This presentation describes how to pick a perfect bracket in the NCAA men's basketball tournament. It discusses historical statistics and ways to improve your selections.

1. BRACKET ADVICE:
How To Pick a Perfect Bracket and Win March Bracket Pools
Brought To You By PickManager.com
Enter to Win $100 Million
In The Game of the Century™!
Thursday, March 5, 2009

2. March Means Madness
Every March, quot;Basketball Bracket Feverquot; sweeps the U.S.
The only cure for this fever is a heavy dose of college basketball,
along with a profitable run in a March bracket pool
Yet picking a perfect basketball bracket can be challenging.
By learning the most effective techniques, you can greatly
increase your chances of being a big winner!
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

3. Picking A Perfect Bracket
Picking a perfect bracket is all about math and matchups
History tends to repeat itself, and PickManager.com has
compiled important historical information and used proprietary
algorithms to determine the assessed risk of historical perfect
brackets since 1985
PickManager.com has partnered with Accuscore, the leader in
sports forecasting, to analyze the 2009 matchups when
they are announced and generate the ultimate cheat sheet
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

4. Historical Math
One of the best charts to consider is the historical advancement
of seeds. The chart below details the round by round wins for
each seed.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

5. Interesting Facts, Pt. I:
A #1 seed has NEVER lost in the first round. So do not pick a
number 16 seed as an upset, no matter how much you like
the team.
# 2 seeds have only lost four times in the first round
# 9 seeds have a higher winning percentage that the
#8 seeds in the first round.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

6. Interesting Facts. Pt. II:
The first round winning percentage is identical for #11 seeds
and #12 seeds. Don’t focus only on the 7 vs 12 matchup that is
commonly referred to by “bracketologists.”
#9 seed performance falls dramatically in the second round with
the lowest winning percentage of any seed that makes it to that
round (5.8%).
A strong number #8 is as good as a strong #6 seed for
advancing deep in the tournament, while a #7 seed has
never won in the 4th round.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

7. Interesting Facts. Pt. III:
#3, #4, and #5 seeds that get to the 4th round typically perform
well in the 4th round.
Two #11 seeds have made it to the final weekend, while no #7,
#9 or #10 seed has ever made it.
#1 seeds matter and boast greater than 50% winning
percentages in every round.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

8. Measuring Historical Risk
PickManager.com has developed proprietary risk algorithms to
measure the historical assessed risk of perfect brackets.
Participants can test out various risk level scenarios in 2009 with
the PickManager.com bracket generator. Risk settings and
teams can be tweaked easily on the fly before submission.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

9. Measuring Historical Risk
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

10. Measuring Historical Risk
Since the tournament of 64 began in 1985, the average
“Assessed Risk” for any bracket is 23.37%.
Historically, the most unlikely bracket occurred in 2000
(37.14%) and the most likely bracket happened in 2007 at just
7.75%. The lower the risk, the more the tournament followed
historical winning percentages from seeds.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

11. Current Matchups
While a historical perspective at seed performance and risk
level is important, picking a perfect bracket or winning a March
bracket pool in 2009 is based on the teams and the matchups.
PickManager.com has partnered with AccuScore, the leader in
sports forecasting, to develop a guide to forecast brackets and
score big in office pools. The guide will be available
soonafter the matchups are announced and AccuScore
applies its award winning simulation technology.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

12. Basic Strategy For
Multiple Brackets
To maximize the fun and profits in March, people should enter
pools and contests that allow multiple bracket entries.
Multiple brackets allow participants to use a variety of strategies
to strive for a perfect bracket and be competitive in the contest if
the perfect bracket does not hit.
To get a perfect bracket, participants have to hit the right
upsets. In most cases, this quest for a perfect bracket
will be risky because usually a bracket that has a good
shot initially at being perfect will end up not winning
many bracket pools if it is not perfect.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

13. Basic Strategy For
Multiple Brackets
The best strategy to have the highest probability of winning a
pool with the best score is to enter lower risk brackets and
focus on the early late round matchups.
One strategy to consider would be to start by advancing all
four top seeds to the final 8 without looking at the
matchups and then use PickManager.com’s auto
complete feature with or without a specific desired
risk—or select teams individually from that point.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

14. Announcing The Largest
Bracket Contest In History!
PickManager.com is offering the largest prize in March bracket
history by allowing each person to enter up to 4 different
brackets with a chance to win $100 Million.
In addition, the highest score of the contest that is not a perfect
bracket will win a complete Sports Den that includes theater
seating from La-Z-Boy, flat screen TV and surround
sound system.
Participants will enjoy the coolest features and most
flexible picking interface found on the Internet.
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009

15. For More Details Or To Enter:
Watch our video (next slide)
Visit www.PickManager.com
The PickManager.com Game of the Century™ 2009 NCAA
basketball brackets contest entry period runs from
February 9, 2009 to 12 noon Eastern Time March 17, 2009.
Contestants must be 18 years or older, with a valid
driver’s license.
Good luck, and enjoy the tournament!
www.PickManager.com
Thursday, March 5, 2009