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Mapping the Structure of the At-Risk Mental
State
MASTER-THESE
Naam: Sylvester N. de Koning
Studentnummer: 1845497
Inleverdatum: 29 juli 2013
Tel: 06 22 51 63 08
Email adres: sylvester.de.koning90@gmail.com
Opleiding: Master Klinische Psychologie,
Begeleider: drs. Tamar Kraan en drs. Helga K. Ising
Beoordelaar: drs. Robin N. Kok
2
Abstract
It is paramount to map the structure of the at-risk mental state (ARMS) for
psychosis to improve identification and intervention strategies aimed at help-seeking
individuals at risk for psychosis.
The aims of this study were to define underlying dimensions of sub-clinical
psychopathology in ARMS subjects and to validate the robustness of these
dimensions.
316 participants meeting the criteria for the Early Detection and Intervention
Evaluation trial (EDIE-NL) for ARMS, were assessed with a semi-structured
interview; the Comprehensive Assessment of At Risk Mental State (CAARMS; Yung
et al., 2005) and other clinically relevant measures. Data was analyzed via principal
component analysis (PCA) and Pearson's r correlation coefficient.
The PCA of the CAARMS produced five interpretable components
("Depression" "Disorganization", "Bodily-impairment", "Manic" and "Schizo-
affective"). All but the "Schizo-affective" component proved robust when validated on
the PCA of the subsample. Of all the components, only the "Depression" cluster was
strongly related to worse global functioning and increased depressive symptoms and
negative illness appraisal.
Found components could provide a step towards a dimensional approach to the
CAARMS, as a complementary one to a categorical approach. However clear and
robust dimensions must be defined first, and further research on the subject is
warranted.
Keywords: Psychosis, At-risk mental state, Principal component analysis,
CAARMS, Dimensions
3
Samenvatting
Het is van groot belang om de structuur van de At-Risk Mental State (ARMS)
in kaart te brengen om identificatie- en interventiestrategieën gericht op hulpzoekende
individuen met een verhoogd risico op een psychose te verbeteren.
Het doel van dit onderzoek was om de onderliggende dimensies van
subklinische psychopathologie bij Ultra-High-Risk (UHR) patiënten te identificeren
en om de robuustheid van deze dimensies te valideren.
316 deelnemers die aan de criteria voldeden van het Early Detection and
Evaluation onderzoek (EDIE-NL) voor UHR werden onderzocht met een semi-
gestructureerde interview; de Comprehensive Assessment of At Risk Mental State
(CAARMS; Yung et al., 2005) en andere klinisch relevante vragenlijsten. De data
werd geanalyseerd door middel van principale-componentenanalyse (PCA) en
Pearson's correlatie.
Uit de PCA van de CAARMS kwamen vijf componenten naar voren
(“Depressie”, “Disorganisatie”, “Lichamelijke-verstoringen”, “Manisch” en “Schizo-
affectief”). Behalve de “Schizo-affectieve” component waren alle componenten
robuust wanneer deze gevalideerd werden op de PCA van de subsample. Alleen de
“Depressie” component vertoonde een sterk verband met toegenomen depressieve
symptomen, negatieve ziektewaardering en verminderd globaal functioneren,
De gevonden componenten kunnen bruikbaar zijn bij een dimensionale
benadering op de CAARMS, welke complementair aan de gangbare categorische
benadering kan zijn. Echter, eerst moeten duidelijke en robuuste dimensies
geformuleerd worden en is verder onderzoek naar dit onderwerp wenselijk.
Sleutelwoorden: Psychose, At-risk mental state, Principale-componenten analyse,
CAARMS, Dimensies
4
Contents
1. Introduction 5
2. Method 7
2.1. Design and Outcome 7
2.2. Recruitment and participants 7
2.3. Exclusion criteria 8
2.4. Measure instruments 8
2.5. Statistical analysis 9
3. Results 11
3.1. Sample characteristics 11
3.2. CAARMS: internal consistency and item distribution 12
3.3. Principal component analysis 13
3.4. Component consistency 15
3.5. Associations with baseline variables 15
4. Discussion 16
4.1. Main findings 16
4.2. Limitations 17
4.3. Strengths 18
4.4. Conclusions 18
References 20
5
1. Introduction
Among the mental disorders, schizophrenia and related psychotic disorders are
considered to be the most severe in terms of human suffering and societal costs (Van
Os & Kapur, 2010). The prognosis of schizophrenia is generally poor, and has
increasingly worse clinical and functional outcomes over time when left untreated
(Harris et al., 2005). Also, pharmaceutical treatment of schizophrenia as of yet only
suppresses a portion of the symptoms and medication often comes with severe and
impairing side effects. Therefore, it is imperative that alternative models for treating
schizophrenia are being considered, with clinical staging being a promising concept.
The concept of clinical staging is becoming more prominent as a means of
diagnosing and treating psychosis in recent literature (McGorry, Nelson, Goldstone, &
Yung, 2010; McGorry et al., 2007; Raballo & Laroi, 2009). The clinical staging
model, applied to psychosis, defines not only the extent of progression of psychotic
disorders at a particular point in time but also in which stage an individual currently
finds itself along the continuum of the course of the disorder. This model is
particularly useful as it differentiates early milder clinical symptoms from those that
accompany illness progression and chronicity. Approaching the treatment of psychotic
disorders in this way assists clinicians to select relevant interventions at a certain
phase along the continuum where the interventions will be most effective and less
disruptive and harmful than more intensive treatments, such as heavy medication or
psychiatric commitment. With this in mind, a necessity rises for evidence-based early
intervention indicated early on the continuum (McGorry et al., 2007; McGorry et al.,
2010; Raballo & Larøi, 2009). Recent studies indicated that early intervention of
psychosis is effective (Van der Gaag et al., 2012), therefore it is paramount to have a
better understanding of the onset and structure of the various stages of psychosis to be
able to continue improving and developing interventions.
Yung and McGorry were the first to formulate criteria to identify individuals at
an early stage of psychosis based on genetic predisposition and the presence of milder
psychotic symptoms (Yung & McGorry, 1996). They identified the three following
groups, of which at least one has to be present to fulfill the now widely applied 'Ultra
High Risk' (UHR) or „At Risk Mental State (ARMS) criteria: 1) genetic risk, 2)
attenuated psychotic symptoms or 3) having Brief Limited Intermittent Psychotic
Symptoms (BLIPS; Yung et al., 2005).
6
The first instrument that is developed to identify ARMS in individuals is the
„Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States‟ (CAARMS; Yung et al.,
2005). This semi-structured interview assists with differentiating between individuals
with no psychotic symptoms, individuals who have an ARMS and individuals who are
presently experiencing clinical psychosis. These symptoms are divided over seven
chapters which cover the following domains: Positive Symptoms, Cognitive Domains,
Emotional Disturbances, Negative Symptoms, Behavioral Changes, Disturbances in
Motor-functions and General Psychopathology. To determine ARMS only the
positive-symptom scale is used and a marked decline in social functioning must be
present. The results of the CAARMS provide a categorical approach in assessing
psychotic symptoms and the CAARMS is well suited to detect psychotic symptoms at
a sub-clinical level (Yung et al., 2005). However, an exploration of the dimensional
structure can be useful as a means of gaining insight in the clinical vulnerability to
psychosis and assisting in developing tailor-made treatments for patients with ARMS
(Raballo et al., 2011).
In an attempt to improve the identification of clinical vulnerability to
psychosis in help-seeking subjects, Raballo and colleagues (2011) performed
principal component analysis on the items of the CAARMS to map the underlying
structure of the at-risk mental state in young adults. The analysis yielded three
symptom clusters, which were found stable after 12-month follow-up from baseline.
The symptom clusters consisted of a factor encompassing the negative symptoms, a
disorganized component and a perceptual-affective instability component. They also
found that the severity of the disorganized cluster was the strongest predictor of
transition into psychosis at 12-month follow-up.
To deem such symptom clusters as robust, it is necessary that similar clusters
can be found in various patients with ARMS. This study attempted to replicate the
results found by Raballo and colleagues (2011). The primary aim was to find similar
symptom clusters, providing further evidence for, and understanding of the underlying
dimensions of the at-risk mental state.
