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3Q16
NEW YORK CITY
OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
November 1, 2016
2
TABLE OF CONTENTS
22 Manhattan Development Overview
23 Commercial Development Pipeline
24 Commercial Development Horizon Map
25 Manhattan Development Overview
26 Boutique Development Overview
4 Manhattan Office Market Overview
5 Leasing Activity by Market
6 Key Leasing Activity Metrics
7 Industries Driving Demand: Employment and Leasing Trends
8
Industries Driving Demand: 3Q16 Leasing and Tenants in the
Market
9 Composition of Tech Leasing
10 Manhattan Submarket Comparison
11 Asking Rent Trends
12 Taking and Net Effective Rent Trends
13 Taking Rent Corridor and Submarket Comparisons
14 Concessions Analysis: Work Amount
15 Concessions Analysis: Free Rent
16 Triple-Digit Taking Rent Assets
17 Manhattan Top-Tier Trends
18 Midtown South Top-Tier Trends
19 Midtown Deal Composition
20 Midtown South Deal Composition
21 Downtown Deal Composition
27
Brooklyn and Long Island City
Office Market Overview
28 Brooklyn Office Development Map
29 Brooklyn Office Development Overview
30 Brooklyn’s Changing Inventory
31 Brooklyn Market Trends
32 Brooklyn Submarket Snapshot
33 Asking Rent Comparison
34 Long Island City Trends
35 Long Island City Submarket Snapshot
3 Executive Summary
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
3
Borough
Trends
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Leasing
Activity
Industry
Growth
Asking and
Taking Rents
Net Effective
Rents
Premier
Space
New
Supply
Despite overall drops in rent growth, activity at the top end of the market remained on
par with 2015 in Midtown, while dropping in Midtown South.
A drop in relocation activity was balanced by an uptick in renewals, particularly among
large deals in Midtown. Overall leasing activity in Midtown South fell below the prior
year and ten-year averages.
FIRE activity increased in the third quarter and TAMI activity declined for the third
consecutive quarter, while the types of tech tenants that were active continued to
diversify from recent years.
Asking rents continued to increase, though at a slower rate than the annual average
during this market cycle. The slow-down was generally more pronounced in taking
rents.
Approximately 29 million square feet of development projects are in the development
pipeline in Manhattan. Of this total, 15 million square feet is scheduled for delivery by
2020.
Brooklyn and Long Island City market conditions remained unchanged in the third
quarter with rents holding steady, a slight drop in availability, and consistency in the
development pipeline.
Net effective rental rates have flattened as landlords are giving more substantial
concession packages including an increased amount of work allowance.
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
3Q16
MANHATTAN
OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
5
Manhattan (MSF) Midtown (MSF)
Midtown South (MSF) Downtown (MSF)
27.7 MSF
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Relocations Renewals Average First 3 Quarters Velocity
4.9 MSF
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Relocations Renewals Average First 3 Quarters Velocity
7.9 MSF
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Relocations Renewals Average First 3 Quarters Velocity
14.9 MSF
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Relocations Renewals Average First 3 Quarters Velocity
LEASING ACTIVITY BY MARKET
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Renewals compensated for a dip in
relocation activity, resulting in stable leasing
for overall Manhattan.
Key
Takeaway
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
6
2015 versus 2016
KEY LEASING ACTIVITY METRICS
Relocations
64%
Renewals &
Expansions
36%
Relocations
57%
Renewals
&
Expansions
43%
20.9
27.4
0
10
20
30
2015 2016 YTD
Average Time on Market for Space Available (Months)
1Q-3Q
2015
1Q-3Q
2016
Renewals vs. Relocations
Renewal activity is on the rise, while space is
sitting on the market longer compared to
2015.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
7
INDUSTRIES DRIVING DEMAND
20%
18%
17%
20%
35%
30%
34%
44%
16%
27%
29%
23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
Professional Services FIRE TAMI
Leasing by IndustryIndustries Driving Employment
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
650,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Professional Services FIRE TAMI
Employment growth has flattened in 2016.
This translated to leasing for TAMI and
Professional Services while FIRE
increased.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, New York State Department of Labor
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
8
FIRE
41% FIRE
32%
FIRE
52%
Prof Svcs
20%
Prof Svcs
20%
Prof Svcs
9%
TAMI
27%
TAMI
24%
TAMI
13%
Nonprofits
3%
Nonprofits
10%
Other
9%
Other
24%
Other
16%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Midtown Midtown South Downtown
3Q16 Leasing by Industry
INDUSTRIES DRIVING DEMAND
TAMI
26%
FIRE
32%
Prof Svcs
20%
Retail &
Apparel
7%
Other
15%
Tenants in the Market (TIM)
TOTAL SF
IN THE
MARKET
TAMI leasing has declined in recent quarters, while
leasing among FIRE tenants continued with an
increase in renewals.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
9
1%
12%
18%
14%
1%
9%
3%
3%
9%
11%
5%
7%
6%
1%
Biotech Cloud Computing Digital Media E-Commerce Edtech Fintech Gaming
Health Tech Infotech Marketing Search Engine Social Media Telecommunications Transportation
2014 20162015
COMPOSITION OF TECH LEASING
5%
12%
9%
1%
8%
1%
3%2%15%
18%
5%
4%
12%
5% 7%
1%
13%
23%
7%5%
2%
32%
3%
3%
2% 2%
Major Transactions Include:
Google Sony Amazon
Twitter Buzzfeed Yelp
Major Transactions Include:
Bloomberg AOL PayPal
Pandora TED
Major Transactions Include:
Salesforce Gilt Groupe Bleacher Report
Grovo Side Walk Labs
Activity Highlights: Marketing dominated with 18%
of leasing in 2014, but dropped to 11% in 2015 and
3% in 2016.
Activity Highlights: Digital media led leasing in
2015 at 18%, up from 2014 and 2016.
Activity Highlights: Infotech surged in 2016, ahead of its
share in the prior two years and all other tech
subindustries in 2016.
While overall tech and creative leasing
dropped in 2016, the composition of tech
industries active in the market has shifted.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
10
Rental rate growth has begun to slow
across nearly all of Manhattan’s
submarkets
Key
Takeaway
MANHATTAN SUBMARKET COMPARISON
Availability
Rate (%)
Average Asking
Rent ($/SF)
Manhattan 11.3% $ 76.74
Midtown 11.9% $ 82.84
Eastside 9.9% $ 74.79
Far West Side 17.5% $ 85.19
Grand Central 14.8% $ 78.13
Murray Hill 10.1% $ 61.75
Park Avenue 12.7% $ 104.75
Penn Station 8.3% $ 64.93
Plaza District 13.3% $ 110.91
Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr. 13.2% $ 87.60
Times Square 10.0% $ 80.55
Times Square South 10.4% $ 61.64
Westside 9.1% $ 70.28
Midtown South 8.0% $ 72.60
Chelsea 7.6% $ 66.23
East Village 0.6% $ 48.00
Flatiron/Union Square 8.0% $ 71.22
Hudson Square/Meatpacking 11.7% $ 84.02
Soho/Noho 5.2% $ 72.64
Downtown 12.3% $ 62.40
Downtown East 11.8% $ 57.70
Downtown West 12.7% $ 67.84
Tribeca/City Hall 14.1% $ 65.43
Submarket Rent Growth Comparison
25%
8%
11%
6%
1%
5%
-1%
7%
2%
1%
0%
0%
-8%
5%
13%
1%
4%
4%
5%
8%
8%
8%
9%
15%
9%
10%
12%
9%
9%
6%
7%
9%
10%
8%
7%
7%
13%
8%
Tribeca/City Hall
Downtown West
Downtown East
Soho/Noho
Hudson Square/Meatpacking
Flatiron/Union Square
East Village
Chelsea
Westside
Times Square South
Times Square
Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr.
