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FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 2
................................................................................................................................................................................................4
First thing first, What are you?...........................................................................................................................................................5
Investment Psychology......................................................................................................................................................................6
Deriving Crowd Psychology from Bars.................................................................................................................................................8
Trend Is Your Friend .......................................................................................................................................................................10
................................................................................................................................................14
The Last 'M' (or) Trade Management................................................................................................................................................17
STOP!.............................................................................................................................................................................................18
Candlesticks - Part I ........................................................................................................................................................................20
Candlesticks - Part II .......................................................................................................................................................................26
Two is better than One....................................................................................................................................................................29
How to Stop....................................................................................................................................................................................32
..........................................................................................................................................................................34
Moving Average ..............................................................................................................................................................................37
FOREX for Beginners
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MACD / Mac D ................................................................................................................................................................................40
Triangle Breakout............................................................................................................................................................................44
Combining Crowd Thinking with Crowd Commitment.........................................................................................................................45
(၁) ...........................................................................................................................................................................48
(၂) ...........................................................................................................................................................................50
..........................................................................................................................................................................52
Psychology of Losing .......................................................................................................................................................................55
Short with me .................................................................................................................................................................................57
How to Trade Like a Professional .....................................................................................................................................................57
FOREX for Beginners
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႔ Trader ႔ Methods, Mindset ႔ ႔
Trading Methods (Technical Analysis) ႔
႔ ႔ Trading ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ Methods
႔ ႔ ႔ ႕ Trading History ႔ ႔ Winning Trade Losing Trade
Methods ႔ Technical Analysis ႔ Fundamental Analysis ႔
႔ ႕
႕ ႔ Trading 95% of traders lose money ႔ ႔ Mindset
႔ Trade Management ႔ ႔
႔ Mindset ႔ Trade Management ႔ ႔ ႕ Mindset ႔
႔ ႔ Trading ႔ ႔ ႕ Mindset
႔ Trade Management
႔ ႔ Ko Aung Myo Htet (aungs.investment@gmail.com) ႕ www.aunginvestment.blogspot.com
Trading ႔ ႕ ႕ ႔ ႔ Trader ႔ Ko
Aung Myo Htet
Naing Aung Soe
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FOREX for Beginners
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First thing first, What are you?
Investment ႕ Investment Objective
႔
Spender
Investment Credit Card
Saver
Risk free Interest rate ႔ Saver ဝ ႔ Inflation
) ႔ Tax( ) ႔
Part-time/Passive Investor
Stock Market Real Estate ႔ Gold ႔ Foreign Currency
Investor Part-time Buy-and-Hold ႔ Investor Short-
term/Temporary ႔ Return on Investment (ROI) ႔
Part-time Investor Day Job ႔ Finance Newsletter Subscribe
Full-time/Active Investor/Trader
Day Job ႔ ROI ႔ - Short-term ႔
႔ Price Fluctuation Advantage ROI ႔ Liquidate
Economic Data Investment Stragegy Risk Manage
Financial Freedom Retirement
႔ Spender ႔ Saver ႔ Investing/Trading ဝ Investment
Objective Define ဝ Risk Investing ႔ ဝ ဝ
FOREX for Beginners
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Investment Psychology
Investment Seriously 3M 3M Mindset, Methods ႔ Management Investor 3M
Topic Mindset ဝ ႔
Investing Get Rich Quick Scheme ႔ You got to be really a financial genius.
Realistic ႔ ႔ Investing ႔
/ ႕ ႔ ႕
႔ Apply ႔
Self-Confidence
Reason ႔
႔
Sacrifice Education Lifestyle
႔ ႔ ႔ TV Facebook Club ႔
႔ Spending ႔ Saving
႔ ဝ Western Economy ႔ ႔
႔ Personal Debt ႔ Investment Debt Personal
Investment Debt ႔ Credit Card
Investment
FOREX for Beginners
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Isn't Investing same as Gambling
3M M ၁ % Every Investment Risk Risk Analyse ႔
Manage ႔ 3M Investment Risk Risk
It takes a Genius to become rich
Absolutely Rubbish Average IQ ႔ Investor Reasonable Objective ႔
႔ Financially Common Sense Self-
discipline Genius Brave ႔
Plain ႔ ႔ ႔ Spouse/Partner
Educate ႔ ႔ ႔ Single
Invest ႔ ဝ ႔ ဝ
Reason ႔ Investing Concept
Mindset
႔ Mindset Robert Kiyosaki ႔ Dr. Alexander Elder ႔ Material ႕
Reference
FOREX for Beginners
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Deriving Crowd Psychology from Bars
Topic 3M Method Method ႕ Income, Expenses, Debt, Tax,
Dividend, Shareholder Equity, Net Tangible Assets Analysis Fundamental Analysis(FA) ႔ FA ႕
Data Earning Expense Affect Significant
FA Active Investor
Trader ဝ FA ဝ Technical Analysis(TA)
TA Stock ႕ Price ႔ Volume Analysis
Two types of Crowd
Price Two types of Crowd (Bulls ႕ ဝ ဝ(Bears Bulls
Bears Investing Bear
for now, let's stick to Bulls. Professionals Stock Bullish
Bearish ႔ Market Bull Market ႔
Bear Market ႔
TA Price ႔ Volume Chart ႔ Represent ႔ CNBC ႔ Media Line Chart Line Chart
Generally close price Close Price ႔ ႔ Period
Open, High, Low, Close ႔ OHLC ႔ Open ႔ Close ႔
High ႔ Low Period ႔ OHLC Bar Chart
Type OHLC Represent
FOREX for Beginners
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"Period " ႔ ႕ Period ႔ ႔ 5min,
15min, 1hr, 1day, 1week, 1month ႔ ႔ Period ႔ OHLC Bar Open
Close Bar Point
TA FA Translate ႔ Interpretation Trader ႔
Generally Open Amateur Professional Normally ႔
႕ High Bulls ႔ ဝ ဝ ႔
Low Bears ႔ ႔ ႔ Low Close
Professional Institutions Define ႔ ႔
ဝ Pro Institutions
FOREX for Beginners
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႔ Volume Volume Volume Period Units
Very Bullish Day Volume Average ဝ ႔
႔ OHLC TA ႕ Holy Grail OHLC Topic Serious
Investor Analyse Bar ႔ Market Crowd Psychology Guess
႔
Trend Is Your Friend
OHLC Bar Trend Line Trend Price ႕ Direction ႔
Trend Line Price Trend within normal range
Confirmation ႔ Trend Line ႔ Price Trend ႔
FOREX for Beginners
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Technical Analysis Indicators Confirm Trend Line Generally Priority ႔ Trend Line
FOREX for Beginners
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Trend obviously Bull/Up Trend ႔ Up Trend Professional
Up Trend Analyse Period Lowest Low Low before the most recent Highest Low
႔
Up Trend Low Down Trend High Down Trend Rule Period Highest High High
before the most recent Lowest High downward slope line ႔ Apply
႔ Up Trend rule ဝ Up Trend ႔ Down Trend
Up Trend Reverse ႕
Down Trend ( Up Trend Apply ) Highest High Bar
High Reliable
႔ ႔ Price Trend Slope ႔
Generalise ႔ ႔
႔ Translate Trend ႔ ႔ Baseline ႔ Up Trend
ဝ
၁ ႔ Close Trend Line Close
Confirm
Confirm
၂) Trend Hold ႔ ႔ Price ႔ Near Future
၃) Lowest Low Horizontal Angle Angle Momentum Angle
FOREX for Beginners
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Rule Down Trend Rule
၁ ႕ Close Close Trend Line
Generally Confirm Technical Indicator
Confirm Confirm ဝ
FOREX for Beginners
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၂) Trend Hold ႔ Future Date ႔ Price ႔ Near Future
၃) Highest High Horizontal Angle Angle Momentum Angle
Correction
Technical Analyst Topic Stock Price limit ( ႔)
႕ Technical Support and Resistance ႔ Support ႔ Resistance
႔ Support Break Resistance ႔
Support ႔ Resistance Horizontal Line ၉၉%
Support ႔ Resistance Detail Typical Stock Price Price
Straight
Price - - - - Pattern ႔
Price Support ႔ Resistance
႔
FOREX for Beginners
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Support ႔ Resistance Crow Psychology Bulls ဝ
ဝ Bulls ႔ဝ ဝ Herd Mentality ႕
ဝ ႔ Resistance Bulls ႕ Realise ႕
Resistance Stock ႔ ဝ
ဝ ႔ ႔ ႔
႕ ႕ ႔ ႕ Support
ဝ Bull ဝ ႕ Cycle
႕ Resistance ႔ ႔
႔ ႕ Bearish Cycle Support ႔ Resistance
Drive Crowd Psychology
FOREX for Beginners
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Support ႔ Resistance Resistance High/Close ႔
Period Reliable Support Low/Close Stock Significant Support &
Resistance Event Support & Resistance Breakout
Investor ႔ ႔ Annoucement Resistance Break ႔
Data Annoucement
Potential ဝ ဝ Support Floor
Buy-and-pray ႔
Major Support ႔ Resistance Support ႔ Resistance ႔ Breakout ႔
Support Resistance Resistance
FOREX for Beginners
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The Last 'M' (or) Trade Management
3M Method ႔ ႔ Another M M
Mindset Method Basic ႕ 3M ႔
Management
Management ႔ ႔ Trader/Investor ႔ Management
၁) Trade Management
၂) Portfolio Management
၃) Tax Management
၄) Wealth Management ႔ Trade Management ႔
Trade Management Trade Management ႔ ႔ ဝ
ဝ ဝ ဝ ဝ
Trading Plan
Trading Plan Main Field
၁) Entry Price - ႔ ဝ
၂) Profit-taking price -
၃) Stop-loss price -
၄) If Entry price is not achievable with initial bids, how far you would go chasing it? - Entry Price ဝ
၅) ( ႔) Stock Quote ႔ Record ႔
Trading Plan Follow ႔ Self-discipline Trader
FOREX for Beginners
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3M – Management Introduction
Preparation ဝ ႕
Plannig Investor Stock ဝ Trading Plan ႔
STOP!