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2. Method
2.1. Design and Outcome
In this study the data set of the Dutch Early Detection and Intervention
Evaluation (EDIE-NL; Rietdijk et al., 2010) trial was used. This is a longitudinal
randomized clinical trial in which treatment-as-usual (TAU) is compared to an add-on
cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT), targeted at the prevention of psychosis in an
ARMS population. For a comprehensive description of the study, see Rietdijk et al.,
2010. Beside this, participants from the Early Detection and Intervention Team
(EDIT) in The Hague were included. EDIT is a department of Parnassia mental-health
institute created as a direct result of the EDIE-NL trial, and uses the same methods.
The main outcome measures in this study were if clear interpretable
dimensions could be extracted from the CAARMS and if such dimensions could by
validated by a subset of the sample.
2.2. Recruitment and participants
In the EDIE-NL trial 283 ARMS patients were interviewed with the complete
CAARMS. Of these 283 participants, 201 completed additional baseline measures on
clinically relevant variables. Furthermore an additional 33 participants from the EDIT
were included with complete CAARMS data. The total sample was thus comprised of
316 participants.
The participants in the EDIE-NL trial were recruited at 4 different research
sites, using two different recruitment methods. Participants included by the first
method were referred to specialized early psychosis clinics in Amsterdam by mental-
health practitioners who suspected the presence of a psychotic development. These
participants were aged 14 to 35 years.
The second method was a two-stepped screening. For this method treatment-
seeking participants in The Hague filled out the Prodromal Questionnaire (PQ-92;
Loewy et al., 2005; PQ-16; Ising et al., 2012) to reduce unnecessary interviewing of
true-negatives by measuring psychotic proneness around the time of their intake at a
secondary mental health institute. Those who scored above cut-off were interviewed
by clinical psychologists or research assistants with the Social and Occupational
Functioning Scale (SOFAS; Goldman et al. 1992) and the first chapter of the
CAARMS to determine ARMS in participants. If participants met the ARMS criteria,
8
they were invited for the remaining domains of the CAARMS interview and also
completed additional baseline measures. Participants recruited by this method were
aged 18 to 35 years.
The EDIT department (which is located in The Hague) also used the two-step
screening method. The sites of Rivierduinen (Leiden and surroundings) and the
province of Friesland used both the referral and two-step screening method.
2.3. Exclusion criteria
Criteria for exclusion were: a) current or previous usage of anti-psychotic
medication over 15 mg Haloperidol equivalents; b) severe learning impairment; c)
problems due to somatic condition; d) insufficient competence in the Dutch language;
e) history of psychosis.
2.4. Measure instruments
The Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States (CAARMS; Yung et
al., 2005) was used to determine the at-risk mental state. The CAARMS is a semi-
structured interview covering seven domains of the symptoms of schizophrenia:
Positive Symptoms, Cognitive Domains, Emotional Disturbances, Negative
Symptoms, Behavioral Changes, Disturbances in Motor-functions and General
Psychopathology. The seven domains consist of 28 sub-categories on which
symptoms can rated be on a seven-point Likert-scale for intensity, from 0 absent to 6
extreme.
Items were also rated on a seven-point Likert-scale for frequency, from 0
never to 6 continuously. Finally items can be rated on a three-point scale on the
relation between symptoms and substance use from 0 no relation to substance use to 2
noted only in relation to substance use The CAARMS produces three outcomes: Not
at-risk, At-risk mental state or Psychosis. Furthermore, individuals with an ARMS can
be categorized in one or more of the following groups: (1) experiencing sub-clinical
positive psychotic symptoms, or “State” (2) having experienced Brief intermittent
psychotic symptoms (BLIPS) or (3) being diagnosed with schizotypical personality
disorder or having a first-degree relative with a psychotic disorder, or “Trait”. The
CAARMS has been found to have good to excellent inter-rater reliability (ICC of total
CAARMS was 0.85) and good predictive validity (Yung et al., 2005).
To reduce the amount of true-negatives found by the CAARMS, the Dutch
9
translation of the Prodromal Questionnaire, both 92-item version (PQ-92; Loewy et
al., 2005) and shortened 16-item version (PQ-16; Ising et al., 2012) was used prior to
interviewing. The items are statements which can be answered with “true” or “false”.
Examples of items are “My thoughts are sometimes so strong that I can almost hear
them” or “I often feel that others have it in for me”. With the PQ-92 (used up until
March 2011) a cutoff of 18 items or more answered with “true” was used, which has a
specificity and sensitivity of both 90% in this population (Ising et al., 2012). The
internal validity was excellent with a Cronbach‟s alpha of .96 (Loewy et al., 2005).
With the PQ-16 (used after March 2011) a cutoff of 6 items answered “true” was
used, which corresponded with a specificity and sensitivity of 87% for both, and has a
Cronbach‟s alpha of .77, which is between acceptable and good (Ising et al., 2012).
Social impairment was determined by the Social and Occupational
Functioning Scale (SOFAS; Goldman et al., 1992), which rates social impairment as a
result of physical and psychological disability on a scale from 0 to 100. To be
included in the study, participants either have had a 30% decline in SOFAS score
within a month or having in the past 12 months a SOFAS score lower than 55.
The Becks Depression Inventory-II, Dutch translation (BDI-II-NL; Van der
Does, 2002) was used to assess depression scores ranging from 0 - 63; a high score
reflects more severe depression. The test-retest reliability and the internal consistency
show high rates (Van der Does, 2002).
To assess the participants‟ subjective appraisal of their illness, the Personal
Beliefs about Illness Questionnaire-Revised (PBIQ-R; Birchwood et al., 1993;
Birchwood et al., 2012) was used. It is a self-report questionnaire with five subscales:
1) loss, 2) humiliation, 3) shame, 4) attribution of behavior to self or to illness and 5)
entrapment in psychosis. While not specifically designed to produce an overall score,
the sum of the subscales can provide an estimate of either positive or negative
appraisal. Higher overall scores indicate stronger negative appraisal of illness. The
scale has demonstrated good reliability and validity in individuals with schizophrenia.
2.5. Statistical analysis
The data was tested for suitability for component analysis using the Kaiser–
Meyer–Olkin measure of sampling adequacy and the Bartlett's Test of Sphericity. A
principal component analysis with Varimax rotation was used on the 28 items of the
CAARMS in order to explore the factor structure of at-risk mental state symptoms at
10
baseline. This included all EDIE-NL and EDIT patients who met the ARMS criteria
that were interviewed with the complete CAARMS (N =316).
The Horn's parallel analysis method (Horn, 1965) was used to determine the
amount of components. This method generates a large number of random correlation
matrices with the same number of variables and sample size as the actual matrix, and
compares the eigenvalues in the observed matrix with mean eigenvalues in the
random matrices. This is the same method used to determine the amount of
components used by Raballo and colleagues (2011) to ensure comparability.
To test the stability of the factors a principal component analysis with Varimax
rotation has been conducted on the data of the EDIE-NL subsample of 201
participants. These components are then compared to the components found on the
total sample using Pearson's r correlation coefficient.
11
3. Results
3.1. Sample characteristics
The total sample consisted of 316 participants of whom 141 were male
(44.6%) and 175 were female (55.4%). The mean age of the total sample was 23.01
years (SD = 5.68). Excluding the 82 EDIE-NL participants who did not complete the
additional measures, there were significant differences between the EDIE-NL and
EDIT samples in age (t(232) = 4.40, p = .001), sex (U=2604.00, p = .022, r = .15)
and ARMS group distribution (χ2(3, N = 234) = 9.71, p = .021). Further demographics
and clinical characteristics on the participants who completed additional measures can
be found in table 1.
