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CRITERIA	
  FOR	
  BUSINESS	
  LONGEVITY:	
  
Does	
  a	
  pure	
  Darwinian	
  approach	
  
work?	
  
©	
  North	
  Delta	
  College	
  2015	
  	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   1	
  
INTRODUCTION	
  
Long-­‐Term	
  business	
  survival	
  is	
  the	
  final	
  aim	
  of	
  any	
  new	
  venture.	
  
	
  	
  
This	
  is	
  why	
  Business	
  people	
  and	
  Business	
  Theorists	
  were	
  among	
  
the	
  first	
  to	
  apply	
  Darwin	
  Theory	
  outside	
  its	
  original	
  framework	
  to	
  
try	
  to	
  understand	
  Economic	
  superiority.	
  
	
  	
  
We	
  will	
  show	
  in	
  this	
  short	
  presentaTon	
  why	
  this	
  approach	
  is	
  not	
  
enough	
  as	
  it	
  misses	
  a	
  key	
  fact:	
  Money,	
  originally,	
  doesn't	
  come	
  
from	
  the	
  Outside	
  Environment.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   2	
  
SUMMARY	
  
	
  	
  
IntroducTon	
  
	
  	
  
PART	
  1:	
  A	
  Business	
  Formula:	
  E=	
  MC2	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  A)	
  the	
  formula	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  B)	
  understanding	
  where	
  it	
  comes	
  from	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  C)	
  the	
  3	
  dimensions	
  for	
  Business	
  Survival	
  
	
  	
  
PART	
  2	
  :	
  System	
  theory	
  
	
  	
  A)	
  the	
  inner	
  part	
  
	
  	
  B)	
  the	
  outside	
  environment	
  
	
  	
  C)	
  the	
  Darwinian	
  statement	
  
	
  	
  
PART	
  3	
  :	
  The	
  Financial	
  Flows	
  
	
  	
  A)	
  model	
  for	
  a	
  Business	
  Ecosystem	
  
	
  	
  B)	
  what	
  Darwin	
  misses	
  
	
  	
  C)	
  funding:	
  neither	
  inside	
  nor	
  outside	
  
	
  	
  D)	
  the	
  financial	
  tap	
  
	
  	
  E)	
  what	
  opens	
  the	
  tap	
  
	
  	
  
PART	
  4	
  :	
  The	
  Final	
  statement	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   3	
  
PART	
  1:	
  A	
  BUSINESS	
  FORMULA:	
  E	
  =	
  MC2	
  
	
  
Our	
  key	
  criteria	
  for	
  understanding	
  proper	
  business	
  performance	
  for	
  the	
  long	
  term	
  as	
  
well	
  as	
  shorter	
  business	
  cycles	
  is	
  the	
  following	
  formula:	
  
	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  E	
  =	
  MC2	
  
	
  	
  
Where	
  E	
  stands	
  for	
  Excellence	
  
M	
  stands	
  for	
  MoTvaTon	
  of	
  Employee	
  
C	
  stands	
  for	
  Customer	
  SaTsfacTon	
  
C	
  stands	
  for	
  Consolidated	
  Profit	
  
	
  	
  
The	
  3	
  barometer	
  indicators	
  to	
  weather	
  the	
  economic	
  storm	
  and	
  lead	
  your	
  ship	
  to	
  the	
  
right	
  port.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   4	
  
THE	
  FORMULA	
  
Comments	
  on	
  the	
  Formula	
  	
  
These	
  are	
  the	
  3	
  final	
  KPI	
  while	
  leading	
  a	
  business.	
  The	
  minimal	
  
leadership	
  kit.	
  
	
  	
  
Business	
  management	
  in	
  one	
  single	
  stance.	
  