Plaza District
Penn Station
Park Avenue
Murray Hill
Grand Central
Far West Side
Eastside
Growth Per Annum Since 2010 (%) Growth Past 12 Months (%)
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
11
$89.02
$57.02
$82.84
$58.93
$40.33
$72.60
$51.56
$39.09
$62.40
$25
$35
$45
$55
$65
$75
$85
$95
3Q05 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
Midtown Midtown South Downtown
Average Asking Rent by Market ($/SF)
ASKING RENT TRENDS
Average Annual Change
Since Trough (2010)
Change since
2015
MT 6.4% 3.9%
MTS 10.3% 3.7%
DT 8.1% 9.7%
Year-over-year asking rent growth pulled
back from the 6-year average in Midtown and
Midtown South. Downtown pushed slightly
ahead.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
12
$65.23
$60.24
$42.65
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
$60
$65
$70
$75
$80
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
Midtown Midtown South Downtown
*Midtown 2016 YTD averages are impacted on a weighted basis by the Citadel deal at 425 Park. Including
that deal, the average taking rent is pushed to $79.40/SF and average NER is pushed to $67.96/SF.
NER Rent Trends
Average net effective rents for direct deals with >5-year terms
TAKING AND NET EFFECTIVE RENT TRENDS
Taking rent growth has slowed with the
exception of Midtown, while net effective
rents have flattened year-over-year.
Key
Takeaway
$76.03
$67.19
$52.61
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
$60
$65
$70
$75
$80
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
Midtown Midtown South Downtown
Base Taking Rent Trends
Average Annual Change Since
Trough (2009-2010)
Change Since 2015
MT 6.1% 7.6%
MTS 9.8% 1.0%
DT 7.2% 3.7%
Average Annual Change Since
Trough (2009-2010)
Change Since 2015
MT 5.1% 1.6%
MTS 8.4% 1.6%
DT 4.9% 1.1%
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
13
Submarket Market
Average Base
Taking Rent ($/SF)
Park Avenue* MT $124.56
Plaza District MT $89.23
Hudson Square/
Meatpacking
MTS $84.65
Far West Side MT $84.13
Sixth Ave/Rock
Ctr.
MT $78.22
NoHo/SoHo MTS $76.05
Westside MT $75.48
Eastside MT $73.22
Grand Central MT $66.94
Chelsea MTS $65.89
Times Square MT $65.20
Flatiron/Union
Square
MTS $63.75
Penn Station MT $62.20
Times Square
South
MT $60.81
Downtown West DT $60.38
Murray Hill MT $52.64
Downtown East DT $49.67
Corridor Market
Average Base
Taking Rent ($/SF)
Park Avenue* MT $107.91
Upper Fifth Avenue
(47th - 65th Streets)
MT $93.36
East 50s MT $78.54
Avenue of the
Americas
MT $77.16
West 50s MT $76.57
Broadway MTS $76.37
Lexington Avenue MT $76.01
Madison Avenue MT $74.49
Park Avenue South MTS $73.55
Broadway MT $71.25
Eighth Avenue MTS $68.57
West 40s MT $68.20
Fifth Avenue MTS $67.95
Third Avenue MT $65.66
West 20s MTS $65.28
East 40s MT $63.17
Lower Fifth Avenue
(32nd - 47th
Streets)
MT $61.85
East 20s MTS $58.02
Madison Avenue MTS $53.37
Water Street DT $51.83
Broadway DT $51.08
*Park Avenue Submarket and Corridor averages are impacted on a
weighted basis by Citadel deal at 425 Park.
Average taking rents for direct deals with >5-year terms
TAKING RENT CORRIDOR AND SUBMARKET COMPARISONS
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
14
$65.73
$68.18
$70.00
$72.31
$76.90
$83.32
$86.46
$93.50
$61.67
$62.78
$66.86
$65.80
Chelsea
Flatiron/Union Square
Eastside
Downtown East
Hudson Square/Meatpacking
Times Square South
Penn Station
Westside
Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr.
Grand Central
Park Avenue
Plaza District
Downtown Midtown South Midtown
2016 YTD Average Work Amount ($/SF) Percent Change Year-Over-Year
Work amount for direct deals with >10-year terms, +10K SF
CONCESSIONS ANALYSIS
Landlords are spending more on build-
outs through prebuild programs or work
allowances.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
-8%
-5%
0%
11%
17%
18%
18%
26%
4%
8%
16%
-2%
Times Square South
Westside
Downtown East
Eastside
Hudson Square/Meatpacking
Flatiron/Union Square
Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr.
Chelsea
Penn Station
Park Avenue
Plaza District
Grand Central
Downtown Midtown South Midtown
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
15
7
8
9
9
9
9
10
11
11
8
9
9
8
9
Times Square
Downtown East
Eastside
Chelsea
Flatiron/Union Square
Downtown West
Westside
Grand Central
Plaza District
Hudson Square/Meatpacking
Times Square South
Penn Station
Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr.
Park Avenue
Downtown Midtown South Midtown
2016 YTD Free Rent (Months) Percent Change Year-Over-Year
Free rent for direct deals with >10-year terms, +10K SF
CONCESSIONS ANALYSIS
Free rent has increased in about one-third
of Manhattan’s submarkets, but remained
flat or dropped in all others.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
-13%
-13%
0%
0%
0%
10%
11%
11%
13%
-11%
13%
14%
0%
0%
Times Square
Times Square South
Hudson Square/Meatpacking
Westside
Eastside
Downtown East
Grand Central
Downtown West
Park Avenue
Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr.
Penn Station
Plaza District
Flatiron/Union Square
Chelsea
Downtown Midtown South Midtown
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
16
19
48
44
12
8
19 17
24 25
36
33
7
8
5
2
4
4 8
5
7
5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
1Q-3Q 4Q
Midtown
30 Hudson Yards
888 Seventh Avenue
250 West 55th Street
152 West 57th Street
7 Bryant Park
1095 Avenue of the Americas
1114 Avenue of the Americas
1330 Avenue of the Americas
712 Fifth Avenue
717 Fifth Avenue
745 Fifth Avenue
767 Fifth Avenue
9 West 57th Street
10 East 53rd Street
437 Madison Avenue
510 Madison Avenue
650 Madison Avenue
660 Madison Avenue
667 Madison Avenue
277 Park Avenue
280 Park Avenue
350 Park Avenue
375 Park Avenue
399 Park Avenue
425 Park Avenue
450 Park Avenue
499 Park Avenue
601 Lexington Avenue
Midtown South
111 Eighth Avenue
404 West 14th Street
860 Washington Street
770 Broadway
315 Park Avenue South
Number of buildings that signed $100+ taking rents each year
TRIPLE-DIGIT TAKING RENT ASSETS
Despite an overall slow-down in rent growth,
demand remains for premier space. Manhattan is
set to match 2015 in +$100/SF rent buildings.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
17
34
74
58
10
17
38
24
38
31
46
27
7
16
26
6
9
16
13
22
19
9
17
11
29
18
3 1 1 1 3
7
3
9
4
12
8
3 2 4 8 6
11
13 4
0
25
50
75
100
Transactions with taking rents over $100/SF
MANHATTAN TOP-TIER TRENDS
Transactions Under 20K SF: Transactions Over 20K SF:Relocations Renewals and Expansions Relocations Renewals and Expansions
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
The volume of triple-digit deals is consistent
with 2015 totals.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
18
Transactions with taking rents over $75/SF
MIDTOWN SOUTH TOP-TIER TRENDS
Other
16%
Business
Services
31%
FIRE
32%
TAMI
21%
2016 YTD MTS Taking Rents Over $75/SF By Industry
1 2
7 7
30
34
19
0
10
20
30
40
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
Deal-making at the top end of the market in
Midtown South has slowed in 2016 from the
past two years.
