SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 15
Download to read offline
1
Factors Influencing Dividend Payout in Indonesia:
A Tobit Regression Analysis
Romario
Trisakti School Of Management
Kyai Tapa Street 20, Grogol, Jakarta, 11440, Indonesia
E-mail: hasugian_romario@yahoo.com
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to determine the factors that influence the
dividend payout ratio in real estate and property firms listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange
(IDX) during the year 2009 to 2014. Using the Tobit Regression analysis, results of this study
proves that profitability and firm size positively affected the dividend payout ratio.
Furthermore, this study proves that liquidity, financial leverage, sales growth, business risk,
and investment opportunities insignificantly related to diviend payout ratio. Results of this
study useful for investors to allocate funds optimally by considering the dividend payout ratio
in order to improve the wealth of the investors. This study can help financial managers to
make decisions related to dividend payout ratio to be paid with the aim of generating greater
profits for the owners of the firm and also for the benefit of stakeholders. This study may also
help the development of financial study as well as a reference for other researchers to study
in the future.
Keywords: Dividend payout ratio, Profitability, Liquidity, Financial leverage, Sales growth,
Business risk, Investment opportunities, Firm size, Tobit regression, Indonesia
JEL Classification: G32, G35
1. Introduction
The global financial crisis in 2008 has affected economies around the world, including
Indonesia. After the global financial crisis of 2008, the yield on money market instruments
are also likely to fall, seen from the deposit rates are low and difficult to keep up with
inflation. Data from Central Bureau of Indonesia Statistics (BPS), noted that inflation in 2014
has reached 8.36%. Investors should consider the investment alternatives that can provide a
yield above inflation, even providing optimal benefits for the investors, that is capital market.
Statistically, Indonesia Stock Exchange recorded the average rate of return (yield) of the
stock investments in Indonesia from 2009 to 2014 amounted to 16.85%. The yield is much
higher than the yield on government bonds at 7.36%, gold 4.81% and deposits 6.95%. The
2
amount of yield stocks investments in Indonesia are also able to attract foreign investors to
invest in Indonesia capital market. Recorded throughout 2014, the amount of cash flow of
foreign capital has reached Rp49,70 trillion. Indonesia Stock Exchange record, after the
financial crisis of 2008 set to 2014, the total foreign investor has invested funds worth Rp
103.50 trillion in the Indonesia capital market, thus important for capital market investors to
understand the dividend payout ratio as an indicator of stock’s yield.
Dividend policy is still a topic that is debated until this day. There are two groups of
researchers who argue that very contradictory. The first group said the firms should not pay
dividend, while the second group stated that the firm should pay the dividend optimally. The
group that claimed the firm should not pay dividend ie: Miller and Modigliani (1961)
proposed M & M theory of dividend irrelevance. They stated that the value of the firm and
shareholder value does not relate to the payment of dividend in a perfect capital market.
Litzenberger and Ramaswamy (1979) also reject the dividend payment through the theory of
tax preferences, they believe that the cost of the dividend payment reduces the wealth of
investors due to tax effects. Therefore, investors prefer capital gains than dividends because it
can delay tax payment (Brennan, 1970; Elton & Gruber, 1970; Kalay, 1982; John &
Williams, 1985; Miller & Rock, 1985).
Other research groups that support the payment of dividend, consists: Gordon (1959) and
Lintner (1956) proposed the bird-in-the-hand theory in which investors prefer dividends than
capital gains, to reduce the risk. This is because the value of dividend paid today is more
definite than the capital gains in the future. As a result, the higher the value of the shares if
the value of the higher dividend paid. Bhattacharya (1979), Miller and Rock (1985), John and
Williams (1985), Ambarish et al. (1987). also argued signaling theory, they states that the
dividends is a signal (sign) to investors that the firm's management predicts a good income in
the future. If an increase in the dividends, the capital market investors assume that the firm
able to generating higher earnings than before, so investors are willing to buy shares at a high
price. This had a positive impact for the firm, likely the increase in value of the firm so that it
is easier to obtain external financing. Besides the payment of dividends is also able to prevent
corporate managers using firm’s profits to investments that do not benefit shareholders,
supporting the explanation of agency theory (Jensen and Meckling, 1976).
In addition of two groups researchers above, there is still a group of researchers who state
that the dividend payment depends on investor demand. According clientele effect (Pettit,
1977), different group (Clientele) shareholders will have different preferences on dividend
policy. Baker and Wurgler (2004) suggested catering theory of dividends, the firm pays the
dividends to investors depend on dividend premium, as measured by differences in market-
to-book (M / B) ratio among firms that pay dividends to firms that do not pay dividends.
This study will analyze the factors that affect the dividend payout ratio by using
profitability, liquidity, financial leverage, sales growth, business risk, investment
opportunities and firm size as independent variables. The object of this study is real estate
and property firms listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during 2009-2014, because:
3
First, real estate and property firms are also part of the real estate, property and building
construction sector in IDX. Data from IDX indicate that real estate and property sector is
experiencing the highest increase in EPS compared to other sectors, it’s 8.67 times in 2009
compared to 2008, as well as consistent EPS increased since the global financial crisis of
2008. This indicates that the real estate and property firms is very worthy of investment
options in the capital market.
Table 1. EPS Based on IDX Sector 2008-2014
unit: in Rupiah
NO Sector 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1 AGRICULTURE 262 296 419 194 169 89 144
2 MINING 280 208 286 484 258 99 66
3
BASIC INDUSTRY AND
CHEMICALS 201 238 212 243 220 92 172
4 MISCELLANEOUS INDUSTRY -768 -52 191 728 -125 149 96
5
CONSUMER GOODS
INDUSTRY 4,753 5,845 4,552 5,679 5,377 11,117 5,392
6
PROPERTY, REAL ESTATE AND
BUILDING CONSTRUCTION 3 26 50 64 83 113 326
7
INFRASTRUCTURE, UTILITIES
& TRANSPORTATION 74 11 40 91 144 62 117
8 FINANCE 68 85 129 118 162 134 131
9
TRADE, SERVICES &
INVESTMENT 38 61 87 87 159 62 205
Source: Indonesia Stock Exchange
Second, real estate and property is a very promising field and supports the development in
Indonesia. Based on data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), Indonesia has a great
potential which is a population of 237.641.326 inhabitants in 2010 and is projected to have
252.164.800 inhabitants in 2014. However, data from the Central Bureau of Statistics during
2009-2014 showed that a decline in the ratio of home ownership, that is 79.36% in 2009,
78% in 2010, 78.77% in 2011, 80.18% in 2012, 79.47% in 2013 and 78.97% in 2014. Based
this informations, we know that more households and residents who have not home
ownership, if not immediately addressed the backlog (the imbalance between the need to
availability of home) will be even greater.
2.1 Literature Review
There are various theories that discussed the dividend policy. Fabozzi (2010) mentions 5
theories, that is: The dividend irrelevance theory , the “bird in the hand” theory, theory of tax-
preference, the signaling theory, and the agency explanation. Besides, Pettit (1977) proposed
clientele effect theory, Baker and Wurgler (2004) also suggests catering theory of dividend.
4
2.1.1. M & M theory of dividend irrelevance
Dividend irrelevance theory is Miller and Modigliani’s theory that in a perfect market, the
firm’s value is only determined by the earning power and risk of its assests (investments) and
that the manner in which firm splits its earnings stream between dividends and internally
retained (and reinvested) funds are not affect the firm’s value (Gitman, 2015).
Some have argued that the dividend policy has no effect on the firm's stock price as well
as to the cost of capital. If the dividend policy does not have significant influence, then it is
not relevant. According to Modigliani and Miller (1961) states that: "The value of a company
is not determined by the size of the dividend payout ratio (DPR), but is determined by the net
income before taxes (EBIT) and the company's risk class".
So according to the Modigliani and Miller (1961), the dividend is not relevant. Modigliani
and Miller's statement was based on several assumptions like: perfect capital market where
all investors are rational, no new share issuance costs if the firm issuing new shares, no tax,
the firm's investment policy has not changed. While in practice: perfect capital markets are
difficult to find, a new stock issuance costs must exist, there must be a tax, the firm's
investment policy is unlikely unchanged.
2.1.2. Theory of bird-in-the-hand
Theory of bird in the hand is the belief, in support of dividend relevance theory, that
investors see current dividends as less risky than future dividends or capital gains (Gitman,
2015).
The theory states that investors prefer dividends because cash in hand is more valuable
than wealth in other forms. Consequently the firm's stock price, according to Gordon (1959)
and Lintner (1956) stated that the firm's cost of capital will be largely determined by the
amount of the dividends. Thus, the higher the dividend, the higher the value of the firm. The
assumption that firms do not care how many dividend payment.
But Modigliani and Miller (1961) considered that Gordon (1959) and Lintner (1956)
argument’s is a mistake. Modigliani and Miller used the term "the bird in the hand fallacy"
which he said is ultimately investors will reinvest dividends received on the same firm or
firms that have almost the same risk.
2.1.3. Theory of tax-preference
The theory put forward by Litzenberger and Ramaswamy (1979) that if dividends are
taxed at a higher amount than the tax on capital gains, investors want the dividends are
distributed in small quantities with a purpose to maximizing the value of the company.
The tax preference theory claims that investors prefer lower payout firms for tax reasons
,long-term capital gains allow the investor to delay tax payment until they decide to sell the
stock. Because of time value of money effects, tax paid immediately has a higher cost than
the same tax paid in the future (Brennan, 1970; Elton and Gruber, 1970; Litzenberger and
5
Ramaswamy, 1979; Litzenberger and Ramaswamy, 1982; Kalay, 1982; John and Williams,
1985; Miller and Rock, 1985; Ambarish et al., 1987).
2.1.4. Signaling theory
Dividend signaling theory was first proposed by Bhattacharya (1979). Dividend signaling
theory has been an underlying assumption that announcement about changes of cash
dividends have the information content of stock price reaction. This theory explains that the
information about cash dividends, beneficial to the investor as a signal of the firm's prospects
for the future. This assumption is due to the presence of asymmetric information between
managers and investors, so investors using dividend policy as a signal about the firm's
prospects. Increase in the dividends will be considered as a positive signal, which means the
firm has good prospects, giving to positive share price reaction. Conversely, if there is a
decrease of dividends will be considered as a negative signal, which means the firm has a
prospect that is not so good, giving to negative stock price reaction.
2.1.5. The agency explanation
The relation between the owners and the managers of a company is an agency
relationship: The owners are the principals and the managers are the agents. Management is
charged with acting in the best interests of the owners. Nevertheless, there are possibilities for
conflicts between the interests of the two (Fabozzi, 2010). Easterbrook (1984), Jensen (1986)
state that if the firm pays a dividends, funds are paid out to shareholders. If the firm needs
additional funds, it could be raised by issuing new securities; in this event, shareholders