	
  	
  
Nothing	
  can	
  prove	
  such	
  a	
  formula	
  however	
  it	
  has	
  been	
  empirically	
  
tested	
  managing	
  real	
  businesses	
  and	
  is	
  therefore	
  far	
  more	
  than	
  a	
  
model.	
  It	
  will	
  be	
  our	
  starTng	
  point,	
  our	
  iniTal	
  strategic	
  insight	
  onto	
  
what	
  triggers	
  superior	
  economic	
  performance	
  and	
  understand	
  business	
  
survival	
  on	
  short	
  economic	
  cycles	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  longer	
  ones.	
  
	
  	
  
This	
  will	
  lead	
  us	
  naturally	
  to	
  criteria	
  for	
  business	
  longevity.	
  
	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   5	
  
PART	
  1:	
  A	
  BUSINESS	
  FORMULA:	
  E	
  =	
  MC2	
  
	
  
There	
  are	
  therefore	
  3	
  components	
  on	
  the	
  right	
  hand	
  side	
  of	
  the	
  equaTon.	
  The	
  
3	
  dimensions	
  we	
  want	
  to	
  explore.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
1.	
  MoTvaTon	
  of	
  employees	
  indicates	
  a	
  crystallisaTon	
  of	
  the	
  inner	
  workings	
  of	
  
the	
  company	
  
2.	
  Customer	
  SaTsfacTon	
  indicates	
  the	
  most	
  important	
  KPI	
  In	
  the	
  External	
  
environment	
  
3.	
  Consolidated	
  Profit	
  is	
  the	
  most	
  powerful	
  financial	
  indicator	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   6	
  
	
  Understanding	
  where	
  the	
  formula	
  comes	
  from	
  	
  
PART	
  1:	
  A	
  BUSINESS	
  FORMULA:	
  E	
  =	
  MC2	
  
	
  
E	
  =	
  MC2	
  
Inner	
  Workings	
  
External	
  Environment	
  
Financial	
  Flow	
  
These	
  are	
  therefore	
  the	
  3	
  dimensions	
  we	
  will	
  consider	
  for	
  studying	
  Business	
  
Survival	
  and	
  Business	
  Longevity.	
  
	
  	
  
1.	
  The	
  inner	
  working	
  of	
  the	
  Business	
  OrganisaTon	
  seen	
  as	
  an	
  holisTc	
  EnTty	
  
2.	
  The	
  outside	
  Environment	
  
3.	
  The	
  Financial	
  requirements	
  
	
  	
  
In	
  the	
  remainder	
  of	
  this	
  presentaTon	
  we	
  will	
  describe	
  these	
  3	
  dimensions	
  using	
  
more	
  structural	
  maths	
  and	
  in	
  parTcular	
  concepts	
  from	
  System	
  Theory	
  and	
  this	
  will	
  
naturally	
  lead	
  us	
  to	
  the	
  Business	
  Longevity	
  Criteria	
  we	
  are	
  looking	
  for.	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   7	
  
The	
  3	
  dimensions	
  for	
  Business	
  Survival	
  	
  	
  
PART	
  1:	
  A	
  BUSINESS	
  FORMULA:	
  E	
  =	
  MC2	
  
	
  
IntroducTon	
  	
  
In	
  some	
  sense,	
  businesses	
  can	
  be	
  seen	
  as	
  Systems,	
  where	
  the	
  business	
  
organisaTon	
  is	
  seen	
  as	
  the	
  system,	
  that	
  is	
  the	
  inside	
  part.	
  	
  
	
  	
  
This	
  system	
  lives	
  in	
  an	
  environment	
  ("the	
  outside	
  part")	
  where	
  it	
  has	
  to	
  struggle	
  
for	
  its	
  survival.	
  
	
  	
  
This	
  is	
  in	
  fact	
  nothing	
  more	
  than	
  a	
  glorified	
  Darwin	
  Theory.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   8	
  
PART	
  2:	
  SYSTEM	
  THEORY	
  
THE ENVIRONMENT
SYSTEM
=
THE
BUSINESS
The	
  Inner	
  part	
  	
  
The	
  inner	
  part	
  is	
  the	
  business	
  organisaTon	
  itself.	
  
