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Market Challenge
The fuel market is constantly
evolving, shaped by supply and
demand shifts and changing
regulations. There’s more
downstream energy news
published 24/7 than most
players can possibly track or sift
for importance. Repackaged
company press releases can’t
offer the breadth of insight the
market needs, while specialized
news often comes with a
premium price tag that erodes
its overall value.
How We Help
OPIS Newsletter delivers
weekly petroleum industry
developments in a way that
other sources don’t – with more
meaningful analysis and and
interpretation of market trends, at
an affordable price. Our coverage
includes the entire fuel supply
chain including benchmark
pricing and data snapshots of
market moves.
OPIS Newsletter
Filter the noise in oil industry news and focus on what you really
need to know for long-term strategic decisions
For almost 40 years, the weekly OPIS Newsletter has reported on the fuel
market with greater insight, context and attention to what comes next
than other competitive news sources.
Benefits
—— Learn operational and
supply issues that go beyond
corporate statements from
refiners, distributors and
midstream infrastructure
operators
—— Discover best practices for
optimizing fuel purchases and
sales
—— Spot trends before investors do
—— Estimate the effect on regional
supply & demand of changes
to U.S. infrastructure and
company strategy
—— Anticipate the future direction
of the downstream market for
competitive advantage
—— Get weekly benchmark pricing
by PADD
WHO WE HELP
Refiners &
Suppliers
Wholesalers &
Jobbers
Retailers
Financial
Institutions
 
COMMODITIES
Gasoline
Diesel
Jet Fuel
LP/NGL
Renewables
Crude Oil
 
MARKET SEGMENTS
Spot
Rack
Retail
Copyright © 2017 IHS Markit. All Rights Reservedopisnet.com
For a FREE trial, call 888 301 2645 or 1 301 284 2000 | email energysales@opisnet.com
Key Feature Benefit to Customer
Weekly Spot Prices,
Averages & Margins
•	 At-a-glance information right on the first page to give you a quick sense of
market direction
PADD Reports
•	 Weekly wholesale rack pricing report featuring critical price discovery for
your region
Petroleum Inventory &
Consumption Stats
•	 View industry trends in easy-to-read charts and graphs, accompanied by
analysis of market impact
Market Overview
Column
•	 Unique OPIS perspective on market activity and downstream implications
New Year Preview •	 Annual year-end review with a look ahead to what’s coming
Regional Profitability
Analysis
•	 Spot-rack-retail margins, along with commentary to provide context
OPIS Newsletter
Key Feature-Benefit Overview
AVERAGE U.S. CONTRACT PRICES
IN CTS/GAL
AVERAGE U.S. SPOT PRICES
IN CTS/GAL
Source: Oil Price Information Service
Current Week Previous Week Year Ago
U.S. PETROLEUM PRODUCT AVERAGES
Product Spot ▲ Last Wk. Rack ▲ Last Wk.
Note: All price averages in cts/gal except resid ($/bbl)
NATIONAL SPOT-RACK-RETAIL MARGINS
National Index Gasoline ▲ Last Wk. Diesel ▲ Last Wk.
Note: All price averages in cts/gal
Oil Price Information Service
Independent Refined Products Prices and Comprehensive Analysis for All US Markets
Vol. 38, No. 10 | Monday, March 6, 2017
Market Overview:Inside Every Issue…
Refined Products Cash Market Prices and Analysis......................................2
Forward Markets Prices ...........................................................................2, 3
Gasoline and Diesel Spot-to-Rack Netbacks by Market ...............................4
Crude Oil Buying Prices, Crack Spreads and Analysis .................................6
U.S. Petroleum Data Lab .............................................................................7
Regional Downstream Profitability Analysis...................................................8
Refinery Feedstocks Prices and Analysis......................................................9
Ethanol/RINs/Blending...............................................................................10
Natural Gas Liquids Prices and Analysis............................................... 11-13
In Retail Markets ........................................................................................13
U.S. Reseller Propane Prices .....................................................................14
Residual Fuel Prices...................................................................................15
U.S. vs. Canada Gasoline/Distillate Rack Comparisons..............................15
Monthly U.S. Crude Production ................................................................15
Jet Fuel Contract Prices, Inventory and Analysis ..................................15, 16
ULS No. 2 Premium
Gasoline
Unleaded
Gasoline
Gasoline 156.47 -0.22 171.74 6.45
ULS No.2 160.78 -1.31 172.64 0.78
Jet 157.94 -1.44 169.78 0.96
Ethanol 155.86 -1.27 168.78 -0.81
Curr RIN 37.50 -10.25
Pre RIN 37.00 -10.50
MTBE 152.50 -5.00
Propane 57.97 -4.30 70.84 -4.61
Resid 47.92 1.18
Naphtha 134.30 -4.65
Med.VGO 138.00 1.19
Retail 227.03 1.62 252.13 0.41
Net 176.25 1.60 201.05 1.12
Wholesale 161.32 5.08 172.29 1.15
Rack-Retail Margin 14.93 -3.48 28.77 -0.03
Spot 156.47 -0.22 160.78 -1.31
Spot-Retail Margin 19.78 1.82 40.28 2.44
Serving The Downstream Petroleum Industry Since 1980
Knives Are Out, but RINsolution is a
Long Way Off
Last week reports spread that the Trump Administration
had reached a deal that would push the RFS point of obliga-
tion from the refinery gate and import terminal to the rack.