wishing to reinvest the funds received as dividends in the firm could buy these new securities.
One view of the role of dividends is that the payment of dividends therefore reduces the cash
flow in the hands of management, reducing the possibility that managers will invest funds in
unprofitable investment opportunities.
2.1.6. Clientele effect
According to Gitman (2015), clientele effect is the argument that different payout policies
attract different types of investors but still do not change the value of the firm.
According to the clientele effect (Pettit, 1977), the different group (clientele) of
shareholders will have different preferences on dividend policy. Group of shareholders who
need income now more like a dividend payout ratio (DPR) is high. Instead a group of
shareholders who are not so need the money today is more pleased if the firms hold the
majority of the firm's profits. If most of the firm’s shareholders have high dividend demand,
the firm considers paying high dividends. Inversely, if most of firm’s shareholders have low
demand for dividends, the firm considers keeping profits as retained earnings rather than
paying high dividends.
2.1.7. Catering theory of dividend
Baker and Wurgler (2004) argued that according to the catering theory of dividends, the
firm pays the dividends to investors depend on dividend premium, as measured by
6
differences in market-to-book (M / B) ratio among firms that pay dividends with firms that do
not pay dividends , When the dividend premium increases (because investors prefer
dividends have paid a high price for the firm's stock), the firm tends to pay dividends. On the
other hand, firms tend not to pay dividends when the dividend premium down.
2.2 Definition of the Variables
2.2.1 Dividend Payout Ratio
Dividend payout ratio indicates the percentage of each dollar earned that is distributed to
the owner in the form of cash. It is calculated by dividing the firm’s cash dividend per share
by its earning per share (Gitman, 2015).
2.2.2 Profitability
Definition of profitability according to Gitman (2015), is the relationship between the
revenues and costs generated by the using of firm’s asset both current and fixed in productive
activities. Firms can increase their profitability by increasing its revenues or decreasing its
costs or both. He et al. (2012) wrote that firms with higher profitability imply that they have
more free cash flows. Some firms pay dividends either for their own consumption or for
building a good reputation through dividends payments and thus maintaining the
competitiveness in financial markets. Their profitability are found a positive relation.
Thanatawee (2011) examined the effect of profitability on the dividend payout on the
Stock Exchange of Thailand and found that profitability had a positive effect. Afza and Mirza
(2011) also found that profitability have positive effect to dividend payout. In addition Kania
and Bacon (2005) found that profitability negatively affect the dividend payout. Anil and
Kapoor (2008), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found no effect of profitability on the
dividend payout ratio. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows:
Ha1: There is a significant effect of profitability to dividend payout ratio.
2.2.3 Liquidity
Gitman (2015) states that liquidity is a firm’s ability to satisfy its short-term obligations as
they come due. Jensen (1986) stated that the managers may benefit themselves with cash
surplus; therefore, a firm should pay dividends to reduce free cash flow and protect the
managers to spend more cash in unavailing projects. Paying dividends is then a mechanism to
control the agency problem.
Thanatawee (2011) found a positive effect of liquidity on the dividend payout on the Stock
Exchange of Thailand. Ramli and Arfan (2011) also found a positive effect of liquidity on the
dividend payout in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Meanwhile, Rehman and Takumi (2012)
found a negative effect of liquidity on the dividend payout at the Karachi Stock Exchange.
Besides Kim and Gu (2009), Gill et al. (2010), Al-Kuwari (2009); Yiadom and Agyei (2011),
Al-Shubiri (2011), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found that liquidity does not affect
the dividend payout. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows:
7
Ha2: There is a significant effect of liquidity to dividend payout ratio.
2.2.4 Financial Leverage
According to Gitman (2015), financial leverage is the use of fixed financial costs to
magnify the effects of changes in earnings before interest and taxes on the firm’s earnings per
share. According to Yan and Kam (2012). dividend decreases actually increase the debts of a
firm. For firms, they need to maintain their internal cash flow to pay their fixed financial
charges rather than distribute the cash to shareholders because failures to meet this obligation
may lead the firm into risk. For those who have high financial leverage, they have a tendency
to reduce the transaction costs by lowing payout ratios.
Alisinaei and Habibi (2012) found a positive effect of financial leverage on dividend
payout in the Tehran Stock Exchange. Fumey and Doku (2013) also found a positive effect of
financial leverage on dividend payout. Rozeff (1982) and Jensen (1986), Komrattanapanya
and Suntrauk (2013) found that financial leverage negatively affect the dividend payout.
While Hadiwidjaja (2007), Alzomaia and Al-Khadhiri (2013), Zhang and Jia (2014) found
that financial leverage does not affect the dividend payout ratio. In this paper, their research
can be summarized as follows:
Ha3: There is a significant effect of financial leverage to dividend payout ratio.
2.2.5 Sales Growth
Brigham and Houston (2011) states that the sales growth is an increase in sales from year
to year or from time to time. A company whose sales are relatively stable can safely take on
debt in larger quantities and issued burden remains higher than the company whose sales are
not stable”. Rozeff (1982) found that a growth firm tries to retain internal finance and limit its
dividend payment due to the costs of using external borrowings that are commonly higher
than costs of using internal funds. A firm with high growth then requires a large amount of
financing to invest in its projects, so they retain their income and not to pay dividends.
Kania and Bacon (2005) found a positive effect of sales growth to the dividend payout.
When firms achieve high sales, the firm will strive to satisfy investors through dividends.
Fumey and Doku (2013), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found a negative effect of
sales growth to the dividend payout. While Alzomaia and Al-Khadhiri (2013) found no effect
of sales growth to the dividend payout in Saudi Arabia. Mardiyati et al. (2014) also found no
effect of sales growth to the dividend payout in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. In this paper,
their research can be summarized as follows:
Ha4: There is a significant effect of sales growth to dividend payout ratio.
2.2.6 Business Risk
Gitman (2015) states that business risk is the risk to the firm of being unable to cover
operating cost. Business risk may negatively impact on the operations or profitability of a
given firm. When current profits and expected future profits are uncertain, a firm confronts to
8
the business risk. Hence, a firm is impossible to pay high dividend as profits increase (Jensen,
Solberg, & Zorn, 1992).
Fumey and Doku (2013) in Ghana and Musiega et al. (2013) in Nairobi Securities
Exchange, Kenya find a positive effect of business risk to the dividend payout. While Rozeff
(1982) and Al-Shubiri (2011) found a negative effect of business risk to the dividend payout.
However the results of Kim and Gu, (2009), Al-Kuwari (2009) Yiadom and Agyei (2011),
Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) showed no effect of business risk to the dividend
payout ratio. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows:
Ha5: There is a significant effect of business risk to dividend payout ratio.
2.2.7 Investment Opportunities
Investment Opportunity is a corporate value that depends on expenditures set management
in the future, which is currently the investment options that are expected to generate huge
returns (Gaver and Gaver, 1993). According to the pecking order hypothesis proposed by
Myers and Majluf (1984), those who have high growth and investment opportunities are
likely to demand more internal funds to finance their future investments, and thus they are
tend to pay few or no dividends.
Afza and Mirza (2011) in Pakistan and Musiega et al. (2013) in Nairobi Securities
Exchange, Kenya find a positive effect of investment opportunities to the dividend payout.
Thanatawee (2011), Alisinaei and Habibi (2012), Rehman and Takumi (2012),
Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found a negative effect of investment opportunities to
the dividend payout ratio. While Zhang and Jia (2014), Anil and Kapoor (2008), Gill et al.
(2010) found no effect of investment opportunities to the dividend payout ratio. In this paper,
their research can be summarized as follows:
Ha6: There is a significant effect of investment opportunities to dividend payout ratio.
2.2.8 Firm Size
Size refers to how large or small a firm is measures by firm’s market value. Company size
has affected company’s risk and net adjusted return. If the company size is small then the risk
will be higher than the company with large size because company with lage size has diverse
its risk into different investments (Reilly and Brown, 2012). Normally a larger size of a firm
implies that it is in a mature stage. These kind of large firms are more likely to pay dividends
because it‘s easier for them to generate ample amounts of cash and they have faded good
opportunities for their investment (Fama & French, 2002). Thanatawee (2011), Musiega et al.
(2013), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found a positive effect of firm size to the
dividend payout ratio. Fumey and Doku (2013), Zhang and Jia (2014) found a negative effect
of firm size to the dividend payout. While Afza and Mirza (2011) found no effect of firm size
on the dividend payout ratio. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows:
Ha7: There is a significant effect of firm size to dividend payout ratio.
9
2.3 Research Model
Figure 1. Research Model
3. Research Methodology
3.1 Data Collection
The sample in this study is 246 samples, consists 41 real estate and property firms listed in
the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during 2009-2014. All data was obtained from the
Indonesia Stock Exchange, Fact Book, and the Indonesia Capital Market Directory.
3.2 Tobit Regression Model
Dividend Payout Ratio has unique characteristics, which only has two possible values;
zero value (not pay dividend) and a positive value (pay dividend). Therefore, it is necessary
to use Tobit regression analysis (Gujarati,2004: 616). Statistically, Tobit models can be
shown as follows:
Yi = β1 + β2 Xi + μi if RHS > 0
Yi = 0 otherwise
10
where RHS = right-hand side or the right side that is not worth 0, Gujarati (2004, 616). Tobit
regression model above can be applied to the regression model used in this study as follows.
DIV = a + b1PROF + b2LIQ + b3DTE + b4GROW + b5RISK + b6MTB + b7SIZE + е
if RHS > 0
DIV = 0 otherwise
Description:
DIV = Dividend Payout Ratio; a = the intercept of the regression equation; b1, b2, b3, b4,
b5, b6, b7 = linear regression coefficient for each independent variable; PROF = Profitability;
LIQ = Liquidity; DTE = Financial leverage; GROW = Sales growth; RISK = Business risk;
MTB = Investment opportunities; SIZE = Firm size; e = Error regression
The following Table 2 presents the measurements of variables. After all of data compiled
into the panel data, then all of data is processed using EViews 7.
Table 2. Measurements of Variables
Symbols Description Measurement
DIV Dividend payout ratio (in
percentage)
Cash dividends of Common Stock / Income
before Extraordinary Items – Minority Interest –
Cash Dividends of Preferred Stock) * 100
PROF Return on Assets Net Income / Average of the beginning balance
and ending balance) * 100
LIQ Cash flow per share (Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization +
Other Noncash Adjustments + Changes in Non-
cash Working Capital) / Average total number of
shares outstanding
DTE Debt to Equity ratio (Total Liabilities/Total Common Equity)*100
GROW Change in sales per year ((Net sales for the current period / Net sales for
the last period) -1)*100
RISK Variability in return on asset The standard deviation of the firm’s return on
assets in time t and t-1
MTB Ratio of stock price to book