Topic ႔
- - - ႔ -
- - Finance Section Recommend
ဝ ဝ Buy-and-pray Model ႔ ႕
Stop-loss target Market
႔ ႔ - - -
Plan B
ဝ ႔ - - - ဝ ဝ
- - -
% ဝ ၅% ၁ % ( ႔) ၁၅%
႔ Investment/Trading capital Stock trading
Concept Total Capital 2% 3% Trade
FOREX for Beginners
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Risk ႔ Trader $100,000 capital ႔ ၂ ၃ ႔
Risk ႔ ဝ Plan
Main Idea behind this concept Trader ႔ Rule No.1 Profit ႔ Capital Preservation
၂% Risk ႔ ၄၉ Trade (၂% x ၅ = ၁ %) ၃% ၃၂ St
% Amount Survival ႔ Market Loser
႔ Stock Price Risk
ဝ Capital ၁ ႔ Assume
Stock Price $ 30 30 30 30 30
Acceptable loss as % of price 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Acceptable $ loss over price 1.5 3 4.5 6 7.5
Capital $ 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000
Acceptable loss as % of capital 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Acceptable $ loss over capital 300 300 300 300 300
Position Size / Units / Volume 200.00 100.00 66.67 50.00 40.00
Position $ 6000 3000 2000 1500 1200
FOREX for Beginners
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Conclusion ႔ Risk Amount Fixed ႔ ႔ Risk ဝ
႕ Stop-loss ဝ ႕
Stop-loss Professional ႔ - - - Stop-loss
Stock price ႔ Risk Position size Stop-loss Helmet
႔ Trading Stop-loss ႔ Position size Define ႔ ႔
Candlesticks - Part I
ဝ Stock Trading ဝ Candlesticks OHLC Bar ႔
Trading signal Trader ႔ Entry ႔ Exit Timing Bar
Candlestick Confirmation
Candlestick ႔ ႕ Candlestick
၁ ၅ Munehisa Homma ႔ Homma ႔ ႕
Financial ႔ ႔ Financial Consultant ႔ ဝ Samurai ႕
Candlestick Technique ႕ ၂ Steve Nison ဝ
႔ ႔ Homma
Refine Technical Analysis Wal-mart Store(WMT) Bar ႔
FOREX for Beginners
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FOREX for Beginners
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Candlestick ႔ OHLC data Candlestick Open ႔ Close Open ႕ Close
Open Close ႔ Close
Body Real Body ႔ High ႔ Low Upper Shadow ႔ Lower
Shadow ႔ Candlestick ဝ ႕
FOREX for Beginners
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Candlestick ဝ Trend Reversal Confirm Intro ႔ Trend
Reversal Signal Candlestick type ႔ Hammer ႔ Hanging Man ႔
Trend ဝ Candle Hammer ႔ Trend Down Trend
Down Trend Candle Lower Shadow Real Body Height Upper Shadow ( ႔)
Hanging Man Up trend Real Body ႔ Lower Shadow Length Ratio Hammer ၁ ၂
Hammer ႔ Hanging Man Circle
FOREX for Beginners
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Hammers in AMD chart
FOREX for Beginners
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Hanging Men in Black & Decker Chart
Crowd Psychology Hammer ႔ Bear ႔
Close Low ႔ ဝ ဝ Bull ႔
Idea ႔ Down Trend Line Breakout Signal ႔ Confirm Trade ဝ ႔ Hammer Bears ႔
႔
FOREX for Beginners
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Hanging Man Psychology Up Trend ႔ Hanging Man
Formation Bears Attack ႔ ႔ Hanging Man Bull
႔ Hanging Man Following Day
Candle Confirm Hanging Man Following Candle Black real body Hammer White real
body
Hanging Man ႔ Hammer White Hammer ႔ Black Hanging Man
Potent ႔ Hanging Man ႔ Hammer Candle Formation ႔ ႔ Candle
Formation Candlesticks Technique Part II single-candle formation
Candlesticks - Part II
Part I Single-candle Formation Formation
Shooting Star
Shooting Star formation
႔ Bearish reversal signal Shooting Star Hanging Man
Up Trend Upper Shadow Length Real body Real body Low Crowd
Psychology Example Psychology
FOREX for Beginners
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Shooting Star formation ႕ ႔ Up trend reverse ႔ Long Upper Shadow Bull
Attempt Bear Close High ႔ Low ႔
႕ Upper Shadow Bull Bull ႔ Bear Bull
Trend Reversal Shooting Star Real body
Belt-hold lines
Belt-hold Sumo Wrestling term "Yorikiri" ႔ Opponent ႔
ဝ ႕ ႔ Trading context Bull ႔ Bear ႔
FOREX for Beginners
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Down Trend ႔ Up Trend Belt-hold candle Bullish Belt-hold ႔ Bearish Belt-hold ႔
Belt-hold candle major characteristic
Bullish Belt-hold candle down trend Open Low ႔ Close High Bearish
Belt-hold candle up trend ႔ Open High ႔ Close Low ႔
Bullish Belt-hold White Opening Shaven Bottom ႔ Bearish Belt-hold Black Opening
Shaven Head ႔ Belt-hold candle Real body More reliable Up Trend/Down Trend
Same color, long real body candle Reliable Belt-hold candle ႔ Crowd Psychology
႔ Risk Trader Reversal Sign ႕ ႔ Action
Conservative Investor ႔ next day candle Signal
Candlestick Power ႔ Candlestick chart Bar chart ႔
Steve Nison Candlestick Techniques Reference Refer
FOREX for Beginners
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Two is better than One
Powerful Candlestick - ႔
Candle Formation Candle -
႔ Trend Reversal
Confirm ႔ ဝ
Bullish / Bearish Counterattack Pattern - Weak reversal signal
Bullish Counterattack Downtrend Bearish Counterattack Uptrend
႔ Bullish ႔ Bear Downtrend
Downtrend Duration ၄-၅ ႔ Close Open White
Candle Close White Candle Open ႔
Crowd Psychology
Close ႔ Close ႔ ႔ Formation Weak Signal ႔
FOREX for Beginners
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Piercing Pattern and Dark Cloud Cover Pattern - Good Reversal Signal
Counterattack ႔ White Candle Close ႔ Black Candle Close
Black Candle Real Body Black Candle Open
Piercing Pierce ႔ Dark
Cloud Cover Up Trend Sunny ႔
FOREX for Beginners
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Bullish / Bearish Engulfing Pattern - Strong Reversal Signal
White Candle Open ႔ Black Candle Close White Candle Close Black Candle Open
Strongest Reversal Signal Engulfing /ဝ Technical Analysis Outside Day ႔
႕ Volume ႔
Second Candle Volume ႔ Trading Signal Trend Line Support ႔ Resistance
FOREX for Beginners
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How to Stop
႔ ဝ Base ၅ ၁
Trend Line ႔ Support ႔ Resistance Professional Stop Loss
Technical Analysis(TA) Stop order
Broker Broker Stop order ႔ Internet Broker Broker
Website Usability Generally Define
၁) Stop price - Sell order Market ႔
၂) Limit price – Market Sell Price ႔ ႔ Generally, it should be less than or equal to the Stop price. Market ႔ ႔
႔ ႔ ႔
၃) Position Liquidate ဝ Number of Units to sell
၄) Order expiration – Trigger ႔ Market Order ? Generally, Day order or GTC (Good Till Cancel)
Day order ႔ Purge GTC Cancel (
normally )
TA Ford (F) Chart Stop Define ႔ Trend Long term trend
Close Major Trend ႔
Ford Primary Trend 16/9/2009 ႕ (Primary Trend )
Long term Horizontal Support line 6.75 Side-way ႕ ) Bull ႕ Bear ႔
9/11/2009 ( ) Minor Up Trend 25/11/2009 Close
Just above Minor Up Trend ႕
FOREX for Beginners
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Volume Minor Up Trend Declining Volume ႔ ႕ Bull Commitment Bull
ဝ ဝ ႕
Horizontal Blue line at 8.95 Major Resistance Close Major Resistance ႕ 3/8/2009
Pull back ႕ Ford ႔
FOREX for Beginners
