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HIGH BROW MARKET RESEARCH INVESTMENT ADVISOR PVT. LTD.
2 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
Market Wrap-Up
NCDEX Market Wrap-Up
Commodity Contract
Previous
Close
Open High Low Close
% Change
in Price
% Change in
Open Interest
% Change in
Volume
Currency Market Wrap-Up
Currency Pair Contract
Previous
Close
Open High Low Close
Change in
Price (in%)
Continued…….
MCX Market Wrap-Up
Commodity Contract
Previous
Close
Open High Low Close
% Change in
Price
% Change in
Open Interest
% Change
in Volume
Aluminium 30-Mar-18 137.40 137.05 137.35 134.10 134.95 -1.78% -33.44% 64.99%
Copper 30-Apr-18 452.30 452.65 458.60 446.30 448.55 -0.83% -21.89% 21.68%
Crude Oil 19-Apr-18 4023 4042 4070 3922 4065 1.04% 134.23% 18.84%
Gold 05-Apr-18 30401 30403 30546 30145 30224 -0.58% -7.92% -1.72%
Lead 30-Mar-18 155.40 155.30 158.95 150.65 155.05 -0.23% -95.61% -13.93%
Natural Gas 26-Mar-18 178.10 178.50 183.00 173.70 175.10 -1.68% -26.04% 4.09%
Nickel 30-Mar-18 896.70 892.40 908.00 877.60 883.60 -1.46% -40.77% -10.28%
Silver 04-May-18 38947 38925 39076 38171 38358 -1.51% -24.91% 25.82%
Zinc 30-Mar-18 214.35 213.25 214.90 208.10 212.20 -1.00% -21.75% 16.89%
Castor Seed 20-Apr-18 4246 4220 4260 4160 4242 -0.09% -11.83% 428.24%
Chana 20-Apr-18 3738 3721 3785 3603 3775 0.99% 72.95% -4.38%
Dhaniya 20-Apr-18 5492 5502 5530 5331 5371 -2.20% 493.12% 702.83%
Cottonseed Oil
Cake
20-Apr-18 1482.00 1477.00 1477.00 1420.00 1440.00 -2.83% -90.50% -87.42%
Guargum5 20-Apr-18 9027 9035 9325 8905 9120 1.03% 13.08% -2.47%
Guarseed10 20-Apr-18 4257.00 4255.00 4350.00 4193.00 4278.00 0.49% 48.43% -7.37%
Jeera 20-Apr-18 14995 14890 14940 14515 14595 -2.67% -80.16% -29.00%
Kapas 30-Apr-18 961.50 956.50 958.00 916.00 918.00 -4.52% -20.76% -1.44%
RMseed 20-Apr-18 4239 4205 4205 4103 4159 -1.89% -48.79% 23.81%
Ref Soya Oil 20-Apr-18 793.30 791.00 792.95 777.50 788.90 -0.55% -16.76% 20.79%
Soyabean 20-Apr-18 3822 3791 3824 3714 3796 -0.68% -64.26% -11.57%
Turmeric 20-Apr-18 6840 6896 6964 6666 6924 1.23% -35.75% -0.92%
Mentha Oil 28-Mar-18 1214.90 1208.10 1237.00 1146.80 1206.70 -0.67% 11.79% 11.11%
USDINR 26-Mar-18 63.3750 65.1775 65.1825 64.8650 65.0200 2.60%
GBPINR 26-Mar-18 89.9150 90.2125 91.1025 90.2000 90.7600 0.94%
JPYINR 26-Mar-18 61.2650 61.1800 61.5600 60.6200 61.5375 0.44%
EURINR 26-Mar-18 79.7675 80.5000 80.8525 79.9800 80.1650 0.50%
3 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
International Market Wrap-up
Commodity Exchange
Previous
Close
Open High Low Close % Change in Price
Market Wrap-Up
Aluminium LME 2120.50 2118.50 2126.25 2071.50 2087.00 -1.58%
Copper COMEX 3.12 3.12 3.17 3.08 3.11 -0.13%
Crude Oil NYMEX 62.04 62.10 62.54 60.11 62.24 0.32%
Gold COMEX 1324.00 1324.10 1330.50 1309.50 1314.20 -0.74%
Lead LME 2386.50 2384.50 2447.75 2311.75 2380.50 -0.25%
Natural Gas NYMEX 2.73 2.73 2.81 2.66 2.70 -1.32%
Nickel LME 13820.00 13815.00 14027.50 13515.00 13595.00 -1.63%
Silver COMEX 16.54 16.57 16.57 16.19 16.34 -1.21%
Zinc LME 3294.25 3283.25 3304.50 3205.50 3255.25 -1.18%
4 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
Inventory Updates
LME Inventory
Commodity
Closing In Tonnes
(As on 01 Jan 2017)
Closing In Tonnes
(As on 01 Jan 2017)
% Change in Price
Continued…….
Copper 319325 314875 1.41%
Nickel 325386 330888 -1.66%
Lead 130925 133650 -2.04%
Zinc 206350 205225 0.55%
Aluminium 1311900 1315500 -0.27%
5 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
Inventory Updates
6 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
Market Next Week
Currency Weekly Pivots
Currency Pair Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3
Continued…….