value per share
Price to Book Ratio = Last Price / Book Value
Per Share
SIZE The natural logarithm of
current market capitalization
The natural logarithm of current market
capitalization time t
4. Results
Tobit regression results are shown in Table 3. Profitability (PROF) has a positive and
significant impact on the dividend payout at 5% confidence level. A firm with high
profitability able to utilize its assets to generate greater profits than firms with low
profitability. Therefore, firms with high profitability prefers to distribute dividend to satisfy
investors. Further, investors willing to buy shares at high prices, thereby increasing the firm's
value,then firm easier to obtain external funding. These results are consistent with research
11
He et al. (2012), Thanatawee (2011), Afza and Mirza (2011) who found the positive effect of
profitability to dividend payout ratio.
Table 3. Results of Regression Tobit
Variables Coefficients Prob.
C -549.605500 0.000100
PROF 3.426762 0.036100*
LIQ 0.036982 0.409800
DTE 0.004155 0.954200
GROW -0.044058 0.678000
RISK -2.418080 0.055500
MTB -0.103343 0.826200
SIZE 17.395970 0.000300*
Log Likelihood function= -727.1062; N= 246
Note: *significant at 5% confidence level.
Firm Size (SIZE) also has a positive and significant impact on the dividend payout at 5%
confidence level. Firms with a large size is more like to pay dividends than small firms,
because large firms want to providing a positive signal about the condition of firm to
investors. While smaller firms tend not to pay dividends, because the profits were used to
new investments to improve the firm's growth. These results are consistent with research
Fama and French (2002), Thanatawee (2011), Musiega et al. (2013), Komrattanapanya and
Suntrauk (2013) who found a positive effect of firm size on the dividend payout ratio.
In addition, Table 3 also shows that liquidity (LIQ), financial leverage (DTE), sales
growth (GROW), business risk (RISK), and investment opportunities (MTB) are not
statistically significant at the 5% confidence level. Firms with high level of liquidity tend to
pay dividends aim to reducing agency problems. Firms with high level of financial leverage,
sales growth, business risk and investment opportunities tends to retaining their cash for debt
settlement and/or new investment, rather than paying dividends. However, some firms with
high financial leverage also tends to pay dividends. That means profits derived from the use
of debt is greater than the cost of debt, so the residual profits are distributed to the investors
as dividend.
5. Conclusion
The aim of this study was to find the factors that affect dividend payout ratio in real estate
and property firms in Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study empirically proved that
profitability and firm size significantly affect the dividend payout ratio. Results of this study
useful for investors to make the right decision in stock investment and the factors which
affect the dividend payout ratio. Recommended to investors who expect a high dividends to
invest in firms that have high profitability, as the firm is able to optimize its assets to generate
earnings. The earnings will be distributed to investors in the form of dividend.
12
This study also suggests investors who expect high dividends to invest in large firms.
Firms with large size more likely to pay dividend than firms with small size. Large firms
prefer to pay dividend, because they want to create positive signal to the investors about their
performance. In addition, financial managers want to signal that their firms are performing
outstanding and better than market average, so that the market prices of stocks will increase,
resulting in an increase in firms’ value. Moreover, it can increase opportunities to easily
access financial supports from financial institutions.
Moreover, results of this research beneficial for financial managers. Financial managers
can use this results as reference to make decision about dividend payout ratio, financial
budgeting, and strategic planning. They would be able to decide whether firms should keep
retained earnings for future projects, for debt settlement, and/or for dividend payout.
Nonetheless, this study give empirically evidence that liquidity, financial leverage, sales
growth, business risk, and investment opportunities insignificantly related to dividend payout
decision. Limitations of this study is only uses one industrial sector (real estate and property),
so that the conclusions of this study might just fit to the real estate and property firms. That
happens because of different business cycles in each sectors, so that very possible the
influence of independent variables to the dividend payout ratio is different in each sector. For
further study, the authors will expand the research object by grouping all firms in IDX based
IDX sectors. Thus we able to know about characteristics of dividend payout ratio in each
sectors. Further study also uses research’s period longer than six years, and thus more able to
explain the overall variables studied.
References
Afza, Talat and Hammad Hassan Mirza. (2011). Institutional shareholdings and corporate dividend
policy in Pakistan, African Journal of Business Management Vol. 5 (22), pp. 8941-8951, 30
September, 2011.
Alisinaei, Hassan and Leila Habibi. (2012). An investigation of factors relevant to payout ratio in
listed firms on the Tehran Stock Exchange. International Journal of Multidisciplinary
Management Studies Vol.2 Issue 2, February 2012, ISSN 2249 8834, page 22-37.
Al-Kuwari, D. (2009). Determinants of the dividend policy in Emerging Stock Exchanges: The case
of GCC countries. Global Economy & Finance Journal, 2, 38-63.
Al-Shubiri, F. N. (2011). Determinants of changes dividend behavior policy: Evidence from the
Amman Stock Exchange. Far East Journal of Psychology and Business, 4, 1-15.
Alzomaia, Turki SF and Ahmed Al-Khadhiri. (2013). Determination of Dividend Policy: The
Evidence from Saudi Arabia, International Journal of Business and Social Science Vol. 4 No. 1;
January 2013 page 181-192.
Ambarish, R., John, K., Williams, J. (1987). Efficient signalling with dividends and investments.
Journal of Finance 32, 321-343.
13
Anil K., and Kapoor, S. (2008). Determinants of dividend payout ratios - a study of Indian
Information technology sector. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 15, 1-
9.
Baker, M., and Wurgler, J. (2004). A catering theory of dividends. The Journal of Finance, 59, 1125-
1165.
Bhattacharya, S. (1979), Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy and the Bird in the Hand Fallacy.
Bell Journal of Economics, 10(1), 259-270.
Brennan, M. (1970). Taxes, market valuation and corporate financial policy. National Tax Journal,
23, 417-427.
Brigham, Eugene F., and Joel F. Houston, 2009. Dasar-Dasar Manajemen Keuangan, 10th
edition.
Jakarta: Salemba Empat.
Easterbrook, F.H. (1984). Two agency-cost explanations of dividends. American Economic Review.
74, 650-659.
Elton, E. J., and Gruber, M. J. (1970). Marginal stockholder tax rates and the clientele effect. Review
of Economics and Statistics, 52, 68-74.
Fabozzi, Frank J., and Pamela Peterson Drake, 2010, The Basic of Finance. New Jersey: John Wiley
& Sons Inc.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2002). Testing trade-off and pecking order predictions about dividends
and debt. The Review of Financial Studies, 15(1), 1-33.
Fumey, Abel and Isaac Doku. (2013), Dividend payout ratio in Ghana: Does the pecking order theory
hold good?, Journal of Emerging Issues in Economics, Finance and Banking (JEIEFB)
Volume:2 No.2 August 2013 page 616-637.
Gaver, J.J., and Gaver, K.M. (1993). Additional Evidence on The Association Between The
Investment Opportunity Set and Corporate Financing Dividend, and Compesation Policies,
Journal of Accounting and Economic. pp. 125-160.
Gill. A., Biger, N., and Tibrewala, R. (2010). Determinants of dividend payout ratios: Evidence from
United States. The Open Business Journal, 3, 8-14.
Gitman, Lawrence J. and Chad J.Zutter. 2015. Principles of Managerial Finance, 14th
Edition.
England: Pearson Education Limited.
Gordon, M. (1959). Dividends, earnings, and stock prices. Review of Economics and Statistics, 41,
99-105.
Gujarati, Damodar N., and Dawn C. Porter. 2004. Basic Economertics, fifth edition. New York:
McGraw-Hill.
He, T., Li, W., & Tang, G. (2012). Dividends Behavior in State- Versus Family-Controlled Firms:
Evidence from Hong Kong. Journal Of Business Ethics, 110(1), 97-112.
Jensen, G., Solberg, D., & Zorn, T. (1992). Simultaneous determination of insider ownership, debt,
and dividend policies. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 27, 274-263.
14
Jensen, M. C. (1986). Agency costs of free cash flow, corporate finance and takeovers. American
Economic Review, 76, 323-329.
Jensen, M.C., and Meckling, W.H. (1976). Theory of the firm: managerial behavior, agency costs, and
ownership structure. Journal of Finance. Econ. 3, 305]360.
John, K., and Williams, J. (1985). Dividends, dilution and taxes: a signaling equilibrium. The Journal
of Finance, 40, 1053-1070.
Kalay, A. (1982). The ex-dividend day behaviour of stock prices: A re-examination of the clientele
effect. The Journal of Finance, 37, 1059-1070.
Kania, S. L., and Bacon, F. W. (2005). What factors motivate the corporate dividend decision?.
ASBBS E-Journal, 1, 97-107.
Kim, H., and Gu, Z. (2009). Financial features of dividend-paying firms in the hospitality industry: A
logistic regression analysis. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 28, 359–366.
Komrattanapanya, Pornumpai and Phassawan Suntrauk. (2013). Factors Influencing Dividend Payout
in Thailand: A Tobit Regression Analysis, International Journal of Accounting and Financial
Reporting Vol. 3, No. 2 page 255-268.
Lintner, J. (1956). Distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings, and
taxes. American Economic Review, 46, 97-113.
Mardiyati, Umi., Destyarsah Nusrati, and Hamidah. (2014). Influence of free cash flow, return on
assets, total assets turnover and sales growth to dividend payout ratio. Jurnal Riset Manajemen
Sains Indonesia (JRMSI) Vol. 5, No. 2, 2014 page 204-221.
Marfo-Yiadom, E., and Agyei, S. K. (2011). Determinants of dividend policy of banks in Ghana.
International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 61, 99-108.
Miller, M. H., and Modigliani, F. (1961). Dividend policy, growth, and the valuation of shares. The
Journal of Business, 34, 411-433.
Miller, M. H., and Rock, K. (1985). Dividend policy under asymmetric information. The Journal of
Finance, 40, 1031-1051.
Musiega, Maniagi G., Ondiek B. Alala, Musiega Douglas, Maokomba O. Christopher, and Egessa
Robert. (2013). Determinants Of Dividend Payout Policy Among Non-Financial Firms On
Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya. International Journal Of Scientific and technology
research, Vol 2, page 253-266.
Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have
information the investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 187-221.
Pettit, R. R. (1977). Tax, transaction costs and the clientele effect of dividends. Journal of Financial
Economics, 5, 419-436.
Ramli, Muhammad R and Muhammad Arfan. (2011). Influence of Income, Operating Cash Flow,
Free Cash Flow, and last cash dividends to cash dividends. (Study in manufacture sector listed in
IDX), Jurnal Telaah & Riset Akuntansi, Vol. 4. No. 2. July 2011 Hal. 126 – 138.
15
Rehman, Abdul and Haruto Takumi. (2012). Determinants of dividend payout ratio: evidence from
Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE). Journal of Contemporary Issues in Business Research, Vol. 1,
No. 1, 20-27.
Reilly, Frank K., and Keith C. Brown. (2012). Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management, 10
edition. South-Western: Cengage Learning.
Rozeff, M. (1982). Growth, beta and agency costs as determinants of dividend payout ratios. Journal
of Financial Research, 5, 249-259.
Thanatawee, Yordying. (2011). Life-Cycle Theory and Free Cash Flow Hypothesis: Evidence from
Dividend Policy in Thailand, International Journal of Financial Research Vol. 2, No. 2; July
2011, page 52-60.
Tin-yan, L., & Shu-kam, L. (2012). Family ownership, board committees and firm performance:
Evidence from hongkong.Corporate Governance, 12(3), 353-366.
Zhang, Xuanfeng and Fu Jia. (2014), Does Ownership Structure Matter for Dividend Yield? Evidence
from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Business and Economic Research 2162-4860 2014, Vol.
4, No. 2 page 204-221.
Central Bureau of Indonesia Statistics (Badan Pusat Statistik).
Fact Book IDX 2009-2015.
Indoensia Capital Market Directory 2008-2014.
Indonesia Stock Exchange.

