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SEB Annual Accounts 2016
Annika Falkengren
President & CEO
Highlights 2016
Lower interest rates for longer and
market uncertainty
Robust capital position and
strong asset quality
Pick up in customer activity
towards the end of the year
2
Profit & Loss, (SEK m) FY 2016 FY 2015 % FY 2016 FY 2015 %
Total Operating income 43,251 44,665 -3 43,771 43,763 0
Total Operating expenses -21,812 -21,802 0 -27,761 -21,802 27
Profit before credit losses 21,439 22,863 -6 16,010 21,961 -27
Net credit losses etc. -1,143 -1,096 4 -1,143 -1,096 4
Operating profit 20,296 21,767 -7 14,867 20,865 -29
Underlying Reported
3
Proposed dividend per share Common Equity Tier 1 Return on Equity**
Key financials
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20162011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
SEK 5.50* 18.8% 11.3%
Financial summary
* Proposal to the AGM
** Note: Excluding items affecting comparability: Swiss withholding tax of SEK -0.9bn in 2015, SEB Baltic Visa transaction of SEK
+0.5bn and goodwill impairments and restructuring activities of SEK -5.9bn in 2016
Profit and loss (SEK m)
4
4.8 4.6
2.0
0.2
Net interest income Net fees and commissions Net financial income Net other income
45%
38%
15%
2%
Operating income by type, Q4 2016 vs. Q3 2016 (SEK bn)
Q3-16Q4-16
Income distribution 2016*
Q3-16Q4-16 Q3-16Q4-16 Q3-16Q4-16
% Q4-15 %
Total Operating income 11,618 10,795 8 11,280 3
Total Operating expenses -5,709 -5,355 7 -5,478 4
Profit before credit losses 5,909 5,440 9 5,802 2
Net credit losses etc. -351 -211 66 -297 18
Operating profit 5,558 5,229 6 5,505 1
Q4-16 Q3-16
Financial summary
* Excluding item affecting comparability: SEB Baltic Visa transaction of SEK +0.5bn
Net interest income development
SEK bn, excl. item affecting comparability
5
Excluding SEK -82m Swiss withholding tax in Q2 2015.
Net interest income
2016 vs. 2015
19.0 18.7
2015 2016
Net interest income type
Q4 2014 – Q4 2016
4.3 4.4 5.2
Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16
0.4 0.4
0.2
Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16
0.3
-0.1 -0.6
Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16
Deposits
Funding & other
Lending
Net fee and commission income development
SEK bn
6
18.3
16.6
2015 2016
Net fee and commissions
2016 vs. 2015
0.4 0.4 0.4
Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16
2.1 2.0 2.0
Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16
2.9 2.6 2.6
Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16
Custody and mutual funds
Payments, cards, lending, deposits & guarantees
Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives
0.8 0.7 1.1
Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16
Gross fee and commissions by income type
Q4 2014 – Q4 2016
Life insurance fees
Net financial income development
SEK bn, excl. item affecting comparability
Reduced volatility
10
20
30
40
Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16
7
VIX S&P 500 volatility
Excluding SEK -820m Swiss withholding tax in Q2 2015.
