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Topics


• Our view of the Supply Chain

• Supply Chain Physics

• Manufacturing Intelligence
What is the goal of the Supply Chain
•   To have the Right Products
•   In the Right Place
•   At the Right Time
•   In the Right Quantities
•   With the Right Quality

• And to execute all that at the lowest possible costs
A view of the Supply Chain
• That has evolved over the
  years
• Is the basis for how we look
  at things
• How it shapes our modern
  approach to supply chain
  management
Customer Service Supply Chain

                                                Forecasting



                                    Mfg.                           Order
     Purchasing                   Planning                                               Places
                                                                 Processing
                                                                                         Order


     Manufacturing                                                  Order Taking
                                                                    & Fulfillment
                                   Inventory
                                                              Warehouse
Suppliers                          Allocation                                              Trade




                  Manufacturing
                                                                          Distribution
 Information Flow

                                          Forecasting


                              Mfg                         Order
    Purchasing                                                                 Places
                            Planning                    Processing
                                                                               Order


       Manufacturing
                                                           Order Taking
                                                           & Fulfillment
                             Inventory
                                                    Warehouse
Suppliers                    Allocation                                         Trade




            Manufacturing                                       Distribution




                 Material/Product flow 
There has been a change…
• From the days of the “Beer Game”
  – Supply chain simulation game developed at MIT
  – The flow of information lagged
  – Causing havoc in the supply chain
Information Flow
• In the Beer Game
• The information flow
  – Was slow
  – All parts of the supply chain did not have “visibility”
• Inventory went out of control
  – Too much product, everywhere
  – Why? The right information was not in the right place at
    the right time
There has been a change…




• To today, where information is
  – Due to ERP systems
  – Available virtually instantaneously
There has been a change…




• To today, where information is
  – Due to ERP systems
  – Available virtually instantaneously
  – Hopefully accurate
Instant Information
                Instantaneous Information Conduit




                                              & Fulfillment


                                                                       Order
                                                              Taking
                            Inventory    Warehouse
Suppliers                   Allocation                                         Trade




                                                              Distribution
            Manufacturing




                  Material/Product flow 
Today
• Information is theoretically
• Available
   – Everywhere: ERP systems all communicate
   – To facilitate decisions
   – To provide that “visibility”
• Life is Good
Today
• Information is theoretically
• Available
   – Everywhere: ERP systems all communicate
   – To facilitate decisions
   – To provide that “visibility”
• Life is Good when the information is
   – Clean = Accurate
   – Up to date
   – Complete
Today
• Bad data or information is as
  instantaneously available

  as


• Good data or information
Topics


• Our view of the Supply Chain

• Supply Chain Physics

• Manufacturing Intelligence
Part of the Supply Chain
  • Is a physical world

  • We buy things and have them delivered

  • We may transform the things we buy into more
    valuable things others will want to buy from us

  • When our products are bought, we have to get
    them to those that bought them
Part of the Supply Chain
  • Is a physical world

  • We buy things and have them delivered

  • We may transform the things we buy into more
    valuable things others will want to buy from us

  • When our products are bought, we have to get them to
    those that bought them

  • Real objects, Liquids, Solids, & Gases, are
    manipulated & moved in Space & Time
Objects moving in Space & Time

• That sounds like Physics

• Which means there are
  limits to what can and
  cannot be done in the
  physical part of the supply
  chain

• There are laws to be
  followed
The Three Laws of SC Physics


1. Law of Interdependency

2. Law of Constraints

3. Law of Information
The Three Laws of SC Physics
 1. Law of Interdependency
   –   Inventory, Service, Quality, Costs are
       interdependent
   –   In business improvement, silo-ed functional
       improvement can only take you so far. All further
       improvements require cross-functional efforts.