More Related Content

What's hot

Sectorial analysis of share price movements in nse
Sectorial analysis of share price movements in nseSectorial analysis of share price movements in nse
Sectorial analysis of share price movements in nseIAEME Publication
 
IDBI Federal Life Insurance co. Ltd
IDBI Federal Life Insurance co. LtdIDBI Federal Life Insurance co. Ltd
IDBI Federal Life Insurance co. LtdMonu Tiwari
 
COMPARITIVE STUDY OF UNIT LINKED POLICIES
COMPARITIVE STUDY OF UNIT LINKED POLICIESCOMPARITIVE STUDY OF UNIT LINKED POLICIES
COMPARITIVE STUDY OF UNIT LINKED POLICIESBabasab Patil
 
Financial institutions and markets
Financial institutions and marketsFinancial institutions and markets
Financial institutions and marketsANUJ GOYAL
 
Aditya finoptions april_newsletter
Aditya finoptions april_newsletterAditya finoptions april_newsletter
Aditya finoptions april_newsletterKartik Dadia
 
Advertising startegies of idbi federal life insurance
Advertising startegies of idbi federal life insuranceAdvertising startegies of idbi federal life insurance
Advertising startegies of idbi federal life insuranceChanchal Sharma
 
IDBI Federal Life insurance SIP presentation
IDBI Federal Life insurance SIP presentationIDBI Federal Life insurance SIP presentation
IDBI Federal Life insurance SIP presentationChanchal Sharma
 
Effect of privatization on banking sector performance in pakistan
Effect of privatization on banking sector performance in pakistanEffect of privatization on banking sector performance in pakistan
Effect of privatization on banking sector performance in pakistanAlexander Decker
 
Capital letter July'11 - Fundsindia
Capital letter July'11 - FundsindiaCapital letter July'11 - Fundsindia
Capital letter July'11 - FundsindiaFundsIndia.com
 
Fin 401 Enhance teaching-snaptutorial.com
Fin 401  Enhance teaching-snaptutorial.comFin 401  Enhance teaching-snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Enhance teaching-snaptutorial.comrobertleew16
 
A Research on Venture Capital investments of IDBI Federal Life Insurance coma...
A Research on Venture Capital investments of IDBI Federal Life Insurance coma...A Research on Venture Capital investments of IDBI Federal Life Insurance coma...
A Research on Venture Capital investments of IDBI Federal Life Insurance coma...yours sunil
 
IJSRED-V2I1P21
IJSRED-V2I1P21IJSRED-V2I1P21
IJSRED-V2I1P21IJSRED
 
Business Consulting Proposal of i.Master
Business Consulting Proposal of  i.MasterBusiness Consulting Proposal of  i.Master
Business Consulting Proposal of i.MasterXuejiao Yang
 
Fin 401 Exceptional Education / snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Exceptional Education / snaptutorial.comFin 401 Exceptional Education / snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Exceptional Education / snaptutorial.comBaileya52
 
Comparison between traditional plan & ulip’s
Comparison between traditional plan & ulip’sComparison between traditional plan & ulip’s
Comparison between traditional plan & ulip’sBabasab Patil
 
Post IFRS Convergence Investigation: Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosu...
Post IFRS Convergence Investigation: Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosu...Post IFRS Convergence Investigation: Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosu...
Post IFRS Convergence Investigation: Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosu...IJAEMSJORNAL
 
FIN 401 Education Organization - snaptutorial.com
FIN 401  Education Organization - snaptutorial.comFIN 401  Education Organization - snaptutorial.com
FIN 401 Education Organization - snaptutorial.comdonaldzs189
 
Fin 401 Effective Communication / snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Effective Communication / snaptutorial.comFin 401 Effective Communication / snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Effective Communication / snaptutorial.comHarrisGeorg18
 
Age of the publication firm as a factor influencing capital structure of insu...
Age of the publication firm as a factor influencing capital structure of insu...Age of the publication firm as a factor influencing capital structure of insu...
Age of the publication firm as a factor influencing capital structure of insu...Gerishom Wafula Manase
 

What's hot (20)

Sectorial analysis of share price movements in nse
Sectorial analysis of share price movements in nseSectorial analysis of share price movements in nse
Sectorial analysis of share price movements in nse
 
Assignment on psu
Assignment on psuAssignment on psu
Assignment on psu
 
IDBI Federal Life Insurance co. Ltd
IDBI Federal Life Insurance co. LtdIDBI Federal Life Insurance co. Ltd
IDBI Federal Life Insurance co. Ltd
 
COMPARITIVE STUDY OF UNIT LINKED POLICIES
COMPARITIVE STUDY OF UNIT LINKED POLICIESCOMPARITIVE STUDY OF UNIT LINKED POLICIES
COMPARITIVE STUDY OF UNIT LINKED POLICIES
 
Financial institutions and markets
Financial institutions and marketsFinancial institutions and markets
Financial institutions and markets
 
Aditya finoptions april_newsletter
Aditya finoptions april_newsletterAditya finoptions april_newsletter
Aditya finoptions april_newsletter
 
Advertising startegies of idbi federal life insurance
Advertising startegies of idbi federal life insuranceAdvertising startegies of idbi federal life insurance
Advertising startegies of idbi federal life insurance
 
IDBI Federal Life insurance SIP presentation
IDBI Federal Life insurance SIP presentationIDBI Federal Life insurance SIP presentation
IDBI Federal Life insurance SIP presentation
 
Effect of privatization on banking sector performance in pakistan
Effect of privatization on banking sector performance in pakistanEffect of privatization on banking sector performance in pakistan
Effect of privatization on banking sector performance in pakistan
 
Capital letter July'11 - Fundsindia
Capital letter July'11 - FundsindiaCapital letter July'11 - Fundsindia
Capital letter July'11 - Fundsindia
 
Fin 401 Enhance teaching-snaptutorial.com
Fin 401  Enhance teaching-snaptutorial.comFin 401  Enhance teaching-snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Enhance teaching-snaptutorial.com
 
A Research on Venture Capital investments of IDBI Federal Life Insurance coma...
A Research on Venture Capital investments of IDBI Federal Life Insurance coma...A Research on Venture Capital investments of IDBI Federal Life Insurance coma...
A Research on Venture Capital investments of IDBI Federal Life Insurance coma...
 
IJSRED-V2I1P21
IJSRED-V2I1P21IJSRED-V2I1P21
IJSRED-V2I1P21
 
Business Consulting Proposal of i.Master
Business Consulting Proposal of  i.MasterBusiness Consulting Proposal of  i.Master
Business Consulting Proposal of i.Master
 
Fin 401 Exceptional Education / snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Exceptional Education / snaptutorial.comFin 401 Exceptional Education / snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Exceptional Education / snaptutorial.com
 
Comparison between traditional plan & ulip’s
Comparison between traditional plan & ulip’sComparison between traditional plan & ulip’s
Comparison between traditional plan & ulip’s
 
Post IFRS Convergence Investigation: Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosu...
Post IFRS Convergence Investigation: Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosu...Post IFRS Convergence Investigation: Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosu...
Post IFRS Convergence Investigation: Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosu...
 
FIN 401 Education Organization - snaptutorial.com
FIN 401  Education Organization - snaptutorial.comFIN 401  Education Organization - snaptutorial.com
FIN 401 Education Organization - snaptutorial.com
 
Fin 401 Effective Communication / snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Effective Communication / snaptutorial.comFin 401 Effective Communication / snaptutorial.com
Fin 401 Effective Communication / snaptutorial.com
 
Age of the publication firm as a factor influencing capital structure of insu...
Age of the publication firm as a factor influencing capital structure of insu...Age of the publication firm as a factor influencing capital structure of insu...
Age of the publication firm as a factor influencing capital structure of insu...
 

