS 2010 Report
  • 33. National AIDS Spending Assessment Cost categories 2008 2009 Mil. Baht % Mil. Baht % 1. Prevention 1,500 21.7 987 13.7 2. Care and treatment 4,560 65.8 5,483 76.1 3. Assistance for children affected by AIDS 50 0.7 52 0.7 4. Management and strengthening 397 5.7 250 3.5 planning 5. Compensation for staff 44 0.6 208 2.9 6. Rights protection and social service 219 3.2 171 2.4 7. Improving environment and community 2 0.0 8 0.1 development 8. Research 156 2.3 49 0.7 Total 6,928 100.0 7,208 100.0 Domestic source (%) 85 % 93% Remarks # 6 : care for children is not included # 8: operational research is not included
  • 34. Possible key questions are: • How do the social networks that exist affect vulnerability to HIV/AIDS (specific emphasis on economic vulnerability/ poverty)? • How do social networks mitigate impact and affect responses to the pandemic? • How does HIV/AIDS at an individual/household level impact on social networks (e.g. issues of extended family support; foster parents; social support mechanisms, effects on types of income sources and migration)? • On the basis of a greater understanding of social networks, how can one (re)define an 'affected household' to try to achieve a more accurate assessment of impact?
  • 35. Overarching issues • Quality and representativeness of data • Produce information appropriate for policy development (not “policy evidence base”) • Extend focus beyond the rural economy • Interdisciplinary, multidisciplinary approach • Methodological innovation (nature of attrition bias, statistical power, econometrics: two-step model, results may be specific to context/setting) • Be prepared for the unexpected • Better dissemination of information
  • 36. Thailand Getting to Zero National Strategy on HIV/AIDS 2012 - 2016
  • 37. Vision and Goals Vision: To get to Zero New HIV Infections Goal for 2016: • New HIV infections reduced by two-thirds • Rate of vertical transmission of HIV less than 1% Vision: To get to Zero AIDS-related Vision: To get to Zero Deaths Discrimination Goal for 2016: Goal for 2016: • Equal access to quality treatment, • All laws and policies which block care and support for all people living effective responses removed with HIV in Thailand • Reported violence related to • People living with HIV and gender reduced by .. households affected by HIV are • Reported incidents related to addressed in social protection stigma and discriminations strategies and have equal access to reduced by 50% quality care and support •TB/HIV deaths reduced by 50%
  • 38. Zero discrimination Access to Access to prevention treatment Treatment as Zero prevention Zero AIDS-related new HIV infection deaths 38 Enough resources for all PLHIV
  • 39. Acknowledgements My household respondents Tony Barnett and Alan Whiteside Charlotte Watts Sukhum Jiamton Anne Mills Viroj Tangcharoensathien Yot Teerawattananon Petchsri Sirinirund Swarup Sarker Anita Albun Kanchit Limpakarnchanarat Martha Ainsworth Wiwat Rojanapithayakorn Mead Over Wichai Choakwiwat Germano Mwabu Professsor Pirom kamolrattanakul Wiput Phoolchareon Pasakorn Akarasewi Suwit Wibulpolprasert Caitlin Wiesen
  • 40.
  • 41. HIV Situation and National AIDS Strategy Thailand
  • 42. Thailand IBBS 2010: Integrated Bio- Number of people living Behavioural Surveillance with HIV: HIV prevalence: Low 418,070 / average FSW 2.7% MSW 16.3% 532,461 / high 662,143 MSM 10.1% IDU 26.0% HIV prevalence: Condom use: Low 0.78 / average 1.30 / FSW 97.9% MSW 77.5% high 1.6 MSM 64.7% IDU 49.0% HIV incidence: 0.03 / 0.04 Use sterile injecting equipment 75.8% Total population: 68.1 mil HIV testing in last 12 months: FSW 56.3% MSW 42.0% MSM 27.9%
  • 43. Reported AIDS cases and Deaths from AIDS 1984-2010, Thailand Source: Bureau of Epidemiology
  • 44. Sentinel sero-surveillance among most-at-risk population groups Thailand, 1989 - 2007 HIV Prevalence (%) N=97 N=183 N=73 N=128 N=97 N=474 N=48 Surveillance round Remarks : 1. 2 surveillance rounds during 1989 – 1994 (Rnd 1-12) 2. In 1995 (Rnd13) all CSW included in Indirect CSW Source: Bureau of Epidemiology, MOPH, Thailand
  • 45. Estimated number of new HIV infections, projected by utilising Asian Epidemic Model Year MSM, Sex Spousal Casual and Total workers and transmission extramarital sex clients, IDU 2012 5,608 3,231 634 9,473 2013 5,461 2,920 579 8,959 2014 5,331 2,674 530 8,535 2015 5,221 2,475 488 8,184 2016 5,126 2,313 450 7,890 2012-2016 26,746 12,613 2,681 43,040 % of total 62% 32% 6% 100% new HIV infections 45
