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Week 7 Discussion - Global Trends for the Future International
Business
After reading "Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World"
choose one "Relative Certainty" and one "Key Uncertainty" and
express your opinion on the topic and whether or not you agree.
The 2025 Global Landscape
Relative Certainties
Likely Impact
A global multipolar system is emerging with the rise of China,
India, and others. The relative power of nonstate actors -
businesses, tribes, religious organizations, and even criminal
networks-also will increase.
By 2025 a single "international community" composed of
nation-states will no longer exist. Power will be more dispersed
with the newer players bringing new rules of the game while
risks will increase that the traditional Western alliances will
weaken. Rather than emulating Western models of political and
economic development, more countries may be attracted to
China's alternative development model.
The unprecedented shift in relative wealth and economic power
roughly from West to East now under way will continue.
As some countries become more invested in their economic
well-being, incentives toward geopolitical stability could
increase. However, the transfer is strengthening states like
Russia that want to challenge the Western order.
The United States will remain the single most powerful country
but will be less dominant.
Shrinking economic and military capabilities may force the US
into a difficult set of tradeoffs between domestic versus foreign
policy priorities.
Continued economic growth-coupled with 1.2 billion more
people by 2025 - will put pressure on energy, food, and water
resources.
The pace of technological innovation will be key to outcomes
during this period. All current technologies are inadequate for
replacing traditional energy architecture on the scale needed.
The number of countries with youthful populations in the "arc
of instability"1 will decrease, but the populations of several
youth-bulge states are projected to remain on rapid growth
trajectories.
Unless employment conditions change dramatically in parlous
youth-bulge states such as Afghanistan, Nigeria, Pakistan, and
Yemen, these countries will remain ripe for continued
instability and state failure.
The potential for conflict will increase owing to rapid changes
in parts of the
greater Middle East and the spread of lethal capabilities.
The need for the US to act as regional balancer in the Middle
East will increase, although other outside powers-Russia, China
and India-will play greater roles than today.
Terrorism is unlikely to disappear by 2025, but its appeal could
lessen if economic growth continues in the Middle East and
youth unemployment is reduced. For those terrorists that are
active the diffusion of technologies will put dangerous
capabilities within their reach.
Opportunities for mass-casualty terrorist attacks using chemical,
biological, or less likely, nuclear
weapons will increase as technology diffuses and nuclear power
(and possibly weapons) programs
expand. The practical and psychological consequences of such
attacks will intensify in an increasingly globalized world.
1. Countries with youthful age structures and rapidly growing
populations mark a crescent or "arc of instability" stretching
from the Andean region of Latin America across Sub-Saharan
Africa, the Middle East and the Caucasus, and through the
northern parts of South Asia.
Key Uncertainties
Potential Consequences
Whether an energy transition away from oil and gas-Whether an
energy transition away from oil and gas-supported by improved
energy storage, biofuels, and clean coal-is completed during the
2025 time frame.
With high oil and gas prices, major exporters such as Russia
and Iran will substantially augment their levels of national
power, with Russia's GDP potentially approaching that of the
UK and France. A sustained plunge in prices, perhaps
underpinned by a fundamental switch to new energy sources,
could trigger a long-term decline for producers as global and
regional players.
How quickly climate change occurs and the locations where its
impact is most pronounced.
Climate change is likely to exacerbate resource scarcities,
particularly water scarcities.
Whether mercantilism stages a comeback and global markets
recede.
Descending into a world of resource nationalism increases the
risk of great power confrontations.
Whether advances toward democracy occur in China and Russia.
Political pluralism seems less likely in Russia in the absence of
economic diversification. A growing middle class increases the
chances of political liberalization and potentially greater
nationalism in China
Whether regional fears about a nucleararmed Iran trigger an
arms race and greater militarization.
Episodes of low-intensity conflict and terrorism taking place
under a nuclear umbrella could lead to an unintended escalation
and broader conflict.
Whether the greater Middle East becomes more stable,
especially
whether Iraq stabilizes, and whether the Arab-Israeli conflict is
resolved peacefully.
Turbulence is likely to increase under most scenarios. Revival
of economic growth, a more
prosperous Iraq, and resolution of the Israeli - Palestinian
dispute could engender some stability as
the region deals with a strengthening Iran and global transition
away from oil and gas.
Whether Europe and Japan overcome economic and social
challenges caused or compounded by demography.
Successful integration of Muslim minorities in Europe could
expand the size of the productive work forces and avert social
crisis. Lack of efforts by Europe and Japan to mitigate
demographic challenges could lead to long-term declines.
Whether global powers work with multilateral institutions to
adapt their structure and performance to the transformed
geopolitical landscape.