 2. Law of Constraints

 3. Law of Information
The Three Laws of SC Physics
 1. Law of Interdependency

 2. Law of Constraints
   –   How much of any item can be produced in a finite
       amount of time?
   –   How far, fast, & in what quantities can goods be
       shipped from Point A to Point B?
   –   Yes … very related to the Theory of Constraints

 3. Law of Information
The Three Laws of SC Physics
 1. Law of Interdependency

 2. Law of Constraints

 3. Law of Information
   –   Information moves at the speed of light, er… the internet
   –   Independent of accuracy of the information
   –   Data and information influences
       Lead Times
       Inventory
       Customer Service
       Reaction to Market Demands
Supply Chain Whack-a-Mole

                                                                •   Quality
                                                                •   Cost
                                                                •   Service
                                                                •   Inventory

                                                                • Optimize all to a point
                                                                • Then trade-off
                                                                  optimization
  http://www.mmt-inst.com/End_of_management_whack_a_mole.html
                                                                • Need structural change
                                                                  to optimize all further
When we Violate the Laws

Not Accounting for Realities of    Compromise &
    Supply Chain Physics          Cause Trade-offs
                                   in Performance
 • Manufacturing Lead Times
 • Transit Times                    •   Inventory
 • Production rates                 •   Service
 • Production capacities            •   Quality
 • Warehouse utilization            •   Cost
 • Transportation equipment
   availability
 • Demand Volatility
It is a complex Multi-Criteria Problem
Optimize all i Cost i, Inventory i, Service i, Quality i

Subject to:
 Manufacturing Lead Times                         > MLTij
 Transit Times                                    > TTijk
 Production rates                                 < PRij
 Production capacities                            < PCij
 Warehouse utilization                            < Wik
 Transportation equipment availability            < Eijk
 Demand Volatility                                = σi

 i = SKU number
 j = Plant or Supplier (how many plants/suppliers?)
 k = DC number
Why Supply Chain Physics?
• Supply Chain Physics is a concept based on
  science, engineering, and business
• But it is a concept…
  We cannot, yet, articulate and solve the multi-
  criteria optimization problem

• It is language and set of principles to foster
   – Accountabilities across functions
   – Improvement across the enterprise
The Law of Information
• Is fundamental to this concept

• It is impossible to have the
  Right Products in the Right Place at the Right Time
  in the Right Quantities

• Without having the Right Data in the Right Place at
  the Right Time with Perfect Quality.
Topics


• Our view of the Supply Chain

• Supply Chain Physics

• Manufacturing Intelligence
We have data!
• We have an ERP!
• We have mountains of data!
We have data!
• We have an ERP!
• We have mountains of data!

• Do you have information?
  – In the right format, in the right place, at the right time,
    with perfect quality
  – To enable business decisions to have the right Products
    in the right place at the right time in the right quantities
Let’s consider our ERPs
• They drive our businesses
• They are socio-technical systems
  –   People
  –   Technology
  –   Business processes
  –   Working in harmony to drive transactions
• They are business processes
Three Things You can do to a Business
Process

• Manage/maintain current level of performance
• Marginal/incremental improvement
• Dramatic Improvement
There is a 4th Thing...

                               60
  Neglect the process &
  watch the performance        50
  level gradually decay over   40
  time
                               30

                               20

                               10

                               0
Why are ERP Re-engineered Processes Different?


• The transaction processes in an ERP are indeed
  PROCESSES
• The same four things can happen to these
  business processes
• The processes were re-engineered, substantially
  modified, for go-live
• Without a well conceived, implemented and
  managed Continuous Improvement Program…
This will happen

                          60
 The processes are
 neglected and the        50
 performance level will   40
 decay over time.
                          30

                          20

                          10

                          0
What Can Happen to Deteriorate ERP Performance
after Go-Live
• Socio-Tech Gap
  – The Human Process & the ERP Programmed Process
    are not aligned
  – Re-engineering only 60% complete at Go-Live
    (Gavoor’s Guesstimate)


• People not being Fully Aligned do not trust the
  system
People not being Fully Aligned do not Trust the
System
1. They believe, “This damned thing doesn’t work!”
2. They often revert to their old spreadsheets or
   create spreadsheets that mimic their comfortable
   legacy world
3. They are not motivated to do data
   management… an overlooked and tedious
   process in the best of circumstances
4. “This damned thing doesn’t work!” becomes a
   self-fulfilling prophecy.
What Can Happen to Deteriorate ERP Performance
after Go-Live
• Socio-Tech Gap
  – The Human Process & the ERP Programmed Process
    are not aligned
  – Re-engineering only 60% complete at Go-Live
• People not Being Fully Aligned do not trust the
  system
• Key Users: The best trained & most adept users
  – Move on: Promoted, transferred, leave the company
  – Faster than one would have guessed or hoped or
    wished
Management Misconceptions about ERPs
• Myth:      It is over at go-live
  Truth:     It is just the beginning

• Myth:      It is an IT project
  Truth:     It must be a business led project to succeed

• Myth:      Data Management is just about data
• Truth 1:   Data Management is a key maybe strategic
             business process all on its own
• Truth 2:   Maintenance is way more complicated and
             costly than imagined
Manufacturing Intelligence (MI)
• Supply Chain must be part of corporate Data
  Management Process
• If there isn’t, lead the charge to create one.