No deal was confirmed, but many believe this is the direction
the new president wants to take.
Markets reacted swiftly, sending ethanol RIN prices plum-
meting. RBOB futures tumbled because a shift in the RIN
obligation beyond refiners and importers would revalue the
gasoline crack spread. The prospect raises a lot of questions
to which, at this point, there are few answers.
The alleged deal included an RVP waiver to sell 15%-etha-
nol blended (E15) gasoline all year, but that would require an
Act of Congress. Additionally, without the “lever” afforded by
relatively higher RINs values in an E10-constrained market,
E15 in many cases doesn’t make much sense from an economic
or retail roll-out standpoint. Moving the RFS obligation
would remake the landscape of winners and losers.
Pure merchant refiners would conceivably be winners in
terms of RIN compliance expense, with inland refiners lacking
downstream systems the biggest winners. An integrated refiner
with downstream wholesale and a dedicated retail system
would be less of a winner. Additionally, importers could bring
in gasoline from offshore and not face additional RIN costs.
The biggest losers would appear to be large chain retailers
which ship gasoline, blend it and then sell the RIN back to the
refiner. Traditionally these companies have passed along the
RIN benefit and lower wholesale price in the form of lower
retail prices. However, some smaller retailers have argued that
the current system is inequitable.
Further, there could be unintended consequences from a
shift. For example, entities which have in the past shipped
and blended renewable fuel into blendstock to create E10
may choose instead to just buy gasoline for distribution at
the rack. Several have argued that such an outcome would
reduce fuel market competition because only refiners and the
largest blenders would continue to ship and blend.
Some theorize the change would effectively cap D6 etha-
nol RIN values by stifling that market’s liquidity. Making
blenders obligated parties means they would need (for RFS
compliance) many of the RINs they create, whereas before
they could sell those RINs.
The road ahead for a controversy that has raged for months
is not likely a short one. Legal experts say an Act of Congress
rather than an executive order is required to move the point
continued on page 3
172.6 171.7
204.5
171.9 165.3
196.9
117.7 133.1
158.3
160.8
156.5
170.8
162.1
156.7 170.7
108.5
108.9
124.2

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Fact Sheet: OPIS Newsletter

  • 1. opisnet.com Market Challenge The fuel market is constantly evolving, shaped by supply and demand shifts and changing regulations. There’s more downstream energy news published 24/7 than most players can possibly track or sift for importance. Repackaged company press releases can’t offer the breadth of insight the market needs, while specialized news often comes with a premium price tag that erodes its overall value. How We Help OPIS Newsletter delivers weekly petroleum industry developments in a way that other sources don’t – with more meaningful analysis and and interpretation of market trends, at an affordable price. Our coverage includes the entire fuel supply chain including benchmark pricing and data snapshots of market moves. OPIS Newsletter Filter the noise in oil industry news and focus on what you really need to know for long-term strategic decisions For almost 40 years, the weekly OPIS Newsletter has reported on the fuel market with greater insight, context and attention to what comes next than other competitive news sources. Benefits —— Learn operational and supply issues that go beyond corporate statements from refiners, distributors and midstream infrastructure operators —— Discover best practices for optimizing fuel purchases and sales —— Spot trends before investors do —— Estimate the effect on regional supply & demand of changes to U.S. infrastructure and company strategy —— Anticipate the future direction of the downstream market for competitive advantage —— Get weekly benchmark pricing by PADD WHO WE HELP Refiners & Suppliers Wholesalers & Jobbers Retailers Financial Institutions   COMMODITIES Gasoline Diesel Jet Fuel LP/NGL Renewables Crude Oil   MARKET SEGMENTS Spot Rack Retail
  • 2. Copyright © 2017 IHS Markit. All Rights Reservedopisnet.com For a FREE trial, call 888 301 2645 or 1 301 284 2000 | email energysales@opisnet.com Key Feature Benefit to Customer Weekly Spot Prices, Averages & Margins • At-a-glance information right on the first page to give you a quick sense of market direction PADD Reports • Weekly wholesale rack pricing report featuring critical price discovery for your region Petroleum Inventory & Consumption Stats • View industry trends in easy-to-read charts and graphs, accompanied by analysis of market impact Market Overview Column • Unique OPIS perspective on market activity and downstream implications New Year Preview • Annual year-end review with a look ahead to what’s coming Regional Profitability Analysis • Spot-rack-retail margins, along with commentary to provide context OPIS Newsletter Key Feature-Benefit Overview AVERAGE U.S. CONTRACT PRICES IN CTS/GAL AVERAGE U.S. SPOT PRICES IN CTS/GAL