In	
  a	
  former	
  presentaTon,	
  we	
  have	
  depicted	
  it	
  as	
  the	
  set	
  of	
  all	
  the	
  
processes	
  that	
  makes	
  the	
  business	
  run.	
  
This	
  model	
  remains	
  valid	
  in	
  our	
  Systems	
  approach	
  to	
  business	
  survival	
  
and	
  longevity.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   9	
  
PART	
  2:	
  SYSTEM	
  THEORY	
  
THE BUSINESS
ORGANISATION
 The	
  outside	
  environment	
  	
  
The	
  outer	
  part	
  is	
  made	
  up	
  of	
  the	
  Environment	
  in	
  which	
  the	
  Business	
  (or	
  
the	
  system)	
  has	
  to	
  survive.	
  
	
  	
  
The	
  environment	
  generates	
  opportuniTes,	
  like	
  customers;	
  threats,	
  like	
  
compeTtors	
  and	
  constraints,	
  like	
  regulaTons,	
  taxes	
  etc...	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   10	
  
PART	
  2:	
  SYSTEM	
  THEORY	
  
THE ENVIRONMENT
2. Threats
1. Opportunities 3. Constraints
The	
  Darwinian	
  statement	
  	
  
This	
  system	
  model	
  is	
  basically	
  the	
  Darwinian	
  approach.	
  
	
  	
  
Darwin	
  Theory	
  tells	
  us	
  the	
  different	
  systems	
  compete	
  among	
  themselves	
  to	
  
survive	
  in	
  the	
  same	
  environment.	
  The	
  systems	
  that	
  survive	
  are	
  those	
  who	
  can	
  
adapt	
  themselves	
  the	
  best	
  to	
  the	
  given	
  environment	
  and	
  its	
  changes.	
  
	
  	
  
In	
  one	
  statement:	
  survival	
  of	
  the	
  fieest.	
  
	
  	
  
That	
  is:	
  business	
  longevity	
  comes	
  from	
  adaptability	
  and	
  responsiveness	
  to	
  the	
  
environment.	
  
	
  	
  
We	
  will	
  precisely	
  see	
  that	
  this	
  approach	
  misses	
  something	
  major:	
  
The	
  existence	
  of	
  Money	
  or	
  Cash	
  in	
  the	
  Universe	
  	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   11	
  
PART	
  2:	
  SYSTEM	
  THEORY	
  
Model	
  for	
  a	
  Business	
  Ecosystem	
  	
  
What	
  does	
  Business	
  Management	
  Theory	
  tell	
  us?	
  
	
  	
  
The	
  main	
  objecTve	
  of	
  any	
  business	
  organisaTon	
  is	
  increased	
  returns	
  to	
  the	
  
shareholders	
  of	
  the	
  company.	
  
	
  	
  
i.e.	
  The	
  existence	
  of	
  the	
  financial	
  flow.	
  
	
  	
  
The	
  key	
  result	
  we	
  want	
  to	
  achieve	
  in	
  our	
  model	
  of	
  the	
  business	
  ecosystem	
  is	
  
the	
  fact	
  that	
  Money	
  iniTally	
  is	
  neither	
  inside	
  the	
  organisaTon,	
  nor	
  in	
  the	
  
environment	
  and	
  requires	
  another	
  dimension	
  missed	
  by	
  System	
  Theory	
  or	
  
Darwin.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   12	
  
PART	
  3:	
  THE	
  FINANCIAL	
  FLOWS	
  
Our	
  model	
  	
  
This	
  is	
  how	
  our	
  model	
  looks	
  like:	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
We	
  sTll	
  have	
  the	
  system	
  and	
  its	
  environment,	
  but	
  in	
  addiTon,	
  to	
  the	
  boeom	
  
of	
  the	
  system	
  (i.e.	
  The	
  business	
  organisaTon)	
  we	
  integrate	
  a	
  transverse	
  flow	
  
going	
  backwards.	
  This	
  flow	
  is	
  the	
  life	
  injecTng	
  flow	
  inside	
  the	
  organisaTon.	
  It	
  
is	
  a	
  form	
  of	
  Energy,	
  and	
  in	
  Economic	
  terms	
  it	
  is	
  called	
  The	
  Funding	
  flow.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   13	
  
PART	
  3:	
  THE	
  FINANCIAL	
  FLOWS	
  
Our	
  model	
  	
  
It	
  is	
  very	
  important	
  to	
  understand	
  the	
  structure	
  of	
  the	
  financial	
  flow	
  inside	
  the	
  
organisaTon.	
  
