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Executive Summary                  August 2012




 Current and future threats
 toward the retail banking
          industry


Research Analyst: Shai Ben-Moshe
August 2012



Keeping up with our tradition of sharing,
we bring you our analysis on current and future
threats in the world of traditional and retail
banking.
We hope this will put things into order and,
perhaps, provide you with new insights.
Any thoughts and comments on the matter, are
most welcomed.


Assaf Binstock | VP Customers
Head of Banking and Finance Division

Assaf.b@adkit.co.il | +972-54-8822001

                                                  Ben Fonarov Shai Ben-Moshe   Dorel Blitz   Assaf Binstock
                                                   Research      Research       Head of
                                                   Manager       Manager       Research
Banks Show Increased Concerns Over New Threats
         Nowadays, the global banking and financial system faces many challenges:
          proliferation of regulation, international economic crises, rapid technological
          developments and social protests

         A survey by EFMA shows that 54% of                               Growing concerns – the existing concerns
         banks surveyed expressed concern                                 augment the threat posed by the introduction of
         over disruptive innovation                                       new players and changes in the business model




Source : EFMA, Innovation in Retail Banking, the survey included 106 banks from the EU, Us Africa and the Middle East



               The Result – Most banks reviewed show investment in innovation,
             however, only half can indicate the existence of a thought out, detailed
 2              strategy, encompassing clear targets and measurable indicators
Threat Circles of Disruptive Innovation

      External Pressures Influencing the Banking System
Economic Pressures:                                                Political Pressures:
    - European Debt Crisis                                           - Proliferation of
      - Apprehension over                                               Regulation
       Another Recession




    Social Pressures:                                                Technological
   - Social Protests                                                  Pressures:
- Changes in Habits of                                               - Mobile &Tablet
     Consumption                                                        - Big Data
Source: Adkit, 2012                                                       - NFC

                The Threats: From the Inner Circle and the most immediate to the
                             Outer and more long term and strategic
3
Innermost Circle – The New Format

    Definition   Traditional Banks Differentiated by a Customer Centric approach

                             Customer recruitment through a unique and differentiated
                              customer experience
                             Clear and simple financial products
                             Technically advanced direct channel communication which
                              allows for higher utilization
                             Excellent customer service – often 24/7
                             Retail over Banking – especially in branch design

Case in Point
                      In 2010, the European banking group Raiffeisen established Zuno, a direct bank whose
                      business model is based on the fact that most of its customers consider visiting the
                      branch, a burden. The bank employs 250 workers (age avg. under 30). The Result: A
                      total deposits sum of 0.8 billion Euros in Slovakia and the Czech republic by the end of
                      2011.


                           The threat is not technological in nature, but rather in
                         raising customer expectations and the superior position
4                                                gained by it
Second Circle – The “Supermarket Bank"

    Definition Retail Giants Expand Their Operations into the Financial Sector

                             Based on retail activity model – Branches and target
                              audience
                             Brand differentiation based on customer experience “40
                              Years of Better” (Virgin)
                             Simple financial products which provides solution to 80% of
                              the customers
                             Physical branches are used for customer acquisition,
                              whereas the online channel is used to expand the product
                              portfolio (62% of Tesco’s financial products are sold online
                              after customer acquisition)
Case in Point
                     Virgin Money was founded in 1995 and is the financial arm of the Virgin corporation. In
                     the past couple of years the company has increased its presence in the British market,
                     since its acquisition of Northern Rock bank and its 75 branches. In an interview
                     conducted by us with a company executive it seems that there is synergy within the
                     Virgin Group, with cross sell orientation and a coordinated strategy.


                      The threat here is the creation of a retail “one-stop-shop”,
                                which combines different value offers
5
Third Circle – The “One Product Bank”
                 Disintegration of Banking Services to Specialized Single
    Definition
                 Product Agents
                               Technological changes and the dissemination of the internet
                                have allowed a considerable portion of the banking services
                                to be offered by external agents at competitive prices
                               Services such as: Deposits and Checking accounts – Ally
                                Bank, Payments – Paypal, Credit – Zopa, Investments –
                                eTrade and Wealth Management– Personal Capital
                               Others are offering to become the mediator between the
                                bank and the customer and control all points of interaction –
                                e.g. Simple or Movenbank


Case in Point
                      Simple was founded in 2010 by American high tech entrepreneurs, with the purpose of
                      making a better bank. It aspires to become the front end to all customer – bank interaction
                      (mobile, phone and online - with no physical branches). The purpose of which is to create
                      a better and more intuitive customer experience. Simple cooperates with financial
                      institutions, but isn’t a bank in itself – though it certainly aspires to “replace” it.