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႔ 8.95 Resistance Preferably, Close Original Primary Trend
Primary Trend Break out ႔ ႔ Minor Up Trend
Resistance ႔ ႔ Volume Improvement
Data Ford 8.95 Resistance ႔ Trader 8.95 ဝ Profit
Medium Term Investor 6.75 1 or 2 ticks Stop Order Tick Y-Axis
Tick ႔ Long Term Investor 5.00 ( ဝ 1 or 2 ticks ႔ 1 or 2 ticks
Professional Major Support ႔ Resistan ႔ Point Stop order
Setup Stop Trigger
Trend ႔ Support ႔ Resistance Investor
Stock Current Momentum TA Stop Order
Technical Analysis(TA) ႔ Trader Setting Line/Bar Chart
Scale
႕ Line/Bar Chart Scale Linear Scale ႔ Linear Stock Price Plot
၅ ၁ ၅ ( ႔) ၅ ႔ ၅ ၅၅ ၅ ( ႔) ၅
ticks ၅ ၁ Gap ႔ ၅ ၅၅ Gap Distance Exactly the same
Scale Linear Scale ႔
Scale Semi-Log scale ႔ ႕ Logarithmic ႔ Charting
Percentage Bar/Candle Height ၅
၁ ၁ % ႔ ၅ ၅၅ ၁ % ႔ Australia
Commonwealth Bank (CBA) Bar Chart Scale
FOREX for Beginners
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Linear Scale
FOREX for Beginners
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Semi-Log Scale
Trend Line Date Linear Scale ႔ Trend
Price Trend Ok ႕ Semi-Log Scale Trend Sideways ႕ Question
/ Scale Semi-Log ႔ Linear Outcome Semi-log
Long Term Trend
FOREX for Beginners
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Long Term Trend Semi-log ႔ ၅
Price Amount Gap ႕
႔ Semi-log Long Term Trend ဝ ႔
Charting Software Y-axis Scale Feature Yahoo website Chart Settings Scale
Link Chart Scale TA ႔
Moving Average
Technical Analysis ႔ one of the most effective methods Moving
Average (MA) ႔ MA Subcategory Simple MA ႔ Exponential MA ႔ MA ဝ Trend
average price ဝ MA
MA Formula Sum of
Prices / No. of Days
Simple MA (SMA) Formula ႔ ႔ Simple ႔ Price ႔ Price
High, Low, Close Open ၉၉% Close
SMA10 ႔ ၁ Close ၁ ႔ ႔
Exponential MA(EMA) google ႔ EMA
Most Recent Price Weight ႔ Price ႔
႔ Depend Pro EMA EMA
Dow Jones Industrial (DJI) index EMA10 ႔ EMA10 Bar Close
EMA10 Close EMA10 Short-term uptrend ႔
FOREX for Beginners
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Technical Indicator Bearish Signal ႔
Ready
MA No. of days Recent Price Activity ႔ Matching Recent Price ႔
EMA15 Short-term MA ႔ 15 MA Medium to Long-term trend ႔ Short-term EMA
Traders Long-term EMA Investors Technical Indicator
Short-term ႔ Long-term Group (Traders & Investors) Overall Sentiment ႕ Short-term Long-
term Uptrend Momentum ႔ Downtrend ႔
Concept MA Crossovers Short Long Long
FOREX for Beginners
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Downtrend ဝ ႔ Reverse Short Long
Downward direction ႔ ႔
MA value EMA30, EMA60, EMA100, EMA200 ႔ Close EMA100 ႔ EMA200 Investor
႔ EMA200 Market
DJI EMA10 EMA30 April EMA crossover Signal
2009 January Bearish Crossover ႔ MA Power
MA Derive Advanced Technical Indicator
FOREX for Beginners
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MACD / Mac D
Advanced MA technique ႔ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
Mac D ႔ MACD Gerald Appel late 1970s Technical Analysis Beauty
ဝ ႔ outdate
MACD ႔ MA Chart Obama Healthcare bill ႔ ႔
Aetna Health Insurance Example ႔
Typical MACD Chart MACD ႔ Signal ႕ MACD Histogram Equaliser Bar
MACD
MACD = EMA12 - EMA26
Signal Line = SMA9 of MACD
MACD EMA12 ႔ EMA26 ႔ Crossover EMA12 EMA26 MACD
႔ MACD
႔ EMA12 ႔
Crossover MACD Chart ႕ EMA Difference MACD ႔ ႕ MACD Chart
႕ Crossover MACD ႔ Signal Line Signal Dotted Line ႔ typically
Simple Moving Average Weight
Signal ႔ Buy/Sell Signal ႔ MACD Signal
Latest MACD
Momentum ၉ Average / ဝ ႔ Signal Line
Trader SMA9
FOREX for Beginners
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FOREX for Beginners
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MACD Histogram (MACD_H) ႔
MACD_H = MACD - Signal Line
႕ Equaliser Bar ႔ MACD_H MACD Signal Difference size
MACD Crossovers, MACD_H ဝ Wave Slope Price
Chart Trend Slope ႔ ႔ Divergence ႔ Slope Direction Convergence
႔ Divergence Disagreement Convergence Agreement MACD ႔
To buy
 MACD Negative Positive
 MACD Signal Bullish Crossover
 Price Trend Downward Slope MACD( ႔) MACD_H ႔ Upward slope
႔ Rule MACD Silver Bullet Analysis
ဝ Paper Trade ႔ Aetna Signal
FOREX for Beginners
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FOREX for Beginners
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Triangle Breakout
Triangle Breakout Technique Dow Jones Industrial Average Index ႔ DJI
Technical Chart Candle ႔ MACD cha Triangle ႕
FOREX for Beginners
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Triangle Breakout
Downtrend Uptrend ႔ Price Triangle
Obviously Bullish
Bearish
Crowd Psychology ႔ Triangle ႔ Bears ႔ ႔
Translate
႔
DJI EMA200
Near term market outlook Technique Market Direction
႔ ႔
Combining Crowd Thinking with Crowd Commitment
Technical Analysis method Indicator Money Flow Index (MFI) ႔ Laszlo Birinyi, Jr.
MFI ႔ Price Volume MFI ႔ Charting Software Web
Site Standard ႔
MFI Formula
၁ Average Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
၂ Money Flow = Average Price x Volume
၃ Period Money Flow 14-period
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 46
၄ Positive Money Flow = ၃ No. of Periods Average Price Previous Average Price
Average Price (Cumulative Total, in other word)
၅ Negative Money Flow = ၃ No. of Periods Average Price Previous Average Price
Average Price (Cumulative Total, in other word)
Money Ratio = Positive Money Flow / Negative Money Flow
Money Flow Index (MFI) = 100 - (100 / (1+ Money Ratio))
MFI Formula Step 7 MFI Value -၁ Range Bound Design MFI value 20 Oversold (Bullish) ႔
MFI value 80 ႔ MFI 20 Stock
႔ 80 ဝ ႔ Trader Profit-taking ႔ ႔
႔ Oversold/Overbought Stock Fundamental Data Oversold/
Overbought Technical Analysis Technique Trading Decision Common sense
Stock ႔
Dow Jones Industrial Candle Chart, MFI MFI ၁၄ MFI ႔
Up trend Candle Chart Trend Bearish Divergence ႔ Bearish
Divergence Trend Line MFI Bullish Divergence Trend ႔ -
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 47
Stock Investor ႔ Thinking
Commitment Price what the crowd thinks ႔ Volume what the crowd commits ႔
Price Volume MFI Index ဝ
MACD_H indicator Price action Analysis ႔ ႔ MFI Indicator Crowd Psychology
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 48
Trader ႔ Divergence Indicator Divergence Signal
၁
႔ Trading Money Management
ဝ Title ႕ Concept Robert Kiyosaki ႔ Dr. Alexander Elder Intellectual Property
Trading vs. Investing
Trading ႔ Investing Trading Short-term focused Investing Long-term
Stock Investing Day job Financial Advisor, Broker Tips ႔
ဝ ႔ Generally Definition ႔ ဝ
Stock Market Directly ( ႔) Indirectly Invest Investing Direct Investing
ဝ Stock solid bluechip stock ( ၃ ၃ )
Dividends ႕ Time in the Market is More Important than Timing in the Market
" " ႔ Invest You are going
to need a lot of LUCK.
