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2017 SOA Annual Meeting - Annuity product development trends
1.
Ā© Oliver Wyman āAnnuity
Product Development Trends āFixed Index Annuities & Registered Fixed Index Annuities 2017 Society of Actuaries Annual Meeting Boston, October 18, 2017 Nicholas Carbo, FSA, MAAA
2.
1Ā© Oliver Wyman Agenda 1
FIA market update 2 RFIA market update
3.
2Ā© Oliver Wyman 6.5 11.7
12.7 22.4 26.5 25.3 25.2 26.8 30.1 32.3 32.4 34.1 38.7 46.9 53.1 58.2 55.1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q2 Fixed indexed annuity sales trends (2001-2017) 2017 FIA sales are on track to drop 5% vs 2016 based on Q2 2017 sales Source: Winkās Sales & Market Report 1Q2 2017 sales were multiplied by two to get a 2017 annualized result $Billions YTD Q2 20171 (Annualized) 15.7% CAGR (2001 -2016)
4.
3Ā© Oliver Wyman Recent
acquisitions reshaped the FIA market Acquirer/Seller (date) Transaction type: IPO Japanese insurers Alternative buyers 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
5.
4Ā© Oliver Wyman Crediting
methods and indices Term end point and hybrid indices continue to be strong in the FIA market Crediting methods (Q2 YTD 2017) Indices (Q2 YTD 2017) Annual point-to-point crediting method and S&P 500 index are still the most common, but āhybridā and proprietary indices (e.g., target volatility and dynamic rebalancing indices) are gaining significant traction Source: Winkās Sales & Market Report Term End Point (TEP), 14.3% Annual Point- to-Point (A- PTP), 49.2% Daily / Monthly Averaging (AVG), 6.5% Monthly Point-to-Point (M-PTP), 11.3% Fixed, 14.4% Other, 4.3% S&P 500, 51.2% NASDAQ- 100, 1.5% Russell 2000, 1.0% Other public indices, 1.1% Hybrid Indices, 28.6% Rainbow / Multi-Index, 0.7% Fixed, 14.4% Other, 1.5%
6.
5Ā© Oliver Wyman FIA
rider trends GLWBs continue to be the main driver of sales, with other secondary differentiating features ā¢ āStackedā rollups (e.g. 4% + account value performance) ā¢ Account value driving income ā¢ Income increases after income start ā¢ Rollups are compound / simple / or absent (e.g., vary income by age / duration) ā¢ More income options (flat, guaranteed increase or index-linked increases) ā¢ Offered for free or additional charge (e.g. 10 bps) ā¢ Typically doubles the income for up to 5 years if cannot perform 2 of 6 ADLs ā¢ Offered with or without GLWB (sometimes for an additional charge) ā¢ Maximum payout ā¢ Payout periods / reduced lump sum GLWB INDEX-LINKED INCOME GROWTH OTHER GLWB STRUCTURES NURSING HOME INCOME RIDERS ENHANCED DEATH BENEFITS
7.
6Ā© Oliver Wyman Q3
2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 December 2015 ā¢ Midland National ā MNL Prosper 5 Fee-based FIA product launches Half of FIA writers have or plan to introduce a fee-based FIA in 2017, according to LIMRA August 2016 ā¢ Great American ā Index Protector 7 February 2017 ā¢ Allianz ā Retirement Foundation ADV Annuity February 2017 ā¢ Lincoln ā Lincoln Core Capital May 2017 ā¢ Pacific Life ā Pacific Index Advisory July 2017 ā¢ Symetra ā Advisory Edge ā Income Advisory Edge July 2017 ā¢ Nationwide ā Nationwide Summit
8.
7Ā© Oliver Wyman ā¢
The customer will likely receive a higher cap rate ā¢ The surrender charges will likely be lower or eliminated ā¢ The company will not be paying an upfront commission, resulting in less strain to the insurance company ā¢ Agents that only sell fee-based may be willing to look at FIA as a choice for their customers ā¢ The uncertainty around the DOL fiduciary rule may increase demand for these products Higher customer value Less strain to insurer Market opportunity Benefits of fee-based FIAs The removal of compensation from the product allows for benefits to the customer and insurance company
9.
8Ā© Oliver Wyman Registered
fixed index annuity product launches Product launches are accelerating recently with top competitors launching version 2.0 of their products 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Oct 2010 ā¢ AXA introduces Structured Capital Strategies May 2013 ā¢ Metlife introduces Shield Level Selector August 2013 ā¢ CUNA introduces Memberās Zone Annuity September 2013 ā¢ Allianz Life introduces Index Advantage January 2015 ā¢ Voya introduces Potential Plus October 2015 ā¢ Voya closes Potential Plus August 2017 ā¢ Brighthouse introduces Shield Level Select Access (Fee Only) August 2016 ā¢ CUNA introduces Memberās Horizon Annuity Feb 2017 ā¢ AXA Structured Capital Strategies Plus filed In addition, Great West and Great American have filed prospectuses for RFIA products
10.
9Ā© Oliver Wyman Quarterly
RFIA sales (2011Q3 ā 2017Q1) Annualized RFIA sales are approaching $8BN 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 QuarterlyPremium($BN) +68% 2017 projected 201620152014201320122011 AXAAllianz Met Source: Morningstar
11.
10Ā© Oliver Wyman Motivations
for introducing RFIAs Capital requirements ā¢ Diversification with VA ā¢ Principles-based Market demand ā¢ Growing sales ā¢ Accumulation story Innovation ā¢ Higher cap rates ā¢ New product segment Risk management ā¢ Diversification with VA ā¢ Low interest rates D
12.
11Ā© Oliver Wyman Key
takeaways 1 FIAs have become a mature market 2 Future of fee-based FIA 3 RFIA growth
13.
Session Q&A
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