Demographics and Measure Means of EDIE-NL and EDIT participants (N=234)
Characteristic EDIT
(N=33)
EDIE-NL
(N=201)
Statistics
Mean (SD) Mean (SD)
Age in years 26.18 (4.71) 22.72 (5.54) t(232) = 4.40, p = .001
N (%) N (%)
Female 24 (72.7) 103 (51.2) U=2604.00, p = .022, r = .15
BDI-II 22.84 (10.90) 22.69 (12.33) t(222) = 0.06, p = .953
SOFAS 45.12 (3.63) 46.03 (4.98) t(53.98) = 0.21, p = .212
PBIQ-R 74.62 (14.85) 74.23 (16.37) t(217) = 0.37, p = .709
Intake diagnosis, N (%) χ2
(11, N = 234) = 11.27, p = .421
Anxiety disorder 7 (21.2) 54 (26.9)
Depression 7 (21.2) 52 (25.9)
Mixed anxiety and
Depression
1 (3.0) 10 (5.0)
Personality disorder 7 (21.2) 15 (7.5)
ADHD 2 (6.1) 13 (6.5)
Addiction problems 1 (3.0) 11 (5.5)
Eating Disorder 2 (6.1) 11 (5.5)
PTSD 4 (12.1) 10 (5.0)
Oppositional Defiant
Disorder
0 (0.0) 6 (3.0)
Asperger Syndrome 0 (0.0) 5 (2.5)
V-code DSM-IV diagnosis 1 (3.0) 5 (2.5)
Other problems 1 (3.0) 9 (4.5)
CAARMS At-risk group χ2
(3, N = 234) = 9.71, p = .021
“State” 28 (84.8) 193 (96.0)
“Trait” 5 (15.2) 6 (3.0)
“BLIPS” 0 (0.0) 2 (1.0)
Note. CAARMS = Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental State; SOFAS = Social and Occupational Functioning Scale; BDI-II = Becks
Depression Inventory – II; PBIQ-R = Personal Beliefs about Illness Questionnaire-Revised; EDIE-NL = Early Detection and Intervention Evaluation –
Nederland; EDIT = Early Detection and Intervention Team. Intake diagnosis percentages do not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.
12
3.2. CAARMS: internal consistency and item distribution
Internal consistency-analysis revealed a good internal coherence on the
CAARMS (Cronbach's α = .80), with none of the items having a relevant alpha
degrading tendency. Table 2 provides modes and medians of the 28 items. Diminished
role functioning had a mode of 5 (severe), three items (Unusual thought content,
Perceptual abnormalities and Avolition/Apathy) had a mode of 4 (moderately severe),
seven had 3 (moderate), three had 2 (mild) and 15 had 0 (absent).
Table 2
CAARMS Intensity Item Scores at first Assessment (N = 316): Descriptive Statistics and Cronbach's Alphas.
Min Max Mean SD Median Mode
Alpha if item
deleted
Unusual thought content 0 6 2.73 1.70 3 4 .80
Non-bizarre ideas 0 6 2.56 1.47 3 2 .80
Perceptual abnormalities 0 6 3.23 1.37 3 4 .80
Disorganized speech 0 5 1.63 1.29 2 2 .79
Observed cognitive change 0 6 0.82 1.17 0 0 .80
Subjective cognitive change 0 6 2.56 1.11 3 3 .78
Subjective emotional
disturbance
0 6 2.23 1.50 2 2 .78
Observed blunter affect 0 5 1.14 1.33 0 0 .79
Observed inappropriate
affect
0 4 0.24 0.74 0 0 .80
Alogia 0 5 1.19 1.26 1 0 .79
Avolition/apathy 0 6 2.98 1.48 4 4 .78
Anhedonia 0 6 2.89 1.76 3 3 .79
Social isolation 0 6 2.68 1.65 3 3 .78
Impaired role function 0 6 3.13 1.77 3 5 .78
Disorganizing/odd/stigmatiz
ing behaviour
0 6 0.78 1.31 0 0 .79
Aggression/dangerous
behaviour
0 5 2.47 1.45 3 3 .79
Subjective complaints of
impaired motor funtioning
0 5 0.86 1.79 0 0 .79
Subjective complaints of
impaired bodily sensation
0 6 0.78 1.40 0 0 .79
Informant reported or
observed changes in motor
functioning
0 4 0.11 0.59 0 0 .80
Subjective complaints of
impaired autonomic
functioning
0 5 1.76 1.55 2 0 .78
Mania 0 4 0.65 1.14 0 0 .80
Depression 0 5 3.03 1.38 3 3 .78
Suicidality and self-harm 0 6 1.54 1.38 2 0 .79
Mood swings/lability 0 5 1.51 1.44 2 0 .79
Anxiety 0 6 3.18 1.65 3 3 .78
Obsessive-compulsive
symptoms
0 6 1.58 1.69 2 0 .79
Dissociative symptoms 0 5 1.24 1.57 0 0 .79
Impaired tolerance to
normal stress
0 6 2.32 1.76 3 0 .78
Note. CAARMS = Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental State. Intensity scores: 0 = Absent, 1 = Questionable, 2 = Mild, 3 =
Moderate, 4 = Moderately severe, 5 = Severe. 6 = Extreme (i.e. psychotic intensity)
13
3.3. Principal component analysis
The data was suitable for factor analysis on the total sample, as were EDIE-NL
participants alone as indicated by the Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin measure of sampling
adequacy (EDIE-NL and EDIT: .79; EDIE-NL: .75) and the Bartlett's Test of
Sphericity (EDIE-NL and EDIT: χ2
(378) = 1659.79, p < .001; EDIE-NL: 1367.95, p <
.001).
Preliminary principle component analysis indicated that of the 28 items ten
components with eigenvalues above 1 could be extracted, which accounted for 62%
of variance. The Horn's parallel analysis method further reduced the amount of
components to five, which accounted for 41% of variance.
Component loadings of the principal component analysis on the CAARMS
items can be found in Table 3. Component I included high loadings on the items
“Impaired role function”, “Avolition/apathy”, “Social isolation”, “Depression”,
“Anhedonia”, “Impaired tolerance to normal stress” and “Anxiety”, and can be
considered a "Depression" cluster. Component II had high loadings on “Observed
cognitive change”, “Disorganized speech”, “Alogia” and
“Disorganized/odd/stigmatizing behavior”, a "Disorganization" cluster. Items that
loaded highly on component III were “Subjective complaints of impaired bodily
sensation”, “Subjective complaints of impaired autonomic functioning”, “Subjective
complaints of impaired motor functioning” and “Obsessive-compulsive symptoms”,
named the “Bodily-impairment" symptom-cluster. Component IV included items
“mood swings/lability”, “mania” and “aggressive/dangerous behavior”, the "Manic"
cluster. Component V included items “Subjective emotional disturbance”, “Observed
blunter affect” and “Unusual thought content”, here called the "Schizo-affective"
symptom-cluster. Similar components were found on the EDIE-NL sample, with the
exception of component V, which was replaced with a component that loaded high on
items such as “Impaired role function”, “Avolition/apathy”, “Social isolation”,
“Impaired tolerance to normal stress”, “Anxiety” and “Subjective complaints of
impaired autonomic functioning”.
14
Table 3
Component Loadings on the 28 Items of the CAARMS in the total sample and the EDIE-NL
sample
Total Sample (N=316) EDIE-NL (N=201)
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5
Impaired role function .74 .53 .43
Avolition/apathy .74 .60 .42
Social isolation .73 .42 .39 .49
Depression .64 .37 .67
Anhedonia .57 .71
Impaired tolerance to
normal stress
.53 .69
Anxiety .53 .72
Suicidality and self-harm .34 -.32 .30 .47 .60 .35
Observed cognitive
change
.66 .64
Disorganized speech .63 .54 .34
Alogia .58 .48 .40
Disorganized/odd/stigmat
izing behavior
.48 .53
Observed inappropriate
affect
.35 .48
Informant reported or
observed changes in
motor functioning
.30 .34 .35 .36
Subjective complaints of
impaired bodily sensation
.62 .64
Subjective complaints of
impaired autonomic
functioning
.32 .59 .51 .48
Subjective complaints of
impaired motor
functioning
.53 .59
Obsessive-compulsive
symptoms
.45 .44
Mood swings/lability .67 .57 .37
Mania .62 .71
Aggression/dangerous
behavior
.58 .55
Dissociative symptoms .34
Subjective emotional
disturbance
.31 .65 .67 .36
Observed blunter affect .59 .65
Unusual thought content .47
Subjective cognitive
change
.34 .38 .38 .43 .32
Non-bizarre ideas .32
Perceptual abnormalities .32
Note. CAARMS = Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental State; EDIE-NL = Early Detection and Intervention
Evaluation – Nederland; EDIT = Early Detection and Intervention Team. Items are sorted by decreasing size of the
coefficients of the total sample. All loadings greater than .30 are reported; loadings greater than .50 are set in bold font;
items that show the same co-aggregation pattern for the total sample and EDIE-NL are highlighted.