Trading is a totally different ball game
Stock Trading ဝ Market Washed Out Long-term investing mindset Trading area
႔ Trading ႔ Totally different mindset 3M (mindset, method, management)
Technical Analysis(TA) ႔ Fundamental Analysis(FA) TA ႔ FA ႔
mindset ႔ management ႔ ႔
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 49
Mythbusting
Trading ႔ Myth Stock Market Analysis
Report ဝ Myth Trading
 Analysis Entry ဝ
 ႔ ဝ ႔
 ဝ
Trading ႔ Chance ႔ ႔
႔ ႔ Market Trade Professionals Institutions
" ႔ "
Net balance Positive
Lose Less, Make More
Trading Core Principle Loss Manage ႔ Loss Profit
Automatic handle Stop-loss, Stop-loss ႕ Trading Book
႕ Discipline
႔ Weight ႔ Weight
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 50
၂
Stop-loss Technical Analysis ႔ Long-term Fundamental based investor Technical Analysis
Stock Invest Shorting Simply Long
Stock )
Oldest and Simplest are the Best
Technical Analysis ႔ Trend line, Support, Resistance Stop-loss, Profit-taking point Define ႔
႔ Trade
 Profit is made at the Entry, not at the Exit. ( ဝ )
 Support ႔
 Support Close Support ႔ Volume
 Trade Open Support ဝ Stop-loss ႔ Trade ဝ Cut
Loss ႔
 Trade Open
႔ Nearest Resistance Profit-taking ႔
Resistance Trade Interval
႔ Exit Uptrend Clearly Broken Sign
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 51
Mindset
႔ Technical Analysis trading risk ႔ ႔ ႔
ဝ Entry Chart Profitable Trade ႔ ႔ ႔
Technical Analysis too good to be true ႔
Gambler and Lotto Player
Stock Trading ဝ
Mindset Trader Realistic decision
႕ ႔ ႔
You can't stop-loss! ႔ ႔ Probability 1 in a several millions
Mindset Trading
႔ Stop-loss ႔
Can't bear the feeling of losing money
႔ ႕
(Realised Loss) ႔ Trading Bad
Feeling Perspective ႔
Think like a business man
Business Employee ႔ ႔ Probability
Business Income Expense Expense ႔
႔ No way unless it's your daddy's business. Contribution
Employer Business The famous "L" word Layoff!
Business Owner Loss Business Expenses ႔ Profit
Revenue/Income Stop-loss Trader Expense Business Run ႔ ႔ Trade
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 52
Trade Sack Technical Analysis Analysis
႔ Resume ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔
Professional trader ႔ ႔
Stock Open, High, Low, Close, Volume Technical Analysis ႔ Closing
Price ႔ OHLC, Volume
Technical Analysis Dimension Minute, Hour Daily, Weekly,
Monthly Linear Dimension X-axis
Closing Price Stock Major Support ႔ Resistance Analysis Technique Point & Figure
(P&F) ႔ Bank of America (BAC) Chart
Chart P&F ႔ Stock ႔ ႔ ႕
Stock
႔ ႕ Amount Amount Multiplier ႔ Personal Choice
၁.၅ ႔ ၁ Daily Range x 1.5 times Box size ႔ Box size Chart Cross ႔
Circle Amount Cross Circle
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 53
BAC ႔ ၄ Range Box size 40c x 1.5 = 60c BAC P&F chart Cross/Circle
Cross Circle, Circle Cross ႔ Column
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 54
႕ ႔
Reversal ႔ reversal box amount Rule of Thumb 3 boxes Chart
BAC ၁ / Symbol
Cross/Circle ႔/ ႔ Stock price box size ႕ ႕ ႔
Reversal amount Violent Trend ႔ Symbol Switch Reversal amount 3 box
3 4 box 4
X-axis Linear Scale ႕ ႔ ႔ Box size amount
Closing Price Chart Update ႔ ႔ Alphabet initials ႔ ႔
Reversal Compressed P&F ႔
Metastock Software ႔ Box size ႔ Reversal amount Input P&F
႕ ႔ Data P&F ဝ BAC ၂ ၅ Data ႔
P&F ဝ Circle Reversal Major Support ႔ Cross
Major Resistance ႔ BAC Chart Major Support P&F Stock
 Box size = Average daily movement range of a stock price x multiplier (multiplier is personal choice and mine is 1.5) ႔ ၁.၅
Daily Range Price action Capture ႔
 Reversal boxes = 3 or 4 times of Box size (again, it's personal choice)
 Time scale is no longer linear on X-axis
 Mainly used to identify long term major support and resistance. Resistance Cross (X) Support
Circle(O)
 Better to use charting software help to draw P&F
 P&F Major resistance/support P&F ႔
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 55
 P&F Price Major resistance/support Verify ႔
 P&F ႔ Technical Analysis ႔
Psychology of Losing
Stock Trading Beginner Stop-loss ဝ
Paper Loss/Unrealised Loss Chance Stop-loss Realised
Money Loss Perspective Palatable
Forget about $$$
Manage ႔ ႔ Point ႔ Casino Chip ႔
႔ ႔
Point Down ႔
Casualty of War
Civillian Idea Trading
Remember how you learned riding a bike
Helmat
Trading Stop-loss Helmat
Trader Trading Millionaire
႕
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 56
Learn from Beckham
Beckham Twist ႔ Free kick Penalty Goal Kick
Beckham ႔ Personality ႔ Achievement ႔ Losses ႔
ဝ ႔ Soccer
Round 1 ႔ Chance Total ႔ Goal First-half
Second-half Beckham
Market Take a break Analyse
႕
႕ ဝ ႔ Defense
႕ ဝ ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔
ဝ ႔ .....
On Sale
Department Store Further off Trader
Retailer Further Reduced cut
loss Retailer
It's only in your mind
Losing Trading special case mindset
Trade Losing is only in your
mind and you have to manage losses. Don't let losses manage you.
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 57
Short with me
Trader Market ႔ ဝ Market
႔ Long(buy low, sell high) Short(Sell high, buy low)
How to Trade Like a Professional
trading ဝ
Analyse Method ႔
Method Software ႔ Data (၁) Trader Method ႔
႔ ႔ Topic
႔
Knowledge Apply Professional trader ႔
Fact No. 1
Method ႔ Professional Trader Market ဝ Money Management Skill
Develop ႕ Market Analyse Trade
See the catch word here? " " ႔
Professional Trader small managed losses
Good Money Management Skill
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 58
Fact No. 2
Amateur Trader Market ဝ Big Profit ႔ ဝ Professional ႔ Big Losses ႔
Professional Loss Manage Profit Auto Amateur
Dr. Alexander Elder "A fool and his money can throw
one hell of a party" Market Profit ဝ Market Fool
Seriously, Manage your losses and have a good money management discipline.
One example of good money management: R-multiple system
Dr. Van Tharp R-multiple management system money management R-multiple system
R Risk Trader Trade ဝ Define
Trade ၂% ၅% ၂%-၅% Market Amount
Trade total cost Professional ၂% ႔
၂% Practical ၂%-၅% ႔
R Trader R amount ႔ cut loss ႔ ႔ R amount multiple Profit taking
႔ determine 2R or 3R amount R $200 2R $400 R-multiple ႔
Trading system Trading system Entry, Exit rules Technical, Fundamental generate MACD
crossover ဝ trend line ဝ No system is perfect but
there has to be some probability of success of your trading system. system %
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 59
# Invest Capital Risk or R Win/Lose Reward Multiplier
1 2000 10000 200 L 2
2 2000 9800 200 L 2
3 2000 9600 200 L 2
4 2000 9400 200 L 2
5 2000 9200 200 L 2
6 2000 9000 200 W 2
7 2000 9400 200 W 2
8 2000 9800 200 W 2
9 2000 10200 200 W 2
10 2000 10600 200 W 2
NET 11000
Table Figure Total ၁ Trader Trade ၂ ႔ R
၂ Total ၂% ၂-၅% range Conservative range Reward multiple 2R Risk
Method(Technical,Fundamental) Probability Example 50%
System ၅ % Market 90% ႔ Example
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 60
၅ % System Probability ႔ ၅ % Trade ၅ ၅
Key R amount 2R
၁ ၁ % return Trader weekly, fortnightly frequency ႔ Trade
period ၁ % ၁ % , ၄ %
 R total equity/cash
 Trade R amount cut
 R-multiple amount profit taking
 Method(Technical, Fundamental Probability system ႔ ႔ Success rate ၅ %
 Method continually refine
Van Tharp R-multiple system very simple Professional Trade Pro
၂၁ ႔ Trade Financial Freedom example Trade ၁
Risk R ၂ , 10 trade ၁ total profit 5R ႔ 5R 10 trade ႔ 0.5R average
Van Tharp Trader's life expectancy ႔ Life expectancy
႕ ႕ equity
Amateur ႔ Market Washed out Example ႔ Table Risk 2R R amount ႔
႔ ၄ ၂ ႔ ၁ -0.5R
expectan Key point Amateur Hope ႔ 2R+ R amount
႔
FOREX for Beginners
https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 61
# Invest Capital Risk or 2R Win/Lose Reward Multiplier
1 2000 10000 400 L 0.5
2 2000 9600 400 L 0.5
3 2000 9200 400 L 0.5
4 2000 8800 400 L 0.5
5 2000 8400 400 L 0.5
6 2000 8000 400 W 0.5
7 2000 8200 400 W 0.5
8 2000 8400 400 W 0.5
9 2000 8600 400 W 0.5
10 2000 8800 400 W 0.5
NET 9000
"Cut your losses fast and Let your profit run". R-multiple system Trade Probability system
Different money management trader ႔ Concept
Professional Trader ႔ Happy Trading!

