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1 Research & Forecast Report | January 2015 | Colliers International
Office demand
doubled in 2014;
Prospects look
bright
Delhi witnessed approximately 1.18 million sq ft of lease
transactions during 2014, which is almost double the 2013
leasing of 0.6 million sq ft. The absorption was concentrated
in the submarkets of Okhla (24%), CBD (19%), Jasola (17%),
Saket (7%) and other locations such as Aero City, Vasant
Kunj, Mohan Corporative.
The IT/ITeS sector continued to have the highest share in
demand (44%), followed by BFSI (19%) and manufacturing
(11%).
This year, about 1.0 million sq ft of new supply was added to
the city’s Grade A commercial office space. Due to limited
additional supply and improved absorption levels, the city
vacancy has decreased marginally. The overall available
stock was reduced marginally to the tune of 2.2 million sq ft
from 2.7 million sq ft in 2013. The city will continue to have
restrained new supply in the next three years as only a few
projects are under construction in the city like Parsvnath’s
The Parsvnath 27 KG Marg, Infinia by RPS Developers and
NBCC Plaza; they are likely to add about 3.38 million sq ft
by the end of 2017. Another project that was launched in
2014, Vegas by Pratham Group at Dwarka Sector 14, will add
another 1.2 million sq ft to the city; however, the expected
completion of this project is 2019.
Despite improved absorption, rents in Delhi remained
stable on average, except Jasola, where rents rose by 2% YoY;
Connaught Place witnessed a 1% fall in rents YoY. Capital
values declined on average by 2% YoY across the micro-
markets due to restricted sales transactions in the city.
Rental Values
*Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month
**Connaught Place
***Netaji Subhash Place
MICRO MARKETS
RENTAL
VALUE*
% CHANGE
QoQ YoY
CBD** 185 - 450 4% -1%
Nehru Place 175 - 225 0% 0%
Saket 140 - 190 8% 0%
Jasola 95 - 130 7% 2%
NSP*** 65 - 75 0% 0%
Research &
Forecast Report
Delhi | Office
January 2015
City Office Barometer
INDICATORS 2014 2015
Vacancy
Absorption
Construction
Rental Value
Capital Value
2 Research & Forecast Report | January 2015 | Colliers International
In 2014, the city did not witness any major infrastructure
project completion; however, the state government has
announced Phase III of the Barapullah Bridge, which will
be built between the DND Flyway and Nizamuddin Bridge
and will connect the INA market with Mayur Vihar. Apart
from this, the government has also raised circle rates by
20% uniformly across the entire category A to H. These
rates were last revised in November 2012, when they were
hiked by more than 200%. The rationale for increasing circle
rates is to reduce the gap between the “going market rate”
at which transactions are occurring and the government
prescribed minimum value for registration of properties.
However, the rate increase cause few location having circle
rates more than the market rates as the location categories
formulated by the government cover large areas that do not
account for the substantial variance in prices within each of
the area categories. Sales transactions were reduced in the
period after the last rate hike.
Trends to watch for in 2015:
The Delhi office market is now in recovery mode after the
general elections. Improved tenant demand from the IT/
ITeS and BFSI sectors has mitigated much of the vacancy
risk. The expected completion of about 1.5 million sq ft of
new Grade A office space in 2015 will help to maintain the
supply and demand equilibrium in the market. As a result,
we do not expect much change in current vacancy levels.
Overall rents will remain stable; however, due to limited
supply, quality buildings will continue to fetch premium
above-market rates.
Source: Colliers International
Top 5 Transactions of 2014
Key Under Construction Projects
CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SF) LOCATION LEASE / SALE
Snapdeal
Independent Building -
A-28
115,000 Mohan Co-operative Lease
GodFrey Philips Omaxe Square 77,610 Jasola Lease
VFS Global Bharti World Mark 70,000 Aero City Lease
Moser Baer Okhla Phase 3 70,000 Okhla Lease
Mankind Pharmaceuticals DLF Prime Tower 54,000 Okhla Lease
BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SF) LOCATION POSSESSION
NBCC Plaza NBCC 1,300,000 Kidwai Nagar 2016
RPS Infinia RPS Developer 1,000,000 Mathura Road 2015
NBCC Plaza NBCC 350,000 Okhla 2015
Average Rental And Capital Value Trend
250
300
30,000
35,000
40,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
200
150
100
50
0
Notes:
1. Office Market: The commercial areas in New Delhi can be broadly classified into the CBD (Connaught Place), SBD Nehru Place, Bhikaji Cama Place, Netaji Subhash Place, Jasola
and Saket .
2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space.
3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter.
5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2014.