Emerging powers show ambivalence toward global institutions
like the UN and IMF, but this could change as they become
bigger players on the global stage. Asian integration could lead
to more powerful regional institutions. NATO faces stiff
challenges in meeting growing out-of-area responsibilities with
declining European military capabilities. Traditional alliances
will weaken.
Taken from "'Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World' US
Director of National Intelligence"
Week 7 Discussion - The Pear Corporation and a Stock Split or
Stock Dividend – Finacial Accounting
The Pear Corporation makes and distributes PC’s and various
peripheral devices to the Global Technical Consumer market.
The company’s global performance has been excellent and has
driven their stock price substantially above the preferred trading
range of $50 per share and the company’s board of directors is
contemplating a strategy to reduce the stock price.
They are considering either a stock split or stock dividend
strategy to develop more shareholder wealth and at the same
time lower the stock’s trading price to a more normal and
affordable trading range. As the investment banker for the Pear
Corporation you must recommend the best financial strategy for
them that will:
A. A. Lower the stock price and allow for more
trading volume.
B. B. Enhance current shareholder wealth
C. C. Keep the long-term growth prospects for the
company intact.
Please provide some reasons for you decision and what the
long-term effects will be for the Pear Corporation.
Ref:
Text: Financial Accounting: Tools for Business Decision
MakingAuthor: Kimmel, Weygandt, Kieso
Publisher: Wiley
Ed/Year: 7th/2013
ISBN-13 (hard cover): 978-1118162286
ISBN (e-text): 978-1118562178
al Thinking: Risk Assessment (105 points)
Review the following article:
Abolfotouh, M. A., AlQarni, A. A., Al-Ghamdi, S. M., Salam,
M., Al-Assiri, M. H., & Balkhy, H. H. (2017). An assessment of
the level of concern among hospital-based health-care workers
regarding MERS outbreaks in Saudi Arabia. BMC Infectious
Diseases, 17(1), 4.
Create a risk assessment plan for Hospitals of the Ministry of
National Guard in Saudi Arabia to protect healthcare workers
and patients from the spread of MERS by infected patients.
The risk assessment plan should address the following:
· Statement of purpose
· Authority and responsibility for implementation
· Goals and objectives
· Scope and functions
· Monitoring and quality evaluation of program
Requirements:
· Your plan should be 5-6 pages in length, not including the
title and reference pages.
· You must include a minimum of three credible sources. Use
the Saudi Electronic Digital Library to find your resources.
· Your paper must follow Saudi Electronic University academic
writing standards and APA style guidelines, as appropriate

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Week 7 Discussion - Global Trends for the Future International Bus.docx

  • 1. Week 7 Discussion - Global Trends for the Future International Business After reading "Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World" choose one "Relative Certainty" and one "Key Uncertainty" and express your opinion on the topic and whether or not you agree. The 2025 Global Landscape Relative Certainties Likely Impact A global multipolar system is emerging with the rise of China, India, and others. The relative power of nonstate actors - businesses, tribes, religious organizations, and even criminal networks-also will increase. By 2025 a single "international community" composed of nation-states will no longer exist. Power will be more dispersed with the newer players bringing new rules of the game while risks will increase that the traditional Western alliances will weaken. Rather than emulating Western models of political and economic development, more countries may be attracted to China's alternative development model. The unprecedented shift in relative wealth and economic power roughly from West to East now under way will continue. As some countries become more invested in their economic well-being, incentives toward geopolitical stability could increase. However, the transfer is strengthening states like Russia that want to challenge the Western order. The United States will remain the single most powerful country but will be less dominant. Shrinking economic and military capabilities may force the US into a difficult set of tradeoffs between domestic versus foreign policy priorities. Continued economic growth-coupled with 1.2 billion more people by 2025 - will put pressure on energy, food, and water resources. The pace of technological innovation will be key to outcomes
  • 2. during this period. All current technologies are inadequate for replacing traditional energy architecture on the scale needed. The number of countries with youthful populations in the "arc of instability"1 will decrease, but the populations of several youth-bulge states are projected to remain on rapid growth trajectories. Unless employment conditions change dramatically in parlous youth-bulge states such as Afghanistan, Nigeria, Pakistan, and Yemen, these countries will remain ripe for continued instability and state failure. The potential for conflict will increase owing to rapid changes in parts of the greater Middle East and the spread of lethal capabilities. The need for the US to act as regional balancer in the Middle East will increase, although other outside powers-Russia, China and India-will play greater roles than today. Terrorism is unlikely to disappear by 2025, but its appeal could lessen if economic growth continues in the Middle East and youth unemployment is reduced. For those terrorists that are active the diffusion of technologies will put dangerous capabilities within their reach. Opportunities for mass-casualty terrorist attacks using chemical, biological, or less likely, nuclear weapons will increase as technology diffuses and nuclear power (and possibly weapons) programs expand. The practical and psychological consequences of such attacks will intensify in an increasingly globalized world. 1. Countries with youthful age structures and rapidly growing populations mark a crescent or "arc of instability" stretching from the Andean region of Latin America across Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and the Caucasus, and through the northern parts of South Asia. Key Uncertainties Potential Consequences Whether an energy transition away from oil and gas-Whether an energy transition away from oil and gas-supported by improved