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FOREX-for-Beginners.pdf

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  • 2. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 2 ................................................................................................................................................................................................4 First thing first, What are you?...........................................................................................................................................................5 Investment Psychology......................................................................................................................................................................6 Deriving Crowd Psychology from Bars.................................................................................................................................................8 Trend Is Your Friend .......................................................................................................................................................................10 ................................................................................................................................................14 The Last 'M' (or) Trade Management................................................................................................................................................17 STOP!.............................................................................................................................................................................................18 Candlesticks - Part I ........................................................................................................................................................................20 Candlesticks - Part II .......................................................................................................................................................................26 Two is better than One....................................................................................................................................................................29 How to Stop....................................................................................................................................................................................32 ..........................................................................................................................................................................34 Moving Average ..............................................................................................................................................................................37
  • 3. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 3 MACD / Mac D ................................................................................................................................................................................40 Triangle Breakout............................................................................................................................................................................44 Combining Crowd Thinking with Crowd Commitment.........................................................................................................................45 (၁) ...........................................................................................................................................................................48 (၂) ...........................................................................................................................................................................50 ..........................................................................................................................................................................52 Psychology of Losing .......................................................................................................................................................................55 Short with me .................................................................................................................................................................................57 How to Trade Like a Professional .....................................................................................................................................................57
  • 4. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 4 ႔ Trader ႔ Methods, Mindset ႔ ႔ Trading Methods (Technical Analysis) ႔ ႔ ႔ Trading ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ Methods ႔ ႔ ႔ ႕ Trading History ႔ ႔ Winning Trade Losing Trade Methods ႔ Technical Analysis ႔ Fundamental Analysis ႔ ႔ ႕ ႕ ႔ Trading 95% of traders lose money ႔ ႔ Mindset ႔ Trade Management ႔ ႔ ႔ Mindset ႔ Trade Management ႔ ႔ ႕ Mindset ႔ ႔ ႔ Trading ႔ ႔ ႕ Mindset ႔ Trade Management ႔ ႔ Ko Aung Myo Htet (aungs.investment@gmail.com) ႕ www.aunginvestment.blogspot.com Trading ႔ ႕ ႕ ႔ ႔ Trader ႔ Ko Aung Myo Htet Naing Aung Soe https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/
  • 5. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 5 First thing first, What are you? Investment ႕ Investment Objective ႔ Spender Investment Credit Card Saver Risk free Interest rate ႔ Saver ဝ ႔ Inflation ) ႔ Tax( ) ႔ Part-time/Passive Investor Stock Market Real Estate ႔ Gold ႔ Foreign Currency Investor Part-time Buy-and-Hold ႔ Investor Short- term/Temporary ႔ Return on Investment (ROI) ႔ Part-time Investor Day Job ႔ Finance Newsletter Subscribe Full-time/Active Investor/Trader Day Job ႔ ROI ႔ - Short-term ႔ ႔ Price Fluctuation Advantage ROI ႔ Liquidate Economic Data Investment Stragegy Risk Manage Financial Freedom Retirement ႔ Spender ႔ Saver ႔ Investing/Trading ဝ Investment Objective Define ဝ Risk Investing ႔ ဝ ဝ
  • 6. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 6 Investment Psychology Investment Seriously 3M 3M Mindset, Methods ႔ Management Investor 3M Topic Mindset ဝ ႔ Investing Get Rich Quick Scheme ႔ You got to be really a financial genius. Realistic ႔ ႔ Investing ႔ / ႕ ႔ ႕ ႔ Apply ႔ Self-Confidence Reason ႔ ႔ Sacrifice Education Lifestyle ႔ ႔ ႔ TV Facebook Club ႔ ႔ Spending ႔ Saving ႔ ဝ Western Economy ႔ ႔ ႔ Personal Debt ႔ Investment Debt Personal Investment Debt ႔ Credit Card Investment
  • 7. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 7 Isn't Investing same as Gambling 3M M ၁ % Every Investment Risk Risk Analyse ႔ Manage ႔ 3M Investment Risk Risk It takes a Genius to become rich Absolutely Rubbish Average IQ ႔ Investor Reasonable Objective ႔ ႔ Financially Common Sense Self- discipline Genius Brave ႔ Plain ႔ ႔ ႔ Spouse/Partner Educate ႔ ႔ ႔ Single Invest ႔ ဝ ႔ ဝ Reason ႔ Investing Concept Mindset ႔ Mindset Robert Kiyosaki ႔ Dr. Alexander Elder ႔ Material ႕ Reference
  • 8. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 8 Deriving Crowd Psychology from Bars Topic 3M Method Method ႕ Income, Expenses, Debt, Tax, Dividend, Shareholder Equity, Net Tangible Assets Analysis Fundamental Analysis(FA) ႔ FA ႕ Data Earning Expense Affect Significant FA Active Investor Trader ဝ FA ဝ Technical Analysis(TA) TA Stock ႕ Price ႔ Volume Analysis Two types of Crowd Price Two types of Crowd (Bulls ႕ ဝ ဝ(Bears Bulls Bears Investing Bear for now, let's stick to Bulls. Professionals Stock Bullish Bearish ႔ Market Bull Market ႔ Bear Market ႔ TA Price ႔ Volume Chart ႔ Represent ႔ CNBC ႔ Media Line Chart Line Chart Generally close price Close Price ႔ ႔ Period Open, High, Low, Close ႔ OHLC ႔ Open ႔ Close ႔ High ႔ Low Period ႔ OHLC Bar Chart Type OHLC Represent
  • 9. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 9 "Period " ႔ ႕ Period ႔ ႔ 5min, 15min, 1hr, 1day, 1week, 1month ႔ ႔ Period ႔ OHLC Bar Open Close Bar Point TA FA Translate ႔ Interpretation Trader ႔ Generally Open Amateur Professional Normally ႔ ႕ High Bulls ႔ ဝ ဝ ႔ Low Bears ႔ ႔ ႔ Low Close Professional Institutions Define ႔ ႔ ဝ Pro Institutions