Economic Events Calendar
Time Curreny Event Forecast Previous
Tuesday, March 20, 2018
15:00 GBP CPI (MoM) (Feb) 0.50% -0.50%
15:00 GBP CPI (YoY) (Feb) 2.80% 3.00%
15:00 GBP PPI Input (MoM) (Feb) -0.90% 0.70%
Wednesday, March 21, 2018
15:00 GBP Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Jan) 2.60% 2.50%
15:00 GBP Unemployment Rate (Jan) 4.40% 4.40%
18:00 USD Current Account (Q4) -125.0B -100.6B
19:30 USD Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Feb) 0.90% -0.032
19:30 USD Existing Home Sales (Feb) 5.40M 5.38M
20:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories - 5.022M
23:30 USD FOMC Economic Projections - -
23:30 USD FOMC Statement - -
23:30 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 1.75% 1.50%
Thursday, March 22, 2018
0:00 USD FOMC Press Conference
15:00 GBP Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) 0.40% 0.10%
15:00 GBP Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb) 1.30% 1.50%
15:00 GBP Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) 0.40% 0.10%
15:00 GBP Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb) 1.50% 1.60%
17:30 GBP BoE MPC vote cut (Mar)
17:30 GBP BoE MPC vote hike (Mar) 0.00%
17:30 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision (Mar) 0.50% 0.005
18:00 USD Initial Jobless Claims 225K 226K
19:15 USD Manufacturing PMI (Mar) 55.50 55.30
20:15 USD Services PMI (Mar) 55.80 55.90
Friday, March 23, 2018
18:00 USD Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Feb) 0.50% -0.30%
18:00 USD Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Feb) 1.60% -0.037
19:30 USD New Home Sales (Feb) 620K 593K
19:30 USD New Home Sales (MoM) (Feb) 3.70% -7.80%
USDINR 26-Mar-18 65.6500 65.3000 65.1500 65.0000 64.8000 64.7000 64.3500
GBPINR 26-Mar-18 92.5000 91.6000 91.2000 90.7000 90.3000 89.8000 88.9000
JPYINR 26-Mar-18 63.1500 62.2000 61.9000 61.2500 60.9500 60.3000 59.3500
EURINR 26-Mar-18 82.1000 81.2000 80.7000 80.3500 79.8500 79.5000 78.6000
7 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
MCX Weekly Pivots
Commodity Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3
NCDEX Weekly Pivots
Commodity Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3
Market Next Week
Aluminium 30-Mar-18 141.95 138.70 136.80 135.45 133.55 132.20 128.95
Copper 30-Apr-18 475.75 463.45 456 451.15 443.7 438.85 426.55
Crude Oil 19-Apr-18 4315 4167 4116 4019 3968 3871 3723
Gold 5-Apr-18 31107 30706 30465 30305 30064 29904 29503
Lead 30-Mar-18 171.5 163.2 159.15 154.9 150.85 146.60 138.30
Natural Gas 26-Mar-18 195.85 186.55 180.8 177.25 171.5 167.95 158.65
Nickel 30-Mar-18 951 920 902 890 872 859 829
Silver 4-May-18 40345 39440 38899 38535 37994 37630 36725
Zinc 30-Mar-18 225.35 218.55 215.4 211.75 208.6 204.95 198.15
Castor Seed 20-Apr-18 4421 4321 4281 4221 4181 4121 4021
Chana 20-Apr-18 4085 3903 3839 3721 3657 3539 3357
Dhaniya 20-Apr-18 5809 5610 5490 5411 5291 5212 5013
Cottonseed Oil Cake 20-Apr-18 1560 1503 1471 1446 1414 1389 1332
Guargum5 20-Apr-18 9957 9537 9328 9117 8908 8697 8277
Guarseed10 20-Apr-18 4588 4431 4354 4274 4197 4117 3960
Jeera 20-Apr-18 15533 15108 14852 14683 14427 14258 13833
Kapas 30-Apr-18 1015 973 945 931 903 889 847
RMseed 20-Apr-18 4360 4258 4208 4156 4106 4054 3952
Ref Soya Oil 20-Apr-18 817 802 795 786 780 771 756
Soyabean 20-Apr-18 3998 3888 3842 3778 3732 3668 3558
Turmeric 20-Apr-18 7447 7149 7037 6851 6739 6553 6255
Mentha Oil 28-Mar-18 1377 1287 1247 1197 1157 1107 1016
8 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
BULLION
Gold prices held firm on Friday as tensions between the United Kingdom and Russia
and renewed U.S. political concerns offset worries about a possible U.S. rate hike
next week. Gold prices fell 0.7 percent in the previous session under pressure from
a stronger U.S. dollar. The dollar rose versus a currency basket as traders awaiting
next week's Federal Reserve meeting eyed data that showed the number of Ameri-
cans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week.
BASE METALS
Copper prices fell on Friday as the dollar strengthened ahead of next week's Fed-
eral Open Market Committee meeting at which the U.S. central bank is expected to
raise interest rates for the first time this year. A stronger green back makes metals
more expensive for holders of other currencies and can weigh on prices.Three-
month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.1 percent at $6,914 a
tonne by 0210 GMT extending a 1 percent loss in the previous session. It is on
course for a 0.7 percent weekly drop.