• Clean, accurate data is not enough…
• The data must become information you can use
MI: Own it and Manage it
• Have capable MI system in place
• Enabling technology for the process
  management/improvement systems.
• Must include:
  –   Direct access to all data sources
  –   Data aggregation
  –   Analytics
  –   Role specific reporting
MI: Own it and Manage it
• Have capable MI system in place
• Enabling technology for the process
  management/improvement systems.
• Must include:
  –   Direct access to all data sources
  –   Data aggregation
  –   Analytics
  –   Role specific reporting
• MI must have Continuous Improvement embedded
  in it
The Alphabet Soup Problem
• Do you have too many
  improvement initiatives?
• 6σ,TPM, JIT, Lean, Change
  Management, SPC, Lean 6σ,
  Kaizen, Kaizen Blitz, Workouts

• Add on top of this an ERP
  implementation or upgrade
• People do not know what they
  are doing, when, or why
Improvement Initiatives
• Put under or marry it to MI

• Pick two
  – Lean 6 sigma
  – Technology/Process Re-engineering
    (covers all the ERP & IT projects)
Have a running list of projects
• Tactical – this never goes away
• Strategic – supporting your supply chain strategic
  plan

• Lead MI and drive the projects
• Do not burden the organization with too many
  projects
MI: Should Enable Sustainable
Improvements
Summary
• Showed the critical importance of data and
  information in our modern supply chain
  – Flow of materials and goods
  – Flow of information
  – Laws of Supply Chain Physics.
• The criticality of not just data management but
  Manufacturing Intelligence
  – A key business process
  – Tied to improvement efforts
  – Tied to ERP effectiveness
Summary
• Accountability across functions and continuous
  improvement across the enterprise requires a
  properly implemented MI.
• Customers will see you as more agile and
  providing higher levels of service.
• You will see reduced overhead, smoother running
  processes, less firefighting, and higher customer
  satisfaction.
• In total, this delivers greater supply chain value and
  a faster ROI.
Summary – Getting it ALL Right
• When we do this, our operations and supply chain
  have

• Right Data is in the Right Place at the Right Time
  with Perfect Quality which facilitates having

• The Right Products in the Right Place at the Right
  Time in the Right Quantities
The Right Data in the Right Place at the Right Time
The Right Data in the Right Place at the Right Time
The Right Data in the Right Place at the Right Time

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The Right Data in the Right Place at the Right Time