  • 10. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 10 ႔ Volume Volume Volume Period Units Very Bullish Day Volume Average ဝ ႔ ႔ OHLC TA ႕ Holy Grail OHLC Topic Serious Investor Analyse Bar ႔ Market Crowd Psychology Guess ႔ Trend Is Your Friend OHLC Bar Trend Line Trend Price ႕ Direction ႔ Trend Line Price Trend within normal range Confirmation ႔ Trend Line ႔ Price Trend ႔
  • 11. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 11 Technical Analysis Indicators Confirm Trend Line Generally Priority ႔ Trend Line
  • 12. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 12 Trend obviously Bull/Up Trend ႔ Up Trend Professional Up Trend Analyse Period Lowest Low Low before the most recent Highest Low ႔ Up Trend Low Down Trend High Down Trend Rule Period Highest High High before the most recent Lowest High downward slope line ႔ Apply ႔ Up Trend rule ဝ Up Trend ႔ Down Trend Up Trend Reverse ႕ Down Trend ( Up Trend Apply ) Highest High Bar High Reliable ႔ ႔ Price Trend Slope ႔ Generalise ႔ ႔ ႔ Translate Trend ႔ ႔ Baseline ႔ Up Trend ဝ ၁ ႔ Close Trend Line Close Confirm Confirm ၂) Trend Hold ႔ ႔ Price ႔ Near Future ၃) Lowest Low Horizontal Angle Angle Momentum Angle
  • 13. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 13 Rule Down Trend Rule ၁ ႕ Close Close Trend Line Generally Confirm Technical Indicator Confirm Confirm ဝ
  • 14. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 14 ၂) Trend Hold ႔ Future Date ႔ Price ႔ Near Future ၃) Highest High Horizontal Angle Angle Momentum Angle Correction Technical Analyst Topic Stock Price limit ( ႔) ႕ Technical Support and Resistance ႔ Support ႔ Resistance ႔ Support Break Resistance ႔ Support ႔ Resistance Horizontal Line ၉၉% Support ႔ Resistance Detail Typical Stock Price Price Straight Price - - - - Pattern ႔ Price Support ႔ Resistance ႔
  • 15. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 15 Support ႔ Resistance Crow Psychology Bulls ဝ ဝ Bulls ႔ဝ ဝ Herd Mentality ႕ ဝ ႔ Resistance Bulls ႕ Realise ႕ Resistance Stock ႔ ဝ ဝ ႔ ႔ ႔ ႕ ႕ ႔ ႕ Support ဝ Bull ဝ ႕ Cycle ႕ Resistance ႔ ႔ ႔ ႕ Bearish Cycle Support ႔ Resistance Drive Crowd Psychology
  • 16. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 16 Support ႔ Resistance Resistance High/Close ႔ Period Reliable Support Low/Close Stock Significant Support & Resistance Event Support & Resistance Breakout Investor ႔ ႔ Annoucement Resistance Break ႔ Data Annoucement Potential ဝ ဝ Support Floor Buy-and-pray ႔ Major Support ႔ Resistance Support ႔ Resistance ႔ Breakout ႔ Support Resistance Resistance
  • 17. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 17 The Last 'M' (or) Trade Management 3M Method ႔ ႔ Another M M Mindset Method Basic ႕ 3M ႔ Management Management ႔ ႔ Trader/Investor ႔ Management ၁) Trade Management ၂) Portfolio Management ၃) Tax Management ၄) Wealth Management ႔ Trade Management ႔ Trade Management Trade Management ႔ ႔ ဝ ဝ ဝ ဝ ဝ Trading Plan Trading Plan Main Field ၁) Entry Price - ႔ ဝ ၂) Profit-taking price - ၃) Stop-loss price - ၄) If Entry price is not achievable with initial bids, how far you would go chasing it? - Entry Price ဝ ၅) ( ႔) Stock Quote ႔ Record ႔ Trading Plan Follow ႔ Self-discipline Trader
  • 18. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 18 3M – Management Introduction Preparation ဝ ႕ Plannig Investor Stock ဝ Trading Plan ႔ STOP! Topic ႔ - - - ႔ - - - Finance Section Recommend ဝ ဝ Buy-and-pray Model ႔ ႕ Stop-loss target Market ႔ ႔ - - - Plan B ဝ ႔ - - - ဝ ဝ - - - % ဝ ၅% ၁ % ( ႔) ၁၅% ႔ Investment/Trading capital Stock trading Concept Total Capital 2% 3% Trade
  • 19. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 19 Risk ႔ Trader $100,000 capital ႔ ၂ ၃ ႔ Risk ႔ ဝ Plan Main Idea behind this concept Trader ႔ Rule No.1 Profit ႔ Capital Preservation ၂% Risk ႔ ၄၉ Trade (၂% x ၅ = ၁ %) ၃% ၃၂ St % Amount Survival ႔ Market Loser ႔ Stock Price Risk ဝ Capital ၁ ႔ Assume Stock Price $ 30 30 30 30 30 Acceptable loss as % of price 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Acceptable $ loss over price 1.5 3 4.5 6 7.5 Capital $ 10000 10000 10000 10000 10000 Acceptable loss as % of capital 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Acceptable $ loss over capital 300 300 300 300 300 Position Size / Units / Volume 200.00 100.00 66.67 50.00 40.00 Position $ 6000 3000 2000 1500 1200
  • 20. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 20 Conclusion ႔ Risk Amount Fixed ႔ ႔ Risk ဝ ႕ Stop-loss ဝ ႕ Stop-loss Professional ႔ - - - Stop-loss Stock price ႔ Risk Position size Stop-loss Helmet ႔ Trading Stop-loss ႔ Position size Define ႔ ႔ Candlesticks - Part I ဝ Stock Trading ဝ Candlesticks OHLC Bar ႔ Trading signal Trader ႔ Entry ႔ Exit Timing Bar Candlestick Confirmation Candlestick ႔ ႕ Candlestick ၁ ၅ Munehisa Homma ႔ Homma ႔ ႕ Financial ႔ ႔ Financial Consultant ႔ ဝ Samurai ႕ Candlestick Technique ႕ ၂ Steve Nison ဝ ႔ ႔ Homma Refine Technical Analysis Wal-mart Store(WMT) Bar ႔
  • 22. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 22 Candlestick ႔ OHLC data Candlestick Open ႔ Close Open ႕ Close Open Close ႔ Close Body Real Body ႔ High ႔ Low Upper Shadow ႔ Lower Shadow ႔ Candlestick ဝ ႕
  • 23. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 23 Candlestick ဝ Trend Reversal Confirm Intro ႔ Trend Reversal Signal Candlestick type ႔ Hammer ႔ Hanging Man ႔ Trend ဝ Candle Hammer ႔ Trend Down Trend Down Trend Candle Lower Shadow Real Body Height Upper Shadow ( ႔) Hanging Man Up trend Real Body ႔ Lower Shadow Length Ratio Hammer ၁ ၂ Hammer ႔ Hanging Man Circle
  • 25. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 25 Hanging Men in Black & Decker Chart Crowd Psychology Hammer ႔ Bear ႔ Close Low ႔ ဝ ဝ Bull ႔ Idea ႔ Down Trend Line Breakout Signal ႔ Confirm Trade ဝ ႔ Hammer Bears ႔ ႔
  • 26. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 26 Hanging Man Psychology Up Trend ႔ Hanging Man Formation Bears Attack ႔ ႔ Hanging Man Bull ႔ Hanging Man Following Day Candle Confirm Hanging Man Following Candle Black real body Hammer White real body Hanging Man ႔ Hammer White Hammer ႔ Black Hanging Man Potent ႔ Hanging Man ႔ Hammer Candle Formation ႔ ႔ Candle Formation Candlesticks Technique Part II single-candle formation Candlesticks - Part II Part I Single-candle Formation Formation Shooting Star Shooting Star formation ႔ Bearish reversal signal Shooting Star Hanging Man Up Trend Upper Shadow Length Real body Real body Low Crowd Psychology Example Psychology
  • 27. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 27 Shooting Star formation ႕ ႔ Up trend reverse ႔ Long Upper Shadow Bull Attempt Bear Close High ႔ Low ႔ ႕ Upper Shadow Bull Bull ႔ Bear Bull Trend Reversal Shooting Star Real body Belt-hold lines Belt-hold Sumo Wrestling term "Yorikiri" ႔ Opponent ႔ ဝ ႕ ႔ Trading context Bull ႔ Bear ႔
  • 28. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 28 Down Trend ႔ Up Trend Belt-hold candle Bullish Belt-hold ႔ Bearish Belt-hold ႔ Belt-hold candle major characteristic Bullish Belt-hold candle down trend Open Low ႔ Close High Bearish Belt-hold candle up trend ႔ Open High ႔ Close Low ႔ Bullish Belt-hold White Opening Shaven Bottom ႔ Bearish Belt-hold Black Opening Shaven Head ႔ Belt-hold candle Real body More reliable Up Trend/Down Trend Same color, long real body candle Reliable Belt-hold candle ႔ Crowd Psychology ႔ Risk Trader Reversal Sign ႕ ႔ Action Conservative Investor ႔ next day candle Signal Candlestick Power ႔ Candlestick chart Bar chart ႔ Steve Nison Candlestick Techniques Reference Refer
  • 29. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 29 Two is better than One Powerful Candlestick - ႔ Candle Formation Candle - ႔ Trend Reversal Confirm ႔ ဝ Bullish / Bearish Counterattack Pattern - Weak reversal signal Bullish Counterattack Downtrend Bearish Counterattack Uptrend ႔ Bullish ႔ Bear Downtrend Downtrend Duration ၄-၅ ႔ Close Open White Candle Close White Candle Open ႔ Crowd Psychology Close ႔ Close ႔ ႔ Formation Weak Signal ႔
  • 30. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 30 Piercing Pattern and Dark Cloud Cover Pattern - Good Reversal Signal Counterattack ႔ White Candle Close ႔ Black Candle Close Black Candle Real Body Black Candle Open Piercing Pierce ႔ Dark Cloud Cover Up Trend Sunny ႔