  • 3. energy storage, biofuels, and clean coal-is completed during the 2025 time frame. With high oil and gas prices, major exporters such as Russia and Iran will substantially augment their levels of national power, with Russia's GDP potentially approaching that of the UK and France. A sustained plunge in prices, perhaps underpinned by a fundamental switch to new energy sources, could trigger a long-term decline for producers as global and regional players. How quickly climate change occurs and the locations where its impact is most pronounced. Climate change is likely to exacerbate resource scarcities, particularly water scarcities. Whether mercantilism stages a comeback and global markets recede. Descending into a world of resource nationalism increases the risk of great power confrontations. Whether advances toward democracy occur in China and Russia. Political pluralism seems less likely in Russia in the absence of economic diversification. A growing middle class increases the chances of political liberalization and potentially greater nationalism in China Whether regional fears about a nucleararmed Iran trigger an arms race and greater militarization. Episodes of low-intensity conflict and terrorism taking place under a nuclear umbrella could lead to an unintended escalation and broader conflict. Whether the greater Middle East becomes more stable, especially whether Iraq stabilizes, and whether the Arab-Israeli conflict is resolved peacefully. Turbulence is likely to increase under most scenarios. Revival of economic growth, a more prosperous Iraq, and resolution of the Israeli - Palestinian dispute could engender some stability as the region deals with a strengthening Iran and global transition
  • 4. away from oil and gas. Whether Europe and Japan overcome economic and social challenges caused or compounded by demography. Successful integration of Muslim minorities in Europe could expand the size of the productive work forces and avert social crisis. Lack of efforts by Europe and Japan to mitigate demographic challenges could lead to long-term declines. Whether global powers work with multilateral institutions to adapt their structure and performance to the transformed geopolitical landscape. Emerging powers show ambivalence toward global institutions like the UN and IMF, but this could change as they become bigger players on the global stage. Asian integration could lead to more powerful regional institutions. NATO faces stiff challenges in meeting growing out-of-area responsibilities with declining European military capabilities. Traditional alliances will weaken. Taken from "'Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World' US Director of National Intelligence" Week 7 Discussion - The Pear Corporation and a Stock Split or Stock Dividend – Finacial Accounting The Pear Corporation makes and distributes PC’s and various peripheral devices to the Global Technical Consumer market. The company’s global performance has been excellent and has driven their stock price substantially above the preferred trading range of $50 per share and the company’s board of directors is contemplating a strategy to reduce the stock price. They are considering either a stock split or stock dividend strategy to develop more shareholder wealth and at the same time lower the stock’s trading price to a more normal and affordable trading range. As the investment banker for the Pear Corporation you must recommend the best financial strategy for them that will: A. A. Lower the stock price and allow for more trading volume. B. B. Enhance current shareholder wealth
  • 5. C. C. Keep the long-term growth prospects for the company intact. Please provide some reasons for you decision and what the long-term effects will be for the Pear Corporation. Ref: Text: Financial Accounting: Tools for Business Decision MakingAuthor: Kimmel, Weygandt, Kieso Publisher: Wiley Ed/Year: 7th/2013 ISBN-13 (hard cover): 978-1118162286 ISBN (e-text): 978-1118562178 al Thinking: Risk Assessment (105 points) Review the following article: Abolfotouh, M. A., AlQarni, A. A., Al-Ghamdi, S. M., Salam, M., Al-Assiri, M. H., & Balkhy, H. H. (2017). An assessment of the level of concern among hospital-based health-care workers regarding MERS outbreaks in Saudi Arabia. BMC Infectious Diseases, 17(1), 4. Create a risk assessment plan for Hospitals of the Ministry of National Guard in Saudi Arabia to protect healthcare workers and patients from the spread of MERS by infected patients. The risk assessment plan should address the following: · Statement of purpose · Authority and responsibility for implementation · Goals and objectives · Scope and functions · Monitoring and quality evaluation of program Requirements: · Your plan should be 5-6 pages in length, not including the title and reference pages. · You must include a minimum of three credible sources. Use the Saudi Electronic Digital Library to find your resources. · Your paper must follow Saudi Electronic University academic
  • 6. writing standards and APA style guidelines, as appropriate