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Mid-Atlantic Commercial Realty
                                            Superior Tenant Representation
               Your “Real Estate Advisor” in the Traditional Brokerage Role
February 2010                                                                                            Volume 2, Number 1

        New Leases               Renewals        Relocations         Expansions             Exit Strategies     Subleasing



Market Notes                              More Free Rent Leads to a Higher Rental Rate
 The 2009 year end Metro
  Washington office vacancy rate
                                          There are two primary reasons landlords offer so much free rent in a weak
  increased to 13.8% from 11.2% at        market. First, offering free rent allows the landlord to keep the rental rate and
  2008 year end1.
   Northern Virginia increased to
                                          property value artificially high. Higher revenues increase the property’s net
    14.8% from 12.9%                      operating income and the value of the property, all other variables remaining
   Suburban Maryland increased
    to 15.3% from 12.9%                   constant. Second, landlords need to lease space in a very weak and competitive
   Washington DC increased to            market to attract new tenants while retaining existing ones.
    11.7% from 7.8%
     1. Source: Cassidy Turley

                                          Higher Rental Rates
 2009 year end “asking” rental rates
  are down between 3.0% and 5.0%          Many of the office buildings in the DC area are owned by institutional investors
  throughout the region from a year
  ago while net effective rental rates    who are focused on enhancing the value of their properties versus maximizing
  (see article for definition) are down
  10% to 20%.                             cash flow. These owners are required to internally value their properties
 Lack of overall tenant demand in        quarterly and annually through a formal appraisal. Higher property values better
  2010 is projected to continue
  downward pressure on rental rates       position the property for sale in future years.
  and upward pressure on
  concession packages as vacancies
  rise in the region
                                          Landlords project property value increases using the simple “back of the napkin”
 New vacant buildings opening
  were the primary cause of               valuation formula V = I ÷ R (V = Property Value. I = Net Operating Income. R =
  increasing vacancy rates which
  were partially offset by stronger 4th   Capitalization Rate or “Cap Rate”). The Cap Rate is an individual investor’s
  quarter 2009 leasing activity by the
  Federal government and large            required rate of return for an investment. As NOI increases and the Cap Rate
  government contractors.
                                          remains constant the property value increases.
 These two sectors are also
  projected to be growth catalysts in
  2010.
                                          Many landlords analyze the value of a new lease or a renewal for a building on a
 Mid-Atlantic projects a slow and
  bumpy crawl to an economic              net effective basis. To simplify the analysis here we are not going to use the
  recovery in 2010 and 2011 due to
  the current lack of consumer and
                                          discounted cash flow model and will exclude lease commissions. Let’s assume
  business confidence and ongoing         your company could negotiate a five year office lease with 5,000 square feet at
  domestic and international debt
  troubles and uncertainly.               $30.00/SF with 3.0% annual escalations, a $25.00/SF tenant improvement
 Landlords are being more
                                          allowance and three months free rent. The three months free rent equals
  aggressive to renew leases as
  rental rates on new leases decline.     $1.50/SF per year over the five year lease term. Tenant improvements equal
  Tenants are renewing 12 to 24
  months ahead of lease expiration.       $25.00/SF or $5.00/SF per year. The net effective rent is $23.50/SF ($30.00/SF
 Tenants should consider leasing         - $1.50/SF - $5.00/SF). If no free rent is offered then the landlord would likely
  from well capitalized and stable
  owners to avoid the possibility of
losing their tenant improvement        lease the space at a “minimum” of $28.50/SF ($23.50/SF + $5.00/SF) to achieve
  allowance.
                                         the same net effective rental rate.