Similar to Paper Romario_International Conference On Finance 2015

Factors Affecting Dividend Policy at Consumer Goods Sector Companies Listed ...
	Factors Affecting Dividend Policy at Consumer Goods Sector Companies Listed ...	Factors Affecting Dividend Policy at Consumer Goods Sector Companies Listed ...
Factors Affecting Dividend Policy at Consumer Goods Sector Companies Listed ...inventionjournals
 
The Relationship between Dividend Policy and Shareholder’s Wealth (A Case Stu...
The Relationship between Dividend Policy and Shareholder’s Wealth (A Case Stu...The Relationship between Dividend Policy and Shareholder’s Wealth (A Case Stu...
The Relationship between Dividend Policy and Shareholder’s Wealth (A Case Stu...IOSRJBM
 
IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016
IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016
IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016edwin hutauruk
 
Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...
Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...
Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...inventionjournals
 
Effect of managerial ownership, financial leverage, profitability, firm size,...
Effect of managerial ownership, financial leverage, profitability, firm size,...Effect of managerial ownership, financial leverage, profitability, firm size,...
Effect of managerial ownership, financial leverage, profitability, firm size,...Alexander Decker
 
Stock Market Investment Incentives: A Gift or a Motivator? Evidence from Lite...
Stock Market Investment Incentives: A Gift or a Motivator? Evidence from Lite...Stock Market Investment Incentives: A Gift or a Motivator? Evidence from Lite...
Stock Market Investment Incentives: A Gift or a Motivator? Evidence from Lite...Business, Management and Economics Research
 
1417-Article Text-5938-1-10-20220222.pdf
1417-Article Text-5938-1-10-20220222.pdf1417-Article Text-5938-1-10-20220222.pdf
1417-Article Text-5938-1-10-20220222.pdfDR BHADRAPPA HARALAYYA
 
The Effect of Intellectual Capital and Profitability on Firm Value
The Effect of Intellectual Capital and Profitability on Firm ValueThe Effect of Intellectual Capital and Profitability on Firm Value
The Effect of Intellectual Capital and Profitability on Firm ValueAJHSSR Journal
 
FE4051 Introduction To Financial Markets And Institutions.docx
FE4051 Introduction To Financial Markets And Institutions.docxFE4051 Introduction To Financial Markets And Institutions.docx
FE4051 Introduction To Financial Markets And Institutions.docx4934bk
 
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)inventionjournals
 
IJSRED-V2I1P36
IJSRED-V2I1P36IJSRED-V2I1P36
IJSRED-V2I1P36IJSRED
 
Effect of Ownership Structure Factor of Fundamental and Technical Analysis of...
Effect of Ownership Structure Factor of Fundamental and Technical Analysis of...Effect of Ownership Structure Factor of Fundamental and Technical Analysis of...
Effect of Ownership Structure Factor of Fundamental and Technical Analysis of...QUESTJOURNAL
 

Similar to Paper Romario_International Conference On Finance 2015 (20)

Factors Affecting Dividend Policy at Consumer Goods Sector Companies Listed ...
	Factors Affecting Dividend Policy at Consumer Goods Sector Companies Listed ...	Factors Affecting Dividend Policy at Consumer Goods Sector Companies Listed ...
Factors Affecting Dividend Policy at Consumer Goods Sector Companies Listed ...
 
The Relationship between Dividend Policy and Shareholder’s Wealth (A Case Stu...
The Relationship between Dividend Policy and Shareholder’s Wealth (A Case Stu...The Relationship between Dividend Policy and Shareholder’s Wealth (A Case Stu...
The Relationship between Dividend Policy and Shareholder’s Wealth (A Case Stu...
 
IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016
IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016
IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016
 
Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...
Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...
Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...
 
B02110106018
B02110106018B02110106018
B02110106018
 
Abstract
AbstractAbstract
Abstract
 
Pattern Of Relationship Between Macro Economics, Capital Structure, Profitabi...
Pattern Of Relationship Between Macro Economics, Capital Structure, Profitabi...Pattern Of Relationship Between Macro Economics, Capital Structure, Profitabi...
Pattern Of Relationship Between Macro Economics, Capital Structure, Profitabi...
 
7927 24702-1-pb
7927 24702-1-pb7927 24702-1-pb
7927 24702-1-pb
 
YUDHA PUTRA HIMA JOURNAL
YUDHA PUTRA HIMA JOURNALYUDHA PUTRA HIMA JOURNAL
YUDHA PUTRA HIMA JOURNAL
 
The Influences of Company's Internal Factors and Macroeconomics against the S...
The Influences of Company's Internal Factors and Macroeconomics against the S...The Influences of Company's Internal Factors and Macroeconomics against the S...
The Influences of Company's Internal Factors and Macroeconomics against the S...
 
Effect of managerial ownership, financial leverage, profitability, firm size,...
Effect of managerial ownership, financial leverage, profitability, firm size,...Effect of managerial ownership, financial leverage, profitability, firm size,...
Effect of managerial ownership, financial leverage, profitability, firm size,...
 
Stock Market Investment Incentives: A Gift or a Motivator? Evidence from Lite...
Stock Market Investment Incentives: A Gift or a Motivator? Evidence from Lite...Stock Market Investment Incentives: A Gift or a Motivator? Evidence from Lite...
Stock Market Investment Incentives: A Gift or a Motivator? Evidence from Lite...
 
1417-Article Text-5938-1-10-20220222.pdf
1417-Article Text-5938-1-10-20220222.pdf1417-Article Text-5938-1-10-20220222.pdf
1417-Article Text-5938-1-10-20220222.pdf
 
The Effect of Intellectual Capital and Profitability on Firm Value
The Effect of Intellectual Capital and Profitability on Firm ValueThe Effect of Intellectual Capital and Profitability on Firm Value
The Effect of Intellectual Capital and Profitability on Firm Value
 
FE4051 Introduction To Financial Markets And Institutions.docx
FE4051 Introduction To Financial Markets And Institutions.docxFE4051 Introduction To Financial Markets And Institutions.docx
FE4051 Introduction To Financial Markets And Institutions.docx
 
Proposal tesis dea
Proposal tesis deaProposal tesis dea
Proposal tesis dea
 
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)
 
The Effect of Return on Assets (ROA) and Earning Per Share (EPS) On Stock Ret...
The Effect of Return on Assets (ROA) and Earning Per Share (EPS) On Stock Ret...The Effect of Return on Assets (ROA) and Earning Per Share (EPS) On Stock Ret...
The Effect of Return on Assets (ROA) and Earning Per Share (EPS) On Stock Ret...
 
IJSRED-V2I1P36
IJSRED-V2I1P36IJSRED-V2I1P36
IJSRED-V2I1P36
 
Effect of Ownership Structure Factor of Fundamental and Technical Analysis of...
Effect of Ownership Structure Factor of Fundamental and Technical Analysis of...Effect of Ownership Structure Factor of Fundamental and Technical Analysis of...
Effect of Ownership Structure Factor of Fundamental and Technical Analysis of...
 

Recently uploaded

Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithAdamYassin2
 
Vip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Aizawl
Vip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service AizawlVip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Aizawl
Vip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Aizawlmakika9823
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一S SDS
 
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Serampore 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Serampore 👉 8250192130  Available With RoomVIP Kolkata Call Girl Serampore 👉 8250192130  Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Serampore 👉 8250192130 Available With Roomdivyansh0kumar0
 
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escortsranjana rawat
 
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...Suhani Kapoor
 
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentSBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentfactical
 
20240417-Calibre-April-2024-Investor-Presentation.pdf
20240417-Calibre-April-2024-Investor-Presentation.pdf20240417-Calibre-April-2024-Investor-Presentation.pdf
20240417-Calibre-April-2024-Investor-Presentation.pdfAdnet Communications
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School SpiritInstant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spiritegoetzinger
 
Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfshaunmashale756
 
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdfBPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdfHenry Tapper
 
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot ModelsAndheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Modelshematsharma006
 
(DIYA) Bhumkar Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(DIYA) Bhumkar Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...(DIYA) Bhumkar Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(DIYA) Bhumkar Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...ranjana rawat
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarHarsh Kumar
 
Unveiling the Top Chartered Accountants in India and Their Staggering Net Worth
Unveiling the Top Chartered Accountants in India and Their Staggering Net WorthUnveiling the Top Chartered Accountants in India and Their Staggering Net Worth
Unveiling the Top Chartered Accountants in India and Their Staggering Net WorthShaheen Kumar
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
Bladex Earnings Call Presentation 1Q2024
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
 
Vip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Aizawl
Vip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service AizawlVip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Aizawl
Vip B Aizawl Call Girls #9907093804 Contact Number Escorts Service Aizawl
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
 
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Serampore 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Serampore 👉 8250192130  Available With RoomVIP Kolkata Call Girl Serampore 👉 8250192130  Available With Room
VIP Kolkata Call Girl Serampore 👉 8250192130 Available With Room
 
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsCall Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
Call Girls Service Nagpur Maya Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
VIP High Class Call Girls Saharanpur Anushka 8250192130 Independent Escort Se...
 
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentSBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
 
20240417-Calibre-April-2024-Investor-Presentation.pdf
20240417-Calibre-April-2024-Investor-Presentation.pdf20240417-Calibre-April-2024-Investor-Presentation.pdf
20240417-Calibre-April-2024-Investor-Presentation.pdf
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School SpiritInstant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
 
Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Monthly Market Risk Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
 
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdfBPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
 
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
 
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot ModelsAndheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
Andheri Call Girls In 9825968104 Mumbai Hot Models
 
🔝9953056974 🔝Call Girls In Dwarka Escort Service Delhi NCR
🔝9953056974 🔝Call Girls In Dwarka Escort Service Delhi NCR🔝9953056974 🔝Call Girls In Dwarka Escort Service Delhi NCR
🔝9953056974 🔝Call Girls In Dwarka Escort Service Delhi NCR
 
(DIYA) Bhumkar Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(DIYA) Bhumkar Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...(DIYA) Bhumkar Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(DIYA) Bhumkar Chowk Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
 
Unveiling the Top Chartered Accountants in India and Their Staggering Net Worth
Unveiling the Top Chartered Accountants in India and Their Staggering Net WorthUnveiling the Top Chartered Accountants in India and Their Staggering Net Worth
Unveiling the Top Chartered Accountants in India and Their Staggering Net Worth
 