  • 46. Coverage of PLHIV in need for ART, Thailand ART Need Current Receiving 300,000 75.8 % 67.1 % 250,000 56.4 % 51.5 % 200,000 42.5 % 2,983,773,000 Baht 150,000 32.5 % 4,382,400,000 Baht 100,000 3,855,600,000 Baht 50,000 0 2547 2548 2549 2550 2551 2552 Source: UNGASS 2010 Report
  • 47. National AIDS Spending Assessment Cost categories 2008 2009 Mil. Baht % Mil. Baht % 1. Prevention 1,500 21.7 987 13.7 2. Care and treatment 4,560 65.8 5,483 76.1 3. Assistance for children affected by AIDS 50 0.7 52 0.7 4. Management and strengthening 397 5.7 250 3.5 planning 5. Compensation for staff 44 0.6 208 2.9 6. Rights protection and social service 219 3.2 171 2.4 7. Improving environment and community 2 0.0 8 0.1 development 8. Research 156 2.3 49 0.7 Total 6,928 100.0 7,208 100.0 Domestic source (%) 85 % 93% Remarks # 6 : care for children is not included # 8: operational research is not included
  • 48. National AIDS Committee National AIDS Management Center Subcommittee for Subcommittee Subcommittee Subcommittee plan / budget and to advance for AIDS for vaccine trials implementation HIV Rights coordination prevention protection and Promotion Provincial AIDS Provincial AIDS Committee Action Center
  • 49. Thailand Getting to Zero National Strategy on HIV/AIDS 2012 - 2016
  • 50. Vision and Goals Vision: To get to Zero New HIV Infections Goal for 2016: • New HIV infections reduced by two-thirds • Rate of vertical transmission of HIV less than 1% Vision: To get to Zero AIDS-related Vision: To get to Zero Deaths Discrimination Goal for 2016: Goal for 2016: • Equal access to quality treatment, • All laws and policies which block care and support for all people living effective responses removed with HIV in Thailand • Reported violence related to • People living with HIV and gender reduced by .. households affected by HIV are • Reported incidents related to addressed in social protection stigma and discriminations strategies and have equal access to reduced by 50% quality care and support •TB/HIV deaths reduced by 50%
  • 51. Zero discrimination Access to Access to prevention treatment Treatment as Zero prevention Zero AIDS-related new HIV infection deaths 51 Enough resources for all PLHIV
  • 52. 2 Strategic Directions Innovation and Change • New HIV infections reduced by • Expand rights based and gender sensitive two-thirds comprehensive prevention services for • Rate of vertical transmission of HIV population/risk behavior with high number of HIV less than 1% transmission • Change laws and policies which hinder access to •Equal access to quality treatment, prevention and care services care and support for all people living • Increase shared responsibility: local ownership with HIV in Thailand and funding to an expanded response to HIV • People living with HIV and households affected by HIV are • Develop a new generation of strategic addressed in social protection information to inform and guide the national strategies and have equal access to response at all levels quality care and support Maintain, Optimize and Consolidate • TB/HIV deaths reduced by 50% • Treatment, Care and Support • All laws and policies which block • PMTCT effective responses removed • Reported violence related to • Prevention among Young People gender reduced by .. • Mass communication • Reported incidents related to stigma and discriminations reduced • Comprehensive condom program by 90% • Stigma and Discrimination • Blood Safety and Universal Precautions
  • 53. Innovation and Change Maintain, Optimize and Consolidate Core Themes • People centered : Empowering people and community • Working paradigm: HIV is not only a disease but is about life • Rights respect Rights based prevention and care services • Focus: Increased focus, efficiency and mutual accountability • Leadership and locally owned sustainable responses • Partnership: Synergies maximized sand efficiencies achieved with GO, CSO and private sectors
  • 54. Getting to Zero New HIV Infections Focus where most new infections occur... Population Groups: Geographic Focus: (Mode of Transmission) 100% 6% Casual and 90% Extramarital sex 80% 32% Spousal transmission 70% 41% 60% Injection Drug 10% 94% of User 50% new 11% 70% of new HIV infections Sex worker and 40% clients infections happen in 30% Male who had sex 27 provinces 41% 20% with male 10% 0% 2012-2016