  • 31. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 31 Bullish / Bearish Engulfing Pattern - Strong Reversal Signal White Candle Open ႔ Black Candle Close White Candle Close Black Candle Open Strongest Reversal Signal Engulfing /ဝ Technical Analysis Outside Day ႔ ႕ Volume ႔ Second Candle Volume ႔ Trading Signal Trend Line Support ႔ Resistance
  • 32. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 32 How to Stop ႔ ဝ Base ၅ ၁ Trend Line ႔ Support ႔ Resistance Professional Stop Loss Technical Analysis(TA) Stop order Broker Broker Stop order ႔ Internet Broker Broker Website Usability Generally Define ၁) Stop price - Sell order Market ႔ ၂) Limit price – Market Sell Price ႔ ႔ Generally, it should be less than or equal to the Stop price. Market ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ ၃) Position Liquidate ဝ Number of Units to sell ၄) Order expiration – Trigger ႔ Market Order ? Generally, Day order or GTC (Good Till Cancel) Day order ႔ Purge GTC Cancel ( normally ) TA Ford (F) Chart Stop Define ႔ Trend Long term trend Close Major Trend ႔ Ford Primary Trend 16/9/2009 ႕ (Primary Trend ) Long term Horizontal Support line 6.75 Side-way ႕ ) Bull ႕ Bear ႔ 9/11/2009 ( ) Minor Up Trend 25/11/2009 Close Just above Minor Up Trend ႕
  • 33. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 33 Volume Minor Up Trend Declining Volume ႔ ႕ Bull Commitment Bull ဝ ဝ ႕ Horizontal Blue line at 8.95 Major Resistance Close Major Resistance ႕ 3/8/2009 Pull back ႕ Ford ႔
  • 34. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 34 ႔ 8.95 Resistance Preferably, Close Original Primary Trend Primary Trend Break out ႔ ႔ Minor Up Trend Resistance ႔ ႔ Volume Improvement Data Ford 8.95 Resistance ႔ Trader 8.95 ဝ Profit Medium Term Investor 6.75 1 or 2 ticks Stop Order Tick Y-Axis Tick ႔ Long Term Investor 5.00 ( ဝ 1 or 2 ticks ႔ 1 or 2 ticks Professional Major Support ႔ Resistan ႔ Point Stop order Setup Stop Trigger Trend ႔ Support ႔ Resistance Investor Stock Current Momentum TA Stop Order Technical Analysis(TA) ႔ Trader Setting Line/Bar Chart Scale ႕ Line/Bar Chart Scale Linear Scale ႔ Linear Stock Price Plot ၅ ၁ ၅ ( ႔) ၅ ႔ ၅ ၅၅ ၅ ( ႔) ၅ ticks ၅ ၁ Gap ႔ ၅ ၅၅ Gap Distance Exactly the same Scale Linear Scale ႔ Scale Semi-Log scale ႔ ႕ Logarithmic ႔ Charting Percentage Bar/Candle Height ၅ ၁ ၁ % ႔ ၅ ၅၅ ၁ % ႔ Australia Commonwealth Bank (CBA) Bar Chart Scale
  • 36. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 36 Semi-Log Scale Trend Line Date Linear Scale ႔ Trend Price Trend Ok ႕ Semi-Log Scale Trend Sideways ႕ Question / Scale Semi-Log ႔ Linear Outcome Semi-log Long Term Trend
  • 37. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 37 Long Term Trend Semi-log ႔ ၅ Price Amount Gap ႕ ႔ Semi-log Long Term Trend ဝ ႔ Charting Software Y-axis Scale Feature Yahoo website Chart Settings Scale Link Chart Scale TA ႔ Moving Average Technical Analysis ႔ one of the most effective methods Moving Average (MA) ႔ MA Subcategory Simple MA ႔ Exponential MA ႔ MA ဝ Trend average price ဝ MA MA Formula Sum of Prices / No. of Days Simple MA (SMA) Formula ႔ ႔ Simple ႔ Price ႔ Price High, Low, Close Open ၉၉% Close SMA10 ႔ ၁ Close ၁ ႔ ႔ Exponential MA(EMA) google ႔ EMA Most Recent Price Weight ႔ Price ႔ ႔ Depend Pro EMA EMA Dow Jones Industrial (DJI) index EMA10 ႔ EMA10 Bar Close EMA10 Close EMA10 Short-term uptrend ႔
  • 38. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 38 Technical Indicator Bearish Signal ႔ Ready MA No. of days Recent Price Activity ႔ Matching Recent Price ႔ EMA15 Short-term MA ႔ 15 MA Medium to Long-term trend ႔ Short-term EMA Traders Long-term EMA Investors Technical Indicator Short-term ႔ Long-term Group (Traders & Investors) Overall Sentiment ႕ Short-term Long- term Uptrend Momentum ႔ Downtrend ႔ Concept MA Crossovers Short Long Long
  • 39. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 39 Downtrend ဝ ႔ Reverse Short Long Downward direction ႔ ႔ MA value EMA30, EMA60, EMA100, EMA200 ႔ Close EMA100 ႔ EMA200 Investor ႔ EMA200 Market DJI EMA10 EMA30 April EMA crossover Signal 2009 January Bearish Crossover ႔ MA Power MA Derive Advanced Technical Indicator
  • 40. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 40 MACD / Mac D Advanced MA technique ႔ MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) Mac D ႔ MACD Gerald Appel late 1970s Technical Analysis Beauty ဝ ႔ outdate MACD ႔ MA Chart Obama Healthcare bill ႔ ႔ Aetna Health Insurance Example ႔ Typical MACD Chart MACD ႔ Signal ႕ MACD Histogram Equaliser Bar MACD MACD = EMA12 - EMA26 Signal Line = SMA9 of MACD MACD EMA12 ႔ EMA26 ႔ Crossover EMA12 EMA26 MACD ႔ MACD ႔ EMA12 ႔ Crossover MACD Chart ႕ EMA Difference MACD ႔ ႕ MACD Chart ႕ Crossover MACD ႔ Signal Line Signal Dotted Line ႔ typically Simple Moving Average Weight Signal ႔ Buy/Sell Signal ႔ MACD Signal Latest MACD Momentum ၉ Average / ဝ ႔ Signal Line Trader SMA9
  • 42. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 42 MACD Histogram (MACD_H) ႔ MACD_H = MACD - Signal Line ႕ Equaliser Bar ႔ MACD_H MACD Signal Difference size MACD Crossovers, MACD_H ဝ Wave Slope Price Chart Trend Slope ႔ ႔ Divergence ႔ Slope Direction Convergence ႔ Divergence Disagreement Convergence Agreement MACD ႔ To buy  MACD Negative Positive  MACD Signal Bullish Crossover  Price Trend Downward Slope MACD( ႔) MACD_H ႔ Upward slope ႔ Rule MACD Silver Bullet Analysis ဝ Paper Trade ႔ Aetna Signal
  • 44. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 44 Triangle Breakout Triangle Breakout Technique Dow Jones Industrial Average Index ႔ DJI Technical Chart Candle ႔ MACD cha Triangle ႕
  • 45. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 45 Triangle Breakout Downtrend Uptrend ႔ Price Triangle Obviously Bullish Bearish Crowd Psychology ႔ Triangle ႔ Bears ႔ ႔ Translate ႔ DJI EMA200 Near term market outlook Technique Market Direction ႔ ႔ Combining Crowd Thinking with Crowd Commitment Technical Analysis method Indicator Money Flow Index (MFI) ႔ Laszlo Birinyi, Jr. MFI ႔ Price Volume MFI ႔ Charting Software Web Site Standard ႔ MFI Formula ၁ Average Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3 ၂ Money Flow = Average Price x Volume ၃ Period Money Flow 14-period
  • 46. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 46 ၄ Positive Money Flow = ၃ No. of Periods Average Price Previous Average Price Average Price (Cumulative Total, in other word) ၅ Negative Money Flow = ၃ No. of Periods Average Price Previous Average Price Average Price (Cumulative Total, in other word) Money Ratio = Positive Money Flow / Negative Money Flow Money Flow Index (MFI) = 100 - (100 / (1+ Money Ratio)) MFI Formula Step 7 MFI Value -၁ Range Bound Design MFI value 20 Oversold (Bullish) ႔ MFI value 80 ႔ MFI 20 Stock ႔ 80 ဝ ႔ Trader Profit-taking ႔ ႔ ႔ Oversold/Overbought Stock Fundamental Data Oversold/ Overbought Technical Analysis Technique Trading Decision Common sense Stock ႔ Dow Jones Industrial Candle Chart, MFI MFI ၁၄ MFI ႔ Up trend Candle Chart Trend Bearish Divergence ႔ Bearish Divergence Trend Line MFI Bullish Divergence Trend ႔ -
  • 47. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 47 Stock Investor ႔ Thinking Commitment Price what the crowd thinks ႔ Volume what the crowd commits ႔ Price Volume MFI Index ဝ MACD_H indicator Price action Analysis ႔ ႔ MFI Indicator Crowd Psychology
  • 48. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 48 Trader ႔ Divergence Indicator Divergence Signal ၁ ႔ Trading Money Management ဝ Title ႕ Concept Robert Kiyosaki ႔ Dr. Alexander Elder Intellectual Property Trading vs. Investing Trading ႔ Investing Trading Short-term focused Investing Long-term Stock Investing Day job Financial Advisor, Broker Tips ႔ ဝ ႔ Generally Definition ႔ ဝ Stock Market Directly ( ႔) Indirectly Invest Investing Direct Investing ဝ Stock solid bluechip stock ( ၃ ၃ ) Dividends ႕ Time in the Market is More Important than Timing in the Market " " ႔ Invest You are going to need a lot of LUCK. Trading is a totally different ball game Stock Trading ဝ Market Washed Out Long-term investing mindset Trading area ႔ Trading ႔ Totally different mindset 3M (mindset, method, management) Technical Analysis(TA) ႔ Fundamental Analysis(FA) TA ႔ FA ႔ mindset ႔ management ႔ ႔