ENERGY
Oil prices remained sideways on Friday after the International Energy Agency said
global crude demand would accelerate this year but warned supply is growing at a
faster pace. NYMEX crude for April delivery was up 5 cents or 0.1 percent at
$61.24 a barrel at 0048 GMT after settling up 23 cents on Thursday.
Natural gas futures fell nearly two percent in American trade away from February
5 highs for the third session as the dollar index rose for the second straight session
from one-week lows .
MCX Fundamentals
9 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
SPICES
Rising arrivals of new crop and an overall high crop estimate have limited the
up trend. Due to high prevailing rates last year more sowing was done for this
crop. Good rains in Gujarat and Rajasthan further boosted productivity as-
pects and traders estimate the crop to be between 65-75 lakh bags. Jeer acre-
age in Gujarat is up by 38% to 3.83 lakh hectares as on 15-Jan-18. Acreage was
2.88 lakh ha at that same time.
Moderate firmness returned for Turmeric after the recent fall. However prices
faced strong resistance near the psychological 7000 mark.
NCDEX Fundamentals
OIL & OILSEEDS
Mentha Oil found some support after the recent fall in prices though overall
sentiments remained slight weak for now. Lack of strong demand amidst
reports of higher sowing kept up trend limited. High prices seen last week
have ensured better sowing this year.
Soya oil, after initial dips posted moderate recovery later. Strength in palm
oil continued supporting the domestic soya oil market. As per sources India
palm oil imports have risen in February due to improving demand before
the summer season starts. Reports state that imports in the world biggest
buyer I.e. India has jumped by nearly 8 percent to 795,000 metric tons from
a year earlier.
GUAR COMPLEX
Prices failed to hold onto the higher levels for Guar as it traded with high
volatility. Expected pick up in export demand in coming weeks at these lower
levels could support prices however as prices found some support near psy-
chological 9000 mark. Lack of strong export demand with falling crude oil
prices amidst reports of higher stocks had kept pressure on prices. Reports of
higher carry forward stock too kept up trend limited.
OTHERS
Spot buying improved during later hours hence futures posted some recov-
ery. For the current week April RM seed might trade in the price band of
4105-4225, unless new season supplies start intensifying.
Viewing technically NCDEX Apr soy bean has a strong support region around
3550-3600 for the current month and expect the downside to be capped
unless the 3500 support gets breached on a closing basis. Bullish tone in soy
meal shall continue helping prices to bounce from support levels moving for-
ward.
10 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
Last week Zinc Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that traded with negative sentiment for the
most part of the week. It made a low of 38171 during the week and closed at 38358 with the marginal loss of 1% on
weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below trend line
breakout with negative RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 38150 then it can test the level of 37700 during the
week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 38400.
Calls of the Week (MCX)
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
ZINC
SILVER
Last week Zinc Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement for the
most part of the week. It made a low of 208.10 during the week and closed at 212.80 with the marginal loss of 1% on
weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect upside movement in it as sustaining above trend line
breakout with positive RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 212.80 then it can test the level of 215 during the
week. One can make buy position in it by maintaining a SL 211.50.
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action BUY
Entry Range ABOVE 212.80
Target 215.00
SL 211.50
Action SELL
Entry Range BELOW 38150
Target 37700
SL 38400
11 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
NCDEX Castor Seed Apr future continued to trade in the range of 4270-4170 for the fourth consecutive trading week.
Price made the low of 4160 during the week and the high of 4260 and settled at 4242. Market closed flat during the
week with higher volume and open interest indicating building of long positions. We can expect market can break its
resistance level of 4270 on this week.
Calls of the Week (NCDEX)
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
COCODAKL
CASTORSEED
Last week COCUDAKL Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement
for the most part of the week. It made a low of 1420 during the week and closed at 1440 with the marginal loss of 2.8%
on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below support
level with negative RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 1420 then it can test the level of 1290 during the week.
One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 1490
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action Sell
Entry Range Below 1420
Target 1290
SL 1490
Action BUY
Entry Range ABOVE 4270
Target 4410
SL 4195
12 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
Last week EURINR Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed choppy movement for
the most part of the week. It made a low of 79.9800 during the week and closed at 80.1650 with the marginal loss of
0.23% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below
trend line breakout with negative divergence in RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 79.8600 then it can test the
level of 79.2625 during the week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 80.2900
Calls of the Week (FOREX)
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
USDINR
EURINR
Last week USDINR Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement for
the most part of the week. It made a low of 64.8650 during the week and closed at 65.0200 with the marginal loss of
0.42% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect upside movement in it as sustaining above
trend line breakout with positive RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 65.1400 then it can test the level of 65.6375
during the week. One can make buy position in it by maintaining a SL 64.7975
WEEKLY STRATEGY
PERTICULAR DETAILS
Action SELL
Entry Range BELOW 79.8600
Target 79.2625
SL 80.2900
Action BUY
Entry Range ABOVE 65.1400
Target 65.6375
SL 64.7975
13 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018
LEGAL DISCLAIMER (कानूनी अस्वीकयण) :
This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained herein are
based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the intended
recipient only.
मह दस्तावेज़ Ways2Capital (हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड का एक बाग) द्वाया तैमाय ककमा गमा है | महां ऩय दी गई जानकायी, ववश्रेषण औय अनुभान Ways2Capital इक्ववटी / कभोडडटी अनुसंधान
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tion, errors or omissions in this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities or commodities.