Key
Takeaway
Number of Deals Signed Over $75/SF
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
19
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
$40s $50s $60s $70s $80s $90s $100s $110s $120s $130s $140+
Number of Deals by Taking Rent
Under 10,000
SF
64%
10K-25K SF
23%
25K-50K SF
8%
50K-100K SF
2%
Over
100,000 SF
3%
Number of Deals by Size
MIDTOWN DEAL COMPOSITION
Direct deals with five-year terms and longer
Company Address SF Lease Type Industry
Random House 1745 Broadway 605,000
Extension &
Expansion
TAMI
C.V. Starr 399 Park Avenue 210,963
Renewal &
Expansion
FIRE
Dentons 1221 Avenue of the Americas 207,371 Renewal
Legal
Services
Bloomberg 919 Third Avenue 204,000 Expansion FIRE
Morgan Stanley 399 Park Avenue 110,000 Direct New FIRE
Despite strong leasing over 100,000 square feet,
the overwhelming majority of Midtown deals are
small and mid-sized deals in commodity space.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
20
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
$40s $50s $60s $70s $80s $90s $100+
Number of Deals by Taking Rent
Under 10K SF
65%
10K-25K SF
25%
25K-50K SF
10%
Number of Deals by Size
MIDTOWN SOUTH DEAL COMPOSITION
Direct deals with five-year terms and longer
Company Address SF Lease Type Industry
Taboola 1115 Broadway 48,010 Direct New TAMI
Deloitte 330 Hudson Street 47,222 Sublease FIRE
Winton Capital 315 Park Avenue South 34,400 Direct New FIRE
Lieff Cabraser Heimann
& Bernstein LLP
250 Hudson Street 27,778 Renewal
Legal
Services
Ernst & Young 218 West 18th Street 27,008 Sublease FIRE
Few high-priced deals and a lack of large
transactions during 3Q16 underscore the
recent slow-down in activity in Midtown
South
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
21
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
$30s $40s $50s $60s $70s $80s
Number of Deals by Taking Rent
Under 10K SF
49%
10K-25K SF
33%
25K-50K SF
15%
Over 100K SF
3%
Number of Deals by Size
DOWNTOWN DEAL COMPOSITION
Direct deals with five-year terms and longer
Company Address SF Lease Type Industry
Zurich Insurance
4 World Trade
Center
131,876 Direct New FIRE
QBE 55 Water Street 97,228 Sublease FIRE
American Express 200 Vesey Street 80,000 Direct New FIRE
Port Authority of NY & NJ 80 Pine Street 57,245 Sublease Gov’t
The Solomon R.
Guggenheim Foundation
1 Liberty Plaza 46,588 Direct New Nonprofit
Downtown saw stability in the range of pricing
and a healthy mix in size of transactions.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
3Q16
MANHATTAN DEVELOPMENT
OVERVIEW
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
23
0
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1980
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2020
TBD
COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE
MANHATTAN (MSF)
New
Construction
86.9 MSF
Expected
Delivery
15.0 MSF
Potential
Delivery
13.7 MSF
2014 837 Washington Street
1 World Trade Center
2015 7 Bryant Park
430 West 15th Street
2016 10 Hudson Yards
860 Washington Street
855 Avenue of the Americas
89 Bowery
2017 432 Park Avenue
390 Madison Avenue
540 West 26th Street
510-512 West 22nd Street
2 Pike Street
412-414 West 15th Street
2018 300 Lafayette Street
3 World Trade Center
425 Park Avenue
55 Hudson Yards
61 Ninth Avenue
40 Tenth Avenue
2019 1 Manhattan West
30 Hudson Yards
3 Hudson Boulevard
106 West 56th Street
2020 One Vanderbilt Avenue
TBD 50 Hudson Yards
2 World Trade Center
2 Manhattan West
66 Hudson Boulevard
15 Penn Plaza
438 Eleventh Avenue
75 Ninth Avenue
44 Union Square East
Key
Takeaway
About 29 M Sq. Ft. of new office
product is under construction or in the
planning stages in Manhattan.
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
3Q14 MANHATTAN DEVELOPMENT UPDATE
4b
4a
5
1
3c
3d
3a
3b
2
MANHATTAN
WEST
4a
4b
55 HUDSON
YARDS
1
450 WEST
33rd STREET
2
1
2
3
4
Memorial
2 WTC
WTC
Transportation
Hub
WORLD TRADE CENTER
AND DOWNTOWN
3 HUDSON
BOULEVARD
5
7 BRYANT PARK
ONE
VANDERBILT
AVENUE
425 PARK
AVENUE
390 MADISON
AVENUE
1 WTC
3b
3a
Retail space3c
4 WTC3 WTC
6
MIDTOWN EAST
66 & 99
HUDSON
BOULEVARD
FAR WEST SIDE
6
7
7
10, 30 & 50
HUDSON YARDS
3d
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
25
MANHATTAN DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW
WORLD TRADE CENTER
PORT AUTHORITY
OF NY/NJ, DURST
SILVERSTEIN PROPERTIES
1 World
Trade Center
2 World
Trade Center
3 World
Trade Center
4 World
Trade Center
3.0M SF 2.8M SF 2.5M SF 2.3M SF
2014 TBD 2018 2013
Completed Planned Under Construction Completed
MIDTOWN EAST
BANK OF CHINA
L&L HOLDING,
RREEF
L&L HOLDING
COMPANY
SL GREEN
7 Bryant
Park
390 Madison
Avenue
425 Park
Avenue
One Vanderbilt
Avenue
473,000 SF 843,710 SF 670,000 SF 1.8M SF
2015 2017 2018 2020
Completed Under Renovation Under Construction Planned
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
FAR WEST SIDE
THE RELATED
COMPANIES
MITSUI FUDOSAN,
RELATED
THE RELATED
COMPANIES
BROOKFIELD PROPERTIES, QIA
THE RELATED
COMPANIES
MOINIAN
GROUP
TISHMAN SPEYER
10 Hudson
Yards
55 Hudson
Yards
30 Hudson
Yards
1 Manhattan
West
2 Manhattan
West
50 Hudson
Yards
3 Hudson
Boulevard
66 Hudson
Boulevard
99 Hudson
Boulevard
1.7M SF 1.3M SF 2.6M SF 2.1M SF 2.1M SF 2.3M SF 1.8M SF 2.85M SF 1.3M SF
2016 2018 2019 2019 TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
Completed Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Planned Planned Under Construction Planned Planned
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
26
Rendering
not yet
available
MANHATTAN BOUTIQUE DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW
Rendering
not yet
available
YEUNG REAL ESTATE
THE RELATED
COMPANIES
VORNADO REALTY TRUST LM LEGACY GROUP
AURORA, WILLIAM
GOTTLIEB REAL ESTATE
SAVANNA, ATOM ASSETS
2 Pike Street 300 Lafayette Street 61 Ninth Avenue 412 West 15th Street 40 Tenth Avenue 106 West 56th Street
Midtown South Midtown South Midtown South Midtown South Midtown South Midtown
93,000 SF 81,000 SF 167,170 SF 144,273 SF 116,205 SF 90,000 SF
2017 2018 2018 2017 2018 2019
Planned Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Planned Planned
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
ROMANOFF EQUITIES CIM GROUP WING FUNG GROUP SAVANNA
VORNADO REALTY
TRUST, ALBANESE
ORGANIZATION
860 Washington Street 432 Park Avenue 89 Bowery 540 West 26th Street 512 West 22nd Street
Midtown South Midtown Midtown South Midtown South Midtown South
120,413 SF 71,000 SF 23,831 SF 128,367 SF 170,000 SF
2016 2017 2016 2017 2017
Completed Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction
3Q16
BROOKLYN AND LONG ISLAND CITY
OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
28
121 Morgan Avenue
68 Ferris Street
87 Wythe Ave
25 Kent Avenue
Dumbo
Williamsburg
Navy Yard
Sunset Park
Building 3
25-30 Columbia Heights
Domino Sugar
Factory
80 Hudson Avenue
GMC Building 128
Dock 72
Industry City
Whale Square
Building
77
215 Moore Street
Bushwick
95 Evergreen Avenue
455 Jefferson Street
333 Johnson Avenue
41 Flatbush
Avenue
420 Albee
Square
29 Ryerson Street
47 Hall Street
10 Jay Street
Downtown
422 Fulton
Street
280 Richards Street
160 Van Brunt Street
314 Scholes Street
Redhook
BROOKLYN OFFICE DEVELOPMENT
New Construction and Repositioned Buildings
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
29
DUMBO DOWNTOWN BROOKLYN NAVY YARD
Triangle
Assets
Cibrano
Family
Kushner Co.,
CIM Group,
LIVWRK
Quinian Dev
Group, BLT
JEMB Realty
Corp.
Tishman
Speyer
Brooklyn Navy Yard
Development Corp.