  • 49. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 49 Mythbusting Trading ႔ Myth Stock Market Analysis Report ဝ Myth Trading  Analysis Entry ဝ  ႔ ဝ ႔  ဝ Trading ႔ Chance ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ Market Trade Professionals Institutions " ႔ " Net balance Positive Lose Less, Make More Trading Core Principle Loss Manage ႔ Loss Profit Automatic handle Stop-loss, Stop-loss ႕ Trading Book ႕ Discipline ႔ Weight ႔ Weight
  • 50. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 50 ၂ Stop-loss Technical Analysis ႔ Long-term Fundamental based investor Technical Analysis Stock Invest Shorting Simply Long Stock ) Oldest and Simplest are the Best Technical Analysis ႔ Trend line, Support, Resistance Stop-loss, Profit-taking point Define ႔ ႔ Trade  Profit is made at the Entry, not at the Exit. ( ဝ )  Support ႔  Support Close Support ႔ Volume  Trade Open Support ဝ Stop-loss ႔ Trade ဝ Cut Loss ႔  Trade Open ႔ Nearest Resistance Profit-taking ႔ Resistance Trade Interval ႔ Exit Uptrend Clearly Broken Sign
  • 51. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 51 Mindset ႔ Technical Analysis trading risk ႔ ႔ ႔ ဝ Entry Chart Profitable Trade ႔ ႔ ႔ Technical Analysis too good to be true ႔ Gambler and Lotto Player Stock Trading ဝ Mindset Trader Realistic decision ႕ ႔ ႔ You can't stop-loss! ႔ ႔ Probability 1 in a several millions Mindset Trading ႔ Stop-loss ႔ Can't bear the feeling of losing money ႔ ႕ (Realised Loss) ႔ Trading Bad Feeling Perspective ႔ Think like a business man Business Employee ႔ ႔ Probability Business Income Expense Expense ႔ ႔ No way unless it's your daddy's business. Contribution Employer Business The famous "L" word Layoff! Business Owner Loss Business Expenses ႔ Profit Revenue/Income Stop-loss Trader Expense Business Run ႔ ႔ Trade
  • 52. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 52 Trade Sack Technical Analysis Analysis ႔ Resume ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ Professional trader ႔ ႔ Stock Open, High, Low, Close, Volume Technical Analysis ႔ Closing Price ႔ OHLC, Volume Technical Analysis Dimension Minute, Hour Daily, Weekly, Monthly Linear Dimension X-axis Closing Price Stock Major Support ႔ Resistance Analysis Technique Point & Figure (P&F) ႔ Bank of America (BAC) Chart Chart P&F ႔ Stock ႔ ႔ ႕ Stock ႔ ႕ Amount Amount Multiplier ႔ Personal Choice ၁.၅ ႔ ၁ Daily Range x 1.5 times Box size ႔ Box size Chart Cross ႔ Circle Amount Cross Circle
  • 53. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 53 BAC ႔ ၄ Range Box size 40c x 1.5 = 60c BAC P&F chart Cross/Circle Cross Circle, Circle Cross ႔ Column
  • 54. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 54 ႕ ႔ Reversal ႔ reversal box amount Rule of Thumb 3 boxes Chart BAC ၁ / Symbol Cross/Circle ႔/ ႔ Stock price box size ႕ ႕ ႔ Reversal amount Violent Trend ႔ Symbol Switch Reversal amount 3 box 3 4 box 4 X-axis Linear Scale ႕ ႔ ႔ Box size amount Closing Price Chart Update ႔ ႔ Alphabet initials ႔ ႔ Reversal Compressed P&F ႔ Metastock Software ႔ Box size ႔ Reversal amount Input P&F ႕ ႔ Data P&F ဝ BAC ၂ ၅ Data ႔ P&F ဝ Circle Reversal Major Support ႔ Cross Major Resistance ႔ BAC Chart Major Support P&F Stock  Box size = Average daily movement range of a stock price x multiplier (multiplier is personal choice and mine is 1.5) ႔ ၁.၅ Daily Range Price action Capture ႔  Reversal boxes = 3 or 4 times of Box size (again, it's personal choice)  Time scale is no longer linear on X-axis  Mainly used to identify long term major support and resistance. Resistance Cross (X) Support Circle(O)  Better to use charting software help to draw P&F  P&F Major resistance/support P&F ႔
  • 55. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 55  P&F Price Major resistance/support Verify ႔  P&F ႔ Technical Analysis ႔ Psychology of Losing Stock Trading Beginner Stop-loss ဝ Paper Loss/Unrealised Loss Chance Stop-loss Realised Money Loss Perspective Palatable Forget about $$$ Manage ႔ ႔ Point ႔ Casino Chip ႔ ႔ ႔ Point Down ႔ Casualty of War Civillian Idea Trading Remember how you learned riding a bike Helmat Trading Stop-loss Helmat Trader Trading Millionaire ႕
  • 56. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 56 Learn from Beckham Beckham Twist ႔ Free kick Penalty Goal Kick Beckham ႔ Personality ႔ Achievement ႔ Losses ႔ ဝ ႔ Soccer Round 1 ႔ Chance Total ႔ Goal First-half Second-half Beckham Market Take a break Analyse ႕ ႕ ဝ ႔ Defense ႕ ဝ ႔ ႔ ႔ ႔ ဝ ႔ ..... On Sale Department Store Further off Trader Retailer Further Reduced cut loss Retailer It's only in your mind Losing Trading special case mindset Trade Losing is only in your mind and you have to manage losses. Don't let losses manage you.
  • 57. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 57 Short with me Trader Market ႔ ဝ Market ႔ Long(buy low, sell high) Short(Sell high, buy low) How to Trade Like a Professional trading ဝ Analyse Method ႔ Method Software ႔ Data (၁) Trader Method ႔ ႔ ႔ Topic ႔ Knowledge Apply Professional trader ႔ Fact No. 1 Method ႔ Professional Trader Market ဝ Money Management Skill Develop ႕ Market Analyse Trade See the catch word here? " " ႔ Professional Trader small managed losses Good Money Management Skill
  • 58. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 58 Fact No. 2 Amateur Trader Market ဝ Big Profit ႔ ဝ Professional ႔ Big Losses ႔ Professional Loss Manage Profit Auto Amateur Dr. Alexander Elder "A fool and his money can throw one hell of a party" Market Profit ဝ Market Fool Seriously, Manage your losses and have a good money management discipline. One example of good money management: R-multiple system Dr. Van Tharp R-multiple management system money management R-multiple system R Risk Trader Trade ဝ Define Trade ၂% ၅% ၂%-၅% Market Amount Trade total cost Professional ၂% ႔ ၂% Practical ၂%-၅% ႔ R Trader R amount ႔ cut loss ႔ ႔ R amount multiple Profit taking ႔ determine 2R or 3R amount R $200 2R $400 R-multiple ႔ Trading system Trading system Entry, Exit rules Technical, Fundamental generate MACD crossover ဝ trend line ဝ No system is perfect but there has to be some probability of success of your trading system. system %
  • 59. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 59 # Invest Capital Risk or R Win/Lose Reward Multiplier 1 2000 10000 200 L 2 2 2000 9800 200 L 2 3 2000 9600 200 L 2 4 2000 9400 200 L 2 5 2000 9200 200 L 2 6 2000 9000 200 W 2 7 2000 9400 200 W 2 8 2000 9800 200 W 2 9 2000 10200 200 W 2 10 2000 10600 200 W 2 NET 11000 Table Figure Total ၁ Trader Trade ၂ ႔ R ၂ Total ၂% ၂-၅% range Conservative range Reward multiple 2R Risk Method(Technical,Fundamental) Probability Example 50% System ၅ % Market 90% ႔ Example
  • 60. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 60 ၅ % System Probability ႔ ၅ % Trade ၅ ၅ Key R amount 2R ၁ ၁ % return Trader weekly, fortnightly frequency ႔ Trade period ၁ % ၁ % , ၄ %  R total equity/cash  Trade R amount cut  R-multiple amount profit taking  Method(Technical, Fundamental Probability system ႔ ႔ Success rate ၅ %  Method continually refine Van Tharp R-multiple system very simple Professional Trade Pro ၂၁ ႔ Trade Financial Freedom example Trade ၁ Risk R ၂ , 10 trade ၁ total profit 5R ႔ 5R 10 trade ႔ 0.5R average Van Tharp Trader's life expectancy ႔ Life expectancy ႕ ႕ equity Amateur ႔ Market Washed out Example ႔ Table Risk 2R R amount ႔ ႔ ၄ ၂ ႔ ၁ -0.5R expectan Key point Amateur Hope ႔ 2R+ R amount ႔
  • 61. FOREX for Beginners https://www.facebook.com/groups/468564163238943/ Page 61 # Invest Capital Risk or 2R Win/Lose Reward Multiplier 1 2000 10000 400 L 0.5 2 2000 9600 400 L 0.5 3 2000 9200 400 L 0.5 4 2000 8800 400 L 0.5 5 2000 8400 400 L 0.5 6 2000 8000 400 W 0.5 7 2000 8200 400 W 0.5 8 2000 8400 400 W 0.5 9 2000 8600 400 W 0.5 10 2000 8800 400 W 0.5 NET 9000 "Cut your losses fast and Let your profit run". R-multiple system Trade Probability system Different money management trader ႔ Concept Professional Trader ႔ Happy Trading!