15
3.4. Component consistency
Of the components extracted from the total sample, components II, III and IV
had very strong correlations with a single component from the EDIE-NL sample
(Pearson's r = .93, r = .92 and r = .89 respectively). Component I from the total
sample correlated highly with both component I and V (both r = .68) from the EDIE-
NL sample. Pearson's r coefficients for all components can be found on table 4.
Table 4
Pearson's r correlations between the total sample (N=316) and EDIE-NL participants (N=201)
EDIE-NL
I II III IV V
Total
sample
I .68** .21** -.12* -.22** .68**
II .06 .93** .19** .14* -.16**
III -.08* -.07 .92** .15* .29**
IV -.11 -.04 .02 .89** .38**
V .66** -.24** .19** .27** -.33**
Note: EDIE-NL = Early Detection and Intervention Evaluation – Nederland. Correlations marked with * indicate p > .05, ** indicate P > .001,
coefficients over .4 are shown in bold.
3.5. Associations with baseline variables
Pearson‟s r coefficients were calculated between found components on the
CAARMS and demographic and clinical relevant variables (see Table 5). Of the five
components, Component I showed strong significant positive relationships with
depression and negative illness appraisal and a moderate relationship with age, and a
strong inverse relationship with social functioning. On the other components
significant correlation coefficients were either weak, or negligible.
Table 5
Pearson’s r correlations between CAARMS components and baseline variables (N=201)
CAARMS Component
I II III IV V
Age .33** -.02 .18** .12* .11
SOFAS -.44** -.04 .15* .08 -.08
BDI-II .49** .07 .16* .20** .20**
PBIQ-R .44** .00 .21** .21** .15*
Note: CAARMS = Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental State; SOFAS = Social and Occupational Functioning Scale;
BDI-II = Becks Depression Inventory – II; PBIQ-R = Personal Beliefs about Illness Questionnaire-Revised. Correlations marked
with * indicate p > .05, ** indicate P > .001, coefficients over .4 are shown in bold.
16
4. Discussion
4.1. Main findings
From the 28 items of the CAARMS intensity scores on the whole EDIE-NL
(N=283) and EDIT sample (N=33), five components could be extracted by PCA. Of
these components, four remained stable after validation on the components extracted
from the EDIE-NL subsample (N=201). The components which remained stable
included a "Depression" symptom-cluster (I) , a "Disorganization" symptom-cluster
(II), a "Bodily-impairment" symptom-cluster (III) and a "Manic" symptom-cluster
(IV). The fifth found symptom-clusters could be considered a "Schizo-affective"
symptom-cluster. The “Schizo-affective” component however, was not found when
analyzing the EDIE-NL sample (N=201) with PCA, instead being replaced by a
component with high loadings on many of the items of the "Depression" symptom-
cluster.
Raballo and colleagues (2011) found a "negative-interpersonal” component, a
“disorganized” component and a “perceptual-affective instability” component. These
components showed similarities to several symptom-clusters found in this study,
namely the "Depression" symptom-cluster, the "Disorganization" symptom-cluster
and the "Manic" symptom-cluster respectively, with the “negative-interpersonal”
component and the “Depression” component being nearly identical. Other studies
based on the CAARMS (Demjaha, Valmaggia, Stahl, Byrne, & McGuire, 2012) or on
the conceptually and clinically similar instrument, the Scale of Prodromal Symptoms
(SOPS; Miller et al., 1999) also produced clear negative symptom-clusters, suggesting
that it is a robust feature of the ARMS (Hawkins et al., 2004; Lemos et al., 2006). The
“Disorganized” symptom-cluster also bears similarity Disorganization/cognitive
dimension found by Demjaha and colleagues (2012).
The main difference was the absence of a component including the items
“Subjective complaints of motor-function impairment”, “Subjective complaints of
impaired autonomic functioning” and “Subjective complaints of impaired bodily
sensation” among the components found by Raballo and colleagues (2011). A finding
of note, or rather a lack thereof was that no clear component with the positive
symptoms was found. An explanation for why this study could not produce a positive
component might be that the screening instrument used focused specifically on
positive symptoms, and in fact inclusion is by definition based on the presence of
17
positive symptoms. As a result the variance on these three items may have been too
low to produce a clear positive symptom-cluster. As the study of Raballo and
colleagues (2011) also could not produce a positive component, they suggested that
this might be due to the relative low amount of items measuring positive symptoms on
the CAARMS, 3 items of the 28.
When correlating the components to clinically relevant baseline variables, the
strongest relations were found in the “Depression” component with depression and
negative illness appraisal and a moderate relationship with age, and a strong inverse
relationship with social functioning and a moderate inverse relationship with
subjective health. While these relations are not unexpected with the “Depression”
component, it is interesting to see that the other components have a weak or no
relation with these variables, unlike Raballo and colleagues (2011) found on all of
their components.
4.2. Limitations
The first limitation of this study is that the stability of the components was
tested by comparing the components of the total sample to a sub-part of the total
sample instead of testing and retesting the whole sample. Because of this, the
temporal stability of the components could not be assessed. While participants of the
EDIE-NL trial were re-interviewed with the CAARMS at six-month intervals, a part
of them received an intervention aimed at reducing ARMS symptoms, which would
have confounded the results.
Another limitation is that the Varimax rotation in the EDIE-NL subsample
took 36 iterations to get a decent fit. As a general rule of thumb, any amount higher
than 25 rotations means that interpretable results are questionable at best. An
explanation for this could be that when using the Horn's parallel analysis method to
explore the recommended amount of components on the EDIE-NL subsample, it
suggested that six components instead of five components were recommended for the
EDIE-NL subsample. However, this would have made comparisons with the five
components of the total sample impossible and choosing six components over five on
the total sample has no supporting theoretic arguments.
A third limitation is that there was a significant age difference between the
EDIT and EDIE-NL participants, with the EDIT participants being older on average.
The difference in age can be explained because the Amsterdam and Leiden research
18
site included participants from 14 years and up, while the EDIT participants were
included from age 18 and up. Taking into account that this study also found a
significant positive correlation between age and the “Depression” component, this
could have a confounding effect, skewing the component analysis of the complete
sample towards the “Depression” component, when compared to the component
analysis on the subsample.
Finally a significant difference between ARMS groups between the EDIE-NL
and EDIT samples was observed; the EDIT sample had relatively more “Trait” ARMS
patients than the EDIE-NL sample. This can be explained due to the possibility for
participants to fit into multiple categories, and the analysis only takes into account the
most prominent category. For example a person with a first degree family member
with a psychotic disorder who also exhibits sub-clinical symptoms themselves, would
be placed in the “State” group first and in the “Trait” group second.
4.3. Strengths
The main strength of this study is the use of the two-stepped screening method
of recruiting participants in the majority of cases. As Rietdijk and colleagues (2012)
have shown that the usual referral method has a higher rate of false negative ARMS
patients compared to a two-stepped screening method. Therefore it can be argued that
this sample is a better representation of the ARMS population, meaning that the found
components should lie closer to the “true” underlying dimensions.
Another strength of this study is the larger sample size compared to other
studies. 223 participants in Raballo and colleagues (2011), 122 participants in
Demjaha and colleagues (Demjaha et al., 2012) and 94 in Hawkins and colleagues
(Hawkins et al., 2004) versus 316 participants in this study.
