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Market Advisory Services
     Metro Stories                                                                   Witten Advisors
                                                                                    Market-Smart Investment Decisions


           Local job growth (revised): All hiring; some rapidly
                    Employment Growth                             Employment Growth Rate
               12 Months ending December 2012                  12 Months ending December 2012
          1.     New York                 115.7k            1.    Salt Lake City                +4.4%
          2.     Houston                  105.7k            2.    San Francisco                 +4.1%
          3.     Los Angeles               80.3k            3.    Houston                       +4.0%
          4.     Dallas                    77.6k            4.    Nashville                     +3.9%
          5.     Atlanta                   54.6k            5.    Austin                        +3.9%
                                                            6.    Dallas                        +3.7%
          39.    Kansas City              +10.4k            7.    Fort Worth                    +3.6%
          40.    Portland                  +9.9k            8.    San Jose                      +3.4%
          41.    West Palm Beach           +6.2k            9.    Charlotte                     +3.2%
          42.    St. Louis                 +4.3k            10.   Jacksonville                  +2.9%
          43.    Cincinnati                +4.0k                          U.S. +1.7%
                                                                            Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
                                                                                                                   11
Market insights for apartment owners,   Crittenden Multifamily Conference       Copyright 2013, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders                March 19, 2013                                         Dallas, Texas
Market Advisory Services
     Metro Stories                                                                Witten Advisors
                                                                                 Market-Smart Investment Decisions


       Net leasing generally improved across markets in 4Q
          Absorption Rate* Leaders                              Absorption Rate* Laggards
           12 Months ending 4Q 2012                               12 Months ending 4Q 2012
       1. Houston               2.7%                          34. Indianapolis         0.3%
       2. San Antonio           2.3%                          35. Minneapolis          0.3%
       3. Salt Lake City        2.2%                          36. Boston               0.3%
       4. Austin                2.1%                          37. New York City        0.2%
       5. Fort Worth            1.7%                          38. Sacramento           0.1%
       6. Orlando               1.7%                          39. Chicago              0.1%
       7. Dallas                1.7%                          40. Fort Lauderdale      0.0 %
       8. Seattle               1.6%                          41. San Francisco        0.0%
       9. Jacksonville          1.5%                          42. Baltimore            0.0%
       10. Charlotte            1.5%                          43. Detroit              -0.4%
                                                   U.S. +0.7%
     *year-year % change in occupied apartments                                    Source: Witten Advisors
                                                                                                                 12
Market insights for apartment owners,     Crittenden Multifamily Conference   Copyright 2013, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders                  March 19, 2013                                     Dallas, Texas
1.0%

                                                                                                                                         0.0%
                                                                                                                                                       2.0%
                                                                                                                                                                3.0%
                                                                                                                                                                            4.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                        5.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                    6.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7.0%
                                                                                                                                   Austin                                                                                                                        Au
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   stin
                                                                                                                                 Raleigh                                                               Ra
                                                                                                                                                                                                         l eig
                                                                                                                                Charlotte                                            Ch                       h
                                                                                                                                                                                         ar l
                                                                                                                            Jacksonville                                Jac
                                                                                                                                                                            ks o
                                                                                                                                                                                             ott
                                                                                                                                                                                                e
                                                                                                                                 Denver                               De        nvi
                                                                                                                                                                                    ll e
                                                                                                                                                                          n
                                                                                                                       West Palm Beach                           We ver
                                                                                                                                                                      st




      developers, investors and lenders
                                                                                                                                   Dallas                         Da Pa lm
                                                                                                                                                                      l         Be
                                                                                                                                Houston                          Ho las            ach




      Market insights for apartment owners,
                                                                                                                                                                      us t
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Metro Stories




                                                                                                                                   Seattle                        Sea on
                                                                                                                                                                        t
                                                                                                                               Nashville                        Na tle
                                                                                                                                                                     sh
                                                                                                                                San Jose                        San vil le
                                                                                                                                                                       Jo s
                                                                                                                                 Orlando                      Or           e
                                                                                                                                                                  lan
                                                                                                                                  Tampa                        Ta do
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Market Advisory Services




                                                                                                                                                                  mp
                                                                                                                        Washington DC                     Wa            a
                                                                                                                                                               sh i
                                                                                                                               Columbus                   Co ngt
                                                                                                                                                               lu        o
                                                                                                                            San Antonio                   San mbu n DC
                                                                                                                                                                An s
                                                                                                                              Fort Worth                 Fo         t
                                                                                                                                                            rt W onio
                                                                                                                          San Francisco                           ort
                                                                                                                                                                       h
                                                                                                                           Minneapolis




                                              *Starts rate = last 12 months’ starts as % of existing apartment stock
                                                                                                                                 Norfolk
                                                                                                                        Fort Lauderdale
                                                                                                                                Portland




         March 19, 2013
                                                                                                                          Salt Lake City
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Metro Starts Rate




                                                                                                                         Orange County
                                                                                                                                  Atlanta
                                                                                                                                   Miami
                                                                                                                               Baltimore



Crittenden Multifamily Conference
                                                                                                                                 Phoenix
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         U.S.