Madison
Realty
Capital
Boston
Properties,
Rudin Mgt
Westbrook
Partners, RXR
10 Jay
Street
80 Hudson
Avenue
25-30
Columbia
Heights
41 Flatbush
Avenue
420 Albee
Square
422 Fulton
Street
GMC
Building 128
Building
77
Building
3
29 Ryerson
Street
Dock
72
47 Hall
Street
206,000 90,285 750,000 270,910 400,000 TBD 215,000 1,100,000 700,000 215,000 675,000 650,000
2016 2016 2018 2016 2018 TBD 2016 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018
New
Construction
Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop
New
Construction
Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop
New
Construction
Redevelop
Underway Underway Proposed Underway Proposed Planned Underway Underway Planned Underway Proposed Proposed
Rendering
not yet
available
Rendering
not yet
available
Rendering
not yet
available
SUNSET PARK RED HOOK WILLIAMSBURG BUSHWICK
Jamestown,
Belvedere
Cap, Angelo
Gordon
Madison
Realty
Capital
PWR
Estate
Four
Thor
Equities
Heritage
Equity
Cayuga
Capital
Two Trees
Mgt
Savanna,
Hornig
Capital
Lincoln
Property
Group
Hudson
Co.
Princeton
Holdings
Normandy,
Royalton,
Sciame
Heritage
Equity
Industry
City
Whale
Square
160 Van
Brunt
Street
68
Ferris
Street
280
Richards
Street
25
Kent
Avenue
87
Wythe
Avenue
Domino
Sugar
Factory
95
Evergreen
Avenue
455
Jefferson
Street
314
Scholes
Street
121
Morgan
Avenue
333
Johnson
Avenue
215
Moore
Street
6,000,000 405,416 111,565 1,200,000 622,103 400,000 100,000 380,000 165,000 122,700 80,000 100,000 285,000 170,000
In phases
starting 2015
2016 2016 2020 TBD 2018 2018 TBD 2016 2016 2018 TBD TBD TBD
Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop
New
Construction
New
Construction
New
Construction
New
Construction
Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop
Underway Completed Completed Proposed Proposed Proposed Underway Planned Completed Underway Proposed Planned Planned Planned
Submarket
Owner/
Developer
Building
Address
Size (SF)
Year Open
Project Type
Status
BROOKLYN OFFICE DEVELOPMENT
New Construction and Repositioned Buildings
Submarket
Owner/
Developer
Building
Address
Size (SF)
Year Open
Project Type
Status
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
30
DOWNTOWN
BROOKLYN
SUNSET
PARK
DUMBO
WILLIAMSBURG/
BUSHWICK
NAVY YARD
2013 Inventory (SF) 15,985,404 6,000,000 3,254,111 1,532,155 1,698,330
Current Inventory (SF) 16,027,693 6,500,000 3,908,181 1,592,745 3,155,330
Projected Inventory (SF)
Through 2018
16,427,693 6,500,000 4,658,181 3,356,196 4,480,330
Inventory Differential
(SF)
2013-2018
442,289 500,000 1,404,070 1,824,041 2,782,000
BROOKLYN’S CHANGING INVENTORY
Impact of New Construction and Repositioned Buildings
2.8%
SF DIFFERENCE
2013-2018
8.3%
SF DIFFERENCE
2013-2018
43.1%
SF DIFFERENCE
2013-2018
119.1%
SF DIFFERENCE
2013-2018
163.8%
SF DIFFERENCE
2013-2018
Key
Takeaway
Redevelopment and projects under
construction are creating new submarkets in
Brooklyn.
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
31
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
Average Asking Rent (Price/SF) Availability (%)
Overall Average Asking Rent and Availability
BROOKLYN MARKET TRENDS
Across Brooklyn, new inventory continued
to push asking rents and availability to
new historic highs.
Key
Takeaway
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
Average Asking Rent (Price/SF) Availability (%)
Prime Assets Average Asking Rent and Availability
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
32
Greenpoint
Bushwick
Bedford
Stuyvesant
Clinton
HillFort
Greene
Navy
Yard
DUMBO
Cypress
Hills
East
New York
Brownsville
Crown
Heights
East
Flatbush
Canarsie
Prospect
HeightsPark
Slope
Red
Hook
Prospect
Park
Lefferts
Gardens
Sunset
Park
Windsor
Terrace
Bay
Ridge Dyker
Heights
Fort
Hamilton Bensonhurst
Bath
Beach
Gravesend
Coney
Island
Sea
Gate
Brighton
Beach
Manhattan
Beach
Sheepshead
Bay Gerritsen
Beach
BK
Marine Park
Barren
Island
Mill
Basin
Bergen
BeachMarine
Park
Flatlands
Midwood
Borough
Park
Flatbush
Kensington
Prospect
Park
South
Jamaica Bay
Upper
New York
Bay
Lower
New York
Bay
Cobble
Hill
Williamsburg
BK
Heights
Prime Assets are Class A and newly repositioned space. Standard Assets are all other office inventory.
BROOKLYN SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT
 Total Inventory: 16,027,693 SF
 Availability Rate: 4.6%
 Average Asking Rent, Prime
Assets: $48.30/SF
 Average Asking Rent, Standard
Assets: $41.22/SF
 YTD Absorption: -117,085 SF
DOWNTOWN BROOKLYN
 Total Inventory: 1,592,745 SF
 Availability Rate: 23.2%
 Average Asking Rent, Prime
Assets: $52.76/SF
 Average Asking Rent, Standard
Assets: $29.59/SF
 YTD Absorption: 1,300 SF
WILLIAMSBURG / BUSHWICK
 Total Inventory: 3,155,330 SF
 Average Asking Rent: $39.75/SF
 The addition of 29 Ryerson Street
caused a jump in rent in 3Q16.
BROOKLYN NAVY YARD
 Total Inventory: 6,500,000 SF
 Average Asking Rent: $27.73/SF
SUNSET PARK
 Total Inventory: 3,908,181 SF
 Availability Rate: 24.6%
 Average Asking Rent, Prime
Assets: $58.00/SF
 Average Asking Rent, Standard
Assets: $34.75/SF
 YTD Absorption: -145,067 SF
DUMBO
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
33
$27.73
$38.35 $39.75
$48.30
$52.76
$58.00
$62.40
$72.60
$82.84
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
Sunset Park
Prime
Long Island City
Prime
Brooklyn Navy
Yard - Prime
Downtown
Brooklyn - Prime
Williamsburg /
Bushwick
Prime
Dumbo
Prime
Downtown
Manhattan
Overall
Midtown South
Overall
Midtown
Overall
Average Asking Rents ($/SF)
ASKING RENT COMPARISON
Prime Assets are Class A and newly repositioned space.
Dumbo and Williamsburg’s prime assets
compete with Downtown Manhattan.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
34
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16
Average Asking Rent (Price/SF) Availability (%)
Overall Average Asking Rent and Availability
LONG ISLAND CITY TRENDS
 Asking rents reached new heights
in 3Q16, rising to $37.78/SF, a
14.8% increase year-over-year.
 The Factory District drove leasing
this quarter. Media and Internet
company IAC signed for 8,000
square feet at 47 Austell Place.
Lyft and Uber both expanded in
the Falchi Building.
 Availability declined 70 basis
points to 13.2% this quarter,
however current availability is still
significantly higher than it was 12
months ago.
Despite Long Island City’s asking rents
reached a new all time high level as new
and improved inventory droves rents up.
Key
Takeaway
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
35
Astoria
Factory District
Hunter’s Point/
LIC Waterfront
Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research
 Total Inventory: 3,438,213 SF
 Availability Rate: 20.2%
 Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets:
$35.48/SF
 Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets:
$29.04/SF
 YTD Absorption: -252,046 SF
ASTORIA
 Total Inventory: 4,524,742 SF
 Availability Rate: 15.1%
 Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets:
$40.47/SF
 Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets:
$30.00/SF
 YTD Absorption: -57,022 SF
THE FACTORY DISTRICT
 Total Inventory: 3,733,385 SF
 Availability Rate: 4.4%
 Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets:
$40.00/SF
 Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets:
$31.64/SF
 YTD Absorption: -27,531 SF
HUNTERS POINT/LIC WATERFRONT
Prime Assets are Class A and newly
repositioned space. Standard Assets are all
other office inventory.
LONG ISLAND CITY SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
www.ngkf.com
New York City
HEADQUARTERS
125 Park Avenue
New York, NY 10017
212.372.2000
Todd P. Hershman
Associate Director
212.359.8520
THershman@ngkf.com
Jonathan Mazur
Managing Director, Research
Stephanie Jennings
Tri-State Director, Research
All information contained in this publication is derived from sources that are deemed to be reliable. However, Newmark Grubb Knight Frank (NGKF) has not verified
any such information, and the same constitutes the statements and representations only of the source thereof, and not of NGKF. Any recipient of this publication
should independently verify such information and all other information that may be material to any decision that recipient may make in response to this publication,
and should consult with professionals of the recipient’s choice with regard to all aspects of that decision, including its legal, financial, and tax aspects and
implications.
