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Intelligence Artificielle et
Apprentissage Profond
Yoshua Bengio
Grande Conférence AQT, 12 juin 2017
Cars are now driving themselves…
(far from perfectly, though)
Speaking to a Bot is No Longer
Unusual…
March 2016:
World Go Champion
Beaten by Machine
AI: The Upcoming Industrial Revolution
First industrial revolution:
• Machines extending humans’
mechanical power
Upcoming industrial revolution:
• Machines extending humans’
cognitive power
• From the digital economy to the
AI economy
• Predicted growth at least 25%/yr
• All sectors of the economy
A new revolution
seems to be in the
work after the
industrial revolution.
And Deep
Learning is at
the epicenter of
this revolution.
Initial breakthrough in deep learning
A Canadian-led trio at
CIFAR initiated the deep
learning AI revolution
• Fundamental
breakthrough in 2006:
first successful recipe for
training a deep supervised
neural network
AI, Machine Learning, Deep Learning
• Putting knowledge into computers
• Much knowledge is intuitive, uncommunicable
• Machine learning (ML) approach to AI
• Deep learning: a ML inspired by brains, learning
multiple levels of representation, different levels of
abstraction
8
Supervised Learning
• Input = Image (e.g. pixel grey levels)
• Target = Category (e.g. which emotion)
“surprise” “joy” “fear”
Input image
Target label
Data is the New Oil
• Because AI is based on ML, successful AI
applications require DATA – lots of data
• The first step in any project:
– what data is available and what data is
needed, do we need to collect more, do we
need to label it?
2010-2012: breakthrough in
speech recognition
Source: Microsoft
2012-2015: breakthrough
in computer vision
• Graphics Processing Units
(GPUs) + 10x more data
• 1,000 object categories,
• Facebook: millions of faces
• 2015: human-level
performance
100%
90%
80%
70%
74.2
88.3
93.3
96.4
2012 2013
~ level of human
accuracy
94.9%
Use of
Deep Learning
over
Conventional
Computer Vision
Google
NYU
84.7
201520142011
U.Toronto
Microsoft
ImageNet Accuracy Still Improving
Top-5 Classification task
Accuracy
Medical Image Classification
ClinicalValidation:OpticalColonoscopy
Imagia
> 90%, real
time
GI Experts (Key
Opinion Leaders)*
~ 90%
GI Doctors Trained by
KOLs*
~ 75%
*(D. Rex, 2015)
Colon polyp malignancy from
endoscope video by deep learning
Still Far from Human-Level AI
• Industrial successes mostly based on supervised
learning
• Learning superficial clues, easy to fool trained
networks
• Still unable to discover higher-level abstractions
From Labs to Products
• Even if fundamental AI research were to
stop today, there would be at least 10 yrs
reaping the benefits of today’s science
• Scaling up efforts: more and better data,
engineering of models, computing power,
creative deployment of technology
17
Through automation, Artificial Intelligence will cause major labor disruption
while creating new markets and opportunities
SOURCE: The Economist, BAML, Press Search
Low-Medium risk High risk
53% 47%
Existing jobs
in the U.S.
Likelihood of automation in the near future
100% = 138mn jobs
Industries impacted Examples of opportunities
Automotive &
Transport
▪ Autonomous vehicles to create a $87bn solutions market
Aerospace &
Defense
▪ Drone systems integration to create $82bn in positive economic impact and generate more
than 100,000 jobs
Financial
Services
▪ Robo advisors expected to have up to $2.2tn in AUM productivity gains from automation to
create $600-800bn in annual economic impact by 2025
Healthcare
▪ Global market for telehealth to reach $34bn
▪ Global market for medical robotics to reach $18bn
Agriculture ▪ Global agribot market to reach $16.3bn
Nearly half the jobs in the U.S. face high risk of automation
AI will create new markets and opportunities in connected industries
PRELIMINARY
Embracing AI in industry:
Not just a question of
competitivity,
a question of survival
Keys to the Success of Montreal as
an AI Hub
• Critical Mass of Talent
• Over 160 deep learning scientists in
Montreal’s universities, soon 200
• International visibility of a productive
fundamental research group
• Generating many graduate students
• Leadership, presence in the community
• Visible & substantial government investment
• VCs willing to invest outside of traditional
techno-hubs
Why Invest in AI Innovation: create the value
here to compensate for labor disruptions
• Advances in AI will disrupt the job markets, with some studies
estimating that half of the jobs are at risk over the next
decade.
• The new markets for products and services derived from AI
will also correspondingly create immense wealth.
• To compensate for the disruption (social safety net, re-
training, etc.) we need enough of the wealth creation to
happen under our tax base.
Entrepreneurs & AI
• Start thinking about how ML could be exploited to
improve current services & products, and create new
products and services
• Need a data strategy
• Need talent (that is tough), but smart engineers can learn
the skills if given time and resources
• Connect with academic researchers and take advantage
of training events & precompetitive research at institutes
like MILA
Be Ambitious – Tolerate Risk
• Canada’s business has been too conservative
in the past, unlike our friends in The Valley
• Canada, and in particular Montreal, benefit
from a unique intellectual asset
• It could be turned into an economic asset to
build an AI ecosystem here, if all the actors
collaborate: governments, academia, SME,
start-ups, VCs