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इक्ववटी / कभोडडटी फाजाय भें कोई बी ननवेश जोखखभ के अधीन होता है, कं ऩनी इन सुझावों ऩय ककए गए ककसी बी नुकसान के लरए उत्तयदामी नहीं होगी | मह स्तय बववष्म के कीभतों की गनत का संके त नहीं देते
है| वेफसाइट के भाध्मभ से ककसी बी ब्राउक्ज़ंग का अथा है अस्वीकयण की स्वीकृ नत।
DISCLOSURE (प्रकटीकयण) :
High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. or its associates does not do business with companies covered in research report nor is associated in any manner with any
issuer of products/ securities, this ensures that there is no actual or potential conflicts of interest. To ensure compliance with the regulatory body, we have resolved that the company
and all its representatives will not make any trades in the market.
हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगी कं ऩननमां अनुसंधान रयऩोटा भें शालभर कं ऩननमों के साथ कायोफाय नहीं कयती हैं औय न ही ककसी बी तयह के उत्ऩादों / प्रनतबूनतमों के
जायीकताा के साथ जुडी हैं, जो मह सुननक्श्चत कयता है कक टहतों के लरए कोई वास्तववक मा संबाववत संघषा नहीं है | ननमाभक ननकाम के अनुऩारन को सुननक्श्चत कयने के लरए हभने मह तम ककमा है कक कं ऩनी
औय उसके कोई बी प्रनतननधध फाज़ाय भें ट्रेड नहीं कयेंगे।
Clients are advised to consider information provided in the report as opinion only & make investment decision of their own. Clients are also advised to read & understand terms &
conditions of services published on website. No litigations have been filed against the company since the incorporation of the company by regulatory body.
ग्राहकों को मह सराह दी जाती है कक वे रयऩोटा भें दी गई जानकायी को के वर याम के रूऩ भें देखें औय ननवेश के लरए स्वमं पै सरा कयें | ग्राहकों को वेफसाइट ऩय प्रकालशत सेवाओं के ननमभों औय शतों को ऩढ़ने औय
सभझने की बी सराह दी जाती है | कं ऩनी के ननगभन के फाद ननमाभक ननकाम द्वायाकं ऩनी के खखराप कोई भुकदभा (माधचका) दामय नहीं ककमा गमा है।
DISCLOSURE APPENDIX (प्रकटीकयण ऩरयलशष्ट ) :
The reports are prepared by analysts who are employed by High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. All the views expressed in this re- port herein accurately reflects
personal views about the subject company or companies & their securities and no part of compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations
or views contained in this research report.
रयऩोटा ववश्रेषकों द्वाया तैमाय की गमी है जो द्वाया हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड द्वाया ननमुवत हैं | इस रयऩोटा भें व्मवत सबी ववचाय कं ऩनी के फाये भें व्मक्वतगत ववचायों को
दशााता है औय कं ऩननमों औय उनकी प्रनतबूनतमां औय ऺनतऩूनता (भुआवजे) का कोई टहस्सा, मा इस शोध रयऩोटा भें ननटहत ववशेष सुझावों मा ववचायों से प्रत्मऺ मा अप्रत्मऺ रूऩ से संफंधधत नहीं होगा।
DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF CONFLICT OF INTEREST (टहतों के संघषा के भाभरे भें प्रकटीकयण ):
(a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest;
(अ) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगी मा उनके ककसी बी तत्कार रयश्तेदाय की ववषम कं ऩनी भें कोई ववत्तीम रुधच नहीं है औय न ही इस तयह की ववत्तीम टहत की
प्रकृ नत है|
(a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more in the securities of the subject company,
(फ) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगी मा उनके ककसी बी तत्कार रयश्तेदाय की ववषम कं ऩनी की प्रनतबूनतमों भें एक प्रनतशत मा उससे अधधक के वास्तववक / पामदेभंद
स्वालभत्व नहीं हैं |
(a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associate has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance;
(स) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोधगमों को अनुसंधान रयऩोटा के प्रकाशन के सभम मा सावाजननक रूऩ से उऩक्स्थत होने के सभम कोई अन्म बौनतक संघषा नहीं है|
DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF COMPENSATION ( ऺनतऩूनता के संदबा भें प्रकटीकयण):
High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst's area of
coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd.
हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड की ऩॉलरसी अऩने ववश्रेषकों, ऩेशेवयों को ववश्रेषक के ऺेत्र भें ककसी बी कं ऩनी की प्रनतबूनतमों के स्वाभी से ववश्रेषकों को रयऩोटा कयने से योकती है।
ववश्रेषक ऺनतऩूनता : ववश्रेषक हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड के वेतन आधारयत स्थामी कभाचायी है |
DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF PUBLIC APPEARANCE (सावाजननक प्रकटन के भाभरे भें प्रकटीकयण ) :
(a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(अ) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगीमों ने वऩिरे 12 भहीनों भें ववषम कं ऩनी से कोई भुआवजा प्राप्त नहीं ककमा है |
(b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report.
(ब) अनुसंधान रयऩोटा के ववतयण की नतधथ से ऩूवा फायह भहीनों के दौयान ववषम कं ऩनी अफ मा कबी बी ग्राहक नहीं यही है।
(c ) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company;
(स) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगीमों ने ववषम कं ऩनी के अधधकायी, ननदेशक मा कभाचायी के रूऩ भें कबी बी काभ
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Commodity Research Report 19 March 2018 Ways2Capital

  • 1. HIGH BROW MARKET RESEARCH INVESTMENT ADVISOR PVT. LTD.
