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Mix Telematics
Update: 18 MAY 2016
By Scott Morlan
Mix Telematics
• Based in South Africa
• SaaS Firm specializing in Fleet and Mobile Asset Mgmt
• Founded in 1996
• 1002 Employees
• 15 Offices serving 120 countries
• Listed on JSE Nov 2007
• IPO on NYSE Aug 2013
• Small Cap
Telematics
• GPS Tracking and data collection on commercial fleet and
personal vehicles
• Protects investment in vehicles and provides actionable insight
– Fuel and Operating Costs to Improve Efficiency
– Enhanced regulatory compliance
– Promotes driver safety
– Manages risk and mitigates theft
• Platform allows fleet managers to access historical and real time
data through mix technology platforms.
Solutions
Customers of Mix
Activity
Currency
Notable Events
• 2007 acq. OmniBridge
– S African, Intl
• 2008 acq. Tripmaster and Safe Drive
– Australia, UAE, US
– Broadened cust base, expanded safety and training solutions
• 2012 acq Intellichain
– Broadened transportation mgmt software functionality
• Oct 2015 closed deal with Halliburton for N.A. 15,000 veh fleet
• May 2016 announced buyback of 25.33% of shares @ 1.28% prem, from
Imperial Holdings Ltd.
Market Stats
• Fleet mgmt solutions market: Large, Growing, Under Penetrated
• 309M registered commercial vehicles globally
• Estimated growth to 390M vehicles by 2020
• Market Penetration 9.5%
• Non commercial – 38M vehicles in South Africa, Brazil
– Underpenetrated for Safety and Security Solutions
– Improved vehicle theft recovery rates and lower insurance rates
• Application beyond vehicles, to any mobile asset
The Good Stuff
• Mix has over 500,000 Vehicles subscribed
• 5,000 fleet operators, 600 large fleet operators
• Contracts 3-5 years, annual renewal, 90% retention rate
• Operating Margin 13.38% (5 year avg)
• Net Margin 10.37%(5 year avg)
• Price/Book 1.44
• ROIC 11.79% Wacc 11.42% (5 year avg)
• The future, autonomous vehicles, insurance industry
Revenue
Comps Analysis
Beta
DCF
Final Price
Sensitivity
Risks
• Loss of existing cust. or inability to attract new cust.
• Failure of solutions to achieve or maintain market acceptance
• IP Protection, Data Breach
• Actual or Threatened IP litigation against Mix
• Regulatory developments
• Key Personnel Loss
• ZAR / USD
Buy
Target: $6.54 Current: $4.57 Undervalued 43.02%
References:

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MIXT Pitch

  • 1. Mix Telematics Update: 18 MAY 2016 By Scott Morlan
  • 2. Mix Telematics • Based in South Africa • SaaS Firm specializing in Fleet and Mobile Asset Mgmt • Founded in 1996 • 1002 Employees • 15 Offices serving 120 countries • Listed on JSE Nov 2007 • IPO on NYSE Aug 2013 • Small Cap
  • 3. Telematics • GPS Tracking and data collection on commercial fleet and personal vehicles • Protects investment in vehicles and provides actionable insight – Fuel and Operating Costs to Improve Efficiency – Enhanced regulatory compliance – Promotes driver safety – Manages risk and mitigates theft • Platform allows fleet managers to access historical and real time data through mix technology platforms.
  • 6.
  • 9. Notable Events • 2007 acq. OmniBridge – S African, Intl • 2008 acq. Tripmaster and Safe Drive – Australia, UAE, US – Broadened cust base, expanded safety and training solutions • 2012 acq Intellichain – Broadened transportation mgmt software functionality • Oct 2015 closed deal with Halliburton for N.A. 15,000 veh fleet • May 2016 announced buyback of 25.33% of shares @ 1.28% prem, from Imperial Holdings Ltd.
  • 10. Market Stats • Fleet mgmt solutions market: Large, Growing, Under Penetrated • 309M registered commercial vehicles globally • Estimated growth to 390M vehicles by 2020 • Market Penetration 9.5% • Non commercial – 38M vehicles in South Africa, Brazil – Underpenetrated for Safety and Security Solutions – Improved vehicle theft recovery rates and lower insurance rates • Application beyond vehicles, to any mobile asset
  • 11. The Good Stuff • Mix has over 500,000 Vehicles subscribed • 5,000 fleet operators, 600 large fleet operators • Contracts 3-5 years, annual renewal, 90% retention rate • Operating Margin 13.38% (5 year avg) • Net Margin 10.37%(5 year avg) • Price/Book 1.44 • ROIC 11.79% Wacc 11.42% (5 year avg) • The future, autonomous vehicles, insurance industry
  • 14. Beta
  • 15. DCF
  • 18. Risks • Loss of existing cust. or inability to attract new cust. • Failure of solutions to achieve or maintain market acceptance • IP Protection, Data Breach • Actual or Threatened IP litigation against Mix • Regulatory developments • Key Personnel Loss • ZAR / USD
  • 19. Buy Target: $6.54 Current: $4.57 Undervalued 43.02%

Editor's Notes

  1. Low price to book, signal stock is possibly undervalued ROIC to Wacc company is doing a good job at using its money to generate returns effectively
  2. Hardware 2013 – 2015 revenue has decreased due to ZAR/USD (high cost) and technology improvement (on average -8.6% per year) Hardware 2014-2015 drop was due to a one time sale that was not replicated Subscribers, strong acquisition of new cust. Avg annual increase in subscribers 23% 2013-2015 Subscribers, project continued new acquisition at 2015 rate (13.8%) down to about 12 and eventually down to word GDP Subscription price currently around 160$ per year per vehicle, price has decreased on avg 5% per year, and with most technology we are expecting the price to continue to decrease per year at around 3%
  3. Timble Navigation – US Co. founded 1978 has fleet management telematics, also operates many other business segments Pointer Telelocation – Israel – business model very similar to Mix Novatel – US – similar telematics business, also competes in mobile hotspot industry
  4. We’ll talk about this more when it comes to sensitivity