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Topics • Our view of the Supply Chain • Supply Chain Physics • Manufacturing Intelligence
  • 5. What is the goal of the Supply Chain • To have the Right Products • In the Right Place • At the Right Time • In the Right Quantities • With the Right Quality • And to execute all that at the lowest possible costs
  • 6. A view of the Supply Chain • That has evolved over the years • Is the basis for how we look at things • How it shapes our modern approach to supply chain management
  • 7. Customer Service Supply Chain Forecasting Mfg. Order Purchasing Planning Places Processing Order Manufacturing Order Taking & Fulfillment Inventory Warehouse Suppliers Allocation Trade Manufacturing Distribution
  • 8.  Information Flow Forecasting Mfg Order Purchasing Places Planning Processing Order Manufacturing Order Taking & Fulfillment Inventory Warehouse Suppliers Allocation Trade Manufacturing Distribution Material/Product flow 
  • 9. There has been a change… • From the days of the “Beer Game” – Supply chain simulation game developed at MIT – The flow of information lagged – Causing havoc in the supply chain
  • 10. Information Flow • In the Beer Game • The information flow – Was slow – All parts of the supply chain did not have “visibility” • Inventory went out of control – Too much product, everywhere – Why? The right information was not in the right place at the right time
  • 11. There has been a change… • To today, where information is – Due to ERP systems – Available virtually instantaneously
  • 12. There has been a change… • To today, where information is – Due to ERP systems – Available virtually instantaneously – Hopefully accurate
  • 13. Instant Information Instantaneous Information Conduit & Fulfillment Order Taking Inventory Warehouse Suppliers Allocation Trade Distribution Manufacturing Material/Product flow 
  • 14. Today • Information is theoretically • Available – Everywhere: ERP systems all communicate – To facilitate decisions – To provide that “visibility” • Life is Good
  • 15. Today • Information is theoretically • Available – Everywhere: ERP systems all communicate – To facilitate decisions – To provide that “visibility” • Life is Good when the information is – Clean = Accurate – Up to date – Complete
  • 16. Today • Bad data or information is as instantaneously available as • Good data or information
  • 17. Topics • Our view of the Supply Chain • Supply Chain Physics • Manufacturing Intelligence
  • 18. Part of the Supply Chain • Is a physical world • We buy things and have them delivered • We may transform the things we buy into more valuable things others will want to buy from us • When our products are bought, we have to get them to those that bought them
  • 19. Part of the Supply Chain • Is a physical world • We buy things and have them delivered • We may transform the things we buy into more valuable things others will want to buy from us • When our products are bought, we have to get them to those that bought them • Real objects, Liquids, Solids, & Gases, are manipulated & moved in Space & Time
  • 20. Objects moving in Space & Time • That sounds like Physics • Which means there are limits to what can and cannot be done in the physical part of the supply chain • There are laws to be followed
  • 21. The Three Laws of SC Physics 1. Law of Interdependency 2. Law of Constraints 3. Law of Information
  • 22. The Three Laws of SC Physics 1. Law of Interdependency – Inventory, Service, Quality, Costs are interdependent – In business improvement, silo-ed functional improvement can only take you so far. All further improvements require cross-functional efforts. 2. Law of Constraints 3. Law of Information
  • 23. The Three Laws of SC Physics 1. Law of Interdependency 2. Law of Constraints – How much of any item can be produced in a finite amount of time? – How far, fast, & in what quantities can goods be shipped from Point A to Point B? – Yes … very related to the Theory of Constraints 3. Law of Information
  • 24. The Three Laws of SC Physics 1. Law of Interdependency 2. Law of Constraints 3. Law of Information – Information moves at the speed of light, er… the internet – Independent of accuracy of the information – Data and information influences Lead Times Inventory Customer Service Reaction to Market Demands
  • 25. Supply Chain Whack-a-Mole • Quality • Cost • Service • Inventory • Optimize all to a point • Then trade-off optimization http://www.mmt-inst.com/End_of_management_whack_a_mole.html • Need structural change to optimize all further
  • 26. When we Violate the Laws Not Accounting for Realities of Compromise & Supply Chain Physics Cause Trade-offs in Performance • Manufacturing Lead Times • Transit Times • Inventory • Production rates • Service • Production capacities • Quality • Warehouse utilization • Cost • Transportation equipment availability • Demand Volatility
  • 27. It is a complex Multi-Criteria Problem Optimize all i Cost i, Inventory i, Service i, Quality i Subject to: Manufacturing Lead Times > MLTij Transit Times > TTijk Production rates < PRij Production capacities < PCij Warehouse utilization < Wik Transportation equipment availability < Eijk Demand Volatility = σi i = SKU number j = Plant or Supplier (how many plants/suppliers?) k = DC number
  • 28. Why Supply Chain Physics? • Supply Chain Physics is a concept based on science, engineering, and business • But it is a concept… We cannot, yet, articulate and solve the multi- criteria optimization problem • It is language and set of principles to foster – Accountabilities across functions – Improvement across the enterprise