                                                                                                                                  Boston
                                                                                                                                                                                                           indicates 4Q starts rate at least 0.5% higher than expected




                                                                                                                              KansasCity
                                                                                                                              San Diego
                                                                                                                                St. Louis
                                                                                                                                Oakland
                                                                                                                             LosAngeles
                                                                                                                               Riverside
                                                                                                                           Philadelphia
                                                                                                                         New York City
                                                                                                                           Indianapolis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4Q apartment starts rate* high in many metros,




                                                                                                                               LasVegas
                                                                                                                                Chicago
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             but only 3 markets above Witten Advisors forecast




                                                                                                                              Cincinnati
                                              Source: Witten Advisors




                                                                                                                             Sacramento
                                                                                                                                  Detroit
 Copyright 2013, Witten Advisors LLC
                         Dallas, Texas
                                    13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Market-Smart Investment Decisions
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Witten Advisors
Market Advisory Services
   Market Outlook                                                                       Witten Advisors
                                                                                       Market-Smart Investment Decisions


          Conclusion: Apartment Report Card still stellar…
             …but expect more market differentiation

                Subject                 Grade                 2013 Effective Street Rent Growth
                                                               1   Oakland                          9.6%
                Demand                    A                    2   San Francisco                    7.3%

                Supply                    B-                   3   San Jose                         6.6%
                                                               4   Miami                            4.9%
                 Rents                    A-                   5   Seattle                          4.8%

                Values                    A-                   6   Salt Lake City                   4.7%
                                                               7   Orlando                          4.4%
                Overall                   A-                   8   Detroit                          4.4%
                                                               9   Denver                           4.2%
                                                              10   W Palm Beach                     4.2%


                                                                                           Source: Witten Advisors
                                                                                                                       14
Market insights for apartment owners,   Crittenden Multifamily Conference           Copyright 2013, Witten Advisors LLC
developers, investors and lenders                March 19, 2013                                             Dallas, Texas

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Us apartment market job growth & absorption

  • 1. Market Advisory Services Metro Stories Witten Advisors Market-Smart Investment Decisions Local job growth (revised): All hiring; some rapidly Employment Growth Employment Growth Rate 12 Months ending December 2012 12 Months ending December 2012 1. New York 115.7k 1. Salt Lake City +4.4% 2. Houston 105.7k 2. San Francisco +4.1% 3. Los Angeles 80.3k 3. Houston +4.0% 4. Dallas 77.6k 4. Nashville +3.9% 5. Atlanta 54.6k 5. Austin +3.9% 6. Dallas +3.7% 39. Kansas City +10.4k 7. Fort Worth +3.6% 40. Portland +9.9k 8. San Jose +3.4% 41. West Palm Beach +6.2k 9. Charlotte +3.2% 42. St. Louis +4.3k 10. Jacksonville +2.9% 43. Cincinnati +4.0k U.S. +1.7% Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 11 Market insights for apartment owners, Crittenden Multifamily Conference Copyright 2013, Witten Advisors LLC developers, investors and lenders March 19, 2013 Dallas, Texas
  • 2. Market Advisory Services Metro Stories Witten Advisors Market-Smart Investment Decisions Net leasing generally improved across markets in 4Q Absorption Rate* Leaders Absorption Rate* Laggards 12 Months ending 4Q 2012 12 Months ending 4Q 2012 1. Houston 2.7% 34. Indianapolis 0.3% 2. San Antonio 2.3% 35. Minneapolis 0.3% 3. Salt Lake City 2.2% 36. Boston 0.3% 4. Austin 2.1% 37. New York City 0.2% 5. Fort Worth 1.7% 38. Sacramento 0.1% 6. Orlando 1.7% 39. Chicago 0.1% 7. Dallas 1.7% 40. Fort Lauderdale 0.0 % 8. Seattle 1.6% 41. San Francisco 0.0% 9. Jacksonville 1.5% 42. Baltimore 0.0% 10. Charlotte 1.5% 43. Detroit -0.4% U.S. +0.7% *year-year % change in occupied apartments Source: Witten Advisors 12 Market insights for apartment owners, Crittenden Multifamily Conference Copyright 2013, Witten Advisors LLC developers, investors and lenders March 19, 2013 Dallas, Texas
  • 3. 1.0% 0.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% Austin Au stin Raleigh Ra l eig Charlotte Ch h ar l Jacksonville Jac ks o ott e Denver De nvi ll e n West Palm Beach We ver st developers, investors and lenders Dallas Da Pa lm l Be Houston Ho las ach Market insights for apartment owners, us t Metro Stories Seattle Sea on t Nashville Na tle sh San Jose San vil le Jo s Orlando Or e lan Tampa Ta do Market Advisory Services mp Washington DC Wa a sh i Columbus Co ngt lu o San Antonio San mbu n DC An s Fort Worth Fo t rt W onio San Francisco ort h Minneapolis *Starts rate = last 12 months’ starts as % of existing apartment stock Norfolk Fort Lauderdale Portland March 19, 2013 Salt Lake City Metro Starts Rate Orange County Atlanta Miami Baltimore Crittenden Multifamily Conference Phoenix U.S. Boston indicates 4Q starts rate at least 0.5% higher than expected KansasCity San Diego St. Louis Oakland LosAngeles Riverside Philadelphia New York City Indianapolis 4Q apartment starts rate* high in many metros, LasVegas Chicago but only 3 markets above Witten Advisors forecast Cincinnati Source: Witten Advisors Sacramento Detroit Copyright 2013, Witten Advisors LLC Dallas, Texas 13 Market-Smart Investment Decisions Witten Advisors
  • 4. Market Advisory Services Market Outlook Witten Advisors Market-Smart Investment Decisions Conclusion: Apartment Report Card still stellar… …but expect more market differentiation Subject Grade 2013 Effective Street Rent Growth 1 Oakland 9.6% Demand A 2 San Francisco 7.3% Supply B- 3 San Jose 6.6% 4 Miami 4.9% Rents A- 5 Seattle 4.8% Values A- 6 Salt Lake City 4.7% 7 Orlando 4.4% Overall A- 8 Detroit 4.4% 9 Denver 4.2% 10 W Palm Beach 4.2% Source: Witten Advisors 14 Market insights for apartment owners, Crittenden Multifamily Conference Copyright 2013, Witten Advisors LLC developers, investors and lenders March 19, 2013 Dallas, Texas