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Measuring the impact of trade policy reform in Ireland: an analysis of household impacts Miller, C., Boysen, O., Matthews, A., Donnellan, T. and O’Donoghue, C. Department of Economics and Institute for International Integration  Studies, Trinity College Dublin Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, Athenry 122 nd  European Association of Agricultural Economists Seminar Evidence-Based Agricultural and Rural Policy Making Methodological and Empirical Challenges of Policy Evaluation February 17 th  – 18 th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)   associazione AlessandroBartola  studi e ricerche di economia e di politica  agraria Centro Studi Sulle Politiche Economiche, Rurali e Ambientali Università Politecnica delle Marche
Motivation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Paper contribution and objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Database – the 2005 Irish AgriFood SAM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The CGE database and model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Treatment of the CAP
Treatment of CAP subsidies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Closure rules ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Simulation scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Linking the model to global shocks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Shock parameters Own import tariffs - Ag -70% - Man -100% Own export subsidies – 100%
Output changes
Macroeconomic impacts
Impacts on households’ real consumption
Reflections on the results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Measuring impact of trade policy reform on Ireland

  • 1. Measuring the impact of trade policy reform in Ireland: an analysis of household impacts Miller, C., Boysen, O., Matthews, A., Donnellan, T. and O’Donoghue, C. Department of Economics and Institute for International Integration Studies, Trinity College Dublin Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc, Athenry 122 nd European Association of Agricultural Economists Seminar Evidence-Based Agricultural and Rural Policy Making Methodological and Empirical Challenges of Policy Evaluation February 17 th – 18 th , 2011, Ancona (Italy) associazione AlessandroBartola studi e ricerche di economia e di politica agraria Centro Studi Sulle Politiche Economiche, Rurali e Ambientali Università Politecnica delle Marche
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Shock parameters Own import tariffs - Ag -70% - Man -100% Own export subsidies – 100%
  • 14. Impacts on households’ real consumption
  • 15.