Any recipient of this publication may not, without the prior written approval of NGKF, distribute, disseminate, publish, transmit, copy, broadcast, upload, download,
or in any other way reproduce this publication or any of the information it contains.
Newmark Grubb Knight Frank has implemented a proprietary database and our tracking methodology has been revised. With this expansion and refinement in our
data, there may be adjustments in historical statistics including availability, asking rents, absorption and effective rents.
Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Reports are also available at www.ngkf.com/research
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3Q16 NGKF NY Office Market Overview 11 1 16

  • 1. 3Q16 NEW YORK CITY OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com November 1, 2016
  • 2. 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 22 Manhattan Development Overview 23 Commercial Development Pipeline 24 Commercial Development Horizon Map 25 Manhattan Development Overview 26 Boutique Development Overview 4 Manhattan Office Market Overview 5 Leasing Activity by Market 6 Key Leasing Activity Metrics 7 Industries Driving Demand: Employment and Leasing Trends 8 Industries Driving Demand: 3Q16 Leasing and Tenants in the Market 9 Composition of Tech Leasing 10 Manhattan Submarket Comparison 11 Asking Rent Trends 12 Taking and Net Effective Rent Trends 13 Taking Rent Corridor and Submarket Comparisons 14 Concessions Analysis: Work Amount 15 Concessions Analysis: Free Rent 16 Triple-Digit Taking Rent Assets 17 Manhattan Top-Tier Trends 18 Midtown South Top-Tier Trends 19 Midtown Deal Composition 20 Midtown South Deal Composition 21 Downtown Deal Composition 27 Brooklyn and Long Island City Office Market Overview 28 Brooklyn Office Development Map 29 Brooklyn Office Development Overview 30 Brooklyn’s Changing Inventory 31 Brooklyn Market Trends 32 Brooklyn Submarket Snapshot 33 Asking Rent Comparison 34 Long Island City Trends 35 Long Island City Submarket Snapshot 3 Executive Summary Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 3. 3 Borough Trends EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Leasing Activity Industry Growth Asking and Taking Rents Net Effective Rents Premier Space New Supply Despite overall drops in rent growth, activity at the top end of the market remained on par with 2015 in Midtown, while dropping in Midtown South. A drop in relocation activity was balanced by an uptick in renewals, particularly among large deals in Midtown. Overall leasing activity in Midtown South fell below the prior year and ten-year averages. FIRE activity increased in the third quarter and TAMI activity declined for the third consecutive quarter, while the types of tech tenants that were active continued to diversify from recent years. Asking rents continued to increase, though at a slower rate than the annual average during this market cycle. The slow-down was generally more pronounced in taking rents. Approximately 29 million square feet of development projects are in the development pipeline in Manhattan. Of this total, 15 million square feet is scheduled for delivery by 2020. Brooklyn and Long Island City market conditions remained unchanged in the third quarter with rents holding steady, a slight drop in availability, and consistency in the development pipeline. Net effective rental rates have flattened as landlords are giving more substantial concession packages including an increased amount of work allowance. Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 4. 3Q16 MANHATTAN OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 5. 5 Manhattan (MSF) Midtown (MSF) Midtown South (MSF) Downtown (MSF) 27.7 MSF 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Relocations Renewals Average First 3 Quarters Velocity 4.9 MSF 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Relocations Renewals Average First 3 Quarters Velocity 7.9 MSF 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Relocations Renewals Average First 3 Quarters Velocity 14.9 MSF 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Relocations Renewals Average First 3 Quarters Velocity LEASING ACTIVITY BY MARKET Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Renewals compensated for a dip in relocation activity, resulting in stable leasing for overall Manhattan. Key Takeaway Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 6. 6 2015 versus 2016 KEY LEASING ACTIVITY METRICS Relocations 64% Renewals & Expansions 36% Relocations 57% Renewals & Expansions 43% 20.9 27.4 0 10 20 30 2015 2016 YTD Average Time on Market for Space Available (Months) 1Q-3Q 2015 1Q-3Q 2016 Renewals vs. Relocations Renewal activity is on the rise, while space is sitting on the market longer compared to 2015. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 7. 7 INDUSTRIES DRIVING DEMAND 20% 18% 17% 20% 35% 30% 34% 44% 16% 27% 29% 23% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD Professional Services FIRE TAMI Leasing by IndustryIndustries Driving Employment 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 450,000 500,000 550,000 600,000 650,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Professional Services FIRE TAMI Employment growth has flattened in 2016. This translated to leasing for TAMI and Professional Services while FIRE increased. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research, New York State Department of Labor Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 8. 8 FIRE 41% FIRE 32% FIRE 52% Prof Svcs 20% Prof Svcs 20% Prof Svcs 9% TAMI 27% TAMI 24% TAMI 13% Nonprofits 3% Nonprofits 10% Other 9% Other 24% Other 16% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Midtown Midtown South Downtown 3Q16 Leasing by Industry INDUSTRIES DRIVING DEMAND TAMI 26% FIRE 32% Prof Svcs 20% Retail & Apparel 7% Other 15% Tenants in the Market (TIM) TOTAL SF IN THE MARKET TAMI leasing has declined in recent quarters, while leasing among FIRE tenants continued with an increase in renewals. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 9. 9 1% 12% 18% 14% 1% 9% 3% 3% 9% 11% 5% 7% 6% 1% Biotech Cloud Computing Digital Media E-Commerce Edtech Fintech Gaming Health Tech Infotech Marketing Search Engine Social Media Telecommunications Transportation 2014 20162015 COMPOSITION OF TECH LEASING 5% 12% 9% 1% 8% 1% 3%2%15% 18% 5% 4% 12% 5% 7% 1% 13% 23% 7%5% 2% 32% 3% 3% 2% 2% Major Transactions Include: Google Sony Amazon Twitter Buzzfeed Yelp Major Transactions Include: Bloomberg AOL PayPal Pandora TED Major Transactions Include: Salesforce Gilt Groupe Bleacher Report Grovo Side Walk Labs Activity Highlights: Marketing dominated with 18% of leasing in 2014, but dropped to 11% in 2015 and 3% in 2016. Activity Highlights: Digital media led leasing in 2015 at 18%, up from 2014 and 2016. Activity Highlights: Infotech surged in 2016, ahead of its share in the prior two years and all other tech subindustries in 2016. While overall tech and creative leasing dropped in 2016, the composition of tech industries active in the market has shifted. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 10. 10 Rental rate growth has begun to slow across nearly all of Manhattan’s submarkets Key Takeaway MANHATTAN SUBMARKET COMPARISON Availability Rate (%) Average Asking Rent ($/SF) Manhattan 11.3% $ 76.74 Midtown 11.9% $ 82.84 Eastside 9.9% $ 74.79 Far West Side 17.5% $ 85.19 Grand Central 14.8% $ 78.13 Murray Hill 10.1% $ 61.75 Park Avenue 12.7% $ 104.75 Penn Station 8.3% $ 64.93 Plaza District 13.3% $ 110.91 Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr. 13.2% $ 87.60 Times Square 10.0% $ 80.55 Times Square South 10.4% $ 61.64 Westside 9.1% $ 70.28 Midtown South 8.0% $ 72.60 Chelsea 7.6% $ 66.23 East Village 0.6% $ 48.00 Flatiron/Union Square 8.0% $ 71.22 Hudson Square/Meatpacking 11.7% $ 84.02 Soho/Noho 5.2% $ 72.64 Downtown 12.3% $ 62.40 Downtown East 11.8% $ 57.70 Downtown West 12.7% $ 67.84 Tribeca/City Hall 14.1% $ 65.43 Submarket Rent Growth Comparison 25% 8% 11% 6% 1% 5% -1% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0% -8% 5% 13% 1% 4% 4% 5% 8% 8% 8% 9% 15% 9% 10% 12% 9% 9% 6% 7% 9% 10% 8% 7% 7% 13% 8% Tribeca/City Hall Downtown West Downtown East Soho/Noho Hudson Square/Meatpacking Flatiron/Union Square East Village Chelsea Westside Times Square South Times Square Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr. Plaza District Penn Station Park Avenue Murray Hill Grand Central Far West Side Eastside Growth Per Annum Since 2010 (%) Growth Past 12 Months (%) Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 11. 