                       Third party financial services providers are becoming more
                        accessible while banks lose their advantage of credibility
6
Outer circle – Game Changers
                 Dot.Com and Mobile Companies Posses a High Potential of
    Definition
                 Disruptive Innovation in the Financial Sector
                              Companies described in previous circles are not expected to
                               become “classic disruptors” by creating a new market or
                               turning the business model on its head
                              However, looking into the not so far future, technological
                               companies within this circle (Google, Apple, Facebook) and
                               mobile companies may do so. Either by themselves, or
                               through collaboration/merger with a financial institution
                              Their main strength: abundance of touch points with the
                               customer can become their “stepping stone”


Case in Point
                     Isis was establishedd in 2010, and is a joint venture of three of the four biggest mobile
                     operators in the US. It is active in the field of mobile payments, and is built on a potential
                     customer base of 200M people. Last year Isis signed agreements with most payment
                     networks and with leading issuers in the US (Capital One, Chase). The Goal: Achieving a
                     substantial mobile foothold in the financial world in growing markets, such as payments.


                       It is hard to guess how and when these companies enter
                         the banking world. But when they will, they’ll leverage
7                          their accumulated knowledge – the “New Currency”
“It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the
    most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change”
    Charles Darwin




8
Adkit – Knowledge That Empowers You to Succeed

      Contact us to receive some of                                         Our Methodology
        our previous researches
                                                           Adkit specializes in international research that is used

    • Customer segmentation in Retail Banking               by managers and decision makers to reduce uncertainty
                                                            and improve their chances of success.
    • Banking branch staffing models
    • Loyalty Programs worldwide                           Companies and organizations worldwide see Adkit’s

    • The RTB/CTB ratio and processes for changing it       research as a crucial part of their work process when
                                                            launching a new business endeavor.
    • Growth and Profitability Drivers in Credit Card
      Companies                                            Adkit has an inter-disciplinary methodology for the

    • Trends & Product Innovation in Europe’s Short         collection and analysis of information, based on
                                                            secondary information sources and on Adkit’s unique
      Term Savings Market
                                                            ability to reach professionals and managers from all
    • Boosting Sales in Retail Bank Branches
                                                            industries in order to incorporate their knowledge and
      Worldwide                                             insight into Adkit’s research.




      For more information:

                   Assaf Binstock, VP Customers
                +972-54-8822001 assaf.b@adkit.co.il
                              www.Adkit.com
9

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W P Current And Future Threats Toward The Retail Banking