You like your broker.
How do you really                        Over the five year term the escalated rental rates for the above “free rent” deal
know if your broker is                   and the “no free rent” deal are $33.77/SF and $32.08/SF, respectively. Using the
competent?                               valuation formula above, the property value will be higher for the “free rent” deal
 Has it been over one year since
  your broker contacted you?             than the “no free rent” deal because revenues and therefore NOI would be
 Your broker should be working          projected to be higher after the three months free rent are burned off.
  closely with you now as your real
  estate advisor not just someone
  who shows up to get a deal done,
  collect a commission and move on.      Competition
 Has your broker recently talked to     The second reason landlords offer so much free rent in a soft market is very
  you about strategies and options to
  reduce leasing costs?                  simple. Overall, there are fewer tenants in the market looking for space with an
 Contact us to compare your             abundance of options. Many tenants that would not necessarily relocate their
  broker’s recommendations and
  our recommendations for any of         businesses may be attracted to a superior building at the same or lower rental
  your leasing challenges.
                                         rate which is referred to as a “flight to quality”. Tenants can negotiate high
 Ask us for a courtesy review of
  your lease to identify any             tenant improvement allowances, significant free rent or a combination of the two
  weaknesses:
                                         to either offset or pay for moving, cabling and furniture costs. Landlords may
   Recent deal terms: Rental rate,
    free rent and tenant                 need to offer whatever level of free rent is necessary to be competitive and
    improvements;
                                         attract new tenants and retain existing ones. More importantly, landlords are
   Risks that should have been
    mitigated;                           highly motivated to prevent their buildings from foreclosure. Tenants should be
   Rights that should have been         negotiating several lease proposals simultaneously when either searching for
    improved upon;
                                         alternative locations or renewing a lease. Using one landlord’s proposal against
   Obligations that should never
    have been agreed to;                 others is not a new negotiating tactic. This strategy creates opportunities for
   Non-rent related costs that
    should be lower.
                                         tenants to push landlords to be even more aggressive and competitive. Mid-
                                         Atlantic Commercial Realty projects tenants will continue to have negotiating
Dana K. Weinberg                         leverage over landlords throughout 2010. Tenants are advised to explore
CEO & Founder
3745 Freehill Lane                       opportunities to reduce leasing costs even if the conclusion is to do nothing.
Fairfax, VA 22033
703.967.2771
dweinberg@midatlanticcr.com              Combined Website & Blog:
                                         http://www.midatlanticcommercialrealty.com

                                             Learn all about leasing
                                             Ask questions
                                             Start a discussion
                                             Post information

                                         Email: dweinberg@midatlanticcr.com


                                         If you wish to “unsubscribe” from this email please respond with “unsubscribe” in
                                        the subject line.

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More Free Rent Leads To a Higher Rental Rate