  • 2. 2 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 Market Wrap-Up NCDEX Market Wrap-Up Commodity Contract Previous Close Open High Low Close % Change in Price % Change in Open Interest % Change in Volume Currency Market Wrap-Up Currency Pair Contract Previous Close Open High Low Close Change in Price (in%) Continued……. MCX Market Wrap-Up Commodity Contract Previous Close Open High Low Close % Change in Price % Change in Open Interest % Change in Volume Aluminium 30-Mar-18 137.40 137.05 137.35 134.10 134.95 -1.78% -33.44% 64.99% Copper 30-Apr-18 452.30 452.65 458.60 446.30 448.55 -0.83% -21.89% 21.68% Crude Oil 19-Apr-18 4023 4042 4070 3922 4065 1.04% 134.23% 18.84% Gold 05-Apr-18 30401 30403 30546 30145 30224 -0.58% -7.92% -1.72% Lead 30-Mar-18 155.40 155.30 158.95 150.65 155.05 -0.23% -95.61% -13.93% Natural Gas 26-Mar-18 178.10 178.50 183.00 173.70 175.10 -1.68% -26.04% 4.09% Nickel 30-Mar-18 896.70 892.40 908.00 877.60 883.60 -1.46% -40.77% -10.28% Silver 04-May-18 38947 38925 39076 38171 38358 -1.51% -24.91% 25.82% Zinc 30-Mar-18 214.35 213.25 214.90 208.10 212.20 -1.00% -21.75% 16.89% Castor Seed 20-Apr-18 4246 4220 4260 4160 4242 -0.09% -11.83% 428.24% Chana 20-Apr-18 3738 3721 3785 3603 3775 0.99% 72.95% -4.38% Dhaniya 20-Apr-18 5492 5502 5530 5331 5371 -2.20% 493.12% 702.83% Cottonseed Oil Cake 20-Apr-18 1482.00 1477.00 1477.00 1420.00 1440.00 -2.83% -90.50% -87.42% Guargum5 20-Apr-18 9027 9035 9325 8905 9120 1.03% 13.08% -2.47% Guarseed10 20-Apr-18 4257.00 4255.00 4350.00 4193.00 4278.00 0.49% 48.43% -7.37% Jeera 20-Apr-18 14995 14890 14940 14515 14595 -2.67% -80.16% -29.00% Kapas 30-Apr-18 961.50 956.50 958.00 916.00 918.00 -4.52% -20.76% -1.44% RMseed 20-Apr-18 4239 4205 4205 4103 4159 -1.89% -48.79% 23.81% Ref Soya Oil 20-Apr-18 793.30 791.00 792.95 777.50 788.90 -0.55% -16.76% 20.79% Soyabean 20-Apr-18 3822 3791 3824 3714 3796 -0.68% -64.26% -11.57% Turmeric 20-Apr-18 6840 6896 6964 6666 6924 1.23% -35.75% -0.92% Mentha Oil 28-Mar-18 1214.90 1208.10 1237.00 1146.80 1206.70 -0.67% 11.79% 11.11% USDINR 26-Mar-18 63.3750 65.1775 65.1825 64.8650 65.0200 2.60% GBPINR 26-Mar-18 89.9150 90.2125 91.1025 90.2000 90.7600 0.94% JPYINR 26-Mar-18 61.2650 61.1800 61.5600 60.6200 61.5375 0.44% EURINR 26-Mar-18 79.7675 80.5000 80.8525 79.9800 80.1650 0.50%
  • 3. 3 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 International Market Wrap-up Commodity Exchange Previous Close Open High Low Close % Change in Price Market Wrap-Up Aluminium LME 2120.50 2118.50 2126.25 2071.50 2087.00 -1.58% Copper COMEX 3.12 3.12 3.17 3.08 3.11 -0.13% Crude Oil NYMEX 62.04 62.10 62.54 60.11 62.24 0.32% Gold COMEX 1324.00 1324.10 1330.50 1309.50 1314.20 -0.74% Lead LME 2386.50 2384.50 2447.75 2311.75 2380.50 -0.25% Natural Gas NYMEX 2.73 2.73 2.81 2.66 2.70 -1.32% Nickel LME 13820.00 13815.00 14027.50 13515.00 13595.00 -1.63% Silver COMEX 16.54 16.57 16.57 16.19 16.34 -1.21% Zinc LME 3294.25 3283.25 3304.50 3205.50 3255.25 -1.18%
  • 4. 4 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 Inventory Updates LME Inventory Commodity Closing In Tonnes (As on 01 Jan 2017) Closing In Tonnes (As on 01 Jan 2017) % Change in Price Continued……. Copper 319325 314875 1.41% Nickel 325386 330888 -1.66% Lead 130925 133650 -2.04% Zinc 206350 205225 0.55% Aluminium 1311900 1315500 -0.27%
  • 5. 5 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 Inventory Updates
  • 6. 6 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 Market Next Week Currency Weekly Pivots Currency Pair Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 Continued……. Economic Events Calendar Time Curreny Event Forecast Previous Tuesday, March 20, 2018 15:00 GBP CPI (MoM) (Feb) 0.50% -0.50% 15:00 GBP CPI (YoY) (Feb) 2.80% 3.00% 15:00 GBP PPI Input (MoM) (Feb) -0.90% 0.70% Wednesday, March 21, 2018 15:00 GBP Average Earnings Index +Bonus (Jan) 2.60% 2.50% 15:00 GBP Unemployment Rate (Jan) 4.40% 4.40% 18:00 USD Current Account (Q4) -125.0B -100.6B 19:30 USD Existing Home Sales (MoM) (Feb) 0.90% -0.032 19:30 USD Existing Home Sales (Feb) 5.40M 5.38M 20:00 USD Crude Oil Inventories - 5.022M 23:30 USD FOMC Economic Projections - - 23:30 USD FOMC Statement - - 23:30 USD Fed Interest Rate Decision 1.75% 1.50% Thursday, March 22, 2018 0:00 USD FOMC Press Conference 15:00 GBP Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) 0.40% 0.10% 15:00 GBP Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb) 1.30% 1.50% 15:00 GBP Retail Sales (MoM) (Feb) 0.40% 0.10% 15:00 GBP Retail Sales (YoY) (Feb) 1.50% 1.60% 17:30 GBP BoE MPC vote cut (Mar) 17:30 GBP BoE MPC vote hike (Mar) 0.00% 17:30 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision (Mar) 0.50% 0.005 18:00 USD Initial Jobless Claims 225K 226K 19:15 USD Manufacturing PMI (Mar) 55.50 55.30 20:15 USD Services PMI (Mar) 55.80 55.90 Friday, March 23, 2018 18:00 USD Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Feb) 0.50% -0.30% 18:00 USD Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Feb) 1.60% -0.037 19:30 USD New Home Sales (Feb) 620K 593K 19:30 USD New Home Sales (MoM) (Feb) 3.70% -7.80% USDINR 26-Mar-18 65.6500 65.3000 65.1500 65.0000 64.8000 64.7000 64.3500 GBPINR 26-Mar-18 92.5000 91.6000 91.2000 90.7000 90.3000 89.8000 88.9000 JPYINR 26-Mar-18 63.1500 62.2000 61.9000 61.2500 60.9500 60.3000 59.3500 EURINR 26-Mar-18 82.1000 81.2000 80.7000 80.3500 79.8500 79.5000 78.6000