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Grande conférence AQT - IA et apprentissage profond

  • 1. Intelligence Artificielle et Apprentissage Profond Yoshua Bengio Grande Conférence AQT, 12 juin 2017
  • 2. Cars are now driving themselves… (far from perfectly, though)
  • 3. Speaking to a Bot is No Longer Unusual…
  • 4. March 2016: World Go Champion Beaten by Machine
  • 5. AI: The Upcoming Industrial Revolution First industrial revolution: • Machines extending humans’ mechanical power Upcoming industrial revolution: • Machines extending humans’ cognitive power • From the digital economy to the AI economy • Predicted growth at least 25%/yr • All sectors of the economy
  • 6. A new revolution seems to be in the work after the industrial revolution. And Deep Learning is at the epicenter of this revolution.
  • 7. Initial breakthrough in deep learning A Canadian-led trio at CIFAR initiated the deep learning AI revolution • Fundamental breakthrough in 2006: first successful recipe for training a deep supervised neural network
  • 8. AI, Machine Learning, Deep Learning • Putting knowledge into computers • Much knowledge is intuitive, uncommunicable • Machine learning (ML) approach to AI • Deep learning: a ML inspired by brains, learning multiple levels of representation, different levels of abstraction 8
  • 9. Supervised Learning • Input = Image (e.g. pixel grey levels) • Target = Category (e.g. which emotion) “surprise” “joy” “fear” Input image Target label
  • 10. Data is the New Oil • Because AI is based on ML, successful AI applications require DATA – lots of data • The first step in any project: – what data is available and what data is needed, do we need to collect more, do we need to label it?
  • 11. 2010-2012: breakthrough in speech recognition Source: Microsoft
  • 12. 2012-2015: breakthrough in computer vision • Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) + 10x more data • 1,000 object categories, • Facebook: millions of faces • 2015: human-level performance
  • 13. 100% 90% 80% 70% 74.2 88.3 93.3 96.4 2012 2013 ~ level of human accuracy 94.9% Use of Deep Learning over Conventional Computer Vision Google NYU 84.7 201520142011 U.Toronto Microsoft ImageNet Accuracy Still Improving Top-5 Classification task
  • 14. Accuracy Medical Image Classification ClinicalValidation:OpticalColonoscopy Imagia > 90%, real time GI Experts (Key Opinion Leaders)* ~ 90% GI Doctors Trained by KOLs* ~ 75% *(D. Rex, 2015) Colon polyp malignancy from endoscope video by deep learning
  • 15. Still Far from Human-Level AI • Industrial successes mostly based on supervised learning • Learning superficial clues, easy to fool trained networks • Still unable to discover higher-level abstractions
  • 16. From Labs to Products • Even if fundamental AI research were to stop today, there would be at least 10 yrs reaping the benefits of today’s science • Scaling up efforts: more and better data, engineering of models, computing power, creative deployment of technology
  • 17. 17 Through automation, Artificial Intelligence will cause major labor disruption while creating new markets and opportunities SOURCE: The Economist, BAML, Press Search Low-Medium risk High risk 53% 47% Existing jobs in the U.S. Likelihood of automation in the near future 100% = 138mn jobs Industries impacted Examples of opportunities Automotive & Transport ▪ Autonomous vehicles to create a $87bn solutions market Aerospace & Defense ▪ Drone systems integration to create $82bn in positive economic impact and generate more than 100,000 jobs Financial Services ▪ Robo advisors expected to have up to $2.2tn in AUM productivity gains from automation to create $600-800bn in annual economic impact by 2025 Healthcare ▪ Global market for telehealth to reach $34bn ▪ Global market for medical robotics to reach $18bn Agriculture ▪ Global agribot market to reach $16.3bn Nearly half the jobs in the U.S. face high risk of automation AI will create new markets and opportunities in connected industries PRELIMINARY
  • 18. Embracing AI in industry: Not just a question of competitivity, a question of survival
  • 19. Keys to the Success of Montreal as an AI Hub • Critical Mass of Talent • Over 160 deep learning scientists in Montreal’s universities, soon 200 • International visibility of a productive fundamental research group • Generating many graduate students • Leadership, presence in the community • Visible & substantial government investment • VCs willing to invest outside of traditional techno-hubs
  • 20. Why Invest in AI Innovation: create the value here to compensate for labor disruptions • Advances in AI will disrupt the job markets, with some studies estimating that half of the jobs are at risk over the next decade. • The new markets for products and services derived from AI will also correspondingly create immense wealth. • To compensate for the disruption (social safety net, re- training, etc.) we need enough of the wealth creation to happen under our tax base.
  • 21. Entrepreneurs & AI • Start thinking about how ML could be exploited to improve current services & products, and create new products and services • Need a data strategy • Need talent (that is tough), but smart engineers can learn the skills if given time and resources • Connect with academic researchers and take advantage of training events & precompetitive research at institutes like MILA
  • 22. Be Ambitious – Tolerate Risk • Canada’s business has been too conservative in the past, unlike our friends in The Valley • Canada, and in particular Montreal, benefit from a unique intellectual asset • It could be turned into an economic asset to build an AI ecosystem here, if all the actors collaborate: governments, academia, SME, start-ups, VCs

Editor's Notes

  1. Advances in Colonoscopy, An Issue of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Clinics Doug rex 2015