  • 29. The Law of Information • Is fundamental to this concept • It is impossible to have the Right Products in the Right Place at the Right Time in the Right Quantities • Without having the Right Data in the Right Place at the Right Time with Perfect Quality.
  • 30. Topics • Our view of the Supply Chain • Supply Chain Physics • Manufacturing Intelligence
  • 31. We have data! • We have an ERP! • We have mountains of data!
  • 32. We have data! • We have an ERP! • We have mountains of data! • Do you have information? – In the right format, in the right place, at the right time, with perfect quality – To enable business decisions to have the right Products in the right place at the right time in the right quantities
  • 33. Let’s consider our ERPs • They drive our businesses • They are socio-technical systems – People – Technology – Business processes – Working in harmony to drive transactions • They are business processes
  • 34. Three Things You can do to a Business Process • Manage/maintain current level of performance • Marginal/incremental improvement • Dramatic Improvement
  • 35. There is a 4th Thing... 60 Neglect the process & watch the performance 50 level gradually decay over 40 time 30 20 10 0
  • 36. Why are ERP Re-engineered Processes Different? • The transaction processes in an ERP are indeed PROCESSES • The same four things can happen to these business processes • The processes were re-engineered, substantially modified, for go-live • Without a well conceived, implemented and managed Continuous Improvement Program…
  • 37. This will happen 60 The processes are neglected and the 50 performance level will 40 decay over time. 30 20 10 0
  • 38. What Can Happen to Deteriorate ERP Performance after Go-Live • Socio-Tech Gap – The Human Process & the ERP Programmed Process are not aligned – Re-engineering only 60% complete at Go-Live (Gavoor’s Guesstimate) • People not being Fully Aligned do not trust the system
  • 39. People not being Fully Aligned do not Trust the System 1. They believe, “This damned thing doesn’t work!” 2. They often revert to their old spreadsheets or create spreadsheets that mimic their comfortable legacy world 3. They are not motivated to do data management… an overlooked and tedious process in the best of circumstances 4. “This damned thing doesn’t work!” becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
  • 40. What Can Happen to Deteriorate ERP Performance after Go-Live • Socio-Tech Gap – The Human Process & the ERP Programmed Process are not aligned – Re-engineering only 60% complete at Go-Live • People not Being Fully Aligned do not trust the system • Key Users: The best trained & most adept users – Move on: Promoted, transferred, leave the company – Faster than one would have guessed or hoped or wished
  • 41. Management Misconceptions about ERPs • Myth: It is over at go-live Truth: It is just the beginning • Myth: It is an IT project Truth: It must be a business led project to succeed • Myth: Data Management is just about data • Truth 1: Data Management is a key maybe strategic business process all on its own • Truth 2: Maintenance is way more complicated and costly than imagined
  • 42. Manufacturing Intelligence (MI) • Supply Chain must be part of corporate Data Management Process • If there isn’t, lead the charge to create one. • Clean, accurate data is not enough… • The data must become information you can use
  • 43. MI: Own it and Manage it • Have capable MI system in place • Enabling technology for the process management/improvement systems. • Must include: – Direct access to all data sources – Data aggregation – Analytics – Role specific reporting
  • 44. MI: Own it and Manage it • Have capable MI system in place • Enabling technology for the process management/improvement systems. • Must include: – Direct access to all data sources – Data aggregation – Analytics – Role specific reporting • MI must have Continuous Improvement embedded in it
  • 45. The Alphabet Soup Problem • Do you have too many improvement initiatives? • 6σ,TPM, JIT, Lean, Change Management, SPC, Lean 6σ, Kaizen, Kaizen Blitz, Workouts • Add on top of this an ERP implementation or upgrade • People do not know what they are doing, when, or why
  • 46. Improvement Initiatives • Put under or marry it to MI • Pick two – Lean 6 sigma – Technology/Process Re-engineering (covers all the ERP & IT projects)
  • 47. Have a running list of projects • Tactical – this never goes away • Strategic – supporting your supply chain strategic plan • Lead MI and drive the projects • Do not burden the organization with too many projects
  • 48. MI: Should Enable Sustainable Improvements
  • 49. Summary • Showed the critical importance of data and information in our modern supply chain – Flow of materials and goods – Flow of information – Laws of Supply Chain Physics. • The criticality of not just data management but Manufacturing Intelligence – A key business process – Tied to improvement efforts – Tied to ERP effectiveness
  • 50. Summary • Accountability across functions and continuous improvement across the enterprise requires a properly implemented MI. • Customers will see you as more agile and providing higher levels of service. • You will see reduced overhead, smoother running processes, less firefighting, and higher customer satisfaction. • In total, this delivers greater supply chain value and a faster ROI.
  • 51. Summary – Getting it ALL Right • When we do this, our operations and supply chain have • Right Data is in the Right Place at the Right Time with Perfect Quality which facilitates having • The Right Products in the Right Place at the Right Time in the Right Quantities