  • 7. 7 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 MCX Weekly Pivots Commodity Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 NCDEX Weekly Pivots Commodity Contract R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 Market Next Week Aluminium 30-Mar-18 141.95 138.70 136.80 135.45 133.55 132.20 128.95 Copper 30-Apr-18 475.75 463.45 456 451.15 443.7 438.85 426.55 Crude Oil 19-Apr-18 4315 4167 4116 4019 3968 3871 3723 Gold 5-Apr-18 31107 30706 30465 30305 30064 29904 29503 Lead 30-Mar-18 171.5 163.2 159.15 154.9 150.85 146.60 138.30 Natural Gas 26-Mar-18 195.85 186.55 180.8 177.25 171.5 167.95 158.65 Nickel 30-Mar-18 951 920 902 890 872 859 829 Silver 4-May-18 40345 39440 38899 38535 37994 37630 36725 Zinc 30-Mar-18 225.35 218.55 215.4 211.75 208.6 204.95 198.15 Castor Seed 20-Apr-18 4421 4321 4281 4221 4181 4121 4021 Chana 20-Apr-18 4085 3903 3839 3721 3657 3539 3357 Dhaniya 20-Apr-18 5809 5610 5490 5411 5291 5212 5013 Cottonseed Oil Cake 20-Apr-18 1560 1503 1471 1446 1414 1389 1332 Guargum5 20-Apr-18 9957 9537 9328 9117 8908 8697 8277 Guarseed10 20-Apr-18 4588 4431 4354 4274 4197 4117 3960 Jeera 20-Apr-18 15533 15108 14852 14683 14427 14258 13833 Kapas 30-Apr-18 1015 973 945 931 903 889 847 RMseed 20-Apr-18 4360 4258 4208 4156 4106 4054 3952 Ref Soya Oil 20-Apr-18 817 802 795 786 780 771 756 Soyabean 20-Apr-18 3998 3888 3842 3778 3732 3668 3558 Turmeric 20-Apr-18 7447 7149 7037 6851 6739 6553 6255 Mentha Oil 28-Mar-18 1377 1287 1247 1197 1157 1107 1016
  • 8. 8 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 BULLION Gold prices held firm on Friday as tensions between the United Kingdom and Russia and renewed U.S. political concerns offset worries about a possible U.S. rate hike next week. Gold prices fell 0.7 percent in the previous session under pressure from a stronger U.S. dollar. The dollar rose versus a currency basket as traders awaiting next week's Federal Reserve meeting eyed data that showed the number of Ameri- cans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week. BASE METALS Copper prices fell on Friday as the dollar strengthened ahead of next week's Fed- eral Open Market Committee meeting at which the U.S. central bank is expected to raise interest rates for the first time this year. A stronger green back makes metals more expensive for holders of other currencies and can weigh on prices.Three- month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.1 percent at $6,914 a tonne by 0210 GMT extending a 1 percent loss in the previous session. It is on course for a 0.7 percent weekly drop. ENERGY Oil prices remained sideways on Friday after the International Energy Agency said global crude demand would accelerate this year but warned supply is growing at a faster pace. NYMEX crude for April delivery was up 5 cents or 0.1 percent at $61.24 a barrel at 0048 GMT after settling up 23 cents on Thursday. Natural gas futures fell nearly two percent in American trade away from February 5 highs for the third session as the dollar index rose for the second straight session from one-week lows . MCX Fundamentals
  • 9. 9 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 SPICES Rising arrivals of new crop and an overall high crop estimate have limited the up trend. Due to high prevailing rates last year more sowing was done for this crop. Good rains in Gujarat and Rajasthan further boosted productivity as- pects and traders estimate the crop to be between 65-75 lakh bags. Jeer acre- age in Gujarat is up by 38% to 3.83 lakh hectares as on 15-Jan-18. Acreage was 2.88 lakh ha at that same time. Moderate firmness returned for Turmeric after the recent fall. However prices faced strong resistance near the psychological 7000 mark. NCDEX Fundamentals OIL & OILSEEDS Mentha Oil found some support after the recent fall in prices though overall sentiments remained slight weak for now. Lack of strong demand amidst reports of higher sowing kept up trend limited. High prices seen last week have ensured better sowing this year. Soya oil, after initial dips posted moderate recovery later. Strength in palm oil continued supporting the domestic soya oil market. As per sources India palm oil imports have risen in February due to improving demand before the summer season starts. Reports state that imports in the world biggest buyer I.e. India