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LIQUIDITY RISK &
LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT
in Islamic Banks
Salman Syed Ali
2
Lecture Plan
Part-I SHORTAGE
(Risk)
Sources of risk
Implications for Bank
and the System
Current practices of
mitigation
Recommendations
and the Future
Part-II EXCESS (Low
ret.)
Causes
Implications for Bank
and the System
Current practices of its
management
Recommendations
and Future
3
Dry Climate
Liquidity Shortage
Assassin of banks
4
Flood
Excess Liquidity: A drag on competition
5
Stability and Solvency of IBs
In theory, Islamic
banks are likely to
be more stable
They have profit
sharing on both the
liability side and
asset side
6
In practice, Islamic
Banks have fixed
income assets but
have profit sharing on
liability side.
The IBs therefore, are
still more stable than
conventional banks.
Solvent
Asset tied finance
2
7
While a majority of Islamic banks have
excess liquidity
Some Islamic banks have faced
liquidity crisis
Many different risks culminate in
liquidity risk
8
Liquidity crunch can be a real
problem
Example of Financial Crisis in Turkey
2000-2001
Islamic financial institutions there
faced sever liquidity problems
One Islamic institution Ihlas Finans
was closed during the crisis
9
LIQUIDITY RISK: Definition
Risk of Funding [at appropriate
maturities and rates]
Risk of Liquidating Assets [in time at
reasonable prices]
10
Investment Firm’s Definition
“liquidity risk includes both the risk of
being unable to fund [its] portfolio of
assets at appropriate maturities and
rates and the risk of being unable to
liquidate a position in a timely manner
at reasonable prices.” *
* J.P. Morgan Chase (2000).
11
Regulators Definition
“risk to a bank’s earnings and capital
arising from its inability to timely meet
obligations when they come due
without incurring unacceptable
losses.”*
* Office of the Comptroller (2000)
12
Analysis and Diagnosis of
Causes
3
13
LIQUIDITY RISK: Sources
1. Incorrect judgment and complacency
2. Unanticipated change in cost of capital
3. Abnormal behavior of financial markets
4. Range of assumptions used
5. Risk activation by secondary sources
6. Break down of payments system
7. Macroeconomic imbalances
8. Contractual forms
9. Financial Infrastructure deficiency
14
Liquidity Risk & Contractual
Forms
Profit Sharing Contracts
Murabaha
Salam
Istisna
Ijarah
15
Resale not permitted
Resale permitted but non-existent
market
Market exists but not active
16
Example of LR in Murabaha
This brings in many
operational, credit,
dispute, and legal risks
that can affect
realization of
receivables
Involves buying of
commodity then selling
on deferred payment
Receivables are debt
cannot be sold
Secondary LRPrimary LR
17
LR:Current Practices of control
Deposit Management
Choice of Mode of Finance
Maturity Matching and Gap Analysis
Mixing of Deposits
Reserves and Provisions
Deposit Insurance
Interbank Dealings
Ijarah and Salam Sukuks
18
(a) Reserves and Provisions:
Provisions
Specific
General
Reserves
Profit Equalization
Reserve
Investment Risk
Reserve
4
19
(b) Problems:
Fiqh issue of justice: inter-temporal
/interpersonal transfers
Breaks the link between bank performance
and its reflection in profits
Possibility of manipulation to hide losses
Transfer of resources from shareholders to
investment account holders (displaced
commercial risk)
Loosen the asset and liability tie in IBs.
20
(c) Remedies for Transparency:
Well defined, consistent and
transparent method of provision and
reserve calculation
Improved corporate governance
Reveal ex-ante estimates and ex-post
actual losses
Reveal the position and changes in the
PE Reserve and IR Reserve
21
Conclusions
What is needed
What can be done
22
Conclusions (contd.)
Development of liquidity management
instruments
Development of Infrastructure
institutions (LMC, IIFM)
Rethinking and development of new
structure of Islamic banks (Separate
treatment of Cur. and Inv. accounts)
23
Smooth Sailing
24
Excess Liquidity
State, Causes and
Management
5
25
Current state of liquidity in Islamic
Banks
Excess Liquidity in the Market, resulting in serious
business risk and affects the competitiveness of
IFIs due to no return or a very low returns.
In a recent study it was discovered that Islamic
financial institutions are almost 50% more liquid as
compared to conventional financial institutions.
Out of US$ 13.6 billion total assets of Islamic banks
in the study US$ 6.3 billion were found to be in
liquid assets.