Forecast
New Supply (In Mln sqft) Absorption(In Mln sqft)
New Supply And Absorption Trends
2
2
1
1
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
RentalValuesINRPersqftPerMonth
CapitalValuesINRPersqft
About Colliers International
colliers.com
63 countries on
6 continents
United States: 146
Canada: 44
Latin America: 25
186
EMEA: 84
$2.1
billion in
annual revenue
1.46
billion square feet
under management
15,800
professionals
Primary Authors:
Surabhi Arora
Associate Director | Research
+91 124 456 7500
surabhi.arora@colliers.com
Sachin Sharma
Assistant Manager | Research
Amit Oberoi I National Director
Valuation & Advisory Services & Research
For Office Services:
Vikas Kalia
National Director | Office Services
Vikas.kalia@colliers.com
Colliers International
Technopolis Building, 1st Floor, DLF Golf Course Road,
Sector 54 | Gurgaon - 122002 | India
485

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Delhi Office Market Overview Jan 2015

  • 1. 1 Research & Forecast Report | January 2015 | Colliers International Office demand doubled in 2014; Prospects look bright Delhi witnessed approximately 1.18 million sq ft of lease transactions during 2014, which is almost double the 2013 leasing of 0.6 million sq ft. The absorption was concentrated in the submarkets of Okhla (24%), CBD (19%), Jasola (17%), Saket (7%) and other locations such as Aero City, Vasant Kunj, Mohan Corporative. The IT/ITeS sector continued to have the highest share in demand (44%), followed by BFSI (19%) and manufacturing (11%). This year, about 1.0 million sq ft of new supply was added to the city’s Grade A commercial office space. Due to limited additional supply and improved absorption levels, the city vacancy has decreased marginally. The overall available stock was reduced marginally to the tune of 2.2 million sq ft from 2.7 million sq ft in 2013. The city will continue to have restrained new supply in the next three years as only a few projects are under construction in the city like Parsvnath’s The Parsvnath 27 KG Marg, Infinia by RPS Developers and NBCC Plaza; they are likely to add about 3.38 million sq ft by the end of 2017. Another project that was launched in 2014, Vegas by Pratham Group at Dwarka Sector 14, will add another 1.2 million sq ft to the city; however, the expected completion of this project is 2019. Despite improved absorption, rents in Delhi remained stable on average, except Jasola, where rents rose by 2% YoY; Connaught Place witnessed a 1% fall in rents YoY. Capital values declined on average by 2% YoY across the micro- markets due to restricted sales transactions in the city. Rental Values *Indicative Grade A rents in INR per sq ft per month **Connaught Place ***Netaji Subhash Place MICRO MARKETS RENTAL VALUE* % CHANGE QoQ YoY CBD** 185 - 450 4% -1% Nehru Place 175 - 225 0% 0% Saket 140 - 190 8% 0% Jasola 95 - 130 7% 2% NSP*** 65 - 75 0% 0% Research & Forecast Report Delhi | Office January 2015 City Office Barometer INDICATORS 2014 2015 Vacancy Absorption Construction Rental Value Capital Value
  • 2. 2 Research & Forecast Report | January 2015 | Colliers International In 2014, the city did not witness any major infrastructure project completion; however, the state government has announced Phase III of the Barapullah Bridge, which will be built between the DND Flyway and Nizamuddin Bridge and will connect the INA market with Mayur Vihar. Apart from this, the government has also raised circle rates by 20% uniformly across the entire category A to H. These rates were last revised in November 2012, when they were hiked by more than 200%. The rationale for increasing circle rates is to reduce the gap between the “going market rate” at which transactions are occurring and the government prescribed minimum value for registration of properties. However, the rate increase cause few location having circle rates more than the market rates as the location categories formulated by the government cover large areas that do not account for the substantial variance in prices within each of the area categories. Sales transactions were reduced in the period after the last rate hike. Trends to watch for in 2015: The Delhi office market is now in recovery mode after the general elections. Improved tenant demand from the IT/ ITeS and BFSI sectors has mitigated much of the vacancy risk. The expected completion of about 1.5 million sq ft of new Grade A office space in 2015 will help to maintain the supply and demand equilibrium in the market. As a result, we do not expect much change in current vacancy levels. Overall rents will remain stable; however, due to limited supply, quality buildings will continue to fetch premium above-market rates. Source: Colliers International Top 5 Transactions of 2014 Key Under Construction Projects CLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA (SF) LOCATION LEASE / SALE Snapdeal Independent Building - A-28 115,000 Mohan Co-operative Lease GodFrey Philips Omaxe Square 77,610 Jasola Lease VFS Global Bharti World Mark 70,000 Aero City Lease Moser Baer Okhla Phase 3 70,000 Okhla Lease Mankind Pharmaceuticals DLF Prime Tower 54,000 Okhla Lease BUILDING NAME DEVELOPER AREA (SF) LOCATION POSSESSION NBCC Plaza NBCC 1,300,000 Kidwai Nagar 2016 RPS Infinia RPS Developer 1,000,000 Mathura Road 2015 NBCC Plaza NBCC 350,000 Okhla 2015 Average Rental And Capital Value Trend 250 300 30,000 35,000 40,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 200 150 100 50 0 Notes: 1. Office Market: The commercial areas in New Delhi can be broadly classified into the CBD (Connaught Place), SBD Nehru Place, Bhikaji Cama Place, Netaji Subhash Place, Jasola and Saket . 2. Rents/Capital Value: Market average of indicative asking price for Grade A office space. 3. Available Supply: Total Grade A office space being marketed for sale or lease in surveyed quarter. 4. City Barometer: Represents increase, decrease or stable scenario; as compared to previous quarter. 5. All the figures in the report is based on market information as on 25th December 2014. Forecast New Supply (In Mln sqft) Absorption(In Mln sqft) New Supply And Absorption Trends 2 2 1 1 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 RentalValuesINRPersqftPerMonth CapitalValuesINRPersqft
  • 3. About Colliers International colliers.com 63 countries on 6 continents United States: 146 Canada: 44 Latin America: 25 186 EMEA: 84 $2.1 billion in annual revenue 1.46 billion square feet under management 15,800 professionals Primary Authors: Surabhi Arora Associate Director | Research +91 124 456 7500 surabhi.arora@colliers.com Sachin Sharma Assistant Manager | Research Amit Oberoi I National Director Valuation & Advisory Services & Research For Office Services: Vikas Kalia National Director | Office Services Vikas.kalia@colliers.com Colliers International Technopolis Building, 1st Floor, DLF Golf Course Road, Sector 54 | Gurgaon - 122002 | India 485