Paper Romario_International Conference On Finance 2015

  • 1. 1 Factors Influencing Dividend Payout in Indonesia: A Tobit Regression Analysis Romario Trisakti School Of Management Kyai Tapa Street 20, Grogol, Jakarta, 11440, Indonesia E-mail: hasugian_romario@yahoo.com Abstract The purpose of this paper is to determine the factors that influence the dividend payout ratio in real estate and property firms listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during the year 2009 to 2014. Using the Tobit Regression analysis, results of this study proves that profitability and firm size positively affected the dividend payout ratio. Furthermore, this study proves that liquidity, financial leverage, sales growth, business risk, and investment opportunities insignificantly related to diviend payout ratio. Results of this study useful for investors to allocate funds optimally by considering the dividend payout ratio in order to improve the wealth of the investors. This study can help financial managers to make decisions related to dividend payout ratio to be paid with the aim of generating greater profits for the owners of the firm and also for the benefit of stakeholders. This study may also help the development of financial study as well as a reference for other researchers to study in the future. Keywords: Dividend payout ratio, Profitability, Liquidity, Financial leverage, Sales growth, Business risk, Investment opportunities, Firm size, Tobit regression, Indonesia JEL Classification: G32, G35 1. Introduction The global financial crisis in 2008 has affected economies around the world, including Indonesia. After the global financial crisis of 2008, the yield on money market instruments are also likely to fall, seen from the deposit rates are low and difficult to keep up with inflation. Data from Central Bureau of Indonesia Statistics (BPS), noted that inflation in 2014 has reached 8.36%. Investors should consider the investment alternatives that can provide a yield above inflation, even providing optimal benefits for the investors, that is capital market. Statistically, Indonesia Stock Exchange recorded the average rate of return (yield) of the stock investments in Indonesia from 2009 to 2014 amounted to 16.85%. The yield is much higher than the yield on government bonds at 7.36%, gold 4.81% and deposits 6.95%. The
  • 2. 2 amount of yield stocks investments in Indonesia are also able to attract foreign investors to invest in Indonesia capital market. Recorded throughout 2014, the amount of cash flow of foreign capital has reached Rp49,70 trillion. Indonesia Stock Exchange record, after the financial crisis of 2008 set to 2014, the total foreign investor has invested funds worth Rp 103.50 trillion in the Indonesia capital market, thus important for capital market investors to understand the dividend payout ratio as an indicator of stock’s yield. Dividend policy is still a topic that is debated until this day. There are two groups of researchers who argue that very contradictory. The first group said the firms should not pay dividend, while the second group stated that the firm should pay the dividend optimally. The group that claimed the firm should not pay dividend ie: Miller and Modigliani (1961) proposed M & M theory of dividend irrelevance. They stated that the value of the firm and shareholder value does not relate to the payment of dividend in a perfect capital market. Litzenberger and Ramaswamy (1979) also reject the dividend payment through the theory of tax preferences, they believe that the cost of the dividend payment reduces the wealth of investors due to tax effects. Therefore, investors prefer capital gains than dividends because it can delay tax payment (Brennan, 1970; Elton & Gruber, 1970; Kalay, 1982; John & Williams, 1985; Miller & Rock, 1985). Other research groups that support the payment of dividend, consists: Gordon (1959) and Lintner (1956) proposed the bird-in-the-hand theory in which investors prefer dividends than capital gains, to reduce the risk. This is because the value of dividend paid today is more definite than the capital gains in the future. As a result, the higher the value of the shares if the value of the higher dividend paid. Bhattacharya (1979), Miller and Rock (1985), John and Williams (1985), Ambarish et al. (1987). also argued signaling theory, they states that the dividends is a signal (sign) to investors that the firm's management predicts a good income in the future. If an increase in the dividends, the capital market investors assume that the firm able to generating higher earnings than before, so investors are willing to buy shares at a high price. This had a positive impact for the firm, likely the increase in value of the firm so that it is easier to obtain external financing. Besides the payment of dividends is also able to prevent corporate managers using firm’s profits to investments that do not benefit shareholders, supporting the explanation of agency theory (Jensen and Meckling, 1976). In addition of two groups researchers above, there is still a group of researchers who state that the dividend payment depends on investor demand. According clientele effect (Pettit, 1977), different group (Clientele) shareholders will have different preferences on dividend policy. Baker and Wurgler (2004) suggested catering theory of dividends, the firm pays the dividends to investors depend on dividend premium, as measured by differences in market- to-book (M / B) ratio among firms that pay dividends to firms that do not pay dividends. This study will analyze the factors that affect the dividend payout ratio by using profitability, liquidity, financial leverage, sales growth, business risk, investment opportunities and firm size as independent variables. The object of this study is real estate and property firms listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during 2009-2014, because:
  • 3. 3 First, real estate and property firms are also part of the real estate, property and building construction sector in IDX. Data from IDX indicate that real estate and property sector is experiencing the highest increase in EPS compared to other sectors, it’s 8.67 times in 2009 compared to 2008, as well as consistent EPS increased since the global financial crisis of 2008. This indicates that the real estate and property firms is very worthy of investment options in the capital market. Table 1. EPS Based on IDX Sector 2008-2014 unit: in Rupiah NO Sector 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1 AGRICULTURE 262 296 419 194 169 89 144 2 MINING 280 208 286 484 258 99 66 3 BASIC INDUSTRY AND CHEMICALS 201 238 212 243 220 92 172 4 MISCELLANEOUS INDUSTRY -768 -52 191 728 -125 149 96 5 CONSUMER GOODS INDUSTRY 4,753 5,845 4,552 5,679 5,377 11,117 5,392 6 PROPERTY, REAL ESTATE AND BUILDING CONSTRUCTION 3 26 50 64 83 113 326 7 INFRASTRUCTURE, UTILITIES & TRANSPORTATION 74 11 40 91 144 62 117 8 FINANCE 68 85 129 118 162 134 131 9 TRADE, SERVICES & INVESTMENT 38 61 87 87 159 62 205 Source: Indonesia Stock Exchange Second, real estate and property is a very promising field and supports the development in Indonesia. Based on data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), Indonesia has a great potential which is a population of 237.641.326 inhabitants in 2010 and is projected to have 252.164.800 inhabitants in 2014. However, data from the Central Bureau of Statistics during 2009-2014 showed that a decline in the ratio of home ownership, that is 79.36% in 2009, 78% in 2010, 78.77% in 2011, 80.18% in 2012, 79.47% in 2013 and 78.97% in 2014. Based this informations, we know that more households and residents who have not home ownership, if not immediately addressed the backlog (the imbalance between the need to availability of home) will be even greater. 2.1 Literature Review There are various theories that discussed the dividend policy. Fabozzi (2010) mentions 5 theories, that is: The dividend irrelevance theory , the “bird in the hand” theory, theory of tax- preference, the signaling theory, and the agency explanation. Besides, Pettit (1977) proposed clientele effect theory, Baker and Wurgler (2004) also suggests catering theory of dividend.
  • 4. 4 2.1.1. M & M theory of dividend irrelevance Dividend irrelevance theory is Miller and Modigliani’s theory that in a perfect market, the firm’s value is only determined by the earning power and risk of its assests (investments) and that the manner in which firm splits its earnings stream between dividends and internally retained (and reinvested) funds are not affect the firm’s value (Gitman, 2015). Some have argued that the dividend policy has no effect on the firm's stock price as well as to the cost of capital. If the dividend policy does not have significant influence, then it is not relevant. According to Modigliani and Miller (1961) states that: "The value of a company is not determined by the size of the dividend payout ratio (DPR), but is determined by the net income before taxes (EBIT) and the company's risk class". So according to the Modigliani and Miller (1961), the dividend is not relevant. Modigliani and Miller's statement was based on several assumptions like: perfect capital market where all investors are rational, no new share issuance costs if the firm issuing new shares, no tax, the firm's investment policy has not changed. While in practice: perfect capital markets are difficult to find, a new stock issuance costs must exist, there must be a tax, the firm's investment policy is unlikely unchanged. 2.1.2. Theory of bird-in-the-hand Theory of bird in the hand is the belief, in support of dividend relevance theory, that investors see current dividends as less risky than future dividends or capital gains (Gitman, 2015). The theory states that investors prefer dividends because cash in hand is more valuable than wealth in other forms. Consequently the firm's stock price, according to Gordon (1959) and Lintner (1956) stated that the firm's cost of capital will be largely determined by the amount of the dividends. Thus, the higher the dividend, the higher the value of the firm. The assumption that firms do not care how many dividend payment. But Modigliani and Miller (1961) considered that Gordon (1959) and Lintner (1956) argument’s is a mistake. Modigliani and Miller used the term "the bird in the hand fallacy" which he said is ultimately investors will reinvest dividends received on the same firm or firms that have almost the same risk. 2.1.3. Theory of tax-preference The theory put forward by Litzenberger and Ramaswamy (1979) that if dividends are taxed at a higher amount than the tax on capital gains, investors want the dividends are distributed in small quantities with a purpose to maximizing the value of the company. The tax preference theory claims that investors prefer lower payout firms for tax reasons ,long-term capital gains allow the investor to delay tax payment until they decide to sell the stock. Because of time value of money effects, tax paid immediately has a higher cost than the same tax paid in the future (Brennan, 1970; Elton and Gruber, 1970; Litzenberger and
  • 5. 5 Ramaswamy, 1979; Litzenberger and Ramaswamy, 1982; Kalay, 1982; John and Williams, 1985; Miller and Rock, 1985; Ambarish et al., 1987). 2.1.4. Signaling theory Dividend signaling theory was first proposed by Bhattacharya (1979). Dividend signaling theory has been an underlying assumption that announcement about changes of cash dividends have the information content of stock price reaction. This theory explains that the information about cash dividends, beneficial to the investor as a signal of the firm's prospects for the future. This assumption is due to the presence of asymmetric information between managers and investors, so investors using dividend policy as a signal about the firm's prospects. Increase in the dividends will be considered as a positive signal, which means the firm has good prospects, giving to positive share price reaction. Conversely, if there is a decrease of dividends will be considered as a negative signal, which means the firm has a prospect that is not so good, giving to negative stock price reaction. 2.1.5. The agency explanation The relation between the owners and the managers of a company is an agency relationship: The owners are the principals and the managers are the agents. Management is charged with acting in the best interests of the owners. Nevertheless, there are possibilities for conflicts between the interests of the two (Fabozzi, 2010). Easterbrook (1984), Jensen (1986) state that if the firm pays a dividends, funds are paid out to shareholders. If the firm needs additional funds, it could be raised by issuing new securities; in this event, shareholders wishing to reinvest the funds received as dividends in the firm could buy these new securities. One view of the role of dividends is that the payment of dividends therefore reduces the cash flow in the hands of management, reducing the possibility that managers will invest funds in unprofitable investment opportunities. 2.1.6. Clientele effect According to Gitman (2015), clientele effect is the argument that different payout policies attract different types of investors but still do not change the value of the firm. According to the clientele effect (Pettit, 1977), the different group (clientele) of shareholders will have different preferences on dividend policy. Group of shareholders who need income now more like a dividend payout ratio (DPR) is high. Instead a group of shareholders who are not so need the money today is more pleased if the firms hold the majority of the firm's profits. If most of the firm’s shareholders have high dividend demand, the firm considers paying high dividends. Inversely, if most of firm’s shareholders have low demand for dividends, the firm considers keeping profits as retained earnings rather than paying high dividends. 2.1.7. Catering theory of dividend Baker and Wurgler (2004) argued that according to the catering theory of dividends, the firm pays the dividends to investors depend on dividend premium, as measured by