6.3
7.1
2015 2016
0.8
1.7 1.8
1.2
1.6
1.4
1.7 1.9 2.0
Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16
Net financial income
2016 vs. 2015
Net financial income development
Q4 2014 – Q4 2016
VIX S&P 500 volatility
Operating leverage
Excluding items affecting comparability
Average quarterly income (SEK bn)
9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 10.9 11.2 10.8
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016
Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn)
5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.5
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016
Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn)
Excluding items affecting comparability (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and Euroline in 2014,
Swiss withholding tax in 2015, Goodwill impairment, other one-off cost items and SEB Baltic VISA transaction in 2016) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010
3.4 3.5 4.1 4.8 5.5 5.7 5.4
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016
8
10.9
9.5
FY 2015 FY 2016
Large Corporates & Financial Institutions
Operating profit & key figures*
Corporate & Private Customers
Operating profit & key figures
RoBE 11.7% (12.6)
Business Equity,
SEK bn 62.4 (66.4)
• Positive market sentiment and increased
customer activity towards the end of 2016
• No.1 rank in customer satisfaction Nordic region
• Strong fourth quarter, op.profit +31% Q-o-Q
7.3 7.3
FY 2015 FY 2016
RoBE 15.2% (14.7)
Business Equity,
SEK bn 37.3 (38.1)
• 15 per cent market share in SME segment
• Digital offering enhanced
• Best Private Banking provider in Sweden,
Nordics & Baltics
9
SEK bn SEK bn
*Excluding items affecting comparability
Baltic Banking
Operating profit & key figures*
Life & Investment Management
Operating profit & key figures
1.6 1.7
FY 2015 FY 2016
RoBE 20.1% (18.6)
Business Equity,
SEK bn 7.6 (7.5)
SEK bn
3.1 3.2
FY 2015 FY 2016
RoBE 23.5% (30.3)
Business Equity,
SEK bn 11.6 (8.7)
SEK bn
• Holistic savings offering incl traditional insurance
with increasing market share in Sweden
• No.1 in fund performance
by Morningstar
10
• Higher lending demand in all countries
• Digital offering enhanced
• Best Bank (The banker)
*Excluding items affecting comparability
Corporate franchise continues to expand in all markets
11
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
Dec
'09
Dec
'10
Dec
'11
Dec
'12
Dec
'13
Dec
'14
Dec
'15
Dec
'16
Sector QoQ YTD
Corporates* 2% 10%
Prop mgmt 1% 13%
* Green dotted line is FX-adjusted
Increased customer satisfaction and market share
1
Financial
Institutions
Nordic Customer Satisfaction rating
Large
Corporates
Credit portfolio by sector (SEK bn)
1
SME market share, Sweden
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
LC & FI Nordic corporate &
property management
C & PC Corporate & property
management
751
824
2015 2016
247
283
2015 2016
+10% +15%
Source: SCB, December 2016
15%
From To
IT development portfolio
Transformation initiatives during 2016
12
Tink
Youth App
Aida,
virtual AI-agent
Then Now
Digital signing Ripple – internal
blockchain pilot
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
"Trygghetsplaneraren"
Forward
Investor World,
Enhanced Web-based
Custody offering
2016
(SEK bn) 2009 2015 2016
Non-performing loans 28.6bn 8.0bn 7.6bn
NPL coverage ratio 65% 62% 63%
Net credit loss level 0.92% 0.06% 0.07%
Customer deposits 750bn 884bn 962bn
Liquidity resources >10% ~25% ~25%
Liquidity coverage ratio N.A. 128% 168%
CET 1 ratio (Basel 3) 11.7% 18.8% 18.8%
Total capital ratio (Basel 3) 14.7% 23.8% 24.8%
Leverage ratio (Basel 3) N.A. 4.9% 5.1%
Strong asset quality and balance sheet
Asset
quality
Fundingand
liquidity
Capital
Basel 2.5
Basel 2.5
13
14
World-class service
Digitisation
Next generation
competences
Continue to grow in the
Nordics and Germany
Full focus on Swedish
businesses
Savings & pension
growth
Focus on growth and transformation continues
15
~27
Large Corporates
& Fin. Institutions
Corporate &
Private Customers
Life & IM Baltic
~21
+7% +10% +5% +8%
2015 2018
Operating profit CAGR (2015-2018)
Recap of what we said last year…
RoE ∼ 14 %
CET1 ∼ 18 %
I L L U S T R A T I V E
SEK bn
~27
Large Corporates
& Fin. Institutions
Corporate &
Private Customers
Life & IM Baltic
~21
+7% +10% +5% +8%
2015 2018
Operating profit CAGR (2015-2018)
RoE ∼ 14 %
CET1 ∼ 18 %
I L L U S T R A T I V E