has jumped by nearly 8 percent to 795,000 metric tons from a year earlier. GUAR COMPLEX Prices failed to hold onto the higher levels for Guar as it traded with high volatility. Expected pick up in export demand in coming weeks at these lower levels could support prices however as prices found some support near psy- chological 9000 mark. Lack of strong export demand with falling crude oil prices amidst reports of higher stocks had kept pressure on prices. Reports of higher carry forward stock too kept up trend limited. OTHERS Spot buying improved during later hours hence futures posted some recov- ery. For the current week April RM seed might trade in the price band of 4105-4225, unless new season supplies start intensifying. Viewing technically NCDEX Apr soy bean has a strong support region around 3550-3600 for the current month and expect the downside to be capped unless the 3500 support gets breached on a closing basis. Bullish tone in soy meal shall continue helping prices to bounce from support levels moving for- ward.
  • 10. 10 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 Last week Zinc Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that traded with negative sentiment for the most part of the week. It made a low of 38171 during the week and closed at 38358 with the marginal loss of 1% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below trend line breakout with negative RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 38150 then it can test the level of 37700 during the week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 38400. Calls of the Week (MCX) WEEKLY STRATEGY PERTICULAR DETAILS ZINC SILVER Last week Zinc Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement for the most part of the week. It made a low of 208.10 during the week and closed at 212.80 with the marginal loss of 1% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect upside movement in it as sustaining above trend line breakout with positive RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 212.80 then it can test the level of 215 during the week. One can make buy position in it by maintaining a SL 211.50. WEEKLY STRATEGY PERTICULAR DETAILS Action BUY Entry Range ABOVE 212.80 Target 215.00 SL 211.50 Action SELL Entry Range BELOW 38150 Target 37700 SL 38400
  • 11. 11 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 NCDEX Castor Seed Apr future continued to trade in the range of 4270-4170 for the fourth consecutive trading week. Price made the low of 4160 during the week and the high of 4260 and settled at 4242. Market closed flat during the week with higher volume and open interest indicating building of long positions. We can expect market can break its resistance level of 4270 on this week. Calls of the Week (NCDEX) WEEKLY STRATEGY PERTICULAR DETAILS COCODAKL CASTORSEED Last week COCUDAKL Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement for the most part of the week. It made a low of 1420 during the week and closed at 1440 with the marginal loss of 2.8% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below support level with negative RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 1420 then it can test the level of 1290 during the week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 1490 WEEKLY STRATEGY PERTICULAR DETAILS Action Sell Entry Range Below 1420 Target 1290 SL 1490 Action BUY Entry Range ABOVE 4270 Target 4410 SL 4195
  • 12. 12 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 Last week EURINR Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed choppy movement for the most part of the week. It made a low of 79.9800 during the week and closed at 80.1650 with the marginal loss of 0.23% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect downside movement in it as sustaining below trend line breakout with negative divergence in RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 79.8600 then it can test the level of 79.2625 during the week. One can make sell position in it by maintaining a SL 80.2900 Calls of the Week (FOREX) WEEKLY STRATEGY PERTICULAR DETAILS USDINR EURINR Last week USDINR Mar Futures started the week on negative note and after that it witnessed sideways movement for the most part of the week. It made a low of 64.8650 during the week and closed at 65.0200 with the marginal loss of 0.42% on weekly basis. Technically for this week, we can further expect upside movement in it as sustaining above trend line breakout with positive RSI. For this week, if it breaks the level of 65.1400 then it can test the level of 65.6375 during the week. One can make buy position in it by maintaining a SL 64.7975 WEEKLY STRATEGY PERTICULAR DETAILS Action SELL Entry Range BELOW 79.8600 Target 79.2625 SL 80.2900 Action BUY Entry Range ABOVE 65.1400 Target 65.6375 SL 64.7975