  • 6. 6 differences in market-to-book (M / B) ratio among firms that pay dividends with firms that do not pay dividends , When the dividend premium increases (because investors prefer dividends have paid a high price for the firm's stock), the firm tends to pay dividends. On the other hand, firms tend not to pay dividends when the dividend premium down. 2.2 Definition of the Variables 2.2.1 Dividend Payout Ratio Dividend payout ratio indicates the percentage of each dollar earned that is distributed to the owner in the form of cash. It is calculated by dividing the firm’s cash dividend per share by its earning per share (Gitman, 2015). 2.2.2 Profitability Definition of profitability according to Gitman (2015), is the relationship between the revenues and costs generated by the using of firm’s asset both current and fixed in productive activities. Firms can increase their profitability by increasing its revenues or decreasing its costs or both. He et al. (2012) wrote that firms with higher profitability imply that they have more free cash flows. Some firms pay dividends either for their own consumption or for building a good reputation through dividends payments and thus maintaining the competitiveness in financial markets. Their profitability are found a positive relation. Thanatawee (2011) examined the effect of profitability on the dividend payout on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and found that profitability had a positive effect. Afza and Mirza (2011) also found that profitability have positive effect to dividend payout. In addition Kania and Bacon (2005) found that profitability negatively affect the dividend payout. Anil and Kapoor (2008), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found no effect of profitability on the dividend payout ratio. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows: Ha1: There is a significant effect of profitability to dividend payout ratio. 2.2.3 Liquidity Gitman (2015) states that liquidity is a firm’s ability to satisfy its short-term obligations as they come due. Jensen (1986) stated that the managers may benefit themselves with cash surplus; therefore, a firm should pay dividends to reduce free cash flow and protect the managers to spend more cash in unavailing projects. Paying dividends is then a mechanism to control the agency problem. Thanatawee (2011) found a positive effect of liquidity on the dividend payout on the Stock Exchange of Thailand. Ramli and Arfan (2011) also found a positive effect of liquidity on the dividend payout in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Meanwhile, Rehman and Takumi (2012) found a negative effect of liquidity on the dividend payout at the Karachi Stock Exchange. Besides Kim and Gu (2009), Gill et al. (2010), Al-Kuwari (2009); Yiadom and Agyei (2011), Al-Shubiri (2011), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found that liquidity does not affect the dividend payout. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows:
  • 7. 7 Ha2: There is a significant effect of liquidity to dividend payout ratio. 2.2.4 Financial Leverage According to Gitman (2015), financial leverage is the use of fixed financial costs to magnify the effects of changes in earnings before interest and taxes on the firm’s earnings per share. According to Yan and Kam (2012). dividend decreases actually increase the debts of a firm. For firms, they need to maintain their internal cash flow to pay their fixed financial charges rather than distribute the cash to shareholders because failures to meet this obligation may lead the firm into risk. For those who have high financial leverage, they have a tendency to reduce the transaction costs by lowing payout ratios. Alisinaei and Habibi (2012) found a positive effect of financial leverage on dividend payout in the Tehran Stock Exchange. Fumey and Doku (2013) also found a positive effect of financial leverage on dividend payout. Rozeff (1982) and Jensen (1986), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found that financial leverage negatively affect the dividend payout. While Hadiwidjaja (2007), Alzomaia and Al-Khadhiri (2013), Zhang and Jia (2014) found that financial leverage does not affect the dividend payout ratio. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows: Ha3: There is a significant effect of financial leverage to dividend payout ratio. 2.2.5 Sales Growth Brigham and Houston (2011) states that the sales growth is an increase in sales from year to year or from time to time. A company whose sales are relatively stable can safely take on debt in larger quantities and issued burden remains higher than the company whose sales are not stable”. Rozeff (1982) found that a growth firm tries to retain internal finance and limit its dividend payment due to the costs of using external borrowings that are commonly higher than costs of using internal funds. A firm with high growth then requires a large amount of financing to invest in its projects, so they retain their income and not to pay dividends. Kania and Bacon (2005) found a positive effect of sales growth to the dividend payout. When firms achieve high sales, the firm will strive to satisfy investors through dividends. Fumey and Doku (2013), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found a negative effect of sales growth to the dividend payout. While Alzomaia and Al-Khadhiri (2013) found no effect of sales growth to the dividend payout in Saudi Arabia. Mardiyati et al. (2014) also found no effect of sales growth to the dividend payout in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows: Ha4: There is a significant effect of sales growth to dividend payout ratio. 2.2.6 Business Risk Gitman (2015) states that business risk is the risk to the firm of being unable to cover operating cost. Business risk may negatively impact on the operations or profitability of a given firm. When current profits and expected future profits are uncertain, a firm confronts to
  • 8. 8 the business risk. Hence, a firm is impossible to pay high dividend as profits increase (Jensen, Solberg, & Zorn, 1992). Fumey and Doku (2013) in Ghana and Musiega et al. (2013) in Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya find a positive effect of business risk to the dividend payout. While Rozeff (1982) and Al-Shubiri (2011) found a negative effect of business risk to the dividend payout. However the results of Kim and Gu, (2009), Al-Kuwari (2009) Yiadom and Agyei (2011), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) showed no effect of business risk to the dividend payout ratio. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows: Ha5: There is a significant effect of business risk to dividend payout ratio. 2.2.7 Investment Opportunities Investment Opportunity is a corporate value that depends on expenditures set management in the future, which is currently the investment options that are expected to generate huge returns (Gaver and Gaver, 1993). According to the pecking order hypothesis proposed by Myers and Majluf (1984), those who have high growth and investment opportunities are likely to demand more internal funds to finance their future investments, and thus they are tend to pay few or no dividends. Afza and Mirza (2011) in Pakistan and Musiega et al. (2013) in Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya find a positive effect of investment opportunities to the dividend payout. Thanatawee (2011), Alisinaei and Habibi (2012), Rehman and Takumi (2012), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found a negative effect of investment opportunities to the dividend payout ratio. While Zhang and Jia (2014), Anil and Kapoor (2008), Gill et al. (2010) found no effect of investment opportunities to the dividend payout ratio. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows: Ha6: There is a significant effect of investment opportunities to dividend payout ratio. 2.2.8 Firm Size Size refers to how large or small a firm is measures by firm’s market value. Company size has affected company’s risk and net adjusted return. If the company size is small then the risk will be higher than the company with large size because company with lage size has diverse its risk into different investments (Reilly and Brown, 2012). Normally a larger size of a firm implies that it is in a mature stage. These kind of large firms are more likely to pay dividends because it‘s easier for them to generate ample amounts of cash and they have faded good opportunities for their investment (Fama & French, 2002). Thanatawee (2011), Musiega et al. (2013), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) found a positive effect of firm size to the dividend payout ratio. Fumey and Doku (2013), Zhang and Jia (2014) found a negative effect of firm size to the dividend payout. While Afza and Mirza (2011) found no effect of firm size on the dividend payout ratio. In this paper, their research can be summarized as follows: Ha7: There is a significant effect of firm size to dividend payout ratio.
  • 9. 9 2.3 Research Model Figure 1. Research Model 3. Research Methodology 3.1 Data Collection The sample in this study is 246 samples, consists 41 real estate and property firms listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) during 2009-2014. All data was obtained from the Indonesia Stock Exchange, Fact Book, and the Indonesia Capital Market Directory. 3.2 Tobit Regression Model Dividend Payout Ratio has unique characteristics, which only has two possible values; zero value (not pay dividend) and a positive value (pay dividend). Therefore, it is necessary to use Tobit regression analysis (Gujarati,2004: 616). Statistically, Tobit models can be shown as follows: Yi = β1 + β2 Xi + μi if RHS > 0 Yi = 0 otherwise
  • 10. 10 where RHS = right-hand side or the right side that is not worth 0, Gujarati (2004, 616). Tobit regression model above can be applied to the regression model used in this study as follows. DIV = a + b1PROF + b2LIQ + b3DTE + b4GROW + b5RISK + b6MTB + b7SIZE + е if RHS > 0 DIV = 0 otherwise Description: DIV = Dividend Payout Ratio; a = the intercept of the regression equation; b1, b2, b3, b4, b5, b6, b7 = linear regression coefficient for each independent variable; PROF = Profitability; LIQ = Liquidity; DTE = Financial leverage; GROW = Sales growth; RISK = Business risk; MTB = Investment opportunities; SIZE = Firm size; e = Error regression The following Table 2 presents the measurements of variables. After all of data compiled into the panel data, then all of data is processed using EViews 7. Table 2. Measurements of Variables Symbols Description Measurement DIV Dividend payout ratio (in percentage) Cash dividends of Common Stock / Income before Extraordinary Items – Minority Interest – Cash Dividends of Preferred Stock) * 100 PROF Return on Assets Net Income / Average of the beginning balance and ending balance) * 100 LIQ Cash flow per share (Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization + Other Noncash Adjustments + Changes in Non- cash Working Capital) / Average total number of shares outstanding DTE Debt to Equity ratio (Total Liabilities/Total Common Equity)*100 GROW Change in sales per year ((Net sales for the current period / Net sales for the last period) -1)*100 RISK Variability in return on asset The standard deviation of the firm’s return on assets in time t and t-1 MTB Ratio of stock price to book value per share Price to Book Ratio = Last Price / Book Value Per Share SIZE The natural logarithm of current market capitalization The natural logarithm of current market capitalization time t 4. Results Tobit regression results are shown in Table 3. Profitability (PROF) has a positive and significant impact on the dividend payout at 5% confidence level. A firm with high profitability able to utilize its assets to generate greater profits than firms with low profitability. Therefore, firms with high profitability prefers to distribute dividend to satisfy investors. Further, investors willing to buy shares at high prices, thereby increasing the firm's value,then firm easier to obtain external funding. These results are consistent with research