I L L U S T R A T I V E
~21
2015 2018
Growth and efficiency even in a flat interest rate environment
and the known headwinds…
16
2016Growth &
efficiency
Headwind
~20+1.5-2.5
SEK bn
Financial targets
17
Long-term aspiration
RoE 15%
Dividend pay-out
ratio 40% or above
Common Equity Tier 1
with ~150bps buffer
RoE competitive
with peers
The journey to world-class service continues
18
Continued disciplined execution
Increased emphasis on resilience and long-term
perspective in challenging economic climate
Focus on meeting changing
customer behaviour

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SEB's fourth-quarter 2016 results

  • 1. SEB Annual Accounts 2016 Annika Falkengren President & CEO
  • 2. Highlights 2016 Lower interest rates for longer and market uncertainty Robust capital position and strong asset quality Pick up in customer activity towards the end of the year 2
  • 3. Profit & Loss, (SEK m) FY 2016 FY 2015 % FY 2016 FY 2015 % Total Operating income 43,251 44,665 -3 43,771 43,763 0 Total Operating expenses -21,812 -21,802 0 -27,761 -21,802 27 Profit before credit losses 21,439 22,863 -6 16,010 21,961 -27 Net credit losses etc. -1,143 -1,096 4 -1,143 -1,096 4 Operating profit 20,296 21,767 -7 14,867 20,865 -29 Underlying Reported 3 Proposed dividend per share Common Equity Tier 1 Return on Equity** Key financials 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 20162011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 SEK 5.50* 18.8% 11.3% Financial summary * Proposal to the AGM ** Note: Excluding items affecting comparability: Swiss withholding tax of SEK -0.9bn in 2015, SEB Baltic Visa transaction of SEK +0.5bn and goodwill impairments and restructuring activities of SEK -5.9bn in 2016
  • 4. Profit and loss (SEK m) 4 4.8 4.6 2.0 0.2 Net interest income Net fees and commissions Net financial income Net other income 45% 38% 15% 2% Operating income by type, Q4 2016 vs. Q3 2016 (SEK bn) Q3-16Q4-16 Income distribution 2016* Q3-16Q4-16 Q3-16Q4-16 Q3-16Q4-16 % Q4-15 % Total Operating income 11,618 10,795 8 11,280 3 Total Operating expenses -5,709 -5,355 7 -5,478 4 Profit before credit losses 5,909 5,440 9 5,802 2 Net credit losses etc. -351 -211 66 -297 18 Operating profit 5,558 5,229 6 5,505 1 Q4-16 Q3-16 Financial summary * Excluding item affecting comparability: SEB Baltic Visa transaction of SEK +0.5bn
  • 5. Net interest income development SEK bn, excl. item affecting comparability 5 Excluding SEK -82m Swiss withholding tax in Q2 2015. Net interest income 2016 vs. 2015 19.0 18.7 2015 2016 Net interest income type Q4 2014 – Q4 2016 4.3 4.4 5.2 Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16 0.4 0.4 0.2 Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16 0.3 -0.1 -0.6 Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16 Deposits Funding & other Lending
  • 6. Net fee and commission income development SEK bn 6 18.3 16.6 2015 2016 Net fee and commissions 2016 vs. 2015 0.4 0.4 0.4 Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16 2.1 2.0 2.0 Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16 2.9 2.6 2.6 Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16 Custody and mutual funds Payments, cards, lending, deposits & guarantees Advisory, secondary markets and derivatives 0.8 0.7 1.1 Q4-14 Q4-15 Q4-16 Gross fee and commissions by income type Q4 2014 – Q4 2016 Life insurance fees
  • 7. Net financial income development SEK bn, excl. item affecting comparability Reduced volatility 10 20 30 40 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 7 VIX S&P 500 volatility Excluding SEK -820m Swiss withholding tax in Q2 2015. 6.3 7.1 2015 2016 0.8 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.0 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 Q1-16 Q2-16 Q3-16 Q4-16 Net financial income 2016 vs. 2015 Net financial income development Q4 2014 – Q4 2016 VIX S&P 500 volatility
  • 8. Operating leverage Excluding items affecting comparability Average quarterly income (SEK bn) 9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 10.9 11.2 10.8 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016 Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn) 5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.5 5.5 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016 Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn) Excluding items affecting comparability (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and Euroline in 2014, Swiss withholding tax in 2015, Goodwill impairment, other one-off cost items and SEB Baltic VISA transaction in 2016) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010 3.4 3.5 4.1 4.8 5.5 5.7 5.4 Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014 Avg 2015 Avg 2016 8