4.4. Conclusions
In conclusion, this study found that the CAARMS interview has an underlying
five-dimensional factor structure. With the symptom grouping bearing similarities to
the groupings of comparable studies, this study provides further evidence for such an
underlying dimensional structure of the CAARMS. However, the differences in the
amount of components, and the emergence of entirely different components warrant
further research into the dimensional structure of the CAARMS. Confirmatory factor
analysis for example could provide more insight in a definite underlying dimensional
19
structure. The CAARMS is an excellent instrument to assess the subtleties of the
psychotic spectrum in patients, and this study might prove a stepping-stone to a
dimensional approach to assist in tailor-made treatments according to the clinical-
staging model.
20
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Mapping the Structure of the At-Risk Mental State

  • 1. 1 Mapping the Structure of the At-Risk Mental State MASTER-THESE Naam: Sylvester N. de Koning Studentnummer: 1845497 Inleverdatum: 29 juli 2013 Tel: 06 22 51 63 08 Email adres: sylvester.de.koning90@gmail.com Opleiding: Master Klinische Psychologie, Begeleider: drs. Tamar Kraan en drs. Helga K. Ising Beoordelaar: drs. Robin N. Kok
  • 2. 2 Abstract It is paramount to map the structure of the at-risk mental state (ARMS) for psychosis to improve identification and intervention strategies aimed at help-seeking individuals at risk for psychosis. The aims of this study were to define underlying dimensions of sub-clinical psychopathology in ARMS subjects and to validate the robustness of these dimensions. 316 participants meeting the criteria for the Early Detection and Intervention Evaluation trial (EDIE-NL) for ARMS, were assessed with a semi-structured interview; the Comprehensive Assessment of At Risk Mental State (CAARMS; Yung et al., 2005) and other clinically relevant measures. Data was analyzed via principal component analysis (PCA) and Pearson's r correlation coefficient. The PCA of the CAARMS produced five interpretable components ("Depression" "Disorganization", "Bodily-impairment", "Manic" and "Schizo- affective"). All but the "Schizo-affective" component proved robust when validated on the PCA of the subsample. Of all the components, only the "Depression" cluster was strongly related to worse global functioning and increased depressive symptoms and negative illness appraisal. Found components could provide a step towards a dimensional approach to the CAARMS, as a complementary one to a categorical approach. However clear and robust dimensions must be defined first, and further research on the subject is warranted. Keywords: Psychosis, At-risk mental state, Principal component analysis, CAARMS, Dimensions
  • 3. 3 Samenvatting Het is van groot belang om de structuur van de At-Risk Mental State (ARMS) in kaart te brengen om identificatie- en interventiestrategieën gericht op hulpzoekende individuen met een verhoogd risico op een psychose te verbeteren. Het doel van dit onderzoek was om de onderliggende dimensies van subklinische psychopathologie bij Ultra-High-Risk (UHR) patiënten te identificeren en om de robuustheid van deze dimensies te valideren. 316 deelnemers die aan de criteria voldeden van het Early Detection and Evaluation onderzoek (EDIE-NL) voor UHR werden onderzocht met een semi- gestructureerde interview; de Comprehensive Assessment of At Risk Mental State (CAARMS; Yung et al., 2005) en andere klinisch relevante vragenlijsten. De data werd geanalyseerd door middel van principale-componentenanalyse (PCA) en Pearson's correlatie. Uit de PCA van de CAARMS kwamen vijf componenten naar voren (“Depressie”, “Disorganisatie”, “Lichamelijke-verstoringen”, “Manisch” en “Schizo- affectief”). Behalve de “Schizo-affectieve” component waren alle componenten robuust wanneer deze gevalideerd werden op de PCA van de subsample. Alleen de “Depressie” component vertoonde een sterk verband met toegenomen depressieve symptomen, negatieve ziektewaardering en verminderd globaal functioneren, De gevonden componenten kunnen bruikbaar zijn bij een dimensionale benadering op de CAARMS, welke complementair aan de gangbare categorische benadering kan zijn. Echter, eerst moeten duidelijke en robuuste dimensies geformuleerd worden en is verder onderzoek naar dit onderwerp wenselijk. Sleutelwoorden: Psychose, At-risk mental state, Principale-componenten analyse, CAARMS, Dimensies
  • 4. 4 Contents 1. Introduction 5 2. Method 7 2.1. Design and Outcome 7 2.2. Recruitment and participants 7 2.3. Exclusion criteria 8 2.4. Measure instruments 8 2.5. Statistical analysis 9 3. Results 11 3.1. Sample characteristics 11 3.2. CAARMS: internal consistency and item distribution 12 3.3. Principal component analysis 13 3.4. Component consistency 15 3.5. Associations with baseline variables 15 4. Discussion 16 4.1. Main findings 16 4.2. Limitations 17 4.3. Strengths 18 4.4. Conclusions 18 References 20
  • 5. 5 1. Introduction Among the mental disorders, schizophrenia and related psychotic disorders are considered to be the most severe in terms of human suffering and societal costs (Van Os & Kapur, 2010). The prognosis of schizophrenia is generally poor, and has increasingly worse clinical and functional outcomes over time when left untreated (Harris et al., 2005). Also, pharmaceutical treatment of schizophrenia as of yet only suppresses a portion of the symptoms and medication often comes with severe and impairing side effects. Therefore, it is imperative that alternative models for treating schizophrenia are being considered, with clinical staging being a promising concept. The concept of clinical staging is becoming more prominent as a means of diagnosing and treating psychosis in recent literature (McGorry, Nelson, Goldstone, & Yung, 2010; McGorry et al., 2007; Raballo & Laroi, 2009). The clinical staging model, applied to psychosis, defines not only the extent of progression of psychotic disorders at a particular point in time but also in which stage an individual currently finds itself along the continuum of the course of the disorder. This model is particularly useful as it differentiates early milder clinical symptoms from those that accompany illness progression and chronicity. Approaching the treatment of psychotic disorders in this way assists clinicians to select relevant interventions at a certain phase along the continuum where the interventions will be most effective and less disruptive and harmful than more intensive treatments, such as heavy medication or psychiatric commitment. With this in mind, a necessity rises for evidence-based early intervention indicated early on the continuum (McGorry et al., 2007; McGorry et al., 2010; Raballo & Larøi, 2009). Recent studies indicated that early intervention of psychosis is effective (Van der Gaag et al., 2012), therefore it is paramount to have a better understanding of the onset and structure of the various stages of psychosis to be able to continue improving and developing interventions. Yung and McGorry were the first to formulate criteria to identify individuals at an early stage of psychosis based on genetic predisposition and the presence of milder psychotic symptoms (Yung & McGorry, 1996). They identified the three following groups, of which at least one has to be present to fulfill the now widely applied 'Ultra High Risk' (UHR) or „At Risk Mental State (ARMS) criteria: 1) genetic risk, 2) attenuated psychotic symptoms or 3) having Brief Limited Intermittent Psychotic Symptoms (BLIPS; Yung et al., 2005).
  • 6. 6 The first instrument that is developed to identify ARMS in individuals is the „Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States‟ (CAARMS; Yung et al., 2005). This semi-structured interview assists with differentiating between individuals with no psychotic symptoms, individuals who have an ARMS and individuals who are presently experiencing clinical psychosis. These symptoms are divided over seven chapters which cover the following domains: Positive Symptoms, Cognitive Domains, Emotional Disturbances, Negative Symptoms, Behavioral Changes, Disturbances in Motor-functions and General Psychopathology. To determine ARMS only the positive-symptom scale is used and a marked decline in social functioning must be present. The results of the CAARMS provide a categorical approach in assessing psychotic symptoms and the CAARMS is well suited to detect psychotic symptoms at a sub-clinical level (Yung et al., 2005). However, an exploration of the dimensional structure can be useful as a means of gaining insight in the clinical vulnerability to psychosis and assisting in developing tailor-made treatments for patients with ARMS (Raballo et al., 2011). In an attempt to improve the identification of clinical vulnerability to psychosis in help-seeking subjects, Raballo and colleagues (2011) performed principal component analysis on the items of the CAARMS to map the underlying structure of the at-risk mental state in young adults. The analysis yielded three symptom clusters, which were found stable after 12-month follow-up from baseline. The symptom clusters consisted of a factor encompassing the negative symptoms, a disorganized component and a perceptual-affective instability component. They also found that the severity of the disorganized cluster was the strongest predictor of transition into psychosis at 12-month follow-up. To deem such symptom clusters as robust, it is necessary that similar clusters can be found in various patients with ARMS. This study attempted to replicate the results found by Raballo and colleagues (2011). The primary aim was to find similar symptom clusters, providing further evidence for, and understanding of the underlying dimensions of the at-risk mental state.