26
Causes of Excess Liquidity
Factors internal to the bank
Factors external to the bank
27
Islamic Banks’ Asset Portfolio
Shirakah
Ijarah
Salam
Istisna’
Murabaha
Mudharba
IB
Portfolio
67%67%5%5%
28
Islamic Banks’ Assets Portfolio
67%
6%
5%
7%
15%
murabahah
musharakah
mudarabah
ijara
others
Source: Iqbal Munawar, Ausaf Ahmad and Tariqullah Khan (1998), Challenges Facing Islamic
Banking, Jeddah: IRTI
29
Key Issues in
Liquidity
Management
Small No. of
participants
No Islamic Inter-
bank Market
Slow
Development
In
Islamic
financial
Instruments
Absence of
Islamic Secondary
market
No Lender
of Last
Resort
Different Shari’a
interpretation
Key Issues in Liquidity Management
Credit for this diagram: IIFM 30
Implications for Islamic Banks
Underutilization of financial resources
Lower income and higher cost
Loss of competitiveness
6
31
Current Practices in Managing
Excess Liquidity
Deposit Management
Secured Commodity Murabaha
Mudaraba Sukuk
Salam Sukuk
Leasing Sukuk
Musharakah Sukuk
Infrastructure Institutions
Liquidity Management Center
IIFM
32
Islamic Bank / Investor
(Principal)
Broker
‘B’
Broker
‘A’
Conventional
Bank
(Agent)
Buy
Pay (Spot)
Receive
(Sales proceeds at maturity)
Receive funds from Investor
(to pay Broker ‘A’)
Sell
(at a profit & deferred payment)
Settle Investor
(Sales proceeds less Agents fees)
Funds Flow
Commodity Flow
How a Secured Commodity Murabaha Works:
Credit for the diagram: IIFM
33
Advantage of SCM
Short-term therefore liquid
Buying and selling in same currency
(usually US$) therefore no FX risk
34
Problems with SCM
Flow of funds away from Muslim economies
Not contributing in any growth or
development oriented economic activity
Limited scope for liquidity management:
since transactions are mostly bilateral
therefore counterparty limits apply
Always back to back murabaha is needed
for maintaining liquidity
35
Salam Sukuk (Ex. of Bahrain)
Gov of Bahrain (GoB) undertakes to sell
Aluminum (deferred) for advance payment
BMA securitizes it by issuing salam sukuk
Individual IBs buy these to park their excess
liquidity
IBs appoint GoB as their agent to receive
delivery of commodity and sell it through its
distribution channels
36
Salam Sukuk (contd.)
Similar to SCM but securitized
Advantages:
Cost price need not be declared
Lower credit risk to bank due to sovereign
counter-party
Lower cost (or higher return) to bank than in
SCM due to securitization
Funds utilized in the local economy until very
near to delivery date
Disadvantage:
Not trade-able therefore high liquidity risk
7
37
Bahrain Salam Sukuk (contd.)
91 days
for each
issue
US$ 625
Million
(cumulat
ive)*
Sukuk
Al Salam
(23
issues
up to
April
2003)
Bahrain
Monetary
Agency
Bahrain
MaturityValueTypeIssuerCountr
y
38
Structure of Malaysian Sukuk
Credit for this slide: BMA presentation, Feb., 2004.
39
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Alhuda CIBE - Presentation on Liquidity Risk Management by Syed Salman Ali

  • 1. 1 1 LIQUIDITY RISK & LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT in Islamic Banks Salman Syed Ali 2 Lecture Plan Part-I SHORTAGE (Risk) Sources of risk Implications for Bank and the System Current practices of mitigation Recommendations and the Future Part-II EXCESS (Low ret.) Causes Implications for Bank and the System Current practices of its management Recommendations and Future 3 Dry Climate Liquidity Shortage Assassin of banks 4 Flood Excess Liquidity: A drag on competition 5 Stability and Solvency of IBs In theory, Islamic banks are likely to be more stable They have profit sharing on both the liability side and asset side 6 In practice, Islamic Banks have fixed income assets but have profit sharing on liability side. The IBs therefore, are still more stable than conventional banks. Solvent Asset tied finance
  • 2. 2 7 While a majority of Islamic banks have excess liquidity Some Islamic banks have faced liquidity crisis Many different risks culminate in liquidity risk 8 Liquidity crunch can be a real problem Example of Financial Crisis in Turkey 2000-2001 Islamic financial institutions there faced sever liquidity problems One Islamic institution Ihlas Finans was closed during the crisis 9 LIQUIDITY RISK: Definition Risk of Funding [at appropriate maturities and rates] Risk of Liquidating Assets [in time at reasonable prices] 10 Investment Firm’s Definition “liquidity risk includes both the risk of being unable to fund [its] portfolio of assets at appropriate maturities and rates and the risk of being unable to liquidate a position in a timely manner at reasonable prices.” * * J.P. Morgan Chase (2000). 11 Regulators Definition “risk to a bank’s earnings and capital arising from its inability to timely meet obligations when they come due without incurring unacceptable losses.”* * Office of the Comptroller (2000) 12 Analysis and Diagnosis of Causes