	
  	
  
Fundamentally,	
  there	
  are	
  2	
  financial	
  flows	
  inside	
  any	
  living	
  business	
  organisaTon:	
  
A)	
  the	
  entering	
  flow,	
  coming	
  from	
  Sales	
  &	
  Revenues	
  
B)	
  the	
  out-­‐ward	
  flow	
  ,	
  to	
  pay	
  the	
  expenses	
  related	
  to	
  the	
  business	
  
	
  	
  
The	
  non-­‐trivial	
  statement	
  is	
  that	
  this	
  second	
  outward	
  flow	
  comes	
  iniTally	
  from	
  a	
  separate	
  
in-­‐going	
  flow	
  that	
  we	
  could	
  call	
  funding	
  which	
  has	
  a	
  different	
  source	
  from	
  the	
  other	
  
ingoing	
  flow,	
  namely	
  sales.	
  
	
  Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   14	
  
PART	
  3:	
  THE	
  FINANCIAL	
  FLOWS	
  
What	
  Darwin	
  misses	
  	
  
The	
  source	
  of	
  this	
  funding	
  flow	
  is	
  not	
  in	
  the	
  environment.	
  No	
  maeer	
  how	
  responsive	
  you	
  
are	
  to	
  the	
  outside	
  realm,	
  the	
  iniTal	
  cash	
  or	
  energy	
  injecTon	
  will	
  be	
  provided	
  for	
  another	
  
reason.	
  
	
  	
  
Therefore	
  ,	
  contrarily	
  to	
  Darwin,	
  we	
  state	
  that	
  in	
  the	
  business	
  jungle,	
  it	
  is	
  not	
  just	
  about	
  
the	
  survival	
  of	
  the	
  fieest.	
  
	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   15	
  
PART	
  3:	
  THE	
  FINANCIAL	
  FLOWS	
  
Funding:	
  neither	
  inside	
  nor	
  outside	
  	
  
This	
  funding	
  flow	
  is	
  therefore	
  de-­‐coupled	
  from	
  the	
  flow	
  coming	
  from	
  the	
  
customers	
  in	
  the	
  environment.	
  
	
  	
  
Furthermore	
  it	
  doesn't	
  come	
  either	
  from	
  the	
  internal	
  energy	
  or	
  internal	
  cash	
  of	
  
the	
  system.	
  	
  
	
  	
  
It	
  is	
  therefore	
  neither	
  inside,	
  nor	
  outside.	
  This	
  is	
  precisely	
  what	
  tradiTonal	
  
System	
  Theory	
  misses.	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   16	
  
PART	
  3:	
  THE	
  FINANCIAL	
  FLOWS	
  
The	
  financial	
  tap	
  	
  
Where	
  does	
  this	
  funding	
  flow	
  originate	
  
from?	
  
Let	
  us	
  zoom	
  in	
  our	
  picture.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   17	
  
PART	
  3:	
  THE	
  FINANCIAL	
  FLOWS	
  
We	
  see	
  that	
  at	
  the	
  entrance	
  inside	
  the	
  organisaTon,	
  the	
  funding	
  flow	
  has	
  a	
  door	
  or	
  a	
  tap,	
  
which	
  has	
  3	
  posiTons:	
  
-­‐	
  closed:	
  funding	
  not	
  allowed	
  
-­‐	
  open:	
  funding	
  allowed	
  
-­‐	
  volume:	
  if	
  allowed,	
  how	
  many	
  units	
  of	
  Energy	
  goes	
  in	
  
	
  	