  • 7. 7 2. Method 2.1. Design and Outcome In this study the data set of the Dutch Early Detection and Intervention Evaluation (EDIE-NL; Rietdijk et al., 2010) trial was used. This is a longitudinal randomized clinical trial in which treatment-as-usual (TAU) is compared to an add-on cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT), targeted at the prevention of psychosis in an ARMS population. For a comprehensive description of the study, see Rietdijk et al., 2010. Beside this, participants from the Early Detection and Intervention Team (EDIT) in The Hague were included. EDIT is a department of Parnassia mental-health institute created as a direct result of the EDIE-NL trial, and uses the same methods. The main outcome measures in this study were if clear interpretable dimensions could be extracted from the CAARMS and if such dimensions could by validated by a subset of the sample. 2.2. Recruitment and participants In the EDIE-NL trial 283 ARMS patients were interviewed with the complete CAARMS. Of these 283 participants, 201 completed additional baseline measures on clinically relevant variables. Furthermore an additional 33 participants from the EDIT were included with complete CAARMS data. The total sample was thus comprised of 316 participants. The participants in the EDIE-NL trial were recruited at 4 different research sites, using two different recruitment methods. Participants included by the first method were referred to specialized early psychosis clinics in Amsterdam by mental- health practitioners who suspected the presence of a psychotic development. These participants were aged 14 to 35 years. The second method was a two-stepped screening. For this method treatment- seeking participants in The Hague filled out the Prodromal Questionnaire (PQ-92; Loewy et al., 2005; PQ-16; Ising et al., 2012) to reduce unnecessary interviewing of true-negatives by measuring psychotic proneness around the time of their intake at a secondary mental health institute. Those who scored above cut-off were interviewed by clinical psychologists or research assistants with the Social and Occupational Functioning Scale (SOFAS; Goldman et al. 1992) and the first chapter of the CAARMS to determine ARMS in participants. If participants met the ARMS criteria,
  • 8. 8 they were invited for the remaining domains of the CAARMS interview and also completed additional baseline measures. Participants recruited by this method were aged 18 to 35 years. The EDIT department (which is located in The Hague) also used the two-step screening method. The sites of Rivierduinen (Leiden and surroundings) and the province of Friesland used both the referral and two-step screening method. 2.3. Exclusion criteria Criteria for exclusion were: a) current or previous usage of anti-psychotic medication over 15 mg Haloperidol equivalents; b) severe learning impairment; c) problems due to somatic condition; d) insufficient competence in the Dutch language; e) history of psychosis. 2.4. Measure instruments The Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental States (CAARMS; Yung et al., 2005) was used to determine the at-risk mental state. The CAARMS is a semi- structured interview covering seven domains of the symptoms of schizophrenia: Positive Symptoms, Cognitive Domains, Emotional Disturbances, Negative Symptoms, Behavioral Changes, Disturbances in Motor-functions and General Psychopathology. The seven domains consist of 28 sub-categories on which symptoms can rated be on a seven-point Likert-scale for intensity, from 0 absent to 6 extreme. Items were also rated on a seven-point Likert-scale for frequency, from 0 never to 6 continuously. Finally items can be rated on a three-point scale on the relation between symptoms and substance use from 0 no relation to substance use to 2 noted only in relation to substance use The CAARMS produces three outcomes: Not at-risk, At-risk mental state or Psychosis. Furthermore, individuals with an ARMS can be categorized in one or more of the following groups: (1) experiencing sub-clinical positive psychotic symptoms, or “State” (2) having experienced Brief intermittent psychotic symptoms (BLIPS) or (3) being diagnosed with schizotypical personality disorder or having a first-degree relative with a psychotic disorder, or “Trait”. The CAARMS has been found to have good to excellent inter-rater reliability (ICC of total CAARMS was 0.85) and good predictive validity (Yung et al., 2005). To reduce the amount of true-negatives found by the CAARMS, the Dutch
  • 9. 9 translation of the Prodromal Questionnaire, both 92-item version (PQ-92; Loewy et al., 2005) and shortened 16-item version (PQ-16; Ising et al., 2012) was used prior to interviewing. The items are statements which can be answered with “true” or “false”. Examples of items are “My thoughts are sometimes so strong that I can almost hear them” or “I often feel that others have it in for me”. With the PQ-92 (used up until March 2011) a cutoff of 18 items or more answered with “true” was used, which has a specificity and sensitivity of both 90% in this population (Ising et al., 2012). The internal validity was excellent with a Cronbach‟s alpha of .96 (Loewy et al., 2005). With the PQ-16 (used after March 2011) a cutoff of 6 items answered “true” was used, which corresponded with a specificity and sensitivity of 87% for both, and has a Cronbach‟s alpha of .77, which is between acceptable and good (Ising et al., 2012). Social impairment was determined by the Social and Occupational Functioning Scale (SOFAS; Goldman et al., 1992), which rates social impairment as a result of physical and psychological disability on a scale from 0 to 100. To be included in the study, participants either have had a 30% decline in SOFAS score within a month or having in the past 12 months a SOFAS score lower than 55. The Becks Depression Inventory-II, Dutch translation (BDI-II-NL; Van der Does, 2002) was used to assess depression scores ranging from 0 - 63; a high score reflects more severe depression. The test-retest reliability and the internal consistency show high rates (Van der Does, 2002). To assess the participants‟ subjective appraisal of their illness, the Personal Beliefs about Illness Questionnaire-Revised (PBIQ-R; Birchwood et al., 1993; Birchwood et al., 2012) was used. It is a self-report questionnaire with five subscales: 1) loss, 2) humiliation, 3) shame, 4) attribution of behavior to self or to illness and 5) entrapment in psychosis. While not specifically designed to produce an overall score, the sum of the subscales can provide an estimate of either positive or negative appraisal. Higher overall scores indicate stronger negative appraisal of illness. The scale has demonstrated good reliability and validity in individuals with schizophrenia. 2.5. Statistical analysis The data was tested for suitability for component analysis using the Kaiser– Meyer–Olkin measure of sampling adequacy and the Bartlett's Test of Sphericity. A principal component analysis with Varimax rotation was used on the 28 items of the CAARMS in order to explore the factor structure of at-risk mental state symptoms at
  • 10. 10 baseline. This included all EDIE-NL and EDIT patients who met the ARMS criteria that were interviewed with the complete CAARMS (N =316). The Horn's parallel analysis method (Horn, 1965) was used to determine the amount of components. This method generates a large number of random correlation matrices with the same number of variables and sample size as the actual matrix, and compares the eigenvalues in the observed matrix with mean eigenvalues in the random matrices. This is the same method used to determine the amount of components used by Raballo and colleagues (2011) to ensure comparability. To test the stability of the factors a principal component analysis with Varimax rotation has been conducted on the data of the EDIE-NL subsample of 201 participants. These components are then compared to the components found on the total sample using Pearson's r correlation coefficient.