  • 1. Mid-Atlantic Commercial Realty Superior Tenant Representation Your “Real Estate Advisor” in the Traditional Brokerage Role February 2010 Volume 2, Number 1 New Leases Renewals Relocations Expansions Exit Strategies Subleasing Market Notes More Free Rent Leads to a Higher Rental Rate  The 2009 year end Metro Washington office vacancy rate There are two primary reasons landlords offer so much free rent in a weak increased to 13.8% from 11.2% at market. First, offering free rent allows the landlord to keep the rental rate and 2008 year end1.  Northern Virginia increased to property value artificially high. Higher revenues increase the property’s net 14.8% from 12.9% operating income and the value of the property, all other variables remaining  Suburban Maryland increased to 15.3% from 12.9% constant. Second, landlords need to lease space in a very weak and competitive  Washington DC increased to market to attract new tenants while retaining existing ones. 11.7% from 7.8% 1. Source: Cassidy Turley Higher Rental Rates  2009 year end “asking” rental rates are down between 3.0% and 5.0% Many of the office buildings in the DC area are owned by institutional investors throughout the region from a year ago while net effective rental rates who are focused on enhancing the value of their properties versus maximizing (see article for definition) are down 10% to 20%. cash flow. These owners are required to internally value their properties  Lack of overall tenant demand in quarterly and annually through a formal appraisal. Higher property values better 2010 is projected to continue downward pressure on rental rates position the property for sale in future years. and upward pressure on concession packages as vacancies rise in the region Landlords project property value increases using the simple “back of the napkin”  New vacant buildings opening were the primary cause of valuation formula V = I ÷ R (V = Property Value. I = Net Operating Income. R = increasing vacancy rates which were partially offset by stronger 4th Capitalization Rate or “Cap Rate”). The Cap Rate is an individual investor’s quarter 2009 leasing activity by the Federal government and large required rate of return for an investment. As NOI increases and the Cap Rate government contractors. remains constant the property value increases.  These two sectors are also projected to be growth catalysts in 2010. Many landlords analyze the value of a new lease or a renewal for a building on a  Mid-Atlantic projects a slow and bumpy crawl to an economic net effective basis. To simplify the analysis here we are not going to use the recovery in 2010 and 2011 due to the current lack of consumer and discounted cash flow model and will exclude lease commissions. Let’s assume business confidence and ongoing your company could negotiate a five year office lease with 5,000 square feet at domestic and international debt troubles and uncertainly. $30.00/SF with 3.0% annual escalations, a $25.00/SF tenant improvement  Landlords are being more allowance and three months free rent. The three months free rent equals aggressive to renew leases as rental rates on new leases decline. $1.50/SF per year over the five year lease term. Tenant improvements equal Tenants are renewing 12 to 24 months ahead of lease expiration. $25.00/SF or $5.00/SF per year. The net effective rent is $23.50/SF ($30.00/SF  Tenants should consider leasing - $1.50/SF - $5.00/SF). If no free rent is offered then the landlord would likely from well capitalized and stable owners to avoid the possibility of
  • 2. losing their tenant improvement lease the space at a “minimum” of $28.50/SF ($23.50/SF + $5.00/SF) to achieve allowance. the same net effective rental rate. You like your broker. How do you really Over the five year term the escalated rental rates for the above “free rent” deal know if your broker is and the “no free rent” deal are $33.77/SF and $32.08/SF, respectively. Using the competent? valuation formula above, the property value will be higher for the “free rent” deal  Has it been over one year since your broker contacted you? than the “no free rent” deal because revenues and therefore NOI would be  Your broker should be working projected to be higher after the three months free rent are burned off. closely with you now as your real estate advisor not just someone who shows up to get a deal done, collect a commission and move on. Competition  Has your broker recently talked to The second reason landlords offer so much free rent in a soft market is very you about strategies and options to reduce leasing costs? simple. Overall, there are fewer tenants in the market looking for space with an  Contact us to compare your abundance of options. Many tenants that would not necessarily relocate their broker’s recommendations and our recommendations for any of businesses may be attracted to a superior building at the same or lower rental your leasing challenges. rate which is referred to as a “flight to quality”. Tenants can negotiate high  Ask us for a courtesy review of your lease to identify any tenant improvement allowances, significant free rent or a combination of the two weaknesses: to either offset or pay for moving, cabling and furniture costs. Landlords may  Recent deal terms: Rental rate, free rent and tenant need to offer whatever level of free rent is necessary to be competitive and improvements; attract new tenants and retain existing ones. More importantly, landlords are  Risks that should have been mitigated; highly motivated to prevent their buildings from foreclosure. Tenants should be  Rights that should have been negotiating several lease proposals simultaneously when either searching for improved upon; alternative locations or renewing a lease. Using one landlord’s proposal against  Obligations that should never have been agreed to; others is not a new negotiating tactic. This strategy creates opportunities for  Non-rent related costs that should be lower. tenants to push landlords to be even more aggressive and competitive. Mid- Atlantic Commercial Realty projects tenants will continue to have negotiating Dana K. Weinberg leverage over landlords throughout 2010. Tenants are advised to explore CEO & Founder 3745 Freehill Lane opportunities to reduce leasing costs even if the conclusion is to do nothing. Fairfax, VA 22033 703.967.2771 dweinberg@midatlanticcr.com Combined Website & Blog: http://www.midatlanticcommercialrealty.com  Learn all about leasing  Ask questions  Start a discussion  Post information Email: dweinberg@midatlanticcr.com If you wish to “unsubscribe” from this email please respond with “unsubscribe” in the subject line.