  
We	
  can	
  also	
  see	
  that	
  this	
  is	
  slightly	
  more	
  complicated	
  than	
  the	
  concept	
  of	
  gate	
  in	
  computer	
  
science	
  which	
  has	
  only	
  2	
  posiTons	
  (on/off)	
  
	
  
What	
  opens	
  the	
  tap	
  	
  
Now	
  the	
  real	
  quesTon:	
  what	
  opens	
  the	
  tap	
  and	
  controls	
  the	
  volume?	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
Anglo-­‐Saxon	
  business	
  management	
  theory	
  says	
  that	
  this	
  tap	
  opens	
  when	
  
shareholders	
  sense	
  they	
  will	
  make	
  superior	
  return	
  when	
  invesTng	
  in	
  the	
  
organisaTon.	
  
	
  	
  
We	
  challenge	
  this	
  very	
  simple	
  and	
  straight-­‐forward	
  asserTon	
  which	
  is	
  oken	
  the	
  
first	
  strategic	
  principle	
  students	
  learn	
  in	
  a	
  MBA	
  Course.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   18	
  
PART	
  3:	
  THE	
  FINANCIAL	
  FLOWS	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   19	
  
PART	
  3:	
  THE	
  FINANCIAL	
  FLOWS	
  
What	
  opens	
  the	
  tap	
  	
  
Superior	
  returns	
  as	
  an	
  economic	
  principle	
  yes.	
  But	
  what	
  about	
  reputaTon,	
  brand	
  image	
  and	
  belief	
  
system	
  of	
  the	
  funder.	
  Will	
  an	
  Islamic	
  bank	
  invest	
  in	
  an	
  non-­‐sharia	
  compliant	
  venture	
  even	
  if	
  it	
  begets	
  
superior	
  profit?	
  Will	
  a	
  reputed	
  bank	
  invest	
  in	
  a	
  Hard-­‐rock	
  band	
  even	
  if	
  they	
  churn	
  millions	
  of	
  profit?	
  
	
  	
  
Therefore	
  the	
  purpose	
  and	
  mission	
  of	
  the	
  venture	
  maeers	
  too.	
  What	
  is	
  important	
  with	
  money	
  is	
  what	
  
you	
  do	
  out	
  of	
  it,	
  not	
  just	
  the	
  fact	
  money	
  has	
  no	
  smell,	
  no	
  colour.	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Once	
  the	
  tap	
  is	
  open,	
  the	
  business	
  is	
  alive,	
  and	
  we	
  can	
  move	
  on	
  back	
  to	
  system	
  theory	
  and	
  Darwin	
  
and	
  see	
  the	
  future	
  of	
  the	
  organisaTon	
  as	
  a	
  survival	
  game	
  between	
  the	
  business	
  as	
  an	
  holisTc	
  enTty	
  
and	
  its	
  external	
  environment,	
  unTl	
  the	
  next	
  round	
  of	
  funding.	
  
	
  
The	
  Final	
  statement	
  	
  
It	
  is	
  therefore	
  the	
  objecTve	
  missions	
  of	
  the	
  organisaTon	
  and	
  the	
  roadmap	
  to	
  
achieve	
  them	
  which	
  ulTmately	
  opens	
  the	
  funding	
  tap	
  and	
  not	
  just	
  an	
  economic	
  
principle	
  such	
  as	
  superior	
  returns	
  for	
  shareholders.	
  
	
  	
  
Business	
  longevity	
  is	
  therefore	
  funcTon	
  of	
  the	
  organisaTon's	
  purposes	
  rather	
  
than	
  peripheral	
  aeributes	
  such	
  as	
  adaptability	
  to	
  changing	
  environment.	
  
	
  	
  
Obviously,	
  responsiveness	
  to	
  the	
  environment,	
  can	
  make	
  the	
  difference	
  
between	
  being	
  dead	
  or	
  alive	
  in	
  the	
  short	
  run.	
  But,	
  in	
  the	
  Long	
  Term,	
  sole	
  the	
  
core	
  mission	
  of	
  the	
  organisaTon	
  maeers.	
  