  • 13. 13 Copyright © 2018 Ways2Capital. All rights reserved 19/03/2018 LEGAL DISCLAIMER (कानूनी अस्वीकयण) : This Document has been prepared by Ways2Capital (A Division of High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt Ltd). The information, analysis and estimates contained herein are based on Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research assessment and have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the intended recipient only. मह दस्तावेज़ Ways2Capital (हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड का एक बाग) द्वाया तैमाय ककमा गमा है | महां ऩय दी गई जानकायी, ववश्रेषण औय अनुभान Ways2Capital इक्ववटी / कभोडडटी अनुसंधान के भूलमांकन ऩय आधारयत हैं औय ववश्वसनीम स्रोतों से प्राप्त की गई है | मह दस्तावेज़ के वर इक्छित प्राप्तकताा के उऩमोग के लरए ही है | This document, at best, represents Ways2Capital Equity/Commodities Research opinion and is meant for general information only. 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No litigations have been filed against the company since the incorporation of the company by regulatory body. ग्राहकों को मह सराह दी जाती है कक वे रयऩोटा भें दी गई जानकायी को के वर याम के रूऩ भें देखें औय ननवेश के लरए स्वमं पै सरा कयें | ग्राहकों को वेफसाइट ऩय प्रकालशत सेवाओं के ननमभों औय शतों को ऩढ़ने औय सभझने की बी सराह दी जाती है | कं ऩनी के ननगभन के फाद ननमाभक ननकाम द्वायाकं ऩनी के खखराप कोई भुकदभा (माधचका) दामय नहीं ककमा गमा है। DISCLOSURE APPENDIX (प्रकटीकयण ऩरयलशष्ट ) : The reports are prepared by analysts who are employed by High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. All the views expressed in this re- port herein accurately reflects personal views about the subject company or companies & their securities and no part of compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this research report. रयऩोटा ववश्रेषकों द्वाया तैमाय की गमी है जो द्वाया हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड द्वाया ननमुवत हैं | इस रयऩोटा भें व्मवत सबी ववचाय कं ऩनी के फाये भें व्मक्वतगत ववचायों को दशााता है औय कं ऩननमों औय उनकी प्रनतबूनतमां औय ऺनतऩूनता (भुआवजे) का कोई टहस्सा, मा इस शोध रयऩोटा भें ननटहत ववशेष सुझावों मा ववचायों से प्रत्मऺ मा अप्रत्मऺ रूऩ से संफंधधत नहीं होगा। DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF CONFLICT OF INTEREST (टहतों के संघषा के भाभरे भें प्रकटीकयण ): (a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or his associate or his relative has no financial interest in the subject company and the nature of such financial interest; (अ) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगी मा उनके ककसी बी तत्कार रयश्तेदाय की ववषम कं ऩनी भें कोई ववत्तीम रुधच नहीं है औय न ही इस तयह की ववत्तीम टहत की प्रकृ नत है| (a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates or relatives, have no actual/beneficial ownership of one percent or more in the securities of the subject company, (फ) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगी मा उनके ककसी बी तत्कार रयश्तेदाय की ववषम कं ऩनी की प्रनतबूनतमों भें एक प्रनतशत मा उससे अधधक के वास्तववक / पामदेभंद स्वालभत्व नहीं हैं | (a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associate has no other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance; (स) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोधगमों को अनुसंधान रयऩोटा के प्रकाशन के सभम मा सावाजननक रूऩ से उऩक्स्थत होने के सभम कोई अन्म बौनतक संघषा नहीं है| DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF COMPENSATION ( ऺनतऩूनता के संदबा भें प्रकटीकयण): High Brow Market Research Investment Advisor Pvt. Ltd. policy prohibits its analysts, professionals reporting to analysts from owning securities of any company in the analyst's area of coverage. Analyst compensation: Analysts are salary based permanent employees of High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड की ऩॉलरसी अऩने ववश्रेषकों, ऩेशेवयों को ववश्रेषक के ऺेत्र भें ककसी बी कं ऩनी की प्रनतबूनतमों के स्वाभी से ववश्रेषकों को रयऩोटा कयने से योकती है। ववश्रेषक ऺनतऩूनता : ववश्रेषक हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड के वेतन आधारयत स्थामी कभाचायी है | DISCLOSURE IN TERMS OF PUBLIC APPEARANCE (सावाजननक प्रकटन के भाभरे भें प्रकटीकयण ) : (a) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates have not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months; (अ) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगीमों ने वऩिरे 12 भहीनों भें ववषम कं ऩनी से कोई भुआवजा प्राप्त नहीं ककमा है | (b) The subject company is not now or never a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report. (ब) अनुसंधान रयऩोटा के ववतयण की नतधथ से ऩूवा फायह भहीनों के दौयान ववषम कं ऩनी अफ मा कबी बी ग्राहक नहीं यही है। (c ) High Brow Market Research Pvt. Ltd. or its associates has never served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company; (स) हाई ब्रो भाके ट अनुसंधान ननवेश सराहकाय प्राइवेट लरलभटेड मा उसके सहमोगीमों ने ववषम कं ऩनी के अधधकायी, ननदेशक मा कभाचायी के रूऩ भें कबी बी काभ Disclaimer