  • 9. 10.9 9.5 FY 2015 FY 2016 Large Corporates & Financial Institutions Operating profit & key figures* Corporate & Private Customers Operating profit & key figures RoBE 11.7% (12.6) Business Equity, SEK bn 62.4 (66.4) • Positive market sentiment and increased customer activity towards the end of 2016 • No.1 rank in customer satisfaction Nordic region • Strong fourth quarter, op.profit +31% Q-o-Q 7.3 7.3 FY 2015 FY 2016 RoBE 15.2% (14.7) Business Equity, SEK bn 37.3 (38.1) • 15 per cent market share in SME segment • Digital offering enhanced • Best Private Banking provider in Sweden, Nordics & Baltics 9 SEK bn SEK bn *Excluding items affecting comparability
  • 10. Baltic Banking Operating profit & key figures* Life & Investment Management Operating profit & key figures 1.6 1.7 FY 2015 FY 2016 RoBE 20.1% (18.6) Business Equity, SEK bn 7.6 (7.5) SEK bn 3.1 3.2 FY 2015 FY 2016 RoBE 23.5% (30.3) Business Equity, SEK bn 11.6 (8.7) SEK bn • Holistic savings offering incl traditional insurance with increasing market share in Sweden • No.1 in fund performance by Morningstar 10 • Higher lending demand in all countries • Digital offering enhanced • Best Bank (The banker) *Excluding items affecting comparability
  • 11. Corporate franchise continues to expand in all markets 11 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 Dec '09 Dec '10 Dec '11 Dec '12 Dec '13 Dec '14 Dec '15 Dec '16 Sector QoQ YTD Corporates* 2% 10% Prop mgmt 1% 13% * Green dotted line is FX-adjusted Increased customer satisfaction and market share 1 Financial Institutions Nordic Customer Satisfaction rating Large Corporates Credit portfolio by sector (SEK bn) 1 SME market share, Sweden 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 LC & FI Nordic corporate & property management C & PC Corporate & property management 751 824 2015 2016 247 283 2015 2016 +10% +15% Source: SCB, December 2016 15%
  • 12. From To IT development portfolio Transformation initiatives during 2016 12 Tink Youth App Aida, virtual AI-agent Then Now Digital signing Ripple – internal blockchain pilot Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 "Trygghetsplaneraren" Forward Investor World, Enhanced Web-based Custody offering 2016
  • 13. (SEK bn) 2009 2015 2016 Non-performing loans 28.6bn 8.0bn 7.6bn NPL coverage ratio 65% 62% 63% Net credit loss level 0.92% 0.06% 0.07% Customer deposits 750bn 884bn 962bn Liquidity resources >10% ~25% ~25% Liquidity coverage ratio N.A. 128% 168% CET 1 ratio (Basel 3) 11.7% 18.8% 18.8% Total capital ratio (Basel 3) 14.7% 23.8% 24.8% Leverage ratio (Basel 3) N.A. 4.9% 5.1% Strong asset quality and balance sheet Asset quality Fundingand liquidity Capital Basel 2.5 Basel 2.5 13
  • 14. 14 World-class service Digitisation Next generation competences Continue to grow in the Nordics and Germany Full focus on Swedish businesses Savings & pension growth Focus on growth and transformation continues
  • 15. 15 ~27 Large Corporates & Fin. Institutions Corporate & Private Customers Life & IM Baltic ~21 +7% +10% +5% +8% 2015 2018 Operating profit CAGR (2015-2018) Recap of what we said last year… RoE ∼ 14 % CET1 ∼ 18 % I L L U S T R A T I V E SEK bn
  • 16. ~27 Large Corporates & Fin. Institutions Corporate & Private Customers Life & IM Baltic ~21 +7% +10% +5% +8% 2015 2018 Operating profit CAGR (2015-2018) RoE ∼ 14 % CET1 ∼ 18 % I L L U S T R A T I V E I L L U S T R A T I V E ~21 2015 2018 Growth and efficiency even in a flat interest rate environment and the known headwinds… 16 2016Growth & efficiency Headwind ~20+1.5-2.5 SEK bn
  • 17. Financial targets 17 Long-term aspiration RoE 15% Dividend pay-out ratio 40% or above Common Equity Tier 1 with ~150bps buffer RoE competitive with peers
  • 18. The journey to world-class service continues 18 Continued disciplined execution Increased emphasis on resilience and long-term perspective in challenging economic climate Focus on meeting changing customer behaviour