	
  
Mathema'cs	
  applied	
  to	
  Business	
  Theory	
   20	
  
PART	
  4:	
  THE	
  FINAL	
  STATEMENT	
  

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Criteria for business longevity: Does a pure darwinian approach work?

  • 1. CRITERIA  FOR  BUSINESS  LONGEVITY:   Does  a  pure  Darwinian  approach   work?   ©  North  Delta  College  2015     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   1  
  • 2. INTRODUCTION   Long-­‐Term  business  survival  is  the  final  aim  of  any  new  venture.       This  is  why  Business  people  and  Business  Theorists  were  among   the  first  to  apply  Darwin  Theory  outside  its  original  framework  to   try  to  understand  Economic  superiority.       We  will  show  in  this  short  presentaTon  why  this  approach  is  not   enough  as  it  misses  a  key  fact:  Money,  originally,  doesn't  come   from  the  Outside  Environment.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   2  
  • 3. SUMMARY       IntroducTon       PART  1:  A  Business  Formula:  E=  MC2          A)  the  formula          B)  understanding  where  it  comes  from          C)  the  3  dimensions  for  Business  Survival       PART  2  :  System  theory      A)  the  inner  part      B)  the  outside  environment      C)  the  Darwinian  statement       PART  3  :  The  Financial  Flows      A)  model  for  a  Business  Ecosystem      B)  what  Darwin  misses      C)  funding:  neither  inside  nor  outside      D)  the  financial  tap      E)  what  opens  the  tap       PART  4  :  The  Final  statement     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   3  
  • 4. PART  1:  A  BUSINESS  FORMULA:  E  =  MC2     Our  key  criteria  for  understanding  proper  business  performance  for  the  long  term  as   well  as  shorter  business  cycles  is  the  following  formula:                  E  =  MC2       Where  E  stands  for  Excellence   M  stands  for  MoTvaTon  of  Employee   C  stands  for  Customer  SaTsfacTon   C  stands  for  Consolidated  Profit       The  3  barometer  indicators  to  weather  the  economic  storm  and  lead  your  ship  to  the   right  port.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   4   THE  FORMULA  
  • 5. Comments  on  the  Formula     These  are  the  3  final  KPI  while  leading  a  business.  The  minimal   leadership  kit.       Business  management  in  one  single  stance.       Nothing  can  prove  such  a  formula  however  it  has  been  empirically   tested  managing  real  businesses  and  is  therefore  far  more  than  a   model.  It  will  be  our  starTng  point,  our  iniTal  strategic  insight  onto   what  triggers  superior  economic  performance  and  understand  business   survival  on  short  economic  cycles  as  well  as  longer  ones.       This  will  lead  us  naturally  to  criteria  for  business  longevity.       Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   5   PART  1:  A  BUSINESS  FORMULA:  E  =  MC2    
  • 6. There  are  therefore  3  components  on  the  right  hand  side  of  the  equaTon.  The   3  dimensions  we  want  to  explore.               1.  MoTvaTon  of  employees  indicates  a  crystallisaTon  of  the  inner  workings  of   the  company   2.  Customer  SaTsfacTon  indicates  the  most  important  KPI  In  the  External   environment   3.  Consolidated  Profit  is  the  most  powerful  financial  indicator     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   6    Understanding  where  the  formula  comes  from     PART  1:  A  BUSINESS  FORMULA:  E  =  MC2     E  =  MC2   Inner  Workings   External  Environment   Financial  Flow  
  • 7. These  are  therefore  the  3  dimensions  we  will  consider  for  studying  Business   Survival  and  Business  Longevity.       1.  The  inner  working  of  the  Business  OrganisaTon  seen  as  an  holisTc  EnTty   2.  The  outside  Environment   3.  The  Financial  requirements       In  the  remainder  of  this  presentaTon  we  will  describe  these  3  dimensions  using   more  structural  maths  and  in  parTcular  concepts  from  System  Theory  and  this  will   naturally  lead  us  to  the  Business  Longevity  Criteria  we  are  looking  for.   Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   7   The  3  dimensions  for  Business  Survival       PART  1:  A  BUSINESS  FORMULA:  E  =  MC2    