  • 3. 3 13 LIQUIDITY RISK: Sources 1. Incorrect judgment and complacency 2. Unanticipated change in cost of capital 3. Abnormal behavior of financial markets 4. Range of assumptions used 5. Risk activation by secondary sources 6. Break down of payments system 7. Macroeconomic imbalances 8. Contractual forms 9. Financial Infrastructure deficiency 14 Liquidity Risk & Contractual Forms Profit Sharing Contracts Murabaha Salam Istisna Ijarah 15 Resale not permitted Resale permitted but non-existent market Market exists but not active 16 Example of LR in Murabaha This brings in many operational, credit, dispute, and legal risks that can affect realization of receivables Involves buying of commodity then selling on deferred payment Receivables are debt cannot be sold Secondary LRPrimary LR 17 LR:Current Practices of control Deposit Management Choice of Mode of Finance Maturity Matching and Gap Analysis Mixing of Deposits Reserves and Provisions Deposit Insurance Interbank Dealings Ijarah and Salam Sukuks 18 (a) Reserves and Provisions: Provisions Specific General Reserves Profit Equalization Reserve Investment Risk Reserve
  • 4. 4 19 (b) Problems: Fiqh issue of justice: inter-temporal /interpersonal transfers Breaks the link between bank performance and its reflection in profits Possibility of manipulation to hide losses Transfer of resources from shareholders to investment account holders (displaced commercial risk) Loosen the asset and liability tie in IBs. 20 (c) Remedies for Transparency: Well defined, consistent and transparent method of provision and reserve calculation Improved corporate governance Reveal ex-ante estimates and ex-post actual losses Reveal the position and changes in the PE Reserve and IR Reserve 21 Conclusions What is needed What can be done 22 Conclusions (contd.) Development of liquidity management instruments Development of Infrastructure institutions (LMC, IIFM) Rethinking and development of new structure of Islamic banks (Separate treatment of Cur. and Inv. accounts) 23 Smooth Sailing 24 Excess Liquidity State, Causes and Management
  • 5. 5 25 Current state of liquidity in Islamic Banks Excess Liquidity in the Market, resulting in serious business risk and affects the competitiveness of IFIs due to no return or a very low returns. In a recent study it was discovered that Islamic financial institutions are almost 50% more liquid as compared to conventional financial institutions. Out of US$ 13.6 billion total assets of Islamic banks in the study US$ 6.3 billion were found to be in liquid assets. 26 Causes of Excess Liquidity Factors internal to the bank Factors external to the bank 27 Islamic Banks’ Asset Portfolio Shirakah Ijarah Salam Istisna’ Murabaha Mudharba IB Portfolio 67%67%5%5% 28 Islamic Banks’ Assets Portfolio 67% 6% 5% 7% 15% murabahah musharakah mudarabah ijara others Source: Iqbal Munawar, Ausaf Ahmad and Tariqullah Khan (1998), Challenges Facing Islamic Banking, Jeddah: IRTI 29 Key Issues in Liquidity Management Small No. of participants No Islamic Inter- bank Market Slow Development In Islamic financial Instruments Absence of Islamic Secondary market No Lender of Last Resort Different Shari’a interpretation Key Issues in Liquidity Management Credit for this diagram: IIFM 30 Implications for Islamic Banks Underutilization of financial resources Lower income and higher cost Loss of competitiveness
  • 6. 6 31 Current Practices in Managing Excess Liquidity Deposit Management Secured Commodity Murabaha Mudaraba Sukuk Salam Sukuk Leasing Sukuk Musharakah Sukuk Infrastructure Institutions Liquidity Management Center IIFM 32 Islamic Bank / Investor (Principal) Broker ‘B’ Broker ‘A’ Conventional Bank (Agent) Buy Pay (Spot) Receive (Sales proceeds at maturity) Receive funds from Investor (to pay Broker ‘A’) Sell (at a profit & deferred payment) Settle Investor (Sales proceeds less Agents fees) Funds Flow Commodity Flow How a Secured Commodity Murabaha Works: Credit for the diagram: IIFM 33 Advantage of SCM Short-term therefore liquid Buying and selling in same currency (usually US$) therefore no FX risk 34 Problems with SCM Flow of funds away from Muslim economies Not contributing in any growth or development oriented economic activity Limited scope for liquidity management: since transactions are mostly bilateral therefore counterparty limits apply Always back to back murabaha is needed for maintaining liquidity 35 Salam Sukuk (Ex. of Bahrain) Gov of Bahrain (GoB) undertakes to sell Aluminum (deferred) for advance payment BMA securitizes it by issuing salam sukuk Individual IBs buy these to park their excess liquidity IBs appoint GoB as their agent to receive delivery of commodity and sell it through its distribution channels 36 Salam Sukuk (contd.) Similar to SCM but securitized Advantages: Cost price need not be declared Lower credit risk to bank due to sovereign counter-party Lower cost (or higher return) to bank than in SCM due to securitization Funds utilized in the local economy until very near to delivery date Disadvantage: Not trade-able therefore high liquidity risk
  • 7. 7 37 Bahrain Salam Sukuk (contd.) 91 days for each issue US$ 625 Million (cumulat ive)* Sukuk Al Salam (23 issues up to April 2003) Bahrain Monetary Agency Bahrain MaturityValueTypeIssuerCountr y 38 Structure of Malaysian Sukuk Credit for this slide: BMA presentation, Feb., 2004. 39 New Ideas: Good & Bad