Source: Oil Price Information Service Current Week Previous Week Year Ago U.S. PETROLEUM PRODUCT AVERAGES Product Spot ▲ Last Wk. Rack ▲ Last Wk. Note: All price averages in cts/gal except resid ($/bbl) NATIONAL SPOT-RACK-RETAIL MARGINS National Index Gasoline ▲ Last Wk. Diesel ▲ Last Wk. Note: All price averages in cts/gal Oil Price Information Service Independent Refined Products Prices and Comprehensive Analysis for All US Markets Vol. 38, No. 10 | Monday, March 6, 2017 Market Overview:Inside Every Issue… Refined Products Cash Market Prices and Analysis......................................2 Forward Markets Prices ...........................................................................2, 3 Gasoline and Diesel Spot-to-Rack Netbacks by Market ...............................4 Crude Oil Buying Prices, Crack Spreads and Analysis .................................6 U.S. Petroleum Data Lab .............................................................................7 Regional Downstream Profitability Analysis...................................................8 Refinery Feedstocks Prices and Analysis......................................................9 Ethanol/RINs/Blending...............................................................................10 Natural Gas Liquids Prices and Analysis............................................... 11-13 In Retail Markets ........................................................................................13 U.S. Reseller Propane Prices .....................................................................14 Residual Fuel Prices...................................................................................15 U.S. vs. Canada Gasoline/Distillate Rack Comparisons..............................15 Monthly U.S. Crude Production ................................................................15 Jet Fuel Contract Prices, Inventory and Analysis ..................................15, 16 ULS No. 2 Premium Gasoline Unleaded Gasoline Gasoline 156.47 -0.22 171.74 6.45 ULS No.2 160.78 -1.31 172.64 0.78 Jet 157.94 -1.44 169.78 0.96 Ethanol 155.86 -1.27 168.78 -0.81 Curr RIN 37.50 -10.25 Pre RIN 37.00 -10.50 MTBE 152.50 -5.00 Propane 57.97 -4.30 70.84 -4.61 Resid 47.92 1.18 Naphtha 134.30 -4.65 Med.VGO 138.00 1.19 Retail 227.03 1.62 252.13 0.41 Net 176.25 1.60 201.05 1.12 Wholesale 161.32 5.08 172.29 1.15 Rack-Retail Margin 14.93 -3.48 28.77 -0.03 Spot 156.47 -0.22 160.78 -1.31 Spot-Retail Margin 19.78 1.82 40.28 2.44 Serving The Downstream Petroleum Industry Since 1980 Knives Are Out, but RINsolution is a Long Way Off Last week reports spread that the Trump Administration had reached a deal that would push the RFS point of obliga- tion from the refinery gate and import terminal to the rack. No deal was confirmed, but many believe this is the direction the new president wants to take. Markets reacted swiftly, sending ethanol RIN prices plum- meting. RBOB futures tumbled because a shift in the RIN obligation beyond refiners and importers would revalue the gasoline crack spread. The prospect raises a lot of questions to which, at this point, there are few answers. The alleged deal included an RVP waiver to sell 15%-etha- nol blended (E15) gasoline all year, but that would require an Act of Congress. Additionally, without the “lever” afforded by relatively higher RINs values in an E10-constrained market, E15 in many cases doesn’t make much sense from an economic or retail roll-out standpoint. Moving the RFS obligation would remake the landscape of winners and losers. Pure merchant refiners would conceivably be winners in terms of RIN compliance expense, with inland refiners lacking downstream systems the biggest winners. An integrated refiner with downstream wholesale and a dedicated retail system would be less of a winner. Additionally, importers could bring in gasoline from offshore and not face additional RIN costs. The biggest losers would appear to be large chain retailers which ship gasoline, blend it and then sell the RIN back to the refiner. Traditionally these companies have passed along the RIN benefit and lower wholesale price in the form of lower retail prices. However, some smaller retailers have argued that the current system is inequitable. Further, there could be unintended consequences from a shift. For example, entities which have in the past shipped and blended renewable fuel into blendstock to create E10 may choose instead to just buy gasoline for distribution at the rack. Several have argued that such an outcome would reduce fuel market competition because only refiners and the largest blenders would continue to ship and blend. Some theorize the change would effectively cap D6 etha- nol RIN values by stifling that market’s liquidity. Making blenders obligated parties means they would need (for RFS compliance) many of the RINs they create, whereas before they could sell those RINs. The road ahead for a controversy that has raged for months is not likely a short one. Legal experts say an Act of Congress rather than an executive order is required to move the point continued on page 3 172.6 171.7 204.5 171.9 165.3 196.9 117.7 133.1 158.3 160.8 156.5 170.8 162.1 156.7 170.7 108.5 108.9 124.2