  • 11. 11 3. Results 3.1. Sample characteristics The total sample consisted of 316 participants of whom 141 were male (44.6%) and 175 were female (55.4%). The mean age of the total sample was 23.01 years (SD = 5.68). Excluding the 82 EDIE-NL participants who did not complete the additional measures, there were significant differences between the EDIE-NL and EDIT samples in age (t(232) = 4.40, p = .001), sex (U=2604.00, p = .022, r = .15) and ARMS group distribution (χ2(3, N = 234) = 9.71, p = .021). Further demographics and clinical characteristics on the participants who completed additional measures can be found in table 1. Demographics and Measure Means of EDIE-NL and EDIT participants (N=234) Characteristic EDIT (N=33) EDIE-NL (N=201) Statistics Mean (SD) Mean (SD) Age in years 26.18 (4.71) 22.72 (5.54) t(232) = 4.40, p = .001 N (%) N (%) Female 24 (72.7) 103 (51.2) U=2604.00, p = .022, r = .15 BDI-II 22.84 (10.90) 22.69 (12.33) t(222) = 0.06, p = .953 SOFAS 45.12 (3.63) 46.03 (4.98) t(53.98) = 0.21, p = .212 PBIQ-R 74.62 (14.85) 74.23 (16.37) t(217) = 0.37, p = .709 Intake diagnosis, N (%) χ2 (11, N = 234) = 11.27, p = .421 Anxiety disorder 7 (21.2) 54 (26.9) Depression 7 (21.2) 52 (25.9) Mixed anxiety and Depression 1 (3.0) 10 (5.0) Personality disorder 7 (21.2) 15 (7.5) ADHD 2 (6.1) 13 (6.5) Addiction problems 1 (3.0) 11 (5.5) Eating Disorder 2 (6.1) 11 (5.5) PTSD 4 (12.1) 10 (5.0) Oppositional Defiant Disorder 0 (0.0) 6 (3.0) Asperger Syndrome 0 (0.0) 5 (2.5) V-code DSM-IV diagnosis 1 (3.0) 5 (2.5) Other problems 1 (3.0) 9 (4.5) CAARMS At-risk group χ2 (3, N = 234) = 9.71, p = .021 “State” 28 (84.8) 193 (96.0) “Trait” 5 (15.2) 6 (3.0) “BLIPS” 0 (0.0) 2 (1.0) Note. CAARMS = Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental State; SOFAS = Social and Occupational Functioning Scale; BDI-II = Becks Depression Inventory – II; PBIQ-R = Personal Beliefs about Illness Questionnaire-Revised; EDIE-NL = Early Detection and Intervention Evaluation – Nederland; EDIT = Early Detection and Intervention Team. Intake diagnosis percentages do not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.
  • 12. 12 3.2. CAARMS: internal consistency and item distribution Internal consistency-analysis revealed a good internal coherence on the CAARMS (Cronbach's α = .80), with none of the items having a relevant alpha degrading tendency. Table 2 provides modes and medians of the 28 items. Diminished role functioning had a mode of 5 (severe), three items (Unusual thought content, Perceptual abnormalities and Avolition/Apathy) had a mode of 4 (moderately severe), seven had 3 (moderate), three had 2 (mild) and 15 had 0 (absent). Table 2 CAARMS Intensity Item Scores at first Assessment (N = 316): Descriptive Statistics and Cronbach's Alphas. Min Max Mean SD Median Mode Alpha if item deleted Unusual thought content 0 6 2.73 1.70 3 4 .80 Non-bizarre ideas 0 6 2.56 1.47 3 2 .80 Perceptual abnormalities 0 6 3.23 1.37 3 4 .80 Disorganized speech 0 5 1.63 1.29 2 2 .79 Observed cognitive change 0 6 0.82 1.17 0 0 .80 Subjective cognitive change 0 6 2.56 1.11 3 3 .78 Subjective emotional disturbance 0 6 2.23 1.50 2 2 .78 Observed blunter affect 0 5 1.14 1.33 0 0 .79 Observed inappropriate affect 0 4 0.24 0.74 0 0 .80 Alogia 0 5 1.19 1.26 1 0 .79 Avolition/apathy 0 6 2.98 1.48 4 4 .78 Anhedonia 0 6 2.89 1.76 3 3 .79 Social isolation 0 6 2.68 1.65 3 3 .78 Impaired role function 0 6 3.13 1.77 3 5 .78 Disorganizing/odd/stigmatiz ing behaviour 0 6 0.78 1.31 0 0 .79 Aggression/dangerous behaviour 0 5 2.47 1.45 3 3 .79 Subjective complaints of impaired motor funtioning 0 5 0.86 1.79 0 0 .79 Subjective complaints of impaired bodily sensation 0 6 0.78 1.40 0 0 .79 Informant reported or observed changes in motor functioning 0 4 0.11 0.59 0 0 .80 Subjective complaints of impaired autonomic functioning 0 5 1.76 1.55 2 0 .78 Mania 0 4 0.65 1.14 0 0 .80 Depression 0 5 3.03 1.38 3 3 .78 Suicidality and self-harm 0 6 1.54 1.38 2 0 .79 Mood swings/lability 0 5 1.51 1.44 2 0 .79 Anxiety 0 6 3.18 1.65 3 3 .78 Obsessive-compulsive symptoms 0 6 1.58 1.69 2 0 .79 Dissociative symptoms 0 5 1.24 1.57 0 0 .79 Impaired tolerance to normal stress 0 6 2.32 1.76 3 0 .78 Note. CAARMS = Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental State. Intensity scores: 0 = Absent, 1 = Questionable, 2 = Mild, 3 = Moderate, 4 = Moderately severe, 5 = Severe. 6 = Extreme (i.e. psychotic intensity)
  • 13. 13 3.3. Principal component analysis The data was suitable for factor analysis on the total sample, as were EDIE-NL participants alone as indicated by the Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin measure of sampling adequacy (EDIE-NL and EDIT: .79; EDIE-NL: .75) and the Bartlett's Test of Sphericity (EDIE-NL and EDIT: χ2 (378) = 1659.79, p < .001; EDIE-NL: 1367.95, p < .001). Preliminary principle component analysis indicated that of the 28 items ten components with eigenvalues above 1 could be extracted, which accounted for 62% of variance. The Horn's parallel analysis method further reduced the amount of components to five, which accounted for 41% of variance. Component loadings of the principal component analysis on the CAARMS items can be found in Table 3. Component I included high loadings on the items “Impaired role function”, “Avolition/apathy”, “Social isolation”, “Depression”, “Anhedonia”, “Impaired tolerance to normal stress” and “Anxiety”, and can be considered a "Depression" cluster. Component II had high loadings on “Observed cognitive change”, “Disorganized speech”, “Alogia” and “Disorganized/odd/stigmatizing behavior”, a "Disorganization" cluster. Items that loaded highly on component III were “Subjective complaints of impaired bodily sensation”, “Subjective complaints of impaired autonomic functioning”, “Subjective complaints of impaired motor functioning” and “Obsessive-compulsive symptoms”, named the “Bodily-impairment" symptom-cluster. Component IV included items “mood swings/lability”, “mania” and “aggressive/dangerous behavior”, the "Manic" cluster. Component V included items “Subjective emotional disturbance”, “Observed blunter affect” and “Unusual thought content”, here called the "Schizo-affective" symptom-cluster. Similar components were found on the EDIE-NL sample, with the exception of component V, which was replaced with a component that loaded high on items such as “Impaired role function”, “Avolition/apathy”, “Social isolation”, “Impaired tolerance to normal stress”, “Anxiety” and “Subjective complaints of impaired autonomic functioning”.
  • 14. 14 Table 3 Component Loadings on the 28 Items of the CAARMS in the total sample and the EDIE-NL sample Total Sample (N=316) EDIE-NL (N=201) 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 Impaired role function .74 .53 .43 Avolition/apathy .74 .60 .42 Social isolation .73 .42 .39 .49 Depression .64 .37 .67 Anhedonia .57 .71 Impaired tolerance to normal stress .53 .69 Anxiety .53 .72 Suicidality and self-harm .34 -.32 .30 .47 .60 .35 Observed cognitive change .66 .64 Disorganized speech .63 .54 .34 Alogia .58 .48 .40 Disorganized/odd/stigmat izing behavior .48 .53 Observed inappropriate affect .35 .48 Informant reported or observed changes in motor functioning .30 .34 .35 .36 Subjective complaints of impaired bodily sensation .62 .64 Subjective complaints of impaired autonomic functioning .32 .59 .51 .48 Subjective complaints of impaired motor functioning .53 .59 Obsessive-compulsive symptoms .45 .44 Mood swings/lability .67 .57 .37 Mania .62 .71 Aggression/dangerous behavior .58 .55 Dissociative symptoms .34 Subjective emotional disturbance .31 .65 .67 .36 Observed blunter affect .59 .65 Unusual thought content .47 Subjective cognitive change .34 .38 .38 .43 .32 Non-bizarre ideas .32 Perceptual abnormalities .32 Note. CAARMS = Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental State; EDIE-NL = Early Detection and Intervention Evaluation – Nederland; EDIT = Early Detection and Intervention Team. Items are sorted by decreasing size of the coefficients of the total sample. All loadings greater than .30 are reported; loadings greater than .50 are set in bold font; items that show the same co-aggregation pattern for the total sample and EDIE-NL are highlighted.