  • 8. IntroducTon     In  some  sense,  businesses  can  be  seen  as  Systems,  where  the  business   organisaTon  is  seen  as  the  system,  that  is  the  inside  part.         This  system  lives  in  an  environment  ("the  outside  part")  where  it  has  to  struggle   for  its  survival.       This  is  in  fact  nothing  more  than  a  glorified  Darwin  Theory.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   8   PART  2:  SYSTEM  THEORY   THE ENVIRONMENT SYSTEM = THE BUSINESS
  • 9. The  Inner  part     The  inner  part  is  the  business  organisaTon  itself.   In  a  former  presentaTon,  we  have  depicted  it  as  the  set  of  all  the   processes  that  makes  the  business  run.   This  model  remains  valid  in  our  Systems  approach  to  business  survival   and  longevity.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   9   PART  2:  SYSTEM  THEORY   THE BUSINESS ORGANISATION
  • 10.  The  outside  environment     The  outer  part  is  made  up  of  the  Environment  in  which  the  Business  (or   the  system)  has  to  survive.       The  environment  generates  opportuniTes,  like  customers;  threats,  like   compeTtors  and  constraints,  like  regulaTons,  taxes  etc...     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   10   PART  2:  SYSTEM  THEORY   THE ENVIRONMENT 2. Threats 1. Opportunities 3. Constraints
  • 11. The  Darwinian  statement     This  system  model  is  basically  the  Darwinian  approach.       Darwin  Theory  tells  us  the  different  systems  compete  among  themselves  to   survive  in  the  same  environment.  The  systems  that  survive  are  those  who  can   adapt  themselves  the  best  to  the  given  environment  and  its  changes.       In  one  statement:  survival  of  the  fieest.       That  is:  business  longevity  comes  from  adaptability  and  responsiveness  to  the   environment.       We  will  precisely  see  that  this  approach  misses  something  major:   The  existence  of  Money  or  Cash  in  the  Universe     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   11   PART  2:  SYSTEM  THEORY  
  • 12. Model  for  a  Business  Ecosystem     What  does  Business  Management  Theory  tell  us?       The  main  objecTve  of  any  business  organisaTon  is  increased  returns  to  the   shareholders  of  the  company.       i.e.  The  existence  of  the  financial  flow.       The  key  result  we  want  to  achieve  in  our  model  of  the  business  ecosystem  is   the  fact  that  Money  iniTally  is  neither  inside  the  organisaTon,  nor  in  the   environment  and  requires  another  dimension  missed  by  System  Theory  or   Darwin.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   12   PART  3:  THE  FINANCIAL  FLOWS  
  • 13. Our  model     This  is  how  our  model  looks  like:                   We  sTll  have  the  system  and  its  environment,  but  in  addiTon,  to  the  boeom   of  the  system  (i.e.  The  business  organisaTon)  we  integrate  a  transverse  flow   going  backwards.  This  flow  is  the  life  injecTng  flow  inside  the  organisaTon.  It   is  a  form  of  Energy,  and  in  Economic  terms  it  is  called  The  Funding  flow.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   13   PART  3:  THE  FINANCIAL  FLOWS  
  • 14. Our  model     It  is  very  important  to  understand  the  structure  of  the  financial  flow  inside  the   organisaTon.       Fundamentally,  there  are  2  financial  flows  inside  any  living  business  organisaTon:   A)  the  entering  flow,  coming  from  Sales  &  Revenues   B)  the  out-­‐ward  flow  ,  to  pay  the  expenses  related  to  the  business       The  non-­‐trivial  statement  is  that  this  second  outward  flow  comes  iniTally  from  a  separate   in-­‐going  flow  that  we  could  call  funding  which  has  a  different  source  from  the  other   ingoing  flow,  namely  sales.    Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   14   PART  3:  THE  FINANCIAL  FLOWS  