11 $89.02 $57.02 $82.84 $58.93 $40.33 $72.60 $51.56 $39.09 $62.40 $25 $35 $45 $55 $65 $75 $85 $95 3Q05 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 Midtown Midtown South Downtown Average Asking Rent by Market ($/SF) ASKING RENT TRENDS Average Annual Change Since Trough (2010) Change since 2015 MT 6.4% 3.9% MTS 10.3% 3.7% DT 8.1% 9.7% Year-over-year asking rent growth pulled back from the 6-year average in Midtown and Midtown South. Downtown pushed slightly ahead. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 12. 12 $65.23 $60.24 $42.65 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 $75 $80 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD Midtown Midtown South Downtown *Midtown 2016 YTD averages are impacted on a weighted basis by the Citadel deal at 425 Park. Including that deal, the average taking rent is pushed to $79.40/SF and average NER is pushed to $67.96/SF. NER Rent Trends Average net effective rents for direct deals with >5-year terms TAKING AND NET EFFECTIVE RENT TRENDS Taking rent growth has slowed with the exception of Midtown, while net effective rents have flattened year-over-year. Key Takeaway $76.03 $67.19 $52.61 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70 $75 $80 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD Midtown Midtown South Downtown Base Taking Rent Trends Average Annual Change Since Trough (2009-2010) Change Since 2015 MT 6.1% 7.6% MTS 9.8% 1.0% DT 7.2% 3.7% Average Annual Change Since Trough (2009-2010) Change Since 2015 MT 5.1% 1.6% MTS 8.4% 1.6% DT 4.9% 1.1% Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 13. 13 Submarket Market Average Base Taking Rent ($/SF) Park Avenue* MT $124.56 Plaza District MT $89.23 Hudson Square/ Meatpacking MTS $84.65 Far West Side MT $84.13 Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr. MT $78.22 NoHo/SoHo MTS $76.05 Westside MT $75.48 Eastside MT $73.22 Grand Central MT $66.94 Chelsea MTS $65.89 Times Square MT $65.20 Flatiron/Union Square MTS $63.75 Penn Station MT $62.20 Times Square South MT $60.81 Downtown West DT $60.38 Murray Hill MT $52.64 Downtown East DT $49.67 Corridor Market Average Base Taking Rent ($/SF) Park Avenue* MT $107.91 Upper Fifth Avenue (47th - 65th Streets) MT $93.36 East 50s MT $78.54 Avenue of the Americas MT $77.16 West 50s MT $76.57 Broadway MTS $76.37 Lexington Avenue MT $76.01 Madison Avenue MT $74.49 Park Avenue South MTS $73.55 Broadway MT $71.25 Eighth Avenue MTS $68.57 West 40s MT $68.20 Fifth Avenue MTS $67.95 Third Avenue MT $65.66 West 20s MTS $65.28 East 40s MT $63.17 Lower Fifth Avenue (32nd - 47th Streets) MT $61.85 East 20s MTS $58.02 Madison Avenue MTS $53.37 Water Street DT $51.83 Broadway DT $51.08 *Park Avenue Submarket and Corridor averages are impacted on a weighted basis by Citadel deal at 425 Park. Average taking rents for direct deals with >5-year terms TAKING RENT CORRIDOR AND SUBMARKET COMPARISONS Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 14. 14 $65.73 $68.18 $70.00 $72.31 $76.90 $83.32 $86.46 $93.50 $61.67 $62.78 $66.86 $65.80 Chelsea Flatiron/Union Square Eastside Downtown East Hudson Square/Meatpacking Times Square South Penn Station Westside Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr. Grand Central Park Avenue Plaza District Downtown Midtown South Midtown 2016 YTD Average Work Amount ($/SF) Percent Change Year-Over-Year Work amount for direct deals with >10-year terms, +10K SF CONCESSIONS ANALYSIS Landlords are spending more on build- outs through prebuild programs or work allowances. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research -8% -5% 0% 11% 17% 18% 18% 26% 4% 8% 16% -2% Times Square South Westside Downtown East Eastside Hudson Square/Meatpacking Flatiron/Union Square Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr. Chelsea Penn Station Park Avenue Plaza District Grand Central Downtown Midtown South Midtown Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 15. 15 7 8 9 9 9 9 10 11 11 8 9 9 8 9 Times Square Downtown East Eastside Chelsea Flatiron/Union Square Downtown West Westside Grand Central Plaza District Hudson Square/Meatpacking Times Square South Penn Station Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr. Park Avenue Downtown Midtown South Midtown 2016 YTD Free Rent (Months) Percent Change Year-Over-Year Free rent for direct deals with >10-year terms, +10K SF CONCESSIONS ANALYSIS Free rent has increased in about one-third of Manhattan’s submarkets, but remained flat or dropped in all others. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research -13% -13% 0% 0% 0% 10% 11% 11% 13% -11% 13% 14% 0% 0% Times Square Times Square South Hudson Square/Meatpacking Westside Eastside Downtown East Grand Central Downtown West Park Avenue Sixth Ave/Rock Ctr. Penn Station Plaza District Flatiron/Union Square Chelsea Downtown Midtown South Midtown Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 16. 16 19 48 44 12 8 19 17 24 25 36 33 7 8 5 2 4 4 8 5 7 5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 1Q-3Q 4Q Midtown 30 Hudson Yards 888 Seventh Avenue 250 West 55th Street 152 West 57th Street 7 Bryant Park 1095 Avenue of the Americas 1114 Avenue of the Americas 1330 Avenue of the Americas 712 Fifth Avenue 717 Fifth Avenue 745 Fifth Avenue 767 Fifth Avenue 9 West 57th Street 10 East 53rd Street 437 Madison Avenue 510 Madison Avenue 650 Madison Avenue 660 Madison Avenue 667 Madison Avenue 277 Park Avenue 280 Park Avenue 350 Park Avenue 375 Park Avenue 399 Park Avenue 425 Park Avenue 450 Park Avenue 499 Park Avenue 601 Lexington Avenue Midtown South 111 Eighth Avenue 404 West 14th Street 860 Washington Street 770 Broadway 315 Park Avenue South Number of buildings that signed $100+ taking rents each year TRIPLE-DIGIT TAKING RENT ASSETS Despite an overall slow-down in rent growth, demand remains for premier space. Manhattan is set to match 2015 in +$100/SF rent buildings. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 17. 17 34 74 58 10 17 38 24 38 31 46 27 7 16 26 6 9 16 13 22 19 9 17 11 29 18 3 1 1 1 3 7 3 9 4 12 8 3 2 4 8 6 11 13 4 0 25 50 75 100 Transactions with taking rents over $100/SF MANHATTAN TOP-TIER TRENDS Transactions Under 20K SF: Transactions Over 20K SF:Relocations Renewals and Expansions Relocations Renewals and Expansions 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD The volume of triple-digit deals is consistent with 2015 totals. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 18. 18 Transactions with taking rents over $75/SF MIDTOWN SOUTH TOP-TIER TRENDS Other 16% Business Services 31% FIRE 32% TAMI 21% 2016 YTD MTS Taking Rents Over $75/SF By Industry 1 2 7 7 30 34 19 0 10 20 30 40 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD Deal-making at the top end of the market in Midtown South has slowed in 2016 from the past two years. Key Takeaway Number of Deals Signed Over $75/SF Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 19. 19 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% $40s $50s $60s $70s $80s $90s $100s $110s $120s $130s $140+ Number of Deals by Taking Rent Under 10,000 SF 64% 10K-25K SF 23% 25K-50K SF 8% 50K-100K SF 2% Over 100,000 SF 3% Number of Deals by Size MIDTOWN DEAL COMPOSITION Direct deals with five-year terms and longer Company Address SF Lease Type Industry Random House 1745 Broadway 605,000 Extension & Expansion TAMI C.V. Starr 399 Park Avenue 210,963 Renewal & Expansion FIRE Dentons 1221 Avenue of the Americas 207,371 Renewal Legal Services Bloomberg 919 Third Avenue 204,000 Expansion FIRE Morgan Stanley 399 Park Avenue 110,000 Direct New FIRE Despite strong leasing over 100,000 square feet, the overwhelming majority of Midtown deals are small and mid-sized deals in commodity space. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 20. 20 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% $40s $50s $60s $70s $80s $90s $100+ Number of Deals by Taking Rent Under 10K SF 65% 10K-25K SF 25% 25K-50K SF 10% Number of Deals by Size MIDTOWN SOUTH DEAL COMPOSITION Direct deals with five-year terms and longer Company Address SF Lease Type Industry Taboola 1115 Broadway 48,010 Direct New TAMI Deloitte 330 Hudson Street 47,222 Sublease FIRE Winton Capital 315 Park Avenue South 34,400 Direct New FIRE Lieff Cabraser Heimann & Bernstein LLP 250 Hudson Street 27,778 Renewal Legal Services Ernst & Young 218 West 18th Street 27,008 Sublease FIRE Few high-priced deals and a lack of large transactions during 3Q16 underscore the recent slow-down in activity in Midtown South Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 21. 21 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% $30s $40s $50s $60s $70s $80s Number of Deals by Taking Rent Under 10K SF 49% 10K-25K SF 33% 25K-50K SF 15% Over 100K SF 3% Number of Deals by Size DOWNTOWN DEAL COMPOSITION Direct deals with five-year terms and longer Company Address SF Lease Type Industry Zurich Insurance 4 World Trade Center 131,876 Direct New FIRE QBE 55 Water Street 97,228 Sublease FIRE American Express 200 Vesey Street 80,000 Direct New FIRE Port Authority of NY & NJ 80 Pine Street 57,245 Sublease Gov’t The Solomon R. Guggenheim Foundation 1 Liberty Plaza 46,588 Direct New Nonprofit Downtown saw stability in the range of pricing and a healthy mix in size of transactions. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 22. 3Q16 MANHATTAN DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 23. 23 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 TBD COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE MANHATTAN (MSF) New Construction 86.9 MSF Expected Delivery 15.0 MSF Potential Delivery 13.7 MSF 2014 837 Washington Street 1 World Trade Center 2015 7 Bryant Park 430 West 15th Street 2016 10 Hudson Yards 860 Washington Street 855 Avenue of the Americas 89 Bowery 2017 432 Park Avenue 390 Madison Avenue 540 West 26th Street 510-512 West 22nd Street 2 Pike Street 412-414 West 15th Street 2018 300 Lafayette Street 3 World Trade Center 425 Park Avenue 55 Hudson Yards 61 Ninth Avenue 40 Tenth Avenue 2019 1 Manhattan West 30 Hudson Yards 3 Hudson Boulevard 106 West 56th Street 2020 One Vanderbilt Avenue TBD 50 Hudson Yards 2 World Trade Center 2 Manhattan West 66 Hudson Boulevard 15 Penn Plaza 438 Eleventh Avenue 75 Ninth Avenue 44 Union Square East Key Takeaway About 29 M Sq. Ft. of new office product is under construction or in the planning stages in Manhattan. Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 24. 3Q14 MANHATTAN DEVELOPMENT UPDATE 4b 4a 5 1 3c 3d 3a 3b 2 MANHATTAN WEST 4a 4b 55 HUDSON YARDS 1 450 WEST 33rd STREET 2 1 2 3 4 Memorial 2 WTC WTC Transportation Hub WORLD TRADE CENTER AND DOWNTOWN 3 HUDSON BOULEVARD 5 7 BRYANT PARK ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE 425 PARK AVENUE 390 MADISON AVENUE 1 WTC 3b 3a Retail space3c 4 WTC3 WTC 6 MIDTOWN EAST 66 & 99 HUDSON BOULEVARD FAR WEST SIDE 6 7 7 10, 30 & 50 HUDSON YARDS 3d Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 25. 25 MANHATTAN DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW WORLD TRADE CENTER PORT AUTHORITY OF NY/NJ, DURST SILVERSTEIN PROPERTIES 1 World Trade Center 2 World Trade Center 3 World Trade Center 4 World Trade Center 3.0M SF 2.8M SF 2.5M SF 2.3M SF 2014 TBD 2018 2013 Completed Planned Under Construction Completed MIDTOWN EAST BANK OF CHINA L&L HOLDING, RREEF L&L HOLDING COMPANY SL GREEN 7 Bryant Park 390 Madison Avenue 425 Park Avenue One Vanderbilt Avenue 473,000 SF 843,710 SF 670,000 SF 1.8M SF 2015 2017 2018 2020 Completed Under Renovation Under Construction Planned Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research FAR WEST SIDE THE RELATED COMPANIES MITSUI FUDOSAN, RELATED THE RELATED COMPANIES BROOKFIELD PROPERTIES, QIA THE RELATED COMPANIES MOINIAN GROUP TISHMAN SPEYER 10 Hudson Yards 55 Hudson Yards 30 Hudson Yards 1 Manhattan West 2 Manhattan West 50 Hudson Yards 3 Hudson Boulevard 66 Hudson Boulevard 99 Hudson Boulevard 1.7M SF 1.3M SF 2.6M SF 2.1M SF 2.1M SF 2.3M SF 1.8M SF 2.85M SF 1.3M SF 2016 2018 2019 2019 TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD Completed Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Planned Planned Under Construction Planned Planned Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 26. 26 Rendering not yet available MANHATTAN BOUTIQUE DEVELOPMENT OVERVIEW Rendering not yet available YEUNG REAL ESTATE THE RELATED COMPANIES VORNADO REALTY TRUST LM LEGACY GROUP AURORA, WILLIAM GOTTLIEB REAL ESTATE SAVANNA, ATOM ASSETS 2 Pike Street 300 Lafayette Street 61 Ninth Avenue 412 West 15th Street 40 Tenth Avenue 106 West 56th Street Midtown South Midtown South Midtown South Midtown South Midtown South Midtown 93,000 SF 81,000 SF 167,170 SF 144,273 SF 116,205 SF 90,000 SF 2017 2018 2018 2017 2018 2019 Planned Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Planned Planned Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research ROMANOFF EQUITIES CIM GROUP WING FUNG GROUP SAVANNA VORNADO REALTY TRUST, ALBANESE ORGANIZATION 860 Washington Street 432 Park Avenue 89 Bowery 540 West 26th Street 512 West 22nd Street Midtown South Midtown Midtown South Midtown South Midtown South 120,413 SF 71,000 SF 23,831 SF 128,367 SF 170,000 SF 2016 2017 2016 2017 2017 Completed Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction
  • 27. 3Q16 BROOKLYN AND LONG ISLAND CITY OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 28. 28 121 Morgan Avenue 68 Ferris Street 87 Wythe Ave 25 Kent Avenue Dumbo Williamsburg Navy Yard Sunset Park Building 3 25-30 Columbia Heights Domino Sugar Factory 80 Hudson Avenue GMC Building 128 Dock 72 Industry City Whale Square Building 77 215 Moore Street Bushwick 95 Evergreen Avenue 455 Jefferson Street 333 Johnson Avenue 41 Flatbush Avenue 420 Albee Square 29 Ryerson Street 47 Hall Street 10 Jay Street Downtown 422 Fulton Street 280 Richards Street 160 Van Brunt Street 314 Scholes Street Redhook BROOKLYN OFFICE DEVELOPMENT New Construction and Repositioned Buildings Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 29. 29 DUMBO DOWNTOWN BROOKLYN NAVY YARD Triangle Assets Cibrano Family Kushner Co., CIM Group, LIVWRK Quinian Dev Group, BLT JEMB Realty Corp. Tishman Speyer Brooklyn Navy Yard Development Corp. Madison Realty Capital Boston Properties, Rudin Mgt Westbrook Partners, RXR 10 Jay Street 80 Hudson Avenue 25-30 Columbia Heights 41 Flatbush Avenue 420 Albee Square 422 Fulton Street GMC Building 128 Building 77 Building 3 29 Ryerson Street Dock 72 47 Hall Street 206,000 90,285 750,000 270,910 400,000 TBD 215,000 1,100,000 700,000 215,000 675,000 650,000 2016 2016 2018 2016 2018 TBD 2016 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 New Construction Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop New Construction Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop New Construction Redevelop Underway Underway Proposed Underway Proposed Planned Underway Underway Planned Underway Proposed Proposed Rendering not yet available Rendering not yet available Rendering not yet available SUNSET PARK RED HOOK WILLIAMSBURG BUSHWICK Jamestown, Belvedere Cap, Angelo Gordon Madison Realty Capital PWR Estate Four Thor Equities Heritage Equity Cayuga Capital Two Trees Mgt Savanna, Hornig Capital Lincoln Property Group Hudson Co. Princeton Holdings Normandy, Royalton, Sciame Heritage Equity Industry City Whale Square 160 Van Brunt Street 68 Ferris Street 280 Richards Street 25 Kent Avenue 87 Wythe Avenue Domino Sugar Factory 95 Evergreen Avenue 455 Jefferson Street 314 Scholes Street 121 Morgan Avenue 333 Johnson Avenue 215 Moore Street 6,000,000 405,416 111,565 1,200,000 622,103 400,000 100,000 380,000 165,000 122,700 80,000 100,000 285,000 170,000 In phases starting 2015 2016 2016 2020 TBD 2018 2018 TBD 2016 2016 2018 TBD TBD TBD Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop New Construction New Construction New Construction New Construction Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Redevelop Underway Completed Completed Proposed Proposed Proposed Underway Planned Completed Underway Proposed Planned Planned Planned Submarket Owner/ Developer Building Address Size (SF) Year Open Project Type Status BROOKLYN OFFICE DEVELOPMENT New Construction and Repositioned Buildings Submarket Owner/ Developer Building Address Size (SF) Year Open Project Type Status Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 30. 