  • 15. 15 3.4. Component consistency Of the components extracted from the total sample, components II, III and IV had very strong correlations with a single component from the EDIE-NL sample (Pearson's r = .93, r = .92 and r = .89 respectively). Component I from the total sample correlated highly with both component I and V (both r = .68) from the EDIE- NL sample. Pearson's r coefficients for all components can be found on table 4. Table 4 Pearson's r correlations between the total sample (N=316) and EDIE-NL participants (N=201) EDIE-NL I II III IV V Total sample I .68** .21** -.12* -.22** .68** II .06 .93** .19** .14* -.16** III -.08* -.07 .92** .15* .29** IV -.11 -.04 .02 .89** .38** V .66** -.24** .19** .27** -.33** Note: EDIE-NL = Early Detection and Intervention Evaluation – Nederland. Correlations marked with * indicate p > .05, ** indicate P > .001, coefficients over .4 are shown in bold. 3.5. Associations with baseline variables Pearson‟s r coefficients were calculated between found components on the CAARMS and demographic and clinical relevant variables (see Table 5). Of the five components, Component I showed strong significant positive relationships with depression and negative illness appraisal and a moderate relationship with age, and a strong inverse relationship with social functioning. On the other components significant correlation coefficients were either weak, or negligible. Table 5 Pearson’s r correlations between CAARMS components and baseline variables (N=201) CAARMS Component I II III IV V Age .33** -.02 .18** .12* .11 SOFAS -.44** -.04 .15* .08 -.08 BDI-II .49** .07 .16* .20** .20** PBIQ-R .44** .00 .21** .21** .15* Note: CAARMS = Comprehensive Assessment of At-Risk Mental State; SOFAS = Social and Occupational Functioning Scale; BDI-II = Becks Depression Inventory – II; PBIQ-R = Personal Beliefs about Illness Questionnaire-Revised. Correlations marked with * indicate p > .05, ** indicate P > .001, coefficients over .4 are shown in bold.
  • 16. 16 4. Discussion 4.1. Main findings From the 28 items of the CAARMS intensity scores on the whole EDIE-NL (N=283) and EDIT sample (N=33), five components could be extracted by PCA. Of these components, four remained stable after validation on the components extracted from the EDIE-NL subsample (N=201). The components which remained stable included a "Depression" symptom-cluster (I) , a "Disorganization" symptom-cluster (II), a "Bodily-impairment" symptom-cluster (III) and a "Manic" symptom-cluster (IV). The fifth found symptom-clusters could be considered a "Schizo-affective" symptom-cluster. The “Schizo-affective” component however, was not found when analyzing the EDIE-NL sample (N=201) with PCA, instead being replaced by a component with high loadings on many of the items of the "Depression" symptom- cluster. Raballo and colleagues (2011) found a "negative-interpersonal” component, a “disorganized” component and a “perceptual-affective instability” component. These components showed similarities to several symptom-clusters found in this study, namely the "Depression" symptom-cluster, the "Disorganization" symptom-cluster and the "Manic" symptom-cluster respectively, with the “negative-interpersonal” component and the “Depression” component being nearly identical. Other studies based on the CAARMS (Demjaha, Valmaggia, Stahl, Byrne, & McGuire, 2012) or on the conceptually and clinically similar instrument, the Scale of Prodromal Symptoms (SOPS; Miller et al., 1999) also produced clear negative symptom-clusters, suggesting that it is a robust feature of the ARMS (Hawkins et al., 2004; Lemos et al., 2006). The “Disorganized” symptom-cluster also bears similarity Disorganization/cognitive dimension found by Demjaha and colleagues (2012). The main difference was the absence of a component including the items “Subjective complaints of motor-function impairment”, “Subjective complaints of impaired autonomic functioning” and “Subjective complaints of impaired bodily sensation” among the components found by Raballo and colleagues (2011). A finding of note, or rather a lack thereof was that no clear component with the positive symptoms was found. An explanation for why this study could not produce a positive component might be that the screening instrument used focused specifically on positive symptoms, and in fact inclusion is by definition based on the presence of
  • 17. 17 positive symptoms. As a result the variance on these three items may have been too low to produce a clear positive symptom-cluster. As the study of Raballo and colleagues (2011) also could not produce a positive component, they suggested that this might be due to the relative low amount of items measuring positive symptoms on the CAARMS, 3 items of the 28. When correlating the components to clinically relevant baseline variables, the strongest relations were found in the “Depression” component with depression and negative illness appraisal and a moderate relationship with age, and a strong inverse relationship with social functioning and a moderate inverse relationship with subjective health. While these relations are not unexpected with the “Depression” component, it is interesting to see that the other components have a weak or no relation with these variables, unlike Raballo and colleagues (2011) found on all of their components. 4.2. Limitations The first limitation of this study is that the stability of the components was tested by comparing the components of the total sample to a sub-part of the total sample instead of testing and retesting the whole sample. Because of this, the temporal stability of the components could not be assessed. While participants of the EDIE-NL trial were re-interviewed with the CAARMS at six-month intervals, a part of them received an intervention aimed at reducing ARMS symptoms, which would have confounded the results. Another limitation is that the Varimax rotation in the EDIE-NL subsample took 36 iterations to get a decent fit. As a general rule of thumb, any amount higher than 25 rotations means that interpretable results are questionable at best. An explanation for this could be that when using the Horn's parallel analysis method to explore the recommended amount of components on the EDIE-NL subsample, it suggested that six components instead of five components were recommended for the EDIE-NL subsample. However, this would have made comparisons with the five components of the total sample impossible and choosing six components over five on the total sample has no supporting theoretic arguments. A third limitation is that there was a significant age difference between the EDIT and EDIE-NL participants, with the EDIT participants being older on average. The difference in age can be explained because the Amsterdam and Leiden research
  • 18. 18 site included participants from 14 years and up, while the EDIT participants were included from age 18 and up. Taking into account that this study also found a significant positive correlation between age and the “Depression” component, this could have a confounding effect, skewing the component analysis of the complete sample towards the “Depression” component, when compared to the component analysis on the subsample. Finally a significant difference between ARMS groups between the EDIE-NL and EDIT samples was observed; the EDIT sample had relatively more “Trait” ARMS patients than the EDIE-NL sample. This can be explained due to the possibility for participants to fit into multiple categories, and the analysis only takes into account the most prominent category. For example a person with a first degree family member with a psychotic disorder who also exhibits sub-clinical symptoms themselves, would be placed in the “State” group first and in the “Trait” group second. 4.3. Strengths The main strength of this study is the use of the two-stepped screening method of recruiting participants in the majority of cases. As Rietdijk and colleagues (2012) have shown that the usual referral method has a higher rate of false negative ARMS patients compared to a two-stepped screening method. Therefore it can be argued that this sample is a better representation of the ARMS population, meaning that the found components should lie closer to the “true” underlying dimensions. Another strength of this study is the larger sample size compared to other studies. 223 participants in Raballo and colleagues (2011), 122 participants in Demjaha and colleagues (Demjaha et al., 2012) and 94 in Hawkins and colleagues (Hawkins et al., 2004) versus 316 participants in this study. 4.4. Conclusions In conclusion, this study found that the CAARMS interview has an underlying five-dimensional factor structure. With the symptom grouping bearing similarities to the groupings of comparable studies, this study provides further evidence for such an underlying dimensional structure of the CAARMS. However, the differences in the amount of components, and the emergence of entirely different components warrant further research into the dimensional structure of the CAARMS. Confirmatory factor analysis for example could provide more insight in a definite underlying dimensional
  • 19. 19 structure. The CAARMS is an excellent instrument to assess the subtleties of the psychotic spectrum in patients, and this study might prove a stepping-stone to a dimensional approach to assist in tailor-made treatments according to the clinical- staging model.
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