  • 15. What  Darwin  misses     The  source  of  this  funding  flow  is  not  in  the  environment.  No  maeer  how  responsive  you   are  to  the  outside  realm,  the  iniTal  cash  or  energy  injecTon  will  be  provided  for  another   reason.       Therefore  ,  contrarily  to  Darwin,  we  state  that  in  the  business  jungle,  it  is  not  just  about   the  survival  of  the  fieest.       Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   15   PART  3:  THE  FINANCIAL  FLOWS  
  • 16. Funding:  neither  inside  nor  outside     This  funding  flow  is  therefore  de-­‐coupled  from  the  flow  coming  from  the   customers  in  the  environment.       Furthermore  it  doesn't  come  either  from  the  internal  energy  or  internal  cash  of   the  system.         It  is  therefore  neither  inside,  nor  outside.  This  is  precisely  what  tradiTonal   System  Theory  misses.   Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   16   PART  3:  THE  FINANCIAL  FLOWS  
  • 17. The  financial  tap     Where  does  this  funding  flow  originate   from?   Let  us  zoom  in  our  picture.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   17   PART  3:  THE  FINANCIAL  FLOWS   We  see  that  at  the  entrance  inside  the  organisaTon,  the  funding  flow  has  a  door  or  a  tap,   which  has  3  posiTons:   -­‐  closed:  funding  not  allowed   -­‐  open:  funding  allowed   -­‐  volume:  if  allowed,  how  many  units  of  Energy  goes  in       We  can  also  see  that  this  is  slightly  more  complicated  than  the  concept  of  gate  in  computer   science  which  has  only  2  posiTons  (on/off)    
  • 18. What  opens  the  tap     Now  the  real  quesTon:  what  opens  the  tap  and  controls  the  volume?                 Anglo-­‐Saxon  business  management  theory  says  that  this  tap  opens  when   shareholders  sense  they  will  make  superior  return  when  invesTng  in  the   organisaTon.       We  challenge  this  very  simple  and  straight-­‐forward  asserTon  which  is  oken  the   first  strategic  principle  students  learn  in  a  MBA  Course.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   18   PART  3:  THE  FINANCIAL  FLOWS  
  • 19. Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   19   PART  3:  THE  FINANCIAL  FLOWS   What  opens  the  tap     Superior  returns  as  an  economic  principle  yes.  But  what  about  reputaTon,  brand  image  and  belief   system  of  the  funder.  Will  an  Islamic  bank  invest  in  an  non-­‐sharia  compliant  venture  even  if  it  begets   superior  profit?  Will  a  reputed  bank  invest  in  a  Hard-­‐rock  band  even  if  they  churn  millions  of  profit?       Therefore  the  purpose  and  mission  of  the  venture  maeers  too.  What  is  important  with  money  is  what   you  do  out  of  it,  not  just  the  fact  money  has  no  smell,  no  colour.                       Once  the  tap  is  open,  the  business  is  alive,  and  we  can  move  on  back  to  system  theory  and  Darwin   and  see  the  future  of  the  organisaTon  as  a  survival  game  between  the  business  as  an  holisTc  enTty   and  its  external  environment,  unTl  the  next  round  of  funding.    
  • 20. The  Final  statement     It  is  therefore  the  objecTve  missions  of  the  organisaTon  and  the  roadmap  to   achieve  them  which  ulTmately  opens  the  funding  tap  and  not  just  an  economic   principle  such  as  superior  returns  for  shareholders.       Business  longevity  is  therefore  funcTon  of  the  organisaTon's  purposes  rather   than  peripheral  aeributes  such  as  adaptability  to  changing  environment.       Obviously,  responsiveness  to  the  environment,  can  make  the  difference   between  being  dead  or  alive  in  the  short  run.  But,  in  the  Long  Term,  sole  the   core  mission  of  the  organisaTon  maeers.     Mathema'cs  applied  to  Business  Theory   20   PART  4:  THE  FINAL  STATEMENT