  • 11. 11 He et al. (2012), Thanatawee (2011), Afza and Mirza (2011) who found the positive effect of profitability to dividend payout ratio. Table 3. Results of Regression Tobit Variables Coefficients Prob. C -549.605500 0.000100 PROF 3.426762 0.036100* LIQ 0.036982 0.409800 DTE 0.004155 0.954200 GROW -0.044058 0.678000 RISK -2.418080 0.055500 MTB -0.103343 0.826200 SIZE 17.395970 0.000300* Log Likelihood function= -727.1062; N= 246 Note: *significant at 5% confidence level. Firm Size (SIZE) also has a positive and significant impact on the dividend payout at 5% confidence level. Firms with a large size is more like to pay dividends than small firms, because large firms want to providing a positive signal about the condition of firm to investors. While smaller firms tend not to pay dividends, because the profits were used to new investments to improve the firm's growth. These results are consistent with research Fama and French (2002), Thanatawee (2011), Musiega et al. (2013), Komrattanapanya and Suntrauk (2013) who found a positive effect of firm size on the dividend payout ratio. In addition, Table 3 also shows that liquidity (LIQ), financial leverage (DTE), sales growth (GROW), business risk (RISK), and investment opportunities (MTB) are not statistically significant at the 5% confidence level. Firms with high level of liquidity tend to pay dividends aim to reducing agency problems. Firms with high level of financial leverage, sales growth, business risk and investment opportunities tends to retaining their cash for debt settlement and/or new investment, rather than paying dividends. However, some firms with high financial leverage also tends to pay dividends. That means profits derived from the use of debt is greater than the cost of debt, so the residual profits are distributed to the investors as dividend. 5. Conclusion The aim of this study was to find the factors that affect dividend payout ratio in real estate and property firms in Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study empirically proved that profitability and firm size significantly affect the dividend payout ratio. Results of this study useful for investors to make the right decision in stock investment and the factors which affect the dividend payout ratio. Recommended to investors who expect a high dividends to invest in firms that have high profitability, as the firm is able to optimize its assets to generate earnings. The earnings will be distributed to investors in the form of dividend.
  • 12. 12 This study also suggests investors who expect high dividends to invest in large firms. Firms with large size more likely to pay dividend than firms with small size. Large firms prefer to pay dividend, because they want to create positive signal to the investors about their performance. In addition, financial managers want to signal that their firms are performing outstanding and better than market average, so that the market prices of stocks will increase, resulting in an increase in firms’ value. Moreover, it can increase opportunities to easily access financial supports from financial institutions. Moreover, results of this research beneficial for financial managers. Financial managers can use this results as reference to make decision about dividend payout ratio, financial budgeting, and strategic planning. They would be able to decide whether firms should keep retained earnings for future projects, for debt settlement, and/or for dividend payout. Nonetheless, this study give empirically evidence that liquidity, financial leverage, sales growth, business risk, and investment opportunities insignificantly related to dividend payout decision. Limitations of this study is only uses one industrial sector (real estate and property), so that the conclusions of this study might just fit to the real estate and property firms. That happens because of different business cycles in each sectors, so that very possible the influence of independent variables to the dividend payout ratio is different in each sector. For further study, the authors will expand the research object by grouping all firms in IDX based IDX sectors. Thus we able to know about characteristics of dividend payout ratio in each sectors. Further study also uses research’s period longer than six years, and thus more able to explain the overall variables studied. References Afza, Talat and Hammad Hassan Mirza. (2011). Institutional shareholdings and corporate dividend policy in Pakistan, African Journal of Business Management Vol. 5 (22), pp. 8941-8951, 30 September, 2011. Alisinaei, Hassan and Leila Habibi. (2012). An investigation of factors relevant to payout ratio in listed firms on the Tehran Stock Exchange. International Journal of Multidisciplinary Management Studies Vol.2 Issue 2, February 2012, ISSN 2249 8834, page 22-37. Al-Kuwari, D. (2009). Determinants of the dividend policy in Emerging Stock Exchanges: The case of GCC countries. Global Economy & Finance Journal, 2, 38-63. Al-Shubiri, F. N. (2011). Determinants of changes dividend behavior policy: Evidence from the Amman Stock Exchange. Far East Journal of Psychology and Business, 4, 1-15. Alzomaia, Turki SF and Ahmed Al-Khadhiri. (2013). Determination of Dividend Policy: The Evidence from Saudi Arabia, International Journal of Business and Social Science Vol. 4 No. 1; January 2013 page 181-192. Ambarish, R., John, K., Williams, J. (1987). Efficient signalling with dividends and investments. Journal of Finance 32, 321-343.
  • 13. 13 Anil K., and Kapoor, S. (2008). Determinants of dividend payout ratios - a study of Indian Information technology sector. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 15, 1- 9. Baker, M., and Wurgler, J. (2004). A catering theory of dividends. The Journal of Finance, 59, 1125- 1165. Bhattacharya, S. (1979), Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy and the Bird in the Hand Fallacy. Bell Journal of Economics, 10(1), 259-270. Brennan, M. (1970). Taxes, market valuation and corporate financial policy. National Tax Journal, 23, 417-427. Brigham, Eugene F., and Joel F. Houston, 2009. Dasar-Dasar Manajemen Keuangan, 10th edition. Jakarta: Salemba Empat. Easterbrook, F.H. (1984). Two agency-cost explanations of dividends. American Economic Review. 74, 650-659. Elton, E. J., and Gruber, M. J. (1970). Marginal stockholder tax rates and the clientele effect. Review of Economics and Statistics, 52, 68-74. Fabozzi, Frank J., and Pamela Peterson Drake, 2010, The Basic of Finance. New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons Inc. Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2002). Testing trade-off and pecking order predictions about dividends and debt. The Review of Financial Studies, 15(1), 1-33. Fumey, Abel and Isaac Doku. (2013), Dividend payout ratio in Ghana: Does the pecking order theory hold good?, Journal of Emerging Issues in Economics, Finance and Banking (JEIEFB) Volume:2 No.2 August 2013 page 616-637. Gaver, J.J., and Gaver, K.M. (1993). Additional Evidence on The Association Between The Investment Opportunity Set and Corporate Financing Dividend, and Compesation Policies, Journal of Accounting and Economic. pp. 125-160. Gill. A., Biger, N., and Tibrewala, R. (2010). Determinants of dividend payout ratios: Evidence from United States. The Open Business Journal, 3, 8-14. Gitman, Lawrence J. and Chad J.Zutter. 2015. Principles of Managerial Finance, 14th Edition. England: Pearson Education Limited. Gordon, M. (1959). Dividends, earnings, and stock prices. Review of Economics and Statistics, 41, 99-105. Gujarati, Damodar N., and Dawn C. Porter. 2004. Basic Economertics, fifth edition. New York: McGraw-Hill. He, T., Li, W., & Tang, G. (2012). Dividends Behavior in State- Versus Family-Controlled Firms: Evidence from Hong Kong. Journal Of Business Ethics, 110(1), 97-112. Jensen, G., Solberg, D., & Zorn, T. (1992). Simultaneous determination of insider ownership, debt, and dividend policies. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 27, 274-263.
  • 14. 14 Jensen, M. C. (1986). Agency costs of free cash flow, corporate finance and takeovers. American Economic Review, 76, 323-329. Jensen, M.C., and Meckling, W.H. (1976). Theory of the firm: managerial behavior, agency costs, and ownership structure. Journal of Finance. Econ. 3, 305]360. John, K., and Williams, J. (1985). Dividends, dilution and taxes: a signaling equilibrium. The Journal of Finance, 40, 1053-1070. Kalay, A. (1982). The ex-dividend day behaviour of stock prices: A re-examination of the clientele effect. The Journal of Finance, 37, 1059-1070. Kania, S. L., and Bacon, F. W. (2005). What factors motivate the corporate dividend decision?. ASBBS E-Journal, 1, 97-107. Kim, H., and Gu, Z. (2009). Financial features of dividend-paying firms in the hospitality industry: A logistic regression analysis. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 28, 359–366. Komrattanapanya, Pornumpai and Phassawan Suntrauk. (2013). Factors Influencing Dividend Payout in Thailand: A Tobit Regression Analysis, International Journal of Accounting and Financial Reporting Vol. 3, No. 2 page 255-268. Lintner, J. (1956). Distribution of incomes of corporations among dividends, retained earnings, and taxes. American Economic Review, 46, 97-113. Mardiyati, Umi., Destyarsah Nusrati, and Hamidah. (2014). Influence of free cash flow, return on assets, total assets turnover and sales growth to dividend payout ratio. Jurnal Riset Manajemen Sains Indonesia (JRMSI) Vol. 5, No. 2, 2014 page 204-221. Marfo-Yiadom, E., and Agyei, S. K. (2011). Determinants of dividend policy of banks in Ghana. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 61, 99-108. Miller, M. H., and Modigliani, F. (1961). Dividend policy, growth, and the valuation of shares. The Journal of Business, 34, 411-433. Miller, M. H., and Rock, K. (1985). Dividend policy under asymmetric information. The Journal of Finance, 40, 1031-1051. Musiega, Maniagi G., Ondiek B. Alala, Musiega Douglas, Maokomba O. Christopher, and Egessa Robert. (2013). Determinants Of Dividend Payout Policy Among Non-Financial Firms On Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya. International Journal Of Scientific and technology research, Vol 2, page 253-266. Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information the investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 187-221. Pettit, R. R. (1977). Tax, transaction costs and the clientele effect of dividends. Journal of Financial Economics, 5, 419-436. Ramli, Muhammad R and Muhammad Arfan. (2011). Influence of Income, Operating Cash Flow, Free Cash Flow, and last cash dividends to cash dividends. (Study in manufacture sector listed in IDX), Jurnal Telaah & Riset Akuntansi, Vol. 4. No. 2. July 2011 Hal. 126 – 138.
  • 15. 15 Rehman, Abdul and Haruto Takumi. (2012). Determinants of dividend payout ratio: evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE). Journal of Contemporary Issues in Business Research, Vol. 1, No. 1, 20-27. Reilly, Frank K., and Keith C. Brown. (2012). Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management, 10 edition. South-Western: Cengage Learning. Rozeff, M. (1982). Growth, beta and agency costs as determinants of dividend payout ratios. Journal of Financial Research, 5, 249-259. Thanatawee, Yordying. (2011). Life-Cycle Theory and Free Cash Flow Hypothesis: Evidence from Dividend Policy in Thailand, International Journal of Financial Research Vol. 2, No. 2; July 2011, page 52-60. Tin-yan, L., & Shu-kam, L. (2012). Family ownership, board committees and firm performance: Evidence from hongkong.Corporate Governance, 12(3), 353-366. Zhang, Xuanfeng and Fu Jia. (2014), Does Ownership Structure Matter for Dividend Yield? Evidence from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Business and Economic Research 2162-4860 2014, Vol. 4, No. 2 page 204-221. Central Bureau of Indonesia Statistics (Badan Pusat Statistik). Fact Book IDX 2009-2015. Indoensia Capital Market Directory 2008-2014. Indonesia Stock Exchange.