  • 1. Executive Summary August 2012 Current and future threats toward the retail banking industry Research Analyst: Shai Ben-Moshe
  • 2. August 2012 Keeping up with our tradition of sharing, we bring you our analysis on current and future threats in the world of traditional and retail banking. We hope this will put things into order and, perhaps, provide you with new insights. Any thoughts and comments on the matter, are most welcomed. Assaf Binstock | VP Customers Head of Banking and Finance Division Assaf.b@adkit.co.il | +972-54-8822001 Ben Fonarov Shai Ben-Moshe Dorel Blitz Assaf Binstock Research Research Head of Manager Manager Research
  • 3. Banks Show Increased Concerns Over New Threats  Nowadays, the global banking and financial system faces many challenges: proliferation of regulation, international economic crises, rapid technological developments and social protests A survey by EFMA shows that 54% of Growing concerns – the existing concerns banks surveyed expressed concern augment the threat posed by the introduction of over disruptive innovation new players and changes in the business model Source : EFMA, Innovation in Retail Banking, the survey included 106 banks from the EU, Us Africa and the Middle East The Result – Most banks reviewed show investment in innovation, however, only half can indicate the existence of a thought out, detailed 2 strategy, encompassing clear targets and measurable indicators
  • 4. Threat Circles of Disruptive Innovation  External Pressures Influencing the Banking System Economic Pressures: Political Pressures: - European Debt Crisis - Proliferation of - Apprehension over Regulation Another Recession Social Pressures: Technological - Social Protests Pressures: - Changes in Habits of - Mobile &Tablet Consumption - Big Data Source: Adkit, 2012 - NFC The Threats: From the Inner Circle and the most immediate to the Outer and more long term and strategic 3
  • 5. Innermost Circle – The New Format Definition Traditional Banks Differentiated by a Customer Centric approach  Customer recruitment through a unique and differentiated customer experience  Clear and simple financial products  Technically advanced direct channel communication which allows for higher utilization  Excellent customer service – often 24/7  Retail over Banking – especially in branch design Case in Point In 2010, the European banking group Raiffeisen established Zuno, a direct bank whose business model is based on the fact that most of its customers consider visiting the branch, a burden. The bank employs 250 workers (age avg. under 30). The Result: A total deposits sum of 0.8 billion Euros in Slovakia and the Czech republic by the end of 2011. The threat is not technological in nature, but rather in raising customer expectations and the superior position 4 gained by it
  • 6. Second Circle – The “Supermarket Bank" Definition Retail Giants Expand Their Operations into the Financial Sector  Based on retail activity model – Branches and target audience  Brand differentiation based on customer experience “40 Years of Better” (Virgin)  Simple financial products which provides solution to 80% of the customers  Physical branches are used for customer acquisition, whereas the online channel is used to expand the product portfolio (62% of Tesco’s financial products are sold online after customer acquisition) Case in Point Virgin Money was founded in 1995 and is the financial arm of the Virgin corporation. In the past couple of years the company has increased its presence in the British market, since its acquisition of Northern Rock bank and its 75 branches. In an interview conducted by us with a company executive it seems that there is synergy within the Virgin Group, with cross sell orientation and a coordinated strategy. The threat here is the creation of a retail “one-stop-shop”, which combines different value offers 5
  • 7. Third Circle – The “One Product Bank” Disintegration of Banking Services to Specialized Single Definition Product Agents  Technological changes and the dissemination of the internet have allowed a considerable portion of the banking services to be offered by external agents at competitive prices  Services such as: Deposits and Checking accounts – Ally Bank, Payments – Paypal, Credit – Zopa, Investments – eTrade and Wealth Management– Personal Capital  Others are offering to become the mediator between the bank and the customer and control all points of interaction – e.g. Simple or Movenbank Case in Point Simple was founded in 2010 by American high tech entrepreneurs, with the purpose of making a better bank. It aspires to become the front end to all customer – bank interaction (mobile, phone and online - with no physical branches). The purpose of which is to create a better and more intuitive customer experience. Simple cooperates with financial institutions, but isn’t a bank in itself – though it certainly aspires to “replace” it. Third party financial services providers are becoming more accessible while banks lose their advantage of credibility 6
  • 8. Outer circle – Game Changers Dot.Com and Mobile Companies Posses a High Potential of Definition Disruptive Innovation in the Financial Sector  Companies described in previous circles are not expected to become “classic disruptors” by creating a new market or turning the business model on its head  However, looking into the not so far future, technological companies within this circle (Google, Apple, Facebook) and mobile companies may do so. Either by themselves, or through collaboration/merger with a financial institution  Their main strength: abundance of touch points with the customer can become their “stepping stone” Case in Point Isis was establishedd in 2010, and is a joint venture of three of the four biggest mobile operators in the US. It is active in the field of mobile payments, and is built on a potential customer base of 200M people. Last year Isis signed agreements with most payment networks and with leading issuers in the US (Capital One, Chase). The Goal: Achieving a substantial mobile foothold in the financial world in growing markets, such as payments. It is hard to guess how and when these companies enter the banking world. But when they will, they’ll leverage 7 their accumulated knowledge – the “New Currency”
  • 9. “It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change” Charles Darwin 8
  • 10. Adkit – Knowledge That Empowers You to Succeed Contact us to receive some of Our Methodology our previous researches  Adkit specializes in international research that is used • Customer segmentation in Retail Banking by managers and decision makers to reduce uncertainty and improve their chances of success. • Banking branch staffing models • Loyalty Programs worldwide  Companies and organizations worldwide see Adkit’s • The RTB/CTB ratio and processes for changing it research as a crucial part of their work process when launching a new business endeavor. • Growth and Profitability Drivers in Credit Card Companies  Adkit has an inter-disciplinary methodology for the • Trends & Product Innovation in Europe’s Short collection and analysis of information, based on secondary information sources and on Adkit’s unique Term Savings Market ability to reach professionals and managers from all • Boosting Sales in Retail Bank Branches industries in order to incorporate their knowledge and Worldwide insight into Adkit’s research. For more information: Assaf Binstock, VP Customers +972-54-8822001 assaf.b@adkit.co.il www.Adkit.com 9