30 DOWNTOWN BROOKLYN SUNSET PARK DUMBO WILLIAMSBURG/ BUSHWICK NAVY YARD 2013 Inventory (SF) 15,985,404 6,000,000 3,254,111 1,532,155 1,698,330 Current Inventory (SF) 16,027,693 6,500,000 3,908,181 1,592,745 3,155,330 Projected Inventory (SF) Through 2018 16,427,693 6,500,000 4,658,181 3,356,196 4,480,330 Inventory Differential (SF) 2013-2018 442,289 500,000 1,404,070 1,824,041 2,782,000 BROOKLYN’S CHANGING INVENTORY Impact of New Construction and Repositioned Buildings 2.8% SF DIFFERENCE 2013-2018 8.3% SF DIFFERENCE 2013-2018 43.1% SF DIFFERENCE 2013-2018 119.1% SF DIFFERENCE 2013-2018 163.8% SF DIFFERENCE 2013-2018 Key Takeaway Redevelopment and projects under construction are creating new submarkets in Brooklyn. Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 31. 31 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 Average Asking Rent (Price/SF) Availability (%) Overall Average Asking Rent and Availability BROOKLYN MARKET TRENDS Across Brooklyn, new inventory continued to push asking rents and availability to new historic highs. Key Takeaway 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 Average Asking Rent (Price/SF) Availability (%) Prime Assets Average Asking Rent and Availability Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 32. 32 Greenpoint Bushwick Bedford Stuyvesant Clinton HillFort Greene Navy Yard DUMBO Cypress Hills East New York Brownsville Crown Heights East Flatbush Canarsie Prospect HeightsPark Slope Red Hook Prospect Park Lefferts Gardens Sunset Park Windsor Terrace Bay Ridge Dyker Heights Fort Hamilton Bensonhurst Bath Beach Gravesend Coney Island Sea Gate Brighton Beach Manhattan Beach Sheepshead Bay Gerritsen Beach BK Marine Park Barren Island Mill Basin Bergen BeachMarine Park Flatlands Midwood Borough Park Flatbush Kensington Prospect Park South Jamaica Bay Upper New York Bay Lower New York Bay Cobble Hill Williamsburg BK Heights Prime Assets are Class A and newly repositioned space. Standard Assets are all other office inventory. BROOKLYN SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT  Total Inventory: 16,027,693 SF  Availability Rate: 4.6%  Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets: $48.30/SF  Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets: $41.22/SF  YTD Absorption: -117,085 SF DOWNTOWN BROOKLYN  Total Inventory: 1,592,745 SF  Availability Rate: 23.2%  Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets: $52.76/SF  Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets: $29.59/SF  YTD Absorption: 1,300 SF WILLIAMSBURG / BUSHWICK  Total Inventory: 3,155,330 SF  Average Asking Rent: $39.75/SF  The addition of 29 Ryerson Street caused a jump in rent in 3Q16. BROOKLYN NAVY YARD  Total Inventory: 6,500,000 SF  Average Asking Rent: $27.73/SF SUNSET PARK  Total Inventory: 3,908,181 SF  Availability Rate: 24.6%  Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets: $58.00/SF  Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets: $34.75/SF  YTD Absorption: -145,067 SF DUMBO Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 33. 33 $27.73 $38.35 $39.75 $48.30 $52.76 $58.00 $62.40 $72.60 $82.84 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 Sunset Park Prime Long Island City Prime Brooklyn Navy Yard - Prime Downtown Brooklyn - Prime Williamsburg / Bushwick Prime Dumbo Prime Downtown Manhattan Overall Midtown South Overall Midtown Overall Average Asking Rents ($/SF) ASKING RENT COMPARISON Prime Assets are Class A and newly repositioned space. Dumbo and Williamsburg’s prime assets compete with Downtown Manhattan. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 34. 34 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 20% $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 3Q06 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 3Q12 3Q13 3Q14 3Q15 3Q16 Average Asking Rent (Price/SF) Availability (%) Overall Average Asking Rent and Availability LONG ISLAND CITY TRENDS  Asking rents reached new heights in 3Q16, rising to $37.78/SF, a 14.8% increase year-over-year.  The Factory District drove leasing this quarter. Media and Internet company IAC signed for 8,000 square feet at 47 Austell Place. Lyft and Uber both expanded in the Falchi Building.  Availability declined 70 basis points to 13.2% this quarter, however current availability is still significantly higher than it was 12 months ago. Despite Long Island City’s asking rents reached a new all time high level as new and improved inventory droves rents up. Key Takeaway Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 35. 35 Astoria Factory District Hunter’s Point/ LIC Waterfront Source: Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research  Total Inventory: 3,438,213 SF  Availability Rate: 20.2%  Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets: $35.48/SF  Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets: $29.04/SF  YTD Absorption: -252,046 SF ASTORIA  Total Inventory: 4,524,742 SF  Availability Rate: 15.1%  Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets: $40.47/SF  Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets: $30.00/SF  YTD Absorption: -57,022 SF THE FACTORY DISTRICT  Total Inventory: 3,733,385 SF  Availability Rate: 4.4%  Average Asking Rent, Prime Assets: $40.00/SF  Average Asking Rent, Standard Assets: $31.64/SF  YTD Absorption: -27,531 SF HUNTERS POINT/LIC WATERFRONT Prime Assets are Class A and newly repositioned space. Standard Assets are all other office inventory. LONG ISLAND CITY SUBMARKET SNAPSHOT Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com
  • 36. www.ngkf.com New York City HEADQUARTERS 125 Park Avenue New York, NY 10017 212.372.2000 Todd P. Hershman Associate Director 212.359.8520 THershman@ngkf.com Jonathan Mazur Managing Director, Research Stephanie Jennings Tri-State Director, Research All information contained in this publication is derived from sources that are deemed to be reliable. However, Newmark Grubb Knight Frank (NGKF) has not verified any such information, and the same constitutes the statements and representations only of the source thereof, and not of NGKF. Any recipient of this publication should independently verify such information and all other information that may be material to any decision that recipient may make in response to this publication, and should consult with professionals of the recipient’s choice with regard to all aspects of that decision, including its legal, financial, and tax aspects and implications. Any recipient of this publication may not, without the prior written approval of NGKF, distribute, disseminate, publish, transmit, copy, broadcast, upload, download, or in any other way reproduce this publication or any of the information it contains. Newmark Grubb Knight Frank has implemented a proprietary database and our tracking methodology has been revised. With this expansion and refinement in our data, there may be adjustments in historical statistics including availability, asking rents, absorption and effective rents. Newmark Grubb Knight Frank Research Reports are also available at www.ngkf.com/research Africa Botswana Kenya Malawi Nigeria South Africa Tanzania Uganda Zambia Zimbabwe Middle East Saudi Arabia United Arab Emirates Latin America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Costa Rica Dominican Republic Mexico Peru Puerto Rico Asia-Pacific Australia Cambodia China Hong Kong India Indonesia Japan Malaysia New Zealand Singapore South Korea Taiwan Thailand North America Canada United States Europe Austria Belgium Czech Republic France Germany Ireland Italy Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Russia Spain Switzerland United Kingdom